gbp/usd

Aaj ka GBP/USD Technical Snapshot British Pound (GBP) ka US Dollar (USD) ke against outlook southern direction mein developments par focus hai, yani pound ki kamzori. Yeh long-term trend central bank policies ke anticipated difference ki wajah se hai jo UK aur US mein hai. Bank of England (BOE) apna refinancing rate kam karne ka plan bana raha hai, jo asal mein borrowing cost ko businesses aur individuals ke liye kam karta hai. Yeh move UK economy ko stimulate karne ke liye hai. Magar, Federal Reserve System (Fed) US mein apna rate barqarar rakh raha hai, taake inflation se lar sake Kal ki Jerome Powell, Chair of the Fed, ki speech kaafi significant thi. Unho ne premature rate cuts ke khilaf apni stance dohrayi, aur zarurat par zor diya ke inflation ke slow hone ke clear evidence se pehle aisa na kiya jaye. Yeh hawkish stance USD ko GBP ke muqablay mazboot banata hai, jo apni rate policy ke sath accommodative hai. Jab crucial US inflation data Thursday ko release hoga, do potential scenarios GBP/USD currency pair ke liye saamne aate hain. Is scenario mein, GBP/USD price apne current support level 1.2761 ke neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh tab hoga agar US inflation data expectations se lower aaye, magar Fed ke target se upar rahe.
Aisa result Fed ko rate hike consider karne ka sign samjha ja sakta hai, jo interest rate gap ko US aur UK ke darmiyan aur barhata hai. Agar yeh breakout smoothly hota hai, toh price phir 1.2700 ke agle support level ki taraf apni southward journey continue kar sakti hai. Yeh scenario four-hour chart ke technical indicators aur upar mentioned fundamental factors se align karta hai. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke GBP/USD price 1.2761 support level ke upar rahe. Yeh tab hoga agar US inflation data significant slowdown dikhaye, jo market ko yeh samajhne par majboor kare ke Fed rate cut jald aasakta hai.
Is case mein, hum price mein ek aur upward wave dekh sakte hain, jo current local high 1.2858 ko break karne ka target bana sakti hai. Magar, yeh bullish momentum zaroori nahi ke barqarar rahe. Aakhir mein, agar Fed apni stance par firm rahe aur inflation utni cool down na ho jitni anticipate ki gayi hai, toh "bears" (jo price decline expect karte hain) control le sakte hain aur price ko wapas 1.2700 support level ki taraf push kar sakte hain, jo current trading range ka lower boundary four-hour chart par hai. Overall, GBP/USD currency pair ek crossroads par hai, US inflation data ke release aur Fed ke subsequent reaction ka intezaar hai. Pound ki direction in key factors par depend karti hai, jisme ya toh continued weakening ya ek reprieve pehle ke downward trend resume se pehle aasakti hai
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GBP/USD ne kal pichle daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad reversal kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, aur phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga. GBP/USD Asian session ke dauran thoda high hua. British euro ke baad peeche hai. Yeh zyadatar dollar ke recovery ke waja se against ek basket of major currencies tha. Sterling domestic political issues ke waja se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari tawajjo Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, pehli half of the day mein kuch upward correction ki umeed hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barkarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main us point ke neeche sell karunga targets 1.2585 aur 1.2535 ke sath. Agar pair rise hota hai, 1.2685 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak ka rasta khul jayega. In markers ke basis par, main phir se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.

GBP/USD
GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein limited movement dikhayi hai, aur takreeban 40 pips ke narrow trading range mein rahi hai. Iss waqt yeh 1.2930 pe price hai aur key support level 1.2900 pe qaim hai, halan ke yeh thodi decline hui hai. Yeh resilience yeh bata rahi hai ke GBP/USD ko momentum dubara hasil karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, aur sellers ab bhi market sentiment pe control rakhte hain.
H1 timeframe pe technical analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke support 1.2900 test karne ke bawajood, GBP/USD mein recovery ki potential signs hain. Iss support level ke ird gird candlestick formations se double bottom pattern formation ki aasha dikhai deti hai, jo resistance 1.2935 ke upar breakout hone par confirm hogi. Agar yeh resistance breach nahi hui, to yeh pair sideways movement continue kar sakta hai, kyun ke yeh demand area mein hai jahan buying interest sustained ho sakta hai.
Ichimoku indicator ke saath analysis karna challenging hai kyun ke current market conditions subdued activity se mutasir hain. Yeh indicator ke signals ziada volatile markets mein clear hote hain lekin abhi yeh multiple intersections ke saath bina kisi clear trend direction ke dikhai de rahe hain. Halaanki, Kijun Sen line ke upar recent break ek tentative bullish signal dikhata hai GBP/USD ke liye, aur further confirmation additional price action se mil sakta hai.
Stochastic oscillator overbought conditions ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai jab yeh 80 level ke qareeb hai. Iske bawajood, stochastic ki upward trajectory ongoing support dikhati hai GBP/USD ke potential upward movement ke liye. Traders ko stochastic 80 level tak pohanchne par ehtiyat baratni chahiye, kyun ke yeh aksar price reversal se pehle hota hai, khaaskar sideways markets mein jahan aise indicators false starts signal kar sakte hain substantial movements se pehle.
Aagey ka outlook GBP/USD ke liye potential uptrend dikhata hai, jo ke resistance levels ke upar break aur technical indicators ke support ke sath bullish momentum maintain karne pe mabni hai. Recent declines ke baad significant corrections ki non-appearance underlying strength imply kar sakti hai pair ke upward potential mein, halaanki market conditions ab bhi economic developments aur broader geopolitical factors ke liye sensitive hain jo British pound aur US dollar ke exchange rates ko mutasir karte hain.
Akhir mein, halaat ke hawale se interpretation challenges ke bawajood, kuch positive indicators GBP/USD ke potential upward movement ke liye optimistic signs dete hain, jo key resistance levels ke upar overcome aur pair mein sustained buying interest pe mabni hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

Correction ab khatre mein hai kyunki quotes ne local ascending channel ki neeche wali boundary ko 1.2805 par tor diya hai aur wo 1.2715 ke key horizontal area ke qareeb aa gaye hain. Agar is area ke neeche breakout aur stabilization hoti hai, toh ye downward movement ke dubara shuru hone ka signal dega, jo kam az kam 1.2580 tak ki girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai, uske baad phir ek local correction aa sakti hai. Waqti tor par sellers ka faida hai, zyada tar Chairman Powell ke agle speech ke intizar ke sabab se, jahan woh record-high inflation ko tackle karne ki strategy par baat karne wale hain.

GBP/USD ek mazboot bearish trend mein hai, jo is waqt GBP/USD ko short term mein sell karna faida mand bana raha hai. Ye pair mazboot US dollar ke pressure mein hai, jo mazeed girawat ka ishara de raha hai. Pound abhi neutral trade kar raha hai aur potential increase ke liye tayyar ho raha hai. H4 stochastic yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ka rujhan barhne ka hai, jo aaj resistance 1.2790 tak pohanch sakta hai. Guzishta hafte risk appetite mein girawat ke wajah se decline hua, magar pound mazboot hai. Euro ke mukable mein, pound strength dikha raha hai aur shaam ko dollar ke saath saath EUR/USD pair ke saath bhi barh sakta hai. Wase aur bade time frame pe pound ek pullback phase mein hai, jo global range ke bottom edge ke peeche hai. Ye pullback medium-term rise ke potential ka ishara de raha hai, jo bullish momentum ke saath continue ho sakta hai.

Summary mein, 1.2790 ke key area ko qareebi tor par dekhna zaroori hai. Agar is level ke neeche breakout aur stabilization hoti hai, toh ye downtrend ke continuation ko confirm kar sakta hai towards 1.2580. MACD aur Bollinger Bands ek strong bearish trend indicate karte hain, jo GBP/USD ko short-term sell karna faida mand banate hain. Halankeh, chhoti time frames par bullish formations nikal kar aa rahi hain, jo ek medium-term reversal aur agar bullish sentiment ka zahoor hota hai toh 1.2700 ke resistance tak rise ka ishara dete hain.

GBP/USD rate H4 time frame par downtrend show kar raha hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi 50 SMA line ke upar hai, jo possible downward movement suggest karta hai. Price ka ek support range 1.2683-1.2653 hai, jo shayad target ho sakta hai pehle ke price bounce back kare. Current downtrend ka advantage lene ke liye, humein sell opportunities dekhni chahiye, especially is support level ke qareeb. Agar GBP/USD rate support ke neeche break karta hai, toh next potential recovery zone takreeban 1.2678 hai, jo expected lowest point hai.
GBP/USD currency pair ne recently ek key resistance level 1.29374-1.28900 ko surpass kiya, jo forex market mein ek significant event hai. Ab, is level ke upar trade karte hue, yeh ek naya support zone ban gaya hai jis par closely watch rakhna chahiye. Market dynamics mein shift ne 1.29374-1.28900 range ko ek critical area ke tor par emphasize kiya hai.

Post-breakout, GBP/USD price ne channel ke top se bottom tak pullback dekha. Lekin, yeh nayi support level 1.29300-1.28930 par strong support mila, jo bulls ki continued strength aur breakout ko validate karta hai. Traders ko resistance levels 1.28983-1.29335 ko track karna chahiye potential breakouts ke liye jo GBP/USD pair ko higher levels par drive kar sakte hain, aur zyada buyers ko attract kar sakte hain. Breakout opportunities dekhte hue, market-influencing developments par nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Foreign exchange market mein, economic reports aur monetary policy mein changes currency pairs jaise GBP/USD ko influence kar sakti hain. Recent break 1.29374-1.28900 resistance zone ke upar aur subsequent pullback nayi support levels 1.29300-1.28930 tak important changes mark karte hain. Traders ko breakout chances 1.28983-1.29335 resistance range ke qareeb watch karni chahiye, aur market updates ke baare mein informed rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD ko affect kar sakti hain. Vigilant aur adaptable rehna traders ko forex landscape navigate karne mein madad karega.

currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka real-time mein tajzia kar rahe hain. 1.2938 level ne apni ahmiyat dikhayi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke hum ab 1.2999 (5/8 channel ka top) aur 1.2938 (4/8) ke beech consolidate kar sakte hain aur upper limit ko test karne ka chance hai. Yeh pair trading week ke end tak is range mein reh sakta hai. Magar, British CPI data kal fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hai. Agar inflation expected se kam hoti hai, to ho sakta hai ke hum 1.2999 ko touch na kar sakein. Is surat mein, bears 1.2938 support level ko break karne ki koshish karenge aur 1.2877 ka aim rakhenge.
Do hafton ki growth ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne aakhirkar is saal ke highs ko surpass kar liya aur ho sakta hai ke July mein pichle saal ka peak bhi reach kare, khas taur par 13th ko. Is hafte, upward momentum ruk gaya aur aaj reverse bhi hua. Yeh pending orders ka reset ho sakta hai, jiske baad pair apna ascent resume kar sakti hai, ya phir ek complex false breakout ho sakta hai jo extra liquidity ko sell orders ke liye istemal kar raha hai.
Halat jald clear ho jayegi, magar abhi uncertainty barqarar hai. Main anticipate kar raha tha ke pair inflation data release se pehle grey range mein trade karega, jo inflation stagnation ka end signal karega. Post-inflation data, main expect kar raha tha ke pair grey range mein wapas chala jayega, kyunki sirf 0.01% inflation drop par growth unjustified lagti hai
Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad, pair ne decline continue kiya, jiske baad ek pullback aaya, jo mujhe simple rollback laga. Us waqt pair ki growth ne mujhe hairaan kar diya, aur yeh pre-election movement ho sakti hai. Jab yeh grey range ke upar wapas chala gaya, sellers ne volume gain kiya. Main soch raha tha ke yeh grey range mein wapas descend karega, magar yeh climb karta raha. Yeh rise bilkul unwarranted lag rahi hai. Pair ke current levels ko koi fundamental factor support nahi karta; yahan buyer volume accumulate kar raha hai.
GBP/USD neechayi ki trend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh yeh pair upar ki taraf bhi trend banane mein qabil hai. Pair phir se ooncha ja raha hai, aur overall, yeh logic ke khilaaf lihaaz kar raha hai. Halankay, koi bhi inkar nahi kar sakta ke halqi economic reports ne pound ko support kiya hai.
Wednesday ko, pound sterling dhire dhire 1.2913 ke level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Is mein kuch din lag sakte hain 45 pips guzarne mein. Lekin tezi se girawat ka tawaqo nahi hai, jab tak ke pound trend line ko nahi todti. Aur agar todti bhi hai, to yeh bilkul ho bhi nahi sakta. Is halaat mein kam az kam panch martaba ho chuka hai.
5M chart par key levels , Wednesday ko UK June ke liye ahem inflation report publish karega, jo pound par dabaav daal sakta hai kyunke inflation mazeed neeche gir sakti hai. Lekin market ne sab pichli inflation girawaton ka pound bech kar taqatwar kiya nahi hai.

GBP/USD pair ka outlook unclear hai. Downward pullback ki anticipation ke bawajood, humne pehle ke sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary se ek retest dekha hai. Iske ilawa, bullish debts ab bhi mumkin hain. Ideally, ek rebound is monthly resistance zone se hona chahiye. Pavlik ke address ke mutabiq, bearish trend jald shuru ho sakti hai, chahe bullish debt likely ho ya na ho. Magar, yeh sirf meri perspective hai. Hourly chart par pound-dollar pair ka analysis Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad significant activity ko reveal karta hai. Price overlook bullish hai.
Pair ne support level 1.26072 par descend kiya aur 1.26801 se 1.26072 range ke andar trade karna shuru kiya. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline ko continue karna chahiye tha, magar yeh unexpectedly retrace ho gaya, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Upcoming elections ka impact uncertain hai, jahan inflation primary focus hai. Pair is range se shift hone ke chances kam hain agar inflation further decline ya growth exhibit nahi karta. Yeh filhal apne pehle ke highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke peculiar hai. Jab ke is pair ka decline likely hai, ek minor rise euro-dollar pair mein bhi plausible hai. Current analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair range ke opposite borders ko touch kar sakta hai, jo ke modest increase ko suggest karta hai. Magar, pound ke current high trading level ke madde nazar, ek slight pullback predict kiya gaya hai pehle ke pair eventually support level 1.26113 par descend kare.
Pehle chart par ek downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh plan relevant tha jab tak pound impulsively north move nahi kar gaya. Blue bar potential decline ko H4 signal ke relative moving averages ke mutabiq dikhata hai, aur aaj sirf yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke yeh signal kaam nahi kiya. Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai na ke trend waves mein.
GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke ooper trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index (RSI) musbat aur ooper ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought shuruaat tak nahin pohancha hai. Lekin daily chart par ek cautionary sign hai, kyun keh 1.28 ke ooper koi mustaqil movement nahin rahi hai: 2024 ke chart par dekhne par maloom hota hai keh exchange rate ne 1.28 ke ooper koi significant muddat tak qaim nahin rakha hai. Daily chart ke performance ke aadhar par, 1.2860 par major resistance ko khatra hone ki kam umeedi hai. Yaad rahe keh 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar isko toorna ho, to iska matlab hai keh pound aur agey nahin badhegi. Is resistance ke wajah se, GBP/USD Thursday ke ahem US inflation reading se pehle 1.28 level ke dono taraf narrow range mein trade kar sakta hai.
Mali calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index ki annual kamzori ka imkaan hai, jo keh May mein 3.3% se 3.1% tak girne ka intezar hai, jo keh January mein dekha gaya tha. Is natije se maloom hota hai keh saal ke pehle nisf mein keemat mein tezi ke baad inflation mein rukh aane ka izhaar hai. Is se Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rate cut ke imkaanat barh jayenge, jo keh dollar par asar andaz hoga.

Pichlay Tuesday ko, GBP/USD pair ne significant downward movement dekha. Yeh downward movement ne July 22, 2024 ko hone wali upward movement ko rok diya, jo ke last Monday hui thi. Yeh downward movement sirf ek correction ho sakti hai ya phir yeh sellers ke taraf se profit taking ki action ho sakti hai taake woh apne ab tak ke profits ko secure kar sakein. Doosri taraf, yeh ek reversal ya trend reversal ki shuruaat bhi ho sakti hai.

Agar hum yahan observe karein, to abhi ke liye lagta hai ke seller zyada dominant aur market ko control kar raha hai. Yeh baat baaki major pairs ke sath bhi ho rahi hai jo ke USD mein end hote hain, aur jin ka downward movement July 18, 2024 se start hua tha pichlay hafte. Lagta hai ke seller strong pressure se nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur price ko significant downward movement ki taraf push kar raha hai taake woh buyer ki strong resistance ko overcome kar sakein jo ke price ko upward movement ki taraf push kar rahe hain jo ke July 2, 2024 se ho rahi hai ya early July se, jo ke maine daily time frame mein aaj raat clearly observe kiya. Long term mein, lagta hai ke seller ka agla price target green zone ko pass karna hai jo ke level 1.2591-1.2636 par hai. Ye area abhi tak kaafi fresh hai kyunki ab tak is area ka koi retest experience nahi hua.

Is acha mauqe par, main is pair ko half-hour time frame par bhi analyze karunga. Jaise ke hum yahan observe kar sakte hain, buyer ke efforts to penetrate the verified resistance area at level 1.2932-1.2944 ko reject kiya gaya hai at 06.30 Instaforex broker server time, July 23, 2024. Is market condition ke sath, seller ka agla price target level 1.2873-1.2880 par hai, jo ke abhi ke liye ek kaafi decisive area lagta hai. Aap sab iske baare mein kya soch rahe hain? Kya price us area ko validly pass kar sakta hai jo ke kaafi fresh hai aur ab tak koi retest experience nahi hua? Sell orders ko in results ke mutabiq consider kiya ja sakta hai. Profit target, recommendation ke taur par, agar level 1.2840 par rakha jaye to theek rahega, jo ke 33 pips door hai is price position se.

GBP/USD currency pair ki qeematon ke waqt ke saath tabadli ka mutala karte hain. Hourly chart ka jaiza lene ke baad, humne dekha ke yeh pair Federal Reserve ke speech ke baad gir gaya aur Bank of England ke elan ke baad 1.26072 support ko hit kiya. Ibtida mein, aisa lagta tha ke aik range ban rahi hai, lekin baad mein aik achanak izafa hua. Main samjhta tha ke yeh sellers ke stop-loss orders ke trigger hone ki wajah se tha jo high volume ke sabab hua, lekin izafa jaari raha. Phir, humne dekha ke 1.27705 resistance ke upar ek head-and-shoulders pattern ubhar raha hai. Maine direction mein tabadli ki umeed rakhi towards a decline. Main tawaku karta hoon ke yeh pair gire ga kyunke yeh overbought hai aur in qeemat levels ko barqarar rakhne ki koi mazboot wajah nahi hai. UK inflation 2% par hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke Bank of England inflation ke target ko hit karne ki wajah se jald interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Aik mumkin decline 1.27705 support tak suggested kiya gaya kyunke 1.29942 resistance ke qareeb double touch tha, jo seller volume ko girawat ka ishara deta hai. Iske bawajood, buniyadi asrat, khaaskar dollar ka kamzor performance, mukhtalif natija dikhate hain. Halankeh dollar ki demand temporarily kam ho sakti hai, GBP/USD ke liye bara moves mumkin nahi lagte. Pehle se hi aham values ke qareeb 30 meters, ek izafa 31 ya mumkinan 33 tak zaroori hai substantial upward movement ke liye.
Hum MA mein growth ki umeed kar rahe hain hourly chart par, market trends ke mutabiq. Agar pair mazeed gire, to support 1.2883 par yeh direction darshaata hai. Halankeh daily chart strong support breakdown nahi dikhaata, jo ek kamzor downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Trades enter karne ke liye, humein seller activity aur 1.2854 se neeche move dekhna hoga. GBP/USD mixed trends dikhaata hai aur bulls shayad bears ko 1.2883 hit karne se na rok saken. Yeh scenario possible consolidation ko darshaata hai jahan mazeed activity expected hai. Trend ko decipher karna mushkil bana hua hai.
GBP/USD pair ke potential gains ko cap kar sakta hai ya iska maujooda upward trajectory ko reverse kar sakta hai. Bar-aks, agar US mein economic weakness ke asar dikhte hain, to yeh dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, pound ke liye mazeed support faraham karta hai. Traders ko yeh economic releases par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye. UK inflation data aur U.S. dollar news ke darmiyan interplay near-term direction ko dictate karegi GBP/USD pair ke liye. Jab tak yeh data points release nahi hotay, currency pair apni maujooda range mein trade karte rehne ka imkaan hai, halankeh breakout movements ka potential ke sath. Traders ko in developments par vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye, kyunke yeh opportunities aur risks dono ko pesh kar sakti hain. Jaise ke hamesha, sound risk management aur economic indicators ke mutaliq waqif rehna crucial hoga GBP/USD currency pair mein aanewale market movements ko navigate karne ke liye

GBP/USD currency pair ne pichle paanch trading sessions se lagatar selling pressure ka samna karte hue giraawat dekhi hai, jo support level 1.2882 tak pohanch gayi hai, jo do hafton ka sabse kam hai, aur psychological resistance level 1.3000 ko chhod diya hai.Is performance ke darmiyan, British pound ko yeh samajhna padega ke Bank of England ne interest rates ko lamba waqt tak upar rakha hai kyun ke government ne ek round wage increases approve kiya hai taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake.Bank of England abhi bhi 1 August ko interest rates cut kar sakta hai, lekin yeh increasingly clear ho raha hai ke unhe agle mahino mein ihtiyaat se kaam lena padega kyun ke nai government ne public sector workers ke liye wage increases ka commitment kiya hai taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake. Is silsile mein, Rachel Reeves millions of public sector workers ko inflation se zyada wage increase dene ki tayari kar rahi hain aur Conservatives ko blame karne ki koshish kar rahi hain agar iske liye koi tax increases ki zaroorat pari.

Yeh uske baad ho raha hai jab independent pay review bodies ne half million teachers aur 1.3 million NHS staff ke liye 5.5% ka rise recommend kiya, jo budgeted 3% se kaafi zyada hai. Jaise ke maloom hai, Bank of England closely wage settlements ko monitor karta hai kyun ke yeh economy mein demand ko boost kar sakti hain aur inflation ke levels ko badha sakti hain. Agar Bank ko lagta hai ke wages strong rahengi, toh woh interest rates ko kam karne mein ihtiyaat barat sakta hai.Is mutabiq, Ashley Webb, jo ke Capital Economics ke British economist hain, kehte hain ke NHS staff aur teachers ke liye wage increase ko 5.5% tak restrict karna monetary policy ke liye ziada significant nahi hoga. Lekin agar British government yeh pay rise sabhi public sector workers tak extend karti hai, toh yeh wage growth aur domestic inflation ko slightly support kar sakti hai, jo humare expectations se zyada hoga. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke interest rates ko zyada dheere aur kam kam kiya jaye
The Times reports ke baqi six million public sector workers, jisme doctors, police, members of the armed forces aur civil servants shamil hain, ke liye bhi similar pay bonuses diye ja rahe hain. Lekin yeh kitna important hai?

Bank of England ke May ke forecasts ke mutabiq overall average economic income growth 2024 mein 5.25% se 2025 mein 2.25% tak gir jayegi. Agar public sector workers total employment ka sirf 18% account karte hain, toh 5.5% ka wage increase 2025 ke forecasts ke saath thoda problem lag raha hai, unless private sector mein kaafi zyada correction hoti hai.Forex currency market trades ke mutabiq... British pound 2024 ke liye best-performing major currency hai kyun ke yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke Britain mein interest rates high rahengi compared to their counterparts elsewhere, jo international investors ko superior returns provide karengi. Areas with low interest rates se areas with high interest rates tak funds ka flow strong hai aur yeh foreign currencies ke value ko low volatility ke waqt mein major driver hota hai. Lekin, agar pay recommendations sab par apply hoti hain, toh Reeves ko around £8bn dhoondhna padega. Yeh existing spending plans se aayega, jo kahin aur cuts ka matlab ho sakta hai ya higher taxes ka, jo economy ke potential ko ultimately limit kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD PAIR REVIEW

For five consecutive trading sessions, the price of the pound sterling has been moving against the US dollar GBP/USD amidst selling pressure with losses that extended to the support level of 1.2882, its lowest in two weeks, abandoning the psychological resistance level of 1.3000, which supports an upward shift... Amid this performance, the British pound may find that the Bank of England maintains... Interest rates are higher for longer as the government approves a round of wage increases to curb inflation.

The Bank of England could still cut interest rates on August 1, but it is increasingly clear that it will have to be cautious in subsequent months as the new government commits to pay rises for public sector workers to curb inflation. In this regard, Rachel Reeves is preparing to hand millions of public sector workers a higher-than-inflation wage increase and is trying to blame the Conservatives for any tax increases required to fund it.

It comes after independent pay review bodies covering half a million teachers and more than 1.3 million NHS staff recommended a rise of 5.5%, far more than the 3% budgeted. As is known, the Bank of England closely monitors wage settlements because they can boost demand in the economy and contribute to higher levels of inflation. If it believes wages will remain strong, it may be cautious in its approach to lowering interest rates.

Accordingly, Ashley Webb, a British economist at Capital Economics, says that restricting the wage increase to 5.5% for NHS staff and teachers will be relatively unimportant for monetary policy. “But if the British government chooses to extend this pay rise to all public sector workers, it will likely support wage growth and domestic inflation slightly more than we expect,” he added. This may mean lowering interest rates more slowly and/or less than we expect.”

The Times reports pay bonuses to the rest of the six million public sector workers, including doctors, police, members of the armed forces and civil servants, are similar. But how important is this?

Bank of England forecasts in May suggested that overall average economic income growth would decline from 5.25% in 2024 to 2.25% in 2025. Even if public sector workers account for only 18% of total employment, wage increases of 5.5% Seems elusive. With 2025 forecasts, there is no much deeper downward correction in the private sector.

According to Forex currency market trades... the British pound is the best-performing major currency for the year 2024 because it benefits from expectations that interest rates in Britain will remain high compared to their counterparts elsewhere, providing international investors with superior returns. The flow of funds from areas with low interest rates to areas with high interest rates is strong and is the main driver of the value of foreign currencies in times of low volatility. However, accepting the pay recommendations across the board would require Reeves to find around £8bn. This will have to come from existing spending plans, which means cuts elsewhere or through higher taxes that could ultimately limit the economy's potential.

On electronic trading platforms... the exchange rate of the pound against the euro (1.1870) declined from its recent highest levels, as expectations of an interest rate cut on August 1 rose again in the coming days. Financial markets show that the odds of such a move are between 50 and 50. The pound/dollar exchange rate (1.2900) has also retreated from recent highs amid rebounding interest rate cut expectations, however, global investor sentiment and US policy are also an important driver for the pair.

Sterling Dollar forecast today:
According to the performance on the daily chart below, the price of the British pound against the US dollar GBP/USD is moving within the formation of a descending channel that will strengthen if it moves towards the support levels of 1.2820 and 1.2730, respectively. On the other hand, as I mentioned before, the psychological resistance of 1.3000 will remain the most important for the strength of the bulls’ control over the trend. The currency pair will be affected today by the announcement of the Purchasing Managers’ Index readings for the British and American manufacturing and services sectors, in addition to investor sentiment regarding appetite for risk or not, and then the future of central banks’ policies.

GBP/USD

Pichlay paanch trading sessions se, pound sterling ki price US dollar ke muqable mein GBP/USD par selling pressure ke sath gir rahi hai, aur losses support level 1.2882 tak barh gayi hain, jo ke do hafton mein sabse kam hai, aur 1.3000 ke psychological resistance level ko chhor diya hai, jo ke ek upward shift ko support karta hai. Is performance ke doran, British pound yeh pa sakta hai ke Bank of England interest rates ko zyadah dair tak barhawa dega, kyun ke hukoomat inflation ko rokne ke liye wage increases ka aik daur approve kar rahi hai.

Bank of England 1 August ko interest rates kam kar sakta hai, lekin yeh clear hota ja raha hai ke usay agle mahino mein ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga, kyun ke naye hukoomat ne public sector workers ke liye pay rises commit kiye hain inflation ko rokne ke liye. Is hawale se, Rachel Reeves tayyar ho rahi hain ke millions of public sector workers ko inflation se zyada wage increase de aur Conservatives ko blame karne ki koshish kar rahi hain kisi bhi tax increases ke liye jo isay fund karne ke liye zaroori hongi.

Yeh baat aati hai independent pay review bodies ke baad, jo aadha million teachers aur 1.3 million NHS staff ke liye 5.5% rise recommend kar rahi hain, jo ke budgeted 3% se zyada hai. Jaisa ke maaloom hai, Bank of England wage settlements ko closely monitor karta hai kyun ke yeh economy mein demand ko barhawa de sakte hain aur higher levels of inflation contribute kar sakte hain. Agar Bank ko lagta hai ke wages strong rahengi, to yeh interest rates kam karne mein ehtiyaat barte ga.

Is mutabiq, Ashley Webb, Capital Economics ke aik British economist, kehte hain ke NHS staff aur teachers ke liye 5.5% wage increase ko restrict karna monetary policy ke liye ziyada ahmiyat nahi rakhta. "Lekin agar British government yeh pay rise sab public sector workers tak barhata hai, to yeh wage growth aur domestic inflation ko thora zyada support karega jaisa hum expect karte hain," unhone kaha. Yeh shayad matlab hai ke interest rates ko dheere aur/ya kam kam karna humare umeed se kam hoga.

The Times report karta hai ke baaqi ke six million public sector workers, jinmein doctors, police, armed forces aur civil servants shamil hain, ko bhi pay bonuses mil rahe hain. Lekin yeh kitna ahmiyat rakhta hai?

Bank of England ke May ke forecasts suggest karte hain ke overall average economic income growth 2024 mein 5.25% se gir kar 2025 mein 2.25% ho jaye gi. Agar public sector workers total employment ka sirf 18% hain, wage increases of 5.5% lagbhag elusive lagti hain. 2025 forecasts ke sath, private sector mein koi ziyada downward correction nahi dikhayi deta.

Forex currency market trades ke mutabiq... British pound 2024 ke liye sabse behtareen performing major currency hai, kyun ke yeh umeed barh rahi hai ke Britain mein interest rates unki muqable jagahon se zyada rahengi, jo international investors ko superior returns faraham karte hain. Low interest rates waali jagahon se high interest rates waali jagahon tak funds ka flow strong hai aur yeh foreign currencies ke value ka main driver hai low volatility ke doran. Lekin, across the board pay recommendations ko accept karne ke liye Reeves ko lagbhag £8bn dhundna hoga. Yeh existing spending plans se aana hoga, jo matlab hai ke kahin aur cuts ya higher taxes jo akhirkar economy ki potential ko limit kar sakti hain.

Electronic trading platforms pe... pound ka euro ke against exchange rate (1.1870) recent highest levels se decline kar gaya hai, kyun ke interest rate cut ki umeed agle kuch dinon mein barh gayi hain. Financial markets dikhati hain ke aise move ke chances 50 aur 50 ke darmiyan hain. Pound/dollar exchange rate (1.2900) bhi recent highs se retreat kar gaya hai rebounding interest rate cut expectations ke bawajood, lekin global investor sentiment aur US policy bhi pair ke liye aik ahm driver hain.

Sterling Dollar Forecast Aaj:

Daily chart ke hawale se, British pound ki price US dollar ke muqable mein GBP/USD descending channel ki formation mein move kar rahi hai jo mazid strong ho jayegi agar yeh 1.2820 aur 1.2730 ke support levels ki taraf move karti hai. Dosri taraf, jaisa ke maine pehle mention kiya, 1.3000 ka psychological resistance bulls ke control ke liye sab se ahm rahega trend par. Currency pair ko aaj Purchasing Managers’ Index readings ke announcement se affect kiya jayega British aur American manufacturing aur services sectors ke liye, iske ilawa investor sentiment jo risk appetite ya nahi ko show kare, aur phir central banks ki policies ka mustaqbil.

GBP/ USD H- 4:
Aap ka din acha guzray. Correction ke liye GBP/USD ko kam az kam 1.2860 tak pohanchna chahiye tha, shayad woh isko thora sa miss kar gaye hain, maine pehle likha tha ke woh isko lagbhag 20 points se miss kar sakte hain, aur yahi ab humein nazar aa raha hai. Lekin phir bhi mujhe lagta hai ke woh thora aage jaane ki koshish karenge 1.2860 tak, mujhe nahi lagta ke woh 1.2860 ka support tod paayenge, jaisa ke maine anticipate kiya tha, aur mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke reversal hoga. Maine likha tha jab 1.2970 ke weak support ko tod denge, toh yeh pair 1.2860 tak pohanch jayega, aur woh iske kareeb hi pohanch gaye hain, agar kuch points ka farq na ginain.

Ab humein yeh nazar aa raha hai ke is pair ke liye south yani neeche jaari rakhna intehai mushkil hai, jaise ke 1.300 ke maximum ke baad puri correction mein mushkil ho raha hai. Yeh pair ek theek downward impulse develop nahi kar paa raha aur chhote chhote impulses mein ja raha hai, yeh ek weakening correction trend ko indicate karta hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke 1.2860 se reversal hoga, jaisa ke correction ke shuru mein hi anticipate kiya tha. Aaj, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair 1.2970 ke resistance tak grow karega, lekin shayad woh isko tod nahi paayenge, resistance price se bohat door hai aur pair itna distance ek din mein overcome nahi kar sakta, isliye growth kal continue hogi, aur agar kal growth continue hoti hai, toh 1.2970 ka breakout kaafi chances hain aur is haftay ke end tak 1.3065 ka target achieve ho sakta hai. Agar pair 1.2860 ka support tod de, aur uske neeche consolidate ho jaye, toh decline 1.2730 tak continue hoga, lekin mujhe is tarah ke events hone ka bohat kam chance lagta hai, isliye main expect nahi kar raha, shayad galat hoon, lekin main growth ko expect karta hoon 1.2970 ke breakout ke saath kal.

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Jab GBP/USD jodi ko taqreeban 1.2523 ke darja tak pohanchte hue dekha gaya, iska arth hai ke British pound ka qeemat ek dollar ke muqable mein taqreeban 1.2523 ho gaya. Yeh tajziya currency market ke mukhtalif factors par mabni hota hai, jaise ke economic indicators, monetary policy, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Is darja tak pohanchne ka asal sabab darasl yeh hai ke forex market mein traders aur investors ki raay mein tabdiliyaan aa gayi hain, jo ke mukhtalif maamlaat ki wajah se ho sakti hain. Pehli nazar mein, yeh level GBP/USD jodi ke liye ek mukhtasir samay ka trend darust karta hai. Yeh bataata hai ke mojooda market mein dollar ki qeemat ke barhne ki wajah se, ya phir British pound ki qeemat mein izafa hua hai. Yeh maamlaat wazeh karte hain ke forex market mein volatility hai aur traders is volatility ko faida utha sakte hain ya nuqsan utha sakte hain, aeham hai ke traders is volatility ko samajh kar faida utha saken. Dusra asar ho sakta hai economic data par, jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, ya phir inflation data. Agar United Kingdom ke economic indicators behtar hotay hain America ke muqable mein, toh British pound ki qeemat mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD jodi ko barhne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Isi tarah, America ke economic indicators bhi asar daal sakte hain, agar wo behtar hotay hain, toh dollar ki qeemat barh sakti hai, aur GBP/USD jodi ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Geopolitical events bhi currency markets par asar daalte hain. Kisi bhi muddat mein, agar Brexit jaise mudda hai ya phir kisi aur wajah se United Kingdom ya America ke darmiyaan tanaav ho, toh yeh currency markets ko mutasir kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD jodi ke qeemat mein tabdiliyaan laa sakta hai. Aakhri tor par, market sentiment bhi currency prices par asar daalta hai. Agar traders mein ek tarah ka consensus hai ke British pound ki qeemat barhne ki taraf hai, toh yeh sentiment GBP/USD jodi ko upar le ja sakta hai. In tamam factors ka ek saath mil kar, GBP/USD jodi ke darja tak pohanchte hue dekha gaya. Traders ko hamesha dhyaan mein rakhna chahiye ke forex market mein aik mukhtalif maamla ho sakta hai, aur unhein apni strategies ko is maamlay ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

25 July 2024 ke latest update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ke support aur resistance levels traders ke liye dekhna bohot zaroori hai. Support levels hain S1: 1.26123, S2: 1.26123, aur S3: 1.22989. Yeh levels wo areas indicate karte hain jahan price floor dhoondh sakti hai aur wapas upar ja sakti hai, buying opportunities provide karte hue. Doosri taraf, resistance levels hain R1: 1.30437, R2: 1.30437, aur R3: 1.30437, jo indicate karte hain jahan price selling pressure face kar sakti hai aur shayad wapas neeche aa sakti hai.

GBP aur US Dollar ke against, yeh batata hai ke ek British Pound kharidne ke liye kitne US Dollars chahiye. Traders live charts use karte hain GBP/USD rate ko monitor karne ke liye aur latest news aur analysis se updated rehte hain. Effective trade planning ke liye GBP/USD forecasts, key pivot points, aur support aur resistance levels ko use karna hota hai.

Support aur resistance levels ke ilawa, pivot points bhi traders ke liye bohot zaroori hain taake potential market turning points identify kar sakein. GBP/USD ke pivot points hain S1: 1.28895, S2: 1.28863, aur S3: 1.2881, aur pivot point (P) hai 1.28916. Resistance pivot points hain R1: 1.28948, R2: 1.28969, aur R3: 1.29022. Yeh pivot points traders ko overall market sentiment aur potential price movements samajhne mein madad karte hain.

In key levels ko samajhna aur use karna trading strategies ko bohot enhance kar sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar price support level 1.26123 ke qareeb aati hai, toh traders yeh samajh sakte hain ke yeh ek mauqa hai long positions enter karne ka, expecting a rebound. Isi tarah, agar price resistance level 1.30437 ke paas hoti hai, toh traders short positions enter karne ka soch sakte hain, anticipating a pullback. Pivot points ke ird gird 1.28916 ko monitor karna bhi market ki direction aur potential entry aur exit points ke bare mein insights provide kar sakta hai.

Nateejatan, GBP/USD rates, support aur resistance levels, aur pivot points ko track karna effective forex trading ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Yeh tools traders ko informed decisions lene aur apni trading strategies optimize karne mein madad karte hain.