gbp/usd

GBP/USD exchange rate ko samajhne ke liye zaroori hai ke hum un mukhtalif factors ko samjhein jo iske movement ko influence kar sakte hain. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.2695 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend dikhai de raha hai. Halan ke market dheere dheere move kar raha hai, kuch indicators yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke aane wale dinon mein significant fluctuations dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

## Economic Indicators

### UK Economic Data
UK ke economic data ka GBP ki strength ko determine karne mein ahm kirdar hai. Haal hi ke reports mixed signals de rahi hain. Aik taraf, UK economy growth experience kar rahi hai, magar anticipated se slower hai. Inflation ab bhi ek concern hai, jo Bank of England (BoE) closely monitor kar rahi hai. BoE ke upcoming decisions on interest rates GBP ko significant impact kar sakte hain. Agar BoE inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates raise karne ka faisla karti hai, to yeh GBP ko strengthen kar sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko affect karega.

### US Economic Data
Isi tarah, US ke economic indicators bhi crucial hain. Federal Reserve ka monetary policy par stance, khaaskar interest rate decisions, USD par direct impact dalta hai. Recent data resilient US economy aur strong labor market aur steady inflation rates dikhata hai. Magar, Federal Reserve ke policies mein koi bhi changes, khaaskar new economic data ya geopolitical events ke response mein, GBP/USD pair mein substantial movements cause kar sakte hain.

## Geopolitical Factors

### Brexit aur UK Politics
Brexit ab bhi GBP ko affect karne wala ek factor hai. Trade agreements aur regulatory changes ke hawalay se koi nayi developments ya lingering uncertainties GBP/USD pair mein volatility cause kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, UK ki domestic politics, including unexpected political instability ya policy changes, bhi significant market movements ko lead kar sakti hain.

### US Politics aur Global Trade
Atlantic ke doosri taraf, US political decisions aur global trade policies USD ko influence kar sakti hain. Ongoing trade negotiations, tariffs, aur international relations, khaaskar China aur European Union ke sath, market sentiment ko impact kar sakti hain aur GBP/USD exchange rate mein fluctuations drive kar sakti hain.

## Market Sentiment aur Speculation

Market sentiment aur speculation bhi currency movements mein crucial role play karte hain. Traders aur investors closely watch karte hain ke future trends indicate karne wale signals kya hain. Technical analysis, including support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur doosre indicators, potential market movements ko samajhne mein insights provide karte hain. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.2695 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend dikhai de raha hai, traders further declines anticipate kar rahe hain. Magar, agar pair key support levels ko break karta hai ya reversal signs dikhata hai, to significant trading activity trigger ho sakti hai aur sharp movements cause kar sakti hain.

## Technical Analysis

### Support aur Resistance Levels
1.2695 ka current level significant hai. Agar GBP/USD pair is level se neeche jata hai, to yeh 1.2600 mark ke aas paas support find kar sakta hai. Upside par, resistance levels jo watch karne hain wo 1.2750 aur 1.2800 ke aas paas hain. In resistance levels ko break karna bullish trend reversal ko signal kar sakta hai.

### Moving Averages aur Indicators
Technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi insights provide karte hain. Ek RSI jo oversold levels ke kareeb hai potential reversal ko indicate kar sakta hai, jab ke bearish MACD continued downward momentum ko suggest kar sakta hai.

## Conclusion

Filhal GBP/USD ka trend bearish hai, magar kuch factors aane wale dinon mein significant movements ke potential ko indicate karte hain. UK aur US ke economic data, geopolitical developments, market sentiment, aur technical indicators sab crucial roles play karte hain GBP/USD pair ki future direction ko shape karne mein. Traders aur investors ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye aur potential volatility ke liye prepared rehna chahiye. In elements ka interplay determine karega ke GBP/USD apna bearish trend continue karta hai ya substantial reversal dekhta hai, jo ke aane wale dinon ko is currency pair ke liye critical banata hai.

GBP/USD currency pair, jo ke British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko represent karta hai, filhal 1.2699 par trade kar raha hai. Abhi ke liye trend bearish hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pound apni value dollar ke muqable mein kho raha hai. Market ke slow movement ke bawajood, ane wale dinon mein significant shifts hone ke strong possibilities hain. Is analysis mein current market conditions, factors jo GBP/USD exchange rate ko influence kar rahe hain, aur future movements ke potential ko explore karenge.

### Current Market Conditions

#### Bearish Trend

GBP/USD pair ka bearish trend yeh suggest karta hai ke investors filhal US dollar ko British pound par favor kar rahe hain. Is trend ke peechay kai factors ho sakte hain, including economic indicators, political stability, aur market sentiment.

#### Economic Indicators

UK aur US ke economic data ka GBP/USD exchange rate ko influence karne mein crucial role hai. Key indicators jaise ke GDP growth, inflation rates, employment figures, aur interest rates ko investors closely monitor karte hain. Recent data dikhata hai ke US economy strong employment numbers aur robust consumer spending ke sath resilience show kar rahi hai, jo US dollar ki strength ko support karta hai.

### Factors Influencing GBP/USD

#### Monetary Policy

Central banks, yani Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed), apni monetary policy decisions ke zariye currency movements par significant impact dalte hain. Fed ki policies, including interest rate hikes ya cuts aur quantitative easing measures, directly USD ki strength ko affect karti hain. Isi tarah, BoE ki actions GBP ko influence karti hain.

Haal hi mein, Fed ne hawkish stance adopt kiya hai aur inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates raise kiye hain. Is se dollar ki strength increase hui hai. Dusri taraf, BoE cautious approach adopt kar raha hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke bearish trend ko contribute karta hai.

#### Political Stability

Political events aur stability bhi currency values ko determine karne mein critical hain. UK ne kai political challenges face kiye hain, including Brexit-related uncertainties aur domestic political turmoil. Yeh issues investor confidence ko weaken kar sakte hain GBP mein, jo iski depreciation ko USD ke muqable mein contribute karte hain.

#### Market Sentiment

Market sentiment, jo global economic conditions aur geopolitical events se driven hota hai, currency movements mein crucial role play karta hai. Filhal, global uncertainties jaise ke trade tensions, geopolitical conflicts, aur COVID-19 pandemic ka ongoing impact market sentiment ko affect kar raha hai. Aise environment mein, investors aksar safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ko prefer karte hain, jo riskier currencies jaise ke GBP par pressure dalta hai.

### Potential for Future Movements

Halan ke current trend bearish hai, kuch factors yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD pair aane wale dinon mein significant movements experience kar sakta hai.

#### Economic Data Releases

Upcoming economic data releases from UK aur US investors ke liye closely watch kiya jayega. UK se positive data, jaise ke higher-than-expected GDP growth ya employment figures, GBP ko boost kar sakti hain. Isi tarah, US mein economic weakness ke koi bhi signs USD ko depreciate kar sakte hain, jo GBP/USD pair ke bearish trend ko reverse kar sakte hain.

#### Central Bank Actions

Future actions by BoE aur Fed critical hongi. Agar BoE hawkish stance adopt karta hai, shayad rising inflationary pressures ki wajah se, to yeh GBP ko strengthen kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Fed interest rate hikes mein slowdown signal karta hai, to yeh USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko upward momentum de sakta hai.

#### Geopolitical Developments

Ongoing geopolitical tensions ka koi resolution ya Brexit-related issues par clear path forward market confidence ko enhance kar sakta hai GBP mein. Dusri taraf, koi escalation in global conflicts ya UK mein adverse political developments pound par further pressure dal sakti hain.

### Conclusion

Current GBP/USD exchange rate of 1.2699 aur iska bearish trend economic, political, aur market sentiment factors ke complex interplay ko reflect karta hai. Halan ke market ab dheere dheere move kar raha hai, kai indicators near future mein significant movements ke potential ko point kar rahe hain. Investors ko upcoming economic data releases, central bank actions, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh GBP/USD pair ki future direction ko shape karne mein crucial role play karenge. Jaise hamesha, well-informed aur flexible investment strategy maintain karna key hoga currency markets mein expected volatility ko navigate karne ke liye.

Kal, GBP/USD ne do hafton se chalne wale horizontal channel mein gains dikhaye. Is channel ki lower boundary 1.2633 level ke neeche hai, jo 5-minute timeframe par clearly visible hai. Price ne is area se paanchvi dafa bounce kiya, lekin ab tak upper boundary ko break nahi kar payi. Pound bina kisi fundamental ya macroeconomic background ki madad ke bara. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne market ko koi nayi information nahi di, aur US mein JOLTs report unexpectedly bara, jo pair ke decline ko trigger karna chahiye tha. Lekin market ne, hamesha ki tarah, report ke positive aspect ko nahi dekha balke negative par focus kiya – previous month's JOLTs report ko revise downward kiya gaya. Phir bhi, yeh data irrelevant hai kyunki GBP/USD pair flat dynamics show kar rahi hai. 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal form hua. European trading session ke doran, price 1.2605-1.2633 area se bounce hui aur nearest target area 1.2684-1.2693 tak bara. Pair ne actually acchi volatility dikhayi. Sabse important baat yeh hai ke kam az kam ek trading signal form hua, isliye price target tak pahunch gayi. 1.2684-1.2693 area se bounce bhi execute kiya ja sakta tha. Pair ke paas channel ki lower boundary ki taraf wapas move karne ka accha chance hai.

Trading tips for Wednesday:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD downtrend form karne ke promising signs show kar raha hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend form nahi kar sakta. Pair ne recent weeks mein bohot sideways actions dekhi hain. Traders clearly ek aur flat market se deal kar rahe hain aur uske sab implications ke sath. British pound overbought aur unjustifiably expensive lag raha hai, lekin market is baat ko ignore kar raha hai.

Aaj, British pound ghalat aur illogical movements exhibit kar sakta hai. Din sideways aur sluggish movement se marked ho sakta hai. Hafte ke pehle do din ne hamein dikhaya ke important events aur reports ke bawajood, market ab tak flat se exit karne ke liye ready nahi hai. Hum advise karte hain ke aap horizontal channel ki boundaries se bounces par trade karein.

Key levels on the 5M chart hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. Wednesday ko, UK June ke Services PMI ka second estimate post karega, jabke US important ISM aur ADP reports release karega, saath hi secondary data on unemployment claims aur Federal Reserve meeting ke minutes bhi release honge. Lekin itni abundance of news ke bawajood, volatility aur flat market par koi asar nahi ho sakta.

Asian trading session ke initial hours mein, GBP/USD currency pair ne halka sa retreat experience kiya, jo 0.19% tak bara. Is modest uptick ke bawajood, pair crucial 1.2700 mark se neeche struggle kar rahi hai. Yeh lagatar nauve trading din ka signal hai jismein yeh significant level ko cross nahi kar paayi hai. Yeh persistent trend yeh highlight karta hai ke GBP/USD ko key resistance levels break karne mein muskilat ho rahi hain jo uske upward momentum ke liye crucial hain.

### US Federal Reserve ka Asar

US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka asar current scenario mein pivotal role ada kar raha hai. Fed ne ek cautious approach signal kiya hai, indicating a single 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut towards the end of 2024. Inflation kam hone ke bawajood, is stance ne US dollar ko various currency pairs mein bolster kiya hai. Fed ki revised projections ne GBP/USD ke liye ek challenging environment create kiya hai, even though recent US economic data expectations se kam the. Fed ki rate cut ki potential indication, jo seemingly dovish hai, ne paradoxically US dollar ko strengthen kiya hai kyunki market participants ne US economy ki relative strength ko factor in kiya hai compared to its peers.

### Japanese Yen ki Weakness ka Asar

Fed ka hawkish position Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke inaction se aur complicated ho gaya hai. BoJ ke ultra-loose monetary policy ko maintain karne ka decision ne Japanese Yen (JPY) par fresh selling pressure create kiya hai. Is scenario ne USD ko support kiya aur GBP/USD pair par additional downward pressure dala. JPY ki weakness ne USD ki broader strength ko contribute kiya hai, jo GBP ke liye traction gain karne mein zyada challenging bana diya hai. Lekin, US mein inflation easing ki signs Fed rate cut ki possibility ko September mein alive rakhti hain, jo potentially GBP/USD ko boost kar sakti hai. Fed ki policy stance aur BoJ ka inaction ek complex backdrop create karte hain currency markets ke liye.

### H1 Chart Momentum aur Technical Indicators

Abhi, GBP/USD pair consolidation state mein hai. Buyers crucial 1.2700 level ko push karne mein nakam rahe hain, jo unhein year-to-date (YTD) high 1.2894 ko challenge karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Agar yeh level break ho gaya to yeh bearish breakdown signal kar sakta hai, jo deeper losses ke darwaze khol sakta hai. Conversely, 1.2700 level reclaim karna pair ko 1.2750 ke around consolidate kar sakta hai, lekin significant resistance aage hai. H1 chart ke technical indicators ek mixed outlook suggest karte hain. Momentum shift ho gaya hai, sellers gaining traction ke sath. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish territory mein hai lekin 50-midline ki taraf drop ho raha hai. Agar RSI is midline ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh further declines signal kar sakta hai GBP/USD pair ke liye. Current consolidation phase market indecision ko reflect karta hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono control ke liye vying kar rahe hain.

### Summary

GBP/USD pair ek complex landscape navigate kar rahi hai jo US Federal Reserve ki cautious yet dollar-supportive stance aur Bank of Japan ki accommodative policies se influenced hai. Technical indicators further declines aur consolidation ke potential suggest karte hain. Traders closely watch karenge key levels jaise 1.2700 aur RSI midline ko clues ke liye pair ki next direction ke baare mein. In factors ka interplay critical hoga future trajectory determine karne mein GBP/USD pair ke liye.

GBP/USD Pair Review
British pound apne recent highs se retreat kar raha hai, UK retail sales data ki wajah se jo June mein sharp decline show karte hain. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, pound ka exchange rate euro ke against 1.19 se neeche gir gaya hai aur GBP/USD ka pair 1.29 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai jabke Office of National Statistics ne bataya ke British sales June mein mahana basis pe 1.2% gir gayi hain, May mein 2.9% grow hone ke baad.

Yeh consensus forecast -0.4% se bhi kam hai. Saal-dar-saal growth -0.2% thi, 1.3% se neeche aur estimates ke 0.2% growth se bhi kam. Economic calendar ke mutabiq... Office for National Statistics ne kaha ke retailers ne election uncertainty, kharab weather aur low footfall ko sales pe asar andaaz kaha hai. Iss silsile mein, Phil Monkhouse, country director for Ebury in Britain, ne kaha: “Yeh saaf hai ke ab tak ka wet summer shoppers ko deter kar raha hai.”

HSBC Bank ke Americas ke head of research, Darrag Maher, ne kaha: “Retail sales data ke baad pound sterling weak ho raha hai.” “Weak sales data labor market data ke baad aayi hai, jo wage growth mein slowdown show kar rahi thi. Yeh data milke Bank of England ke August meeting ke likely outcome ko weakly balanced kar rahi hain.”

July mein retail activity mein improvement dekhne ko mil sakti hai jab weather stabilize ho jaye Britain mein, election ke baad, aur consumer confidence improve ho. GfK se Friday ko release hui data se pehle hi dikhayi diya ke British consumer confidence is mahine barh gaya hai. GfK Composite Index of Consumer Confidence -14 se barh ke July mein -13 ho gaya. GfK ne headline purchasing index (Consumer Confidence Survey ka sub-component) mein seven-point rise report kiya, keh rahe the ke yeh “retailers ke liye potentially good news hai jo improved footfall mein translate ho sakti hai aane wale mahino mein.”

British pound ke liye expectations ab Bank of England ke interest rate decision par depend karengi jo 1 August ko aayega. Iss hafte ki data se confirm ho gaya ke agle mahine koi reduction nahi hogi, services inflation June mein 5.7% year-on-year barh gaya. Itni strong reading suggest karti hai ke broader inflation dobara barh sakta hai aane wale mahino mein, khaaskar jabke home energy bills fall mein phir se barhne wale hain.

Agar Bank of England interest rates raise karna chhod de aur caution urge karta rahe, to sterling ka price supported reh sakta hai kyunki yeh G10 mein se ek of the highest interest rates ka faida utha raha hoga. Last Thursday ke wage data mixed thi, kuch economists kehte hain ke ongoing labor market mein enough slowdown hai jo bank ko interest rates cut karne dega. Bank kehta hai ke strong wage growth inflation ko high rakhegi, lekin agar yeh soche ke wages gir rahi hain, to yeh soch sakta hai ke interest rates cut karke inflation ko spark nahi karega. Yeh bhi aware hoga ke interest rates ko zyada dair tak high rakhna economy ko nuksan pohancha sakta hai.

1 August ka decision brink pe hai, bohot se policymakers indicate kar rahe hain ke June meeting pe voting karne ke qareeb the rate hike ke liye. Ek interest rate cut pound ke appreciation ko meaningful undermined nahi

Last week, GBP/USD currency pair thoda barh gaya, 1.3043 ka peak pohanchne se pehle retreat hua. Iss week, initial bias neutral hai, jo indicate karta hai ke pair ek consolidation period se guzrega. Iss consolidation phase ke dauran, downside 1.2859 level se limited rehni chahiye, jo resistance se support mein transition ho chuka hai. Yeh support level hold karega aur doosra upward rally prompt karega. Agar GBP/USD 1.3043 level se upar break karta hai, yeh signal karega ke jo rise 1.2298 se start hui thi wo continue ho rahi hai. Yeh breakout move 1.2298 se 1.2859 ka 100% projection target karega, projected from 1.2612, at 1.3173. Yeh target key medium-term resistance level 1.3141 se thoda upar hai. Yeh projection achieve hone se ek robust bullish trend suggest hota hai, kyunki 1.3141 resistance ko surpass karna further gains ka raasta khol sakta hai.
Lekin, agar GBP/USD 1.2859 support level ko firmly break karta hai, bias downside shift ho jayega. Aisa move deeper decline indicate karega, kyunki yeh support break hona bullish outlook ko undermine karega aur selling pressure increase hone ko suggest karega. Yeh scenario GBP/USD ke near-term direction ka reassessment lead karega, with potential targets set lower based on prevailing market dynamics.

GBP/USD pair ki movement various factors se influenced hoti hai, including economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments. Last week ka rise to 1.3043 positive economic data ya market sentiment ke shift ki wajah se ho sakta hai jo British pound ko favor karta hai. Conversely, subsequent retreat profit-taking ya UK ya global economy ke concerns reflect kar sakti hai.

Consolidation phases ke dauran, traders aksar key levels of support aur resistance dekhte hain potential breakout ya breakdown points gauge karne ke liye. 1.2859 level, jo ab support act kar raha hai, iss context mein crucial hai. Iska hold karna consolidation ke dauran pair ke next move ka key indicator hoga. A firm hold above yeh level bullish case support karega, jabke ek break below bearish shift suggest karega.

Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI, aur MACD bhi GBP/USD pair ki potential direction ke insights provide kar sakte hain. Traders aksar in tools ko overbought ya oversold conditions, divergence patterns, aur momentum shifts identify karne ke liye use karte hain. Current scenario mein, dekhna ke yeh indicators price action ke sath 1.2859 aur 1.3043 levels ke ird gird kaise align karte hain important hoga.

GBP/USD currently neutral phase mein hai with bias towards consolidation. Key levels to watch hain 1.2859 downside par aur 1.3043 upside par. Ek break above 1.3043 bullish trend resume karega, targeting 1.3173, jabke ek firm break below 1.2859 downside bias indicate karega, indicating deeper decline. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni analysis mein dono technical aur fundamental factors consider karne chahiye.

Trading Advice and Market Analysis

Aaj ke trading landscape mein, GBP/USD currency pair par strategic advice ka focus current level par buying opportunities ko capitalize karne par hai. Traders ko apne stop-loss levels ko price channels ke thoda neeche set karna chahiye taake risk mitigate ho sake. Doosri taraf, selling opportunities tab samne aayengi jab price in channels ko successfully break kar le. Ek additional selling strategy yeh hai ke retest pattern form hone ka intezar karein, jo break ke baad channel lines ke sath align hone wali price peak se characterized hota hai, taake 1.2757 level ki taraf sell karne ke liye entry mile.

Economic Factors Influencing the Market

US dollar ke recent decline ka sabab kuch key economic indicators hain. Ek weekly survey ne dikhaya ke US unemployment benefits ke liye file karne walon ki tadaad mein izafa hua hai. Yeh data labor market mein potential weaknesses ko point karta hai. Magar dollar ke decline ka primary driver ek ISM survey tha jo services sector ki activity mein sharper-than-expected slowdown reveal karta hai. American economy ke largest sector mein yeh unexpected contraction ne significant market reactions ko lead kiya.

June ke ISM Services PMI ka drop 48.8% tak ho gaya, jo May ke 53.8% se neeche tha. Yeh contraction market expectations se considerably neeche tha, jinhone 52.5% ka reading predict kiya tha. PMI 50% se neeche hone ka matlab hai ke sector shrink ho raha hai, jo overall economic health aur growth prospects ke baare mein concerns raise karta hai. Is data ne speculation ko prompt kiya ke Federal Reserve near future mein interest rates ko lower karne par consider kar sakta hai, ho sakta hai September tak.

Market Reactions

Economic data ke response mein, US bond yields gir gaye, dollar weak ho gaya, aur stock prices barh gayin. GBP/USD pair ne significant jump experience kiya, resistance level 1.2780 tak pohanch gaya, jo do hafton se zyada mein apna highest tha, pehle stabilize hokar Thursday ke trading session ke start par 1.2740 ke around aaya. Yeh movement American holiday aur upcoming British parliamentary elections ke anticipation se bhi influenced thi, jo market mein uncertainty aur volatility ko add karte hain.

GBP/USD H1 Analysis

As traders, hum market ko bariki se dekh rahe hain taake aise favorable entry points dhundh sakein jo humari trading strategies ke mutabiq hon. Bolang relaxed rehte hue posts karte hain, jo unko weekly bonuses dilata hai jo consistent aur value mein barhte hain. Lekin, woh is hafte achi profit kamane ki umeed kar rahe hain taake withdrawal (WD) kar sakein, kyunke pichla hafta mushkil tha due to floating losses in market trading. Natija yeh hai ke hum ek pattern ka intezar kar rahe hain jo trend ko confirm kare.

Hum, ek chhote trader, ne 1.2645 par buy entry ki thi aur kuch pehle ke buyers ne is level par touch hone par apne stop losses 1.2715 par set kiye hain. Kuch brokers bahut zyada sure the aur apne stop losses is level se bhi neeche set kiye.

Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke 80% market market makers se bana hota hai. Market makers aise scenarios mein chhote traders ke against kaam karte hain taake liquidity le sakein by hitting their stop losses. Hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne yeh kiya, jo trend ko sideways se downtrend mein badal diya. Asal mein, Ukraine mein ongoing conflict aur Fed rate hike ki possible umeed GBP/USD pair aur doosre pairs ko vulnerable rakhti hai. Yeh GBP/USD pairs ke development ko bhi discourage karta hai.

Additionally, GBP/USD market pairs significant volatility experience kar sakte hain due to impactful scheduled news ya fundamental events. Bolang ne economic calendar ke mutabiq tay kiya hai ke aaj kuch news releases ya low-impact fundamentals, specifically JOLTS Opening, hain. Agar results favorable hote hain, toh US dollar ke strengthen hone se GBP/USD pair weak ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair's Price Action:

GBP/USD currency pair ki price action mein thoda change aaya hai, jahan humne pehle descent ya pullback try kiya tha. 1.2939 ke neeche girne ke bawajood, hum wahan stabilize nahi kar paaye aur ab zyada growth dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Targets 1.299 ke aas-paas intact hain, aur yeh minor retreat upward trajectory ko disrupt nahi karti.

Yeh zaroori hai ke dollar ko positive retail sales figures ki wajah se support mil raha hai. Lekin, din ki closure important hai, kyunki kal Britain se inflation data aane ke chances hain. Main maintain karta hoon ke hum 1.299 ko exceed kar sakte hain; main sirf tab consider karunga selling ko agar koi false breakout hota hai.

1.2928 level ko side channel mein break karna zaroori hai taake price growth sustain rahe. Isse currency channel ko upper limits, jaise 1.308 ya usse upar open kar sakte hain. Buyer ki strength ki confirmation consolidation ke saath broken range ke upar hone ki sambhavnayein hain. Additionally, 1.296 level se reversal minimum 1.290 tak ho sakta hai liquidity gather karne ke liye ya market ko completely turn karne ke liye. Agar price 1.294 support ke neeche girti hai, toh main sell position consider karunga.

GBP/USD chart market manipulation scenario dikha sakta hai, jo potential downturn suggest karta hai. Lekin, abhi sales enter karna thoda early hai, kyunki trading instrument ki price tez se rise ho sakti hai; trend bullish hai aur bullish trajectory continue honay ki ummeed hai. Agar hum 1.2902 ke accumulation area tak descend karte hain aur phir maximum ke upar surge karte hain, toh yeh action GBP/USD ki liquidity ko top par clear kar sakta hai. Maximum update ke baad, hum 1.2763 level tak move kar sakte hain with significant money volumes. Post-maximum update aur volumes ko monitor karna critical hoga informed trading decisions lene ke liye.

GBP/USD pair ka previous weekly high 1.3086 ho sakta hai. Current momentum aur supporting technical indicators ko dekhte hue, price ka is previous high ko test karne ka high probability hai. Price action aur Stochastic indicator ke alignment ke saath SMA crossover bullish movement ko further support karta hai. Conclusion ke tor par, GBP/USD pair daily chart par strong bullish signals dikhata hai. 1.2893 ke upar breakout, jo Stochastic indicator aur SMA crossover se supported hai, bullish trend ke continue hone ka indication hai. Agar current trend continue karta hai, toh next target 1.3086 ho sakta hai. Traders ko aane wale dino mein is trend ki further confirmation ke liye watch karna chahiye.

Pound musalsal barhta ja raha hai. Ek taraf, yeh sellers ke liye bohot favorable conditions provide karta hai, lekin doosri taraf, iske impulsive growth se yeh bhi suggest hota hai ke sellers shayad galat ho sakte hain is situation mein. Halanki hum yeh nahi keh sakte ke sales nahi ho sakti. Hum sirf market ke opportunities pe react kar sakte hain. Filhal, H4 timeframe par sell signal ke hawale se, pound bohot favorable setup offer kar raha hai.

Is situation ke liye yeh scenario hai: Sell signal ke potential ke sath meri idea unchanged hai, jo ke ab bhi chart par blue bar ke tor par dikhayi de rahi hai target 1.25855 ki taraf. Is signal ke andar hone wali har cheez ko correction mana jata hai. H4 par buy signal already play out ho chuka hai, aur aaj daily timeframe par ek aur buy signal milega jab current daily candle close hogi, jo bohot jald hone wala hai.

Agar specifically selling idea ki baat karein, jaise ke hum Fibonacci retracement levels se dekh sakte hain, hum already 1:6 risk-reward ratio tak pohanch chuke hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke current levels se selling karte hue target 1.25855 ke sath aur stop-loss 1.28588 par rakhte hue potential profit risk se 6 guna zyada ho sakta hai. Lekin kuch sahi nahi lag raha yahan. Hum impulsively move kar rahe hain, upside ki taraf koi correction nahi hai, aur meri main plan euro ke liye growth hai. Ab mujhe yeh nahi samajh araha ke decline, jo itna arsay se favorable selling levels ke liye intezar mein tha, kaise unfold hoga.

Daily timeframe par, train bas north ki taraf ja rahi hai. Aur sales bas is train ko dekhte hi fade ho jaye gi. Yeh ek locomotive hai jo 120 wagons ko kheench rahi hai aur 80 km/h ki speed se ja rahi hai. Daily timeframe ki structure ke base par (doosra chart), mujhe pair ki desire rising continue karne ki lagti hai aur shayad blue line ko break karne ki bhi (jo ke maine local resistance ke tor par mark ki hai). Pound bina pullback ke barh raha hai. Abhi sell karna risky hai. Agar hum sell karte hain, to hum bas waisi hi situation mein phans jayenge jaise sab log jo sell kar rahe the aur pullback ka intezar kar rahe the jo kabhi nahi aaya. Recommendation - abhi selling se parheiz karein.

Asian trading session ke early hours mein, pair ne thoda sa retreat dekha aur 0.19% tak barha. Is uptick ke bawajood, pair 1.2700 mark ke neeche struggle kar rahi hai, jo ke nauve consecutive trading din hai jismein yeh level ke upar daily close achieve nahi kar paayi. Yeh persistent trend GBP/USD ke liye key resistance levels break karne mein ongoing challenges ko highlight karta hai.

US Federal Reserve (Fed) ne cautious approach signal kiya hai, indicating ek 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut towards the end of 2024. Yeh stance, inflation ke kam hone ke bawajood, US dollar ko various currency pairs mein bolster karta hai. Fed ki revised projections ne GBP/USD ke liye challenging environment create kiya hai, even though recent US economic data expectations se kam raha.

### Japanese Yen ki Weakness ka Asar:

Fed ka hawkish position Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke inaction se aur compounded ho gaya hai, jo Japanese Yen (JPY) par fresh selling pressure create kar raha hai. Yeh scenario USD ko support karta hai aur GBP/USD pair par additional downward pressure dalta hai. Lekin, US mein inflation ke easing signs September mein Fed rate cut ki possibility ko alive rakhte hain, jo potentially GBP/USD ko boost kar sakta hai.

### H1 Chart Momentum aur Technical Indicators:

Abhi, pair consolidation state mein hai. Buyers crucial 1.2700 level ko push karne mein nakam rahe hain jo unhein year-to-date (YTD) high 1.2894 ko challenge karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai to yeh bearish breakdown signal kar sakta hai, jo deeper losses ke darwaze khol sakta hai. Conversely, 1.2700 level reclaim karna pair ko 1.2750 ke around consolidate kar sakta hai, lekin significant resistance aage hai.

جولائی 23 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، پاؤنڈ 20 پپس سے زیادہ درست ہوا۔ آج صبح، قیمت کم ہو گئی، مارلن آسیلیٹر دن کے چارٹ پر نیچے کی طرف مڑ گیا۔ قیمت ممکنہ طور پر 1.2847 پر ہدف کی حمایت کی طرف گر جائے گی۔ اگر قیمت اس نشان سے نیچے رہتی ہے، تو پاؤنڈ 1.2755 پر دوسرے ہدف تک گرتا رہے گا۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اس سطح کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے، اور ممکنہ طور پر قیمت اس سطح تک پہنچنے پر اس نشان کا سامنا کرے گی۔



نتیجے کے طور پر، 1.2755 سپورٹ سے ایک اصلاحی ریباؤنڈ ہو سکتا ہے۔ اگر قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک پہنچنے سے پہلے 1.2755 سے نیچے آ جاتی ہے، تو ریچھوں کے جیتنے کے ساتھ ایک قلیل مدتی جدوجہد ہو سکتی ہے، کیونکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر پہلے ہی منفی علاقے میں ہو گا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت اس حد کے اندر مستحکم ہو گئی ہے جس کی ہم نے کل توقع کی تھی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر پورے استحکام کے دوران تیزی کا شکار رہا ہے۔ اب یہ زیرو لائن سے منعکس ہونے کے فوراً بعد نیچے کی طرف مڑ سکتا ہے۔ قیمت مزید گر سکتی ہے اگر یہ جمعہ کی کم از کم 1.2900 سے نیچے ٹوٹ جائے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aaj, humare paas sirf kam asar wali aur darmiyan asar wali khabrein hain. Forex market aaj shaant rahega, agar koi taaza khabar na aaye to. Agar koi taaza khabar aayegi to market mein zyada movement hogi. Aaj forex market mein kafi kam volatality hogi. Apne liye surakshit rehne ke liye aaj tawajjo se trade karna mashwara hai. Trading karte waqt paisay ka behtar istemaal aur money management skills ka istemaal karein. Mazeed maloomat ke liye neeche di gayi tasveer dekhein.

GBPUSD TANQEED

Kal, GBPUSD pair uncha muqam par trade kiya aur din ko 1.2940 ke aas paas band kiya. Aaj, yeh neeche ki taraf ja chuka hai aur 1.2925 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Nez paaye jaane wale hourly chart mein nazar aata hai ke GBPUSD MA (200) H1 moving average line at 1.2945 par taqat jaa raha hai. Char ghante wale chart par bhi humein yehi situation nazar aati hai ke GBPUSD abhi MA (200) H4 moving average line ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Is hawaale se, upar diye gaye haqeeqat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko correction ke baad acha buy entry point dhoondhne ka mashwara diya gaya hai. Picture aur chart neeche is tanqeed par mazeed maloomat dete hain. Isey zarur dekhein.

Resistance levels hain 1.2950, 1.2985, aur 1.3010.

Support levels hain 1.2900, 1.2855, aur 1.2805.

Mutasira hone wala hai: humein ummeed hai ke GBPUSD ki keemat mazeed barh sakti hai agle resistance level 1.2950 ki taraf.

Ya phir, humein neeche moving average line MA (200) H1 ke 1.2775 ke taraf girte hue dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Aaj ke liye itna hi. Is tanqeed ke baare mein aap ka kya khayal hai? Ijazat dekar apne raye aur shirkat ke khayalat neeche comments section mein likhein. Aap ko ek achha din guzarne ki dua

GBP/USD currency pair ne market close par Sunday ko ek bara reversal dikhaya aur 4-hour chart par ek double top pattern banaya. Ye pattern ek classic bearish reversal signal hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke recent uptrend shayad khatam ho gaya hai aur ab neeche ki taraf movement aane ke mumkin hai.
Double top pattern ke andar do peaks hoti hain jo lagbhag same level par hoti hain, aur in dono peaks ke beech ek trough hota hai. Is case mein, pattern yeh batata hai ke price ne do bar upar jaane ki koshish ki lekin fail ho gayi, jo strong resistance aur bearish reversal ke potential ko darshata hai. Is pattern ki significance aur bhi badh jati hai jab yeh ek broad supply zone ke nazdeek hoti hai daily timeframe par, jahan selling pressure zyada hoti hai.

Bearish momentum ke madde nazar, GBP/USD pair ke decline ki sambhavana hai. Double top pattern aur supply zone ke nazdeek hone ki wajah se yeh outlook support hota hai. Ye broad supply zone ek significant resistance area ke roop mein kaam karta hai, jahan sellers zyada dominant hote hain aur upward movement ko rok dete hain, downward trajectory ko encourage karte hain.

Nearest demand zone, jo ke 1.2660 level par hai, is potential decline ke liye logical target ban jata hai. Demand zones wo areas hote hain jahan buying interest itna strong hota hai ke downtrend ko rok sakta hai aur shayad reverse kar sakta hai. 1.2660 level ne historically considerable buying activity dikhayi hai, isliye yeh ek key support level hai jo current scenario mein dekhna zaroori hai.

Kuch technical indicators bhi bearish outlook ko support karte hain. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) shayad downward trend show kar raha hoga, jo weakening bullish momentum aur strengthening bearish pressure ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi ek bearish crossover show kar sakta hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross karti hai, jo downward trend ko confirm karta hai.

Traders jo is bearish setup se faida uthana chahte hain, unhe current levels par ya double top resistance ki taraf pullback par short positions consider karni chahiye. Stop-loss orders ko recent highs ke upar rakhna risk manage karne mein madad kar sakta hai, ensuring ke potential losses limited rahein agar market unexpectedly reverse ho jaye. Initial target in short positions ke liye 1.2660 demand zone hoga, jahan traders ko buying interest aur potential support ke signs dekhne chahiye.

Conclusion ke tor par, GBP/USD 4-hour chart par double top pattern ka banna aur daily timeframe par broad supply zone ke nazdeek hona ek strong bearish reversal ka signal hai. Prevailing bearish momentum ke madde nazar, price ke decline hone ki sambhavana hai 1.2660 demand zone ki taraf. Traders ko short positions consider karni chahiye jab ke sound risk management practices ko follow karna chahiye is anticipated downward move ko

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD

Pichlay trading week mein euro ne apni growth continue karne ki koshish ki, magar resistance encounter ki 1.0926 par. Is resistance ko overcome nahi kar sakha, aur price rebound hoke decline karna shuru ho gaya, week ke beginning levels par wapas a gaya. Resultantly, expected growth scenario realize nahi hua. Is dauran, price chart super-trending red zone mein move karna shuru ho gaya, jo indicate karta hai ke sellers pull back kar rahe hain.

Agar hum 4-hour chart ko technical analysis perspective se dekhein, to pair regular trade kar raha hai ek ascending price channel mein, aur Simple Moving Average positive stimulus provide kar raha hai. Agar intraday trading stabilize hoti hai 1.0900 support ke upar aur 1.0870 level ke upar prevail karti hai with a target of 1.0950, to uptrend likely resume hoga. Is level ka break consolidate karega EUR/USD pair ki gains ko, jo trigger hoga next upward move ka. Downside par, agar trading 1.0870 se neeche stable hoti hai, to pair negative pressure mein ayega to retest key support at 1.0840, jo current trading level hai represented by the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement. Dekhein chart:



Abhi pair different directions mein trade kar raha hai aur weekly neutral hai. Key support areas abhi tak test nahi hue aur intact hain, jo indicate karte hain upward vector ki stability. Magar current bearish attempt suggest karta hai ke high probability hai ke price 1.0837 tak pohanche, jo main support area ki boundary hai. Agar yeh area retest hota hai, to subsequent bounce ek aur upside opportunity provide karega, targeting the area between 1.1033 aur 1.1121.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.0763 pivot level se neeche jata hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.