gbp/usd

GBP/USD

Adaab. Abhi GBP/USD chart par kuch khaas nahi ho raha hai. Market participants UK ki inflation data ka release besabri se intezaar kar rahe hain, jiska GBP/USD currency pair par sakht asar hone ki ummeed hai. Iske baad tawajjo United States ki ahem arzi khabron par shift hogi, khaas tor par dollar ke bare mein. Is silsile ki wajah se GBP/USD ke daam mein qabil-e-tawajjo harekaton ki sambhavna hai.

Halanki, abhi ke liye British pound 1.29640-1.2990 ke beech ek tang sideways price range ke andar trade ho rahi hai. Zahir hai ke aaj is range ko tootne ki strong sambhavna hai, jo zyada dynamic price action ki shuruat kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ke current trend mein tezi dekhi ja rahi hai, jo kehta hai ke pound ke liye mazeed izaafa ho sakta hai. Yeh tezi market sentiment aur pound ko favor karne wale economic indicators ki mila-jula ke natijay mein hai. Magar forex market mein precise movements ka pesh-e-nazar karna hamesha mushkil hota hai kyun ke wahaan par asar dalne wale kai factors hote hain.

Agli UK inflation data khaas tor par zaroori hai, jo British economy ke maqamiyat ki wazahat dega aur Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions ko influence kar sakta hai. Agar inflation data expectations se zyada aata hai, toh yeh pound ko mazeed takat de sakta hai aur upward trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai. Ulti taraf, expectations se kam inflation figures bullish sentiment ko kam kar sakta hai aur reversal ka sabab bhi ban sakta hai.

Porey market ke context mein, anay wali U.S. dollar ki khabron ka bhi bara kirdar hoga. Employment data, consumer confidence aur dusre economic reports jaise ahem indicators dollar ki taqat par badi asar dal sakte hain. Agar dollar mehsoos karne ki alamat dikhata hai, toh yeh GBP/USD pair ke potential gain ko rok sakta hai ya phir iske current upward trajectory ko bhi ulat sakta hai. Jabke, U.S. mein economic weakness ke koi bhi nishan dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo pound ke liye mazeed support pesh karega.



Traders ko is liye mashwara diya jata hai ke inn economic releases par qareebi nazar rakhein. UK inflation data aur U.S. dollar ki khabron ke beech ki mulaqat nazdeeki arzi direction par asar dal sakti hai GBP/USD pair ki. Jab tak yeh data points release nahi hote, currency pair apne mojooda range ke andar trade karne ki ummeed hai, lekin breakout movements ki bhi sambhavna hai. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh in developments ke jawabdeh tareeqe se jawab dein, kyun ke yeh mouqe aur khatray dono pesh kar sakte hain. Jaise hamesha, sound risk management aur economic indicators se waqif rehna aane wale market movements mein navigation ke liye zaroori hoga, khaas tor par GBP/USD currency pair mein.

Good afternoon. Filhaal GBP/USD chart par kuch khaas movements nahi ho rahe. Market ke log UK ke inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo currency pair par bara asar daal sakta hai. Uske baad, dhyan US ke economic news par shift hoga, khaaskar dollar ke hawale se. Ye events GBP/USD price mein noticeable movements ko trigger kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, British pound 1.29640-1.2990 ki narrow sideways price range mein trade kar raha hai. Is range ke break hone ki strong possibility hai aaj, jo zyada dynamic price action shuru kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair ka current trend upward hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pound aur barh sakta hai. Yeh upward momentum market sentiment aur economic indicators ke combination se driven hai jo pound ke haq mein hain. Lekin, forex market mein precise movements predict karna mushkil hota hai, kyun ke yahan bohot saari variables hoti hain jo asar daal sakti hain. Aane wale UK ke inflation data bahut critical hain, kyunki yeh British economy ki sehat ka pata denge aur Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions ko influence kar sakte hain. Agar inflation data expected se zyada high aaye, to pound ko aur support mil sakta hai aur upward trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai. Wahi, agar inflation figures expected se kam aaye, to bullish sentiment kam ho sakta hai aur reversal ho sakta hai.

Market ke broader context mein, aane wale US dollar ke news bhi crucial role play karenge. Key indicators jaise employment data, consumer confidence, aur doosre economic reports dollar ke strength ko significantly impact kar sakte hain. Agar dollar mein strengthening ke signs aaye, to yeh GBP/USD pair ke potential gains ko cap kar sakta hai ya even upward trajectory ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar US mein economic weakness ke signs mile, to dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur pound ko further support mil sakta hai.

Traders ko yeh economic releases par nazar rakhni chahiye. UK ke inflation data aur US dollar ke news ka interplay GBP/USD pair ke near-term direction ko decide karega. Jab tak yeh data points release nahi hote, currency pair apni current range mein trade karta rahega, lekin breakout movements ki potential ke saath. Traders ko in developments ke liye vigilant aur responsive rehna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh opportunities aur risks dono present kar sakti hain. Hamesha sound risk management aur economic indicators ke baare mein informed rehna crucial hoga upcoming market movements ko navigate karne ke liye GBP/USD currency pair mein.

GBP/USD currency pair ki analysis:

GBP/USD currency pair ab D1 chart par taqatwar girawat ki alamat dikha rahi hai, jo keemat 1.30215 ke ahem haftai support level tak qeemat ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Is level ne pehle se hi aapas mein trade karna dikha hai, jo keemat consolidation zone ki mumtaz hai. Guzishta do hafton mein pair ne qawi bearish trend dikhaaya hai, jo ke bearish channels ke andar qaim rehne ki taraf jhuk gaya hai. Is dauran qeemat ne consistent taur par in channels ke mid-lines aur haftai pivot level 1.2995 ke neeche rehna hai. Har koshish jo is pivot level ke upar uthne ki hui hai, usko resistance mila hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf bounce kar gaya hai. Is natijay mein, price action pivot level ke upper end aur mid-channel lines ke lower end ke darmiyan mehdood reh gaya hai.

Jaise hi naye haftay ka aghaz hua, GBP/USD ne in bearish channels ke andar trading jaari rakhi, jo mojooda downtrend ko dubara sabit karta hai. Ibtidaati harekath ne price ko haftai pivot level 1.2995 ke qareeb le gaya, lekin phir bhi is ne kisi bhi upar ki momentum ko bardasht nahi kiya aur neeche bounce ho gaya. Ye bounce trading ko aik tang range ke andar mehdood rakhta hai, jahan pivot level qawi resistance ke tor par kaam karta hai aur mid-channel lines temporary support faraham karti hain. Haftai pivot level ko paar karne ki baar baar na-kami market mein qawi bearish attitude ko darshaati hai. Hal hi mein, qeemat mid-channel lines ke taraf wapas ja rahi hai, jo ke is support zone ke liye aik ahem imtehan ki taraf rukh kar rahi hai.

Agar GBP/USD qeemat mid-channel lines ko paar karne mein kamyab hota hai, to is se aage 1.2980 ke agle ahem support level ki taraf aur girawat ki raah ko saaf kar sakta hai. Ye level ahem hai kyunki yeh mojooda bearish wave ke liye aik potential floor ko darshaata hai. Is support ke neeche girne se bechnay ki dabao mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai aur mazeed nichle rukh ko le ja sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in ahem levels ke aas paas price action ko nazdeek se nazar andaz karenge, kyun ke ye GBP/USD ke aane wale dinon ki potential raftar ke liye qeemti insights faraham karte hain. Pivot level, mid-channel lines aur support levels ke darmiyan ki khel kaari qareebi dino ke liye is currency pair ke qareebi trend ko taayin karne wale hain.

جولائی 18 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، متعلقہ کرنسیوں کے زیر اثر برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے اس وقت 74 پِپس کا اضافہ کیا، لیکن ایک بار جب سیشن ختم ہو رہا تھا تو اس نے نصف ترقی بحال کر دی۔ روزانہ چارٹ پر فرق نہیں ٹوٹا تھا۔ قیمت 1.2989 کی سطح سے نیچے واپس آ سکتی ہے۔



اگر قیمت اس سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ 1.2847 کے ہدف کی سطح تک گرتی رہے گی۔ اگر آج سفید موم بتی کے ساتھ بند ہوتا ہے، یعنی اگر قیمت اس سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہوتی ہے جس پر اس نے قابو پایا تھا، تو پاؤنڈ 1.3224/41 کی ہدف کی حد تک بڑھتا رہے گا۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.2989 کی سطح پر قابو پانے کا ارادہ رکھتی ہے۔ اس کی تصدیق اس وقت کی جا سکتی ہے جب قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی حمایت کی طرف بڑھ جائے، 1.2937 سے نیچے، منگل کی کم۔ اور اس کم پر قابو پانے سے پہلے ہی 1.2847 کا راستہ کھل جائے گا۔ اس منظر نامے کا امکان 65% ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

gbp/usd:
Hum dekhte hain ke GBP/USD currency pair ke prices waqt ke sath kaise badalte hain. Hourly chart ka jaiza lene ke baad, humne dekha ke pair Federal Reserve ke speech ke baad gir gaya aur Bank of England ke announcement ke baad support level 1.26072 ko hit kiya. Pehle lagta tha ke ek range form ho rahi hai, magar baad mein ek achanak izafa dekhne ko mila. Mujhe laga ke yeh izafa sellers ke stop-loss orders trigger hone ki wajah se hua hai due to high volume, lekin izafa barqarar raha. Phir humne dekha ke ek head-and-shoulders pattern 1.27705 resistance ke upar emerge ho raha hai. Maine ye socha ke direction mein tabdeeli hogi aur yeh decline karega. Mera tajzia yeh hai ke yeh pair girayega kyunke yeh overbought hai, aur koi mazboot wajah nahi hai in price levels ko maintain karne ki. UK inflation 2% par hai, jo indicate karta hai ke Bank of England jaldi hi interest rates decrease kar sakta hai kyunke inflation apne target ko hit kar chuki hai. Ek possible decline 1.27705 support tak suggest kiya gaya hai kyunke 1.29942 resistance ke kareeb double touch hua, aur seller volume bhi drop ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Iske bawajood, fundamental factors, khas tor par dollar ki weak performance recently, mukhtalif natija suggest karti hain. Dollar ke liye demand temporarily decrease ho sakti hai, magar GBP/USD ke liye major moves imkanaat se bahar lagti hain. Yeh already crucial values ke kareeb hain, 30 meters par, aur significant upward movement ke liye rise 31 ya shayad 33 tak required hai.

Hum hourly chart mein MA ke growth ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo market trends ke mutabiq hai. Agar pair aur zyada girta hai, to support level 1.2883 us direction ko indicate karta hai. Magar, daily chart strong support breakdown nahi dikhata, jo weak downward trend suggest karta hai. Trades enter karne ke liye, humein seller activity dekhni hogi aur move below 1.2854 ka intezar karna hoga. GBP/USD mixed trends dikhata hai aur bulls shayad bears ko 1.2883 hit karne se na rok sakein. Yeh scenario possible consolidation suggest karta hai aur anaqareebi waqt mein increased activity expected hai. Trend ko decipher karna mushkil bana hua hai.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke prices ke waqt ke sath kaise badalte hain, iska mutaala kar rahe hain. Hourly chart ka review karne ke baad, humne dekha ke Federal Reserve ki speech ke baad pair gira aur Bank of England ke elan ke baad support 1.26072 ko hit kiya. Pehle, lag raha tha ke ek range ban rahi hai, magar baad mein achanak izafa dekhne ko mila. Maine socha ke yeh izafa high volume ki wajah se sellers ki stop-loss orders trigger hone ki wajah se tha, lekin izafa barqarar raha. Phir, humne dekha ke 1.27705 resistance ke upar ek head-and-shoulders pattern emerge ho raha hai. Maine ek direction change aur girawat ki tawakku ki.

Meri prediction hai ke yeh pair girega kyun ke yeh overbought hai, aur in price levels ko barqarar rakhne ki koi strong wajah nahi hai. UK inflation 2% pe hai, jo indicate karta hai ke Bank of England jald interest rates decrease kar sakta hai kyun ke inflation target hit ho chuka hai. Ek possible decline 1.27705 support tak ho sakta hai kyun ke 1.29942 resistance ke qareeb double touch hua tha, aur seller volume girawat ka hint de raha hai. Iske bawajood, fundamental factors, khaaskar dollar ki weak performance recently, different outcome suggest karte hain. Dollar ki demand temporary decrease ho sakti hai, magar GBP/USD ke liye major moves improbable lag rahe hain. Already crucial values ke qareeb hain jo ke 30 meters hain, 31 ya potentially 33 ke rise ki zarurat hai substantial upward movement ke liye.

Hum hourly chart mein MA ki growth ko anticipate kar rahe hain, market trends ke mutabiq. Agar pair aur girta hai, toh support 1.2883 us direction ki hint de raha hai. Magar, daily chart strong support breakdown nahi dikhata, jo weak downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Trade enter karne ke liye, humein seller activity aur 1.2854 ke niche move dekhna hoga. GBP/USD mixed trends dikhata hai aur bulls shayad bears ko 1.2883 hit karne se na rok sakein. Yeh scenario possible consolidation ko suggest karta hai aur jald increased activity expected hai. Trend ko decipher karna tricky hai.

Discussion iss waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair sirf decline karega, minor upward pullbacks ko nazarandaaz karte hue. Daily pivot 1.2640 tak retracement ke baad, main sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur mera target aaj ka support 1.2562 hai. Agar yeh main level breakout ho gaya aur consolidation ho gayi to outlook change ho sakta hai, lekin price ne abhi tak koi strong inclination nahi dikhayi. GBP/USD ne downward move exhibit kiya jo Tuesday ko expected tha. Kal mujhe is outcome par doubt tha aur main ne potential rebound ka socha tha jo zyada extended periods ke liye ho sakta tha, jo ek developing pattern ko indicate kar raha tha. Lekin ek aur scenario emerge hua, jis se mujhe movement capitalize karne ka moka mila, aur 30 points gain karne ke baad main exit kar gaya. Kyun ke mujhe 26th figure ke breakdown ka andaza nahi tha, is liye kal ka din unproductive raha, koi significant market reactions nahi hue. Aaj, Asian session ne ek upward flicker dikhayi hai, jo main monitor kar raha hoon. Din ke andar ek rebound ka chance lagta hai agar minimum ko dekha jaye. Yeh mera primary expectation hai pehle half of the day ke GBP/USD market abhi resistance aur support ke darmiyan mojood hai, aur dono taraf breakout naye trends sthapit kar sakte hain. Market apne ban rahe aur barhte hue trends ka istemal karne ki consistent respect trader ke liye ek aitmaad afzai nishani hai. Agar market 1.2585 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh 1.2570 par support aur resistance sthapit karega. Yeh tajziya H4 time frame ke liye tayyar kiya gaya hai.

H4 chart ke technicals ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai lekin 1.2748 ke resistance ko todkar guzarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Har koshish nakam ho gayi hai, jis se market support level par palat gaya hai. Market trend ka intezaar hai ke jab tak 1.2668 ke support level par inkaar na mile, bearish rehne ka intezaar hai. Is natije mein market trend side mein rehne ki umeed hai, jo technical ilm rakne walo ke liye faidemand aur munafa bakhsh ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke qeemat kal izafay ki taraf barhi thi, lekin yeh rawaiya bikul farokht ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Kal ke doraan yeh jor ki jod nahi thi. Asian session ke doraan qeemat gir gayi. Is natijay mein, jodi ek baar phir chaar ghantay ke chart par mojood haliyat ke nichlay hadood mein laut aayi, jis ke baad thori ehtemad bhi bani rehti hai. Is marhaley par, khas tour par aaj ke intezaar mein, jab US ke maeeshat mand istemaal kharch ke qeemti indexes ka ailaan hone ka imkaan hai, main trading range ke nichlay hadood ka girna aur izafa rukh ko jari rakhne ki mumkinat ko tawajjo se dekh raha hoon. Mujhe umeed hai ke support level 1.2578 ke girne par aur surk median bounce scenario par girne par tawajjo de jaye gi. Aur level 1.2644 ke ooper lot aane ko bhi aik sinyal samjha jaye ga ke izafa jari rakhne ke liye 1.2726 ke resistance level tak pohonchna hai. Main tawajjo dena chahunga cash consumer spending prices ke bunyadi index par, jo anaysts ke mutabiq pichle mahine se kam ho kar 2.6% tak pohonch sakta hai. Agar yeh rakam tawajjo se kam nikalti hai, to US dollar mein numayan kamzori ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, UK GDP bhi jald hi announce kiya jayega aur is mein bhi toofani rawaiya mumkin hai. Har haal mein, main abhi bhi ek taraf hoon aur in qeematon par farokht karne ka soch raha hoon. Lekin main 1.26 level ke neechay girne ki mumkinat ko bhi rad nahi karta. Lekin agar koi jhoota breakout ho to khareedne ki ijazat di ja sakti hai.
GBPUSD currency pair ke market trend conditions expect ki ja sakti hain ke bearish direction mein move karna continue karengi aur price most likely neeche move karte hue 1.2595 level range ko test karegi. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ki position ko refer karte hue, jo dobara level 50 ke neeche drop hui hai, ye indication hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai.
Next week's trading session ke liye maine decide kiya hai ke main sirf ek acha area dekhne par concentrate karunga SELL trading entry banane ke liye, kyunki price movements jo ke is week sideways rahe hain, consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche stay kar rahe hain, jo ke is baat ka indication hai ke bearish trend ki taraf movement ka continuation ka zyada moka hai. Agar market conditions ko last three weeks mein dekha jaye, to main predict karta hoon ke bearish trend agle mahine bhi continue rahegi.

GBPUSD karansi jor ki halat kal se trading session ke baad se ab tak bilkul bullish movement mein hai, aur yeh range ziada wide nahi hai. Buyer ki tawajjo wazeh hai, aur raat ke qareeb market ne kafi strong push banaya jiski wajah se price phir se barh ke level 1.2776 tak chali gayi. Market ke graph mein candlesticks dheere dheere rally ke raste par chal rahi hain, Moving Average indicator se door hoti ja rahi hain, jo yeh darsha rahi hain ke upar ki taraf ka trend abhi tak seller ke pressure se mehfooz hai. Agar is hafte ke end tak bullish movement 1.2850 ke price level ke upar break karke jaaye, to price ke aur bhi upar jane ka imkaan hai aur trend ka bullish hona bhi mumkin hai. Ye zaroor agle trading position ko tay karne ka aik reference hoga jahan market mein price ka bullish trend dobara hona ka imkaan hai, halan ke GBPUSD karansi jor ne chhoti timeframe mein thoda bearish correction bhi dekha hai. Agar Lime Line Relative Strength Index indicator pe dekhi jaye, to yeh level 70 tak barh gayi hai jo ke yeh signal hai ke market conditions abhi tak bullish continuation ka samna kar rahi hain. Analysis ke natayej se yeh pata chalta hai ke price upar ki taraf hi move karegi, aur buyer ki weak volatility ke saath upward push se price target level tak pohonchne ki umeed hai. Isliye, kal ke weak seller pressure ke bawajood bullish trend situation phir se aane ka imkaan hai, aur target increase most probably level 1.2810 ke range tak bullish movement karega.
Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, 1.2860 ke major resistance ko toh shayad khatra nahi hai. Yaad rahe ke 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur 1.2770 ke tor par breach iska matlab hoga ke pound mazeed aage nahi barh sakta. Is resistance ke mojudgi ke bais, GBP/USD 1.28 ke aas paas ek tang range mein trading kar sakta hai, jab tak ke Thursday ko America se mahangai ki ahmiyat mand riport na aaye.

Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq, mukhtasar Amreeki consumer price index ki umeed hai ke saalana bunyadi izafa 3.1% tak gir jaye ga, jo ke May mein 3.3% se neechay hai, aur yeh pehle half mein taizi se barhti hui mahangai ko dobara kum hone ka saboot dega. Yeh natija isharah karta hai ke Federal Reserve September mein Amreeki interest rates ko kam karne ke liye taiyar ho sakta hai, jo dollar par asar daal sakta hai.

GBP/USD ne kal pichle daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad reversal kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, aur phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga. GBP/USD Asian session ke dauran thoda high hua. British euro ke baad peeche hai. Yeh zyadatar dollar ke recovery ke waja se against ek basket of major currencies tha. Sterling domestic political issues ke waja se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari tawajjo Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, pehli half of the day mein kuch upward correction ki umeed hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barkarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main us point ke neeche sell karunga targets 1.2585 aur 1.2535 ke sath. Agar pair rise hota hai, 1.2685 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak ka rasta khul jayega. In markers ke basis par, main phir se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.

GBPUSD
Britsh pound ne US dollar ke muqable mein budh ko char hafton ka buland tareen darja hasil kar liya. Yeh izafa Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki Congress ke samnay gawahi ke baad aya, jise sarmaaya kaaron ne yeh samjha ke aney wale waqt mein sood ki شرah kam ho sakti hai. Powell ke monetary policy pe rukh ne bazaar ke umeedon ko mazid mazboot kiya ke September se pehle sood ki شرah kam ki ja sakti hai. Jab ke UK mein huay kamzor maashiyat ke data ne jumeraat ko sirf choti business data he di, sabki nigahen ab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par hain. Sarmaaya kaar jo sood ki شرah kam hone ki umeed rakhtay hain, wo is umeed pe hain ke June mein core inflation 3.4% se kam hoga jo ke saal ke liye mutawaqqa tha. Yeh itminan Powell ke bayan se aya jo kuch logon ne sulah جو samjha. Magar, jumma ko jari hone wala mazid US currency data in umeedon ko khatam kar sakta hai. June ka core consumer price index (PPI) umeed hai ke 2.5% tak barh jaye ga jo ke pehle 2.3% tha. Yeh barhawa wider market ki sood ki شرah kam karne ki khwahish ko rok sakta hai.

Technical tor par, budh ko pound ka izafa kai maqamat par muqabla kar raha tha. Agar izafa barqarar na reh saka to qeemat 200-day EMA (moving average) ke kareeb 1.2600 tak wapas aa sakti hai. Bulls (wo sarmaaya kaar jo qeemat barhney ka yaqeen rakhtay hain) par bojh hai ke wo mazboot support level qaim karain ta ke isay roka ja sake. Dosri taraf, agar izafay ka rujhan jari raha to qeemat 1.2816-1.2859 se barh sakti hai, jo 2024 ke buland darja 1.2892 ka raasta khol sakta hai. Is resistance area ko tor kar dollar pound ke muqable mein aur July 2023 ke
resistance 1.2994 tak ja sakta hai

gbp/usd: Hum dekhte hain ke GBP/USD currency pair ke prices waqt ke sath kaise badalte hain. Hourly chart ka jaiza lene ke baad, humne dekha ke pair Federal Reserve ke speech ke baad gir gaya aur Bank of England ke announcement ke baad support level 1.26072 ko hit kiya. Pehle lagta tha ke ek range form ho rahi hai, magar baad mein ek achanak izafa dekhne ko mila. Mujhe laga ke yeh izafa sellers ke stop-loss orders trigger hone ki wajah se hua hai due to high volume, lekin izafa barqarar raha. Phir humne dekha ke ek head-and-shoulders pattern 1.27705 resistance ke upar emerge ho raha hai. Maine ye socha ke direction mein tabdeeli hogi aur yeh decline karega. Mera tajzia yeh hai ke yeh pair girayega kyunke yeh overbought hai, aur koi mazboot wajah nahi hai in price levels ko maintain karne ki. UK inflation 2% par hai, jo indicate karta hai ke Bank of England jaldi hi interest rates decrease kar sakta hai kyunke inflation apne target ko hit kar chuki hai. Ek possible decline 1.27705 support tak suggest kiya gaya hai kyunke 1.29942 resistance ke kareeb double touch hua, aur seller volume bhi drop ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Iske bawajood, fundamental factors, khas tor par dollar ki weak performance recently, mukhtalif natija suggest karti hain. Dollar ke liye demand temporarily decrease ho sakti hai, magar GBP/USD ke liye major moves imkanaat se bahar lagti hain. Yeh already crucial values ke kareeb hain, 30 meters par, aur significant upward movement ke liye rise 31 ya shayad 33 tak required hai.

Hum hourly chart mein MA ke growth ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo market trends ke mutabiq hai. Agar pair aur zyada girta hai, to support level 1.2883 us direction ko indicate karta hai. Magar, daily chart strong support breakdown nahi dikhata, jo weak downward trend suggest karta hai. Trades enter karne ke liye, humein seller activity dekhni hogi aur move below 1.2854 ka intezar karna hoga. GBP/USD mixed trends dikhata hai aur bulls shayad bears ko 1.2883 hit karne se na rok sakein. Yeh scenario possible consolidation suggest karta hai aur anaqareebi waqt mein increased activity expected hai. Trend ko decipher karna mushkil bana hua hai.

GBPUSD currency pair ki H4 chart par ghor karenge. Budhwar ki trading mein, is currency pair ki keemat ne taqatwar upward movement dikhaya aur technical tasawwur bhi tashkeel mein tha. Din bhar mein jaari khabrein sirf pound ki izafay ko mazeed barhane mein madadgar sabit hui, jabke US ke sabhi indicators apni taqreban tamam tajaweez se kamzor sabit huay, jis se keemat mein izafa ho gaya, jo din bhar ke dauran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein hi nahi, balki mazeed tajarbaton ke nichore khalisay mein kamzor ho gaya. Laher nizam ne apni tarteeb ko uparward tashkeel dene shuru kiya, MACD indicator ooper khareed zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Jald az jald aaj ek tezi se girawat ke baad, unhone is rollback ko barah-e-karam pahonchaya, jab tak keh 1.2732 ke qareebi support level tak. Aur dheere-dheere keemat ne is rollback ko poori tarah se khaya aur aaj tak.
Agar pehli lahrein Fibonacci grid par target lagaye jayein, toh yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ne izafa ke doran minimum target ko poori tarah se work out kiya - yaani 161.8 ke darje tak pohanch gayi. Mumkin hai ke yeh izafa 200 ke darje tak is grid par tashkeel paye, lekin yeh bilkul mumkin nahi hai keh hum is silsile se guzar sakte hain. CCI indicator daily period par upper zone se murnay ki isharaat deta hai, jo ke correction ka tashkeel kehte hain. 1.2700 ke darje tak girna aam lag raha hai, phir hum buying ke bare mein soch sakte hain ya nahi. Aaj ke 15-30 Moscow time par mukhtalif ahmiyat ke bais waqt ke liye iskay baray mein saari chand khabrein jaari ho rahi hain: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. 18-00 - The US Federal Reserve System's report on monetary policy.
Kal, GBP/USD ne apnay upward movement ko aram se jari rakha. Volatility kam thi kyun keh United States mein official holiday thi. UK ne June ke liye apnay Construction PMI ke dusre estimate ko jaari kiya, jo ke secondary ahmiyat rakhta hai. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko khareedne ke liye wajah payi. Ek note ke taur par, yeh tezi uss support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui, jahan bears ne bulls se mukhalif nahi ho saki. Mangalwar ko, tezi ke liye koi bunyadi ya maqrooh nafsiyati wajah nahi thi. Balki, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apnay taqreer mein hawkish tone barqarar rakha, jo dollar ko madadgar tha. JOLTs report bhi umeedon se zyada sabit hua, jo keh US currency ko madadgar tha. Lekin dollar jab hota hai tab nahi upar, jab nahi hota hai tab gir jata hai. 9 mahinon se hum forex market mein yehi pattern dekh rahe hain.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki qeematon ke waqt ke saath tabadli ka mutala karte hain. Hourly chart ka jaiza lene ke baad, humne dekha ke yeh pair Federal Reserve ke speech ke baad gir gaya aur Bank of England ke elan ke baad 1.26072 support ko hit kiya. Ibtida mein, aisa lagta tha ke aik range ban rahi hai, lekin baad mein aik achanak izafa hua. Main samjhta tha ke yeh sellers ke stop-loss orders ke trigger hone ki wajah se tha jo high volume ke sabab hua, lekin izafa jaari raha. Phir, humne dekha ke 1.27705 resistance ke upar ek head-and-shoulders pattern ubhar raha hai. Maine direction mein tabadli ki umeed rakhi towards a decline. Main tawaku karta hoon ke yeh pair gire ga kyunke yeh overbought hai aur in qeemat levels ko barqarar rakhne ki koi mazboot wajah nahi hai. UK inflation 2% par hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke Bank of England inflation ke target ko hit karne ki wajah se jald interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Aik mumkin decline 1.27705 support tak suggested kiya gaya kyunke 1.29942 resistance ke qareeb double touch tha, jo seller volume ko girawat ka ishara deta hai. Iske bawajood, buniyadi asrat, khaaskar dollar ka kamzor performance, mukhtalif natija dikhate hain. Halankeh dollar ki demand temporarily kam ho sakti hai, GBP/USD ke liye bara moves mumkin nahi lagte. Pehle se hi aham values ke qareeb 30 meters, ek izafa 31 ya mumkinan 33 tak zaroori hai substantial upward movement ke liye.

Hum MA mein growth ki umeed kar rahe hain hourly chart par, market trends ke mutabiq. Agar pair mazeed gire, to support 1.2883 par yeh direction darshaata hai. Halankeh daily chart strong support breakdown nahi dikhaata, jo ek kamzor downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Trades enter karne ke liye, humein seller activity aur 1.2854 se neeche move dekhna hoga. GBP/USD mixed trends dikhaata hai aur bulls shayad bears ko 1.2883 hit karne se na rok saken. Yeh scenario possible consolidation ko darshaata hai jahan mazeed activity expected hai. Trend ko decipher karna mushkil bana hua hai.

Achha din. Is waqt, GBP/USD chart par zyada dilchaspi wali cheez nahi ho rahi. Market participants UK se inflation data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo currency pair par significant asar dal sakta hai. Iske baad, tawajjo US se key economic news par shift ho jayegi, khaaskar dollar ke hawale se. Yeh events ka silsila GBP/USD qeemat mein notable movements ko trigger karne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Abhi ke liye, British pound aik narrow sideways price range 1.29640-1.2990 mein trade kar raha hai. Yeh range aaj break hone ke zyada imkaan hain, jo zyada dynamic price action ko shuru karega.

Maujooda trend GBP/USD pair ke liye upward hai, jo pound ke mazeed growth ko darshaata hai. Yeh upward momentum mukhtalif factors ki wajah se driven hai, jin mein market sentiment aur economic indicators shaamil hain jo pound ke haqq mein hain. Halankeh forex market mein precise movements ko predict karna mushkil hai mukhtalif influencing variables ki wajah se. Aanewali UK inflation data khaas tor par critical hai, kyunke yeh British economy ke health par insights provide karegi aur Bank of England ke monetary policy decisions ko asar daal sakti hai. Agar inflation data expected se zyada aati hai, to yeh pound ko mazeed mazboot kar sakti hai, reinforcing the upward trend. Bar-aks, agar inflation figures expected se kam aati hain, to yeh bullish sentiment ko dampen kar sakti hain aur reversal ka sabab ban sakti hain.

Broader market ke context mein, forthcoming U.S. dollar news bhi crucial role play karegi. Key indicators jaise employment data, consumer confidence, aur doosri economic reports dollar ki strength ko significant tor par asar daal sakti hain. Agar dollar strength ke asaraat dikhata hai, to yeh GBP/USD pair ke potential gains ko cap kar sakta hai ya iska maujooda upward trajectory ko reverse kar sakta hai. Bar-aks, agar US mein economic weakness ke asar dikhte hain, to yeh dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, pound ke liye mazeed support faraham karta hai. Traders ko yeh economic releases par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye. UK inflation data aur U.S. dollar news ke darmiyan interplay near-term direction ko dictate karegi GBP/USD pair ke liye. Jab tak yeh data points release nahi hotay, currency pair apni maujooda range mein trade karte rehne ka imkaan hai, halankeh breakout movements ka potential ke sath. Traders ko in developments par vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye, kyunke yeh opportunities aur risks dono ko pesh kar sakti hain. Jaise ke hamesha, sound risk management aur economic indicators ke mutaliq waqif rehna crucial hoga GBP/USD currency pair mein aanewale market movements ko navigate karne ke liye

GBP/USD currency pair abhi thori si range mein aram se move kar rahi hai kyunki forex market abhi bhi ek upward rally ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin range kafi kam hai. Market ka trend jo nazar aa raha hai wo abhi bhi predominantly bullish hai. Kal raat ke tezi se trading session ne prices ko phir se upar le gaya hai. Agley trading session mein prices mazeed barhne ki koshish karain gi aur unka target ek ooncha price level ho sakta hai. Agar hum market structure ki taraf dekhein jo predominantly bullish direction mein hai, to lambay arsay mein prices ke barhne ka jari rahna mumkin hai aur buyer's troops ka sab se qareebi target 1.2910 level ho sakta hai.
Chart par jo downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain, wo ek waqt mein relevant thay jab tak ke pound impulsively northward move na kar gaya. Blue bar moving averages ke relative H4 signal ke basis par decline ki potential dikhata hai, lekin aaj ke din yeh signal kaam nahi kar raha hai. Aaj humne is signal ke risk level ko paar kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye hain jisse samajhne mein madad milti hai ke humein kis level se sell karna chahiye. Phir, growth impulse ke baad humein reverse signal (ya'ni buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur wo jald hi apne targets tak pohanch gaya bina kisi pullback ke. Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, ye rise bina kisi significant pullback ke hua, isliye lower timeframe par bhi enter karna kafi mushkil sabit hua.

Mukhtasar mein, GBP/USD trading session mein 1.2730 aur 1.2850 ke darmiyan movement ki wazahat hai, jo economic aur geopolitical factors ke market ke reaction ko reflect karte hain. Investors ke reaction critical economic data releases aur geopolitical events par dikhate hain ke in elements ka volatility aur overall direction of the currency pair par kya asar hota hai.