جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD

Pichle trading haftay ke zyada tar waqt GBP/USD pair ek upward trend mein raha, aur naye local highs tak pahucha. 1.2524 ke upar consolidate karne ke baad, price ne aggressive growth continue rakha aur 1.2667 ke upar pohcha, jahan woh ruki aur foothold gain karne ki koshish karti rahi. Is dauran, price chart green zone mein tha, jo buyers ki strengthening positions ko indicate karta hai. Pound mein izafa dekhne ko mila, kyunki bohot saari events ke intezar mein tha, aur currency value mein changes aur unka asar ke intezar mein koi rise ya fall nahi dekha gaya. GBP/USD pair 1.2706 tak barh gaya pichle din ke close of 1.2698 se. Pound gir ke current session low 1.2696 par aa gaya, high of 1.2725 se. Federal Reserve ke kuch members ne general statements diye jahan unhone agree kiya ke interest rates ko kuch arse tak high rehna chahiye.

Abhi pair significant higher trade kar raha hai, weekly highs ke qareeb pohch raha hai. Major support area test hua aur intact raha, jiski wajah se rebound hua aur higher move continue hui, apni preferred upward vector ko maintain karte hue. Ab price ko current price zone mein consolidate karna zaroori hai aur 1.2612 level tak limit karna hoga, jahan main support area hai. Is area ka retest aur subsequent bounce ek aur upside impulse ka mauka dega, jo area between 1.2788 aur 1.2914 ko target karega. Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.2524 pivot level ke neeche girti hai, toh current position cancel ho jayegi. Current upward impulse of the pound-dollar ko mukammal samjha ja sakta hai, aur hum expect kar sakte hain ke is instrument ki quotes decline karte hue support par 1.2567 ya shayad us se upar tak jayengi. Halanki, agar 1.2733 level break hota hai aur bulls consolidate karte hain, toh...

Jab Asian session Monday ko unfold hoti hai, GBP/USD thoda ooper dikhayi de raha hai, 1.2607 ke qareeb hover karte hue. Yeh uptick risk appetite ke resurgence ko attribute kiya ja sakta hai jo positive economic indicators, khaaskar UK mein, se bolster hua hai. Notably, UK economy ne Q1 mein remarkable expansion dikhayi 0.7% ki, jo initial forecasts ko surpass karta hai aur nation ke brief recession ka decisive end signal karta hai.
**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:**

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke against track karta hai, ek modest rebound experience kar chuka hai jabke dip karke 105.00 tak gaya tha. Magar, US Dollar ka agla move significant tor par April ke US Inflation data par depend karega, jo Wednesday ko release hone wala hai. Inflation figures essential insights offer karenge ke Federal Reserve September se interest rate reductions initiate karega ya nahi. Tab tak, market participants interest rate guidance ko closely monitor karenge Federal Reserve speakers se, jo US Dollar ka trajectory shape karega.

**Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Subsequently, attention psychological barrier par shift hogi at 1.2400, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) low of 1.2297. Pair ka retracement towards 1.2500 seller optimism ko maintain karta hai ek downtrend ke liye, especially considering ke buyers 200-day moving average (DMA) jo 1.2544 par situated hai, ko surpass karne mein nakam rahe hain. Additionally, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek bearish stance ko retain karta hai jo extended losses ki possibility ko further reinforce karta hai.

Bearish resurgence ki likelihood badh jaati hai jab sellers 200-DMA aur 1.2540 support levels ko breach karne par nazar rakhte hain. Agar yeh key thresholds breach hote hain, toh next significant support level emerge hota hai at 1.2444, jo May low ko correspond karta hai, followed by April low of 1.2297.

Kal, GBP/USD currency pair ne aik ahem rawayya dikhaaya jab uski qeemat din bhar 1.26400 ke darje ke qareeb maqil rahi. Ye level market mein ek janubi sudhaar ki tasdeeq ki tarah kaam aaya. Magar, is sudhaar ke bawajood, qeemat is level ko paar karne mein ya naye neechay ki hudood qaim karne mein nakam rahi, jo mazeed neechay ki harkat ki madda tha. Jab trading din khatam hone ko aaya, aik dilchasp tabdeeli dekhi gayi: qeemat uttar ki taraf rawana hui, pehle ki janubi raftar ko palat dete hue. Ye upar ki harkat ne asal din bhar ki janubi sudhaar ko mansookh kar diya. Magar, ahem hai ke ye uttar ki harkat aik maamooli tor par be-liqaa market mein hui. Is waqt ke dauran qeemat ki kami ka matlab hai ke qeemat ki harkat mukhtalif ho sakti hai ya asal market ke trendon ka zahir karne ke liye kaafi naheen ho sakti. Market ke halat aur qeemat ki harkat ke markazi mahol ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main uttar ki muddat ki haalat par ihtiyaat se kaam kar raha hoon. Market ke is waqt ke be-liqaa hone ka matlab hai ke upar ki harkat asal market ke jazbat ka asal aks na ho. Is liye, main is upar ki muddat ko nazar andaz karne ka rujhan rakhta hoon kyun ke ye asal market ke rukh mein koi tabdeeli ko tasleem naheen karta. Aagay dekhte hue Monday aur aane wale trading sessions mein, main sirf GBP/USD pair ke short positions par tawajjo de raha hoon. Pehli tasdeeq ke mutabiq janubi sudhaar, sath hi 1.26400 level ke paar hone ki kami, ek bearish nazar-e-aatiyat ko saabit karta hai. Baad mein uttar ki harkat, kam liquidity mein hoti hui, kafi saboot faraham naheen karti ke strategy mein koi tabdeeli kiya jaaye. Is nateejay mein, maine is waqt kisi bhi lambi position ko manahi kar diya hai. Mukhtasir mein, GBP/USD pair ki qeemat ke aik din ke rawayya ne 1.26400 level ke ird gird ahem tasdeeqi janubi sudhaar ko darust sabit kiya, magar naye neechay ke mawaqe par na pohanchne ke saath. Dehshat mandi se jude hue ehtiyaat ke sath, aage chal kar, mera tawajjo sirf short positions par rakhne ka hoga, jabke lambi positions abhi ke liye wazeh hain. Ye ihtiyaati taur par is baat ko yaqeeni banane ke liye hai ke market ke tanazaat ke jhokon ke sath waziha aur mazboot market signals par trading ke faislay kiye jaayein.

Update Analysis of #GBP/USD
Time Frame H4

Ye hai British pound ka current upward movement, aur ye kaafi kuch keh raha hai. Good morning aur umeed karta hoon ke aapka trading day profitable ho!

GBP/USD prices apna upward movement continue kar rahi hain aur filhal correction me enter nahi ho rahi. Is stage par reversal ke koi signs nahi hain, aur pair ka upward slope abhi bhi maujood hai. Agar bulls 1.2709 ke resistance level ke upar move karte hain, toh main upward movement ke 1.2709 ke resistance level tak reach karne ke chances ko rule out nahi kar sakta. Abhi ka current local level 1.2821 hai. Mere sales ko dekhte hue, main nahi chahunga ke aisa move ho, magar market ke against argue nahi kar sakte.

Fundamental point of view se, US dollar ke rise hone ki achi expectations abhi bhi hain. Federal Reserve System ke representatives apni speeches me tight monetary policy ko maintain karne aur refinancing rate ko current levels par rakhne ke baray me baat karte rehte hain, jab tak inflation me significant slowdown ke signs nazar nahi aate. Woh latest consumer price statistics ko zyada importance nahi de rahe hain.

Main southern correction consider karunga agar positions 1.2709 ke neeche rehengi. Is scenario me, prices blue moving average ke neeche wapas aayengi, jo ke downtrend resume hone ka signal mana ja sakta hai, aur support level identify kiya ja sakta hai 1.2621 par. Pair ne 1.2691 ke level tak descending channel ke lower border tak decline dekha, uske baad pair ne reversal witness kiya aur price upar move hui. Mujhe umeed thi ke ab pair grow karega aur upper border tak move karega, magar growth develop nahi ho saka, aur price turn around ho gayi aur neeche move karte hue ascending channel se nikal gayi.





Dekhte hain ke GBP/USD market me agle kuch ghanton me kya hota hai. Stay alert aur apni strategy ko adjust karte rahen.

GBP/USD Analysis
Hello everyone! Aaj main GBP/USD aur forex market ke fundamentals pe nazar daal raha hoon. GBP/USD ne poora din 1.2691 aur 1.2701 ke flat range mein guzaara. Ji haan, aapne sahi suna, price European trading session aur aadha US session tak 10-point sideways channel mein rahi. Yeh British currency ke Monday ke movement ka summary hai. US session ke beech mein, price is range ko break nahi kar saki, lekin upward movement short-lived thi. Yeh questionable hai ke kya is buy signal pe capitalize karna worth tha, kyun ke overall volatility din ke liye 40 pips bhi nahi thi. Hourly timeframe pe ascending trend line relevant hai, aur abhi tak British currency ki growth ke end hone ke koi signs nahi hain.

British pound bina kisi substantial basis ke rise kar rahi hai, lekin traders ke liye yeh ab koi surprise nahi raha. Pichle cheh mahine (ya shayad usse zyada) se, pound consistently illogical growth dikhata aa raha hai. Humne dobara dekha ke pound low market activity ke bawajood rise ho raha hai, Monday ko bhi, jab koi fundamental aur macroeconomic events nahi the, 250-pip rally ke baad bhi, aur Bank of England ke expected rate cut ke saamne bhi. Agar kisi reader ko hamari groundless growth conclusions pe shak tha, to woh kal isse verify kar sakte the. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke yeh movement kab tak chalegi. Technical perspective se, trading upwards possible hai, lekin fundamentally, is pair ko buy karna justify karna mushkil hai.





1H chart pe, GBP/USD bullish correction se guzar raha hai. Price ne 1.2605-1.2620 area ko doosri koshish mein aasani se cross kar liya, aur 1.2691-1.2701 area bhi buyers ko rok nahi saka. Market yeh dikhata hai ke woh pound ko buy karne ke liye tayyar hai regardless of fundamental aur macroeconomic background, ya phir uski kami ke bawajood. Iska matlab hai ke pair ka movement groundless hai, to koi patterns dhoondhna pointless hai. Current trend line break hone par bhi yeh zaroori nahi ke decline shuru ho.

Tuesday ko US mein koi important events ya reports scheduled nahi hain. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ka speech ho ga, jo ke kaafi interesting ho sakta hai. Zyada precisely, yeh tab interesting hota agar market logically har news aur event pe react karta. Since yeh case nahi hai, isliye Bailey kya kehte hain, iski itni importance nahi hai. Market highly likely hai ke unke words ko pound ke favor mein interpret kare.

Dekhte hain ke GBP/USD market mein agle kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai. Stay alert aur apni strategy ko adjust karte rahen.

GBP/USD Trading Discussion
H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Is main currency pair GBPUSD ke liye sab kuch pehle jaisa hi hai. Four-hour chart pe dekha ja sakta hai ke hum teesre din se tops ke paas phasay huay hain. Lekin aaj yeh khatam ho jayega kyun ke din important news se bhara hua hai. Wave structure ab bhi upward order build kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai. Magar yeh indicators upward kaam karne ka sabab nahi hain kyun ke zyada ahem factors decline ke hain. Jaisa ke dekha ja sakta hai, pound ne poori pichli hafta US dollar ke against strengthen kiya hai; magar yeh tasveer dosre major pairs ke liye bhi milti julti hai, halaan ke pound sab se zyada strong raha. Mere khayal se growth cycle mukammal ho chuka hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ek large structure teen waves ka, pehli aur teesri lagbhag size mein milti julhti hain, koi khaas accuracy yahan zaroori nahi, bas yeh saaf hai ke cycle teen waves se bana hai. Teesri wave ka location dekha ja sakta hai, yeh last April ka maximum hai aur sath hi ek horizontal strong resistance level 1.2707 ka hai jo ke daily chart pe behtar dekhta hai.





Teesri wave ko dekhain, markings ke bagair bhi pata chalta hai ke yeh paanch waves pe mushtamil hai, teesri sab se lambi jo ke pichle hafta Wednesday ko hui thi jab intensive growth tha, phir Thursday ko ek rollback aayi thi fourth wave ke liye aur Friday ko upar chale gaye aur paanchvi wave bana li. Iss hafta hum maximum pe atak gaye hain. Iss tarah, paanch younger waves ka complete growth cycle ek third older wave mein bana. Aur growth MACD aur CCI indicators pe bearish divergence ke sath khatam hui. Plus, yahan hum note kar sakte hain ke price ab ascending channel ke andar top ke paas move kar rahi hai. Kal poora din hum ne wahin par phasa diya, mera khayal hai yeh purchase reduction ke liye ek accumulation hai. Agar aap daily period ke CCI indicator pe dhyan dein, to dekha ja sakta hai ke yeh upper overheating zone se niche move karne ke liye tayar hai, yeh reduction ke haq mein ek significant additional argument hai. Iss tarah, readings ka set yeh indicate karta hai ke 1.2587 aur 1.2566 ke darmiyan area mein decline hoga, aur ascending channel ke bottom tak, jahan yeh sab kuch paas hi located hai.

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko, Aaj mai GBP USD aur forex market ke bunyadiyat ke sath dekh raha hoon aur GBP/USD ne taqreeban poora din 1.2691 aur 1.2701 ke darmiyan ek saflat range mein guzara. Ji han, aapne sahi parha, keemat European trading session aur US session ke adhe hisse mein 10-point ka side channel mein reh gaya. Ye taqreeban British currency ke movement ko Monday ko sum up karta hai. US session ke darmiyan, keemat is range ke ooper nahi gayi, lekin upar ki taraf ki movement short-lived thi. Ye shak hai ke is buy signal ko capitalise karne ki koi zarurat thi ya nahi, jo ke 8 ghanton mein bana, kyun ke pooray din ke liye overall volatility 40 pips tak nahi pohanchi. Hourly timeframe par ascending trend line maqbool hai, aur British currency ke growth ke khatam hone ki koi alamat nahi hain abhi.

British pound bina kisi substantial basis ke barhata rehta hai, lekin ye baat traders ko ab kisi bhi tarah ki hairat nahi hoti. Pichle che mahino se (ya shayad zyada bhi), pound ne intehai ghair mantooqi barhawa diya hai. To hum phir se dekhte hain ke pound kaise market activity kam hone par bhi, Monday ko bhi, fundamental aur macroeconomic events ke poore ikhtiyaar ke baad bhi, 250-pip rally ke baad bhi, aur Bank of England ke is saal ke summer mein intezar mein muntakhib daromad ke bawajood bhi barhata hai. Agar kisi reader ko humare ghair mantooqi barhne ke baare mein shaq tha, to wo khud ko kal tasdeeq kar sakte the. Mushkil hai ke ye movement kitna lamba chalega. Technically, upar ki taraf trading mumkin hai, lekin bunyadiyat se, jodi khareedne ka koi sabab nahi hai. 1H chart par, GBP/USD ab bhi bullish correction ke zariye guzarti hai. Keemat ne doosri koshish par 1.2605-1.2620 area ko aasani se paar kar liya, aur 1.2691-1.2701 area bhi kharidaron ko rokne mein nakam raha. Market ye dikhata hai ke wo pound khareedne ko tayyar hai, chahe fundamental aur macroeconomic background ho ya na ho. Ye matlab hai ke pair ka movement ghair mantooqi hai, isliye kisi pattern ki talash karne ka koi maqsad nahi hai. Halanki, mojooda trend line ko tor dena zaroori nahi hai ke girawat shuru ho jaye. Budh ko, US mein koi ahem events ya reports darust nahi hain. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ki guftagu hogi, jo ke bohot dilchasp ho sakti hai. Yani, agar market har khabar aur waqiya par logic se react kare, to bohot dilchasp hota. Lekin yun nahi hota, to Bailey jo bhi kehte hain, wo koi farq nahi padta. Market ke zyada tar bahanaon ko pound ke favor mein samajhti hai.

Main GBP/USD currency pair ki volatile analysis share karunga aur umeed hai ke ye aapko market mein dakhil hone aur market se bahar aane mein madad karega. Jaise humein peechle trading session mein pata chala hai, ek mukammal chaar ghante ka market review ke baad, traders ne 1.2655 ke psychological support threshold ko torne ki koshish ki. afsos ke sath, ye koshish nakam sabit hui. Agar unhen is ahem support point ko paar karne mein kamyabi milti, to keemat shayad mazeed nichle jaati takleef ke doosre support level ka saamna karni parti. Bechani ke shortfalls ke baad, ab market ne khareedaron ka izaafa dekha hai. Haal mein, keemat Middle Band aur Exponential Moving Average of 50 ke upar hai, jo ke GBPUSD currency pairing mein mazid upar ka raasta ishaara karta hai. Ek bullish candle ka ubharna dikhata hai ke khareedaron ne nazdeeki resistance barrier ko 1.2755 par challenge karne ka iraada kiya hai. Agar ye resistance kaamyabi se paar ho jaye, to keemat shayad mazeed baqaeda uthrega, agle resistance tier ko target karte hue.




Chalte hue technical scrutiny ke natije mein, GBP/USD currency pairing ek bullish pattern dikhata hai. Trading approach mein shamil hai 1.2700 ke support mark par long positions shuru karna, jab ke pehle level ko paar karne par 1.2650 par aur ek aur entry ka intezar hai. In entries ki tasdeeq pin bars aur bullish engulfing candlestick patterns ke zariye ki jayegi, jo ke keemat ki potentiol reversal aur mazbooti ki ishara dete hain. Ehtiyaatmand risk management zaroori hai, jisme ek minimum 1:1 risk-reward ratio par stop loss aur 100 pips tak ka munafa maqsood hai, jo kay waqe waqea market dynamics ke mutabiq tarmeem ke liye hai. Nigraani ke liye ahem levels woh primary aur secondary support thresholds hain, saath hi nazdeeki resistance barrier bhi shamil hai. Ye strategic blueprint bullish momentum ko leverage karne ka iraada rakhta hai jabke ehtiyaat se stop losses aur profit targets ki mojoodgi se risk ko hawala dekar kam karta hai.

GBP/USD Timeframe

Main aik analysis share karunga jis mein volatile currency pair GBP/USD ka tajziya hoga aur mujhe umeed hai ke ye aapko market mein dakhil hone aur market se bahar aane mein madad karega. Jaise humein peechle trading session mein pata chala hai, ek mukammal chaar ghante ka market review ke baad, traders ne 1.2655 ke psychological support threshold ko torne ki koshish ki. afsos ke sath, ye koshish nakam sabit hui. Agar unhen is ahem support point ko paar karne mein kamyabi milti, to keemat shayad mazeed nichle jaati takleef ke doosre support level ka saamna karni parti. Bechani ke shortfalls ke baad, ab market ne khareedaron ka izaafa dekha hai. Haal mein, keemat Middle Band aur Exponential Moving Average of 50 ke upar hai, jo ke GBPUSD currency pairing mein mazid upar ka raasta ishaara karta hai. Ek bullish candle ka ubharna ye dikhata hai ke khareedaron ne nazdeeki resistance barrier ko 1.2755 par challenge karne ke liye tayar kiya hai. Agar ye resistance kaamyabi se paar ho jaye, to keemat shayad mazeed baqaeda uthrega, agle resistance tier ko target karte hue.



Assalam-o-Alaikum. Asal mein, kuch bhi ho sakta hai, kyun ke main shakhsan hamari growth ki imkan ko inkar nahi karta, khaaskar jab local uparward movement jaari hai, aur main khud ye nahi kehta ke ye tora gaya hai. Magar dosri taraf, ab bhi janoobi dabao hai, aur area thora neeche 1.2530 ko maqami tor par muzakar kar sakte hain. Beshak, ye qadar note karna laazmi hai ke dollar khud ab barh raha hai, magar dollar ke future mein trading kaise hoti hai, ye ahem hai. Aam tor par, meray liye situation abhi bhi asaan nahi hai, magar qareebi muddaton ke maqami maqasid ubhar rahe hain. Is liye, main ab sirf janoob ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Agar hum 1.26 ke upar pohanch jayein, to main wahan se farokht ko inkar nahi karta, khaaskar jabke stops chhote honge.

GBP/USD H-4

Tajwez - GBP/USD 124.95. Salam. Mohtarmaat aur hazraat, mojooda market ke halaat ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke harkat ke do intehaiar ho sakte hain. Pehla intehaiar, jab taqseem line 1.25596 line 1.25669 ko oopar se neeche se cross karti hai, aik farokht ka signal milta hai. Ichimoku indicator mein badalne wala aik ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Ye mazboot support aur resistance levels ke surat mein lagaya jata hai. Haal mein, baadal ko zyada resistance lana nahi lagta. Jodi 1.25557 par trading kar rahi hai, Span A line par 1.25635 ke neeche, jo ke baadal ke aik hissa hai. Span B 1.25520 line baadal ki doosri line hai, jo ke market ke liye zyada support hai. Farokht ke liye, aap ko intezar karna hoga jab tak market Span B ke neeche rukta hai aur resistance ban jata hai, jo ke dohran ke liye dakhilay ka point banega. Dusra intehaiar hai ke baadal ko oopar le kar izafa karna aur baadal ko oopar daba dena. Is ke ilawa, jab bottom-up reversal line machine line se guzar jati hai, to aik kharid ki shakal banti hai aur ek kharid ki zaroorat hoti hai.



Assalam-o-Alaikum. Asal mein, kuch bhi ho sakta hai, kyun ke main shakhsan hamari growth ki imkan ko inkar nahi karta, khaaskar jab local uparward movement jaari hai, aur main khud ye nahi kehta ke ye tora gaya hai. Magar dosri taraf, ab bhi janoobi dabao hai, aur area thora neeche 1.2530 ko muzakar kar sakte hain. Beshak, ye qadar note karna laazmi hai ke dollar khud ab barh raha hai, magar dollar ke future mein trading kaise hoti hai, ye ahem hai. Aam tor par, meray liye situation abhi bhi asaan nahi hai, magar qareebi muddaton ke maqami maqasid ubhar rahe hain. Is liye, main ab sirf janoob ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Agar hum 1.26 ke upar pohanch jayein, to main wahan se farokht ko inkar nahi karta, khaaskar jabke stops chhote honge.

GBP/USD currency pair, jo H1 (hourly) time frame par dekha gaya hai, haal hi mein traders aur market analysts ka tawajjo hasil kiya hai. Ye tawajjo un notable patterns aur indicators se juda hai jo ek ahem reversal ki sambhavna ko ishara karte hain, jo ke shayad ek downtrend ki taraf rukh ki nashan dahi karta hai. Is currency pair ke daira-e-fikar mein market sentiment ko qareeb se nazar andaaz kiya gaya hai, khaaskar un mukhtalif macroeconomic factors ke paish-e-nazar jo British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) dono ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Traders khaas tor par technical signals aur chart patterns ko tashreeh karne mein dilchaspi rakhte hain jo mustaqbil ke harkat ko samajhne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain.

H1 time frame aik tafseeli nazar faraham karta hai, jis mein potential dakhil aur nikalne ke points ko pehchaan kar sakte hain jo daily ya weekly charts jese zyada time frames par nazar andaz kiye ja sakte hain. Downtrend ki tafseelati raaye par shak hai ke kuch ahem technical indicators ke haal ki karwai se. Misal ke tor par, moving averages, jo aksar price action ko smooth karna aur trends ko pehchanne ke liye istemal kiye jate hain, ne bearish crossover patterns ke nishaan dikhaye hain. Bearish crossover tab hota hai jab aik chhote arse ke moving average ko lambi arse ke moving average ke neeche cross karti hai, jo ke bullish se bearish ki taraf momentum ka shift ki sambhavna dikhata hai. Ye crossover aik mazboot signal hai jo traders ke liye nazar andaaz kiya jata hai, kyun ke ye aksar ek bara market correction ya reversal se pehle hota hai.



Aakhri mein, H1 time frame par GBP/USD pair kai signs dikhata hai jo ek qareebi reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders aur analysts technical indicators, candlestick patterns, aur fundamental economic data ko qareebi nazar mein rakhte hain taake is potential shift ko navige karein. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo trading decisions banate waqt technical aur fundamental factors dono ko madde nazar rakhein, aur aik market environment mein chaukaniyon se bachein jo tezi se tabdeel ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD H4

Bas ab sirf intezar hai ke jodi dakshin ki taraf mor aaye, aur pehle se gehra dakshin. GBP/USD clearly "expanding triangle" formation ko samajh rahe hain, jab ek punji ko uske upper border se mila tha. Nazdeek tarah ki ta'eed 1.2635 par mojood hai, aur resistance tezi se ke roop mein keemat ke peeche chal raha hai, aur ab ye 1.2655 ke darje par mojood hai. Zahir hai ke yeh keemat ke paanchwe wave mein abhi bhi chhota izaafa ho sakta hai, lekin main yeh ummeed nahi rakhta ke yeh 1.27 se zyada ho sakta hai. Yeh, zaroor hai, agar yeh cycle paanch wave ki structure rakhta ho. Bilkul yeh waqt bechnay ke liye nahi hai, kyun ke jodi ta'eed par hai, aur trading range itni badi nahi hai. Magar 1.2635 ke darje ka tootna jodi ko 1.2590 aur mazeed 1.2555 ki taraf bhej dega, aur is level ka tootna behtar farokht dikhayega. Haqeeqat mein, khabar ki pushto ki ja chuki hai, aur ab USA mein jo musbat tha wo tajziya kiya ja raha hai.



Kal ke baad, pound 1.2642–1.2678 ke darje ke darmiyan chala gaya aur ab 1.2652 par trading ho raha hai. Upar ki taraf, H4 timeframe ke mutabiq, ek zyada ke 1.2699 ka zyada, jo kal Asia mein bana tha, aur seedha neeche ek bayabar ke zone hai. Agar hum niche kya hai, to yahan humein ta'eed aur ek mirror level ke trend line hai 1.2633 par. Mantiki hai ke keemat inn huddiyon ke takrao par ta'eed dhoondhegi, aur upar ko bayabar ke liye uski bay-iltiqa dikhana zaroori hai aur maksimum ko test karna hai. Ye kahna mushkil hai ke yeh kab hoga, shayad aaj bhi nahi. Kyunki niche ke sudhaar ke liye mood hai, magar abhi abhi Jumeraat ka aadha din baqi hai, shayad harkat ho.

British Pound (GBP) is waqt din ke early trading session (Asian session) mein apni saans rok kar betha hai. GBP/USD currency pair tight range mein sideways trade kar raha hai, ke price fluctuations minimal hain. Yeh calmness shayad investors ke kisi bhi major move se pehle rukne ki wajah se hai, jab tak UK se key data dump aaj later arrive nahi ho jata. Main event jis ka sab intezar kar rahe hain, woh hai consumer price index (CPI) ka release April ke liye Britain mein. CPI inflation ko measure karta hai, jo ke rate hota hai jis par goods aur services ki prices rise ho rahi hoti hain. Ek strong CPI reading, jo ke higher inflation indicate karti hai, Pound ke liye positive ho sakti hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke higher inflation aksar central banks ko interest rates raise karne par majboor karti hai. Higher interest rates foreign investors ko better returns talash karne ke liye attract kar sakti hain, jo ke ek currency ko strengthen kar sakti hain.

Magar, ek weak CPI reading, jo lower inflation ko suggest kare, Pound par downward pressure daal sakti hai. Investors ko yeh concern ho sakta hai ke Bank of England (BOE), jo ke UK ka central bank hai, jald hi interest rates raise karne ke imkanat kam hain. Isse kuch investors apne Pounds ko sell karke zyada attractive interest rates wali currencies ko prefer kar sakte hain. Headline CPI figure ke ilawa, UK ke kayi aur economic indicators bhi aaj release honge, halan ke unhein CPI ke muqable mein kam importance di jaati hai. Later trading session (American session) ke liye dekhte huay, focus across the pond United States par shift ho jayega. Yahan, secondary housing market ke data release ka sabse zyada interest hai. Secondary housing market existing homes ke buying aur selling ko refer karta hai. Is sector se strong data ko US economy ke liye positive sign samjha ja sakta hai, jo US Dollar (USD) ko boost de sakta hai.

American session ka main event, however, recent meeting of the Federal Reserve, jo ke US ka central bank hai, ke minutes ka release hai. Yeh minutes US economy ke current state aur monetary policy, including interest rates, par Fed ke thoughts ka insight provide karenge. Analyst ne 1.2665 par ek key level identify kiya hai. Agar GBP/USD price is level ke neeche dip karke consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh further potential decline ko signal kar sakti hai. Is scenario mein, analyst buying opportunities ko 1.2635 aur 1.2615 ke around anticipate karta hai, aiming to capitalize on a potential reversal. Dosri taraf, agar price 1.2665 ke upar hold karti hai, toh analyst GBP/USD ko buy karne ka soch raha hai with a target price range between 1.2765 aur 1.2815. Yeh scenario positive data from the UK ko require karega, potentially leading to increased investor confidence in the Pound.

Market Trading ke liye 1-Ghantay ka Time Frame ka Tajziya

1-ghantay ke time frame ka rujhan jaanchne ke baad, ye wazeh hai ke halaat ki hawai 100-period moving average ke movement range ke andar halat ki raah ko badalne ki koshish hai. Ye moving average aik dynamic support aur resistance level ka kaam karta hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan jari jang ka numainda hai. Haalaanki, 100 MA se haal hilne ke bawajood, jo ke androni darkhwast ko darust karta hai, pair is average ke neeche rehta hai, jo ke ek mojooda bearish jazbaat ko ishaarat karta hai. Buland lows aur highs ka zuhoor ek mumkin rukh ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo ke sellers ko ek mouqa deta hai ke market mein dobara dakhil ho sakte hain aur agar upar ki taraf ka raftar agle resistance level 1.2570 ke aas paas ko paar nahi karta, to mumkinah tor par bearish trend ko lamba kar sakte hain. Agar ye resistance paar nahi hota to yeh bearish inkaar ho sakta hai, jo ke sellers ko aik mumkin rokawat se faida uthane ki ijaazat de sakta hai.

Bearish resistance ke lehaaz se, RBS area par tawajjo draw ki jati hai, jahan ke andaruni darkhwast ke takreeban 1.2495 aur 1.2510 ke darmiyan qeemat ka andaza lagaya jata hai. Halankeh yeh zone tareekhi tor par support level ka kaam karti rahi hai, lekin is ke neeche girna aage ki neechayi harkat ko dor kar sakta hai. Mojooda market mahol mein jo ke bullish aur bearish forron ke darmiyan hamwar kaam hota hai, dono khareedari aur farokht ke mouqe barabar ke imkaanat faraham karte hain, iska ahamiyat ko pehle muddat mein short-term transactions par dawat dena hai.



Short-term dakhilay ke strategies ke liye, traders ko 1.2550 ke upper supply area se khareedari ke mouqe ke charchay, jahan farokht dabao paida ho sakta hai, ya 1.2480 ke neeche demand zone se khareedari ke mawaqay ka jaiza lene ka sochna chahiye, jahan khareedari ke dilchaspi ka josh ubhar sakta hai. A bullish manzar 1.2575 ke ooper aik naye safar mein samne aa sakta hai, jis se qeemat ko aglay resistance zone 1.2640 ke aas paas ko chalne ka tasawwur kiya ja sakta hai. Is level ke ooper band hone par ek bullish trend ko dafa karne wala ishaara hota hai, jo ke ek taqatwar upar ki taraf raftar ko darust karta hai. Baraks, bearish trend ka mustaqil jari rahne ka tasdeeqi saboot hota hai. Is level ke neeche chalne se purani mahine ki kamtar qeemat ki hadood ke neeche gir sakti hai, jo ke 1.2310 ke range ke andar mojood hai. Agar ye ahem support area paar ho jaye to yeh ek bearish taraqqi ko ishara karta hai, jo ke aik gehra tehqeeb ko mutasir kar sakta hai.

Jab trading ka din Jumma ko shuru hua, to Pound Sterling ek martaba phir apne aap ko US Dollar ke khilaf ek downtrend mein phans gaya. Ye raah is wakt ki manzar-e-aam mein sama gayi hai jab Greenback apni qawwati ko apne aalmi hamrahon par istemal kar raha hai. Jab Cable nuqsaan darj kar raha tha, to wo aik mustaqil manzil banaye rakha, bohat intezar ke baad Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy decision ke qareeb.

Maujooda doran, GBP/USD pair 1.2701 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.51% ki kami darust karta hai.

Federal Reserve ke shura nay Thomas Barkin ke taqreeb se mael ki jane wale maloomat ne market dynamics ko mazeed gehraai di. Barkin ne mushtariyon ko yaqeen dilaya ke maujooda interest rates ne mahangai ko khatam karne mein kisi kami ko nahi anay diya, aur federal reserve ko aik mustaqil job market par dhiyan dene ki salahiyat bhi di. Aisi raayein amrika federal reserve ke andar ehtiyati umeed ko saabit karti hain, jise rate adjustment ke pehle mazeed data ki zaroorat hai.

Haal hi mein Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki faisla mandana tijarat ko dhamaka deta hai. Khaaskar, ye faisla US inflation data ke ijaad ki wajah se aya, jo ke umeedon se behtar tha. Ye ghair mutawaqqa inflation figures ne afosat ko fatah kar diya ke foran rate kaatne ka faisla na kiya jaye. Is natije mein, maali manzar ko aik nihayat tasneef hone mein madad mili, jahan market projections ne saal bhar ke liye mutawaqqa rate kaatne ki tadfeen ko dubara dekha.

Technical Outlook aur Key Levels:

Pivotal levels ko halat e bazar ke flux ke doran shamil kiya jata hai. Agar pair ne manshoor nafsani divar ko 1.2700 par paar kar liya, to dhaare ke 200-day moving average (DMA) par tawajjo 1.2714 par milti hai. Agar ye juncture paar ho gaya, to ye ek potential upar ki taraf ka rukh tayar karta hai, jahan May 6 ki unchi 1.2941 tak pohonch sakti hai. Magar, sab se ahem baat ye hai ke May 3 ko dekhi gayi latest cycle ki unchi 1.2633 ko yaad rakhna hai.



Maujooda rujhan GBP/USD pair ke liye ek neeche ki taraf ka rukh ko ishara karta hai. Jabke din ka low 1.2643 ke aas paas istiqamat dikhata hai, to support trendline ko paar na karne ka naqsha e nazar ne hifazati parcham buland kar diya hai. Agar neeche ki dabaav barh jaye, to pair ka agla support May 9 ki kam 1.2444 tak mojood hai, phir 1.2400 ki nafsiyati hadood. Agar ye darwaza paar ho gaya, to aik ahem support zone nazar ata hai, jis ka base year-to-date (YTD) low 1.2298 par hai.