جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD pair mein mazeed girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke ek naya 4-week low tak pohch gayi, jab ke Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeedain kamzor ho gayi hain, is ke pichay mazboot US labor market data hai. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical tensions ne risk-off environment ko barhawa diya, jo ke British Pound par aur zyada wazan dal raha hai. Market ab November mein dovish 25 basis point ka rate cut price kar raha hai, jo ke market ke expectations se neeche hai, jab ke Fed ne September mein aggressive 50 basis point ka cut diya tha. Lekin, Fed ki rhetoric yeh suggest karti hai ke agar US economy mein mazeed kharabi aayi, khaaskar US labor market mein, to interest rates mein zyada volatility aasakti hai.
Pichlay haftay ke strong nonfarm payrolls data ne November mein do rate cuts ki umeed ko tor diya, aur interest rate traders ab is baat ka ek-in-five chance de rahe hain ke November mein koi rate cut nahi hoga. Jab ke UK se data limited hai, sterling traders ab US CPI inflation data ko closely dekh rahe hain jo ke Fed ki future monetary policy ka raasta tay karne mein madad de sakti hai.GBP/USD pair ne apni 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ko break kiya hai aur ab 1.3100 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo mid-September se nahi dekha gaya tha. Sterling mein 2.8% ki weakness aayi hai, halaan ke pichlay month mein multi-year highs dekhe gaye the. Technically, GBP/USD pair se ek corrective bounce ki umeed hai towards 1.3154 aur high volume node area ke neeche daily bullish range ke neeche tak. Lekin mazeed losses ke imkanaat hain, aur potential support levels 1.3032 par hain.Mazboot US dollar ki wajah se GBP/USD ka loss aur zyada severe hogaya hai. Yeh girawat US labor market data ki wajah se hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke less aggressive rate-cut scenario ko barhawa de raha hai. Dollar ne apni safe-haven position qaim rakhi hai, halaan ke Middle East tensions ki wajah se market mein volatility hai, jo pair par pressure barhata hai aur agar 1.3100 ka support break hota hai to further declines ka imkaan hai.
Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level GBP bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga. Agar sellers ka control barh gaya aur price 1.3050 ke neeche chali gayi, to pair 1.3030 ka figure challenge kar sakta hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to agla support 1.3023 ke qareeb hoga, followed by 1.3000 ka key level. Mazeed girawat mein pair 50-day moving average (DMA) ko test kar sakta hai at 1.2973, jo ke bearish traders ke liye dekhne ka ek critical area hoga.

bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai

GBPUSD ki harakat ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke bullish candle resistance 1.3428 ko torhne mein nakam rahi. Yeh ek nishani hai ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ho rahi hai, halan ke harga upar ki taraf koshish ki. Yeh level ek ahm psychological barrier hai; agar yeh nahi toota, toh harga ka girna mumkin hai. Yeh mazboot resistance GBPUSD ki short-term upar ki taraf chalne mein rukawat daal sakta hai. Aane wale hafte ke liye trading ka plan yeh hai ke GBPUSD ka girna aur Moving Average (MA) 200 ki taraf aana dekha jaye. Jo trend hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke girawat ki sambhavana zyada hai, khaaskar agar koi fundamental factors GBP ko dabao dalte hain. Is liye, sell strategy ko tarjeeh deni chahiye, MA 200 ko support target ke tor par rakhte hue. Filhal harga MA 200 ke upar hai, lekin yeh us taraf aa sakta hai. MA 200 ek mazboot support hai jo girawat ko rokne ki koshish karega. Lekin, harga abhi tak khaafi landa hai aur trendline ko aggressively nahi toor raha. Yeh market mein uncertainty ko dikhata hai, jahan buyers aur sellers apni direction dhoondh rahe hain. Agar girawat ka momentum kafi nahi hua, toh harga sideways move karega. MA ke beech crossing jo ke bullish trend ko dikhati hai, woh bhi ab zyada taqat nahi rakh rahi. Yeh yeh bhi dikhata hai ke GBPUSD upar jaane ki taqat khatam hoti ja rahi hai, aur selling pressure barh raha hai. Aaj tak ki GBPUSD ki harakat yeh dikhati hai ke yeh resistance 1.3425 aur support 1.3365 ke beech sideway/ranging hai. Resistance 1.3425 ko baar baar test kiya gaya hai, aur ab yeh fresh nahi hai, is liye asani se toota ja sakta hai. Waisa hi support 1.3365 bhi ab fresh nahi hai, aur agar harga neeche ki taraf jaata hai, toh support 1.3313 tak pahunch sakta hai. Is waqt trend ab bhi bullish hai aur harga upar jaane ki sambhavana rakh raha hai. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke harga pehle thoda correction dekhe kyunke six weeks tak continuous rally hui hai. Stochastic indicator bhi bullish movement ko support kar raha hai, lekin oversold zone tak nahi pahunch raha. Yeh sab milkar yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD abhi bhi upar ki taraf ja sakta hai, lekin cautious rehna zaroori hai

ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf

USD currency pair ek aham technical level ke qareeb aa raha hai, jahan 1.3400 ka mark todne ki potential hai. Agar yeh level toota, toh yeh upar ki taraf aur movement ka darwaza khol sakta hai, jahan agla major resistance level 1.3437 hoga. Yeh level 1 March 2022 ka high darshata hai, aur is tak pahunchnay se British pound ki US dollar ke muqablay mein taqat darshayi jaayegi. Traders isay bullish trend ka jaari rehna samjhenge, khaas taur par agar momentum is point se aage barhta hai.
Agar GBP/USD pair 1.3437 ke resistance ko toota, toh agla dhyan psychological aur technical hurdle 1.3500 par hoga. Yeh round number forex trading mein ek critical level banata hai, kyunki yeh traders ke liye strong psychological ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar yeh barrier toota, toh agla target 1.3550 tay kiya ja sakta hai. 1.3500 ke upar ka break pound ki taqat ka darshak hoga, jo economic data, market sentiment, ya geopolitical developments ki wajah se British economy ko faida pohanchata hai.

Lekin agar pair 1.3400 level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam hota hai aur girne lagta hai, toh ek mukhtalif manzar-e-qabul samne aa sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.3300 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh potential retreat aur bearish correction ki shuruat ka ishara dega. Is surat mein, GBP/USD ko September 23 ke low par pehli support milayegi, jo 1.3248 par record hui thi. Yeh level ek key point of support hai jahan buyers shayad further losses ko rokne ke liye aayenge. Agar yeh support level toota, toh agla support level 1.3200 hoga, jo traders ke liye

Spot price apni girawat ko teen consecutive din tak barhata raha, lekin ab yeh apne daily aur weekly lows 1.3066 se bounce karke lagbhag 1.3120 par trade kar raha hai. Currency pair ne US economic data ke release ke baad neeche ki taraf pressure mehsoos kiya, khaaskar Federal Reserve ka pasandida inflation gauge jo expectations par pura utra. Is data ne yeh speculation barhadi ke US Federal Reserve agle September meeting mein rate cut par ghoor kar sakta hai. Jab tak market band hua, GBP/USD 1.3121 ke aas-paas tha, jo din ke dauran pehle ke lows se thodi recovery darshata hai.
Cable US Dollar ke khilaf 1.3070 ke nazdeek gir gaya, pichle hafte critical support level 1.3066 ke neeche girne ke baad muskil mein hai. Lekin, daily timeframe par Channel chart formation ke breakout zone ke nazdeek buying interest emerge hone ki sambhavna hai. Yeh region pair ke liye ek mazboot support level ban sakta hai jab traders GBP/USD ke agle direction ka andaza laga rahe hain.


US economy ne ghaflati taqat dikhai, jahan Gross Domestic Product (GDP) dusre quarter mein 3.0% tak barh gaya, jo ke 2.8% ke projected growth rate se zyada hai. Is mazboot economic performance ne US Dollar ko aur bhi mazboot banaya. Iske ilawa, US Initial Jobless Claims report ne dikhaya ke unemployment claims August 23 tak ke hafte mein 231,000 tak kam hue, jo pehle ke 233,000 se neeche hai aur expectations ke 232,000 se thoda kam hai. Yeh positive employment data Greenback ke momentum ko Pound Sterling ke khilaf barhata hai.

Halaanki pichli losses ke bawajood, British Pound ke liye neeche ki taraf ka risk limited ho sakta hai kyunki umeed hai ke Bank of England (BoE) US Federal Reserve ke muqablay mein lambi muddat tak zyada interest rates rakhega. BoE ne haal hi mein interest rates ko 25 basis points se kam karke 5% kiya hai, aur market participants agle saal ke end tak aur 40 basis points ke cuts ka andaza laga rahe hain. BoE ka yeh hawkish stance medium term mein GBP ke liye support de sakta hai

US economy ne ghaflati taqat dikhai, jahan Gross Domestic Product (GDP) dusre quarter mein 3.0% tak barh gaya, jo ke 2.8% ke projected growth rate se zyada hai. Is mazboot economic performance ne US Dollar ko aur bhi mazboot banaya. Iske ilawa, US Initial Jobless Claims report ne dikhaya ke unemployment claims August 23 tak ke hafte mein 231,000 tak kam hue, jo pehle ke 233,000 se neeche hai aur expectations ke 232,000 se thoda kam hai. Yeh positive employment data Greenback ke momentum ko Pound Sterling ke khilaf barhata hai.
Halaanki pichli losses ke bawajood, British Pound ke liye neeche ki taraf ka risk limited ho sakta hai kyunki umeed hai ke Bank of England (BoE) US Federal Reserve ke muqablay mein lambi muddat tak zyada interest rates rakhega. BoE ne haal hi mein interest rates ko 25 basis points se kam karke 5% kiya hai, aur market participants agle saal ke end tak aur 40 basis points ke cuts ka andaza laga rahe hain. BoE ka yeh hawkish stance medium term mein GBP ke liye support de sakta hai.

Spot price multi-year highs 1.3430 se peeche hat gaya hai aur 1.3050 level ke neeche aa gaya hai jab US Dollar par selling pressure kam hone laga. Lekin, yeh recent highs ke nazdeek bana hua hai, August mein 29-month peak tak pahunchnay ke baad. Price action bullish side ko pasand karta hai, jo 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3109 ke upar hai. Neeche ki taraf, GBP/USD traders ke liye short-term targets 20-day EMA hain, jo 1.3230 mark ke thoda upar hai

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai

GBP/USD ke case mein, upward engulfing pattern yeh reflect karta hai ke traders mein optimism barh raha hai ke pound dollar ke muqable mein qareebi waqt mein mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai.
1.3395 ka level bohot zyada ahem hai kyun ke yeh woh point hai jahan buying interest barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. GBP/USD mein long positions lene wale traders ke liye yeh level attractive ho sakta hai ke apni positions open ya aur zyada badhayein, kyun ke engulfing pattern yeh zahir karta hai ke price yahan se barh sakti hai. Lekin broader market conditions aur kisi bhi resistance levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo upward momentum ko rok sakte hain.
Pullback ka Imkaan
Is bullish signal ke bawajood, kuch indications hain ke price mein ek pullback ho sakta hai jab tak ke upward move mazeed barh na jaye. Short positions ya "shorts" kaafi imkaan hai ke 1.3310 ke aas paas profit lena shuru kar dein, jo un traders ka level hai jo pair mein temporary decline ka soch rahe hain. Yeh pullback market ko consolidation ka waqt de sakta hai, jisse price ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai taake phir se higher levels ki taraf move karein.
Rollback 1.3340 ya 1.3370 tak bhi ho sakta hai, jahan short sellers is opportunity ka faida utha sakte hain ke price apne upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paa rahi. Yeh levels support aur resistance areas ke tor par kaam karte hain jahan price action zyada volatile ho sakta hai jab mukhtalif traders apni positions adjust karte hain.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahem Factors
Bohot se fundamental factors GBP/USD pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. UK aur US se anay wali economic data bohot ahem role ada karegi ke pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed taqat hasil karta hai ya nahi. Maslan, agar UK ki GDP growth ya inflation data mazid strong aati hai, toh pound ko aur support milne ka imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar UK economy mein koi weakness hoti hai, toh traders long positions lene mein ehtiyaat karenge.
Isi tarah, US dollar ke developments bhi pair par asar dal sakte hain. Dollar ko rising interest rate expectations ka faida ho raha hai, aur agar Federal Reserve mazeed aggressive monetary tightening ka signal deta hai, toh dollar mazeed taqat hasil kar sakta hai, jisse GBP/USD ko upward move sustain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ke jode me girawat aayegi. Yaumiyah chart aur Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, Bartanwi pound ke ooper ki taraf palatne se pahle 1.2920 ki satah tak girne ka imkan hai. Halankeh, 1-ghante ke chart se pata chalta hai keh 1.2982 ki satah aaj support ke taur par kam karti hai. Lehaza, sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh pound/dollar ka joda 1.3092 ki maujudah satah se 1.2982 ki support satah tak gir jayegi aur fir 1.3000 ke nishan par wapas aa jayegi. Iske bad hi, kuch dino me pound ke 1.2920 ki satah tak girne ki ummid hai.

اکتوبر 8 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کو، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے دوسری بار 1.3090 سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے توڑنے کی کوشش کی۔ تاہم، جمعہ کو یہ کوشش ناکام رہی، اور دن اس سطح سے اوپر بند ہوا۔ آج کا آغاز ترقی کے ساتھ ہوا، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر آہستہ آہستہ اوپر کی طرف مڑ رہا ہے۔



قیمت کا اگلا فوری ہدف 1.3141 مزاحمت کو توڑنا ہے، جس کے بالکل اوپر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن بڑھ رہی ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے قیمت مستحکم ہونے کے باوجود، امریکہ میں سمندری طوفان "ملٹن" کے قریب آنے کی وجہ سے مزید کمی کا امکان نہیں ہے۔



چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر گروتھ زون میں داخل ہونے کے قریب ہے۔ ایک بار جب یہ منتقلی ہو جائے تو، پاؤنڈ مزید اعتماد کے ساتھ اپنا اضافہ جاری رکھ سکتا ہے۔ تاہم، نمو کا امکان سست ہوگا کیونکہ، 1.3141 پر قابو پانے کے بعد، قیمت کو 1.3220 پر ایک اور مضبوط سطح کا سامنا کرنا پڑے گا، جس کی حمایت چھوٹے پیمانے پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے ہوگی۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD ke exchange rate ka samna ek mushkil surat-e-haal se hai, jo dono currencies par mukhtalif economic asraat ka nateeja hai. Ye pair haal hi mein peechle din ke low 1.3352 ke neechay gir gaya, aur 137 se zyada pips ka nuksan hua. Ye tezi se girna market ki halat aur jadeed economic data ke liye ehsaasiyat ko wazeh karta hai. US Federal Reserve ke monetary policies, khaaskar sood ki sharah mein tabdeelion ka tasur, dollar ki taqat par asar daalti hain. Is dauran, Bank of England par bhi mehngai ke zyada hone ke sabab se dabao hai, jisse uski monetary policy par gehri nigah rakhi ja rahi hai. UK ke mazeed economic masail, jaise kamzor growth aur siyasi be-yaqeeniyaan, pound ke dollar ke muqablay mein trajectory ko mukhtalif asraat ke tale banati hain. Jaise hi tajir aanewala economic data aur central bank ke elaan ka intezar kar rahe hain, ye asraat GBP/USD ke rate mein bari tabdeelion ka sabab ban sakti hain. Technically GBP/USD pair aik ahem level ke ird gird trade kar raha hai, jo ek pechida surat-e-haal ko zahir karta hai. Aakhri girawat takreeban 1.3237 tak pohchi, jisse kuch buyers attract hue aur halki si recovery hui, jo do musalsal bullish H1 candles mein numaya hai. Magar, ye bullish momentum kamzor hoti nazar aati hai, jab price 34-period Exponential Moving Average ke qareeb pohchi, jo ek ahem resistance level hai. Zyada tar market sentiment sakoonat ka shikaar hai, aur yeh dekh kar tajiron ko ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai. Yeh bullish ishaare ek trap bhi sabit ho sakte hain agar traders behtareen risk management ko nazarandaz karein. Halaat is waqt bari ehtiyaat ka taqaza karti hain, khaaskar stop-loss orders ko sahi jagah set karna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD pair mein mazeed girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke ek naya 4-week low tak pohch gayi, jab ke Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeedain kamzor ho gayi hain, is ke pichay mazboot US labor market data hai. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical tensions ne risk-off environment ko barhawa diya, jo ke British Pound par aur zyada wazan dal raha hai. Market ab November mein dovish 25 basis point ka rate cut price kar raha hai, jo ke market ke expectations se neeche hai, jab ke Fed ne September mein aggressive 50 basis point ka cut diya tha. Lekin, Fed ki rhetoric yeh suggest karti hai ke agar US economy mein mazeed kharabi aayi, khaaskar US labor market mein, to interest rates mein zyada volatility aasakti hai.
Pichlay haftay ke strong nonfarm payrolls data ne November mein do rate cuts ki umeed ko tor diya, aur interest rate traders ab is baat ka ek-in-five chance de rahe hain ke November mein koi rate cut nahi hoga. Jab ke UK se data limited hai, sterling traders ab US CPI inflation data ko closely dekh rahe hain jo ke Fed ki future monetary policy ka raasta tay karne mein madad de sakti hai.GBP/USD pair ne apni 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ko break kiya hai aur ab 1.3100 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo mid-September se nahi dekha gaya tha. Sterling mein 2.8% ki weakness aayi hai, halaan ke pichlay month mein multi-year highs dekhe gaye the. Technically, GBP/USD pair se ek corrective bounce ki umeed hai towards 1.3154 aur high volume node area ke neeche daily bullish range ke neeche tak. Lekin mazeed losses ke imkanaat hain, aur potential support levels 1.3032 par hain.Mazboot US dollar ki wajah se GBP/USD ka loss aur zyada severe hogaya hai. Yeh girawat US labor market data ki wajah se hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke less aggressive rate-cut scenario ko barhawa de raha hai. Dollar ne apni safe-haven position qaim rakhi hai, halaan ke Middle East tensions ki wajah se market mein volatility hai, jo pair par pressure barhata hai aur agar 1.3100 ka support break hota hai to further declines ka imkaan hai.
Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level GBP bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga. Agar sellers ka control barh gaya aur price 1.3050 ke neeche chali gayi, to pair 1.3030 ka figure challenge kar sakta hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to agla support 1.3023 ke qareeb hoga, followed by 1.3000 ka key level. Mazeed girawat mein pair 50-day moving average (DMA) ko test kar sakta hai at 1.2973, jo ke bearish traders ke liye dekhne ka ek critical area hoga

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Umairafzal456

GBP/USD pair mein mazeed girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke ek naya 4-week low tak pohch gayi, jab ke Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeedain kamzor ho gayi hain, is ke pichay mazboot US labor market data hai. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical tensions ne risk-off environment ko barhawa diya, jo ke British Pound par aur zyada wazan dal raha hai. Market ab November mein dovish 25 basis point ka rate cut price kar raha hai, jo ke market ke expectations se neeche hai, jab ke Fed ne September mein aggressive 50 basis point ka cut diya tha. Lekin, Fed ki rhetoric yeh suggest karti hai ke agar US economy mein mazeed kharabi aayi, khaaskar US labor market mein, to interest rates mein zyada volatility aasakti hai.
Pichlay haftay ke strong nonfarm payrolls data ne November mein do rate cuts ki umeed ko tor diya, aur interest rate traders ab is baat ka ek-in-five chance de rahe hain ke November mein koi rate cut nahi hoga. Jab ke UK se data limited hai, sterling traders ab US CPI inflation data ko closely dekh rahe hain jo ke Fed ki future monetary policy ka raasta tay karne mein madad de sakti hai.GBP/USD pair ne apni 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ko break kiya hai aur ab 1.3100 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo mid-September se nahi dekha gaya tha. Sterling mein 2.8% ki weakness aayi hai, halaan ke pichlay month mein multi-year highs dekhe gaye the. Technically, GBP/USD pair se ek corrective bounce ki umeed hai towards 1.3154 aur high volume node area ke neeche daily bullish range ke neeche tak. Lekin mazeed losses ke imkanaat hain, aur potential support levels 1.3032 par hain.Mazboot US dollar ki wajah se GBP/USD ka loss aur zyada severe hogaya hai. Yeh girawat US labor market data ki wajah se hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke less aggressive rate-cut scenario ko barhawa de raha hai. Dollar ne apni safe-haven position qaim rakhi hai, halaan ke Middle East tensions ki wajah se market mein volatility hai, jo pair par pressure barhata hai aur agar 1.3100 ka support break hota hai to further declines ka imkaan hai.
Neeche ki taraf, 1.3000 ka psychological level GBP bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga. Agar sellers ka control barh gaya aur price 1.3050 ke neeche chali gayi, to pair 1.3030 ka figure challenge kar sakta hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to agla support 1.3023 ke qareeb hoga, followed by 1.3000 ka key level. Mazeed girawat mein pair 50-day moving average (DMA) ko test kar sakta hai at 1.2973, jo ke bearish traders ke liye dekhne ka ek critical area hoga

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai, jismein kal ka breakout bullish buy level se upar nikalna ghalat sabit hua. Is breakout ke baad koi khaas upar ki harkat nahi dekhi gayi, aur bearish sell level 1.31285 ko breach kar diya gaya. Ye bearish breakdown asal mein bullish bias ko khatam kar deta hai, jis wajah se main selling ki taraf shift ho gaya hoon. Ab main ummeed karta hoon ke price kam se kam 1.30859 tak gir sakti hai, lekin ye aur bhi niche ja sakti hai, chahe woh bearish channel ke lower boundary ki taraf ho ya support level 1.29384 tak. Main sirf tab dobara buying ka sochunga jab bullish buy level se upar koi breakout ho. Filhal, meri alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko todne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to main foran buying karunga aur 1.31849-1.32089 resistance levels ki taraf badhne ki ummeed rakhunga. Pehle ki high tak bhi growth ka potential hai.
Main ab bhi upar ki taraf harkat ko mumkin samajhta hoon, isi liye main apni buy position band karne mein hichkichahat kar raha hoon. 1.3049 ke aas-paas ek puri tarah se upward movement price ko mere profit target 1.3407 tak le ja sakti hai, lekin main is natije ki tasdiq nahi kar sakta. Agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jate hain, to main apni buy position manual tor par band kar sakta hoon, kyunki bullish move ke chances kafi kam ho jayenge. Pehle, maine 1.3099-1.3049 range tak girne ki umeed ki thi, aur main ab bhi is ka intezar kar raha hoon kyunki pair filhal overbought lag raha hai. Jab ke euro ne apne gains ko lagbhag mita diya hai, pound sirf 29% tak wapas gaya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% tak girta hai, to European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rates ghatane ki sambhavna hai, jab ke UK ke inflation data ka intezar hai. Jab yeh data release hoga, to market ko samajh aayega ke Bank of England bhi rates ghatata rahega. Overall, is hafte meri GBP/USD ke liye bearish soch hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke pair 1.3141 se upar ja sakta hai.

Yeh nafrat hai ke GBP/USD turant 1.3199 ya isse upar chadhne ki sambhavna hai, kyunki dollar ki taqat behtar fundamentals ki wajah se barh gayi hai. H1 chart par downward pressure barh raha hai, aur momentum kaafi strong lag raha hai. Is waqt, selling kharidne se zyada faida mand lagta hai, kyunki behtar prices for long positions jald mil sakti hain. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 range mein selling ke mauqe 1.3074 support level ke neeche break karne ko target kar sakte hain. Bahut se buyers ne apne stop-losses is level ke paas rakhe hain, aur market is point tak pahunch sakta hai, jo buying ke liye abhi jaldi ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar stops 1.3074 support level ke neeche tootte hain, to buying transactions zyada faida mand ho sakti hain. Agar koi corrective move price ko 1.3182 tak le jata hai, to ye 50-point ka faida ho sakta hai, jo proportionally zyada faida mand hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye tootta hai aur hold karta hai, to agla target 161.8 level tak 1.2992 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo 134 points ki doori tay karega, aur agar bounce hota hai to aage aur faide ki sambhavna hai.