Eurusd forum

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Market ne yaqini taur par mujhe is tarah ke mazbut aaghaz se khush kiya. Kal pre-market trading me gap ko dekhte hue mai is rally ka intezar kar raha tha. Lehaza, maine faisla kiya keh ab waqt aa gaya hai keh suratehal ka faida uthaya jaye aur munafa kamaya jaye.
Aakhir me, maine 40 pips se thoda zyada munafa hasil kiya aur fir apni long positions ko band kar diya. Mai ne unhein band kar diya kiyunkeh mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ki jodi is gap ko bhar degi aur mumkena taur par nichli satah ka test karegi. Darmiyani muddat me, long positions kholna meri tarjih hai.
Halankeh, mukhtasar muddat me, farokht karna mani khez hai kiyunkeh mai tawaqqo karta hun keh gap ko bhara jayega.
Euro/dollar ka joda maujudah satah se niche ki taraf badhna shuru kar sakta hai. Mutabadil taur par, yah 1.0450 tak faide ko badha sakta hai. Is mamle me, intraday short positions mazid pur kashish ho jayengi.

مارچ 3 2025 کے لیے یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، یورو میں 20 پِپس کی کمی ہوئی، لیکن یہ آج صبح پہلے ہی اس دن کی بلند ترین سطح کو عبور کر چکا ہے۔ تاہم، جمعرات تک 1.0350–1.0458 کی حد میں اتار چڑھاؤ جاری رہنے کا امکان ہے، جب یورپی مرکزی بینک کی جانب سے شرحوں میں 25 بیسس پوائنٹس کی کمی کی توقع ہے۔ آج بھی یورو کے لیے چیلنج ہو سکتا ہے، کیونکہ فروری کے لیے بنیادی سی پی آئی 2.7% YoY سے 2.5% YoY تک گرنے کا امکان ہے، جبکہ مجموعی سی پی آئی 2.5% YoY سے 2.3% YoY تک گرنے کی پیش گوئی کی گئی ہے۔ افراط زر میں کمی شرح میں کمی کی توقعات کو مضبوط کر سکتی ہے۔



دوسری طرف، امریکی ڈالر کے لیے توقعات مضبوط ہو رہی ہیں۔ فروری کے لیے مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئ کے 51.2 سے بڑھ کر 51.6 تک متوقع ہے۔ اگر امریکی تاجر زیادہ فیصلہ کن موقف اختیار کرتے ہیں، تو یورو یورپی سنٹرل بینک کے اجلاس سے پہلے ہی 1.0350 سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے مستحکم ہو سکتا ہے، جو ممکنہ طور پر یومیہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ 1.0273 کے ہدف کا راستہ کھول سکتا ہے۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت ایک زیادہ واضح سائیڈ وے حرکت دکھا رہی ہے، جس میں مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ تھوڑا سا انحراف ہے۔ یہ ممکن ہے کہ آنے والے معاشی اعداد و شمار ڈالر کے لیے خاص طور پر سازگار نہ ہوں۔ آج اور کل انتظار کی مدت ہونے کا امکان ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD trading ke liye kuch ahem tips aur analysis diya gaya hai, jo 3 March ko US session ke dauran istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Is analysis mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ki movement aur market ke conditions ko samjhenge, taake beginners ko behtar trading decisions lene mein madad mil sake.

Market Analysis:

EUR/USD ka exchange rate aksar global economic indicators aur geopolitical tensions se mutasir hota hai. Is waqt, euro area ka industrial sector recovery ki taraf ja raha hai. Lekin, inflation ab bhi bohot high hai, jo ke economy par pressure daal raha hai. Energy prices bhi is recovery ko rok rahe hain, kyunki ye high production costs aur supplier chain disruptions ka sabab ban rahe hain.

Ukraine ki conflict ki wajah se bhi uncertainty barh gayi hai. Is wajah se euro area ki economy ko bohot saari challenges ka samna hai, jese ke production activities ki kami aur rising energy costs. Ye sab factors trading decisions par asar daal sakte hain.

US Data Ka Asar:

US session ke doran, ISM Production Index aur construction expenditure ke data ka intezar hai. Ye indicators market sentiment par asar daal sakte hain. Agar ISM index mein izafa hota hai, toh ye business activities ki behtari ko darshata hai, jo stock markets ko positively affect kar sakta hai. Lekin agar ye indicators bohot zyada barh jaate hain, toh inflation ki wajah se Federal Reserve ko apne interest rate policy par nazar rakhni padegi.

Trading Scenarios:

Ab hum kuch trading scenarios discuss karte hain jo beginners ke liye useful ho sakte hain.

Buy Scenarios:

1. Scenario No. 1: Aap Euro ko 1.0471 par kharidne ka plan bana sakte hain, jahan aapka target 1.0515 hoga. Is level par aap market se nikal jayenge aur opposite direction mein sell karenge, jahan aapko 30-35 points ka profit expect hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke aap ensure karein ke MacD indicator zero se upar ho aur rise shuru kare.
2. Scenario No. 2: Dusra scenario yeh hai ke agar price 1.0440 ko do baar test kare aur MacD surchanted zone mein ho, toh aap buy kar sakte hain. Is setup se downside potential limit hota hai aur bull conversion trigger hota hai, jiska target 1.0471 aur 1.0515 hoga.

Sell Scenarios:

1. Scenario No. 1: Agar price 1.0440 par pahunchti hai, toh aap sell karne ka plan bana sakte hain, jahan aapka target 1.0396 hoga. Yahan aap short position se nikal kar opposite direction mein buy karenge aur 20-25 points ka profit expect kar sakte hain. Yeh ensure karein ke MacD indicator zero se neeche ho aur fall shuru kare.
2. Scenario No. 2: Aap 1.0471 par do baar test karne par sell karne ka bhi soch sakte hain, jab MacD indicator exaggerated zone mein ho. Is se upside potential limit hota hai aur bear reversal trigger hota hai, jiska target 1.0440 aur 1.0396 hoga.

Conclusion:

EUR/USD trading ke liye analysis aur scenarios ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar jab aap naye trader hain. Market ki current conditions, economic indicators aur technical analysis jaise factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aap behtar decisions le sakte hain. Yeh trading tips aapko market ki movement ko samajhne mein madad denge aur aapko successful trading ki taraf le jaayenge. Hamesha yaad rahe, trade karne se pehle apne analysis par dhyan dein aur risk management strategies ko apply karein.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis H1 Chart

EUR/USD ke H1 chart par aaj kaafi strong bullish trend nazar aa raha hai. Price ne resistance zone 1.0520-1.0530) ko test kiya hai, jo ek significant level hai. Moving Average 200 (MA 200) ke upar breakout hone ke baad market mein kaafi strong buying momentum dekhne ko mila. Yeh signal hai ke buyers ka confidence ab barh raha hai, aur market bullish zone mein enter kar chuki hai.
Pichle kuch dinon mein price consolidation phase mein thi, magar 28 February ke baad market ne bullish breakout dikhaya. Filhaal price 1.0460 ke support level ke upar hai, jo buyers ke liye ek strong area hai aur yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka indication deta hai.
RSI Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) abhi 75 ke level par hai, jo overbought condition ko show kar raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke short-term mein price kuch retracement ya correction kar sakti hai. Lekin agar RSI 70 ke upar sustain karta hai, to iska matlab hoga ke bullish momentum mazid barqarar reh sakta hai.
Key Levels to Watch:

• Resistance Zone: 1.0520-1.0530
  Yeh level abhi tak hold kar raha hai aur market yahan se rejection face kar sakti hai agar buying pressure sustain na ho.
• Support Levels: 1.0460 aur 1.0410
  Agar price mein correction hoti hai, to yeh levels buyers ke liye achhe buying zones ho sakte hain.

Market ka Agla Rukh:
Agar price 1.0520-1.0530 ka resistance todhne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to agli bullish targets 1.0570 ke aas-paas ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh resistance hold karta hai, to market short-term correction karte hue 1.0460 ke support zone tak wapas aa sakti hai Traders ke liye yeh waqt critical hai, aur price action aur indicators ko closely dekhna zaruri hai. Market ki dynamics ke mutabiq trade karein aur apne risk management ka zarur khayal rakhein.

EUR/USD ka jo currency pair hai, wo is waqt ek musalsal uptrend mein hai aur iska price abhi 1.04921 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Ye fund ek strong uptrend ko follow kar raha hai, jo ke recent volatility ke bawajood bhi strong nazar aa raha hai. Buyers ne key support areas ko defend kiya hai, khaaskar 1.03800 ke aas-paas, jahan price ne trend line se bounce kiya aur apne uptrend ki taraf wapas aaya. Lekin recent price action dikhata hai ke ye pair 1.05200 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kar raha hai aur iska momentum dheere dheere kam ho raha hai. Candlestick ke end par beard dikhata hai ke yahan selling pressure kaafi zyada hai, jo ke consolidation ya reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai pehle ke next major move se pehle.

Bollinger Bands se ye pata chalta hai ke price is waqt middle band ke nazdeek hai aur short term mein neutral hai. Agar price upper Bollinger Band ko break karti hai to ye uptrend ki continuation ko confirm karega, jabke agar lower band ke neeche break hota hai to ye naye selling pressure ka signal de sakta hai. Moving average bullish wave ke liye achi position mein hai, jabke short-term average price ko support kar raha hai. Lekin agar buyers price ko 1.03800 ke neeche push karte hain, to ye ek significant correction ka signal de sakta hai jo ke 1.03000 area tak ja sakti hai.

Speed metrics mixed values dikhate hain. RSI is waqt 47.88 par hai, jo ke ye dikhata hai ke market na to overbought hai aur na hi oversold, jo ke current consolidation period se milta hai. Stochastic oscillator 21.78 aur 17.59 par hai, jo ke ye indicate karta hai ke market oversold level ke kareeb hai. Agar stochastic is area se break hota hai to ye potential recovery ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar koi significant recovery nahi hoti, to upside potential limited reh sakta hai.

Effectiveness analysis mein ye dekha gaya hai ke na to strong waves hain aur na hi weak waves mein significant dominance hai, aur participation moderate level par hai. Agla key direction tab tay hoga jab price 1.05200 resistance ko break karegi ya phir uptrend line ke neeche gir jaegi. Agar uptrend continue hota hai, to agle targets 1.05500 aur 1.06000 honge. Dusri taraf, agar trendline ke neeche break hota hai, to buyers price ko neeche le jane ki koshish karenge aur 1.03000 level risk mein aa sakta hai.

Euro par European Central Bank ki policy decisions, inflation data, aur overall market sentiment towards the dollar ka kaafi asar hai. Agar risk appetite safe-haven assets ki taraf shift hoti hai, to dollar mazid majboot ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair par pressure daal sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Fed ek zyada hawkish stance leta hai, to euro upar aa sakta hai aur shayad is se bhi upar chala jaaye.

Aakhir mein, ye kehna zaroori hai ke EUR/USD pair apne upward trend ko continue kar raha hai lekin short-term setbacks ka samna kar raha hai. Buyers ko 1.05200 ke upar jaana zaroori hai taake wo apne rise ko resume kar sakein, lekin agar 1.03800 ke neeche break hota hai to ye bearish momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo key levels ke nazdeek price action par nazar rakhein aur action lene se pehle confirmation ka intezar karein.

Yeh analysis traders ko market ke current state aur potential movements ko samajhne mein madad karegi taake wo informed trading decisions le sakein. Har waqt market ki updates aur economic indicators par nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, taake kisi bhi unexpected move se pehle tayaar reh sakein.

EUR/USD ka H4 chart iss waqt ek dynamic market situation dikhata hai, jo traders ke liye bohot significant ho sakta hai February se lekar ab tak price ne kaafi interesting movement dikhayi hai Shuruat mein bulls kaafi strong the, aur price steadily upar gaya, jahan 1.05220 ka resistance level touch kiya gaya. Lekin uske baad market mein reversal dekhne ko mila, aur ab price 1.04650 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh level ab ek critical support ban gaya hai, jahan se ya to price neeche gir sakta hai ya wapis bullish momentum le sakta hai.

Moving averages ko dekhte huay yeh samajh aata hai ke price ne pehle kaafi strength dikhayi, lekin ab usmein thoda weakness aayi hai Stochastic oscillator ka signal bhi important hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market overbought zone mein tha aur ab downward cross ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh signal sellers ke liye ek mauqa ho sakta hai, lekin buyers ke liye yeh samajhna zaruri hai ke yeh signal short-term hai ya long-term trend change hone wala hai. Agar price 1.04650 ka support todta hai, to agla major support 1.04100 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo bears ke liye ek acha target ho sakta hai. Wahi agar price 1.05000 ke upar jaata hai, to bullish momentum wapis aa sakta hai.

Short-term traders ke liye yeh waqt kaafi crucial hai, kyunki current levels par selling ke acha mauqa mil sakta hai. Lekin impulsive decisions lene ke bajaye, hamesha confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Long-term traders ke liye yeh samajhna zaruri hai ke yeh trend abhi clear nahin hai, aur proper analysis ke bagair position lena risky ho sakta hai Aakhir mein, trading ek art aur skill hai jo patience, planning aur proper risk management se hoti hai. Forex market kaafi volatile hoti hai, aur yeh chart yeh dikhata hai ke dono taraf movement ke chances hain. Indicators aur price action ko dhyan mein rakhein, aur apni strategy ko realistic banayen. Trading mein sabse badi cheez discipline hai.