یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bane

EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko dono taraf trading ki, magar neeche ki taraf ka rujhan teen hafton se barqarar raha. Itna waqt ho gaya hai ke euro teen musalsal hafton tak girta hua humain yaad nahi. Lekin hum ne baar baar yeh darust kiya hai ke euro ki qeemat overvalued hai aur yeh asamajhdaari ke sath unchi hai, is liye ghatna umeed thi.

Ab correction ka waqt lagta hai—sirf is liye ke yeh ek textbook scenario ko fit karta hai. Lekin, bazaar aksar textbook patterns se hat kar chalta hai, aur humein hairani nahi hogi agar is dafa koi correction na aaye. Yeh kis wajah se hoga—sirf is liye ke yeh achha nazar aata hai?

Kal, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni teen key interest rates ko 0.25% se ghataya. Yeh faisla umeed kiya gaya tha, kyunki ECB ke monetary committee ke arkaan ne pichle do hafton se October mein rate cut ka ishara diya tha. Lekin yeh ab tak nahi tha ke kya ECB December mein aur ek cut ka plan bana raha hai. Hamare nazariye se, yeh aane wala hai. Christine Lagarde ki maujooda stance ka itna farq nahi padta. December meeting tak ab bhi ek mahina aur aada hai. Is dauran GDP, inflation, wages, aur business activity par naye reports aayenge jo ECB ke plans ko asar انداز kar sakte hain. Bas do haftay pehle, koi bhi October mein rate cut ki umeed nahi kar raha tha. ECB ne apne monetary policy ko dheere dheere aage badhane ka aik rhythm set kiya hai—har do meetings mein ek baar. Is liye, October mein cut ko "time se pehle" samjha ja sakta hai.



18 October tak, EUR/USD currency pair ki average volatility pichle paanch trading dinon mein 44 pips thi, jo ke "low" ke taur par tasavvur ki gayi hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke yeh pair aaj, Friday ko, 1.0781 aur 1.0869 ke darmiyan harkat karega. Upar ka linear regression channel upar ki taraf hai, lekin overall downward trend barqarar hai. Overbought area mein kai dafa jane ke baad, CCI indicator oversold area mein chala gaya aur do bullish divergences banaye, jo yeh darust karte hain ke aik potential correction tayar hai.

**Nearest Support Levels:**
- S1 – 1.0803
- S2 – 1.0742
- S3 – 1.0681

**Nearest Resistance Levels:**
- R1 – 1.0864
- R2 – 1.0925
- R3 – 1.0986

**Trading Recommendations:**
EUR/USD pair apni neeche ki taraf ki harkat ko jaari rakhta hai. Pichle hafton mein, hum ne yeh zahir kiya tha ke hum sirf euro ke girne ki umeed rakhte hain medium term mein, is liye hum maujooda downward direction ko puri tarah support karte hain. Yeh ho sakta hai ke bazaar ne saari ya lagbhag saari future Fed rate cuts ki pricing kar di ho. Agar aisa hai, toh dollar ke girne ke liye koi mazeed wajah nahi hai, halan ke kuch wajahain thi. Short positions abhi bhi consider ki ja sakti hain jinke targets 1.0803 aur 1.0781 hain. Agar aap "pure" technical analysis ka istemal karte hain, toh long positions tab relevant hongi jab price moving average line ke upar ho. Lekin, aisa position sirf ek correction ka ishara dega jo karib mein aa sakta hai.

**EUR/USD H4 Market Analysis**

EUR/USD ka jorha pichli raat bearish trend ko jaari rakhta raha, jab pichli bearish movement ka collapse hua aur yeh 1.0812 ki level tak pahuncha. Mazid mazboot US dollar ne ek baar phir market par bhaari asar dala, weekend trading session se pehle. Kal price ne 1.0937 ke area mein uthane ki koshish ki, lekin ab yeh 1.0803 ke support level ke nazdeek gir gaya hai. Agle market movement ki peshgoi karte hue, agar seller pressure ko dekha jaye, toh market kaafi mazboot hai. Aaj dopahar tak trend reversal ke kuch nishan mil rahe hain, lekin aakhri trend ke madde nazar, prices ki recession ke jaari rehne ki sambhavana hai.

Market ka haal abhi bhi aisa lagta hai ke yeh correction ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke 1.0841 ke level ke aas-paas thodi der tak ruk sakta hai. Lekin, price action par bhi nazar rakhni hogi jo pehle ke downtrend ko dobara shuru karne ki kabil hai.

Agar further decline ki sambhavana dekhi jaye, toh 1.0803 ke support level ka breakout zaroori hai. Lekin agar price phir se upar ki taraf chale aur 1.0904 resistance area ko tod de, toh is hafte ke baad bullish trend ka movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Support level abhi bhi further bearish attempts ko rok raha hai. Lekin market ka movement pattern jo gir raha hai, yeh bearish trend ke liye mauqa faraham karta hai. Yeh price drop ki sambhavana ko dikhata hai, jise trading decisions lene ke liye nazar mein rakhna hoga.

Agar hum stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ko dekhein, toh yeh market trend mein corrective action dikhata hai, jise signal line ka 50 level ki taraf jaana dikhai deta hai. Pichle hafton ki trading sessions mein price declines ne market ke signals ko kamzor kar diya hai. Signal line ke neeche jana yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ka dominan hai, aur agar price 1.0904 area ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh market mein continued bearish trend ko dikhata hai. Aaj raat market trend ke reversal ki sambhavana hai, lekin kya yeh mumkin hai?



In sab analysis ko samajhte hue, traders ko price action aur market ke sentiment ko dhyan se dekhna hoga, taake wo sahi trading decisions le sakein. Market ke haal aur economic data ka bhi khayal rakhna hoga, jo ke currency pairs ke movement ko prabhavit kar sakta hai. Is liye, traders ko abhi bhi cautious rehna chahiye aur market ke trends ko nazar mein rakhte hue trading strategies tayar karni chahiye.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal ki tejarati sargarmiyan sust rahi. Halankeh, Shumali America ke session ke khulne ke bad, market me utar-chadhaw badh gaya, euro/dollar ke jode ko ghair mutawaqqe taur par bhari nuqsan uthana pada. Sath hi, European currency nayi kam tarin satah par pahunchne me nakam rahi. Iske natije me yaumiyah chart par mandi ka daud shuru ho gaya. Americi dollar mazbut hua, jis se zahir hota hai keh euro par dawab bana hua hai. Jahan tak aaj ki baat hai, bahut kuch greenback ki tejarati harkiyat par munhasar hoga. Halankeh mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ki jodi nuqsanat me tausie karegi, 1.0800 ke nishan se niche gir jayegi, aur yahan tak keh 1.0775 ki satah tak pahunch jayegi, mai maujudah satahon se short positions kholne par gaur kar raha hun. Aakhir kar, market ki suratehal ghair yaqini hai. False breakout ki surat me, mai ek long positions kholne ki koshish karunga.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda 1.0785 ki support satah tak gir jayega. Kal, European currency 1.0850 ki support satah se niche jane me kamyab rahi. Ab yah wazeh hai keh agla hadaf 1.0785 ke nishan ya us se bhi kam hai. Agar qimat 1.0850 se 1.0760 tak taqriban 90 pips kam ho jati hai to, euro imkan hai keh euro palat jayega aur 1.0785 ke nishan se ooper uth jayega. Is support satah ke false breakout ke bad ucchal ki surat me, euro/dollar ke jode ke pas apna rasta badalne aur ooper ki taraf raftar hasil karne ka mauqa hoga.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Market ka jazbah wazeh taur par mandi ka hai. Euro/dollar ka joda filhal 1.0831 ke yaumiyah pivot point se niche trade kar raha hai. Is pivot point aur 1.0837 - 1.0852 par ifqi satahon ki hadd ko mumkena muzahmat ke taur par dekha jata hai.
Takniki nuqtah nazar se, 1.0785 ki support satah ko jode ki kami ke hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Mai test aur is satah par qimat ke radde amal ki buniyad par qimat ki harkat ki simt ke bare me mazid natijah akhaj karunga. Nazariyati taur par, tezi ki islah ke hisse ke taur par qimat is satah se 200 pips tak badh sakti hai. Halankeh, agar qimat toot jati hai aur 1.0785 se niche fix ho jati hai to, euro/dollar ki jodi 1.0670 ki agli darmiyani muddat ki kam tarin satah tak nuqsanat badha sakti hai.



Marjin zone ki buniyad par, agar qimat ooper ki raftar hasil karne me nakam rahti hai to, kami ka agla hadaf 1.0763 - 1.0742 ka raqba hoga. Takniki tajziyah ke mutabiq, iske natije me jodi support satah se niche fix ho jayegi.

. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha

ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai. 30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11. 1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai. Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega. Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai. Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing

اکتوبر 22 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

ڈونلڈ ٹرمپ اور کملا ہیرس کے درمیان تازہ ترین سروے میں 0.9% کی کمی اور مشرق وسطیٰ میں جاری کشیدگی نے کل اس ہفتے تقریباً خالی اقتصادی کیلنڈر کے درمیان یورو کی پوزیشن کو 0.49% تک کمزور کر دیا۔ یو ایس اسٹاک انڈیکس ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 0.18% کی کمی ہوئی، جبکہ "ڈر انڈیکس" vix میں 1.89% اضافہ ہوا۔ انہی وجوہات کی بنا پر، قیمتی دھاتیں، تیل، اور سرکاری بانڈ کی پیداوار بڑھ رہی ہے۔ مارکیٹ کے اضطراب بڑھ رہے ہیں اور 5 اور 7 نومبر کے درمیان عروج کی توقع ہے۔

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یومیہ چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر نے آخر کار زندگی کے آثار دکھائے ہیں اور ممکنہ اوپر کی طرف الٹ جانے کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ بیرونی عوامل پر غور کرتے ہوئے، یورو 1.0777 اور 1.0882 کے درمیان ایک الٹ رینج تشکیل دے رہا ہے۔ 1.0882 سے اوپر کا بریک آؤٹ اگلا ہدف 1.0950 پر قریب ترین مزاحمتی سطح کے طور پر کھولے گا۔ 1.0777 سے نیچے گرنا یورو کو 1.0724 کی طرف لے جا سکتا ہے۔ مستقبل کی پیش رفت زیادہ تر امریکی صدارتی انتخابات کے نتائج پر منحصر ہوگی۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت اور آسیلیٹر نے ایک کنورجن بنایا ہے۔ اگر قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے 1.0846 پر ٹوٹ جاتی ہے، تو یہ 1.0882 کی سطح پر حملہ کر سکتی ہے۔ کل کے کم سے نیچے کا وقفہ کنورجنس کو بے اثر کر دے گا اور قیمت کو 1.0777 سپورٹ کی طرف کھینچتا رہے گا۔ مزید ترقی یا کمی کے امکانات فی الحال برابر ہیں۔

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.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

H4 Time Frame Technical Analysis:

Aap EUR/USD H4 chart par ek flat pattern dekh rahe hain, jahan key levels resistance ke liye 1.0874 aur support ke liye 1.0810 hain. Kal sellers ka 1.0810 level todne mein naakaam rehna aur price ka bounce back karna yeh darust karta hai ke yeh support abhi mazboot hai.

U.S. traders ne haal hi mein dollar ke khilaf sell off kiya hai, isliye aaj ka market behavior bohot ahem hoga. Agar dollar ka mazboot hona jaari raha, to 1.0810 support todne ki sambhavna hai, jo 1.0777 ki taraf decline ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin aap maante hain ke agar 1.0810 ke neeche koi drop hota hai, to yeh foran 1.0777 par breakthrough nahi karega, jo yeh darust karta hai ke pair us level se rebound kar sakta hai, resulting in an upward correction.

Aapki analysis market structure aur current dynamics ko achi tarah samajhne ko darust karti hai. In key levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga jaise jaise din aage badhta hai, khaaskar U.S. market activity ke asar ke saath.

Aapki strategy sell par focused hai, jo downward move ki taraf current trend ko darust karti hai. Jab ke aap choti corrections ki sambhavna ko bhi maante hain, aapka overall outlook bearish hai, khaaskar jab EUR/USD 1.0826 ke aas paas hai.

Aapne Tuesday ke liye key trading ranges identify ki hain, jahan sell zone 1.0705 se 1.0805 tak hai, aur buy zone 1.0815 se 1.0920 tak. Aapka approach corrections ko sales ke entry points ke tor par istemal karna sound hai, khaaskar ek aise market mein jahan aap downward trend ki continuation ki umeed karte hain.

Aapne 1.0828 par bina stop-loss ke sell position initiate ki hai, jo aapke analysis par confidence ko darust karti hai. Aap plan karte hain ke agar price 1.0840-45 area mein wapas aaye, to apni position ko aur badhayein, targeting 1.0800 aur shayad 1.0780 tak. Agar market 1.0780 ke neeche dip karta hai, to aap 1.0750-1.0730 tak further potential dekhte hain, aur aap 1.0780 par zyadatar positions close karne ka plan banate hain.

Aapka U.S. news environment par perspective yeh darust karta hai ke aaj koi significant catalysts nahi hain, jo aapki cautious trading mindset ke saath align karta hai. Choti, manageable trades par focus karne ki aapki advice pragmatically hai aur fluctuating market mein risk ko mitigate karne mein madad kar sakti hai. Overall, aapki strategy current market conditions ke liye achi tarah sochi samjhi gayi lagti hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Analysis:**

Aapne strategic approach adopt kiya hai selling ka, jab ke H1 timeframe ke zigzag pattern ki wajah se potential upward correction ki umeed hai. 1.0858 level par nazar rakhna wise hai; agar yeh level mazboot rehta hai, to aap ek aur sell position enter karne ka plan banate hain. Aap resistance levels ke liye cautious hain, khaaskar 1.0880 ke aas paas, aur aapko lagta hai ke aaj rebound hone ki zyada sambhavna hai na ke breakout hone ki.

Aapka downward bias ab bhi hai, lekin aap flexibility ki zaroorat ko samajhte hain, isliye aapne apna stop-loss 1.0858 ke just upar rakha hai. Halankeh price ka 1.0880 ko todne ka mauka ho sakta hai, aapne yeh risk nahi lene ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh disciplined approach aapko potential volatility se navigate karne mein madad karegi, jab aap apna risk effectively manage kar rahe hain. Kal market kaise unfold hota hai, yeh dekhte hain.

Aapki analysis current market dynamics ko highlight karti hai, khaaskar sellers aur buyers ke darmiyan interplay ko. Aap yeh samajhte hain ke chhoti rollback strong selling pressure ko darust karti hai, aur jab price 1.0880 support ko nahi tod rahi, to sellers active hain. Aapka H4 chart downward trend ki continuation ko darust karta hai, jo aapke selling entry point ko dhoondhne ke plan ke sath align karta hai.

Lekin, aap daily (D1) timeframe se conflicting signals ki wajah se cautious hain, jo upward movement ki potential darust karta hai zigzag pattern ke sath. Yeh discrepancy concerns ko janam deti hai, khaaskar aane wale elections jo technical indicators ko disrupt kar sakte hain. Is liye, aap ek flexible approach apna rahe hain, din ke doran dono directions mein trading karte hue, jab ke aap proper stop-loss strategies ke sath apna risk manage kar rahe hain.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD

EUR/USD abhi bhi mushkil mein hai, kyunke ECB ke December mein interest rates phir se kaatne ki umeed hai. ECB ki Lagarde Tuesday ko interest rate outlook par naye hints dene wali hain. Fed ke policymakers chhote interest rate cuts ko munasib samajhte hain.

EUR/USD Tuesday ke European session mein 1.0800 ke round-level support ke nazdeek ek naye 11-week low par trade kar raha hai. Yeh major currency pair kai challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jaise ke ECB ke dovish bets mein izafa aur mazboot US Dollar (USD).

Traders ne ECB se December meeting mein interest rates phir se kaatne ki umeed rakhi hui hai, kyunke Eurozone ki economic growth par barhte hue khatar inflationary pressures ko central bank ke 2% target ke nazdeek rakhne ki umeed hai. Yeh ECB ke liye is saal choutha interest rate cut hoga.

Pehle data jo Monday ko release hui, usne dikhaya ke German Producer Price Index (PPI) September mein 1.4% year-over-year (YoY) se gir gaya, jo August mein 0.8% ki girawat se zyada hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishaara karta hai ke producers ko weak household spending ki wajah se goods aur services ke factory gates par prices badhane mein mushkil ho rahi hai.

Monday ko Slovak central bank ke chief aur ECB policymaker Peter Kazimir ne kaha ke wo yeh samajhte hain ke disinflation trend barqarar hai. Lekin, wo inflation par jeet declare karne se pehle zyada saboot dekhna chahte hain.

Is darmiyan, Lithuanian central bank ke governor aur ECB Governing Council member Gediminas Šimkus ka tazkira zyada dovish nazar aaya. Šimkus ne kaha, "Agar disinflation processes mazboot ho jate hain, to yeh mumkin hai ke rates natural level se neeche ho jayein." 'Natural level' of interest rates 2% se 3% ke beech hai.

**EUR/USD Technical Analysis**

Tuesday ke session mein, investors ECB President Christine Lagarde ki Bloomberg ke sath interview aur Washington mein International Monetary Fund (IMF) meeting ke dauran panel discussion mein shamil hone par nazar rakhenge. Lagarde se umeed hai ke wo interest rates par naye guidance faraham karegi.

EUR/USD European trading hours mein 1.0800 ke immediate support ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Major currency pair ka outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, kyunki yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo 1.0900 ke aas-paas hai.

Shared currency pair mein downside move tab shuru hua jab daily timeframe par Double Top formation ka breakdown hua, jo September 11 ke low ke qareeb 1.1000 par tha, jisse bearish reversal aayi.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.00 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo strong bearish momentum ki nishani hai. Lekin, conditions ke oversold hone ki wajah se recovery move ki sambhavna ab bhi maujood hai.

Neeche ki taraf, major pair ko 1.0750 par upward-sloping trendline ke nazdeek support mil sakta hai, jo October 3 ke low 1.0450 se plot ki gayi hai. Is beech, 200-day EMA aur psychological figure 1.1000 pair ke liye key resistances honge.

Is chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke yeh EUR/USD ka weekly time frame ka chart hai. Yahan kuch aham technical indicators aur levels dekhne ko milte hain jo iski overall trend aur momentum ko samajhne mein madad dete hain.
Trend Analysis:
Chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke recent months mein EUR/USD ki movement ek range-bound ya consolidation phase mein rahi hai. Price ne apni bullish momentum ko lose kiya hai aur ab horizontal movement mein hai. 1.0800 ke aas paas ka level ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, jab ke 1.1060 ek resistance level ke taur par dekh raha hai.
Moving Averages:
Chart par moving averages bhi dekhai de rahi hain. Yeh long-term aur short-term averages hain, jo current trend ko define kar rahe hain. Abhi price moving averages ke bilkul qareeb hai, jo market mein indecisiveness ko dikhata hai. Agar price moving averages se neeche nikalti hai, toh ek downside potential ho sakta hai, lekin agar price ne isko breakout kar liya, toh upward trend ka strong signal mil sakta hai.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI ka value chart mein 42.77 hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi market neither overbought hai aur na hi oversold. Yeh ek neutral zone hai jahan se price kisi bhi direction mein ja sakta hai. Lekin, RSI ki value agar 30 ke neeche chali jaye, toh oversold condition consider ki jati hai, jo potential buying opportunity ho sakti hai.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
MACD indicator bhi yahan pe negative zone mein hai, lekin thodi si recovery dikhai de rahi hai. MACD aur signal lines ke beech mein slight bullish crossover ka chance hai, jo bullish momentum ka early signal ho sakta hai. Lekin abhi tak clear breakout nahi hai, toh wait aur confirmation ki zarurat hogi.
Key Levels:
-Support: 1.0800
Resistance: 1.1060

Agar price 1.0800 ke neeche break karti hai, toh selling pressure increase ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 1.1060 ka resistance todti hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal hoga aur price 1.1200 tak ja sakti hai.
EUR/USD abhi ek consolidation phase mein hai. Indicators neutral hai, lekin price ek badi movement ke liye ready lagta hai. Short-term mein traders ko breakout ka intezar karna chahiye aur confirmation ke baad entry leni chahiye.

Yeh dikhata tha ke yeh euro khareedne ka sahi waqt tha. Magar agar aap US ki statistics dekhte, jo inflation growth ke mutabiq expected se zyada thi, toh aap shayad euro ke liye buy positions na kholte. Kuch dair baad, dobara 1.0946 ka price level test hua, aur is dafa MACD ne overbought signal dikhaya, jis se selling ka scenario (#2) play out hua. Natija yeh hua ke pair 30 points se zyada gir gaya. Aaj, German consumer price index ke ilawa pehle hisay mein aur kuch nahi hai, is liye euro buyers ke paas week ke akhri din tak wapas aane ka mauqa ho sakta hai, khas tor par jab har euro sale ke sath significant buying activity bhi ho rahi hai, jo ke bade market participants ke interest ko zahir karta hai. **Intraday strategy** ke hawale se, main mainly scenario #1 aur #2 ko implement karne ka rukh karunga.




**Scenario #1**: Aaj aap euro ko tab khareed sakte hain jab price 1.0946 ke aas-paas pohche (green line chart par), aur target 1.0979 ka hoga. 1.0979 par main market se exit karunga aur euro ko ulte rukh mein sell karunga, aur entry point se 30-35 points ki movement ka target rakhoon ga. Aaj ke pehle hisay mein euro ka rise hona sirf ek correction ka hissa ho sakta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero line ke oopar ho aur upar janay ka aghaz kare, phir hi aap buy karen.

**Scenario #2**: Main euro ko us waqt bhi buy karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab 1.0927 ka price level do martaba test ho, aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upar ke rukh mein palatne ka sabab banega. Aap expect kar sakte hain ke pair 1.0946 aur 1.0979 tak barh sakta hai.


**Scenario #1**: Main euro ko us waqt sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab 1.0927 ka level (red line chart par) pohcha jaye. Target 1.0901 ka hoga, jahan se main market se exit karunga aur foran ulte rukh mein buy karunga, aur level se 20-25 points ki movement ka target hoga. Pair par pressure wapas aa jaye ga agar pair daily high ke upar nahi barh saka. Yeh zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero line ke neeche ho aur girna shuru kare tab aap sell karen

descending trendline ke zariye represent kiya gaya hai. Recent price action se yeh maloom hota hai ke market ne is downward trendline ko test kiya hai aur ab consolidate kar raha hai, jo market participants ke liye ek crucial decision-making point banata hai.Price ka recent movement kaafi bullish tha, jisme EUR/USD ne neechay se recovery ki hai. Is recovery ke doran, price ne 1.0820 ke aas-paas ka area test kiya aur wahan se bounce kar ke ab trendline ke near trade ho raha hai, jo ek significant resistance point hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh market mein further bullish momentum aa sakta hai, jo price ko 1.0900 aur uske upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh trendline reject hoti hai, toh downside movement ka risk barh jata hai, aur price dobara 1.0830-1.0820 ke support zone ko test kar sakti hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ka analysis bhi hamein yeh signal de raha hai ke current momentum bullish hai. MACD histogram positive territory mein hai aur blue line ne red signal line ko cross kiya hai, jo ek bullish crossover ka indication hai. Yeh crossover hamein batata hai ke upward momentum barh raha hai aur bulls ka control mazid strong ho raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar price trendline ke upar break kar leta hai, toh upward momentum kaafi strong ho sakta hai. Lekin traders ko MACD ke movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke agar momentum weak hota hai, toh downside ka risk wapas barh sakta hai.
Is chart par, traders ke liye key levels 1.0850 (current price area), 1.0900 (upside resistance), aur 1.0820 (downside support) hain. Agar market trendline ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh ek strong bullish signal ho sakta hai aur upward rally ka potential barh sakta hai. Aksar, aise scenarios mein buying positions ko prefer kiya jata hai jab break confirmation mil jaye. Dusri taraf, agar price trendline se reject hota hai, toh short positions ko consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur 1.0820 ka level key support rahega.In conclusion, EUR/USD ka H1 chart ek critical phase mein hai, jisme trendline break ka wait kiya jaye. Bullish traders ke liye upside ka potential mazid gains de sakta hai, jabke bearish traders ke liye rejection ke baad downside targets significant ho sakte hain. MACD aur price action ke signals ko dekhte hue, market ka direction clear hote hi trade setups banaye ja sakte hain

EUR/USD ek defined range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.1100 level ek significant support ka kaam kar raha hai aur resistance 1.1200 ke aas paas hai. Pichlay haftay ke dauran, price in dono levels ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, lekin bullish bias ubhar raha hai. Jab EUR USD ke muqablay mein strong hota nazar aa raha hai, traders ko breakout ke potential ko dekhna chahiye, khaaskar agar price 1.1100 resistance ko cross karta hai. Agar yeh breakout hota hai, toh hum further bullish movement dekh sakte hain jo 1.1250 level tak ja sakti hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ko dikhata hai. EUR/USD ke H1 time frame chart par, exchange rate filhaal 1.1150 ke aas paas hai, aur market mein clear bearish trend hai. Yeh downtrend broader euro ki weakness ko reflect karta hai USD ke muqablay mein, jo ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment se drive hota hai. Traders ko in influences ka note lena chahiye kyun ke yeh market ke current momentum ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. Technical indicators jaise ke Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) iss bearish outlook ko reinforce karte hain. Pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo continued downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke kareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bounce ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na aaye. EUR/USD pair H1 time frame par bearish phase mein hai, aur bohot se factors euro ki weakness mein contribute kar rahe hain USD ke muqablay mein. Traders ko aane wale economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par closely nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko further mutasir kar sakte hain. Filhaal, long positions ke liye ek cautious approach recommend ki jati hai, Eur/Usd ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness show kar