یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Is EUR/USD ka H1 chart price action ke hawalay se bullish momentum dikhata hai. H1 timeframe par hum dekh sakte hain ke price ne 1.0835 ke support area se bounce liya hai aur ab upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Pehle price ne support zone ko test kiya, jo 1.0805 se 1.0835 ke darmiyan tha. Yeh area market mein kaafi strong buying interest dikhata hai, kyun ke price is zone se wapas bullish trend mein aa gayi hai.Chart mein hum ek consistent bullish trend dekh rahe hain jo candle formations se saaf zahir hai. Price steadily higher highs aur higher lows bana rahi hai, jo trend continuation ka indication hai. Upar 1.0902 ka resistance level hai, jo ab tak intact hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karti hai, toh hum aur bhi bullish momentum ki umeed kar sakte hain, aur price higher levels ki taraf ja sakti hai, shayad 1.0925 ya 1.0950 ki taraf.RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ko dekhain toh woh 64.07 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum dikhata hai. RSI 70 ke level se neeche hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke abhi overbought condition nahi hai, lekin agar price aur tez hoti hai, toh overbought zone mein ja sakti hai. Iska matlab hai ke bullish momentum abhi tak sustainable hai, magar humein dekhna hoga ke RSI 70 ke qareeb pohanchne par kya hota hai.RVI (Relative Vigor Index) bhi bullish signal dikhata hai, kyun ke green line ne red line ko cross kiya hai, aur dono lines mein divergence kaafi kam hai, jo ek healthy uptrend ka indication hai. Is setup mein bullish continuation ke imkaanat zyada hain jab tak RVI mein koi reversal signal na aaye.Agar hum is scenario mein trading strategy dekhen, toh buyers ke liye yeh behterin moka hai ke wo 1.0835 se support ke pass buy karein, aur 1.0902 ke resistance tak target karein. Agar price 1.0902 ke resistance ko break karti hai, toh next target 1.0950 ya uske upar ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.0835 ke support ko break karti hai, toh market bearish ho sakti hai, aur price 1.0800 ya neeche ke levels tak ja sakti hai.is waqt EUR/USD chart ek bullish trend ko reflect karta hai. RSI aur RVI dono bullish indicators hain, aur price ne support area se strong bounce liya hai. Upar 1.0902 ke resistance ka break ek naya bullish wave shuru kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke H1 chart mein jo aapne provide kiya hai, us par hum dekh rahe hain ke pair ne ek significant downward trend ko follow kiya hai, jo descending trendline ke zariye represent kiya gaya hai. Recent price action se yeh maloom hota hai ke market ne is downward trendline ko test kiya hai aur ab consolidate kar raha hai, jo market participants ke liye ek crucial decision-making point banata hai.Price ka recent movement kaafi bullish tha, jisme EUR/USD ne neechay se recovery ki hai. Is recovery ke doran, price ne 1.0820 ke aas-paas ka area test kiya aur wahan se bounce kar ke ab trendline ke near trade ho raha hai, jo ek significant resistance point hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh market mein further bullish momentum aa sakta hai, jo price ko 1.0900 aur uske upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh trendline reject hoti hai, toh downside movement ka risk barh jata hai, aur price dobara 1.0830-1.0820 ke support zone ko test kar sakti hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ka analysis bhi hamein yeh signal de raha hai ke current momentum bullish hai. MACD histogram positive territory mein hai aur blue line ne red signal line ko cross kiya hai, jo ek bullish crossover ka indication hai. Yeh crossover hamein batata hai ke upward momentum barh raha hai aur bulls ka control mazid strong ho raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar price trendline ke upar break kar leta hai, toh upward momentum kaafi strong ho sakta hai. Lekin traders ko MACD ke movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke agar momentum weak hota hai, toh downside ka risk wapas barh sakta hai.

Is chart par, traders ke liye key levels 1.0850 (current price area), 1.0900 (upside resistance), aur 1.0820 (downside support) hain. Agar market trendline ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh ek strong bullish signal ho sakta hai aur upward rally ka potential barh sakta hai. Aksar, aise scenarios mein buying positions ko prefer kiya jata hai jab break confirmation mil jaye. Dusri taraf, agar price trendline se reject hota hai, toh short positions ko consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur 1.0820 ka level key support rahega.In conclusion, EUR/USD ka H1 chart ek critical phase mein hai, jisme trendline break ka wait kiya jaye. Bullish traders ke liye upside ka potential mazid gains de sakta hai, jabke bearish traders ke liye rejection ke baad downside targets significant ho sakte hain. MACD aur price action ke signals ko dekhte hue, market ka direction clear hote hi trade setups banaye ja sakte hain.

EUR/USD ke H1 chart mein jo aapne provide kiya hai, us par hum dekh rahe hain ke pair ne ek significant downward trend ko follow kiya hai, jo descending trendline ke zariye represent kiya gaya hai. Recent price action se yeh maloom hota hai ke market ne is downward trendline ko test kiya hai aur ab consolidate kar raha hai, jo market participants ke liye ek crucial decision-making point banata hai.Price ka recent movement kaafi bullish tha, jisme EUR/USD ne neechay se recovery ki hai. Is recovery ke doran, price ne 1.0820 ke aas-paas ka area test kiya aur wahan se bounce kar ke ab trendline ke near trade ho raha hai, jo ek significant resistance point hai. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh market mein further bullish momentum aa sakta hai, jo price ko 1.0900 aur uske upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh trendline reject hoti hai, toh downside movement ka risk barh jata hai, aur price dobara 1.0830-1.0820 ke support zone ko test kar sakti hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ka analysis bhi hamein yeh signal de raha hai ke current momentum bullish hai. MACD histogram positive territory mein hai aur blue line ne red signal line ko cross kiya hai, jo ek bullish crossover ka indication hai. Yeh crossover hamein batata hai ke upward momentum barh raha hai aur bulls ka control mazid strong ho raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar price trendline ke upar break kar leta hai, toh upward momentum kaafi strong ho sakta hai. Lekin traders ko MACD ke movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke agar momentum weak hota hai, toh downside ka risk wapas barh sakta hai.
Is chart par, traders ke liye key levels 1.0850 (current price area), 1.0900 (upside resistance), aur 1.0820 (downside support) hain. Agar market trendline ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh ek strong bullish signal ho sakta hai aur upward rally ka potential barh sakta hai. Aksar, aise scenarios mein buying positions ko prefer kiya jata hai jab break confirmation mil jaye. Dusri taraf, agar price trendline se reject hota hai, toh short positions ko consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur 1.0820 ka level key support rahega.In conclusion, EUR/USD ka H1 chart ek critical phase mein hai, jisme trendline break ka wait kiya jaye. Bullish traders ke liye upside ka potential mazid gains de sakta hai, jabke bearish traders ke liye rejection ke baad downside targets significant ho sakte hain. MACD aur price action ke signals ko dekhte hue, market ka direction clear hote hi trade setups banaye ja sakte hain.

Profit Potential in EUR/USD ke Qeemat


Is article mein hum EUR/USD currency pair ke maujooda qeemat ke behaviyo ka jaiza le rahe hain. Kal, pullback ke doran, is pair ne 1.0995 par ek naya resistance level tayar kiya, jahan se qeemat ne apni bearish trajectory ko dobara shuru kiya. Yeh wazeh hai ke August 14 ka local low, jo pichle Jumme se focus mein tha, bechne walon ke liye gira gaya. Halankeh, quotes ko is point ke andar rehna chahiye tha. Aham baat yeh hai ke breakdown ye confirm karta hai ke H1 chart par downward trend abhi bhi active hai.

Doosri taraf, pair bohot zyada oversold nazar aa raha hai, jo har din upar ki taraf mazid mazboot rebound ki mumkinat ko barhata hai. Lekin kisi bhi significant movement se pehle, 1.0949 level par ikattha kiye gaye volumes ko clear karna zaroori hai aur 1.0959 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga. Daily EUR/USD chart par target abhi bhi 1.089 hai, jo EMA200 ke sath milta hai. Qeemat ko is support level ko puri tarah se todna hoga taake giraawat ko aage barha sake. Agar ye kamiyab hota hai, to hum ek complete reversal dekh sakte hain, jo "Double Top" pattern ko confirm karega aur pair ko 1.079 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo lower 7th figure tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai.

Agar inflation umeedon se milti hai ya isay paar karti hai, to giraawat aur tez ho sakti hai. Inflation ki growth hone par kharidari ke mauqe bhi mumkin hain. Lekin filhal, sab ki nazrein Fed minutes aur Biden aur Netanyahu ke beech Iran ke bare mein kisi bhi mumkinah faisle par hain, kyunki aaj ke liye scheduled discussion market sentiment ko asar de sakta hai. Hum is volume ka pehla absorption dekh rahe hain pulse mein. Mujhe umeed hai ke pair aaj Fed minutes ke release ke sath 1.089 ke kareeb giraega.


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Profit Potential in EUR/USD ke Qeemat Is article mein hum EUR/USD currency pair ke maujooda qeemat ke behaviyo ka jaiza le rahe hain. Kal, pullback ke doran, is pair ne 1.0995 par ek naya resistance level tayar kiya, jahan se qeemat ne apni bearish trajectory ko dobara shuru kiya. Yeh wazeh hai ke August 14 ka local low, jo pichle Jumme se focus mein tha, bechne walon ke liye gira gaya. Halankeh, quotes ko is point ke andar rehna chahiye tha. Aham baat yeh hai ke breakdown ye confirm karta hai ke H1 chart par downward trend abhi bhi active hai.

Doosri taraf, pair bohot zyada oversold nazar aa raha hai, jo har din upar ki taraf mazid mazboot rebound ki mumkinat ko barhata hai. Lekin kisi bhi significant movement se pehle, 1.0949 level par ikattha kiye gaye volumes ko clear karna zaroori hai aur 1.0959 ke neeche consolidate karna hoga. Daily EUR/USD chart par target abhi bhi 1.089 hai, jo EMA200 ke sath milta hai. Qeemat ko is support level ko puri tarah se todna hoga taake giraawat ko aage barha sake. Agar ye kamiyab hota hai, to hum ek complete reversal dekh sakte hain, jo "Double Top" pattern ko confirm karega aur pair ko 1.079 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo lower 7th figure tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai.

Agar inflation umeedon se milti hai ya isay paar karti hai, to giraawat aur tez ho sakti hai. Inflation ki growth hone par kharidari ke mauqe bhi mumkin hain. Lekin filhal, sab ki nazrein Fed minutes aur Biden aur Netanyahu ke beech Iran ke bare mein kisi bhi mumkinah faisle par hain, kyunki aaj ke liye scheduled discussion market sentiment ko asar de sakta hai. Hum is volume ka pehla absorption dekh rahe hain pulse mein. Mujhe umeed hai ke pair aaj Fed minutes ke release ke sath 1.089 ke kareeb giraega.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Peer ke roz, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda ooper ki taraf trade karega. Halankeh, takniki nuqtah nazar se, iski tezi 1.0910 ki muzahmati satah tak mahdud rahne ka imkan hai. Guzishtah hafte 1.0810 ke nishan se ucchalne ke bad, European currency ke 1.0900-1.0910 ke ilaqe tak aage badhne ki ummid hai. 1.0850 ki gol satah aaj support ke taur par kam karega. Euro/dollar ka joda is satah se niche girne ka imkan nahin hai. Agar aisa hota hai to, mujhe nuqsanat ke sath apni long positions se nikalna padega.

اکتوبر 21 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

ایک بار پھر، مرکزی بینک کی شرحوں میں تبدیلی کے بعد اہم عالمی کرنسیاں غیر فعال رہیں۔ گزشتہ جمعرات کو یورپی مرکزی بینک کی شرح میں کمی سے پہلے یورو اپنی سطح سے قدرے اوپر ٹریڈ ہوا۔ کرنسی کے شعبے میں ایک مستقل رجحان شروع کرنے کے لیے دنیا میں کیا ہونے کی ضرورت ہے (ہمارے تناظر میں – ڈالر کی مضبوطی)؟ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ ایک عالمی بحران، جو عام طور پر اسٹاک مارکیٹ میں مندی سے نشان زد ہوتا ہے، کلیدی عنصر ہے۔ ہمیں یقین ہے کہ سرمایہ کار اس طرح کے واقعہ پر مرکوز ہیں اور اس کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔ اس کے لیے پہلی متوقع تاریخ امریکی انتخابات کا دن ہے۔



یورو کو اپنے عروج کو دوبارہ شروع کرنے اور ستمبر کے بعد سے ایک نئی بلندی تک پہنچنے میں کیا لگے گا؟ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ ہیرس کی جیت کم از کم عارضی طور پر خطرے کی بھوک میں واپسی کی حمایت کر سکتی ہے۔

ابھی کے لیے، یورو کا ارادہ 1.0882 مزاحمت سے اوپر ٹوٹنا، اس سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہونا، اور 1.0882-1.0950 کی آرام دہ حد میں طے کرنا ہے، جیسا کہ اس نے 5-12 اگست تک کیا تھا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی زیرو لائن تک پہنچنے کی کوشش کر رہا ہے، جس کا مقصد مارکیٹ کی کسی بھی حرکت کے لیے ایک غیر جانبدار حیثیت کے لیے تیار رہنا ہے۔

قیمت چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر مزاحمت کے ساتھ جدوجہد کر رہی ہے۔ مارلن مثبت علاقے میں چلا گیا ہے، قیمت کو اشارے کی لکیر اور 1.0882 پر لکیری مزاحمت پر قابو پانے میں مدد ملتی ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aur behtar koi behas nahi hai, kyunke kal hum EUR/USD pair par minimums ko update karne mein nakam rahe aur hum ne kaafi achi taraqqi ki ya pichhe ghoomne ka amal kiya, aur din ke behtareen maqamat par band kiya. Halankeh yeh kehna zaroori hai ke neeche ki taraf ka harkat ab bhi mukhya hai aur main khud abhi tak is baat par nahi soch raha ke hum ne southern direction mein koi break kiya hai. Lekin yahan humein daily charts par ek lambi initiative aur absorption dekhne ko mili hai. Iske ilawa, 1.0950 ke aas-paas ka platform mere liye ek baar phir ma'ni rakhta hai. Lekin har surat mein yeh zaroori hai ke dollar ka trade aage kaise hoga. Is liye main abhi tak sales ka soch nahi raha. Main long initiative par focus karunga, aur agar hum 1.0830 ke ilaake mein phir se aaye, toh main wahan kharidari karne ki koshish karunga.
Waise bhi, jitna jald America mein elections aate hain, utni hi zyada banks, analysts, waghera se mukhtalif bayanat sunne ko milte hain. Iske ilawa, America mein elections ka system bohot na-pasandida hota hai aur yeh kisi bhi waqt badal sakta hai.

Jahan tak euro ka 1.1000 tak barhne ka taluq hai, jab ECB ne akhri martaba rate ko tezi se kam kiya tha, tab bhi mujhe samajh nahi aaya ke EUR/USD pair kaise barh gaya. Lekin yeh baat sach hai ke barhne ka amal ek haqeeqat hai. Isliye 1.1000 tak correction ka wapas aana koi hairani ki baat nahi. Yeh ek kaamiyab correction hai, jo daily chart par 50 Fibonacci ka ek hissa hai, poori girawat ke lehre se.

Chhoti time frames par, jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, mere paas 2 resistance levels hain. Pehla sabse nazdeek 1.0874 hai. Hum ne is par Jumme ko kaafi nazdeek pohanch gaye the. Peer ko, main chahunga ke humein ek pullback dekhnay ko mile bina Thursday ke minimum 1.0810 ko tode. Agar unho ne 1.0830 ke ilaake mein pullback diya, toh main samjhta hoon ke main 1.0874 ke breakout par kharidari karne ki koshish karunga. Agla resistance level 1.0954 hoga. Is par hum tab baat karenge jab hum 1.0874 ko tod dete hain.

Jab hum peer aur naye haftay mein dakhil hote hain, EUR/USD pair kuch aham technical levels ka samna kar raha hai, jinhein traders ko nazar rakhna chahiye. Din ka balance 1.0845 par hai. Yeh level ek crucial pivot point ki tarah kaam karta hai jo pair ke mumkinah harkat ko dikhata hai. Agar price is balance point ke upar rahti hai, toh yeh bullish sentiment ko darshata hai; lekin agar price is se neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh bearish outlook ka ishara ho sakta hai.
Pehla resistance level jo dekhna chahiye, woh H1 chart par 1.0890 par hai. Yeh level is liye ahem hai kyunke agar price isko todti hai, toh yeh aage ke upar chalne ki raah khol sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh yeh agle resistance level ki taraf H4 chart par 1.0980 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Yeh upward momentum ek strong bullish trend ko darshata hai, jahan traders is movement ka faida uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Lekin, jab tak H1 resistance 1.0890 ka breakout confirm nahi hota, tab tak pair ka neeche ki taraf mudne ka bhi mauqa hai, jo girawat ko continue kar sakta hai. Agar price balance level 1.0845 ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh ek bearish reversal ko aur mazid confirm karega. Agar yeh hota hai, toh pair niche ki taraf 1.0780 aur 1.0740 jese support levels ko target kar sakta hai. Yeh levels bohot ahem hain kyunki yeh bearish trend ke jari rehne ka ishara kar sakte hain.

Agar pair H1 resistance 1.0890 ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyunki iske baad H1 support 1.0810 par ek pullback ho sakta hai. Aisi pullbacks trading mein aam hain, kyunki breakout ke baad price corrections hoti hain. Is potential retracement ke baad, pair phir se H4 resistance 1.0980 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke price bina kisi significant correction ke bhi seedha H4 resistance ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko darshata hai.

Iske muqablay, agar pair H4 resistance 1.0980 ko todne mein nakam hota hai, toh phir se south ki taraf reversal ho sakta hai, jo 1.0720 aur aakhirkar main target 1.0315 ki taraf hoga. Yeh scenario is baat ko darshata hai ke resistance levels ko nazar rakhna kitna ahem hai, kyunki yeh price action ke liye potential turning points ka ishara de sakte hain.

Agar pair H4 resistance 1.0980 ko paar kar leta hai, toh agla significant level D1 resistance 1.1110 par hoga. Is level ka breakthrough ek continued bullish trend ko darshata hai. Lekin, is target ki taraf ka safar seedha nahi hai; traders ko yeh samajhna chahiye ke 1.1015 par ek challenging level bhi hai jise clear karna hoga takay upward movement ko mazid taqat mile.

Aakhri taur par, is haftay EUR/USD pair ka outlook in critical resistance aur support levels par munhasir hai. Balance point 1.0845 pivotal hai, aur traders ko is level ke ird gird potential breakouts ya reversals ko dekhna chahiye. Agar 1.0890 par breakout hota hai, toh yeh aur zyada faida de sakta hai, jabke 1.0845 ke neeche girne par bearish reversal ka ishara milta hai. In technical levels ko samajhna aur bullish aur bearish dono scenarios ke liye tayar rehna, aane wale dinon mein informed trading decisions lene ke liye zaroori hoga.

Technical analysis of the EURUSD pair

GBP/USD ka jorha lagbhag zero momentum ke saath trade ho raha hai aur benchmark 1.3040 ke qareeb hai. "Bulls" ne pichle hafte ke aakhir mein banaaye gaye upward momentum ko banaaye rakha hai, lekin is hafte wo naye catalysts ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pichle Jumme ko, British currency ko September ke retail sales data se khaas faida hua: saalana buniyad par, ye data 2.3% se barh kar 3.9% ho gaya, jabki andaza 3.2% tha.

Ye month-on-month 1.0% se gir kar 0.3% ho gaya, jabki analysts ne -0.3% ka andaza lagaya tha. Iske ilawa, non-fuel value 2.2% se barh kar 4.0% ho gayi, jo pichle andaze 3.2% ke muqable mein hai. Hafte ke shuruat mein, pound ko Rightmove Group Ltd se macroeconomic ghar ki keemat ke statistics ki release se dabao ka samna hai. Is index ne October mein saalana buniyad par 1.2% se gir kar 1.0% aur month-on-month 0.8% se 0.3% tak aaya, jo mulk mein inflation ke khataron ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Bank of England ke representatives, jin mein chief regulator Andrew Bailey bhi hain, kal bolne wale hain. Officials ka intazaar hai ke wo mulk mein inflation ki tez girawat aur arch-rivals jaise ke US central bank aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke monetary policy ko dheela karne ke liye further borrowing costs ki kami ka push denge.

Jumeraat ko, UK S&P Global se manufacturing aur services sectors mein business activity ke data ka elan karega. Andaz hai ke industrial sector ka PMI 51.5 points se gir kar 51.4 points aur services sector ka 52.4 points se gir kar 52.2 points ho jayega.

EURUSD Technical Analysis by JANAFX

Aaj main EURUSD par baat karne ja raha hoon. Filhal market price 1.0845 hai. Market prices mein ek upar ki taraf ka rukh hai. Is mahine ke darmiyan se, price lagataar barh raha hai aur apne sabse neeche ke level par aakar, market ne resistance level ko support mein tabdeel kar diya hai. Filhal market price 1.0830 par support hai. Is waqt, market price ka resistance level 1.0900 hai. Jab price support level tak pohanchta hai, toh yeh count kar sakta hai ke resistance level ko tod kar naya level bana sakta hai.

Agar market price barhta hai, toh 1.0875 par ek mazboot resistance point hai. H4 time frame mein, market ka rukh is baat se tay hota hai ke bullish candle ka close kaise hota hai. Agar yeh candle support level ke neeche close hoti hai, toh market ek naya support level bana sakti hai. Aaj ka chart jo H4 time frame mein tayar kiya gaya hai, wo mahine ka sabse neecha price dikhata hai.

Chart se hum dekh sakte hain ke market structure kis taraf ja raha hai. H4 time frame mein, market price apne sabse neeche point par hai aur resistance ki taraf barh raha hai. Agar market price support level ke neeche close hoti hai, toh mahine ka sabse neecha point ban jayega. Agar H4 candle support ke upar close hoti hai, toh market price agle candle ke resistance level ki taraf barhegi, resistance level ko tod kar 1.0844 par naya resistance level bana sakti hai.

Agar price barhta hai, toh yeh pichle mahine ki high 1.0890 ke upar bhi ja sakta hai. Agar price is resistance point ko todna chahta hai, toh isse zyada ek se zyada resistance level ko neeche karna hoga. Jaise jaise market apne itihas ki sabse unchi levels ki taraf aata hai, ye kuch dinon mein ek surge mehsoos karega.

EUR/USD:
Aur yahan koi do raaye nahi hain, kyunki kal humne EUR/USD jor par minimums ko update karne mein nakami haasil ki aur hum ne achi khasa growth ya rollback dekhi, aur daily maximums par band hui. Halankeh yeh zaroori hai keh downward movement ab bhi mukhya hai aur main abhi tak southern direction mein break ki baat nahi karunga. Lekin yahan daily charts par humein long initiative, absorption dekhne ko mili hai. Aur isse upar 1.0950 ka platform mere liye phir se relevant ho gaya hai. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein yeh zaroori hai keh dollar ka trading aage kaisa rahega. Is liye, main abhi tak sales ko nahi dekh raha. Aur main long initiative par focus karunga, aur agar hum phir se 1.0830 ke area tak aaye, to main wahan kharidne ki koshish karunga.

Waise bhi, jese jese America mein elections kareeb aa rahe hain, waise waise banks, analysts, etc. se mukhtalif statements aane lage hain. Umer me elections ka voting system waqai mein anjaam dene wale halat ka bhari asar hai.

Jahan tak euro ke 1.1000 tak badhne ka taluq hai, jab ECB ne akhri martaba rate sharp taur par kam kiya tha, main bhi nahi samajh paaya keh EUR/USD jor kaise bada, lekin phir bhi iski growth ek haqeeqat hai. Isliye 1.1000 tak correction rollback mein koi hairani ki baat nahi. Yeh ek acha working correction hai, jo daily chart par decline ke poore wave se 50 Fibonacci tak hoga.

Lower time frames par, jaise ke maine pehle hi zikar kiya, mere paas 2 resistance levels hain. Pehla, sabse nazdeek wala level 1.0874 hai. Hum is par Friday ko kaafi kareeb aaye. Monday ko, main chahunga keh ek pullback ho bina Thursday ke minimum 1.0810 ko todte hue. Agar 1.0830 area tak pullback hota hai, to main 1.0874 ke breakout par buying karne ki koshish karunga. Agla resistance level 1.0954 hoga. Is par baad mein baat karenge, agar hum 1.0874 ko todte hain.

**Euro Ka US Dollar Ke Khilaf Istahkam:**

Euro ne pichlay session ke faide ke baad US dollar ke khilaf istahkam hasil kiya, Monday ko Asian trading session mein 1.0860 ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai. Neeche ki taraf kuch khatre hain, kyunki haali data jo US ma'eeshat ki mazbooti ko dikhata hai, Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ka interest rate cut karne ki speculation ko kam kar raha hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, November mein 25 basis points ka rate cut hone ki probability 99.3% tak barh gayi hai, jabke ek haftay pehle yeh 89.5% thi.

US ke retail sales September mein 0.4% barh gaye, jo August ke 0.1% ke izafe aur market ki 0.3% ke izafe ki umeed se behtar hai. Is ke ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 11 October ko khatam hone wali haftay mein 19,000 kam hue, jo teen mawaqay mein sabse badi kami hai.

Rabobank ki research ke mutabiq, markets ne ECB officials ke haal ke comments ko eurozone ke inflation outlook ke liye barhte huye itminan ka nishan samjha hai. Is wajah se, ECB apna focus regional growth ko support karne ki taraf shift kar raha hai. Yeh speculation ko janam deta hai ke ECB easing ki raftar ko tez kar sakta hai, jismein mumkinah 50 basis points ka rate cut bhi shamil hai. Aisi kisi karwai se euro par dabao barh sakta hai aur euro-dollar exchange rate ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

**Euro Ka US Dollar Ke Khilaf Girawat:**

Euro ne 1.1200 ke aas-paas double-digit top se peechay hatne ke baad US dollar ke khilaf 2% se zyada girawat dekhi, jo iski chhatti musalsal positive din ko darshata hai. Price ne short-term uptrend line aur round number 1.1000 ke neeche girawat ki, jo haali ke downward correction ko confirm karta hai. RSI neutral threshold 50 ke neeche aa gaya hai, lekin Stochastic indicator ne yeh darshaya hai ke downward correction khatam ho chuka hai, kyunki yeh %K aur %D lines ke darmiyan bullish crossover bana raha hai.

Agar selling interest jari raha, toh market mazboot 200-day SMA ko 1.0870 par dobara test kar sakta hai, phir medium-term uptrend line ke aas-paas 1.0800 par settle hone ka imkaan hai.

Yeh EUR/USD ka H4 timeframe ka chart hai. Chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke price ek consistent downtrend mein hai, jahan candles lagatar neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain. Yeh downtrend 8 October se lekar 21 October tak ka period dikhata hai.Bollinger Bands use hui hain jo ke price ke volatility ko highlight karti hain. Price lower Bollinger Band ke qareeb hai, jo is baat ka izhar karta hai ke market oversold zone mein hai. Is point par hum kisi potential reversal ka intizar kar sakte hain, kyun ke jab price extreme lower band par hoti hai to wahan se correction ya retracement ka chance hota hai.Iske ilawa, 50-period Simple Moving Average (red line) aur mid Bollinger Band ke sath price neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo market mein selling pressure ka saboot hai. Yani, jab tak price in moving averages se upar break nahi karti, tab tak downtrend barqarar reh sakta hai. Filhal price ne ek slight pullback kiya hai, lekin agar yeh 1.0830 ke support level ko break kar leti hai, to agla target 1.0805 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Yeh area ek important support zone ban sakta hai, lekin agar price is level ko break karti hai to bearish continuation ka signal milega.Is waqt technical indicators yeh dikhate hain ke EUR/USD mein selling pressure zyada hai. Lekin, kuch bulls ka interference bhi dekhne ko mila hai jahan price ne lower levels se ek chhoti si upward move kiya hai. Overall trend bearish hai, lekin traders ko Bollinger Band ke near kisi reversal signal ka intezar karna chahiye.mujhe yakeen hai ap mere analysis samjh gaye hongy jiss say ap aj ky din aur iss week main eurusd pair main trade kar ky acha profit hasil sakty hain.

USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai. Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai. EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.
Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.
Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

US economy ka growth Europe aur Japan ke muqable mein impressive chal raha hai. Strong US economic data ne markets ko Federal Reserve (Fed) se rate cut expectations kam karne par majboor kar diya hai. US mein higher interest rates ne dollar ko aur mazbooti di hai. Aane wale hafta ke quiet calendar mein ye trends jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.

**EUR/USD Oversold aur USD/JPY Resistance Zone mein**
EUR/USD bohat oversold ho gaya hai, jisse short-term price compression ka risk barh gaya hai. Wahi, USD/JPY ek major resistance zone mein enter ho raha hai, jo agle kuch dino mein market ke liye aik interesting development ho sakta hai.

**US Economic Exceptionalism**
US economy ka "exceptional" performance ab bhi chalta ja raha hai, jo U.S. bond yields ko barhawa de raha hai. Yeh trend US dollar ko euro aur Japanese yen ke against mazbooti deta hai. Is waqt duniya ke developed countries ke muqable mein US economy significant level par perform kar rahi hai.

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ke HDPNow forecasting model ke mutabiq, September quarter mein annual growth 3.4% pe pohanch rahi hai, jo pehle ke 3% (June quarter) se zyada hai. Yeh growth unemployment ko stable rakhne wale levels se zyada hai, jisse unemployment mein kami aur inflation barhne ka khatra hai, agar yeh forecast accurate sabit hoti hai.

**Global Struggles aur Citi Economic Surprise Index ka Indicator**
Jabke US growth ne momentum pakra hai, doosri developed economies struggle kar rahi hain. Citi Economic Surprise Index ko agar dekha jaye, to US ka data economists ki expectations se consistently better perform kar raha hai. Score 0 se upar hone ka matlab hota hai ke zyada data predictions se acha tha, jabke score neeche hone ka matlab expectations se bura perform karna hai. Eurozone aur Japan ka score neeche hai, jo unki struggling economies ko highlight karta hai.

**Traders ke Liye Caution ka Waqt**
Agle hafte kuch khaas economic information nahi release ho rahi jo US economy ki resilience ko challenge kar sake. Traders ko Fed officials ki taraf se kisi bhi aisi commentary ke liye hoshiyaar rehna chahiye jo market expectations par asar daal sake, khaaskar interest rates ke outlook ke hawale se.



Summary mein, US economic exceptionalism ne bond yields aur dollar ki strength ko support diya hai, aur agar yeh trend jaari rehta hai, to EUR/USD aur USD/JPY pairs mein aur volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai.