یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

**EUR/USD :**
**EUR/USD D1 Time Frame Chart**
EUR/USD D1 time frame chart par, hum pair ki price behavior ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, jo ke aik pronounced bearish trend ka shikar hai. Recent sessions mein pair ne consistent downward momentum dikhaya hai, jo is baat ka ishara deta hai ke sellers abhi bhi market mein mazbooti se qabiz hain. Yeh bearish movement aik bara trend ka hissa lagti hai, jo agar halat barqarar rahti hain to aur zyada girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Euro par dabao Eurozone mein macroeconomic uncertainties aur mazboot U.S. dollar ki wajah se barqarar hai.

Dollar ki taqat, jo ke investors ke liye safe-haven currency ka kirdar ada kar raha hai, EUR/USD pair ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahi hai. Global economic uncertainties ke hawalay se, investors dollar ko prefer kar rahe hain. Mazeed, inflation concerns aur European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies ne EUR/USD ke bearish sentiment ko barhawa diya hai. Agar pair ne critical support points ko break kiya, to mazeed girawat ke chances hain, jo is pair ko naye lows ki taraf dhakel sakti hai.

Dosri taraf, agar pair support find kar ke stabilize ho jata hai, to hum kuch corrective upward movement dekh sakte hain, lekin overall trend abhi bhi bearish hi rahega. Jaise hum EUR/USD ko track kar rahe hain, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo kisi bhi economic data ya central bank ke announcements par nazar rakhein, jo pair ke direction ko impact kar sakti hain. Aane wale sessions mein, yeh dekha jayega ke bearish trend barqarar rahega ya market bulls ke haq mein shift kar sakta hai. Current momentum downward trend ki taraf hai, isliye risk management bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai jo is volatile environment mein trading kar rahe hain.

**EUR/USD H4 Time Frame Chart**
EUR/USD H4 time frame chart par hum price action aur trends ko ghair mamooli tor par analyze kar rahe hain. Hamara ongoing discussion in challenges aur opportunities par focus karta hai jo yeh pair faraham kar raha hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo munasib prices par sell karne ka soch rahe hain. EUR/USD pair ne volatility ka izhar kiya hai, jo traders ke liye risks aur rewards dono faraham kar sakti hai, jo market ko closely dekh rahe hain.

Jab hum price behavior par ghore karte hain, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke pair ko upward momentum barqarar rakhne mein muskilat ho rahi hain, jis se sellers ko price drops ka faida uthane ka moka mil raha hai. Lekin market dynamics complex hain, aur jab ke pair selling opportunities faraham karta hai, challenge entry aur exit points ko theek time par choose karne mein hota hai. EUR/USD ne critical support aur resistance levels ke ird gird hover karna shuru kar diya hai, aur har move naye possibilities paida karta hai un traders ke liye jo short-term selling strategies mein interested hain.

Bara economic environment bhi pair ke current behavior mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Eurozone ke economic challenges aur mazboot U.S. dollar ne euro par dabao dala hai, jis se EUR/USD ko upward gains barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Yeh selling pressure ka sabab bana hai, jab ke traders euro ke against dollar par bet lagane ko zyada pasand kar rahe hain. Risk management strategies, jaise ke munasib stop-loss levels set karna, bohot zaroori hain is pair ki volatility ko navigate karne ke liye. Overall, jab ke EUR/USD filhal selling opportunities faraham kar raha hai, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo hoshiar rahein aur market ke changes ke mutabiq apna rukh badlein.

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior analysis par ek dilchasp guftagu kar rahe hain. August 27 ke peak ke qareeb resistance area ka ek "false" breakout dekha gaya. Aise false breakouts aksar ulte rukh ki taraf, shayad neeche ki taraf, movement ka sabab bante hain, jo agle sessions mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai. False breakout tab hota hai jab bade market players aur sellers ke paas counter-liquidity nahi hoti jo consequential orders ko support kar sake. Jab zone se breakout hota hai, to wahan rakhi gayi orders—mainly buy-stop aur market-buy orders—trigger hoti hain. Isliye, jab aap "false" breakout dekhte hain, to reversal ki umeed rakhna behtar hai. Agar aaj ka low toota, to 1.1096 level ki taraf rasta khulega aur phir EMA 200 par 1.1066 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aaj ka low kitna mumkin hai. Pair EMA 50 se rebound karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is moving average ke upar trading resume karne ki koshish kar raha hai.
EUR/USD ke chart ko dekhte hue, aaj ek bullish scenario ubhar raha hai. Maujooda price 1.1113 hai, aur bullish momentum taqat pakar raha hai jab kharidaar market mein apni dominance dikhate hain. Bulls apni taqat mein izafa kar rahe hain, jo ek strong upward trend ka ishara hai. Yeh surge yeh darshata hai ke aane wale ghante EUR/USD pair ke liye pivotal ho sakte hain.
Agar bullish trend jari rahta hai, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke price jald hi 1.1145 resistance level ko test kare. Yeh level ek crucial threshold hai jo agar tooti, to bullish outlook ko aur validate kar sakta hai aur potential gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.
Is scenario mein, investors ko un technical pehluon ka khayal rakhna chahiye jo market movement ko influence karte hain. Technical tools jaise moving averages, trend lines, aur momentum indicators istemal karna valuable insights de sakta hai aur informed trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Yeh tools key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne, current trend ki taqat ko assess karne, aur potential reversals ya continuations ko anticipate karne mein madad karte hain. Apne account ka sahi management karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar volatile environment mein jahan price movements rapid aur significant ho sakte hain.
EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke ongoing live evaluation par markuzi hai. Rozana ke neechay ki taraf jate huye trend ke baad, EUR/USD ke sellers ka agla target 1.0852 ke aas paas hai. Lekin, aaj ki rozana candle mein khaas spread hai magar volume kafi kam hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke last week ke low ke neeche impulsive breakout hona mushkil hai. Is ke bawajood, ek false breakout ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Aaj EUR/USD ka koi significant tabdeeli dikhana doubtful hai, isliye humein dekhna hoga ke din ke end tak kya hota hai, khaaskar kya 1.0897 ka low intact rehta hai. Agar yeh support level barqarar rehta hai, to euro bullish pullback shuru kar sakta hai jo descending fan ke central level aur pehle box level 1.1032 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is haftay ke liye Monday ke liye koi nayi soch nahi hai, aur humein dekhna hoga ke EUR/USD aaj ki session ko volume ke hisaab se kaise close karta hai.
Recent corrective decline ke baad, aaj growth continue ho sakta hai. Yeh strengthening is waqt ke levels se aage barh sakta hai, jo price ko 1.09249 range ke upar le ja sakta hai. Agar 1.0899 ke aas paas ek false breakdown hota hai aur price is ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to humein ek buy signal mil sakta hai, jo market mein entry ka mauqa dega. Lekin, 1.0954 ke resistance level ko todne mein nakami ke mad e nazar, sirf successful breakout ke baad hi buy karna faida mand hai. Agar 1.0974 range ko cross kiya jata hai, to mazeed growth ki sambhavna hai. Exchange rate ko mazboot karna priority hai, lekin 1.0924 par thodi si corrective pullback ab bhi mumkin hai.

EUR/USD ne 1.0896 aur 1.0894 ke darmiyan ek critical support zone ko touch kiya hai, jo 1.0899 ke round level se bhi milta hai. Yeh area ek long-term downtrend ko darshata hai, aur yeh price ke upar ki taraf bounce back hone ki high probability ko darshata hai. Lekin agar bears is zone ke neeche settle ho jate hain, to yeh further downward movement ka darwaza khol deta hai, jiska target 1.0869 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) aur 1.0790 (76.4% Fibonacci retracement) hoga. Isliye traders ko in levels par dhyan dena chahiye taake wo sahi samay par trades le sakein.

اکتوبر 17 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

آج کے یورپی مرکزی بینک کے اجلاس کے نتائج سے پہلے یورو خود کو ممکنہ حد تک کم کر رہا ہے۔ تکنیکی طور پر، 1.0777 کی سطح پہلے سے ہی چل رہی ہے اور اگر مارکیٹ کی عمومی توقعات کو کم نہ کیا گیا تو نسبتاً تیزی سے پہنچ سکتا ہے – یعنی مرکزی بینک شرح کو 0.25 فیصد کم کرتا ہے اور اگلی کٹوتی کو "چھ ماہ کے لیے" ملتوی نہیں کرتا ہے۔ بڑھتے ہوئے اجرتوں اور حقیقی شعبے میں اتنی کمزور کارکردگی کی وجہ سے اندرونی افراط زر پر ای. سی. بی. کے خدشات کو مدنظر رکھتے ہوئے، لیگارڈ کا لہجہ شاید بہت دھیما نہ ہو۔



یورو کے لئے تکنیکی نقطہ نظر سنگین ہے. تاہم، 1.0777 کی سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچنے سے چیزیں بدل سکتی ہیں۔ بہر حال، اگر یہ سپورٹ مارا جاتا ہے، تو یہ ممکنہ طور پر کسی وجہ سے ہو گا، جس کا مطلب ہے کہ 1.0777 سے کسی بھی اصلاح کے گہرے ہونے کا امکان نہیں ہے۔ 1.0882 پر قیمت کی واپسی، 23.6% کی اصلاح کے ساتھ، ہو سکتی ہے۔ اس طرح، آنے والے دنوں کے لیے ہمارا مرکزی منظر نامہ 1.0777 تک گرنا ہے جس کے بعد اصلاحی اضافہ ہوگا۔

چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن ایک تنگ اترتے ہوئے چینل کے اندر ترقی کر رہی ہے، اور ایسا پیٹرن زیادہ دیر تک نہیں چل سکتا۔ مالیاتی پالیسی پر ای. سی. بی. کا فیصلہ مارلن کو اس آرام دہ حد سے باہر دھکیل دے گا۔ چونکہ مجموعی طور پر نیچے کی طرف حرکت الٹ جانے کے آثار کے بغیر مستحکم ہے، اس لیے آسیلیٹر کا بریک آؤٹ اور قیمت زیادہ تر نیچے کی طرف واقع ہوگی۔



کیا ای. سی. بی. قیمت کو اوپر کی طرف بڑھا سکتا ہے؟ یہ ممکن ہے۔ ایچ -٤ چارٹ (1.0912) پر موجودہ قیمت سے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن تک زیادہ فاصلہ نہیں ہے، صرف 50 پیپس ۔ اس سطح سے اوپر قیمت کا استحکام اسے 1.0950 تک توڑنے کے لیے تیار کرے گا۔ لیکن اس صورت میں، ای. سی. بی. مارکیٹ کو دھوکہ دے گا۔ تاہم، تاریخ سے پتہ چلتا ہے کہ ای. سی. بی. یورو کے بارے میں مارکیٹ کو گمراہ کرنے کو فریب نہیں سمجھتا۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD pair daily chart par wazeh tor par downward trend mein hai, jo sell orders kholne ke liye ek munasib mahol bana raha hai. Dono MACD aur Awesome Oscillator (AO) histograms ne negative territory mein qadam rakha hai, jo bearish jazbat ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Elliott Wave theory ke mutabiq, correction wave C taqat ikattha kar rahi hai, jo shayad sab se lambi correction wave ban sakti hai, aur yeh munafa kamane ka acha mauqa faraham karti hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke qeemat aakhirkar 261.8 Fibonacci level ko breach karegi, jo 1.0662 par hai, jo mazeed neeche ki potential ka ishara hai.
EUR/USD pair apni downward movement jari rakhta hai, hal hi mein 1.09 ke neeche gir gaya aur apne aakhri lows ko update kiya. Agle key targets 1.0880 ke aas paas ubhar rahe hain. Aaj ki rebound ki koshishain nakam rahi, kyunki qeemat ghatna jari rahi, jo largely dollar ki taqat se driven thi. Aage chal kar, dollar ka performance bohot ahem hoga. Main khud ehtiyaat barat raha hoon aur is waqt ke levels par bechne ka irada nahi rakhta. Lekin, mujhe umeed hai ke qeemat 1.0880 ke neeche gir sakti hai, aur agar koi false breakout hota hai, toh main us surat mein kharidari ka ghor karunga.
Agar EUR/USD pair ko half-hour timeframe par analyze karain, toh yeh nazar aata hai ke 1.1000 ke key level se rebound ke baad, ek wazeh downward price channel ban gaya hai. Filhal, qeemat 1.0906 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai. Aaj, pehla local minimum 1.0900 ko 1.0885 tak update kiya gaya, jahan sellers price ko neeche nahi le ja sakte, jo ek rebound ka sabab bana. Jabke upar ki taraf correction ka potential hai channel ki upper boundary ki taraf, main yeh samajhta hoon ke zyada mumkin hai ke current levels se decline ka silsila jari rahe, jo channel ki lower boundary tak, jo 1.0870 se 1.0875 ke aas paas hai, target karega.

EUR/USD 1.0935 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur jo current trend hai, wo bearish side ki taraf jhuk raha hai. Yeh pair halya dino mein dabao ka shikar hai, jisme dheema magar musalsal girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aane wale dino mein kuch aise factors bhi hain jo ke isme significant movement la sakte hain. Is downtrend ka ek bara sabab US dollar ki relative strength hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ki wajah se mazid mazboot hui hai. Central bank ka focus inflation ko control karne par hai, jiske liye wo faiz ki daron ko barhane ki policy par amal kar raha hai. Is wajah se greenback (US dollar) investors ke liye zyada attractive bana hai, aur euro jaisi currencies ko dollar ke muqable mein struggle karna pad raha hai. Halya US economic data, jaise ke mazboot employment numbers aur stable consumer spending, ne dollar ki rise ko aur bhi momentum diya hai. Doosri taraf, Eurozone ko abhi bhi kai economic challenges ka samna hai. Is region mein growth prospects ab tak thanda nazar aa raha hai, jo ke high energy costs aur inflationary pressures ke asraat hain. Halanki Eurozone mein inflation ke hawale se kuch behtari dekhne ko mili hai, lekin yeh ab bhi policymakers ke liye ek concern bana hua hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne approach mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, aur unhone signal diya hai ke wo rate hikes ko dheema karne ya rokne ka soch rahe hain, jab tak inflation downward trend mein rahega. Yeh ehtiyaati stance Federal Reserve ke aggressive rawaiye ke mukablay mein euro par aur dabao daal raha hai. Technically, EUR/USD iss waqt ek critical support level 1.0930 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support qaim rehti hai, toh hum ek temporary bounce dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh support break ho jati hai, toh ek bara selloff trigger ho sakta hai, jisse pair agle key support 1.0850 ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Traders is level ko ghore se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar yeh break hota hai, toh aagay aur girawat ke darwaze khul sakte hain. Aane wale dino mein kuch important economic events hain jo EUR/USD ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. US aur Eurozone dono apne ahem economic data, jaise ke inflation reports, manufacturing data, aur central bank ke statements release karne wale hain. Iske ilawa, Europe mein geopolitical developments aur energy market trends euro ke liye key drivers banay rahenge.
EUR/USD ke liye ek mixed picture paint karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 mark ke neeche aa gaya hai, jabke is se pehle yeh overbought status par 75.00 ke kareeb tha. Yeh decline is baat ka ishara karta hai ke momentum thanda ho sakta hai, jo traders ko upcoming economic data aur market developments ke hawale se apni positions dobara assess karne par majboor kar sakta hai

ka hai, jo ke Wednesday ko ho gi, aur yeh USD ke movement ke liye is hafte ek ahem factor hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hafte ke shuru se Wednesday tak market USD ke bullish movement ko support karay, is liye hamein jaldi mein koi position open karne ki zaroorat nahi, balkay ek mazboot signal ka intezar karna chahiye. Digar khabron mein ziada focus inflation data par hai, jabke US aur duniya mein inflation kam ho rahi hai aur zyada control mein hai, is liye mere khayal mein inka market par koi khas asar nahi hoga. Daily basis par dekha jaye to yeh pair Purple EMA100 trend line par ruk gaya hai jo ke 1.0950 ke fresh demand area ke sath match kar raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red

EUR/USD OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:

EUR/USD D1 time frame chart par, hum pair ke price behavior par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo ek zaahir bearish trend ka shikaar hai. Haal ke sessions mein, pair ne consistent downward momentum dikhaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers poori tarah control mein hain. Yeh bearish movement ek bade trend ka hissa lagta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke agar maujooda halat barqarar rahe, to aage bhi girawat ki sambhavana hai.

Euro ka pressure mein rehna kayi macroeconomic factors ki wajah se hai, jaise Eurozone mein economic uncertainties aur strong U.S. dollar. Dollar ki taqat ek key factor hai jo pair ko neeche le ja rahi hai, kyunki investors global economic uncertainties ke darmiyan dollar ko safe-haven currency ke tor par pasand kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, inflation concerns aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rate policies ke muqablay mein U.S. Federal Reserve ke policies bhi EUR/USD ke bearish sentiment ko barhawa de rahe hain.

Critical support points ke neeche breakdown hone se further declines ka rasta khul sakta hai, jo pair ko naye lows ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is ke muqablay mein, agar pair support dhoondhne aur stabilize hone mein kaamyaab hota hai, to humein kuch corrective upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, lekin overall trend ab bhi bearish hai.

Jab hum EUR/USD ko track karte hain, yeh zaroori hai ke traders kisi bhi economic data ya central bank announcements mein hone wale shifts par alert rahen, jo pair ki direction par asar daal sakte hain. Aane wale sessions crucial insights de sakte hain ke kya bearish trend jaari rahega ya market bulls ke haq mein shift hoga. Maujooda momentum downward trend ki taraf jhukav de raha hai, is liye risk management is volatile environment mein kaam karne wale logon ke liye zaroori hai.

EUR/USD H4 time frame chart par, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke current price action aur trends ka gehra jaiza le rahe hain. Hamari ongoing discussion is pair ke challenges aur opportunities par markaz hai, khaaskar un logon ke liye jo favorable prices par sell karne ka soch rahe hain. EUR/USD pair volatility ke nishan dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai, jo traders ke liye risks aur rewards dono create kar sakta hai jo market ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain.

Jab hum price behavior ka gehra jaiza lete hain, to yeh wazeh hai ke pair upward momentum banaye rakhne mein pareshani mehsoos kar raha hai, jo sellers ke liye price drops ka faida uthane ka mauka faraham karta hai. Lekin, market dynamics complex hain, aur jab ke pair sell karne ke mauke de raha hai, asli challenge entry aur exit points ko sahi waqt par pehchanna hai.

EUR/USD critical levels of support aur resistance ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai, aur har movement traders ke liye naye possibilities create kar sakta hai jo short-term selling strategies mein shamil hone ke liye tayar hain. Is pair ke current behavior mein broader economic environment bhi aham role ada karta hai. Eurozone mein ongoing economic challenges, saath hi relatively strong U.S. dollar, euro par pressure daal rahe hain, jo EUR/USD ko kisi bhi upward gains ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil bana raha hai.

Yeh selling pressure ko barhawa de raha hai, kyunki traders dollar ke haq mein euro ke khilaf daav lagane mein zyada rujhan rakhte hain. Risk management strategies, jaise appropriate stop-loss levels tay karna, is pair ki potential volatility ko navigate karne mein zaroori hain. Kul mila kar, jab ke EUR/USD abhi selling opportunities faraham kar raha hai, yeh zaroori hai ke traders vigilant rahein aur market changes ke mutabiq apne strategies ko adapt karein.

aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane
raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke 1.0900 ke price par hai.raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke 1.0900 ke price par hai.

milne wale maloomat ke mutabiq, ZEW Review - Financial Opinion ne October mein tawaqqo se zyada behtar kaam kiya, jabke US se aane wale maloomat mein NY Realm State Assembling File mein tezi se kami dekhne ko mili.

Tajziati nazar se, EUR/USD pair ab bhi apni girawat ko aage barhane ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Daily chart par, yeh apne opening ke ird-gird trade kar raha hai, lekin isne ek naya lower low aur lower high bhi dekha. Yeh khaas taur par, EUR/USD pair ek lagbhag horizontal 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0945 ke aas-paas mazboot resistance faraham kar raha hai. Is waqt 20 SMA bhi 100 SMA se zyada tezi se badh raha hai, jo ke lagataar selling interest ki nishani hai.

Aakhir mein, technical indicators oversold readings ke nazdeek hain, bina kisi wazeh directional strength ke, lekin neeche ki taraf ke thakan ki koi nishani nahi hai. Qareeb ke waqt ke liye, aur 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, EUR/USD apni girawat ko aage barhane ke raste par hai. Negative 20 SMA buyers ko dismiss kar raha hai, jabke 100 SMA bhi negative 200 SMA ke neeche tezi se aage barh raha hai. Technical indicators bhi negative levels mein ikattha ho rahe hain, jo ke clear directional signs dene mein nakam hain, lekin abhi bhi neeche ki taraf risk ko dikhate hain.

EUR/USD pair ne Tuesday ko 1.0900 ka mark sambhalne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh 1.0884 ka naya do-maheena low tak gir gaya. US Dollar (USD) Asian session ke doran mazboot raha, lekin European markets khulte hi kuch ground kho diya. Is beech, Euro ne local data mein kuch qareebi support hasil kiya, jab German ZEW Review ne October mein financial opinion mein behtari dikhai. German index 13.1 par aaya, jabke EU ka score 20.1 tha, jo tawaqqo se bohot behtar hai. Lekin, mulk mein maujooda halat ka andaza -86.9 par aaya, jo September ke -84.5 se kam hai.

Behtar market mood bhi USD ki demand ko kam kar raha hai. Money Street ne tech sector mein mazboot izafa ke sath Monday ko rally ki, jo Asian aur European indexes ko pehle hisson mein upar le gaya. Lekin, oil prices ke girne se energy stocks par asar pada, jo European aur US futures ko neeche le aaya. American market ke khulne se pehle, US ne NY Realm State Assembling File ka maloomat faraham kiya, jo October mein 11.5 ke pehle wale mahine se gir kar -11.9 par aa gaya. Aage chal kar, kuch Federal Reserve (Fed) officials bhi kuch waqt ke baad bayan

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
E U R / U S D**

Mere doston! Aap kaise hain aaj? Ab chaliye aaj ke chart ke baare mein baat karte hain jo is waqt ke time frame mein tayar kiya gaya hai. Is price chart par, EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko $1.0891 ko chhua. Abhi EUR/USD 1.0891 par trade kar raha hai. Is time frame par, hum dekh sakte hain ke market price chart par ek downtrend bana hua hai aur ye girawat jaari hai.

Agar hum Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ko dekhein, to ye humein batata hai ke market neeche ki taraf hai. Filhal, RSI indicator ki value 30 aur 40 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke 37.7521 hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator par, MACD ki lines neeche ki taraf mud rahi hain, jo dikhata hai ke EUR/USD ne apni bullish movement rok di hai aur ab sellers strong nazar aa rahe hain.

Moving average indicator par bhi, Moving Average ki lines neeche ki taraf mud rahi hain, jo bearish signal dikhata hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Market price ke liye EUR/USD ka main resistance level 1.0953 hai. Mere khayal se, EUR/USD ka is level tak mazboot hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke resistance level 2 par 1.1082 ke price range mein hai. Agar price is resistance level ko todne ki koshish karta hai, to uske upar ek bohot strong resistance level hai aur agla market price 1.1207 hoga.

Dusri taraf, EUR/USD ka main support level 1.0511 hai. Mere khayal se, EUR/USD ka is level tak kamzor hone ka bhi imkaan hai, jo ke support level 2 par 1.0123 ke price range mein hai. Agar price is support level ko todne ki koshish karta hai, to iske neeche bhi ek bohot strong support level hai, aur agla market price 0.9522 hoga.

Indicators jo chart mein istemal kiye gaye hain:

• MACD Indicator:
• RSI Indicator (period 14):
• 50-day Exponential Moving Average (color: Orange):
• 20-day Exponential Moving Average (color: Magenta):

Stay blessed and stay safe!

Euro ko mukhtalif macroeconomic factors ke wajah se pressure ka samna hai, jisme Eurozone ki economic uncertainties aur U.S. dollar ki taqat shamil hain. Dollar ki mazbooti ne EUR/USD ko neeche dhakela hai, kyun ke investors global economic uncertainties ke doran dollar ko safe haven samajhte hain. Is ke ilawa, inflation concerns aur European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ke darmiyan interest rate policies mein tafreeq ne EUR/USD ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ko barhawa diya hai. Agar pair key support levels ke neeche girta hai, toh aage aur girawat ka imkaan hai, jo pair ko naye lows tak le ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair support find karke stable ho jata hai, toh hum kuch upward correction dekh sakte hain, lekin overall trend abhi bhi negative hai. EUR/USD ko monitor karte waqt traders ko economic data ya central bank announcements ke hawalay se hoshiyar rehna chahiye, kyun ke ye factors pair ki direction ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Aane wali sessions mein yeh pata chalega ke bearish trend jaari rahega ya market buyers ke haq mein shift karegi. EUR/USD ke H4 chart par hum current price action aur trends ka tajzia kar rahe hain. Humari guftagu un challenges aur mauqaon par hai jo yeh pair un traders ke liye pesh karta hai jo advantageous prices par sell karna chahte hain. EUR/USD ne volatility ke asraat dikhaye hain, jo ke attentive traders ke liye risk aur reward dono barabar pesh karte hain. Price behavior ka gehraai se tajzia karne par yeh saaf hai ke pair upward momentum barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar raha hai, jo sellers ke liye declines ka faida uthane ka mauqa hai. Magar, market dynamics complex hain aur sabse bara challenge entry aur exit points ko theek waqt par samajhna hai. EUR/USD abhi critical support aur resistance levels ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai, aur har movement naye possibilities create kar raha hai short-term selling strategies ke liye. Eurozone ke economic issues aur U.S. dollar ki relative taqat ne euro ko pressure mein rakha hai, jo EUR/USD ko upward gains sustain karne mein challenging bana raha hai. Is situation ne selling pressure ko barhawa diya hai, kyun ke traders aksar dollar ko euro ke muqable mein prefer karte hain. Risk management strategies ko adopt karna, jaise ke appropriate stop-loss levels set karna, bohot zaroori hai iss pair ki volatility se nimatne ke liye. Overall, jab ke EUR/USD filhal selling opportunities de raha hai, lekin market changes ke hawalay se hamesha hoshiyar aur flexible rehna zaroori hai.

Hello, EUR/USD trades marginally higher on the day above 1.0900. ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment improved more than expected in October, according to data from Germany and the Eurozone, while US data showed a sharp drop in the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index. From a technical point of view, EUR/USD is still ready to extend its slide. The daily chart shows that it is trading around its opening but also posted lower lows and lower highs. Further, EUR/USD developed below the nearly flat 100 simple moving average which provides dynamic resistance at around 1.0945. The 20 SMA, meanwhile, continues to move higher and lower in the long run, consistent with persistent selling interest. Finally, technical indicators are standing close to oversold readings, without clear directional strength, but also without signs of downside exhaustion. EUR/USD thoda upar trade kar raha hai din kay aghaz say le kar 1.0900 kay upar. ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment ki report October main umeed say ziada behtari dikhati hai, jese Germany aur Eurozone kay data se pata chala, jabkay US ka data NY Empire State Manufacturing Index main sakht kami ko zahir karta hai. Technical nuqtah-e-nazar say, EUR/USD abhi tak apni girawat barhane kay liye tayar hai. Rozana ka chart yeh dikhata hai ke yeh apni shuruaat kay aas paas trade kar raha hai lekin nayi neechi lows aur neechi highs bhi banayi hain. Mazeed, EUR/USD abhi tak taqreeban seedha 100 simple moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo lagbhag 1.0945 par dynamic resistance provide kar raha hai.
20 SMA, dusri taraf, lambay arsay ke dauran ooper neeche hota rehta hai jo mustaqil selling interest ko zahir karta hai. Akhir mein, technical indicators oversold readings kay qareeb hain, baghair kisi wazeh rujhan ke taqat kay, lekin neeche ki taraf thakaan ke baghair bhi hain. Aik qareebi arsay main, aur 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, EUR/USD apni girawat ko barhane kay raste par hai. Bearish 20 SMA khareedari ko reject karta rehta hai, jabkay 100 SMA current levels ke kafi upar move karta hai jo 200 SMA ke neeche hai.
Is dauran, technical indicators negative levels main mustahkam hain, lekin abhi tak koi wazeh rujhan denay main nakaam hain, lekin neeche ke risk ko zahir karte hain. EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 1.0900 mark ko hold karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya jab yeh naye do-mahina lows tak gir gaya 1.0884 par.

Chinese markets mein guzishta do jalseon mein bohot zyada girawat ne commodity dollar par dabaav banaye rakha, lekin European majors EUR/USD aur GBP/USD ko zyada asar nahi hua, aur DAX bhi US markets ke saath upar gaya Tuesday ko. Aaj US economic calendar mein zyada kuch nahi hai, isliye umeed hai ke dollar zyada hila-jula nahi karega, magar halki hawkish bias ke sath rahega, jiski wajah se Middle East mein tensions aur US rate expectations mein hawkish shift hai jo ke Friday ke dovish report ke baad samne aayi thi. Filhal koi waisa sabab nahi lagta jo US dollar mein significant selloff ka sabab ban sake, siwai agar Middle East mein tensions mein kami aaye.

Markets ne takreeban 50bp Fed cut ka khayal chor diya hai, aur is haftay ke US inflation data se yeh soorat-e-haal tabdeel hone ki umeed nahi hai. Eurozone mein, jabke German industrial data ne ek surprise month-on-month rise dikhaya 2.9% ka Tuesday ko, ECB ke 25 basis point rate cut ko agle hafte tak nahi roknay ki umeed hai. Nateeja yeh ke EUR/USD ka rasta thoda downside ki taraf jhukta nazar aa raha hai.

Kya US dollar mazeed gains kar sakta hai? US dollar ne guzishta hafte Powell ke hawkish bayanat aur mazboot non-farm payrolls news ke baad rally ki thi, lekin humne doosre major central banks, jaise ke ECB, BoE, aur BoJ se dovish signals bhi dekhe hain. Saath hi, Chinese markets ne bhi week ki shuruaat thoda kamzor ki hai, jo commodity aur EM FX ke muqablay mein dollar ko mazid support dene wala ek aur factor hai.

Markets ab puri tarah Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke 50bp cut ke mukhalifat se mutabiq hain, aur ab November aur December mein 25bp cuts price in kiye jaa rahe hain. Agle chand dinon mein thodi volatility honi chahiye, lekin EUR/USD mein koi bara move October ke akheer tak expected nahi hai, jab naya jobs aur activity data release hoga, siwai agar ECB agle hafte koi surprise de.

Sab ka dhyan is haftay ke US CPI par hai. Is haftay ka key data Thursday ko aayega jab humare paas latest CPI estimate hoga. PPI inflation ka measure Friday ko publish hoga. Yeh inflation numbers mil kar Fed ke stance ya dollar ki strength ko zyada change nahi karenge, jab tak koi bara surprise na ho. September mein Core CPI ke 0.2% month-on-month girne ki umeed hai, jo August ke 0.3% increase se neeche hai. Agar yeh figure 0.1% bhi ho, toh bhi yeh labor market se attention hattane wala nahi hoga. Fed ab apne employment mandate par zyada focus kar raha hai, isliye koi bhi unexpected inflation data dollar mein zyada volatility nahi layega.

Middle East mein tensions aur US election EUR/USD par dabao daal rahe hain. Jabke Middle East mein tensions zyada barhne ka khatara kam hai, lekin mazeed kami bhi mushkil lagti hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke oil prices barh sakti hain, jabke Tuesday ko yeh China ke sath kuch aur commodity prices ke sath gir gayi thi. Agar oil prices wapis barhti hain Middle East mein mazeed tensions ke baad, toh yeh euro par pressure banaye rakhegi. Saath hi, US presidential election qareeb hai, jo ek defensive position ko dollar ke haq mein rakhne wala factor hai euro ke muqable mein.

Waqt hai ke bazaar ki soorat-e-haal ko ehtiyaat ke sath dekha jaye aur kisi position mein dakhil hone se pehle ek clear setup ka intezaar kiya jaye. Agar price 1.0950 level ke upar rahi, toh highs ka retest mumkin ho sakta hai; lekin neeche ke support levels tak girawat ka khatara abhi bhi bara hai. Market sentiment aur key economic indicators ka mushahida future mein EUR/USD ke raaste ka taayun karne mein zaroori hoga. Sabar aur strategic planning is aham lekin ahista chalti market phase mein traders ke liye critical honge.