یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Hamari baat cheet EUR/USD currency pair ke live price movements ko samajhne par hai. Guzishta hafta sellers ne market ko puri tarah se control kiya tha, aur pehle se yeh andaza tha ke ek naya downward move ane wala hai. MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence nazar ayi thi, jo ek solid sell signal ka ishara tha. Ek descending wedge pattern bhi chart par bana hua tha, aur doosra CCI indicator bhi bearish divergence dikhata raha. Overall, kai currency pairs mein US dollar ke strength ka ishara mil raha tha.Haan, mujhe yeh andaza tha ke market neeche jaayega, lekin yeh itni jaldi ho jaye ga, yeh expect nahi kiya tha. Mujhe laga tha ke yeh move do hafton mein develop hoga, lekin chand din mein hi market ne September ke sabhi gains ko ura diya aur naye lows ko touch kar diya. Agar bears kaamiyab nahi hotay aur price 1.07900 aur 1.07650 support levels tak nahi girta, to bullish buy level jo 1.11910 par hai, wahan se market ka trend phir bullish ho sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, main apni sell position ko loss par close kar doon ga aur buying side par shift ho jaoon ga, jahan mere growth targets resistance levels 1.13479, 1.14367, aur 1.15517 ke ird gird honge.

1.07900 ka level ek major support point hai, jo daily aur weekly timeframes mein bhi kaafi ahem hai. Weekly level par thodi si fluctuation ho sakti hai, lekin hum expect karte hain ke thoda aur neeche jane ke baad market correct karega, pehla target 1.1010 aur phir 1.1072 ho sakta hai. MACD ne zero line cross kar liya hai, jo divergence ko reset karta hai. Yeh sab factors mila kar suggest karte hain ke ab selling ka waqt nahi hai, kyun ke downward move ka potential ab kam lag raha hai. H1 aur H4 timeframes mein growth formation expect hai, aur humein upward correction ka kuch hissa capture karne ka chance lena chahiye.Ek bearish sell level ka breakout hua tha jo 1.10290 par consolidate ho gaya. Yeh breakout indicate karta hai ke ek aur decline aa sakta hai, aur long-term targets ke liye darwaza khol diya hai. Main ne 1.10290 par sell position open ki thi, aur target kar raha hoon ke price 1.07900 aur 1.07650 support levels tak neeche aaye.US ke producer inflation data ne Fed ke rate cut expectations par zyada asar nahi dala. Central bank se umeed hai ke woh agle meeting mein 25-bps ka rate cut announce kare ga, especially jab CPI data ne inflation ko persistent dikhaya hai. Is wajah se Fed par gradual easing ka pressure hai, jo market mein further movements ko influence kare ga.

mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, GBP/USD currency pair ke neeche jaane ke chances abhi

mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain j

Eur/Usd currency pair abhi apni recent kamyabi ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hai. Do din tak positive movement ke baad, yeh pair US session ke dauran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye spot prices 1.1180 ke critical level ke thoda upar hain aur lagbhag unchanged hain jabke dealers US ki ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, Eur/Usd takriban 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai.

Eur/Usd phir se 1.1099 level par aa sakta hai. Aksar aise geopolitical risks jaldi reverse ho jate hain agar situation de-escalate ho jaye. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh euro ne ek ascending wedge se breakout kiya hai aur 1.1049 tak pura retrace kar chuka hai. Agar Iran aur Israel ka conflict aur barhta hai, toh yeh pair 1.0999 level tak gir sakta hai.

Eur/Usd weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon,

Eur/Usd ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai.

Eur/Usd currency pair abhi neutral se upward bias mein hai, lekin agar key support level 1.1126 break hota hai, toh downward trend trigger hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ka agla target psychologically significant 1.1100 level hoga, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.1162 par. Agar pair yeh levels breach karta hai, toh yeh 100-DMA confluence ko 1.1155 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur further downside pair ko swing low 1.0777 ki taraf ja skty hai.

EURUSD currency pair ka jaiza agar H4 aur H1 timeframe ke trading chart par liya jaye, toh dekha gaya ke kal, Jumma ke din, pair ne nayi low banayi thi 1.0950 ke price par aur support level 1.0960 ke price par tha. Jumma ke din ke trading mein, EURUSD ne ek resistance area form ki thi jo ke 1.1040 ke price par thi aur support level 1.1050 par tha. Lekin, Monday ke trading mein, EURUSD pair ke girne ke imkaanaat hain aur yeh daily trading range mein sirf 20 se 15 pips ke darmiyan hi rahega. Naya support level 1.0910 se 1.0915 ke price par form hote dekhne ko mila hai, jab ke nayi high 1.0955 ke aas paas aur resistance level 1.0960 par form hui hai. H1 aur H4 timeframe ke trading charts par EURUSD ne bullish trend reversal pattern banaya hai. Moving average indicator period 8 aur period 16 ke darmiyan golden globe pattern form hui hai jo ke bullish trend ka signal hai. Aaj subah market ke khulne par, EURUSD ne thoda gap down form kiya lekin strong bullish candlestick pattern banaya jo buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai. Yeh bhi dekhne ko mila ke sellers ka 1.0950 - 1.0960 ke support area ko breach karne mein fail hona, ek aur bullish reversal signal ko confirm karta hai. Ab, trading plan ko dekha jaye toh mein ab bhi EURUSD pair mein girawat ke imkaanaat dekhta hoon, chahe MACD indicator aur relative strength index (RSI) oversold conditions mein hain, lekin USDX index ka strong hona EURUSD par asar dal raha hai aur yeh girawat ko mazid barhawa de sakta hai, khaaskar Asian aur European trading sessions ke doran.

H4 time frame chart ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair ka market structure bohot achi tarah se samajh aata hai, jo ke recent market developments se asar daal raha hai. Yeh pair economic data aur external factors dono se mutasir ho raha hai, jo iski current market positioning ko tay kar rahe hain. Price ek defined range mein move kar rahi hai, jisse traders ke liye pair ki behavior ko track karna aur potential breakout ya breakdown scenarios ko samajhna asaan ho gaya hai. Daily chart par jaane par, EUR/USD ka overall market behavior aur bhi wazeh ho jata hai.
Pair ki movements key support aur resistance levels se khaas taur par mutasir hoti hain, jo entry aur exit points tay karne mein bohot ahmiyat rakhti hain. Support levels wo zones hain jahan price aksar wapas uthti hai, jabke resistance levels wo barriers hain jo upward momentum ko rok dete hain. In levels ki pehchan karna asan raha hai, jo traders ke liye in movements ka faida uthane mein madadgar sabit ho raha hai. Is wazeh structure ko dekhte hue, traders ko EUR/USD pair par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke market sentiment ya major economic news mein koi tabdeeli nai trading opportunities ka zariya ban sakti hai, jo critical technical levels ke asar par mabni hoti hai.


H1 time frame chart par focus karte hue, hum EUR/USD ki current market conditions aur is hafte ke liye potential trading opportunities ka jaiza lete hain. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.0975 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo short-term market movements se faida uthane wale traders ke liye khaas zone hai. H1 chart price action ka tafsili nazar faraham karta hai, jo recent fluctuations ko highlight karta hai aur future trends ka andaza lagane mein madad deta hai.

Aaj ki analysis mein, hum dekh rahe hain ke EUR/USD relatively narrow range mein move kar raha hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain. Magar, yeh consolidation phase kisi bhi direction mein breakout ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo key support aur resistance levels ko nazar rakhne wale traders ke liye nai trading opportunities tayar kar sakta hai. Agar price 1.1000 level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ka signal hoga. Is ke muqabil, agar yeh 1.0950 zone ke aas paas support ko barqarar nahi rakh sakti, toh humein market mein mazeed downside pressure dekhne ko mil sakt

Positive US economic data ne US economy ke slow down kay khauf ko kam kar diya, lekin kuch risks ab bhi mojood hain. US economy ne filhal recession se bach liya hai, lekin key activity data ab bhi slowdown ke isharaat de raha hai. Federal Reserve ke recent faislay ne, jisme unhon ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se cut kiya, global markets mein kuch khauf paida kiya hai. Baaz investors recession ke baray mein fears ka izhar kar rahe hain.Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne wazahat ki ke ye rate cut ek proactive measure hai taake US labor market ko support mil sake, na ke recession ke signs ko respond karne ka ikdam. Positive data jisme US durable goods orders aur weekly jobless claims shamil hain, ne Fed ke stance ko aur mazid barhawa diya aur economy ke liye ek soft landing ka tasavvur mazid mazboot kiya. Friday ka Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data bohot important hoga taake Fed ke recent rate cuts ka asar dekh sake.August mein US durable goods orders 0.0% rahe month-over-month, jo ke expectations ke 2.6% contraction se kaafi behtar hai. Iske ilawa, initial jobless claims 218,000 tak gir gaye September 20 ko khatam hone wale haftay mein, jo ke estimates ke 225,000 se behtar hain aur peechlay haftay ke revised 222,000 se bhi kam hain.Thursday ke bullish rally ke bawajood, euro ab tak 1.1200 level se neeche hi rahega. Buyers actively koshish kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD ko upper limit tak push kar sakein, lekin sellers ke pass momentum ke kami se downside move ke options mehdoood ho rahe hain. Pair ab tak 50-day EMA ke upar 1.1040 par acha khaasa stable hai, aur price action ke liye ab bhi kafi room hai taake wo 1.1200 se upar ja sake.H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to hume nazar aata hai ke takreeban 75% girawat jo hum Wednesday ko dekh rahe thay, wo Thursday ko euro/dollar par recover ho gayi. Aaj Friday hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke upward movement jari rahegi aur pichla local maximum update hoga. H4 chart par southern channel pehle broken tha, aur ek ascending channel form ho gaya hai. Technically, lower border se rebound ke baad ek nai wave of growth shuru hui, aur buyers ka goal upper border tak pohchna hoga, jo takreeban 1.1220 ke level par intersect karega.Hum wahan ki taraf confident pace ke sath barh rahe hain

EURUSD currency pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai jab ke yeh apni 50-day moving average ke thoda upar chala gaya hai, pichlay haftay ki momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai. Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega. Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega. US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai. Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega. Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega. Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai. Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega. Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230 ka breakout hoga aur EUR/USD 1.15 ki taraf chala jayega.

**EUR/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:**
EUR/USD D1 time frame par hum EUR/USD currency pair ki live price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pichlay hafte ki performance ne ye wazeh signals diye ke sellers market par puri tarah se qabza rakhte hain. Momentum bears ke haq mein shift hua, jo pair ki value mein significant kami ka sabab bana. Yeh neeche ki taraf harkat bilkul hairat angez nahi thi, kyunki kai technical indicators ne is se pehle sell-off ka nishaan diya tha.

Ek ahem indicator jo is bearish sentiment ka darshak tha, woh tha MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). MACD par bearish divergence bana tha, jo yeh signal deta hai ke jabke price higher highs bana raha tha, lekin underlying momentum kamzor hota ja raha tha. Yeh divergence aksar aik mazboot sell signal mana jata hai, kyunki yeh darshata hai ke upward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur reversal qareeb hai. Jo traders is signal ko pehchanne mein vigilant rahe, unho ne is mauqe ka faida uthaya, sell positions shuru karte hue is significant drop se pehle. Daily chart par price action yeh tasdiq karta hai ke pichlay hafte sellers ne market par mazboot control rakha.

EUR/USD pair lagataar neeche ki taraf chala gaya, key support levels ko todte hue aur bearish trend ko mazid majboot karte hue. Jab price gir raha tha, to yeh wazeh hota gaya ke buyers ki dilchaspi mehdood thi, jis se sellers ko pair ko mazeed negative territory mein push karne ka mauqa mila. Agay dekhte hue, traders ke liye yeh sawal hai ke kya bearish momentum jari rahega ya kya pair kisi potential reversal ke liye tayar hai.

Ek ahem factor jo dekhna hai, wo yeh hoga ke current support levels par kya jawab milta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair in critical support ke upar barqarar rehne mein kaamyab hota hai, to hum consolidation ka ek dor ya phir thodi bahar uthne ki surat dekh sakte hain jab buyers control wapas hasil karne ki koshish karte hain. Lekin agar yeh levels fail ho jate hain, to bearish trend jari reh sakta hai, jo short trades ke liye mazeed mauqe faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone aur U.S. se aane wale economic data aane wale moves ka faisla karne mein ahm kirdar ada karenge. Kisi bhi mazboot economic report jo U.S. dollar ko faida de, woh euro par mazeed pressure dal sakti hai, jabke kamzor data pair ko kuch raahat de sakti hai.

Pichlay hafte mein sellers ki dominance aur MACD par bearish divergence ne traders ke liye aik behtareen selling scenario banaya. Aage chal kar, support levels aur aanewale data releases par nazar rakhna EUR/USD pair ki aglay direction ka tajziya karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

**EUR/USD Price Developments**
Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ki maujooda price action ka tajziya karne par hai. EUR/USD currency pair ke liye, main mukhtalif time frames par potential outlook ka tajziya karne ki salahiyat deta hoon. Aam tor par, price movements is waqt ek sideways range mein consolidation darshate hain. Halankeh kal ek neeche ki taraf correction dekhi gayi, jis ne price ko 1.1105 ke critical support level se neeche push kiya. Market is waqt aik ahm juncture par hai, jo 4-hour chart par nazar aane wale uptrend channel ki lower boundary ke tootne ka ishara de raha hai. Yeh bullish trend se bearish trend ki taraf shift hone ka darshak ho sakta hai.

Lambi muddat ke liye, upward trajectory abhi tak barqarar hai, aur ab target resistance 1.1249 par hai. Kal ka daily chart aik significant downward move dikhata hai, jo aik bara red candle ke banne se darshata hai. Agar saari shira'aat waise hi rahe, to exchange rate 1.1009 se 1.1004 ki range ki taraf girta rahega.

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ki price behaviour ke maujooda tajziya par hai. Main shuru mein soch raha tha ke price 1.1079 ke aas paas stabilize hoga phir upar ki taraf chalega. Halankeh main is girawat ko rok nahi saka, lekin mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke aaj ke Asian session mein kuch growth dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan resistance 1.1129 ke aas paas rahegi. Filhal, 1.0999 level bullish direction ke liye aik critical marker hai, lekin wo volumes jo pehle promising the, ab questionable hain. Neeche aik nai, mazboot resistance ban sakti hai, aur halankeh 1.1129 itna mazboot nahi hai, lekin situation aur bhi gehri ho sakti hai.

Main Friday ke 10th figure support par bhi tawajjo de raha hoon. Aaj humne jaisa umeed thi, significant downward drop dekha. Hourly time frame par EUR/USD yeh darshata hai ke euro bulls 1.1046 ke aas paas support talash kar rahe hain, jo ke aik halki rebound mein zahir ho raha hai. Idealy, main chahunga ke pehle support, jo ab resistance ban chuka hai, 1.1107 par correction dekhu phir short position ko resume karun aur agle downward phase ke liye 1.1015 level ko target karun.

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S E U R / U S D**

Hello. Aaj main EUR/USD chart ka tajziya kar raha hoon aur is pair ke liye ab tak koi khaas baat nahi hai. Ab chaliye aaj ke chart ki baat karte hain jo is time frame mein tayar kiya gaya hai. EUR/USD is waqt 1.0973 par trade kar raha hai. Is chart par, girawat ab bhi market par qabza rakhti hai. Is liye, candlestick ki shakal ek sell signal faraham karti hai agle mauqe ke liye. Yeh chart EUR/USD ki price action ko darshata hai.

Is chart par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator oversold ki taraf ishara nahi kar raha. Saath hi, lagta hai ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ab bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke EUR/USD neeche ki taraf chalega. Agar hum isay 20-period exponential moving average aur 50-period exponential moving average ke buniyad par tajziya karein, to yeh ab bhi bearish hone ki taraf rujhan rakhta hai. Chart par support aur resistance dekhkar market structure ko samajhna asan hai.

Price 1.0895 se upar hai aur 1.003 par resistance ka tajziya kar raha hai, jo pehla level hai. Agar yeh koshish kaamyab hoti hai, to price agle resistance ki taraf 1.1091 ki taraf chalega, jo doosra level hai. Agar 1.1091 par resistance ko tod diya jata hai, to price 1.1213 par resistance ki taraf barhega, jo teesra level hai. Doosri taraf, neeche ki taraf harkat ka reference point local support level hoga, jo 1.0895 par hai. Market price aane wale dinon mein naye support level bana sakti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to market price ka agla target 1.0777 hoga. Iske baad, mujhe ummeed hai ke aur neeche ki taraf movement hogi, takreeban support level tak, jo 1.0101 par hai, jo teesra support level hai. Buyers aur sellers ne is hafte EUR/USD time frame par kaafi productive hafta guzarha hai.

**Chart par istemal hone wale indicators:**
- **MACD indicator:**
- **RSI indicator period 14:**
- **50-day exponential moving average color: Orange**
- **20-day exponential moving average color: Magenta**

Is hafte EUR currency ke liye koi bara khabar release schedule nahi hai, is liye iska movement USD data par mabni hoga, jo ke is hafte kafi ziada release kiya ja raha hai. Magar, Monday aur Tuesday ko market mein koi bara khabar nahi tha. Market ka intezar FOMC Meeting Minutes ka hai, jo ke Wednesday ko ho gi, aur yeh USD ke movement ke liye is hafte ek ahem factor hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hafte ke shuru se Wednesday tak market USD ke bullish movement ko support karay, is liye hamein jaldi mein koi position open karne ki zaroorat nahi, balkay ek mazboot signal ka intezar karna chahiye. Digar khabron mein ziada focus inflation data par hai, jabke US aur duniya mein inflation kam ho rahi hai aur zyada control mein hai, is liye mere khayal mein inka market par koi khas asar nahi hoga. Daily basis par dekha jaye to yeh pair Purple EMA100 trend line par ruk gaya hai jo ke 1.0950 ke fresh demand area ke sath match kar raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke 1.0900 ke price par hai.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi 1.0732 ke ahem level ke aas paas ghoom raha hai. Yeh resistance level char ghante ke chart par haal hi ki trading range ke upper limit ke saath milta hai, jo ke market ke liye aik potential turning point darshata hai. 1.0732 level pair ke liye aik critical barrier hai jise paar karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, aur is level ke aas paas ka rawaiya market ke agle rukh ko tay karne mein ahem hai. Kal ka trading session relatively quiet tha, jahan prices largely unchanged rahe. Is movement ki kami ko badi hadd tak bina kisi bari maaliyat se judi khabron ke mojoodgi ka zimmedar mana ja sakta hai, jo ke market ki volatility ko barhane mein ahmiyat rakhti hain. Taza data ya events ke bina jo market sentiment ko influence karte hain, traders ne seemab azar honay ka nazariya apnaya, jis se limited price action dekha gaya.

Lekin aaj US market ke khulne ke saath, aik zyada active din hone ki umeed hai, jisme American taraf se ahem maaliyat ke bahtareen miqdaar aane wali hai. Yeh data ka influx EUR/USD pair ke rukh par ahem asar daal sakta hai. Aham maaliyat ke indicators jaise rozgar ke figures, mahangai ke data, ya Federal Reserve ke afraad ke bayanat, interest rates aur economic outlooks ke baray mein market ki umeedon ko badalne ka juzriyat rakhte hain. Agar aane wale US maaliyat ke data expectations se zyada mazboot hote hain, to yeh US dollar ko taqwiyat de sakta hai, jo keh EUR/USD pair par neeche ki taraf dabaav dal sakta hai aur 1.0732 resistance level se door kar sakta hai. Ulta agar expectations se kamzor data aaye, to dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jisse EUR/USD ko resistance ke oopar break karne aur apni upar ki raftar ko jari rakhne ka moqa mil sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ki price movement ko dekh kar lagta hai ke upward rally ke baad ab tak koi khaas correction phase nahi dekhne ko mila. Haqeeqat mein, price ne 1.0817 ke high prices ko cross kar liya aur upward rally ko jari rakha. Waqai, jab trend direction already bullish condition mein ho, to price movement ka projection ziyada barhne ka hai. Agar price 1.0778 ke low tak jata hai, to lagta hai ke yeh RBS area 1.0771 tak nahi pohonchega. Is ke ilawa, price pattern ka structure bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai, jo yeh matlab deta hai ke downward correction phase sirf ek secondary reaction hoga.

RSI indicator ke parameters (14), jo ke overbought zone 80 - 70 level ke andar hain, yeh batate hain ke upward rally mein buying saturation point par pohonch gayi hai. Abhi ka EUR/USD pair ka price agar upward rally ko barhata dekhna chahta hai to pehle ek downward correction zaroori hai, taake price 1.0900 level tak pohonch sake. Yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke New York session mein aaj raat ko US employment data report ka aana hai jo ke US Dollar currency ke outlook ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Agar fundamentals US Dollar ke haq mein hotay hain, to upward rally ruk sakti hai aur price movement 1.0800 level se neeche ho sakti hai.

Trading plan ke liye behtar hoga ke BUY ka intezaar kiya jaye kyun ke iss waqt market ke trending direction ke khilaaf jaana risky ho sakta hai. RBS area 1.0771 ko entry point ke tor par use kiya ja sakta hai agar downward correction kafi impulsive hoti hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameter ke 50 level ke qareeb pohonchne par agar rejection hota hai, to yeh confirmation milti hai. Take profit ya stop loss ko set karte waqt Risk: Reward ratio 1: 2 ka istimaal kiya ja sakta hai taake capital ki strength ke mutabiq adjust kiya ja sake.

اکتوبر 7 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

یہ کہنا کہ جمعہ کا امریکی روزگار کا ڈیٹا بہترین تھا، ڈالر اور پوری اسٹاک مارکیٹ کو مضبوط کرنا اور اگلے 1-2 ماہ کے لیے ایک پرامید رجحان قائم کرنا حد سے زیادہ اور حد سے زیادہ پر امید ہوگا۔ جیسا کہ ہم نے پہلے ذکر کیا، ہم نے امریکی صدارتی انتخابات تک اور کچھ دیر بعد اسٹاک مارکیٹ کی ریلی کے خیال سے اتفاق کیا۔ تاہم، ہم اب بھی اس بات سے متفق نہیں ہیں کہ اسٹاک مارکیٹ کے پلٹنے سے پہلے یورو کا اپ ٹرینڈ ٹوٹ جائے گا۔ مسئلہ خود مارکیٹ کا ہے۔ اسٹاک مارکیٹ سے الگ، آزادانہ طور پر مضبوط کرنے کی ڈالر کی تمام کوششیں، جن میں سے سب سے مضبوط اس سال جنوری سے اپریل تک ہوئی تھی، کو بے اثر کر دیا گیا ہے۔

نتیجے کے طور پر، اب ہم دیکھتے ہیں کہ یورو جنوری 2023 کی چوٹی پر ہے (جب اسے برابری سے نیچے ہونا چاہیے تھا)، جبکہ اسی مدت کے دوران ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 37 فیصد اضافہ ہوا۔ اپریل 2024 کے بعد سے، یورو اسٹاک مارکیٹ کے ساتھ مل کر بڑھ رہا ہے، خطرے کی بھوک کی وجہ سے، اور یک طرفہ مضبوط معاشی اعداد و شمار سے مارکیٹ کے بڑے کھلاڑیوں کے جذبات کو تبدیل کرنے کا امکان نہیں ہے۔



ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر، نیا ہفتہ تیسرے فبونیکی ٹائم لائن پر شروع ہوا ہے، جو کہ 110.0% فبونیکی کی سطح سے ترقی کی طرف الٹ اور صفر لائن سے مارلن آسیلیٹر کی بحالی کا اشارہ دے سکتا ہے۔ اگر ترقی 5ویں ٹائم لائن تک جاری رہتی ہے تو، 1.1230 کی ہدف کی سطح، 200.0% ردعمل کی سطح پر، امریکی انتخابات کے ہفتے کے دوران پہنچ سکتی ہے۔ اگر 6 ویں لائن سے الٹ جاتا ہے تو، 238.2 فیصد ردعمل کی سطح پر 1.1350 کی ہدف کی سطح دسمبر کے وسط تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے قیمت میں کمی، جو واقع ہوئی، اس منظر نامے میں غلط بریک آؤٹ ہو سکتی ہے۔

روزانہ چارٹ پر، قیمت نے 1.0950 کی ہدف کی سطح (17 جولائی کی چوٹی) سے الٹ جانے کا اشارہ کیا ہے۔ 1.1010 سے اوپر کا بریک آؤٹ ایک الٹ جانے کی پہلی سنگین علامت ہو گی، اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے 1.1075 سے آگے بڑھنا الٹ کی تصدیق کرے گا۔ اگر قیمت 1.0950 کی سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے مستحکم ہوتی ہے، تو یہ 1.0882 کو ہدف بنانے کی کوشش کر سکتی ہے۔



چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کنورجنسی کی تیاری کر رہے ہیں۔ یورو کو سپورٹ کی ضرورت ہے، کیونکہ یومیہ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اور چار گھنٹے کا ٹائم فریم 1.1076 کی سطح کو تقویت دیتا ہے۔

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