Eurusd forum

EUR/USD
Subah bakhair aur sab ko khush amadeed!
Kal European Central Bank (ECB) ne European Main Refinancing rate ko 3.65% pe barqarar rakha, yani kisi tabdeeli ka faisla nahi kiya. Iske bawajood, ECB ke President ka khitaab EUR/USD buyers ke liye kaafi faidemand tha, jis ne market mein confidence bhar diya. Is ka asar yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ne 1.1040 ka level kaamyabi se haasil kar liya, jo buyers ka target tha. Yeh buying interest ka surge market ke optimism ko dikhata hai, jo ke ECB ki policy aur doosray economic factors ki wajah se mazid taqatwar ho gaya.

Aaj ke trading session ke hawale se do ahem economic indicators U.S. se aane wale hain: U.S. Consumer Confidence aur Inflation Expectations. Yeh reports market direction ko kafi had tak mutasir kar sakti hain, aur agar inka result positive aata hai to buyers ko dobara 1.1065 resistance zone ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Is hawale se, main yeh behtar samajhta hoon ke ek buy order lagaya jaye, jisme short-term target 1.1055 ho, jo ke is waqt ke market context mein munasib profit ka moqa de raha hai.

Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke trading mein ehtiyat se kaam liya jaye, aur ek stop-loss strategy ka istemal kiya jaye. Khaaskar jab aap EUR/USD jaise volatile currency pairs ke sath deal kar rahe ho, to stop loss ek bohat ahem tool hai risk ko manage karne aur apne trading account ko unexpected losses se bachaane ke liye. Market ka behavior economic data releases aur policy speeches se mutasir hota hai, aur kabhi kabhi sudden reversals bhi aa sakte hain, is liye ek achi jagah par stop loss lagana potential downside risks ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Akhir mein, refinancing rate mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui aur ECB ke positive sentiments ne EUR/USD ki buying momentum ko taqat di hai. U.S. ke aanay wale economic data se bhi yeh pair ke upward trajectory ko support mil sakta hai. Lekin, stop-loss orders ke through risk management kisi bhi achi trading strategy ka ahem hissa hota hai.

Dopehar mein maine EUR/USD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ka chart use karte hue analysis banaya, jo ke kal raat ke market trend ke baad kaafi dilchasp laga. Mujhe lagta hai ke wapis upar jaane ka ek mauqa nazar aa raha hai. Yeh reversal signal hai, jahan chand dinon se market ka price movement sellers ke qabze mein tha jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish kar rahe the. Lekin, jaise chart pe dekha jaa sakta hai, bearish koshish ab tak 1.1004 level ko break nahi kar payi jo ke iss haftay ke liye support ka kaam kar raha hai. Iska matlab agar seller is support area ko tod nahi pata, toh trend upar ki taraf continue karne ka imkaan hai.

Isliye, main ek acha trading plan banane wala hoon takay yeh andaza laga saku ke price kab upar jaana shuru karega aur agla destination kahan hoga, H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Saath hi main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ka bhi istemal kar raha hoon. EUR/USD ka price movement H4 chart pe reversal signal de raha hai jo ke pehle bearish correction candlestick ka shape tha. Jaise ke hum daily time frame pe monitor kar sakte hain ke pichle haftay ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue nahi kar paye, kyunke sellers ka pressure aane ke baad market neeche correction ki taraf gaya.

Iss haftay bhi bearish koshish jari hai, lekin kal Thursday ko acha buying interest dekhne ko mila jo ke candlestick position ko upar karne mein madadgar tha, aur market ko bullish rally ke liye rasta diya, jaise pichle August ke aakhir mein trend tha. Stochastics ka mazeed analysis karta hoon, jahan signal line 80 zone tak chali gayi hai, jo ke market ke mazeed upar jaane ki tasveer pesh karta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EUR/USD prices ko barhane ka mauqa ho sakta hai.

Abhi tak market ka movement 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai, aur main aaj dopehar se mazeed barhawa ke liye signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyunke abhi tak market transactions mein volatility nahi aayi. Pichle mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, ek stable increase dekhi gayi hai jo ke neeche ki taraf correction ke darmiyan tha. Halanke market zyada bullish side pe chal raha hai, main tab tak intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 ke resistance zone ko break nahi kar lete, takay buy signal valid ho jaye. Aaj ka market movement beech mein hai kyunke aaj Friday hai aur USD par koi high impact news nahi hai.

kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par 1.1274 se kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki downward correction ka target rakhte
Click image for larger version

EUR/USD ka asasi jaiza:

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt ek mushkil soorat-e-haal ka samna kar raha hai, jo kai anasir se mutasir hai. Ek bara asar jo is pair par ho raha hai wo ye hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo jaldi interest rates me kami ka elan karay ga. Sarmaayakaar is potential rate cut ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain kyun ke low interest rates aksar currency ko kamzor karte hain. Euro pehle hi doosri bari currencies ke muqable mein mushkilat ka shikar hai, aur agar ECB rate cut karta hai toh yeh rujhan barqarar reh sakta hai. ECB ke is faislay ke peechay Eurozone mein mehengai ka ahista hona aik bari wajah hai. Tajziya karnay walay kehtay hain ke mehengai, jo Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ke zariye naapee jati hai, mazeed thandi parh sakti hai. August ka HICP umeed hai ke 2.3% tak giray ga, jab ke core inflation, jo zyada volatile components ko nikal deta hai, 2.8% tak girne ka imkaan hai. In figures ka matlab hai ke ECB ko economy ko sahara denay ke liye rates mazeed kam karte rehna par sakta hai.

Eurozone ki bari economy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi nawaazishat se bharpur nahin hai, jo Euro ke liye soorat-e-haal ko aur bhi paicheeda bana deta hai. Halaanki haal ka data thoda behtari ka ishara karta hai, khaaskar France mein, jahan Paris Olympics ki wajah se kuch afzaish dekhne ko mili, lekin yeh behtari arzi samjhi ja rahi hai. Eurozone ki overall economic soorat-e-haal abhi bhi ehteyaati hai, kamzor growth ke imkaanaat Euro ko neeche dhakel rahe hain. ECB ke chand aham afrad bhi yeh tashweesh zahir kar rahe hain ke mehengai ko qaboo karne ki jo koshishain ho rahi hain wo kitni der paayda rehengi. Is goondegi ke sath, traders apni trading strategies mein in tashweeshat ko shaamil kar rahe hain. European Union ka Main Refinancing Rate ka elan bhi aane wale Thursday ko bazaar mein mazeed utaar chadhaav la sakta hai, kyun ke yeh rate ECB ki future monetary policies ke hawale se aur zyada clues faraham karega.




EUR/USD Technical Overview:

Teknical lehaz se dekha jaye toh EUR/USD aik ahem moqa par trade kar raha hai. Yeh pair aik ahem support level 1.1010 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke bazaar mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Kai teknical indicators, jese ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), yeh darsha rahe hain ke market mein bearish trend hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke bazaar qareebi mustaqbil mein mazeed neeche ja sakta hai. Agar yeh pair aur zyada girta hai, toh agla ahem support level 1.0999 ke qareeb hai, jo aik psychological threshold hai. Agar yeh toot jata hai, toh is se mazeed selling trigger ho sakti hai aur qeemat mein aik tez girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Lekin kuch traders umeed kar rahe hain ke aik chhoti si upward correction bhi aa sakti hai. Yeh is liye ke qeemat abhi bhi kuch ahem moving averages, jese ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), ke qareeb hai aur chhota sa rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai qeemat ke neeche jaane se pehle. Filhal, qeemat apne weekly range ke neeche trade kar rahi hai aur traders short-selling ke moqay dhoond rahe hain, khaaskar ECB ke rate decision se pehle. Agar qeemat 1.1003 se wapas uthti hai, toh yeh 1.11339 tak barh sakti hai. Warna, agar bearish pressure barqarar rehta hai, toh pair 1.08739 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Traders in ahem levels ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain aur apni positions upcoming developments ke mutabiq adjust kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD ka Tajziya

Sab ko Salaam aur Good Morning!

Kal European Main Refinancing rate 3.65% par barqarar raha, kyun ke European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni monetary policy mein koi tabdeeli nahi ki. Halaanki ECB ka yeh faisla rate ko barqarar rakhne ka tha, ECB President ki taqreer ne EUR/USD buyers ke liye achi khabar di, jis ne market mein confidence barhaya. Is ka asar yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ne 1.1040 level ko successfully touch kiya, jo buyers ka aik aham target tha. Buyers ki dilchaspi mein izafa market ki optimism ko zahir karta hai, jo ECB ke stance aur wasee-tor par economic factors ki wajah se mazid barh rahi thi.

Aaj ke trading session ke hawalay se, do aham economic indicators jo EUR/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain wo hain: U.S. Consumer Confidence aur Inflation Expectations. Yeh reports market ke direction mein aham kirdar ada karengi, aur agar yeh reports positive aati hain, to buyers ko aik dafa phir 1.1065 resistance zone ki taraf le ja sakti hain. Is surat-e-haal mein, meri tarjih yeh hai ke aik buy order place kiya jaye, jiska short-term target 1.1055 ho, jo ke mazeed munafa kamaane ka ek munasib mauqa deta hai.

Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke is trade ko ehtiyaat ke sath approach kiya jaye, aur stop-loss strategy ka zaroor istemal kiya jaye. Har trading scenario mein, khaaskar jab hum EUR/USD jaise volatile currency pairs se deal kar rahe hoon, stop-loss ek aham tool hai jo risk ko manage karta hai aur aapke trading account ko nuqsanat se mehfooz rakhta hai. Economic data releases aur policy speeches ki wajah se market mein achanak reversals aa sakte hain, aur aik theek jagah par lagaya gaya stop-loss aapko potential downside risk se bacha sakta hai.

Summary mein, refinancing rate ka barqarar rehna aur ECB ke positive sentiments ne EUR/USD ke buying momentum ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, aur aane wale U.S. economic data se is pair ka upward trend aur mazid support hasil kar sakta hai. Magar, risk management ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemal ek ahem hissa hai har achi trading strategy ka.

EurUsd Market Pair ka Daily Trading Window Analysis

Mangalwar ko EurUsd market pair par trading sellers ki dominance ke saath continue hui, jinhonne price position ko seller's resistance area ke neeche rakha jo 1.1050-1.1048 ke daira mein tha. Is wajah se bullish buyers ka pace ek baar phir fail ho gaya aur price ko upar nahi le ja paaye. Aakhir kar, price ne bearish trend ko kaafi strong tor par follow kiya aur neeche ki taraf move kiya.

EurUsd Market Pair Analysis

Daily Time Window:

Moving Average Indicator Analysis:

• Price Position: Currently, the price or candle is above the Red MA 50 area, which is between 1.0960-1.0962. This suggests that the price is still close to this moving average, especially as a bearish candle has formed again.
• Bearish Potential: The formation of this bearish candle indicates that the EurUsd market pair is still in a strong bearish potential. Sellers are likely to try pushing the price down towards the Red MA 50 area. If this level is successfully breached, the price could weaken further, with the next target being the Blue MA 100 area, which is around 1.0870-1.0872.

Wednesday Afternoon Trading:

• Buyer Dominance: On Wednesday afternoon, buyers took control by successfully holding back the bearish pressure in the support area between 1.1018-1.1020. This allowed the price to rise towards the seller resistance area between 1.1060-1.1063.
• Potential Bullish Movement: If the price can penetrate the 1.1060-1.1063 area strongly, it could continue rising towards the next target in the strong seller supply resistance area at 1.1080-1.1083.

Conclusion:

• Buy Trading Option: Consider placing a pending buy stop order in the area of 1.1060-1.1063, with a target profit (TP) at 1.1080-1.1083 if the price breaks through the seller resistance area.
• Sell Trading Option: Consider placing a pending sell stop order in the area of 1.1028-1.1025, with a target profit (TP) at 1.1007-1.1005 if the price breaks through the buyer support area.

EUR/USD

Greetings aur Good Morning sabko!

European Main Refinancing rate kal 3.65% par barqarar raha, kyunki European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni monetary policy mein stability banaye rakhne ka faisla kiya. Rate ko hold karne ke bawajood, ECB President ka speech EUR/USD buyers ke liye kaafi favorable raha, jisne market mein confidence bhar diya. Iska natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ne 1.1040 level tak successfully pahunch gaya, jo ek significant milestone hai jo buyers target kar rahe the. Yeh buying interest ki surge market ke optimism ko darshata hai, jo ECB ki stance aur broader economic factors se supported hai. Aaj ke trading session ko dekhte hue, do key economic indicators from the U.S. EUR/USD pair ko further influence kar sakte hain: U.S. Consumer Confidence aur Inflation Expectations. Yeh reports market direction determine karne mein crucial role play kar sakti hain, aur agar positive outcome mila to buyers 1.1065 resistance zone ki taraf phir se barh sakte hain. In conditions ke madde nazar, main ek buy order place karne ko prefer karta hoon with a short-term target of 1.1055, jo current market context mein reasonable profit opportunity provide karta hai. Lekin, is trade ko cautiously approach karna zaroori hai, aur stop-loss strategy ka use karna bhi. Kisi bhi trading scenario mein, khaaskar jab volatile currency pairs jaise EUR/USD ke sath deal kar rahe hon, stop loss ek critical tool hai risk manage karne aur trading account ko uncertain losses se bachane ke liye. Market economic data releases aur policy speeches se influence ho raha hai, sudden reversals ho sakti hain, aur ek well-placed stop loss potential downside risks ko mitigate karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Summary mein, unchanged refinancing rate aur ECB se positive sentiment ne EUR/USD buying momentum ko mazbooti di hai, aur upcoming U.S. economic data pair ke upward trajectory ko further support kar sakti hai. Phir bhi, stop-loss orders ke zariye risk management kisi bhi sound trading strategy ka key aspect hai.

Aaj dopahar maine EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai

EurUsd market pair ke Daily trading window ka tajziya

Tuesday ko EurUsd market pair par trading sellers ke control mein rahi. Sellers ne price position ko 1.1050-1.1048 ke resistance area ke neeche banaye rakha, jo ke bullish buyers ki koshish ko phir se fail kar diya aur price ko upar bullish tareeke se le jaane mein nakam rahe. Aakhirkar, price kaafi mazboot bearish movement ke saath niche chali gayi.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka tajziya karne se, price ya candle abhi bhi Red MA 50 area ke upar hai jo ke 1.0960-1.0962 ke qareeb hai, lekin faasla kaafi nazdeek hai. Khaaskar, bearish candle jo phir se bani hai, yeh darshati hai ke EurUsd market pair abhi bhi kaafi strong bearish potential mein hai aur bearish target ke saath hai. Sellers ka zyada mumkin hai ke wo price ko Red MA 50 area ki taraf niche le aayenge. Agar yeh successfully penetrate hota hai, to EurUsd pair ki price aur kamzor ho sakti hai aur agla target Blue MA 100 area ki taraf hoga jo ke 1.0870-1.0872 ke qareeb hai.

Wednesday dopahar ko trading ke dauran, buyers ne actually trading par control hasil kiya aur bearish seller rate ko buyer support area 1.1018-1.1020 mein rokne mein kamiyab rahe. Isne buyers ko price ko bullish tareeke se upar le jaane ki ijaazat di, jo ke seller resistance area 1.1060-1.1063 ke taraf le gaya. Agar yeh area strongly penetrate hota hai, to EurUsd pair ki price aage badhkar strong seller supply resistance area 1.1080-1.1083 ke taraf badhegi.

CONCLUSION:

Buy trading options tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price seller resistance area ko penetrate kar leti hai, iske liye pending buy stop order ko 1.1060-1.1063 ke area mein place karein aur TP area 1.1080-1.1083 mein set karein.

Sell trading options tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price buyer support area ko penetrate kar leti hai, iske liye pending sell stop order ko 1.1028-1.1025 ke area mein place karein aur TP area 1.1007-1.1005 mein set karein.

1.1153 level par focus kiya tha aur market mein entry decisions is par banaane ka plan kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga

Salam aur Subh Bakher sab ko!

European Main Refinancing rate kal 3.65% par barqarar rahi, jabke European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni monetary policy mein stability banaye rakhi. Is faislay ke bawajood, ECB President ki taqreer EUR/USD buyers ke liye kaafi positive rahi, jisne market mein confidence bhar diya. Is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair 1.1040 level tak pohnch gaya, jo buyers ka aik aham maqsad tha. Yeh buying interest ka izhar market ki optimistic soch ko reflect karta hai, jo ECB ki stance aur broader economic factors se support hota hai. Aaj ke trading session mein, do aham economic indicators jo ke U.S. se aane wale hain, woh EUR/USD pair ko aur bhi asar انداز کر سکتے ہیں: U.S. Consumer Confidence aur Inflation Expectations. Yeh reports market direction tay karne mein aham kirdar ada kar sakti hain, aur agar positive nateeje aaye to buyers 1.1065 resistance zone tak dobara pohnch sakte hain. In halaton mein, main aik buy order dena pasand karunga jiska short-term target 1.1055 hai, jo ke current market context mein ek acha munafa dene ki umeed hai. Lekin, trade ko ehtiyaat ke saath lena zaroori hai aur stop-loss strategy ka istemal karna chahiye. Kisi bhi trading scenario mein, khaaskar jab volatile currency pairs jese ke EUR/USD ka samna ho, stop-loss ek ahem tool hai jo risk ko manage karne aur apne trading account ko uncertain losses se bachane mein madad karta hai. Market economic data releases aur policy speeches se asar انداز کر رہی ہے، aur achanak ulta-phirta ho sakta hai, isliye aik achi stop-loss placement potential downside risks ko kam kar sakti hai. Nakhira, unchanged refinancing rate aur ECB se positive sentiment ne EUR/USD buying momentum ko mazid barhaya hai, aur aane wale U.S. economic data is pair ki upward trajectory ko further support de sakte hain. Phir bhi, risk management ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemal ek sound trading strategy ka ahem hissa hai.

EUR/USD Price Patterns

Humaari guftagu iss waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior par ho rahi hai. Ahem zone 1.10299 aur 1.10599 ke beech mein kafi sakht muqaabla ho raha hai, jo euro ke liye intehai zaroori hai. Lagta hai ke is zone ka thoda sa break ho gaya hai, lekin market mein false breakouts aam hain, aur is liye inhe serious nahi lena chahiye. Agar ek decisive break hoti hai aur price is zone ke neeche mazid solidify hoti hai, toh main selling par focus karoon ga. Lekin, mera focus zyada buying par hai, aur meri nazar mein bade targets hain. Pehla target 1.11799 level ke kareeb hai, aur asal maqsood yeh hai ke isay tod kar 1.1399 tak pohoncha jaye. Lekin neeche jaane wala scenario bhi aaj unfold ho sakta hai, is liye main daily candle ki consolidation ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Technically, hum abhi tak monthly resistance zone se break out nahi kar sake, na kal aur na aaj. Hum sirf is zone ke lower boundary ko pierce kar sake hain, lekin abhi tak technical retracement ka aghaz nahi hua. Hum ab bhi movement ka intezaar karte rahenge.

Naturally, market stagnant nahi rahegi, khaaskar jab U.S. interest rate mein tabdeeli aane wali hai. Har bara khabar market ko asar karegi. Pehle hum European events par reaction dekhenge, aur phir week ke aakhri hisse mein U.S. side ka action hoga. Week ke aakhri din kuch action bharay honge. EUR/USD phir se meri expectations par pura nahi utra, halaan ke aaj ki daily candle halka bearish indication ke sath close ho sakti hai. Lekin, pair ke liye kuch nahi badla, kyun ke downward trend ab bhi jaari hai. Ghair mutawaqqa taur par hum next target 1.1024 ke qareeb pohonch gaye, lekin frustration yeh hai ke ek proper retracement nahi ho saka. Ab tak yeh confirm nahi ho saka ke yeh false breakout tha, kyun ke pair 1.1024 ke neeche solidify nahi ho saka. Phir bhi, main nahi samajhta ke aaj koi bara change aayega, lekin kal U.S. inflation data ke sath volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Haalaat mushkil hain, lekin agar yeh breakout of 1.1024 false sabit hota hai, toh main buying par ghoor karoon ga.

Heiken Ashi candlesticks aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ka istemal karke currency pair ya kisi bhi instrument ka technical analysis yeh signal deta hai ke market abhi bullish hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo ke market ke andar power ka balance dikhaata hai, charts par noise ko smooth karta hai aur technical analysis ko asaan banata hai, jis se trading decisions zyada accurate aur sahi hote hain. TMA channel indicator (jo red, blue, aur yellow rangon ki lines dikhata hai) moving averages ko double smooth karta hai aur support aur resistance lines ko achi tarah se dikhata hai, aur yeh instrument ki movement ke current boundaries ko highlight karta hai. RSI basement indicator ek auxiliary oscillator ke tor par istemal hota hai jo Heiken Ashi ke sath kaafi achay results dikhata hai.

Jo chart hum dekh rahay hain, us mein candlesticks blue ho chuki hain jo buyers ki priority ko dikhati hain. Price ne channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kiya, phir minimum point se bounce karke wapas channel mein aayi, aur ab apni middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf ja rahi hai. Sath hi, RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai kyun ke is waqt iska curve upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur overbought level ke paas nahi hai. Isliye, hum ek long buy transaction open karte hain jiska target channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) hai jo ke market quotes par 1.11700 ka price mark hai. Phir aap apni position ko breakeven par le aakar, further profit growth ka intezaar kar sakte hain.





Ab dekhte hain ke naye trading week mein kya hota hai. Iss waqt situation zyada clear nahi hai. Aik taraf northern trend ko continue karne ki initiative hai, lekin 1.1100 ke level se upar jana possible nahi ho saka. Jab se price 1.1200 tak gayi thi, hum decline dekh rahay hain. Iss week ka minimum price 1.1000 tha, jahan se quotes bounce hue hain. Agar hum northern trend ko follow karte hain, to traders ka main kaam resistance level 1.1100 ke upar strong hona hoga. Iss background mein, northerners ka target level 1.1151 hoga aur sirf isay overcome karke hum apne local maximum 1.1200 tak pohch payenge. Selling ki baat karain, to yeh mumkin hai ke 1.1100 ka level ek nai wave of decline ka acha point ban sakta hai. Agar 1.1000 ka level cross hota hai, to hum 1.0950 tak pohch sakte hain.

Heiken Ashi Candlesticks aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) ke Combination ka Technical Analysis

Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) ke combination ke sath abhi market clearly bullish lag rahi hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo ke market mein buyer aur seller ke darmiyan power ka balance dikhata hai, woh price chart ka noise door kar ke analysis ko asaan banata hai. Is se trading decisions ki accuracy aur bhi barh jati hai. TMA channel indicator (jo ke red, blue aur yellow lines par mabni hota hai) support aur resistance lines ko twice-smoothed moving averages ke base par build karta hai, aur yeh market ke current boundaries ko achi tarah dikhata hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) basement indicator ek auxiliary oscillator ki tarah kaam karta hai jo Heiken Ashi ke sath combine ho kar behtareen results show karta hai.

Chart par agar dekha jaye to candles ne blue color shift kar liya hai, jo buyers ki dominance dikhata hai. Price ne channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) ko cross kiya, minimum point se bounce kiya aur dobara channel ke andar aa gaya, phir middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf move kiya. Saath hi, RSI oscillator bhi full buy signal confirm karta hai, kyun ke uska curve abhi upward move kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai.

Is wajah se hum ek long buy position open kar sakte hain, target kam az kam channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ke aas paas, yani ke 1.11700 par ho sakta hai. Uske baad, aap apni position ko breakeven par shift kar sakte hain aur aur zyada profit ke liye wait kar sakte hain.

Nayi Trading Week ke Liye Andaza

Naya trading week kaisa hoga, yeh dekhna baqi hai. Abhi situation clear nahi hai, kyun ke lagta hai ke northern trend continue ho sakta hai, magar 1.1100 level ke upar price nahi jaa saka. Jab se price 1.1200 tak gayi hai, tab se decline dekhne ko mil raha hai. Iss week ka lowest point 1.1000 par tha, jahan se price ne bounce kiya hai.

Agar northern trend continue hoti hai, to traders ka main kaam yeh hoga ke price ko 1.1100 ke resistance level ke upar strong karna. Iske baad, northerners ka target 1.1151 hoga, aur jab yeh level cross ho jaye ga tab hum local maximum 1.1200 tak pohnch sakein ge. Selling ke point of view se, ho sakta hai ke 1.1100 level ek achi selling opportunity ban jaye. Agar price 1.1000 level ko break karta hai to hum 1.0950 ka level touch kar sakte hain.

Jumeraat ko EUR/USD ka session mixed raha, pehle to kuch faida dikhaya phir girawat dekhi. Yeh performance economic data aur Federal Reserve ke aane wale interest rate announcement ke hawale se market ke tajweezat ki wajah se thi. Euro ne European Central Bank (ECB) ke main refinancing rate ko kam karne ke baad temporarily izafa dekha. Ab Federal Reserve market ka focus ban gaya hai, jahan 45% chance hai ke agle meeting mein 50 basis points ka rate cut ho. US economic statistics, jaise ke University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index aur import/export pricing indices ke release ne mixed signals diye. Consumer sentiment index ke behtar hone ke bawajood inflation ke expectations barh gaye, jabke import aur export price indices gir gaye, jo inflationary pressures ke kam hone ki nishani hai.




Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ne 1.1015 ke aas-paas support establish kiya hai, jo further drop ko rok raha hai. Pair ka 1.1000 ke psychological level ko todne mein nakam rehna upward momentum ke limited hone ka indication hai. Technical signs abhi bhi poori tarah se consistent nahi hain. RSI 50 ke qareeb hai aur Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen dono flat hain. Stochastic oversold condition se nikalne ke nishan de raha hai. Agar EUR/USD 20-day simple moving average (SMA) 1.1085 ko tod kar aage barhta hai, to 1.1150 ke aas-paas significant resistance ka samna kar sakta hai. 1.1200 ka region ab bhi ek major barrier hai. Nateejan, market Federal Reserve ke aane wale interest rate announcement par focused hai aur EUR/USD ab stabilize ho raha hai. Upar ki growth ki kuch ummeed hai, lekin economy ki mixed halat aur technical resistance levels rukawat hain. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye taake yeh jaan sakein ke additional gains ya declines ka chance hai ya nahi.