Eurusd forum

EUR/USD
EurUsd market pair mein Monday ko trading zyada tar sellers ke control mein rahi. Buyers ko koi moka nahi mila ke wo bullish momentum ko wapas lay saken kyun ke zyada se zyada market mein entry karte hue, sellers ne price ko neeche dhakel diya, jo ke 1.1090-1.1088 ke price par seller's resistance area se door gaya. Is wajah se bullish trend phir se fail ho gaya aur sellers ne bearish pressure barhaya, jo ke price ko kaafi gehra neeche lay gaya.

Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ko use karte hue dekha gaya ke price abhi tak MA 50 Red area (1.0960-1.0958) se thora upar hai. Lekin yeh faasla kam ho raha hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke EurUsd market pair mein price ka girna abhi tak market ki support hasil kar raha hai. Kyun ke zyada tar bearish candlesticks bani hain, is wajah se sellers ke chances barh rahe hain ke wo price ko MA 50 Red area tak is hafta neeche le jayen.

Tuesday ko Asian market session se European session tak trading dekhi gayi, jisme buyers dominate karte nazar aaye jo ke bearish momentum ko block karne mein kamiyab hue aur apni dynamic support area ko mazid mazboot kiya. Is bullish correction ka target kam az kam seller's resistance area tak hai jo ke 1.1070-1.1073 ke price par hai. Agar buyers is area ko tor lete hain, to ek mazid bullish opportunity khul jayegi aur agla target 1.1112-1.1115 ke seller's supply resistance area tak hoga.

Conclusion:

Buy trading options tab ki ja sakti hain agar price seller's resistance area ko tor leta hai. Pending buy stop order 1.1070-1.1073 ke price par lagaya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.1112-1.1115 ke price par hoga.

Sell trading options tab ki ja sakti hain agar price buyer's support area ko tor leta hai. Pending sell stop order 1.1015-1.1013 ke price par lagaya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.0955-1.0953 ke price par hoga.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
EUR/USD ne 1.1100 support ko torhne ke baad apne losses barhaye hain, jab ke ECB se umeed hai ke woh 12 September ko rates ko 25 basis points tak cut karega. Wall Street ne Monday ka session green mein band kiya, jo ke strong risk appetite ko reflect karta hai, is hafte ke inflation data ke release se pehle jo ke United States (US) se aayega. Europe mein zyada tar analysts ka andaza hai ke ECB rates ko 25 basis points tak cut karega.

BBH ke analysts ko umeed hai ke ECB apne ehtiyaati easing guidance ko barqarar rakhega aur keh raha hai ke "policy ko jitna der tak zaroori ho, restrict rakhega" aur data pe dependent rahega.

ECB apni economic projections bhi pesh karega, jo ke economic growth aur inflation mein downward revision ko shaamil karegi. Money market traders ab bhi year ke end tak 50 se 75 basis points tak cuts ko price kar rahe hain.

Data ke lehaz se, Eurozone (EU) ka economic docket German inflation data ko Tuesday ko highlight karega, jab ke EU ki Industrial Production ko Friday ko dekhne ko milega.

New York Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations 3% ke threshold par anchored hain US side par. Is hafte se pehle, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke August ke liye Fed ke 2% ke target ke kareeb ane ki umeed hai.




Agar CPI neeche jata hai, to Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ka rate cut karne ke chances barh jate hain. Warna, gradual monetary policy adjustments already priced in hain.

CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 25 bps rate cut ke chances 70% hain, jab ke 50 bps rate cut ke chances 30% hain.

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye to EUR/USD neutral se upward bias mein rehta hai, lekin agar September 3 ka low 1.1026 ke niche break hota hai, to mazid downside ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Key support levels jaise ke 1.1000 ka mark exposed hoga, iske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.0958 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to pair 100 aur 200-DMAs ke confluence 1.0867/58 par test kar sakta hai, aur phir August 1 swing low 1.0777 tak ja sakta hai.

Bullish resumption ke liye, buyers ko pair ko September 9 ka high 1.1091 ke upar le jana hoga.

EUR/USD
Sab ka mood acha ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel neeche ki taraf hai, jo market mein sellers ke predominance ko highlight karta hai. Market ka movement southern direction mein 1.10126 ke level tak hai. Jab yeh level hit hoga, to ek upward correction ka imkaan hai, kyun ke iss chart par channel volatility adjust hogi. Yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke channel ke lower border ke kareeb sales na ki jayein, balki wait kiya jaye ke price upper part of the channel, yani 1.10417 tak rollback kare. Is tarah losses ko kam kiya ja sakta hai. Channel ka angle market mein seller ki strength ko define karta hai, jitna steep hoga, utni hi strong movement hogi. Agar angle thora slope kare, to initial stage mein sales dekhne ko mil sakti hain.



Hourly chart par bhi linear regression channel neeche ki taraf hai, jo seller ki strength ko show karta hai. Hourly channel main hota hai, jab ke M15 auxiliary hota hai. Dono charts par channels ka direction southwards hai. Short positions dhoondhna behtar hai, kyun ke agar aap buy karte hain, to movement ke against ja rahe hain, jo ke zyada loss ka sabab ban sakta hai bajaye profit ke. Agar 1.10417 ka level buyer ko na roke, to chances hain ke bulls upper part of the channel tak grow karenge, jo ke 1.11145 ka level hoga. Yahan se sales par focus karna zaroori hoga. Is jagah se sales kaafi interesting lagengi, kyun ke ek hourly rollback hoga. Uske baad, bears apni activity dikhayenge aur price ko channel ke lower part tak, yani 1.10145 tak le jayenge. Channel volatility adjust hogi, aur sales ke liye thoda intezaar karna hoga jab tak bulls movement ka kuch hissa wapas nahi le lete.

Aaj Europe mein news background hai, aur ECB meeting ka intezar EUR/USD par pressure dalega. Yeh baat clear hai ke ECB rate ko kam karega, aur yeh iss saal ka doosra cut hoga. Isi liye, jaise pehle tha, mujhe umeed hai ke bears ka movement dekhne ko milega. Agar yeh movement continue karti hai, to 1.0994 ka level break karna zaroori hai. Iss move mein lagta hai ke bulls ko shikast milegi aur southerners 1.0951 ka level le lenge. Abhi tak hum locally move kar rahe hain, lekin situation jaldi jaldi change ho rahi hai. Globally, yeh clear hai ke hum kahan ja rahe hain.

EUR/USD Price Interpretation
EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya aik ghoor karne wala mawaad hai. Forex neural network ke technical algorithm ke mutabiq ek potential upward movement ka imkaan hai jo ke resistance level 1.1140 tak ja sakta hai. Bulls kaafi mazboot lag rahe hain aur yeh upward push karte hue lagta hai ke price is level tak pohanch sakti hai. Yeh forecast ek clear upward trajectory dikhata hai, aur agar buyers current resistance range ke upar apni position bana lete hain, to hum ek sustainable upward movement dekh sakte hain, jo ke buying forecast ko mazid mazboot karega. Lekin agar bulls is upward momentum ko barqarar nahi rakh sake, to sellers ka control le lena mumkin hai. Is baat ka khayaal rakhna zaroori hai ke ek false breakout bhi ho sakta hai, jo ke aise scenarios mein aam hota hai. Primary outlook mein ek successful upward move ki umeed hai, lekin ek alternate scenario bhi ho sakta hai. Agar buyers fail ho jate hain, to sellers price ko ek significant support level tak drive kar sakte hain, jahan se wapas upside reversal ho sakta hai.




Chaar-ghantay ke time frame ko dekhte hue, do zones ko highlight kiya gaya hai: resistance 1.1209 par aur support 1.1030 par hai, jab ke current price in dono levels ke darmiyan hai. EUR/USD pair abhi overbought territory mein hai, kyun ke yeh kaafi arsa upward move karta raha hai. Yeh instrument ke chances hain ke support zone 1.1030 ko retest karega, phir ek chhoti si upward correction dekhne ko milegi, aur medium term mein price 1.0946 tak neeche jaye gi. Asset apni ascending northern channel ki lower boundary se kaafi door chali gayi hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke ek bearish correction zaroori hai, jo shayad weekly hourly chart par moving average Bollinger line ke saath align kare. Lekin yeh yaad rakhna bhi zaroori hai ke aik local upward trend ab bhi moujood hai, jo pichlay chand months se currency pair ko upar le kar ja raha hai.

EUR/USD Price Analysis
Chaliye EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. Murray levels ke mutabiq, 1.1077 ka support moderate strength ka hai aur H1 maximum ke sath align karta hai, jo ke Friday ko baar baar dekha gaya tha. H4 chart par, yeh level ab mojood nahi, aur kareebi supports 1.1046 aur 1.1107 par hain, jinhon ne price ko in levels ke darmiyan phansaya hua hai. Price abhi tak H4 chart ke descending channel ke andar hai, aur 1.1107 ke thoda upar H4 aur daily channels ki upper boundaries intersect karti hain, jo mazid resistance add kar rahi hain. Ek chhoti upward jump ka imkaan hai ke 1.1107 resistance ke kareeb rok jaye, uske baad ek dobara se decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Monday ke liye EUR/USD ka primary target 1.1046 ka support hai; agar yeh level test hota hai, chahe breakdown ke baghair, to yeh ek achi sign hogi, aur agar price zyada neeche jaye to aur bhi behtar hoga. Jaisay he naya trading week shuru hota hai, hum 1.1016 aur 1.0985 ke supports ki taraf decline dekhne ki umeed rakhte hain.




Agar hum yeh maan lein ke sellers, jo ke Friday ke foundation se madad le rahe hain, EUR/USD ko 1.1199 ke high se downward momentum mein rakhne mein kaamyab ho gaye, to yeh movement tabhi mukammal hogi jab ek aur breakdown hoga aur price ko 1.1024 ke bearish start line ke niche secure kiya jayega. Haan, lekin Friday ke decline ke dauran, H4 chart par bears ko volume mein thoda zyada overshoot dekhne ko mila, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD ko mazeed neeche jane se pehle ek aur bullish pullback 1.1116 resistance ki taraf kar sakta hai, halan ke yeh level kitna mazid likely hai, yeh abhi clear nahi. Agar 1.1024 ka support breach hota hai, chahay pullback ke baad ya current support se seedha, to price apni decline ko 1.0917 aur 1.0849 ke initial impulse zone levels tak le ja sakta hai, aur shayad 1.0991 support par ek pause bhi le.

EUR/USD Prices ke Haalati Tajziye
Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka tajziya karenge. Main ye dekh raha hoon ke mid-to-long term mein U.S. dollar mein aik significant kamzori ka imkaan hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke iske decline se pehle aik final surge bhi ho sakta hai. Kya aapne kabhi socha hai ke agar price ko 1.1025 par release kar diya jaye, to yeh ek unstoppable bear run ka sabab ban sakta hai? Hafte ke pehle hisson mein, euro par ECB meeting ka pressure hoga, khaaskar jab ke ek interest rate cut ka imkaan hai, lekin abhi tak price ne is per koi khas reaction nahi diya. Bohat kuch U.S. inflation data par bhi depend karega. Shayad aap fundamentals par ziada focus na karte hoon, lekin yeh analysis aglay 1.4 hafton mein (shuru se September 17 tak) bohat zaroori hoga. Trade samajhdari se karna zaroori hai, lekin Fed aur ECB policies mein tabdeeliyan bhi utni hi ahmiyat rakhti hain. Mera khayal hai ke is pair ki price kam se kam 1.0859 tak gir sakti hai.




Agar ab kharidari ki jaye to sirf mid-term outlook ko dekh kar hi yeh attractive lagti hai, jahan potential 8th figure ke kareeb ho. Yaqeenan, intraday kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Agar aap European market trends ke saath align karte hain, to sham ka range 1.1069-1.1089 aapko kuch guidance de sakta hai. Halaanke yeh range ziada high nahi, lekin news ke baad isko consider karna worth hai. Is range ke upar kharidari ka maqsad hai; lekin iske neeche, selling zyada behtar hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, main is baat se mutafiq hoon ke selling zyada theek lagti hai, kyun ke H1 aur H4 charts par technical indicators bearish trend dikhate hain, jo ke Friday ke baqi movement ko reflect kar rahe hain. Monday ko koi solid foundation nahi dikhayi di gayi jo price ko significantly drive kar sake, isliye technical analysis prevail kar sakti hai. Market ke khulne par, main 1.0165 ke level ko dekh raha hoon, aur 1.1024 ek feasible short-term target lagta hai, jo ke jaldi achieve ho sakta hai. Yaqeenan, hum technically level 10 tak bhi pohanch sakte hain.

EUR/USD: Aham Patterns aur Signals
Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. EUR/USD pair filhal Ichimoku indicator ki Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen lines ke darmiyan move kar raha hai. Pichlay aath saalon se, yeh pair is range mein fluctuate karta aa raha hai, aur lagta hai ke aglay kuch dino mein ek bearish cross form hone ka imkaan hai. H1 chart par hum ne dekha ke price Kijun-Sen line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke H4 chart par potential cross-shift ka signal day rahi hai. H4 time frame mein, price ek critical support zone ke upar thi, jo ke kareeb 1.0999 hai. Agar yeh support toot jaye, to yeh ek deeper bearish move ka signal ho sakta hai. Analysis ke mutabiq, yeh move 1.0776 ke aas paas target kar sakta hai, lekin yeh speculative hai. Agar price 1.1074 se neeche jata hai, to support zone mein ek gehri movement ho sakti hai, jisme possible targets 1.0959 aur 1.1014 ke darmiyan ho sakte hain.




Buyers ka bias abhi tak zyada hai kyun ke EUR/USD ek contracting triangle pattern se breakout kar chuka hai, jo ke potential 1.1274 high ko test karne ka stage set kar raha hai. Immediate objectives aur price action ko dekhte hue, halan ke recent dip 1.1074 se neeche M30 se H1 time frames tak dekhne ko mili, lekin abhi tak ek sustained downward trend confirm nahi hua hai, kyun ke price is level ke neeche hold nahi kar rahi—sirf candle wicks 1.1074 ke aas paas dekhi gayi hain multiple attempts ke baad. Monday ka price action bohat important hoga, jo ke hafte ke pehle hisson ka tone set karega. Khaaskar, euro/dollar pair ne Friday ko 1.1124–1.1149 range ke upar push karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, halaan ke bohat koshishain ki gayin. Yeh aam tor par week ke end ke trading dynamics ki wajah se ho sakta hai, kyun ke Friday ko aksar week close ke adjustments hotay hain. Yeh bhi wajah hai ke euro ka current level ziada high nahi lagta. Mixed U.S. economic data ne pair ke direction ko aur ziada ambiguous kar diya. Lekin, price 1.1074–1.1104 support range ke neeche gir gayi thi.

Euro ne Monday ke aaghaz mein trading ke dauran kafi tezi se girawat dekhi, jab yeh apne pehle ke lows ko phir se test kar raha tha. Agar is point se aage girawat hoti hai, toh yeh 1.10 level tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem psychological number hai, aur traders ki kafi tawajjo ko apni taraf kheench sakta hai.
Lekin agar euro yahan se mazid mazbooti dikhata hai, toh resistance takreeban 1.11 level ke qareeb aayega, jo ke pehle bhi kai dafa ek ahem point raha hai. Market abhi kafi do-dil lagta hai, aur kisi ek rukh ki taraf nahi ja raha. Yeh us wajah se ho sakta hai kyun ke traders mazeed bunyadi iqtisadi asharaat ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar jab agle hafton mein central banks ke jalsey honay walay hain. Dono, Federal Reserve (FOMC) aur European Central Bank (ECB), agle kuch hafton mein milne wale hain, jo ke euro ke future ke rukh par bara asar daal sakte hain.

Filhal, market ke hisa-daar yeh andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain ke euro ya US dollar mein kisi ek ka mazid faida ya kamzori hogi ya nahi. Dono central banks kaafi had tak rate cut ka raasta ikhtiyar kar sakte hain, jis wajah se in currencies mein ziada harkat nahi ho rahi. Is wajah se, traders ko mazeed choppi range-bound trading ka samna ho sakta hai jab tak central bank ke jalsey se wazeh signals nahi milte.

Khulasay mein, Euro abhi ek pattern mein hai jahan se woh ya to 1.10 ya 1.11 ki taraf ja sakta hai, depending on market sentiment. Abhi ke liye, lekin, uncertainty ka raaj hai aur traders Gaur se FOMC aur ECB ke hidayaat ka intezar karenge jo is currency pair ke rukh par zyada roshni dal sakti hain. Tab tak, mazeed volatility aur market noise ka samna karna par sakta hai.

Jaisay hi hum naye haftay ka aaghaz karte hain, chaliye EURUSD currency pair ke daily (D1) chart ka jaiza lete hain. Iss higher timeframe mein wave pattern ab bhi aik upward trend ko dikha raha hai.
MACD indicator, jo ke upper buying zone mein hai, ab apni signal line ke neeche gir raha hai, jo ke ek correction phase ki nishani hai. Mere khayal mein yeh decline ab tak mukammal nahi hui; price ko girne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jab ke pehli dafa jo upar gai thi, woh kafi tezi se hui thi.

Immediate target 1.0950 ka horizontal support level hai, jo ke candles ki closing prices se established hai. Yeh level daily aur weekly dono ke liye ahem hai. Haal hi mein, price ne ek temporary upward correction dekhi thi, aur yeh 1.1150 level tak pohonch gayi thi, jo ke ek strong sales zone hai.

Jumay ko US ki khabron ke baad, price thodi dair ke liye tezi se barhi, magar phir taizi se neeche gir gayi. Guzishta maheenay ki mazboot upward movement ko dekhte huay, mein anticipate karta hoon ke correction pattern mein kam az kam teen downward waves hongi. Agar hum pehli wave ki size ke mutabiq teesri wave ko project karein, toh price takreeban 1.0955 tak ja sakti hai, candles ke closing prices ke hisaab se.

Aam tor par, price movements mein ek pattern dekha gaya hai ke pehli wave aur teesri wave ka size barabar hota hai, aur yeh pattern mukhtalif timeframes par dekha ja sakta hai. Is liye, mein yeh expect karta hoon ke girawat ab yahan se barqarar rahegi. Fibonacci grid ko initial wave par apply karna madadgar ho sakta hai, magar primary target ab bhi 1.0950 hai. Doosray baraay currency pairs bhi US dollar ki near-term mazbooti ko indicate kar rahe hain.

Filhal, diqqat short-term downward trades par honi chahiye jab bhi koi pullbacks aur selling ke signals milen, kam az kam jab tak target level nahi pohonchta. Us ke baad, ek mauqa ho sakta hai ek corrective upward wave ka, jo day trading ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Jumay ko ek aam harkat dikhayi. Price puri European trading session mein stagnant rahi, aur phir U.S. session ke aghaz par ek jazbaati tezi expected thi. Us waqt, U.S. ne NonFarm Payrolls, unemployment rates, aur average earnings ke reports publish kiye. In reports ko wazeh tor par interpret karna mushkil tha kyun ke unemployment rate thoda kam hua magar forecast ke andar hi raha; NonFarms ki tadaad forecast se thodi kam thi magar pehli value se zyada thi; wages mein izafa hua, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se monetary policy ke aggressive easing ke chances ko kuch kam karta hai. Market ne in data ko “shara'iti tor par positive” samjha, aur dollar thoda barh gaya. Lekin yeh reports dollar ke liye koi khaas achay prospects nahi kholte. Labor market aur unemployment ke data ab bhi umeedon par pura nahi utarte, jo ke Fed ko kam az kam ek ya do dafa key rate kam karne par majboor karenge. Market ne in "ek ya do dafa" ke rate cuts ko pehle hi price mein shamil kar liya hai, magar ab bhi zyadatar aggressive policy easing ka intezar kar raha hai.
Jumay ko 5-minute time frame par pehle poori flat thi, phir turbulence dekha gaya. U.S. trading session ke dauran, naye traders sirf do sell signals par kaam kar sakte thay jo ke level 1.1132 ke qareeb aaye, kyun ke yeh sabse accurate thay. Magar macroeconomic background ka asar kafi zyada tha, toh 1.1132 ka level surpass ho sakta tha. 1.1091 ke level par ek hi waqt mein chaar trading signals bane, magar sabhi inaccurate aur contradictory thay.

**Monday ko kaise trade karein:**
Hourly time frame par, EUR/USD pair ne apni ascending trend line ke neeche consolidation ki hai, aur pehli dafa bohat arsay baad ek downward trend banane ka mauqa hai jo logical aur tamam analysis factors ke mutabiq hoga. Lekin afsos ke sath, illogical dollar sales jaldi se dobara shuru ho sakti hain downward correction ke baad, kyun ke kisi ko nahi pata ke market kab tak Fed ki monetary policy easing ko price mein shamil karta rahega, jo ke ab tak shuru nahi hui. Market ab tak takreeban tamam aane wale rate cuts ko price mein shamil kar raha hai, aur U.S. ke macroeconomic data zyada tar disappoint hi karte hain.

Monday ko naye traders kisi bhi rukh mein movements expect kar sakte hain. Halanke downtrend ab bhi barqarar hai, lekin U.S. labor market ke haali data zyada tar disappointing thay.

Key levels jo 5M time frame par diqqat mein rakhne chahiye woh hain: 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1048, 1.1091, 1.1132, 1.1191, 1.1275-1.1292. Monday ko Eurozone ya U.S. mein koi ahem reports ya events scheduled nahi hain. Is liye, volatility phir se kam reh sakti hai, aur movements ziada tar flat ho sakti hain.

EUR/USD currency pair Monday ko Asian session ke dauran 1.1090 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, pichle session ke losses se recover karne ki koshish mein. Magar, EUR/USD ka upside potential limited ho sakta hai recent Eurozone inflation data ke wajah se, jo European Central Bank (ECB) ke agle policy meeting ke liye rate cut ke expectations ko mazid barhata hai. Headline inflation jo 2% ke qareeb hai aur long-term inflation expectations jo isi level ke aas-paas hain, ECB ko apni monetary policy ko aur bhi dheela karne ke liye mazboot wajah deti hain. Pichle haftay mixed Eurozone GDP data ne rate cut ki umeedon ko mazid barhaya hai. Dusri taraf, Friday ko release hui US economic data ne Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein sharp rate cut ke chances par shak daal diya. US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne report kiya ke nonfarm payrolls (NFP) ne August mein 142,000 naukriyan add ki, jo ke estimates se zyada hai aur July ke revised downward figure 89,000 se behtar hai. Is ke ilawa, unemployment rate bhi 4.2% tak gir gaya jo ke expected tha.



CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market puri tarah se expect kar raha hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein kam az kam 25 basis points ka rate cut karega. 50 basis points ke rate cut ke chances thode kam ho kar 29.0% ho gaye hain jo ke ek haftay pehle 30.0% the. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsby ne is baat ka ishaara diya hai ke Fed officials broader market sentiment ke sath align ho rahe hain regarding potential rate adjustment. Euro ne 13-maheenay ke high 1.1200 se teen din ke losses ke baad recovery ki hai. Price ab 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur 1.1050 area ke support ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jab ke technical oscillators kuch behtari dikhate hain. Stochastic oversold zone mein upar jane ki koshish kar raha hai, aur RSI 50 level se thoda upar hai. Agar market apni bullish structure ko barqarar rakhti hai aur 1.1050 level ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh pehle wale high 1.1200 ko challenge kar sakti hai. Bulls July 2023 peak 1.1275 ko bhi surpass kar sakte hain. Agar girawat gehri hoti hai toh market 1.0870 level tak gir sakti hai, aur phir 200-day moving average ko 1.0850 par test kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD Ke Ahem Points:
Aaj EUR/USD market sellers ki taraf jhuk raha hai, jo ke bearish concept ko indicate karta hai. Price pehle hi 1.1061 level tak pahunch chuki hai, aur isme mazeed girawat ka potential hai. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh ek correction process ka hissa ho, kyunki EUR/USD market lagatar upar ki taraf ja raha tha. Is market concept ke madde nazar, aisa lagta hai ke EUR/USD market niche ki taraf chalti rahegi aur 1.1032 level ko tod sakti hai. Washington session mein market activity barhne ki umeed hai, aur price 1.1032 level tak pahunch sakti hai. Humein apne trading preferences ko accordingly adjust karna hoga.




Trading Overview:

Is market concept ke mutabiq, yeh lagta hai ke EUR/USD market apni downward trajectory ko continue karegi aur shayad 1.1032 level ko bhi tod de. Yeh level sellers ke liye ek potential target hai, aur agar yeh breach hota hai, toh bearish activity tez ho sakti hai. Khaaskar, Washington session, jo ke increased volatility aur market movement ke liye jaana jaata hai, price ko is key level ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Technical factors aur market sentiment ka combination yeh suggest karta hai ke downside pressure session ke dauran barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Traders ko apne trading preferences ko is trend ke sath align karna zaroori hai. Selling opportunities tab nazar aa sakti hain jab market niche ki taraf chalti hai, lekin traders ko risk ko bhi effectively manage karna chahiye, khaaskar jab price key support levels jaise 1.1032 ke qareeb ho. Washington session ke dauran news aur economic events ko monitor karna bhi important hai, kyunki kisi bhi unexpected developments ka market behavior par asar ho sakta hai. Isliye, EUR/USD market filhal sellers ko favor kar raha hai, aur 1.1032 level ke break hone ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Aaj ke market ko successfully navigate karne ke liye, bearish trend ke sath align karna zaroori hoga.

EUR/USD ka jo jor hai, aakhri waqt mein kafi uthal-puthal ka shikaar raha hai, khaaskar pichle hafte ke aakhir mein, jab bechne walon ne control barqarar rakha kyunke kharidne walay 1.1123-1.1120 ke resistance ko todne mein nakam rahe. Is nakami ne market mein bears ko faida diya, aur price ko niche push kiya. Naye hafte mein, bearish momentum ab bhi nazar aa raha hai, aur technical indicators aage ke mumkinah movements ke baare mein aur insight dete hain.
Daily Moving Average (MA) ke mutabiq, price MA 50 ke red zone (lagbhag 1.0953-1.0950) se upar hai. Magar, is upward distance ke bawajood, bechne walon ka dominance—jo bearish Pin Bar candlestick formation se zahir hota hai—aur bhi bearish movement ke liye strong opportunity darshata hai. Bechne walon ka primary target MA 50 red area hoga, jahan agar price pohanchti hai, to ek broader selloff shuru ho sakta hai.

Support aur resistance ke hawale se, 4-hour chart par Euro Bollinger Bands ke central area mein hai, jahan bands inward curl ho rahi hain, jo tightening range ko darshata hai. Iska matlab hai ke breakout ke chances hain, lekin direction tab tak uncertain hai jab tak price upper ya lower bands ko test nahi karti. Price ne 1.1063 ke aas-paas support paaya hai, jo recent bearish pressure ke bawajood mazboot raha hai. Lekin, aaj US dollar ka continued dominance yeh indicate karta hai ke bears ka agla target 1.0993 ho sakta hai. Agar is support level ke niche break hota hai to deeper declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

Dusri taraf, agar jor 1.1063 ke upar rehta hai, to bullish reversal ki potential hai, aur pehla target 1.103 ko todne ka hoga. Yeh area ek important psychological aur technical level ko represent karta hai. Agar price is level ko todti hai, to bulls control wapas le sakte hain aur jor agle resistance zone ki taraf move kar sakta hai jo 1.1123 ke aas-paas hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) ko dekhte hue, indicator positive zone mein fade kar raha hai, lekin agar yeh negative territory mein chala jata hai, to yeh ek strong signal hoga ke further downward movement ho sakti hai. Market deeper bearish continuation ke signs dekhne ko milegi, jo confirm ho sakti hai agar AO negative zone mein aur badh jaata hai.

Dusri taraf, agar AO positive zone mein bounce karta hai to ek potential reversal aur quotes ke barhne ka signal hoga. Iske ilawa, fractals key areas mein ban rahe hain. Ek naya downward fractal bana hai, aur iski breakout September 4th fractal (1.10390) ki taraf move ka signal de sakti hai. Is waqt nearest upward fractal current price se door hai, jo short-term mein upward momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Ek close fractal formation bullish case ko support karne ke liye zaroori hogi.

EUR/USD jor ab ek uncertainty period se guzraha hai. Bears short term mein control mein hain, jo key resistance levels aur technical indicators jaise MA aur AO se support mil raha hai. Lekin, price ko 1.1063 support zone ke niche break karna hoga taake continued bearish movement confirm ho sake. Agar is level ko todne mein nakami hoti hai, to bulls ke liye opportunities open ho sakti hain, aur 1.103 ki taraf move buyers ke liye ek key turning point ho sakta hai.

Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par reactions dekhna chahiye, sath hi fractals aur momentum indicators mein potential developments ko monitor karna chahiye taake pair ka agla directional move samjha ja sake.

EUR/USD Price Activity
Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke bullish trend lines ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye, jo agar decline ke dauran breach hoti hain, to downward price movement ko additional volume mil sakta hai. Agar yeh zigzag pattern jaari raha, to 1.0969 ke niche girawat dekhi ja sakti hai. Yeh mark agle hafte aur shayad iske baad bhi mere liye important hoga. Main 1.0969 ka breakdown expect kar raha hoon, jiske baad ek zyada significant decline 9th figure ke early tak dekha ja sakta hai. Mere liye ideal level 1.0779 hoga. Lekin, is level tak pahunchne se pehle kuch support points hain, jaise 1.0889 aur 1.0829. Yeh supports pair ko 1.0779 tak girne se rok sakti hain. Agar price is level tak pahunchti hai, to yeh channel formation complete kar sakti hai, jo bearish movement ke liye final target hoga. Uske baad, channel ke liye long-term buying ek strategic move ho sakta hai.




H4 chart par bullish buy level kaafi significant girawat dekhi gayi aur shayad yeh Thursday (05.09.2024) ko hua. Bullish level 1.10984 par break hua, jahan maine buy kiya tha. Expected minimum growth 1.11484 tak girna tha, aur iske baad zyada substantial rise resistance levels jaise 1.11829, 1.13469, aur 1.13858 ki taraf ho sakti thi. Price ab already 1.11484 tak pahunch chuki hai, jis wajah se maine apni position H4 chart par close ki, lekin bullish momentum ab bhi dominant nazar aa raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke growth resume karne aur higher price levels ko target karne ki possibility hai. Lekin, agar bearish sell level 1.10309 par hota hai, to main selling switch karunga, with a minimum expected decline to support level at 1.09779. Iske ilawa, deeper drop ki potential hai support levels 1.08909 aur 1.08649 tak.

EUR-USD D1 Analysis Chart
Hello, colleague! Hum pichle hafte se nahi mile, umeed hai aapka Friday acha gaya. Aaj daily chart par wave technique ke liye jo analysis hai:

- Lagta hai ke decline ke liye ek accha bid ban gaya hai: Friday ko price ne humare solid support level 1.1100 ko touch kiya. Aaj humne isse confidently push kiya aur southern direction ki taraf further move kiya. Theoretically, hum conclude kar sakte hain ke pattern with two moving averages ab kaam kar raha hai, jahan MA18 ab resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, aur hum MA100 ki taraf decline ki koshish karenge, jo level 1.0865 par support ki tarah kaam kar raha hai.

- Main yeh bhi note karna chahunga ke lagta hai ke head and shoulders figure ki similarity ka method use kar ke space ko work out kiya ja raha hai. Isko confirm karne ke liye, price ko strong local support ke niche consolidate hona chahiye, jo level 1.1045 hai.

Lekin, overall background ab bhi bullish nazar aata hai. Ichimoku cloud is waqt bullish colors mein hai, aur forecast perspective mein yeh south ki taraf move kar raha hai, apne volumes ko aur bhi zyada pump kar raha hai. Bulls ne apne upward movement ko continue kiya aur four-hour chart par current trading range ki upper limit tak pahunche, jabke indicators southern rollback ki prospect dikha rahe hain. Iske ilawa, aaj ke expected strong US labor market statistics bhi US dollar ko support kar sakte hain.

In conditions mein, main ab bhi downward movement expect kar raha hoon, isliye blue moving average se rebound ke case mein main decrease ke liye play karunga, support level 1.1085 ko work out karne ka intezar karunga. Is level ka breakout bears ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai, jahan red moving average ya support level 1.1014 ko work out kiya ja sakta hai. Kal ke preliminary data non-farm payrolls mein negative the, lekin aam taur par government data ADP data se kaafi different hota hai, hum American session ke opening par publish hone wali statistics ka intezar kar rahe hain.