eur/usd

Din mein sirf ek report publish hui jo Nonfarm Payrolls ke annual revision ke mutaliq thi, jo ke herani ki baat nahi, forecasts se buri nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh behtar bhi hoti, toh bhi dollar girta rehta. Misal ke taur par, Monday aur Tuesday ko dollar ko apni girawat barqarar rakhne ke liye kisi macroeconomic backdrops ki zarurat nahi thi. Toh yeh kehna ghalat nahi hoga ke US labor market ki ek aur kamzor report ne US currency ko aur bhi neeche dhakel diya. Magar asal baat yeh hai ke US dollar har din gir raha hai in reports ke baghair bhi, aur correct bhi nahi ho pa raha. Nonfarm Payrolls report pehle publish hui reports ka correction nahi, balke annual figure ka aik adjustment hai. Pehle market ne kamzor monthly reports ko samjha, aur phir annual report ko, jo asal mein wahi data reflect karti hai Traders ke liye ab sirf aik sawal reh gaya hai ke yeh lagataar upar ka safar kab tak chalta rahega. Upar ka safar trade karna aasaan, seedha, aur convenient lagta hai, magar yeh sirf pehli nazar mein aisa hai, kyun ke traders shayad yeh samajhte hain ke euro lag bhag 'khaali ja' se upar ja raha hai. Is harkat ka koi bhi waqt ikhtitam ho sakta hai. Aik currency ko tab khareedna jab tumhein yeh nahi pata ke yeh kyun upar ja rahi hai, koi khushi ki baat nahi hai. Phir bhi, jab tak upward trend ke khatam hone ki koi nishani nahi hai, price 1.1185 aur 1.1234 tak upar ja sakti ha Wednesday ko sirf ek trading signal bana—US trading session ke doran, 1.1137 level cross hua. Din ke ikhtitam par, euro sirf 15 pips upar gaya, magar is waqt volatility kam hai, aur movement aik taraf hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak rakhi ja sakti hai 1.1185 ka target rakhte hue. EUR/USD hourly time frame mein apni steady aur measured upward movement ko barqarar rakha hai. Pichle hafte, naye US inflation reports ne market ko dollar phir se bechne ka aik aur bahaana diya. Iss hafte, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric ki umeed kar raha hai. Market har moqa ka faida utha raha hai dollar bechne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain jo euro ko support kar rahi hain. Overall, koi bhi indicators

Ab tak, market ne downward pressure ke liye kuch strength wapas hasil kar li hai, lekin ye pressure itna strong nahi hai, jo ke price ko 1.1098 level par correct karne ki wajah bana. Is hafte ke liye price ka izafa kaafi zyada kaha ja sakta hai. EUR/USD currency pair ki condition abhi bhi thori downward correction ke saath move kar rahi hai, lekin guzishta kuch dino mein buyers ki dominance ab bhi nazar aa rahi hai. Market ke graph se dekh kar lagta hai ke candlestick aahista aahista phir se upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, 60-period Moving Average indicator se door hoti hui, jo ke yellow hai, ye indicate karta hai ke sellers ka pressure itna strong nahi hai. Agar baad mein koi bullish movement aata hai jo 1.1190 level tak break through kar leta hai, to ye mumkin hai ke price mazeed upar move kare aur shayad ek further bullish rally bhi ho sakti hai.
Market ki condition ke picture se ye zahir hota hai ke ye ek reference hoga agle trading position ke liye jahan price most likely dobara upward trend ki taraf move karega, halaan ke EUR/USD currency pair small timeframe mein ab bhi correction experience kar raha hai. Agar Relative Strength Index indicator ke Lime Line se monitor kiya jaye, to ye consistently level 70 ki taraf move kar raha hai jo ek early notification hai ke market conditions ab bhi buyers ke control mein hain. Analysis se ye pata chalta hai ke ab bhi price ke upward direction mein move karne ka potential hai, buyers ki weak volatility ke push ke sath expect kiya jata hai ke price upper level tak pohanch sakti hai. Isliye, baad mein upward trend situation wapas se banne ki potential hai, target level 1.1145 ki taraf bullish path pe move kar sakta hai.

Daily timeframe ka technical analysis support aur resistance levels ke hawalay se kiya gaya hai. Hum expected price range ko eurodollar ke liye nearest perspective mein 1.10490-1.1370 ke range mein estimate karte hain. Price chart par close attention dena zaroori hai. Scheme provide karne mein khushi hogi.

Is tarah, global downtrend ke continuation mein southern reversal mumkin hai, jiski pehli target local minimum of the fourth figure ko update karna hoga. September mein, main U.S. Federal Reserve System ki meeting ke backdrop mein selling shuru karunga. Waisay, humein luck dekhne ko nahi milegi.

Profitable position mein enter karne ka moka miss mat karein! Sirf is liye ke aap southern locomotive ka pichha na karein, bade futures contracts ke shoulders par investments ke suitcases ke sath.

EUR/USD market ne mahine ke aghaz se hi bullish trend follow kiya hai, aur ye upward momentum 4-hour aur daily charts par bhi nazar aa raha hai. Price action is baat ka izhar kar raha hai ke pichle trading period, khaaskar July, ke uptrend ka silsila abhi tak jari hai. Peechle trading session mein sellers ne koshish ki ke price ko 1.1097 ke area tak giraya jaye, lekin buyers ne jaldi control hasil kar liya, jis se bearish momentum ruk gaya aur price dobara upar chali gayi. Ye bullish activity ab tak barqarar hai, aur price ne ab initial market opening zone ko bhi cross kar liya hai.

Technical point of view se dekha jaye to agle kuch dino mein ye uptrend continue hone ka imkaan hai, jisse Buy position lena ek behtar strategy lagta hai. Candlestick patterns yeh zahir kar rahe hain ke buyers mein ab bhi dilchaspi barqarar hai, aur price mazeed upar jaane ke chances hain. Lekin, traders ko pullbacks ka khatara bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye, jo pichle mahine dekhe gaye the, chahe ye imkaan kam hi kyun na ho. Market ki na-qabil-e-peshgooi fitrat, khaaskar weekend ke qareeb, matlab hai ke achanak movements bhi ho sakti hain jo ke nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakti hain.

Aakhri kuch ghanton mein uptrend kaafi wazeh nazar aa raha hai, khaaskar 4-hour timeframe mein jahan AUD/USD pair bullish momentum dikha raha hai. Price Simple Moving Average (SMA) 100 ke qareeb aa gayi hai, aur candlestick 1.1128 zone ke ird gird chal rahi hai, jo ke strong buyer control ka izhar kar rahi hai aur bearish attempts ko delay kar rahi hai.
Traders ko Buy position tab open karni chahiye agar price 1.1134 zone ke aas paas aa jaye. Behtar ye hai ke price ke is level tak pohanchne ka intizar kiya jaye taake premature entry aur potential losses ya lambi duration ke floating loss se bacha ja sake.

Is bullish movement ka pehla target 1.1181 area hai. Agar price is level tak is haftay ke aakhir tak pohanch jaye, to ye mazeed upward potential ka ishara hoga, jisse mazeed buyers market mein enter kar ke price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakte hain.

Kul mila kar, EUR/USD market ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai, aur trend upar jaane ka imkaan hai. 1.1134 zone ke aas paas ek strategic Buy position lena, aur 1.1181 ka target rakhna, halat-e-hazira ke lehaz se munasib hai aur profit ka acha moka paish karta hai. Magar, traders ko kisi bhi potential reversal ya unexpected market movements se hoshyar rehna chahiye.

EUR/USD market ka safar iss mahine ke aghaz se hi bullish hai. Eur/Usd pair ka safar 4-hour time frame trading chart aur daily chart par ek upward pattern ke formation se dominated nazar aata hai. Yeh lagta hai ke price ki situation wohi upward wave ko follow kar rahi hai jo pehle se chal rahi thi, yaani pichle July ke trading period se. Last night's trading main sellers ne prices ko dabaane ki koshish ki thi, jiss se price gir kar 1.1097 area ko touch kar gaya tha, lekin agle din buyers ka control aa gaya aur bearish trend delay ho gaya. Pichle kuch dinon main price main drastic increase dekha gaya aur market opening zone bhi cross kar gaya.

Technically dekha jaye toh Uptrend ko continue karne ka mauqa ab bhi kaafi wazeh hai agle kuch dinon ke liye. Meri rai main, agle trading plan ke liye Buy position dhoondhna zyada behtar hoga. Jab tak journal update hota hai, candlestick ab bhi bullish hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ke taraf se prices ko aur barhane ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Lekin, bhale hi trend ab tak up hai, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke kabhi bhi downward move aa sakta hai, jese ke pichle mahine main hua tha. Weekend par market situation ke andaz nahi lagaya ja sakta kyun ke kabhi kabhi unexpected surprises aa jate hain jo ke loss ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Aakhri kuch ghanton main market conditions ka agar jaiza liya jaye, toh graph se saaf pata chalta hai ke ek Uptrend chal raha hai. 4-hour time frame main Aud/Usd pair ka safar bullish momentum main hai, jahan hum dekh sakte hain ke pattern oopar ki taraf move kar raha hai, aur simple moving average zone 100 ko cross karne ka mauqa hai. Candlestick ka position 1.1128 zone ke aas paas chal raha hai jo ke mere khayal main is baat ka signal hai ke market trend buyer control main hai, jis se bearish trials delay ho rahe hain. Iss liye behtar yeh hoga ke focus bullish market journey par hi rakha jaye.

Trading Recommendations: BUY (4-Hour Chart)

Opening Position Strategy:

Eur/Usd market analysis ke liye, abhi bhi increase ka chance mil raha hai. Traders ko Buy position open karni chahiye agar price 1.1134 zone tak barhti hai. Iss area ko reach karne se pehle Buy position main jaldi nahi karni chahiye, taake loss ya long-term floating loss se bacha ja sake. Agar market scenario ke mutabiq chalti hai, toh profit milne ka mauqa barh sakta hai.

Buyers ke control ke dominance ke saath, candlestick ko Uptrend side par stable rakhnay ki koshish ho sakti hai. Bullish journey ke liye target 1.1181 area ho sakta hai, jahan doosray buyers bhi price increases ko support kar sakte hain. Agar yeh target end of the week tak poora ho jaye, toh buyer ke paas candlestick ko ek higher price area tak le jane ka mauqa hoga.

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Takniki nuqtah nazar se, 4-ghante aur 1-ghante ke chart par kam hote trading volume ko dekhte hue, kal ka rujhan wazeh taur par mandi ka shikar tha. Aaj, market ki suratehal ghair yaqini hai. H4 stochastic indicator niche se ooper ki taraf roju kar chuka hai, jo ek mukhtasar muddati tezi se reversal ka ishara karta hai. H4 growth index apni sab se zyada tez readings par bana hua hai, jiska matlab hai keh haftawar chart par ooper ka rujhan ab bhi barqarar hai.
1-ghante ke chart se pata chalta hai keh Asian session ke aaghaz se hi markat ka jazbat mandi ka hai. Halankeh, kharidar euro ko 1.11300 ki satah se ooper ki taraf badhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Haqiqat me, growth index aur trading volume filhal farokht ke ilaqe me hai, jabkeh stochastic indicator manfi ho chuke hain. Iska matlab yah hai keh is bat ka zyada imkan hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi niche ki taraf palat jayegi. Khas taur par, kaledi muzahmat aur support satah balatartib taur par 1.11300 aur 1.11020 hain.
Haqiqat me, istehkam is waqt yaumiyah chart ki bulandi par ho raha hai. Iske bad, imkan hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi kamzori ko dobara shuru karegi. Agar qimat 1.1102 ki support satah ko tod deti hai to, European currency ke 1.10742 ke nishan tak girne ki ummid hai. Itni aham rally ke sath, euro/dollar ki jodi niche ki taraf jane se pahle 1.11020 - 1.11645 ki range me ek din se zyada waqt tak sideways me trading kar sakti hai. Yaumiyah ascending channel ki nichli hadd, 1.10742 ki kami ke aaghaz ki nishandahi karegi.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon. EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta h

Budh ke din, pair ne trading day ko high note par khatam kiya, apne do hafton ke rally ko 1.2812 mark ke ird gird continue rakha. Yeh upward movement tab dekha gaya jab DXY par investors ka pressure barhta ja raha tha, jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. Halaankeh June ke liye Producer Price Index (PPI) mein heran kun izafa hua, jo ke future Fed inflation metrics par asar dal sakta hai, lekin market sentiment ziada tar rate reduction ke prospects par hi focus kar raha hai. Mukhtalif Inflation Signals ne Fed Policy ko Challenge Kiya:

US Dollar ne softer-than-expected inflation readings ke wajah se apni qeemat mein kami mehsoos ki, jis ne Fed officials ke confidence ko barhaya ke disinflation ka process abhi bhi chalu hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay major currencies ke against measure karta hai, abhi bhi 104.50 level se neeche hai. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne yeh suggest kiya ke recent cooler inflation figures aur easing labor market conditions ek ya do rate cuts ko justify kar sakti hain iss saal ke aakhir mein.

Magar, latest PPI data ke mutabiq June mein inflation ki soorat-e-haal pehle se ziada garam dekhne ko mili. Headline aur core PPI dono figures umeed se ziada barhe, jisse annual rates 2.6% aur 3.0% tak pohanch gayi. Yeh heran kun izafa wholesale inflation mein Fed ke inflation control strategies ko mushkil banata hai, halaankeh broader trend softer inflation readings ka hai.

GBP/USD ki Technical Analysis:

Pair ne aik impressive upward trajectory dikhai hai, pichle 12 trading days mein sirf do din ko chhod kar har din green mein band hua. Pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.2662 par hai, se achi khasi upar ki taraf movement ki hai. Jaisey jaisey bullish momentum barh raha hai, traders 2023 ke peak 1.3141 par nazar rakhe hue hain, jab ke bearish forces is price ko 50-day EMA ke paas 1.2780 par le jane ki koshish kar sakti hain.

Mangal ke din, pair ne do hafton ka high hasil kiya, apni gains ko dosray musalsal haftay tak extend kiya aur 1.3000 handle ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Currency pair ne July mein kareeb 4% ka izafa dekha hai, jo ke month ke shuru mein 1.2614 ke swing low se upar aaya hai. Yeh mazboot performance shifting economic conditions ke darmiyan pound ki dollar ke against taqat ko wazeh karti hai.

Tuesday ke trading session mein New York mein, EUR/USD currency pair mein aik nihayat buland izafa dekha gaya, 1.1010 ke ahem resistance level ke qareeb pounch gaya. Yeh izafa Euro ki qeemat mein US Dollar ke muqable mein taqatwar izafa ko numaya karta hai. Mojudah doran mein, EUR/USD 1.0926 ke qareeb trading ho raha hai, forex market mein barqarar bullish momentum ka dikhawa kartay hue. Euro ki qadr ka is izafa ne US Dollar par barhti hui dabao ke sath aiqtadar-e-uzma aur karobar ke dataon ke zariye chal raha pressure ko milta hai. US Economic Indicators aur Inke Asar Dollar Par

Haal hi mein aaye hue economic data United States ke Dollar par numaya asar andaz hue hain. July mein ISM Services PMI 48.8 par gira, jo April 2020 se sab se tezi se girawat thi. Yeh huliya kisi had tak umeed se kum tha jo 52.5 tha aur June ke 53.8 se gir gaya tha. Is ke ilawa, ADP Employment report ne bataya ke US private jagahon par sirf 150,000 naye jobs shamil hue July mein - jise 160,000 ka tasavvur kiya gaya tha, aur yeh paanch mahinon mein sab se choti izafa tha. Yeh data points kamzor hote hui economic conditions ka ishara dete hain aur US Dollar par pressure dalte hain.

European Market Sentiment aur Bond Yield Spread

Europe mein, market sentiment bond yields ke tabadlay se mutasir hota hai. French aur German 10 saal ke hakoomati bonds ke darmiyan yield spread haal hi mein karib 71 basis points tak ghata, jo pichle mahine ke end par 82 basis points se nichay tha. Yeh kam hone wala spread yeh zahir karta hai ke investors mein barhtay huay itminan hai ke France ke far-right RN party ko majlis-e-shura mein bari bahali hasil karna mushkil hai. Yeh sentiment mein tabdeeli ne France ke assets ko taqat di hai aur Euro ki puri shidat mein pechida hai.

EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis

Ek technical lehaz se, EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.

Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge

Forex trading mein **pips** ek measurement unit hoti hai jo currency pair ki price movement ko measure karne ke liye use hoti hai. Pip, "percentage in point" ka short form hai, aur yeh forex trading mein price ki bohot chhoti change ko represent karta hai.

### Pip Kya Hai:
- **Majority Currencies:** Bohot si currencies ke liye, ek pip price ka fourth decimal place hota hai. Agar EUR/USD ki price 1.2345 se badh kar 1.2346 ho jaye, toh yeh 1 pip ka farq hai.

- **Japanese Yen (JPY) Pairs:** JPY currency pairs mein pip second decimal place hoti hai. For example, agar USD/JPY ki price 110.25 se gir kar 110.24 ho jaye, toh yeh bhi 1 pip ka farq hai.

### Pip Calculation:
Pips ka calculation karna asaan hai. Aapko bas currency pair ke price ka chhota change dekhna hota hai.

- **Example 1:** Agar GBP/USD ki price 1.3050 se 1.3055 ho jaye, toh yeh 5 pips ka farq hai.

- **Example 2:** Agar USD/JPY ki price 109.65 se 109.85 ho jaye, toh yeh 20 pips ka farq hai.

### Pip ki Value:
Ek pip ki value depend karti hai trade ki size par aur currency pair par. Agar aap 1 lot trade kar rahe hain (jo usually 100,000 units ke barabar hota hai), toh major currency pairs mein 1 pip ka farq $10 hota hai. Agar aap smaller lot (e.g., 10,000 units) trade kar rahe hain, toh 1 pip ka farq $1 hota hai.

### Pip ka Importance:
1. **Profit aur Loss Calculation:** Forex trading mein, pips ko use karke traders apna profit ya loss calculate karte hain.

2. **Risk Management:** Pip ke through traders apna risk calculate karte hain aur apni trade ki strategy banate hain.

Summary mein, forex trading mein pips ek important unit hai jo currency pair ke price movement ko measure karne ke liye use hoti hai, aur yeh traders ko apne trades ka profit ya loss samajhne mein madad karti hai.

اگست 23 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

اسٹاک انڈیکس میں کل کی کمی نے یورو اور دیگر انسداد ڈالر کرنسیوں کو ٹھنڈا کرنے میں مدد کی۔ یہ کولنگ یومیہ چارٹ میں 1.1040/50 کی ہدف کی حد سے مقامی قیمت کے الٹ جانے کی طرح دکھائی دیتی ہے۔



اگر فیڈرل ریزرو کے چیئر جیروم پاول کی آج جیکسن ہول میں تقریر فیڈ کی جانب سے سال کے آخر تک شرحوں میں 2.00 فیصد کمی کرنے کے منصوبے کی کمی کے بارے میں ہمارے مفروضوں کی تصدیق کرتی ہے، تو ڈالر کے مقابلہ میں کرنسیوں کی کمی قدرتی طور پر جاری رہے گی۔ یورو کے لیے پہلا ہدف 1.1010 (5 اگست کی چوٹی) ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں آباد ہے۔ 1.1085 سے نیچے قیمت کے استحکام کا مطلب ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی حمایت کی خلاف ورزی اور "سر اور کندھوں" کے پیٹرن کو مکمل کرنا ہوگا۔ ہم قیمت کے 1.1010 کے پہلے ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچنے کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!

Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai

EUR/USD Forum Analysis Forecast

Graph ke mapping results se yeh clear hai ki EUR/USD market mein currency pair ki condition abhi bhi buyer's troops ke control mein hai, jo ki last week ke end se continue hai. Price position jo upar move kar raha hai, abhi bhi 1.1117 level ke aaspaas hai, yeh indication hai ki market increase ko continue karne ki taraf move kar raha hai. Buyers abhi bhi bullish trend ko continue karne ki ummeed kar rahe hain, jo ki last few days mein hua hai.

Market movement currently sideways hai, lekin price abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar khel raha hai, isliye future mein yeh 1.1150 level ko test karne ki possibility hai. Agar yeh level penetrate kar leta hai, toh market ko increase ko continue karne ki aur opportunities milegi. MACD indicator ke histogram bar ki position consistently zero level ke upar move kar rahi hai, yeh show kar raha hai ki market bullish trend mein move kar raha hai.

Candlestick ke monitoring se, yeh clear hai ki trend abhi bhi bullish trend ko continue karne ki potential rakhta hai. Agar price phir se 1.1130 level ke aaspaas move karta hai, toh yeh BUY trading ke liye good moment hai. Kyunki us time entry signal ki possibility zyada valid hai. EUR/USD market ki latest trend conditions abhi bhi bullish trend mein hain, isliye transactions ke time current trend ko prioritize karna zaroori hai, taki profit ki potential increase ho.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ne persistent weakness dikhai hai, 0.20% drop karke 101.10 ke aaspaas. Yeh decline growing expectations se closely tied hai ki Federal Reserve soon monetary policy ease karega. Investors potential rate cut ke liye position le rahe hain, jo ki Dollar mein sell-off aur EUR/USD pair mein corresponding rise ko lead kar raha hai. Jackson Hole Symposium, jo ki later this week schedule hai, key event hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke speech ko highly anticipate kiya ja raha hai, kyunki yeh Fed ke policy direction ki further clarity provide kar sakta hai. Market US PMI figures ke release ka await kar raha hai, jo ki economic health ke crucial indicators hain aur Fed ke decisions ko influence kar sakte hain

**Fundamental Analysis**

Friday ke European session mein, EUR/USD pair thoda rebound kar ke 1.1120 ke aas-paas aa gaya hai, jab ke ye Thursday ko ek naye saal ke high 1.1174 se gir gaya tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein taqreer ki intezaar mein ehtiyaat dekhne ko mil rahi hai, aur is wajah se main currency pair thoda upar gaya hai jab ke US Dollar (USD) apni pichli kamzori se baahar aane ki koshish kar raha hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhah major currencies ke saamne measure karta hai, Thursday ko ek saat mahine ke low 101.00 se 101.60 tak barh gaya, lekin ab ye 101.30 ke aas-paas gir gaya hai. August ke liye flash US S&P Global PMI data ne ye dikhaya ke Composite PMI 54.1 se zyada achha aaya, jo US dollar ki sharp rebound ka sabab bana. Ye study yeh dikhati hai ke services sector ki mazboot growth ne economic activity ko barhawa diya, jab ke manufacturing sector tezi se kamzor hua.

Investors ye bhi soch rahe hain ke price pressures 2% ke targeted rate par wapas aa sakti hain. July ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ne labour demand mein bohot tez slow down aur unemployment rate ke 4.3% tak barhne ki wajah se, jo ke November 2021 ke baad ka sabse zyada hai, US recession ka dar barh gaya hai.

Analysts yeh nahi samajhte ke Jerome Powell se interest rates ke liye koi pre-determined trajectory milegi. Lekin ab jab khatar employment aur inflation dono components ko affect kar rahe hain, wo shayad September mein rate cuts ki baat karen.

**Technical Analysis**

Investors ki nazar ab Fed Powell ki Jackson Hole Symposium mein taqreer par hai, aur EUR/USD pair ne 1.1100 ke round-level support ko upar banaye rakha hai. Daily time frame par channel formation ka breakout hone ke baad, common currency pair ka positive outlook bana hua hai. Sab short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ki increased slope ki wajah se ek significant upswing dekhi ja rahi hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke overbought levels ke bawajood, yeh strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Yeh positive region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Agar December 28, 2023 ka high 1.1140 clear break ho jata hai to euro ke bulls 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ko wapas le sakte hain. Downside par ek significant support zone 1.1100 ke round-level number par hai .

Forex price movement ka tajziya karte hue EUR/USD ke aaj ke liye jo candlestick shape dekha gaya hai, usse yeh lagta hai ke price ke barhne ki probability ab bhi zyada hai. Yeh nishkarsh is baat par hai ke aakhri EUR/USD trade ek bullish candlestick bana. Jaise ke aakhri daily trade mein dikhaya gaya, closing price trade ke opening price se upar thi.
Bullish candlestick ke formation ka matlab hai ke buyers ne market ko pichli trade mein control mein rakha. Isliye aaj ke EUR/USD price movement analysis ke mutabiq, price barhne ke taraf hi rahegi. Is hisaab se, sabse relevant transaction option buy hai. Pichle EUR/USD price movement ko dekhte hue, jab currency pair 1.1130 par open hua tha, usne lowest trading price 1.1100 par banayi. Is lowest price level par, EUR/USD ko buyers ka support mila aur phir yeh barh gaya. Barhne ka silsila tab tak chala jab tak price ne highest trading price 1.1175 ko touch kiya. Is highest price level par, EUR/USD sirf sideways move karta raha aur finally trading 1.1150 par band hui.

EUR/USD market conditions ko dekhte hue, ajeng4x ka nazariya yeh hai ke EUR/USD abhi bhi bullish hone ke liye inclined hai, isliye buy transaction option aaj ke trading mein sabse behtar hai. Lekin transaction execute karne ke liye, behtar hoga ke sahi momentum ka intezaar kiya jaye, jaise ke smaller time frame par bullish candlestick pattern ka ubharna.

Isse yeh hoga ke jo transactions kiye jayenge, unmein quality open positions milengi, ideal risk-reward calculations ke saath aur achhi winning rate probabilities ke sath. Transaction decisions lene mein sabse nazdeek ke support resistance levels ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh support resistance levels Bollinger Bands indicator, Moving Average, Horizontal Line ke zariye ya Psychological prices ka istemal karke dekha ja sakta hai:

Agar price support area mein reject hoti hai, to buy transaction instantly ki ja sakti hai. Lekin agar support ka breakout hota hai, to buy transaction option ko dobara dekhna chahiye. Forex market ke price movements bohot dynamic hain aur market ko bearish condition mein bhi le ja sakti hain. Buy option tab bhi kiya ja sakta hai agar EUR/USD price pehla resistance breakout kar jaye, lekin open position ke liye behtar hoga ke price correction ke baad resistance area tak wapas aaye, isse Resistance Become Support (RBS) kehte hain. Isliye, abhi se risk calculations ka intezam karna zaroori hai, taake jo actions lene hain, woh trading plan ke mutabiq ho. Agar market unpredictable move karti hai, to losses measured aur risk limits ke andar honge jo pehle se tay kiye gaye hain

EUR/USD Price Action Insights

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par conversation karenge. ECB kal apne Monetary Policy Meeting ki report release karega. ECB aur Fed ne interest rates ko simultaneously lower karne ka faisla kiya hai taaki market disruptions ko minimize kiya ja sake. Volatility ke terms mein, impact 9 points se lekar 101 points tak ho sakta hai, lekin recent market reactions ke mutabiq, volatility upward trend kar raha hai.

Pichhle meeting mein specifics ki kami thi, lekin is meeting mein more clarity provide ki jayegi. Humne do din notable intraday movements dekhe hain, jo ki volatility ko dono directions mein occur karne ki taraf lead karta hai, ultimately growth ko lead karta hai. Sellers likely pair ko current ascending channel ke upper boundary par pahunchne ke baad more favourable price par sell karne ke liye wait kar rahe hain. Critical question yeh hai, purpose kya hai, aur kisko benefit hoga? Dollar ko bearish pressure ka saamna hoga aur U.S. market open hone par weaken hoga.

Lekin, yeh meri perspective hai, jaise ki chart mein dikhai diya hai, jahan long-term sideways movement significant attention ko attract karta hai. Hum euro/USD pair ki market situation ko analyze karte rahe hain. Daily chart ko review karne ke baad, maine hourly chart par focus kiya hai. Yahan, humne already sell signal receive kiya hai ascending price channel ke lower boundary ke breakdown ke baad 1.1119 par. Isne corrective decline ko lead kiya, aur is analysis ke mutabiq, euro/dollar pair 1.1114 par trading kar raha hai. Technically, pair ko further bearish decline ho sakti hai, potentially 1.1079 par fall ho sakta hai, daily chart ke mutabiq. Lekin, main sell karne mein hesitant hoon market sentiment chart ke mutabiq, jo ki strong bias towards selling dikha raha hai. Aisi imbalance ke sath, significant player likely price ko upward push karega, corrective declines ya pullbacks ko buying karke