Eurusd forum

EURUSD TAFTEESH

Kal, Jumma ko, EURUSD market pair ab bhi bechne walay ke kontrol mein tha jo dobara khareedne walay ke raftar ko rok kar use seller ke resistance area mein band kar diya tha jo ke 1.0900-1.0898 ke price par tha, jise khareedne walay ne kamyabi se nahi paar kiya tha ta ke price phir se bearish ho gaya, waise ke wo bohat gehra nahi lekin EurUsd pair ke price ki kamzori ke ishara ab bhi kaafi mazboot thi.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ke istemal se dekha ja sakta hai ke price ya candle ab bhi Yellow MA 200 area ke ooper hai jo ke 1.0804-1.0805 ke price par hai jo ke buyers ne barqarar rakha hai, lekin sellers ke domination ke zariye jo ke price ko bearish daba kar neeche le jane mein jari hain, is ke liye price ko sellers ke liye test hone ka imkan hai. Ek mazboot bearish candlestick ke saath jo ke bana hai, is se nazar aata hai ke EurUsd market pair mazeed neeche weak hone ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai Yellow MA 200 area ki taraf, lekin is maqsad ko paane ke liye sellers ko agle haftay mein apni bearish momentum ko barqarar rakhna hoga.

Aane wale Somwar ko trading ko mazeed neeche bearish rehne ka intezar hai qareebi target ke saath jo ke buyer support area ko test karne ki taraf ja raha hai jo ke 1.0865-1.0863 ke price par hai; agar is ko paar kiya ja sake, to price buyer demand support area tak giray ga jo ke 1.0830-1.0828 ke price par hai.

Nateeja:

Khareedne ke trading options ki mumkinat hoti hain agar price seller ke resistance area ko kamyabi se paar kar sake jahan pending buy stop order area 1.0898-1.0900 ke price par lagaya ja sakta hai TP area ke saath jo 1.0928-1.0930 ke price par hai.



Bechne ke trading options ki mumkinat hoti hain agar price buyer ke support area ko kamyabi se paar kar sake jahan pending sell stop order area 1.0865-1.0863 ke price par lagaya ja sakta hai TP area ke saath jo 1.0830-1.0828 ke price par hai.

EUR/USD H4 Chart

US Dollar ki dobala barhao ne pair ke downtrend mein ahem kirdar ada kiya hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates par hawkish stance maintain kiya hai, jahan unho ne kisi bhi rate cuts ko mad-e-nazar lene se pehle mustawar kam inflation ki zaroorat ko ahmiyat di hai. Is soorat-e-haal ne US Dollar Index (DXY) ko mazboot kiya hai, jo haal hi mein 104.46 ke ahem resistance level tak pohanch gaya hai. May ke US inflation figures mein thori kami hone ke bawajood, policymakers ne isay temporary phenomenon samjha hai jo foran rate adjustments ke liye kafi nahi hai. Yeh stance Dollar ki taqat ko mazeed barhaya hai major currencies, jaise Euro ke khilaf. Halqi taur par, pair ke samne immediate resistance 1.0905 ke aas paas hai, jabke agle upside barriers 1.0950 ke qareeb ascending channel ke andar hain. 14-day timeframe par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche subdued momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo pair ke liye cautious sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Is level ke paar hona EUR/USD ko 1.1000 ke psychological barrier tak pohancha sakta hai, jo ke iske descending channel ke upper boundary ke saath milti hai.





Doosra maqsad price ka girna hai, jahan price ko weekly pivot level tak pohanchne ka imkan hai aur phir uski bulandi par lautna hai. Aaj ke liye khareedne ka doosra level wo hoga jo weekly pivot level ke saath upward price action formation hone par hoga. Khareedne ke liye stop loss level weekly pivot level 1.0872 ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai. Economic pehlu se, haan ke Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pesimist nazar aaye, Euro-Dollar is se faida nahi utha saka. US Federal Reserve ke head ne apni hilni khuli chhor di, jahan unho ne apni taza interview mein "dovish" note express kiya. Lekin Euro ke price ko in comments se faida nahi mila. Powell ne Washington, DC ke Economic Club mein interview diya jahan unho ne pichle haftay ke US inflation numbers ke kam hone par apni raay bayan ki. Is par tafseeli comments mein Sam Hill, Lloyds Bank ke market insights head, kehte hain: "Powell pesimist nazar aaye. Is ne dikhaya ke Fed ne second quarter ke dauran data trend mein izafa kiya hai, khas tor par last three inflation publications mein."

Hello doston, kaise hain aap, EUR/USD Thursday ke tezi se girne ke baad ab bhi neeche reh raha hai aur 1.0900 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. European Central Bank ke afraadahana comments aur risk-averse market environment ne pair ko Jumma ko dobara tezi se uthne mein mushkilat mein daal diya. EUR/USD ka agla upside resistance 1.0948 par expect kiya ja raha hai (July 17), us ke baad March ke high 1.0981 par (March 8) aur psychological level 1.1000. Agar bears phir se control mein aa gaye to pair 1.0810 ke 200-day SMA tak nishana bana sakta hai pehle se neeche girne se pehle 1.0666 ke low (June 26) tak. Agar May ke low 1.0649 (May 1) ko lose kiya jaye to 2024 ke low 1.0601 (April 16) par ja sakta hai. Badi tasawwur mein dekhte hue lag raha hai ke agar key 200-day SMA ko kamyabi se paar kiya ja sake to mazeed izafay ke imkanat hain. Ab tak 4-hour chart mein waqtan-fauran ke liye kuch upward momentum ki kuch kami nazar aati hai. Lekin pehle se resistance 1.0948 hai, 1.0981 aur 1.1000 ke saath.

Dusri taraf, 55-SMA 1.0872 par pehle aata hai, us ke baad 200-SMA 1.0793 par, aur phir 1.0709.




Relative Strength Index kareeban 47 tak gir gaya hai. Thursday ko US Dollar ne momentum barhaya, jis se USD Index 104.00 ke barrier ke upar chala gaya, jismein US yields ke reasonable bounce ne madad ki. Mawazna mein, EUR/USD ne do muzammat session ke baad faida ko side mein rakh kar 1.0900 region ko challenge kiya, ECB ke doucher hold aur Thursday ke meeting mein Germany ke 10-year bond yields mein halka izafa ke baad. ECB ke event mein wapas aate hue, unki press conference mein President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke unhe umeed hai ke recovery consumption ke zariye support ki jayegi, jahan unhone labor market ki mazbooti ko highlight kiya. Unhone yeh bhi note kiya ke domestic inflation high hai aur wages high darje par grow kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, unho ne projected kiya ke consumer prices ke harmonized index 2025 ke doosre half mein bank ke target tak gir jayega. Lagarde ne wages, profits aur geopolitical factors ko bhi potential upside risks ke roop mein identify kiya.

Good day. Euro ke liye, sellers ne kam az kam pichle 4 hafton mein buyers ke mukhalif qadam uthane mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai, jaise ke is haftay ke do din. Lekin agar hum price girne ke liye mazboot signal lena chahte hain, to humein qareebi levels 1.08708 aur 1.08609 ke breakout ka intezaar karna hoga. Inke breakout humein do breaks provide karenge upward trend mein aur girne ke quotes ke possible continuation ke signals. Is halat mein target 1.08045 mark hoga. Lekin jab tak ke buyers serious setbacks ke baghair active growth kar rahe hain, hum momentum ke zariye ek aur upward wave form hone ki ummeed rakhte hain. Is case mein target hoga current peak par 1.09474, agar hum ise paar kar ke stabilize kar sakte hain, to phir hum further price increase ka intezar kar sakte hain 1.09630 tak.




Pair EURUSD H4: Euro 4-hour chart par price ranges ke central area mein rok gaya hai, aur ranges khud horizontal position mein aa gayi hain. Price action nazara hai ke nazdeek future mein potential downward move ho sakta hai. Fractal analysis ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, ek naya, nazdeeki fractal neeche ban gaya hai, jo ke ishara deta hai ke price July 16 ke previous fractal level 1.08708 tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin nazdeek ka upward fractal kaafi door hai, is liye samajhdarana hoga ke hum price growth ke further intezar se pehle ek naya, nazdeeki upward fractal banane ke liye intezaar karen. Is ke ilawa, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator zero line ko cross karne ke baad negative area mein izafa dikha raha hai. Agar aane wale haftay mein is mein zyada izafa dekhte hain, to yeh price ko decline karne ke liye mazboot push ka ishara de sakta hai. Ulta agar zero line ko cross karne ke baad positive zone mein active izafa ho raha hai, to yeh Euro ke liye ek rise ka signal provide karega.

EUR/USD H4 Chart

Kal, EUR/USD currency pair ne dilchaspi angaiz price action dikhai. Sellers ne ek potential buying zone (accumulation) se azad hone mein kamyabi haasil nahi ki jo ke ban rahi thi. Is ka natija yeh hua ke ek bullish candlestick pichle din ke trading range ke andar ban gayi. Is technical tasawwur ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke buyers aaj prices ko ooncha karne ki koshish karenge. Mera primary focus resistance level par hoga jo 1.0853 par hai. Agar buyers price ko 1.0853 ke upar successfully push kar sakte hain, to phir mera next target hoga 1.0917 ke next resistance level par. Agar is level ko confirm kar ke paar kiya ja sake, to yeh darwaza kholta hai ek mazeed move ke liye 1.0982 tak. Jab hum is zone tak pohanchen, to main agle directional move ka tajziye karne ke liye trading signal dekhne ki koshish karunga. Ek zyada ooncha target 1.1140 ki taraf bhi moujood hai, lekin yeh prevailing news sentiment par depend karega aur yeh ke har resistance level ke raste mein price ka reaction kya hai. Agar price 1.0853 resistance level par mushkil se guzar rahi hai aur ek reversal candlestick form ho rahi hai, to yeh ek potential move back down ka ishara ho sakta hai.



Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ka istemal kar ke nazar daur kiya ja sakta hai ke price ya candle bullish tarah se upar ja raha hai, MA 100 Blue area se jo ke 1.0793-1.0795 ke price par hai, jahan buyers ke safalta ke sath trading ko dominate kar rahe hain bullish candlesticks ke zariye, jo ke buyers ko moujood price ko control karne ke mazeed mouke dene mein izafa karte hain EURUSD pair ke liye price ko mazboot karne ke liye seller supply resistance area ko target kar ke jana hai jo 1.0895-1.0900 ke price range mein hai. Thursday ke Asian market session mein trading ne dekha ke buyers ne mazeed mazbooti se enter kar ke apni bullish momentum ko barqarar rakha aur prices ko oonchayi mein jaari rakha with a target of testing the seller resistance area at 1.0845-1.0846 agar yeh successfully penetrate ho sake, to price strong seller supply resistance area tak jaega 1.0858-1.0860. Lekin agar yeh penetrate na ho sake, to EURUSD pair ka price dobara bearish ho sakta hai with a target to the buyer support area at 1.0816-1.0814.

Technical analysis of the EURUSD pair

1-hour chart




Pichle teen trading dinon mein price trend sideways raha, kai dinon ke upward trend ke baad. Aaj, price ne sideways direction mein price channels ke andar trading shuru kiya hai aur channels ke upper line ke qareeb hai, aur ab price sideways direction mein move kar raha hai channels ke middle lines ke darmiyan neeche aur upper lines ke darmiyan.

Humare paas price movement ke do mumaasile hain:

Pehla mumaasla hai channels ko upar break karne mein kamyabi, is liye mashwara diya jata hai ke agar price price channels ke upar ek ghante ke liye trade karta hai to kharidari mein dakhil ho jaye aur target level ko set kare resistance 1.0944 par.

Dusra mumaasla hai price decline ka, jabke price ko samjha jata hai ke weekly pivot level tak pohanchne ka aur phir uchhalne ka. Aaj ke liye kharidari ke doosre level ko upward price action formation ke event mein dekha ja sakta hai weekly pivot level ke saath.

Kharidari ke liye stop loss level ko weekly pivot level 1.0872 ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai.

Mehngai ke maamle mein, haalaanki US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell nakaam nahi huye hain, euro-dollar faaida nahi utha sakta. US Federal Reserve ke head ne apne haal hi mein interview mein "dovish" note zahir kiya. Lekin euro price in comments se faaida nahi utha saki.

Powell ne Washington, DC ke Economic Club mein interview diya, jahan unhone pichle haftay ke kam umeed US inflation numbers par ghaur kiya. Is par tafseeli guftagu karte hue, Lloyds Bank ke market insights ke head Sam Hill kehte hain: "Powell nakaam nazar aaye." "Yeh Fed ke data trend mein sudhar ko reflect karta hai jo ke second quarter ke dauran dekha gaya, khaas tor par last teen inflation publications mein."

Aam tor par, US dollar ke haal hi ki kamzori ka bara hissa is bat ka nateeja hai ke signals jo dikhate hain ke Federal Reserve mehngai 2.0% tak girne se pehle US interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai taake labor market ko bachaya ja sake. Dar yeh hai ke interest rates ko zyada lamba waqt tak zyada rakhna berozgari ke daro ko buland kar sakta hai.

Jumay ko Euro familiar boundaries ke andar raha, aur 1.0850 mark ke thora upar tight range mein trade karta raha. Jab traders significant economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, to market mein momentum ke muted rehne ki umeed hai. Is level ke ird gird consolidation ek anticipation ka period highlight karti hai, kyunke market participants upcoming releases ke liye tayar ho rahe hain jo currency flows ko influence kar sakti hain.
Fed Governor ka Bayan aur Key Data Release:


Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ke guzashta haftay ke trading session ke doran remarks ne Federal Reserve ke stance par wazeh roshni daali. Bowman ne zor de kar kaha ke unhe is saal ke baqi period mein kisi bhi interest rate cuts ki umeed nahi hai. Unhone yeh bhi emphasize kiya ke is waqt rate cuts inappropriate hongi. Iske ilawa, unhone yeh bhi note kiya ke additional rate hikes ab bhi consider ki ja sakti hain agar disinflationary process mein stalling ya reversing ke asaar nazar aaye.

Aage dekhein to sab ki nazar US core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index ke June ke release par hogi. Yeh index, jo Federal Reserve ka preferred inflation gauge hai, central bank ke future monetary policy ke hawale se critical insights offer karega. Core PCE data is saal kisi bhi potential interest rate adjustments ke timing aur magnitude ko determine karne mein pivotal role ada karega.
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD ke Key Support aur Resistance Levels


Pair ko foran support 1.0800 ke psychological level par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh point se neechay jata hai to bearish pressure introduce ho sakta hai, jo pair ko next support level 1.0770 test karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Agar downward trend continue karti hai, to currency pair descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb, jo ke 1.0740 hai, pohanch sakti hai, aur bearish sentiment ko reinforce kar sakti hai.




Iske baraks, pair ko resistance 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.0858 par face ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai to pair 1.0900 mark ko test kar sakti hai. Iske ilawa, ek successful breach descending channel ke upper boundary ko khel mein la sakti hai, jo potentially 1.0910 level tak pohanch sakti hai.

Jumay ko American Trading Session ke doran EUR/USD Pair ka Imtiaz Jumay ko American trading session ke doran, EUR/USD pair 1.0870 tak barh gaya jab US core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data release hui. Is report ne yeh zahir kiya ke June mein inflation pressures umeed se zyada kam ho gayi hain, core PCE sirf 0.1% mahana aur 2.6% salana barhi hai. Inflation mein yeh moderation yeh suggest karta hai ke underlying price pressures kam ho rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ki future monetary policy ke hawale se market expectations ko significant taur par affect kar sakta hai.



Core PCE Price Index ek ahem inflation measure hai jo Fed ke liye bohat qareebi taur par dekha jata hai, kyunke yeh volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai aur long-term inflation trends ka wazeh tasveer deta hai. Core PCE ka lower-than-anticipated rise suggest karta hai ke Fed ke aggressive rate hikes jo guzashta saal mein implement ki gayi thi, inflation ko control karne mein abhi phal day rahi hain. Yeh data shayad investors aur analysts mein ziada speculation ko janam de sakta hai ke Fed apna rate-hiking cycle pehle se zyada jaldi rok sakti hai, ya bhi qareebi future mein rate cuts consider kar sakti hai.

Fed ke interest rate cuts aam tor par US dollar ki depreciation ko lead karti hain kyunke lower rates dollar-denominated investments par return ko kam kar deti hain, jo doosri currencies ko mukablay mein ziada attractive banati hain. Monetary policy mein yeh potential shift currency markets par broad implications rakh sakti hai, aur EUR/USD pair aise market sentiment changes par react kar sakti hai. Haal mein aayi data ne euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar diya hai, jo yeh reflect karta hai ke investors yeh expect kar rahe hain ke Fed agay chalkar ek more dovish stance adopt kar sakti hai.

Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke consider kiya jaye ke ek mahine ki inflation slowdown data positive hai, lekin Fed ko kisi bhi significant policy shift se pehle sustained trend dekhna zaroori hai. Anay walay economic reports aur data releases ko qareebi taur par dekha jayega taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke yeh inflation moderation ek temporary blip hai ya ek ziada persistent trend ka aghaz. Fed ka decision-making process data-dependent rahega, inflation ko control karne ki zaroorat aur economic growth ko support karne ke goal ko balance karte hue.

Mukhtasir yeh ke, US core PCE Price Index data ne June ke liye inflation mein slowdown zahir kiya hai, jiski wajah se EUR/USD pair barh gaya hai kyunke market participants potential interest rate cuts by the Fed ko anticipate kar rahe hain. Yeh development global financial markets mein inflation trends, monetary policy aur currency movements ke interconnectedness ko highlight karta hai. Evolving economic landscape investors ke liye ek focal point bana rahega jab wo Fed ke future actions aur unke US dollar aur doosri currencies par implications ko assess karenge.

Shaam bakhair sab ko, umeed hai ke aap sab hamesha acchi sehat aur behtareen hosla mein rahte honge. Aaj raat mein EUR/USD market ki price movements ko dekhoonga. Ab tak jo mujhe nazar aaya hai, woh ye ke EUR/USD market ki price movements ek achi upward trend mein rahi hain, magar aakhri ek haftay se price kaafi stable tareeke se gir rahi hai. Hmmm.. kya ye is baat ka ishara hai ke aur gehra girawat aayegi? Mere khayal se humein pehle Monday ko market reaction ka dehaan rakhna chahiye, agar girawat ka silsila barqarar raha, to iska matlab trend bearish hai aur agar price ko upar dhakela gaya to bullish trend ke asar hain.

Clearer price action dekhne ke liye H1 timeframe ka analysis behtar rahega. Guzishta Jumme ko market closing ke kareeb, EUR/USD price consolidation yani sideways movement mein thi, aur jab mein ne closely dekha to upar ab bhi ek potential supply zone nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 1.08810 ke price range mein hai, jo ke ek acchi sell entry ke liye istimaal kiya ja sakta hai.

To kal, Monday, ke trading plan ke liye mein ye wait karunga ke price pehle upar correct kare aur supply zone mein enter kare, phir jab tak ek valid downward bounce na dekhun, tab tak sell order lunga is umeed mein ke EUR/USD price foran neeche move kare aur lower support level ko pakre. Aur sabse zaroori baat, hamesha stop loss ko ideal distance par set karna na bhoolen.

Daily timeframe se dekha jaye to kaafi clear hai ke current price condition declining hai, aur jab mein ne ek trendline draw ki to mujhe lagta hai ke decline ab bhi potential rakhta hai ke trendline support level tak continue ho. To ab bhi ek achi opportunity hai seller’s momentum ko faida uthane ka, aur jo dost EUR/USD market mein already sell position mein hain, woh bhi hold kar sakte hain taake maximum profit hasil kar sakein. Lekin ye bhi note karna chahiye ke agar significant momentum ke saath price increase hoti hai, to ye seller scenario consider kiya ja sakta hai ke fail ho gaya.

**Pichle Jumeraat Ko EUR/USD ka Jaiza**

Pichle Jumeraat, jora exchange rate ne early Asian session ke doran ek notable rebound dikhaya, jo DXY ki halki mazbooti ki wajah se tha. Bazaar ke band hone ke waqt, jora lagbhag 1.0855 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh harkat ek pechida economic indicators aur market expectations ke backdrop ke beech hui hai.

**Market ka Response US Core PCE Data aur Fed Rate Cut Expectations ke Liye:**

American session mein Jumeraat ko, jora 1.0870 tak chala gaya jab US core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data release hua. Yeh report dikhati hai ke June mein inflation pressures ummeed se zyada dheere ho gaye, core PCE har mahine sirf 0.1% barh kar aur saal bhar mein 2.6% tak pohnch gaya. Is underlying inflation ki dheemi gati market ki speculation ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke potential interest rate cuts ke bare mein asar andaz karny ki ummeed hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, is saal ke aakhir mein do rate cuts ki anticipation hai. Lekin, recent signals Fed officials se ek zyada conservative approach ki taraf indicate karte hain, jo ke latest dot plot ke mutabiq sirf ek rate cut ka hai.

**H1 Chart Technical Analysis: Key Support Levels aur RSI Insights for EUR/USD**

Jora apne mojooda range ke lower end, lagbhag 1.0800, ko test karne ke liye hai, jo ek ahem throwback support level bhi hai. Thursday ko, jora ek bid dikhata hai jab yeh 1.0850 ke neeche demand zone se bounce hua, aur phir 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.0717 tak recover hua, aur Jumeraat ki session ke shuru hone par 1.0865 ke aas-paas stabilize ho gaya.

**Technical Indicators aur EUR/USD ki Potential Trajectory:**

Technical indicators bhi jora ke potential trajectory ke bare mein insight dete hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal 50 level ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke EUR/USD pair 1.0870 aur 1.0840 ke beech consolidation range mein trade kar raha hai.

**EUR/JPY Mein Stop-Loss aur Take-Profit Orders ka Istemal**

Misal ke taur par, agar ek trader EUR/JPY par long position enter karta hai aur market achanak gir jati hai, to stop-loss order automatically trigger ho jata hai aur position ko pre-set level par close kar deta hai, is tarah se mazeed losses se bacha jata hai. Yeh volatile market conditions mein bahut valuable hai jahan prices unpredictably swing kar sakti hain, jo agar unchecked chhod di jaye to substantial drawdowns ka sabab ban sakta hai.

**Take-Profit Order:** Yeh order isliye design kiya gaya hai taake gains ko lock in kiya ja sake. Yeh automatically trade ko close kar deta hai jab ek specific profit level reach ho jata hai. Isse trader apne profits ko secure kar sakta hai pehle se hi, isse pehle ke market ka reverse hone aur gains ko erode karne ka mauka milne se pehle. Misal ke taur par, agar ek trader EUR/JPY par apne entry point ke upar ek certain price par take-profit order set karta hai, to trade automatically close ho jati hai jab woh price reach hota hai. Yeh order type crucial hai taake profits realize ho jayein aur market fluctuations ke wajah se nahi kho jayein jo ke baad mein ho sakti hain.

Stop-loss aur take-profit orders ka strategic istemal trader ki risk management aur returns maximize karne ki ability ko enhance karta hai. In levels ko pre-set karke, traders ek disciplined trading approach follow kar sakte hain aur decision-making ke emotional pitfalls se bacha ja sakta hai jo pressur ke under aate hain.

Ek doosri mumkinat yeh hai ke cost weekly pivot level ko break karke weekly support level 1.0810 tak gir sakti hai. Aap is possibility par tab rely kar sakte hain jab price weekly pivot level ke neeche ek ghante tak trade kare. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke price ne kai resistance levels ko break karte hue climb karna jaari rakha, jab tak yeh weekly resistance level 1.0880 tak nahi pohnchi, jiski wajah se price sideways movement mein aayi. Umeed hai ke price nazdeek mustaqbil mein 1.0910 level ko target karegi, aur agar yeh level break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to price aage bhi upar ki taraf badhegi.

Currency pair apni pehli gains ko retrace kar chuki hai aur Friday ke Asian trading hours ke doran 1.0855 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai. Daily chart par technical outlook bearish lag raha hai, kyunke pair abhi ek descending channel ke andar consolidate kar rahi hai. Yeh technical setup is baat ki nishandahi kar raha hai ke sellers control gain kar rahe hain, jo ke short term mein pair ko niche push kar sakte hain.

**EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Investors Eurozone ke preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, jo European Central Bank (ECB) ke future rate decisions ke liye ahem hai. ECB ki rate-cutting cycle July ke shuruat mein 25 basis points ki reduction ke saath shuru hui thi. Is move ke saath, Eurozone ke major economies mein price pressures ke girne ki wajah se further rate cuts ki expectations barh gayi hain. France ki annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) 2.6% se ghat kar 2.5% ho gayi hai, jabke Spain ki annual HICP 3.5% par slow ho gayi hai, jo expected 3.4% se zyada hai. Italy ki price pressures mixed picture pesh kar rahi hain, jo overall outlook ko uncertain banati hain.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Jab investors US economic data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, pair Friday ke trading range ke andar hi rehti hai. Agar current support levels ke neeche decisive breakdown hoti hai to bearish sentiment aur barh sakta hai, aur pair ko descending channel ke upper boundary ke paas 1.0869 tak push kiya ja sakta hai. Agle major move ka direction zyada tar Eurozone aur US ke economic data releases se influence hoga.

Current positioning ke hisaab se pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai jo ke lagbhag 1.0851 ke aas-paas hai, jo bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke aas-paas hover kar rahi hai, jo ye indicate karta hai ke agar RSI aur niche jaati hai to bearish momentum aur bhi tez ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario pair ke liye ek stronger downward bias ko suggest karta hai.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha gaya hai ke price ya candle buyer ke zariye Yellow MA 200 area par 1.0815-1.0817 ke price par maintain ki ja rahi hai. Bullish candlestick ki formation se yeh indication milti hai ke market players abhi bhi EurUsd pair ke price ko upar bullish movement mein dekhna chahte hain. Agla target seller ke supply resistance area par 1.0895-1.0899 ke price par hai, jo is hafte EurUsd pair market ke movement ke liye ek important area hoga.

Monday ko Asian market session mein sellers zyada active dekhe gaye hain, jis se ke bearish pressure increase hoga aur price ko neeche bearish movement mein le jaane ki koshish karega. Sabse qareeb target buyer ke support area 1.0843-1.0840 par hai. Agar yeh successfully penetrate ho gaya to price aur zyada kamzor hote hue buyer ke demand support area 1.0815-1.0813 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar support area ke upar reject ho gaya, to buyer price ko control mein le kar bullish price movement ko seller supply resistance area 1.0895-1.0899 tak le jaane ki koshish karega.


1. Buy Trading Options:
Agar price seller ke resistance area ko penetrate karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to pending buy stop order area 1.0870-1.0872 par laga sakte hain. TP area 1.0895-1.0900 par rakhein.

2. Sell Trading Options:
Agar price buyer ke support area ko penetrate karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to pending sell stop order area 1.0843-1.0840 par laga sakte hain. TP area 1.0815-1.0810 par rakhein.

EUR/USD currency pair par guftagu karoonga. Seedha chart par chalte hain, aur main daily time frame se shuru karoonga takay hum zyada broadly dekh sakein ke market kaisa chal raha hai. Yeh chart dikhata hai ke peechli keemat mein kami ek double bottom chart pattern ban gaya hai, jaisa ke neechay tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai. Yeh girawat na hui aur 1.0710 ke support level ko tod diya, isliye Thursday ko keemat kaafi had tak 225 pips ke qareeb upar chali gayi. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq is pair mein aglay keemat ke movement mein, keemat zyada buland hone ka imkan hai aur 1.0760 ke resistance level ko test karne ka imkan hai, keemat ko taqwiyat ke saath. H4 time frame par, aik trend reversal pattern aya hai jo pehle ke bearish position se abhi ke bullish position tak aya hai, aur Bollinger band indicator ne ishara diya hai ke mojooda keemat ka halat mid-BB area ke upar hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke ab kharidardar kaafi dominant hain. Agar market mazeed buland rehti hai to aglay haftay ke doran keemat phir se buland hone ka zyada imkan hai. Abhi, main andaza lagata hoon ke keemat ko 1.0765 ke resistance ko test karna hoga, jo ke mojooda keemat se lagbhag 230 pips door hai takay woh mazeed taqwiyat hasil kar sake qareeb bhavishya mein. Is pair mein, kharidne ki option ka bohot zyada ahmiyat hai kyunke is par bohot zyada wazan hai. Aglay haftay ke trading ke liye manzoori. Hum pehle diye gaye technical analysis se ye nateeja nikal sakte hain ke EUR/USD pair pehle se hi ek bullish trend mein hai, isliye aglay haftay ke trading plan ke mutabiq, main bechna ke bajaye kharidne ki taraf rujhan deta hoon is pair par. Area mein dakhil hone ke liye, main pehle keemat ko girte hue dekhna pasand karonga takay woh nazdeeki support level tak correction kare, jis par ek SL lagayi jayegi jiska qareebi faida 30 pips hai aur kam se kam inaam 30 se 40 pips hai. Position ko lambay arsey tak rakhne ke liye, aap use najdeeki resistance level par rakh sakte hain. Mere trading scheme mein bechnay ki option shamil na hone ke bawajood, mera sab se zyada priority kharidne ki option par bani rahti hai jab tak keemat support EUR/USD currency pair ko influence karte hain. Eurozone aur USA ke economic data releases, jese ke GDP growth rates, unemployment data, inflation reports, aur central bank policies, currency pair ke movements ko significantly affect karte hain. Eurozone ka positive economic data Euro ki strength ko support karega aur price ko resistance level breach karne mein madadgar hoga. Wahi pe, USA ka strong economic data USD ki strength ko barhata hai aur Euro ki value ko pressurize karta hai.
Resistance area mein trading ke

liye mukhtalif strategies adopt ki ja sakti hain. Ek common strategy yeh hai ke resistance area ke qareeb short positions lena, kyunke expectation hoti hai ke price is level se gir jayegi. Lekin agar strong bullish signals mil rahe hain, to breakout trading strategy use ki ja sakti hai, jahan pe resistance level breach hone pe buy positions lena suitable hota hai. Stop loss aur take profit levels ko carefully set karna bhi zaroori hai taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake.
EUR/USD currency pair ki real-time dynamics ka jaiza lena ek complex process hai jo market sentiment, technical indicators, aur fundamental factors ka comprehensive analysis demand karta hai. April ka sales zone ya resistance area traders ke liye aik crucial point hai jahan pe price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Effective trading ke liye analysis ko continuously

EUR/USD currency pair par guftagu karoonga. Seedha chart par chalte hain, aur main daily time frame se shuru karoonga takay hum zyada broadly dekh sakein ke market kaisa chal raha hai. Yeh chart dikhata hai ke peechli keemat mein kami ek double bottom chart pattern ban gaya hai, jaisa ke neechay tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai. Yeh girawat na hui aur 1.0710 ke support level ko tod diya, isliye Thursday ko keemat kaafi had tak 225 pips ke qareeb upar chali gayi. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq is pair mein aglay keemat ke movement mein, keemat zyada buland hone ka imkan hai aur 1.0760 ke resistance level ko test karne ka imkan hai, keemat ko taqwiyat ke saath. H4 time frame par, aik trend reversal pattern aya hai jo pehle ke bearish position se abhi ke bullish position tak aya hai, aur Bollinger band indicator ne ishara diya hai ke mojooda keemat ka halat mid-BB area ke upar hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke ab kharidardar kaafi dominant hain. Agar market mazeed buland rehti hai to aglay haftay ke doran keemat phir se buland hone ka zyada imkan hai. Abhi, main andaza lagata hoon ke keemat ko 1.0765 ke resistance ko test karna hoga, jo ke mojooda keemat se lagbhag 230 pips door hai takay woh mazeed taqwiyat hasil kar sake qareeb bhavishya mein. Is pair mein, kharidne ki option ka bohot zyada ahmiyat hai kyunke is par bohot zyada wazan hai. Aglay haftay ke trading ke liye manzoori. Hum pehle diye gaye technical analysis se ye nateeja nikal sakte hain ke EUR/USD pair pehle se hi ek bullish trend mein hai, isliye aglay haftay ke trading plan ke mutabiq, main bechna ke bajaye kharidne ki taraf rujhan deta hoon is pair par. Area mein dakhil hone ke liye, main pehle keemat ko girte hue dekhna pasand karonga takay woh nazdeeki support level tak correction kare, jis par ek SL lagayi jayegi jiska qareebi faida 30 pips hai aur kam se kam inaam 30 se 40 pips hai. Position ko lambay arsey tak rakhne ke liye, aap use najdeeki resistance level par rakh sakte hain. Mere trading scheme mein bechnay ki option shamil na hone ke bawajood, mera sab se zyada priority kharidne ki option par bani rahti hai jab tak keemat support EUR/USD currency pair ko influence karte hain. Eurozone aur USA ke economic data releases, jese ke GDP growth rates, unemployment data, inflation reports, aur central bank policies, currency pair ke movements ko significantly affect karte hain. Eurozone ka positive economic data Euro ki strength ko support karega aur price ko resistance level breach karne mein madadgar hoga. Wahi pe, USA ka strong economic data USD ki strength ko barhata hai aur Euro ki value ko pressurize karta hai.
Resistance area mein trading ke liye mukhtalif strategies adopt ki ja sakti hain. Ek common strategy yeh hai ke resistance area ke qareeb short positions lena, kyunke expectation hoti hai ke price is level se gir jayegi. Lekin agar strong bullish signals mil rahe hain, to breakout trading strategy use ki ja sakti hai, jahan pe resistance level breach hone pe buy positions lena suitable hota hai. Stop loss aur take profit levels ko carefully set karna bhi zaroori hai taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake.
EUR/USD currency pair ki real-time dynamics ka jaiza lena ek complex process hai jo market sentiment, technical indicators, aur fundamental factors ka comprehensive analysis demand karta hai. April ka sales zone ya resistance area traders ke liye aik crucial point hai jahan pe price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Effective trading ke liye analysis ko continuously