eur/usd

Haal hi ka upar wala harkat EUR/USD pair mein shayad aik arzi qadam hai jo aik bara breakout tayar kar raha hai. Humne aik mazboot support range pehchaan li hai jo 1.0914 aur 1.09314 ke darmiyan hai, aur 1.0944 tak barh rahi hai. Yeh levels aik bullish trend direction ko mazid mazboot kar rahe hain, jo ke hamari strategy ko market movements ke sath achi tarah align kar rahe hain. Pehlay jo direction mehfooz nahi thi, ab wo aik shakl le rahi hai, aur hamari strategic approach aik ahem mor par pahunch gayi hai.
Mojooda tajziya ke mutabiq, mein yeh peeshangoi karta hoon ke EUR/USD 1.0896-1.0938 ke range tak barh sakti hai. Yeh ummed hamare successful breakout se supported hai jo 1.09266-1.0942 support zone se huwi hai, aur yeh aik mumkin rally ka ishara de rahi hai. Yeh harkat ongoing trend ke structural integrity ke mutabiq hai, halaan ke exact endpoint ka taayun mushkil hai. Yeh trend shayad 1.0972-1.0950 ke as paas apna ikhtitam kare.

Support levels jo pehchane gaye hain—1.0914, 1.09314, aur 1.0944—yeh bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein ahem kirdar ada kar rahe hain. Yeh levels market sentiment ke crucial indicators hain aur recent price actions ke zariye validate kiye gaye hain. Jese ke hum in support points ko observe kar rahe hain, overall market structure yeh suggest karti hai ke upward trend ka continuation hai, chahen kuch volatility ke sath ho.

Hamari strategy, jo in key support zones par focused hai, market ke uncertainties ko navigate karne mein effective sabit hui hai. 1.09266-1.0942 range se upar breakout aik ahem mor hai jo mazboot buniyad faraham karta hai aagay ke gains anticipate karne ke liye. Mojooda harkat sirf aik reactionary spike nahi balki aik calculated advance hai ek well-defined trend framework ke andar.



Jab ke is rally ka exact endpoint mushkil hai, trend ke structural dynamics yeh indicate karte hain ke 1.0972-1.0950 range aik plausible target hai. Yeh possible ikhtitam historical resistance levels ke sath align karta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market in figures ke as paas kuch resistance encounter kar sakti hai. Phir bhi, overall bullish sentiment intact lagta hai, jo ke supportive price actions se bolster hota hai key levels par.

Mukhtasir mein, EUR/USD pair aik bullish trajectory par hai, jo key levels ke zariye supported hai jo 1.0914 se 1.0944 tak hai. Recent breakout 1.09266-1.0942 support zone se tayyar hai mazid upward movement ke liye, 1.0896-1.0938 range ko target karta hai. Jab ke exact endpoint ka taayun mushkil hai, yeh trend 1.0972-1.0950 mark ke as paas apna ikhtitam kar sakti hai. Hamari strategy focused hai in support zones par, market ko navigate karte hue structural integrity aur possible resistance levels par nazar rakhte hue.

H4 Hour
EUR/USD currency pair. Lagta hai ke price neeche ja rahi hai. Guzishta trade week mein, Euro buyers ko apni strong growth se khush kar raha tha. US news bhi aayi thi, jinke indicators expected se bhi bura thay aur price barh gayi, lekin sirf Euro hi nahi, balke taqreeban poori market spectrum mein US dollar kamzor hogaya. Shayad sirf Canadian dollar mazboot, ziddi raha, hatta ke dollar bhi gir gaya. Wave structure apna apna setting kar raha hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, lekin iska signal line ke neeche hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke paanch waves ki growth structure bani hui hai, lagta hai ke paanchwi wave khatam ho gayi hai, guzishta haftay ka maximum update ho gaya aur pichle mahine ke maximum se aage nikal gaya. Yeh aik potential selling zone tha. Paanch waves aik faulty cycle hain, iske ilawa MACD indicator bhi bearing diversion dikhata hai. Doosra CCI indicator bhi tayar hai upper over heating zone ke neeche jaane ke liye aur usme ek choti si bearish diversion hai. Iske ilawa, MACD per hour bhi recession difference dikhata hai. Beshak, paanchwi wave thodi unique hai, yeh bohot lambi hai, yeh garam hai. Main chahta tha ke price maximum ho. Agar aap target fibonic grid pehli wave par lagaayein, aap dekh sakte hain ke goals - 161.8 aur 200 levels kaam kar rahe hain. Har level ke neeche ek correction hui thi unke qareebi purchase positions ki wajah se. Aur price aur barh gayi, ab horizontal resistance level 1.0913 tak pohanch gaya hai aur aik wrong breakout banaya hai, jo khud aik sell signal hai.

EURUSD joray ki technical tajziya

1 ghantay ka chart


Pichlay teen tijarti dino mein qeemat ka rujhan sideways tha, kayi din ke upar janay wale rujhan ke baad.
Aaj, qeemat ne sideways direction mein trading shuru ki aur channels ki oopar line ke qareeb hai, aur qeemat ab channels ki darmiyani lines ke darmiyan sideways direction mein harkat kar rahi hai.
Hamaray paas qeemat ki harkat ke do imkanat hain:
Pehla imkan ye hai ke channels ko upar ki taraf torhne mein kamiyab ho, aur is liye ye tajwez kiya jata hai ke agar qeemat ek ghantay ke liye qeemat channels ke upar trade karti hai to kharidari mein dakhil hon aur target level 1.0944 par muqarrar karein.
Dosra imkan ye hai ke qeemat mein kami aaye, kyunke qeemat ki tawqa hai ke woh hafta war pivot level tak pohnche aur phir upar ki taraf wapas jaye. Aaj ke liye dosra kharidari ka level is surat mein hoga jab hafta war pivot level ke sath upar ki taraf qeemat ki tashkeel ho.
Kharidari ke liye stop loss level hafta war pivot level 1.0872 ke neeche muqarrar kiya ja sakta hai.
Muashi pehlu par, halan ke Amreeki Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell mayoos nazar aatay hain, euro-dollar iska faida nahi utha saka. Amreeki Federal Reserve ke sarbarah ne apne halehi interview mein "dovish" note pesh kiya. Magar euro qeemat in tabsaron se faida nahi utha saki.
Powell ne Washington DC mein Economic Club ke sath ek interview kiya, jahan unho ne pichlay haftay ke kam tawqa shuda Amreeki afraat-e-zar ke adaad o shumar par baat ki. Is par tabsra karte hue, Lloyds Bank ke market insights ke sarbarah Sam Hill ne kaha: "Powell mayoos nazar aye." "Ye Fed ki taraf se dosri sehmaahi ke doran dekhi gayi data rujhan mein behtri ki akasi karta hai, khas tor par pichli teen afraat-e-zar ki ashatiyat mein."
Umomi tor par, Amreeki dollar ki halehi kamzori ka ek bara hissa un isharaat ki wajah se hai jo batate hain ke Federal Reserve Amreeki sood ki shara ko 2.0% afraat-e-zar ki shara tak pohnchnay se pehle kam kar sakta hai ta ke labour market ki hifazat ki ja sake. Khadsha ye hai ke agar sood ki shara ko zyada dair tak zyada rakha gaya to is se berozgari ki shara mein izafa ho jaye ga.

EUR/USD:
EUR/USD forex pair mein recent price action brief pullbacks se characterized hui hai, jo traders ke liye exact peak pinpoint karna challenging bana rahi hai taake profitable short selling ki ja sake. Four-hour chart ka jaiza lein to, dono bullish aur bearish forces ka khel nazar aa raha hai. Recent highs par "long-legged doji" candle ka formation traders ke darmiyan indecision ko indicate karta hai. Yeh aur reinforce hota hai bearish engulfing pattern ki mojoodgi se, jo ek potential reversal downwards ko suggest karta hai. Iske ilawa, technical indicators bhi ek possible "southern correction" ka hint de rahe hain, matlab ke price south ki taraf dip kar sakti hai. Agar price blue moving average ke neeche gir jati hai chart par, to yeh ek significant pullback ka signal ho sakta hai. Pehla potential support level 1.0881 par hai, aur agar decline continue hoti hai, to price agle support level 1.0839 ko test kar sakti hai. Magar, Bulls ne abhi tak poori tarah give up nahi kiya. Agar woh price ko blue moving average ke upar hold karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, to hum ek aur attempt dekh sakte hain current local high 1.0947 ko break karne ki.
Bigger picture dekhte hue, agar current momentum persist karta hai, to bulls shayad price ko 1.0900 level se aage push karne ka aim rakhe hue hain aur mumkin hai ke "tenth figure" ko bhi reach karein. Round number 1.1000 ke upar consolidation bullish sentiment ko further strengthen kar sakta hai aur continued growth ko lead kar sakta hai. Aaj ke important factors mein European inflation data ka release shamil hai. Yeh information market sentiment par significant impact dalne aur increased volatility ko trigger karne ki potential rakhti hai. Iske ilawa, sabki nazar European Central Bank meeting par hai, jahan refinancing rate mein potential change further market fluctuations ko cause kar sakta hai. Asal mein, EUR/USD pair abhi ek tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan. Jab ke short-term pullbacks kuch traders ke liye entry points present kar sakte hain, overall direction abhi bhi uncertain hai. Key events jaise ke inflation data aur ECB meeting yeh catalysts ho sakte hain ek more decisive move ke liye aane wale waqt mein.

EUR/USD
Weekend par euro zyada tar higher raha, important psychological level 1.09 ke kareeb. Yeh position bohot important hai kyun ke bohot se market participants isko closely monitor karte hain. Population density is market mein support aur resistance ke liye ek major barrier hai. Agar euro 1.0920 level ko break kar le, to yeh 1.10 level ka rasta khol sakta hai. Wohi, agar current momentum ke sath downward trend ko continue karta hai, to low 1.08 level significant support ke taur par kaam karega.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaruri hai ke yeh market major catalysts ke darmiyan oscillate karti hai. Isliye yeh hairani ki baat nahi hogi agar euro 1.10 tak pahunch jaye. Lekin, yeh uncertain hai ke yeh higher move ko sustain kar payega ya nahi. Market pichle kuch saalon se neutral raha hai, jisme back and forth movements dekhe gaye hain. Yeh pattern shayad aage bhi barqaraar rahe, jo transient traders ke liye is market ko attractive banata hai. Longer-term perspective se dekha jaye to euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan koi significant changes expected nahi hain. Agar Federal Reserve rate cuts shuru karta hai, to shayad European Central Bank bhi isi tarah actions le, jisse dono currencies ke darmiyan status quo maintain rahega.

Conclusion mein, recent rally ne euro ko 1.09 level par high risk par rakh diya hai. Market ka reaction is waqt bohot important hoga. Agar 1.0920 se upar break ho jaye, to aur gains ho sakte hain 1.10 tak, lekin agar yeh fail ho jaye, to 1.08 par support dekhe ga. Pichle do saalon ke market action se consistent swings fundamentals ke darmiyan dikhayi dete hain, jo short-term trading strategies ke liye fertile ground provide karte hain, lekin longer-term outlook muted rahega kyun ke central banks dono sides of the Atlantic par current unchanged systems maintain karte dikhayi dete hain.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Maine kami ki tawaqqo karte hue 1.0930 par ek short positions kholi hai. Halankeh, euro/dollar ka joda is satah se ucchal raha hai jo support ke taur par kam karti hui dikh rahi hai. Yah beghair kisi pullback ke mumkena tezi ki taraf ishara karta hai. Takniki nuqtah nazar se, qimat ko 1.0930 ki satah se kam az kam 1.0600 ke ilaqe tak piche hatne ki zarurat hai. Jahan tak buniyadi awamil ki bat hai, aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me ECB ke sud ke sherah ka faisla shamil hai. Is waqeyah ka market ke jazbat par shadid asar pad sakta hai. Lehaza, agle kuch hafton ke liye jode ki simt ka intesar regulator ke policy ke faisle par hoga. Agar qimat 1.0930 se ooper mustahkam ho jati hai to, euro 1.1200 ke nishan tak faida badha sakta hai. Agar qimat 1.0900 se niche fix ho jati hai to, euro/dollar ka joda 1.0600 ki satah ki taraf badhte hue mumkena taur par niche jayega.

Subah chhoti si rok tham ke saath shuru hui. Lekin yeh vector uttar ki taraf jaari rahega, kam se kam inclined line ke resistance tak. EUR/USD jodi ki dynamics kaafi mustahkam nazar aa rahi hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ki khabaron ke baad ek tezi ke liye mauqa ho sakta hai, shayad kharidaron ko uttar ki taraf le jaane ka mauqa ho 1.0967 ke level tak, haalaanki humein yaad rakhna chahiye 1.1035 ke upper level ko bhi. Lekin lagta hai ki hum abhi tak us tak nahi pahunchenge kyunki mazbooti se support ki kami hai mool bhautik karakon ke khilaf jo is harkat ke khilaaf kaam karta hai. Phir bhi, main yakeen rakhta hoon ki agle trading session mein hum 1.1035 ke point tak pahunchege, ya agar nahi toh 1.0903 ke level par girna padega, lekin is halat mein kharidari ka mauka ubhar sakta hai.

Aaj ke liye, mahatvapurn hai ki hum current trend ka nazar rakhte rahein, jo EUR/USD ko 1.0842 ke level se neeche jaane nahi dega, jo movement ki disha ko naya mod de sakta hai. Bull market abhi bhi bazaar par niyantran mein hain. Meri rai hai ulta: main puri tarah se dakshin ki harkat ka intezaar nahi kar raha hoon. Kharidaron ne aage ki positionen qabza ki hai. Agar unko mushkil se sambhal kar sambhala gaya hai, toh woh haar nahi mane hain. Moujooda market structure ke saath, humein abhi kuch ghanton ka intezaar hai aur shayad uttar ki or ek impulse aayega, aur yeh sab resistance tak pahunchega. Haalaanki, bechne walon ka bhi asar hai, agar unhone pehle zyada sakriyat dikhayi hoti, toh halat alag hote. Baad mein ECB ke rate ke saath jude mool bhautik karakon ko aur bhi gaur se samjha jayega, naye statistics ne bazaar mein sakriyat di hai. Agar so percent trade up jaata hai, toh ek neeche ki correction ke dauraan, trend mein dakhil hone ki sambhavna ko madde nazar rakha ja sakta hai. Aane waali majboot statistics ke ummeed bazaar ko uttar ki taraf badhane ke liye prerna deti hai.

Mujhe ummeed hai yeh aapki madad karega!

GBP/USD jodi ne Budh ke New York session ke shuru mein USD ke khilaaf numayan phir se ubhaar dekha hai aur yeh 1.3040 ke aaspaas tair rahi hai. Yeh GBP/USD jodi ke liye ek bahali darshaata hai ek maazi haftay ke significant giravat ke baad, jo badi had tak DXY ke aamadon se prabhavit hui, jo major global currencies ke khilaaf Greenback ke liye track karta hai.

Economic Indicators aur Central Bank Policy ke Asar:

Bank of England (BoE) ki haal hi ki dovish stance ne British Pound par bojh dalna jaari rakha hai, jahan market mein August monetary policy meeting mein interest rate cut hone ki shakhein hain. Iske alawa, taaza UK PMI figures ne June ke private sector business activity ke slow growth pace ko zaahir kiya hai, jo last November se sab se kamzor tha. Yeh factors, saath hi saath taza USD ki taqat, ne GBP/USD jodi ke haal hi ke muqablay mein hissa daala hai.

Ek taraf, US Dollar ko S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report ne support diya hai, jismein June mein manufacturing aur service sectors ki tezi se grow hone ki surprising wajah se Composite PMI 51.7 par pahunch gaya, jise expectations ko paar karne aur global uncertainties ke darmiyan US economy ki bardasht ko darshaane ke liye istemaal kiya gaya hai.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Range for GBP/USD:

Budh ne dekha ki GBP/USD jodi 1.2900 ke aaspaas ke nedayon se 0.6% tak ubhara, jo sirf 50-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke technical resistance 1.2979 ke neeche thahri. Analysts ab 1.3050 level ke oopar ka pahunch ko dekh rahe hain, jo jodi ko agle resistance zone tak, ya'ni 1.3150 ke aaspaas, le ja sakta hai, kisi bhi significant USD ke ubhaar ke baghair.

EUR/USD jori 1.0900 ke qareeb ghom rahi hai aur is darja ke maaziyei aatish fishani harkat ko muqabla kar rahi hai. Yeh qeemat aik nafsiyati haddi ke taur par istamal hoti hai. Mukhtalif koshishon ke bawajood, jori ne isay paar karne mein kamyabi nahi haasil ki, jis se zyada farokht dabao zahir ho raha hai. Yeh level karobarion ke liye markazi hota hai, jis ki wajah se bazaar ke hissadar aage ke tafseel ke liye intezar karte hain. Haal hi mein EUR/USD ne aik oopar ki taraf dhamaka kiya tha, lekin is josh ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rehti hai aur nae takneeki unchayiyon tak pohanchne mein nakami zahir karti hai. Jori ke haal ki oopari raftaar ka mukhtasar waqt mein tasawwur hai, jo ke bazaar ki tawajjo ki aankh mein darpaish hoti hai. Karobarion ne khaas tor par ehem maaloomat-e-tanzeem aur markazi bank ke elaanon ke milne ki umeed ke saath ehtiyat barqarar rakhi hai.

Teknik hawala se dekha jaye to, 1.0900 level aik ehem rukawat ka darja rakhta hai. Yeh nafsiyati dushmanon ke muqablay mein jori ki sarhadon ko bar bar thukra deti hai, jis se kehte hain ke farokht kharidar is level par mustawi hain. 1.0900 ke ooper se bahar nikalne ki nakami jori ke tasawwur ke ikhtetaam ko roshni daal deti hai aur bazaar ke tawajjo ke daroomein mukhalif quwat ka mojud hona.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ke indicators jori ki rokay hui raftar mein mazeed izafa dete hain. RSI jo ke 50 mark ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, aik neutral moqaam ko zahir karta hai, na to khareedari ki taraf aur na hi farokht ki taraf zyada rujhanat. Yeh neutral moqaam bazaar ki hichkichahat aur saaf rukh ki kami ko numayan karta hai. Waqtan-fa-waqtan MACD ke signal line ke zero level ke aas paas milna is baat ka ishara hai ke kisi rujhanat mein mazboot raftaar nahi hai. Ye takneeki daleelain ye tasdeeq karti hain ke EUR/USD jori abhi tak ek mustaqil fazayein ke dauran hai aur ek rukh tor dene ke liye ek zareen alamat ke intezar mein hai.

Bunyadi maaloomat jori ke mustaqbil ki harkatain shape karne mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Karobarion ne khaas tor par mutawassit ehsaas ki wajah se jori ke mustaqbil ki taraf ihtiyat se kaam kiya hai. Eurozone mein moaziye ehsaas jaise ke GDP, moharirat ki sharah aur rozgar ke maalumat ki nazar karain gi. Tawajjo ke mukhtalif urooj aur tarazus ke bare mein kisi bhi numaindagi ka khayaal ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, America mein moharirat, sarfeen ki kharch ki riwayat aur federal reserve ke maqasid ke baray mein reports karobarion ke liye aham hain. Bazaar ke jawabdehi ke taqazay shayad yeh faisla karenge ke EUR/USD jori apni mojooda shenakht se azad ho sakti hai ya nahi.

Markazi banki policies bhi jori ke mustaqbil ke nazariye par bojh dalte hain. Europe Central Bank (ECB) aur America ke federal reserve ke muqamee ki raaye, maaloodi policy, sirf raqam aur moharirat ke istamal par muqamee ki raaye zaroori hai. In idaron ke kisi bhi karkhane ke isharaat se bazaar ki jazbat mein tabdeeli aa sakti hai aur EUR/USD jori ke maqasid ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Karobarion ne muqamee karne wale afraad ke guftagu ke taur par tawajjo ki taraf rakhti hai, unko agle policy ke raaste ke baray mein isharon ke liye.

Mukhtasar mein, EUR/USD jori ke 1.0900 level ke qareeb rukay huye raftaar jori ke takneeki muzahimat aur bazaar ki hichkichahat ko numayan karta hai. Is level ke bar bar ooper na nikalne ki nakami taqatwar farokht dabao aur karobarion ki ehtiyat ko numayan karta hai. Takneeki daleelain jaise ke RSI aur MACD moqami muzahimat ki tasdeeq karte hain, jori ki tasweer ko mazboot karte hue. Bunyadi maaloomat jaise ke qareeb ane wale moaziye ehsaas aur markazi bank ke elaanat ke aham mawad jori ke agle qadam ko muntaqil karne mein eham sabit honge. Karobarion ko chaukanna rehne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye aur ye ehtiyaat se kaam karte hue kehna chahiye ke jori ke takneeki aur bunyadi taraqqiyat par nazr rakhein, takneeki hawala mein mazeed izafa karain aur aqalmand faislay karain.

Is hafte ke trading mein EUR/USD pair ki overall bullish price trajectory resistance 1.0948 tak barh gayi, jo ke chaar mahine ka highest level hai, aur likhne ke waqt pair 1.0935 ke aas-paas tha, jab market ECB ke aaj ke announcement ka intizar kar raha tha. FX currency trading company platform ke mutabiq. UK inflation data release ke baad US dollar mein sell-off se EUR/USD exchange rate mein appreciation hui hai.

Overall, jab FX market ne mid-week mein dakhil hui, to dollar par strong pressure aaya, GBP/USD appreciation aur Bank of Japan ki FX market mein intervention ke imkanat se euro ki value barh gayi. UK services sector mein strong inflation ke baad Bank of England ke August 1 rate cut ke imkanat kam ho gaye, jis se dollar ko sell-off kiya gaya.

Traders ne kaha ke dollar ki initial weakness ne Bank of England ka response spur kiya, jinhone yen kharida aur dollars becha apni currency ki value ko support karne ke liye. Dollar selling ka combined impact US dollar index (US dollar ki overall value ka measure) mein fluctuations laaya, jo ke EUR/USD par bhi asar daala. Economic calendar positive hai. Euro area inflation rate ka confirmation. Official announcement ke mutabiq, June 2024 ke liye annual euro area inflation rate 2.5% confirm hui, jo May mein 2.6% aur pichle saal 5.5% thi. Energy (0.2% vs. 0.3%) aur food, alcohol, aur tobacco (2.4% vs. 2.6%) mein prices gir gaye. Doosri taraf, services (4.1%) aur non-energy industrial goods (0.7%) mein inflation unchanged raha. Pichle mahine ke muqable mein, consumer prices 0.2% barhe, jo ke May mein bhi itna hi tha aur initial forecasts ke mutabiq tha.

Daily chart ke developments ke mutabiq, EUR/USD bullish trend underway hai aur bulls ka trend par control psychological resistance 1.1000 ke breakout se mazboot hua. Is resistance ka breakout technical indicators ko overbought levels ki taraf bhejega. Doosri taraf, agar Eurodollar rate 1.0790 support level par wapas aata hai to yeh current upward rebound ke liye threat hai. Eurodollar rate ECB ke announcements aur iske President Lagarde ke statements se seedha asar leta hai. Mazeed, US initial jobless claims bhi release hui.

EUR/USD

Hello. Aaj, Euro ke sellers ne sirf ek side-ways move kiya aur us bhi almost puri decline ko buyers ne kharid liya hai. Mumkin hai ke wo ek aur growth wave ki umeed kar rahe hain, aur unka turant target kal ka maximum level hai jo 1.09474 hai. Agar wo is level ko toden aur mila julaaye, to mazeed price growth ki umeed ki ja sakti hai jo 1.09630 tak ho sakti hai.

Agar sellers ne 1.09227 level ko tod diya aur us par mila jula liya hai, to price ka agla target 1.08941 level par girne ki umeed hai. ECB ke maaliyat faislay par aaj market ka kya rawaiya hota hai, is par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye.

EURUSD M30: 1 - Kal Euro ke sale ke liye dakhli nukta 1.09306 par tha, price ne is level ko todiya, lekin mila jula nahi kiya. 2 - Bands ki sthiti par baat karte hue, price bands ke central zone me hai aur bands khud ne ek chhoti si horizontal position le li hai. Movement kisi bhi direction me ho sakta hai, aur price ki upar ya niche ki taraf ek quality signal ke liye active bahar nikalne ka wait karna chahiye, aur fir dekhna chahiye ki bands bahar kholte hain ya koi reaction nahi hai. 3 - AO indicator negative zone me fade ho raha hai, agar hum zero ke through transition aur positive zone me active growth dekhte hain, to price ke liye ek taqatwar signal milega ki wo upar ja sakti hai. Agar AO indicator dobara negative zone me accelerate hota hai, to price girne ki taraf ishara karega. 4 - Kharidne ke liye dakhli nukta 1.09576 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, breakout aur consolidation par price growth ki umeed 1.09917 aur 1.10350 level tak ho sakti hai. 5 - Bechna ke liye dakhli nukta 1.09306 level par liya ja sakta hai, price girne ki taraf jaari rahegi jo 1.08963 aur 1.08706 level tak ho sakti hai.

Yeh analysis Euro ke hawale se hai, jo market ke current scenarios aur technical indicators ko consider karte hue diya gaya hai.

**EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis**

Is trading week mein EUR/USD ke liye bullish trend dekha gaya, jahan euro ki price US dollar ke mukable 1.0948 ke resistance level tak pahunchi, jo ke currency pair ke liye chaar mahine ka sabse bada resistance level hai. Filhaal, analysis likhne ke waqt, euro 1.0935 ke aas-paas settle ho raha hai, jab ke European Central Bank ke aaj ke announcement ka intezar hai. Forex trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK ke inflation ke release ke baad US dollar ke bechne se euro ka exchange rate upar gaya hai.

General taur par, US dollar ko widespread pressure ka samna hai, kyunki foreign exchange markets mid-week session mein fluctuate kar rahe hain, British pound/US dollar exchange rate ke upar jane aur Japan ke foreign exchange market mein possible intervention ke saath, jo euro ki value ko mazbooti deta hai. Dollar ke bechne ka sabab UK mein strong services inflation figure ka release hai, jisne Bank of England ke August 1 ko interest rate cut hone ke chances ko kam kar diya hai.

Economic calendar data ke mutabiq, euro zone mein inflation rate ki confirmation mili. Official announcement ke mutabiq, euro area ka annual inflation rate June 2024 mein 2.5% tha, jo ke May mein 2.6% aur pichle saal ke 5.5% se kam hai. Energy prices kam hui hain (0.2% versus 0.3%), food, alcohol aur tobacco prices bhi kam hui hain (2.4% versus 2.6%). Doosri taraf, services mein inflation steady rahi (4.1%) aur non-energy industrial goods mein bhi same rahi (0.7%). Pichle mahine ke muqablay mein CPI 0.2% barh gayi, jo ke May ka same level hai aur preliminary estimates ke saath bhi match karta hai.

Meanwhile, core consumer prices, jo energy, food, alcohol aur tobacco ko exclude karte hain, 2.9% saal-on-saath barh gayi, jo ke May ka same level hai. Bloc ke bade economies mein, inflation Germany (2.5% vs. 2.8%), France (2.5% vs. 2.6%) aur Spain (3.6% vs. 3.8%) mein slow hui hai, lekin Italy (0.9% vs. 0.8%) mein barhi hai.

**EUR/USD Ka Forecast Aaj:**

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, euro ke US dollar ke mukable price mein upward shift ho raha hai, aur bulls ka control trend par barh jayega agar 1.1000 ke psychological resistance ko cross kiya jaye. Agar yeh break hota hai to technical indicators overbought levels ki taraf move karenge. Dusri taraf, agar EUR/USD ki price 1.0790 ke support ki taraf wapas aati hai, to yeh current upward rebound ke liye threat ho sakti hai. Euro dollar ki price directly European Central Bank ke announcement aur governor Lagarde ke statements se impact hogi. American unemployment claims ke number ka bhi announcement euro dollar ki price ko affect karega.

EUR/USD

Euro ki keemat ke liye US dollar ke khilaf trading haftay ke liye bulish rahi, jis se keemat EUR/USD mein 1.0948 resistance level tak pohanch gayi, jo char mahinayon ka record resistance level hai. Ta'assuban European Central Bank ke aaj ke elaan se mutaliq intezar ke doraan, ab yeh 1.0935 ke aas paas settle ho gayi hai. Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, United Kingdom mein inflation ke izhaar ke baad dollar ki farokht se euro ke exchange rate mein izafa ho gaya hai (EUR/USD).

Aam tor par, US dollar widespread pressure mein hai jab ke foreign exchange markets mid-week session mein fluctuate kar rahay hain, British pound/US dollar exchange rate mein izafa aur Bank of Japan ke foreign exchange market mein interventio ke mumkin ho ne ke baad, jo euro ki keemat ko mazboot karta hai. Dollar ki farokht British mein taqatwar services inflation figure ke izhaar ke baad aai hai, jo Bank of England ke August 1 ko interest rate cut ke imkanat ko kam kar deti hai.

Mehangai ke baraay mein official announcement ke mutabiq, euro zone mein saalana mehangai dar June 2024 mein 2.5% par confirm kiya gaya hai, yani May mein 2.6% aur pichle saal 5.5% ke muqablay mein kam hai. Energy prices mein kami (0.2% versus 0.3%), khana, sharab aur tambaku ke daamon mein (2.4% versus 2.6%) ruku'at aai hai. Dusri taraf, mehangai services (4.1%) aur non-energy industrial goods (0.7%) mein mustehkam rahi. Mahina ke muqablay mein CPI mein 0.2% izafa hua hai, jo May ke barabar hai, aur pehle ke tajziyat ke mutabiq hai.

Is dauran, core consumer prices jo energy, khana, sharab aur tambaku ko nikaal kar hain, saalana 2.9% par barh gaye hain, jo May ke barabar hai. Bloc ke sab se bade economies mein, mehangai Germany mein ghata (2.5% vs. 2.8%), France mein (2.5% vs. 2.6%) aur Spain mein (3.6% vs. 3.8%), lekin Italy mein izafa hua hai (0.9% vs. 0.8%).

EUR/USD ke aane wale tajziye ke mutabiq:

Euro ki keemat ke liye US dollar ke khilaf trading haftay ke liye bulish rahi, jis se keemat EUR/USD mein 1.0948 resistance level tak pohanch gayi, jo char mahinayon ka record resistance level hai. Ta'assuban European Central Bank ke aaj ke elaan se mutaliq intezar ke doraan, ab yeh 1.0935 ke aas paas settle ho gayi hai. Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, United Kingdom mein inflation ke izhaar ke baad dollar ki farokht se euro ke exchange rate mein izafa ho gaya hai (EUR/USD).

Aam tor par, US dollar widespread pressure mein hai jab ke foreign exchange markets mid-week session mein fluctuate kar rahay hain, British pound/US dollar exchange rate mein izafa aur Bank of Japan ke foreign exchange market mein interventio ke mumkin ho ne ke baad, jo euro ki keemat ko mazboot karta hai. Dollar ki farokht British mein taqatwar services inflation figure ke izhaar ke baad aai hai, jo Bank of England ke August 1 ko interest rate cut ke imkanat ko kam kar deti hai.

Mehangai ke baraay mein official announcement ke mutabiq, euro zone mein saalana mehangai dar June 2024 mein 2.5% par confirm kiya gaya hai, yani May mein 2.6% aur pichle saal 5.5% ke muqablay mein kam hai. Energy prices mein kami (0.2% versus 0.3%), khana, sharab aur tambaku ke daamon mein (2.4% versus 2.6%) ruku'at aai hai. Dusri taraf, mehangai services (4.1%) aur non-energy industrial goods (0.7%) mein mustehkam rahi. Mahina ke muqablay mein CPI mein 0.2% izafa hua hai, jo May ke barabar hai, aur pehle ke tajziyat ke mutabiq hai.

Is dauran, core consumer prices jo energy, khana, sharab aur tambaku ko nikaal kar hain, saalana 2.9% par barh gaye hain, jo May ke barabar hai. Bloc ke sab se bade economies mein, mehangai Germany mein ghata (2.5% vs. 2.8%), France mein (2.5% vs. 2.6%) aur Spain mein (3.6% vs. 3.8%), lekin Italy mein izafa hua hai (0.9% vs. 0.8%).

EUR/USD ke aane wale tajziye ke mutabiq:



Rozana chart ke performance ke mutabiq, euro ke keemat ke khilaf US dollar ke mukablay mein upar ki taraf shift jari hai, aur trend par bull's control 1.1000 ke psychological resistance ko paar kar ke mazboot hoga. Agar isay tor diya jaye to technical indicators overbought levels ki taraf move karenge. Dosri taraf, agar Euro/Dollar keemat 1.0790 ki support ke taraf lautti hai, to isay maujooda uparward rebound ke liye khatra samjha jayega. Euro dollar ki keemat ko seedha European Central Bank ke elaan aur us ke governor Lagarde ke bayanat aur American unemployment claims ke elaan se mutasir kia ja sakta hai.

Chaar ghantay ki chart - currency pair EURUSD. Is currency pair ki keemat girne mein rukhsat nahi hona chahti. Ye koshish ki ke is neeche jaaye Tuesday ko, jahan tak ke level 1.0888 ke neeche aa gaya, lekin koi mazeed taraqqi nahi hui. Wave structure mein aik ooper ki taraf jaane wala pattern bana hai, jahan MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai. Saaf hai ke kal ke din price ko mazeed neeche jaane nahi diya gaya, kyunki ye ascending channel ke neeche hai jisme price abhi move kar raha hai. Channel qawi taur par directed nazar aata hai, jo ke weakness ko darshaata hai, lekin abhi bhi asar andaz hai. Price ne pehle high ke upar phir se uthaya, lekin MACD indicator se abhi tak aik confirm na hone wala sell signal hai, jo ke triple bearish divergence ko darshaata hai. Mazeed is par, CCI indicator bhi bearish divergence ko darshaata hai. Ab main M30 timeframe par urooj ke peak par reversal level ki formation ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur meray khayal mein is par bechne aur neechay channel ke taraf girne ka intezar karna mehfooz hai. Ya to channel neeche toot sakta hai, jo ke 1.0845 ke level tak mazeed girawat ka rasta bana sakta hai. Euro ke liye aaj ki ahem khabar package 15:15 Moscow time par shaamil hai: ECB Interest Rate Decision, ECB Monetary Policy Statement, Marginal Lending Rate in the Eurozone, Deposit Facility Rate in the Eurozone. Agar interest rate unchanged rehta hai, to is currency pair ki tabadla dar miyad mein tezi se girne ki umeed hai. Agar koi tabdeeliyan hote hain, to price umeed hai ke barh sakta hai, lekin koi tabdeeliyan muntazir nahi ki ja rahi hain. Is ke ilawa, aaj ki khabron mein shaamil hai 15:30 Moscow time par: Philadelphia Fed Employment Index (USA), Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (USA), Total number of individuals receiving unemployment benefits in the USA.

جولائی 18 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل ہم نے وہی پیٹرن دیکھا، لیکن اس بار ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 1.39% کمی ہوئی، جب کہ تیل میں 2.50% اضافہ ہوا۔ یورو نے اشیاء کی طرف لے لیا، جو نہ تو آسٹریلیائی اور نہ ہی کینیڈین ڈالر نے کیا۔ ڈالر کو بھی ین نے دبایا، جو 1.68 فیصد مضبوط ہوا۔



یورو نے یومیہ چارٹ پر تھوڑا سا ڈائیورجن کو دوبارہ کھینچا ہے، تقریباً 20 پپس 1.0964 کے ہدف کی سطح پر رہ گئے ہیں۔ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ یورو کے پاس اس سطح سے پلٹنے کا آخری موقع ہے۔ اگر قیمت سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو جاتی ہے، تو انحراف غائب ہو جائے گا اور جوڑا مزید 1-2 اعداد و شمار تک بڑھتا رہے گا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسکیلیٹر گزشتہ ہفتے کے فوائد میں یورو کی کمزوری کی نشاندہی کرتا رہتا ہے، کیونکہ یہ کل کی مقامی بلندی سے تیزی سے الٹ گیا۔ اگر قیمت 1.0905 کی حمایت اور اس کے ساتھ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر قابو پاتی ہے، تو یہ یورو کے الٹ جانے کا اشارہ دے گی۔ اگر ہم اس طرح کے سگنل کا انتظار نہیں کرتے ہیں، تو جوڑا 1.1001/10 کے درمیانی ہدف کی حد کے ذریعے 1.1043 تک بڑھتا رہے گا۔



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