Eurusd forum

**Technical Analysis of EUR/USD**

Daily chart ko dekh kar ye lagta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein mazeed declines ka potential hai. Haal hi mein, price ne daily chart par ek critical support level ko break kiya hai. Iss mahine ke shuruat mein, pair rising price channels ke andar aur monthly pivot level ke upar trade kar raha tha. Magar, halki si rise aur peak banane ke baad, price gir gayi aur dono channels aur monthly pivot level ko successfully break kar diya.

Price phir monthly support level 1.0830 tak gir gayi aur briefly rebound hui, ek bottom banate hue. Ye anticipate kiya gaya tha ke ye bottom price ko wapas monthly pivot level tak le jayega, magar uske bajaye, price ne apni decline resume kar li hai, monthly support aur bottom levels ke neeche break karte hue. Lagta hai ke decline ab bhi continue rahega.



**Trading Strategy:**

**Sell:** Abhi ka moqa pair ko sell karne ka hai, stop loss ko aaj ke highest trading price ke upar rakhna chahiye.

**Buy:** Consider tab karein jab price support level 1.0750 ke upar wapas trade karne lage.

**Additional Observations:**

Daily chart par, price aaj monthly resistance area 1.0880 mein trade kar rahi hai, jo ke ek corrective fall ki wajah bana hai.

EUR/USD pair is waqt weekly level 1.0860 ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Ye weekly pivot level ke neeche aur 4-hour chart par broken price channels ke neeche sideways movement follow kar rahi hai. Pehli candle mein price decline ne recent bullish wave ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level ko touch kiya tha pichle do hafton ke dauran. Ye retracement levels se rebound bullish trend ke potential return ko suggest karte hain, aur price weekly pivot level tak wapas jane ke liye aur upar ki taraf continue karne ke liye breach kar sakti hai.

**EURUSD Technical Analysis in 4H:**

Kal, EUR/USD aur GBP/USD currency pairs ne daily charts par bearish outlook dikhaya, jahan strong red bodies ke saath candles bani. Yeh "Bearish Engulfing" pattern form hua, khaaskar Fibonacci level 23.45 (1.0763) ke qareeb, jo 1.0895 se shuru hone wale downward movement se hai. Yeh pattern sentiment shift ka ishara deta hai, jahaan sellers ne consolidation ke period ke baad momentum gain kiya. Dono pairs mein patterns ki similarity broad market factors ke shared dynamics ko dikhati hai.

EUR/USD pair ke liye nearest selling target takreeban 1.0610-1.0621 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo 22 April 2024 ka minimum hai. Yeh area ek critical support zone hai, aur agar price iske neeche break karta hai to downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai. Agar yeh level sustainably break hota hai, to traders ke liye lower targets consider karne ke liye khulte hain, jaise ke next major support levels 1.0510 aur 1.0420. EURUSD price 100 exponential moving average ke neeche hai. Strong resistance level 1.0709 par hai.



Yeh highlight karna zaroori hai ke aaj US Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke hawale se crucial data release hone wala hai. Is period ke anticipated increased volatility ke madde nazar, traders ko caution exercise karni chahiye aur shayad trading se refrain karna chahiye taake potentially erratic market movements se associated risks ko mitigate kiya ja sake. Fed ka policy stance EUR/USD aur GBP/USD pairs ke liye significant implications rakh sakta hai, aur koi bhi surprises sharp price movements ko fuel kar sakti hain. Agar hum forex factory news dekhein to aaj bahut saari economic news hai.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi 100 pips se zyada gir jayegi. Aakhir kar, aalmi mandi ka rujhan barqarar hai. Filhal, joda mazbut ho raha hai, aur zabarsat niche ki taraf harkat ke liye hajam hasil kar raha hai. Euro pahle hi chadhate hue channel aur yahan tak keh Ichimoku indicator ki lines ko paar karne me kamyab ho chuka hai. Aab, jodi ke pas char-ghante ke chart par girne ka har mauqa hai aur imkan nahin hai keh yah dobara munafa shuru karega. Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh takniki aur buniyadi tajziyah dono ke mutabiq yah jodi niche ki raftar hasil karegi. Takniki nuqtah nazar se, niche ke rujhan ke aasar hain. Haftawar chart par tin descending trend lines quotes me mumkena kami ki nishandahi karti hain. Lehaza, mai 1.0608 ke hadaf ki satah tak girawat par aitemad karte hue short positions kholne ki tajwiz karta hai.

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Europe me badhte hue muaashi aur siyasi buhran ke bawajud, euro/dollar ka joda kal ke numaya kami ke bad 1.0730 ki support satah par wapas aa rahi hai. Aaj, imkan hai keh qimat is gap ko pur karegi.
Qarib tarin muzahmati satah 1.0788 par hai. Yah woh jagah hai jahan kharidar mushkil me pad sakte hain. Agar qimat is nishan se ooper jati hai to, European currency 1.0800 aur mumkena taur par 1.0830 tak badhat hasil karegi.
Halankeh, kal aisa hone ka imkan hai. Aaj, tejarati sargarmi ke khamosh rahne ki tawaqqo hai kiyunkeh Mangal ke macroeconomic calendar kisi bhi aham khabar ki release se khali hai aur market ke jazbat par bura asar pad sakta hai. Budh ko aane wale Americi inflation data ki tawaqqo me imkan hai keh market intezar karo aur dekho ka tariqah ikhteyar karegi. Filhal, tezi ka daud tarjih bana hua hai. Lehaza, munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqah long positions kholna hai. Mujhe yaqin hai keh kal ki inflation rate me kami dikhayi de gi, sath euro/dollar ki jodi me mazbut ucchal aayega.

جون 11 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر، یورو نے 1.0369 پر ہدف مقرر کرتے ہوئے کجن-سین لائن کی حمایت سے نیچے ایک خلا کھول دیا ہے، جو اگست 2022 کی چوٹی اور نزولی قیمت چینل کی سرایت شدہ لائن کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں داخل ہونے کے قریب ہے، لیکن سب سے پہلے، ہمیں امید ہے کہ کیجن سین لائن کے نیچے خلا کو بند کیا جائے گا۔



اگر یورپی مارکیٹ کے شرکاء یورپی پارلیمنٹ کے انتخابات میں دائیں بازو کی قوتوں کی جیت سے گھبرا جاتے ہیں، تو یہ امریکی ٹریژری کے لیے کیری ٹریڈ آپریشن کو آسان بناتا ہے جس میں غیر ملکی سرمایہ کار شامل ہوتے ہیں، جس کے نتیجے میں ڈالر کی مانگ میں اضافہ ہوتا ہے۔ آج، 39 بلین ڈالر مالیت کے 10 سالہ بانڈز اور 46 بلین ڈالر کے ایک سال کے بلوں کی نیلامی ہو رہی ہے۔

یومیہ چارٹ پر، قیمت کجن-سین لائن اور 1.0788 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، جبکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی نیوٹرل زیرو لائن سے نیچے آ گیا ہے۔ تاہم، جب تک اس فرق کو بند نہیں کیا جاتا، درمیانی مدت میں قیمت کے گرنے کا امکان نہیں ہے۔ فیڈرل ریزرو کل شام کو اپنے مانیٹری پالیسی کے فیصلے کا اعلان کرے گا، اور اگر اس وقت تک فرق ختم نہیں ہوتا ہے، تو ریلیز کے وقت زیادہ اتار چڑھاؤ متوقع ہے۔ بالآخر، ہم قیمت کے 1.0656 کی سطح تک پہنچنے کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، اصلاحی نمو معمول کے مطابق جاری ہے، جس میں مارلن آسیلیٹر بڑھ رہا ہے اور قیمت کو 1.0788 کی سطح سے اوپر لے جا رہا ہے۔ مارکیٹ کو فیڈ میٹنگ سے پہلے خلا کو بڑھانے اور بند کرنے کا موقع ملتا ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Last week, euro uptrend mein tha lekin 1.0926 mark ko break karne mein fail raha, jahan se price breakout hua aur strengthen hone lagi. Repeated attempts bhi unsuccessful rahi, jis ki wajah se sharp drop, rebound aur signal zone ka collapse hua, pair ko apni range mein nahi rakh saka. Aaj, quotes 1.0763 level ke niche gir gayi hain, jo reversal signal hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart red supertrend zone mein enter ho gaya hai, jo selling pressure indicate kar raha hai.

Technically, aaj ke 4-hour chart ko dekhte hue, simple moving average daily price curve ke upward trend ko support kar raha hai, aur stochastic indicator positive crossover signals show kar raha hai. Is liye, aaj ke din mein uptrend ka chance hai, with first target 1.0940 aur phir 1.0975 jo baad mein 1.1010 tak extend ho sakta hai. Current trading level 1.0850 pe, downside trading sirf tab wapas aayegi jab key support ke niche giray gi, jo uptrend ko halt kar ke pair ko bearish path pe bhejegi with targets at 1.0785 aur 1.0760. Chart dekhein:



Pair is waqt apne weekly lows se kaafi niche trade kar raha hai. Key support area jo last review mein note kiya tha, overcome ho gaya hai aur price reversal level ke niche gir gayi hai, jo preferred vector ko downside indicate kar raha hai. Is ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko current price zone jo ke 1.0763 level ke kareeb hai, break karna hoga, jo main resistance zone ka current border hai. Agar correction hoti hai, to retest aur subsequent bounce iss area se dusri move lower ke liye mauka dega, targeting area between 1.0627 aur 1.0578.

Current situation reverse ho jaye gi agar resistance break hoti hai aur reversal level 1.0837 ke cross hota hai.

EURUSD M30
Jummah ko humay pata chala ke EURUSD currency pair ka movement kaafi high tha, takreeban 50 pips tak upar gaya. Yeh izafa is wajah se hua ke Eurozone Core CPI Flash Estimate data release hua jo 2.9% increase dikha raha tha aur Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate bhi 2.6% barh gaya tha. Is wajah se EURUSD currency pair ka price 1.08470s tak pahunch gaya. Iske ilawa, US dollar ki kamzori bhi ek waja thi Eurusd ke izafa ki.


US Core CPE Price Index data release hua jo 0.2% kamzor hua aur Chicago PMI bhi 35.5% decrease hua, jis se US dollar aur kamzor ho gaya. Yeh sab mil kar euro ko strong bana diya aur EURUSD ka rate 1.0880 tak barh gaya. Aaj meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq EURUSD currency pair ka movement ab bhi buy signal dera hai, 1.08800 tak jane ka chance hai.

Main EUR/USD pair ko 15-minute chart par dekh raha hoon. Pair 1.07876 support se bounce karke 1.08381 resistance ko break kar gaya. Jab price is resistance ke qareeb pahuncha, selling volume barh gaya, jo ke potential decline ka indication tha. Decline start hua, phir pair ne 1.08694 resistance ko break kar diya. Is resistance ke upar, selling volume phir barh gaya aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh move phir se down hoga towards 1.07876 support. 1.08381 support ke qareeb ek range form hui hai, jahan selling volume barh raha hai, jo further downside movement ka signal dera hai.

Technical analysis mein, aise pullbacks ko primary trend ke direction mein trade enter karne ke liye moqa samjha jata hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. 1.0830 level ek significant resistance point ban sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair is level ko cross kar gaya, to further gains ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh is level ko break karne mein struggle kare, to pair retrace kar sakta hai.

Mujhe Friday ko ek bilkul mukhtalif situation ki umeed thi! Daily channel ki resistance line ka bulls ke taraf se open hona, halaanke yeh sirf ek preliminary signal tha north ki taraf further development ke liye, lekin bulls ne breakout zone mein bohot confidence se consolidate kiya. Kal customers ko ride dena normal tha. Unhone bas downward candle bana di, aur shaam ke end mein 100 points se fail ho gaye. Yeh US ki statistics ka asar hai. ECB meeting kaafi modest thi, halaanke unhone rate kam kiya. EUR/USD ne kal ka growth match nahi kiya. Yeh 1.0916 ke upar break nahi kar sake aur nearest support level 1.0864 ko tor diya, jo sellers ke liye action ka signal bana. Sales continue hui, aur agli support area 1.0788 tak kuch zyada door nahi bacha. Mere khayal mein, yeh waqt ki baat hai aur hum wahan jaldi pohanch jayenge. Phir, is level par price reaction dekh kar decide karna padega ke buying try karni hai ya sales hold rakhni hai. Abhi tak situation clear nahi hai, kyun ke upward trend break nahi hui. Lekin trend line ka breakdown upward movement ko tor sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, main broken level tak rollback ka count kar raha hoon aur pullback se sell try karne ka soch raha hoon. Isliye, EUR/USD ki price lagbhag 1.0800 ke aas paas supports tak pohanchi.
Yahan maine pair par purchases open ki hain umeed mein ke kam az kam 1.0830 ki taraf ek corrective rebound dekhne ko mile, lekin agar kismat ne saath diya toh yeh pair yahan se growth resume kar sakta hai. Abhi tak, upward trend apni structure retain kiye hue hai. Unhone 1.0835 par debt level bhi chhor diya, aur ek Gartley butterfly bhi nazar aayi, jo pair ko space tak bhej sakti hai. Lekin yahan phir sab kuch agle Wednesday ke news pe decide hoga, jab Fed meeting hogi aur inflation data publish hoga, aur usse pehle main sideways trend ka intezar kar raha hoon, shayad 1.0800 is corridor ka lower limit ho.

Nayi week ke shuruat se, main maan raha hoon ke EUR/USD pair rollback shuru kar sakta hai. Main is possibility ko exclude nahi kar raha ke fall continue ho sakta hai towards 1.0930, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke rollback 1.0830-1.0850 tak ho sakta hai, kyunki main purchases par small profit rakh raha hoon. Resultantly, rollback ke baad mujhe pair ka phir se down jaana expect hai, provided ke technical resistance 1.0865 break nahi hota. Agar break hota hai toh phir growth consider karni padegi, aur is dafa resistance 1.0930 ke upar, possible increase ke saath 1.0980 tak, jo medium-term trend ko growth ki taraf reverse karega. Filhaal, main south ki taraf dekh raha hoon aur Monday afternoon ke rollback ke baad, pair ke decline ko 1.0730 tak expect kar raha hoon; naye week ke pehle do din mein wo support 1.0730 tak pohanch sakti hai.

EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) currency pair forex market mein sab se zyada actively traded pairs mein se ek hai, aur is waqt ke price indicators mukhtalif factors se mutasir hain. Abhi ke liye, pair ki value European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate differentials, GDP growth, inflation rates, employment statistics, aur Eurozone aur United States ke political events se shape hoti hai. Market sentiment aur risk appetite bhi bohot ahem kirdar ada karte hain; misal ke tor par, geopolitical tensions ya economic uncertainties investors ko US dollar ki relative safety ki taraf le ja sakte hain, jis se EUR/USD gir sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, technical analysis indicators jaise ke moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur support aur resistance levels traders ko price movements predict karne mein madadgar hoti hain. Haal hi mein, EUR/USD diverging monetary policies of the ECB aur Fed par react kar raha hai, jahan Fed ke potential interest rate hikes aksar dollar ko mazboot karte hain, jab ke ECB ka cautious stance euro ko weigh down kar sakta hai. Mazeed, macroeconomic indicators jaise ke US non-farm payrolls, European PMI reports, aur trade balance figures closely watch ki jaati hain traders ke zariye, economic health aur future central bank actions ko gauge karne ke liye. Kul mila kar, EUR/USD ka current pricing in fundamental aur technical factors ka ek complex interplay hai, jo Eurozone aur United States ke ongoing economic aur political dynamics ko reflect karta hai.

Aaj ke trading rising red channel ke andar hui, jo ke Friday se aaj tak ke price movement ko represent karta hai. Trading opening weekly support level 1.0790 aur daily pivot level 1.0735 ke darmiyan hui, jis ke nateejay mein qeemat kaafi ghanton tak sideways move karti rahi jab tak ke qeemat ascending channel se bahar nahi aayi aur pivot level ko break nahi kiya, jis ne qeemat ko sideways move karne par majboor kiya. Qeemat yahan se barhegi kyun ke qeemat lower blue channel line tak pohanch gayi hai, jahan yeh past kuch ghanton se trade kar rahi hai. Jis tarah qeemat ek selling area mein weekly pivot level ke neeche aur descending channels ke andar trade kar rahi hai, yeh zahir hai ke 4-hour chart 1-hour chart ko contradict kar raha hai, jahan channels ki mid line ab qeemat ko rok rahi hai, jo yeh matlab rakhta hai ke yeh qeemat weekly pivot level ke neeche sale offer karegi.

EUR/USD

H4 TF ke reference ke mutabiq, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke girawat jo ke 200 MA (blue) ke moving limit ko paar kar chuki hai, bearish gap banne ke saath 200 MA limit ke paar hogayi. Yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke trend pehle hi bearish phase mein hai. Jo girawat hui, usne gap area ko close karne ka waqt nahi mila aur neeche ke support area 1.0722 ke qareeb test karne ki koshish mein thi. Neeche ki halat jo ke RSI 30 level pe oversold area ke neeche hai, bearish koshishon ko thoda rok rahi hai aur bullish retracement ka imkaan zahir karti hai taake qareeb SBR area 1.0759 ko test kar sake. Is doran, correction phase ke liye izafa karne ka imkaan abhi bhi khula lagta hai taake agla SBR area 1.0787 tak pohanchne aur gap area ko MA200 (blue) movement ke limit 1.0800 ke qareeb close karne ki koshish ki ja sake.

Short term mein, 1.0740-1.0750 ke range mein buying consider ki ja sakti hai. Is price level range ka target increase plan TP 1 ko level 1.0780 aur TP 2 ko 1.0800 tak pohanchane ka hai. Yeh buying plan ka risk loss limit support area 1.0720 ke qareeb rakha ja sakta hai. Bearish trend ke continuation ko follow karte hue selling ko consider karne ke liye 1.0780-1.0800 ke range mein enter kiya ja sakta hai. Is price level range se girawat support area 1.0722 ke neeche naya lower banane ki koshish karne ka imkaan rakhti hai. Bearish trend tab invalid ho jayega agar buyers turn around kar ke MA200 (red) movement limit 1.0855 ke qareeb push up karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain.

TF Daily ke reference ke mutabiq, downward condition bearish trend ke initial phase mein dakhil ho gayi hai jab candle movement 200 MA limit (blue) ke neeche gir gayi. Next bearish attempt ka target, 3 support levels ke range 1.0722, 1.0660 aur 1.0600 ko test karne ka potential lagta hai. Sales transactions ko consider karna abhi bhi mumkin lagta hai jab tak price MA 100 (green) area 1.0810 ke upar move nahi karti. Long term mein, bearish trend ka potential kaafi khula lagta hai taake is saal ke lowest price barrier 1.0600 ko paar karne ki koshish ki ja sake. Aghle girawat previous saal ke lowest price area 1.0445 ko bhi pohanchne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Purchase ko consider karne ke liye behtar hoga ke level 1.0810 ke upar increase ka intizar karein. Is price level ke upar movement pehle haftay ke highest price limit ko test karne ki koshish ke liye kaafi khula lagta hai.

HAPPY KILLER EUR/USD TRADING DISCUSSION

Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Hum euro/dollar jodi ka daily chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle ek strong downward price channel broken tha, jiske andar major 1.0743 par trading kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, yeh baat note karne layak hai ke pehle ek rebound hua tha southern price channel ke upper limit se 1.0900 ke level se, jis ke baad ek super aggressive decline shuru hua aur kaafi chhote period mein price gir kar 1.0743 tak aagayi, jahan jodi is waqt trading kar rahi hai. Sahi hai, trading din ke doosre hisse mein humein corrective growth dekhne ko mil rahi hai aur abhi tak mushkil hai kehna ke Friday afternoon trading kaise close hogi, lekin har surat mein, decline current levels se jaari rahega, kyun ke ab ek strong downward wave hai aur seller ka goal hai.



H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Hourly timeframe par, main ek southern wedge dekh raha hoon, jismein ek wave of corrective growth American trading session ke dauran shuru hui aur buyers ko drawdown se nikalne ka aur north ki taraf ek strong pullback dene ka mauka mila. Ab euro/dollar jodi 1.0743 par trading kar rahi hai aur buyers ka goal yeh hoga ke growth ko resistance line tak barqarar rakhein, jo intersection 1.0755 ke aas paas hoga, jahan main ek aur rebound aur decline ke continuation ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo ke strong downward trend ka hissa hai jo recently euro/dollar jodi mein dekha gaya hai. Is tarah, agar aap sell karna chahte hain, toh sirf 1.0755 ke level se, aur bears ka target, jaise maine pehle likha tha, price level 1.0700 hoga. Chaliye uski taraf chalte hain.

EUR/USD Market Outlook

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur subah bakhair sab traders ko!

Aaj EUR se related koi khaas news nahi hai. Magar, US news events aakhri roll ada karenge. Is optimism ke background ko samajhna zaroori hai, aur market dynamics ki cyclical nature ka ehtram karna chahiye. Jab buyers abhi hold kar rahe hain, market reversals trading ka aik laazmi hissa hain.

Is liye, traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo vigilant rahein aur EUR/USD se related aane wali news events ko diligently monitor karein, aur recognize karein ke yeh market sentiment ko swiftly alter kar sakti hain. Market mein palpable buying pressure ke bawajood, traders ko market variability ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye aur robust risk management measures implement karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, jaise ke strategic use of stop-loss orders, taake potential losses ko effectively mitigate kar sakein. Sellers ka pressure din ba din barh raha hai.

Kal unho ne 1.0737 zone ko reach kar liya tha. Iske ilawa, ek barhte hue market ka allure enticing ho sakta hai, magar traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur trading decisions ko balanced perspective se approach karna chahiye. Jabke optimism prevailing market conditions ko dekhte hue warranted lag sakti hai, trading mein inherent uncertainties ko acknowledge karna prudent hai. Ek disciplined approach ko maintain karke aur sound risk management principles ka ehtiram karke, traders EUR/USD market ki complexities ko zyada confidence aur resilience ke saath navigate kar sakte hain. EUR/USD market support area 1.0700 ko cross kar sakti hai baad mein.

By the way, EUR/USD trading ka current sentiment astute traders ke liye myriad opportunities present karta hai taake favorable market conditions ka faida uthaya ja sake. Magar, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke trading mein success guaranteed nahi hai, aur prudent risk management practices sustained profitability ke liye cornerstone hain. Is liye, traders ko adaptable aur responsive rehna chahiye changing market dynamics ke liye, aur apni trading endeavors mein restraint aur discipline exercise karni chahiye. Aap sab ke liye successful trading week ho!

Tuesday ko, pair ne lagbhag ek quarter percent ka reduction experience kiya jab market sentiment U.S. economic data releases ke baad negative ho gaya. Yeh data points U.S. mein significant economic slowdown indicate nahi karte the, jisne Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts ke liye broad-market expectations ko dampen kar diya. Iske nateeje mein, investors U.S. Dollar ki safety ki taraf bhaage, jo risk-off market environment ko reinforce karta hai.
Market Sentiment aur US Data ka Asar
U.S. economic data ne wo sharp slowdown indicate nahi kiya jo kuch market participants ne anticipate kiya tha, jis se Federal Reserve ke imminent rate cuts ke expectations kam ho gaye. Response mein, traders ne jaldi se Greenback mein refuge seek kiya, jo pair ke dip ka sabab bana. Is movement ke bawajood, traders aggressively pair ko short karne se katrate hain, aur upcoming economic events se further clarity ka wait kar rahe hain.
ECB Meeting aur Market Expectations
Ek crucial factor jo current market dynamics mein contribute kar raha hai wo Thursday ko hone wala European Central Bank (ECB) meeting hai. Investors eagerly ECB officials ke insights aur latest economic projections ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh future rate cuts ke baare mein important cues provide karenge, khaaskar Eurozone inflation ke May mein rise ko dekhte hue. ECB ka interest rate decision pivotal hai, kyunki yeh Euro ke near-term trajectory ko shape karega.
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Trends
Yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0787 se bounce karne ke baad ek extension ke liye poised hai. Medium-term consolidation patterns mein phase hone ke bawajood, 1.0800 level ki taraf pullback bidders ko attract kar sakta hai, khaaskar jab 50-day EMA long-term moving average ke upar cross kar raha hai.

Agar neckline 1.0886 (April 9 high) ke upar break hota hai, to yeh bullish reversal ko signal karega. Yeh technical setup golden cross formation se reinforced hota hai, jahan 50-day EMA 200-day EMA ke upar 1.0800 level ke qareeb cross kar raha hai.

Forex trading strategy
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Yah wazeh hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi mandi ke market me hai. Federal Reserve ke sud ki sherah ke faisle se pahle bulls long positions kholne se gurezan hain.
H4 growth index ke mutabiq, jo manfi ilaqe me gahra hai, market ka jazbat mandi ka shikar hai. Yaqinan, aaj ki Fed meeting ka natijah suratehal ko badal sakta hai.
Is dauran, European currency dawab me bani hui hai. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda kal ki kam tarin satah 1.07189 par gir jayega. Agar qimat is nishan se niche toot jati hai to, euro 1.07704 ki satah tak nuqsanat badhayega aur fir mumkena taur par 1.06831 ki Fibonacci level tak gir jayega. Mutabadil taur par, agar qimat 1.07494 ki muzahmati satah se ooper toot jati hai to, imkan hai keh euro/dollar jode ka qadar badh jayega aur kal ki buland tarin satah 1.07704 ki taraf badh jayega.

H4 TF ke reference ke mutabiq, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke girawat jo ke 200 MA (blue) ke moving limit ko paar kar chuki hai, bearish gap banne ke saath 200 MA limit ke paar hogayi. Yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke trend pehle hi bearish phase mein hai. Jo girawat hui, usne gap area ko close karne ka waqt nahi mila aur neeche ke support area 1.0722 ke qareeb test karne ki koshish mein thi. Neeche ki halat jo ke RSI 30 level pe oversold area ke neeche hai, bearish koshishon ko thoda rok rahi hai aur bullish retracement ka imkaan zahir karti hai taake qareeb SBR area 1.0759 ko test kar sake. Is doran, correction phase ke liye izafa karne ka imkaan abhi bhi khula lagta hai taake agla SBR area 1.0787 tak pohanchne aur gap area ko MA200 (blue) movement ke limit 1.0800 ke qareeb close karne ki koshish ki ja sake.

Short term mein, 1.0740-1.0750 ke range mein buying consider ki ja sakti hai. Is price level range ka target increase plan TP 1 ko level 1.0780 aur TP 2 ko 1.0800 tak pohanchane ka hai. Yeh buying plan ka risk loss limit support area 1.0720 ke qareeb rakha ja sakta hai. Bearish trend ke continuation ko follow karte hue selling ko consider karne ke liye 1.0780-1.0800 ke range mein enter kiya ja sakta hai. Is price level range se girawat support area 1.0722 ke neeche naya lower banane ki koshish karne ka imkaan rakhti hai. Bearish trend tab invalid ho jayega agar buyers turn around kar ke MA200 (red) movement limit 1.0855 ke qareeb push up karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain.

TF Daily ke reference ke mutabiq, downward condition bearish trend ke initial phase mein dakhil ho gayi hai jab candle movement 200 MA limit (blue) ke neeche gir gayi. Next bearish attempt ka target, 3 support levels ke range 1.0722, 1.0660 aur 1.0600 ko test karne ka potential lagta hai. Sales transactions ko consider karna abhi bhi mumkin lagta hai jab tak price MA 100 (green) area 1.0810 ke upar move nahi karti. Long term mein, bearish trend ka potential kaafi khula lagta hai taake is saal ke lowest price barrier 1.0600 ko paar karne ki koshish ki ja sake. Aghle girawat previous saal ke lowest price area 1.0445 ko bhi pohanchne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Purchase ko consider karne ke liye behtar hoga ke level 1.0810 ke upar increase ka intizar karein. Is price level ke upar movement pehle haftay ke highest price limit ko test karne ki koshish ke liye kaafi khula lagta