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EUR/USD CURRENCY PAIR KA TAJZIYA

EUR/USD currency pair ko gahri nazar se dekha ja raha hai kyun ke analysts iski haali price movements ka jaiza le rahe hain. Qabil-e-zikr baat yeh hai ke pair ko buland satah par resistance ka samna karna para, jo ke uski upward trend ko rok raha hai aur 1.0894 target zone se retracement ko prompt kar raha hai. EUR/USD pair ka technical tajziya complex patterns aur levels ko zahir karta hai jo traders ko informed decisions lene mein madadgar hote hain. 1.0894 target zone se rebound in levels ki ahmiyat ko darust karta hai, jo market participants ke liye crucial reference points ka kaam karte hain.

Is ke ilawa, geopolitcal developments bhi EUR/USD pair ke tajziya mein complexity ko barha dete hain. Trade tensions aur siyasi bayyakeeni investor confidence ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur currency markets mein volatility ko drive kar sakti hain. Agay dekhte hue, market participants key levels aur un factors ko monitor karte rahenge jo EUR/USD pair ke trajectory ko mutasir karte hain. Chahe wo technical resistance levels ho ya fundamental developments, market dynamics ke bare mein updated rehna foreign exchange trading ke is badalte mahol mein navigat karne ke liye nihayat zaroori hai.

EUR/USD pair ka haali price action in technical aur fundamental factors ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai jo market dynamics ko shape karte hain. Jab pair ne 1.0894 par resistance se rebound kiya, to isne is level ki critical role ko mojooda market environment mein zahir kiya. Traders aur analysts in developments ko qareebi tor par monitor karte rahenge, aur mazeed signals ke liye dekhenge jo pair ke future direction ko zahir kar sakte hain.



Akhir mein, 1.0894 target zone se haali rebound EUR/USD currency pair ke tajziya mein shamil complexities ko illustrate karta hai. Bohat se factors khel mein hain, technical indicators se lekar fundamental drivers tak, is pivotal currency pair ke dynamics ko samajhne ke liye quantitative aur qualitative factors ka mukammal tajziya zaroori hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ka gahe tajziya kiya ja raha hai kyun ke analysts iski haali price movements ka bareek bini se jaiza le rahe hain. Qabil-e-zikr baat yeh hai ke pair ko upar wale levels par resistance ka samna karna para, jo iski upward trajectory ko rok raha hai aur 1.0894 par anticipated target zone se retracement ko prompt kar raha hai. EUR/USD pair ka technical tajziya intricate patterns aur levels ko zahir karta hai jo traders ko informed decisions lene mein madadgar hote hain. 1.0894 target zone se rebound in levels ki ahmiyat ko darust karta hai, jo market participants ke liye crucial reference points ka kaam karte hain.

Is ke ilawa, geopolitical developments EUR/USD pair ke tajziya mein mazeed complexity ko shamil karte hain. Trade tensions se lekar siyasi bay-yaqeeni tak, external factors investor confidence ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur currency markets mein volatility ko drive kar sakte hain. Agay dekhte hue, market participants key levels aur un factors ko monitor karte rahenge jo EUR/USD pair ke trajectory ko mutasir karte hain. Chahe wo technical resistance levels ho ya fundamental developments, market dynamics ke bare mein updated rehna foreign exchange trading ke is badalte mahol mein zaroori hai.

EUR/USD pair ka haali price action in technical aur fundamental factors ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai jo market dynamics ko shape karte hain. Jab pair ne 1.0894 par resistance se rebound kiya, to isne is level ki critical role ko mojooda market environment mein zahir kiya. Traders aur analysts in developments ko qareebi tor par monitor karte rahenge, aur mazeed signals ke liye dekhenge jo pair ke future direction ko zahir kar sakte hain.



Akhir mein, 1.0894 target zone se haali rebound EUR/USD currency pair ke tajziya mein shamil complexities ko darust karta hai. Bohat se factors khel mein hain, technical indicators se lekar fundamental drivers tak, is pivotal currency pair ke dynamics ko samajhne ke liye quantitative aur qualitative factors ka mukammal tajziya zaroori hai.

EUR/USD H4 Analysis

Abhi tak euro/dollar currency pair ke movement mein koi khaas specifics dekhna mumkin nahi hai kyun ke indicators four-hour chart par mojooda halat se muttaliq mukhtalif baatein keh rahe hain. Khaaskar, stochastic kafi confidently girawat dikha raha hai, magar iske bar'aks EUR/USD pair barh raha hai. Filhal, bulls Bollinger bands ke average border aur 55 period ke moving average line ko 1.0840 par test kar rahe hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke is growth ke dauran, pair 1.0850 ke level tak pohanch sakta hai, magar baad mein phir se girawat shuru karni paregi agar hum technology ki baat karein. Lekin aaj ka central role un data ka hai jo hum foundation se expect kar rahe hain.

Eurozone ke liye, hamare paas ab tak mukhtalif statistics hain, kabhi aur kabhi , to yeh bilkul wazeh nahi hai ke market in sab ko kaise digest karega. Magar, Europe ke liye, aaj jo consumer price index ka data aaya hai May ke mahine ke liye, usne eurozone mein inflation ke barhne ko zahir kiya hai, jo theoretically, European currency ko mazboot karna chahiye, lekin hum yahan bhi growth ka active phase nahi dekh rahe hain.



Isliye, hum USA ke basic price index of personal consumption expenditures ka intezar karenge jo 15:30 Moscow time par aayega, aur mujhe lagta hai ke uske baad sab kuch wazeh ho jayega aur yeh bhi samajh aayega ke euro/dollar currency pair agay kis taraf move karega. Eurodollar quotes ko mere minimum goal 1.0740 tak pohanchne ka intezar hai. Ji haan, main standby mode mein hoon, aur yeh sab changes dekhte hue aglay steps ka intezar kar raha hoon.

EUR/USD Forecast



Chalo, isko thoda simple aur friendly tareeke se samjhte hain. Daily chart par dekha jaye to yeh currency pair hal hi mein kaafi utar chadhav se guzra. Pehle to ek badi si downward slide hui, lekin phir ek choti si rally aayi. Magar bulls zyada der tak hold nahi kar sake, aur yeh pair jaldi hi apne southbound journey par wapas chala gaya.

Price action 1.0855 ke aas-paas se girna shuru hui, aur tab aur tez ho gayi jab usne 1.0816 ke key support level ko decisively break kiya. Yeh bearish momentum ka ek strong sign tha. Jaise jaise price girti rahi, yeh ek downtrend resistance line ke area ko touch kiya, aur ab yeh 1.0813 ke aas-paas latka hua hai.

To haan, is waqt overall vibe definitely bearish hai. Lekin market surprises se bhara hota hai, to reversal ya pehle wale corrective move ka continuation bhi ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.0816 ke upar consolidate kar sakti hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke sentiment bullish direction mein shift ho raha hai.

Agar aisa hota hai aur price 1.0816 ke upar hold kar sakti hai, to next major resistance level 1.0855 ke aas-paas hoga. 1.0816 ke upar ek solid footing banana kisi bhi potential upward trend ke liye crucial hoga.

Aur haan, ek aur door ka upside target 1.1139 par bhi discuss ho raha hai, lekin yeh tabhi relevant hoga jab broader market backdrop aur price ka reaction us level ke paas aate hue positive ho. Flexible rehna aur game plan ko evolve karna zaroori hai, samajh rahe ho?

Key takeaway yeh hai ke 1.0816 ek pivotal level hai jisko monitor karna padega. Ek confirmed break aur hold agar 1.0816 ke upar hota hai, to recovery ke chances towards 1.0855 badh jayenge. Lekin agar yeh 1.0816 ke upar sustain nahi kar pati, to bears wapas control le sakte hain aur price ko phir se neeche drive kar sakte hain. Hamesha aankhein khuli rakho aur strategy ko adjust karte raho. Market ek wild ride hai, lekin yahi to maza hai, hai na?

EUR/USD 1H Chart par

EUR/USD mein achi positivity dekhi gayi. Is movement ke peeche koi khas fundamental ya macroeconomic wajah nahi thi, magar market ko euro kharidne ka haq tha. Pehle, price ne ascending channel ke lower boundary se bounce kiya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pair ko upar jaana chahiye. Doosre, Eurozone ki unemployment rate kam hui, jo expert forecasts se match nahi hui, iska matlab euro barh sakta tha. Teesre, Thursday ke report se pata chala ke US economy pehle quarter mein pehle se kam grow hui – 1.3% quarterly terms mein.

Yeh illogical rise kyu lagti hai? Kyunki euro bohot arsay se barh raha hai, yeh overbought ho chuka hai, aur fundamental background aksar yeh dikhata hai ke euro girna chahiye. Isliye, hum yeh samajhte hain ke yeh sirf ek technical rebound tha aur pair ne wahi upward movement dikhayi. Logical tor par, euro ko downward movement resume karni chahiye. Ek bohot achi buy signal thi 5-minute timeframe mein. European trading session ke start mein, price 1.0797-1.0804 area ke upar consolidate hui, uske baad yeh 1.0838-1.0856 area tak barh gayi. Traders ko yeh signal ke basis par long position leni chahiye thi. Profit takriban 25-30 pips tha. Zyada nahi, magar current volatility ke sath, yeh profit kaafi significant tha. Iske ilawa, novice traders ko short positions consider karni chahiye thi jab price 1.0838-1.0856 area se rebound hui.

Hourly chart par bullish correction abhi bhi intact hai, jo pichle do hafton se flat trend ke sath intersect hui hai. Hum yeh samajhte hain ke medium term mein euro ko decline karna chahiye, kyunki overall trend downward hai. Phir bhi, market kisi unknown reasons ke wajah se dollar nahi khareed raha aur volatility bhi low hai. Ek downward trend tab form ho sakta hai agar price ascending channel ke niche consolidate ho jaye.

Friday ko, novice traders ko 1.0797-1.0804 aur 1.0838-1.0856 areas ke ird-gird signals dekhne chahiye. Aap selling signals consider kar sakte hain, magar euro kisi bhi waqt barh sakta hai. Ascending channel ke niche consolidation euro ke rise ke end ka suggestion de sakta hai.



5M chart par key levels hain: 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981. Aaj ke agenda mein sabse important item Eurozone ka inflation report hoga. Traders European aur US trading sessions mein is report par respond kar sakte hain. Iske ilawa, Germany retail sales report release karega, aur US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index publish karega.

EUR/USD Ka Tajziya:

Hello, EUR/USD abhi bhi kamzor hai magar European trading hours mein Friday ko 1.0800 ka defence kar raha hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur Eurozone aur US inflation data se pehle naye bets lagane se bachna chahiye. Agar kamzori barh gayi to EUR/USD 200-day SMA 1.0787 tak gir sakta hai, uske baad 1.0649 (May 1), 2024 ka low 1.0601 (April 16) aur November 2023 ka low 1.0516 (November 1) ho sakta hai. Agar yeh zone clear ho gaya, to pair weekly low 1.0495 (October 13, 2023), 2023 low 1.0448 (October 3) aur 1.0400 round milestone ko target kar sakta hai.

Agar bulls ne upper hand le liya, to EUR/USD May high 1.0894 (May 16), March peak 1.0981 (March 8) aur weekly peak 1.0998 (January 11) ko dubara dekh sakta hai, sab key 1.1000 se pehle. Abhi tak, 4-hour chart strong rebound dikhata hai. 55-SMA 1.0845 par next upside barrier act kar raha hai, uske baad 1.0894 aur 1.0942 hain. South ki taraf dekha jaye to pehle 1.0788 hai, uske baad 1.0766 aur 200-SMA 1.0760 hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar chala gaya hai.

US dollar defensively trade kar raha hai, jo risk-averse space ko kuch oxygen de raha hai aur signal kar raha hai ke EUR/USD ne sub-1.0800 zone early Thursday ko dip ke baad course reverse kar liya hai. Pair ne do consecutive daily declines face kiye hain greenback ke sharp downward trend aur US yields ke sharp decline ke sath across the curve. Ittafaqan, speculation ke Federal Reserve apni dovish stance ko expected se zyada der tak maintain kar sakta hai recent dovish comments se bolstered hui hai Fed officials ki taraf se. CME Group ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Nov. 7 meeting tak lower interest rate ki probability takriban 64% par hai.



European Central Bank ke liye Germany ke higher May inflation data ne June mein rate cut ke expectations ko dampen kiya hai, wider eurozone ke flash CPI release se pehle jo Friday ko expected hai.

EUR/USD Ka Tajziya:

Hello, EUR/USD ne Monday ko 1.0880 se rebound kiya jab Federal Reserve officials ke comments ne market flows ko impact kiya. Badi market eagerly Fed se rate cut ke signs ka intezar kar rahi hai, magar central planners expectations ko temper kar rahe hain tough inflation outlook ke sath jo Fed ke rate moves ko limit kar raha hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to EUR/USD pair bullish hai. Daily chart dikha raha hai ke pair apni sari moving averages ke upar advance kar raha hai, jahan 20 simple moving average closely follow kar raha hai strong positive momentum ke sath, jo ek aur higher run ko support kar raha hai, especially agar pair finally 1.0900 range ko break kar le.

Usi waqt, technical indicators overbought levels ke kareeb hain, albeit with uneven strength. Relative Strength Index marginally lower aim kar raha hai, jo easing buying pressure ko suggest kar raha hai. 4-hour chart ek neutral technical stance present kar raha hai. EUR/USD abhi apne 20 SMA ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo bullish power lose kar raha hai magar ab bhi north ki taraf hai. Longer moving averages higher move kar rahi hain, magar current levels se lagbhag 100 pips niche hain, jo relevance lose kar rahi hain. Aakhir mein, technical indicators apni midlines ke aas-paas stuck hain, jo speculative interest mein decline ko reflect kar rahe hain Wall Street ke close se pehle.

Monday ko EUR/USD mein zyada action nahi dekha gaya, jo most of the day 1.0860 mark ke aas-paas hover kar raha tha. Europe mein holiday aur U.S. macroeconomic calendar par significant data ki absence ne quiet trading day ko add kiya. Investors ne Federal Reserve officials ke comments mein clues dekhe, jo latest inflation developments par mixed opinions rakhte hain U.S. mein.

Overall, Fed members future actions ke bare mein cautious rahe, kyunki unka maanna hai ke inflation abhi bhi control se door hai. Europe Tuesday ko kuch minor figures ke sath wapas aayega. Germany April producer price index publish karega, jo -3.2% YoY expect kiya gaya hai, down from -2.9% previously. Additionally, Eurozone March current account issue karega, jo ek seasonally adjusted surplus of €30.2 billion post karne ki umeed hai. EU March ka trade balance bhi publish karega, jabke U.S. session mein ek aur batch of Fed speakers feature hoga.



Is beech, Asian shares week ke start mein rise hui, jo U.S. indices mein positive start lead karte hain. Magar mid-U.S. afternoon momentum fade hui, jahan Dow Jones Industrial Average sharply down gaya, jabke S&P 500 aur Nasdaq Composite uneven gains par hold karte hain. Aakhir mein, yeh worth noting hai ke U.S. dollar ne ek soft tone maintain kiya despite government bond yields mein modest rise ke.

EUR/USD pair ek dynamic trading environment se guzar raha hai jahan kai technical indicators ahem insights fraham kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ka mojooda price ek ahem level ke qareeb hai jahan resistance aur support wazeh tor par dikhai de rahe hain. Filhal ka resistance level 1.2200 par hai, jo kai martaba test ho chuka hai, yeh upward movement ke liye ek strong barrier ban gaya hai. Neeche ke side par, support level 1.2000 ke qareeb hai, jo ek critical threshold hai jo kai dafa test aur hold kar chuka hai, aur decline ko rok raha hai. Candlestick patterns bullish aur bearish sentiments ka mix dikhate hain, recent candles lambi wicks ke sath traders ke darmiyan indecision ko zahir kar rahi hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) filhal 55 par hai, jo neutral zone mein hai aur yeh indicate karta hai ke market na to overbought hai na oversold, is se yeh lagta hai ke market dono taraf move kar sakta hai depending on upcoming market catalysts.


EUR/USD exchange rate mein tabdeeliyan aarahi hain. traders central bank communications aur economic data releases ko future policy directions ke hints ke liye nazdeek se dekh rahe hain, jiski waja se currency markets mein ziada ragra badar hai. EUR/USD exchange rate FOMC minutes aur ECB ke monetary policy stance ke aas paas speculation mein tezi se upar ja raha hai. Magar, central banks ke policies ke future rukh ke mutalliq shakayat qayim hain, jiski waja se currency markets mein ragra badar hai. Investors mutawajjah hain, aur mazeed taraqqiyat aur economic indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain taake currency movements par hidaayat mil sake.

Dosray technical indicators ke lehaz se, 50-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) filhal 200-period EMA ke neeche hai, jo longer term mein bearish trend ko signal karta hai. Bollinger Bands relatively tight hain, jo lower volatility ko zahir karti hain, aur price filhal middle band ke qareeb hai, jo ek balanced market ka ishara hai. Zigzag indicator recent higher highs aur higher lows dikhata hai, jo yeh hint deta hai ke agar price resistance level ko break kar sakta hai to ek possible uptrend ho sakta hai. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, moderately positive hai, jo buyers ko slight edge deta hai. Stochastic Oscillator 65 par hai, overbought zone se door hota huwa lekin upper range mein, jo cautious optimism ko zahir karta hai. Aakhir mein, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, 0.0020 par hai, jo relatively stable market conditions ko zahir karta hai lekin potential breakout movements ke sath. Overall, EUR/USD pair filhal ek well-defined range mein trade kar raha hai, in technical indicators ke combination se yeh suggest hota hai ke traders ko potential shifts in market dynamics ke liye tayar rehna chahiye

EUR/USD H4 Chart:

Main ab EUR/USD currency pair ko 4 ghantay ka chart dekh raha hoon. Pehle, jab pair 1.06113 ke aaspaas trade kar raha tha, maine yeh guftagu kiya ke yeh grey range mein wapas lautega. Yeh level aham support ke taur par nazar aya, jo mujhe us waqt long position accumulate karne ke liye majboor kiya. Meri analysis U.S. dollar ki taizzi mein thaharna tha, jo ke inflation rate ki wajah se rukawat mein thi, jo dollar ko uska upar ka rasta nahi mil raha tha. Inflation data ne dikhaya ke ma'ashiyati halaat ne dollar ki taqat ko kamzor kar diya tha, aur main umeed karta tha ke EUR/USD pair trading range ke ooperi hudood mein wapas aayega. Inflationary dabao ke samundar mein, maine umeed ki ke pair naye organizational data ke ikhtiyaar hone tak is makhsoos range ke andar trade karega. Meri strategy yeh thi ke range-bound movements ka faida uthaun, neeche ki hudood ke qareeb long position lete hue aur ooper ki hudood ko nishana banate hue. Yeh range-bound trading strategy is tasawar par mabni thi ke EUR/USD yeh level ke andar oscillate karega ma'ashiyati sharaait ki haviyat ki wajah se. Jab EUR/USD pair grey range ke ooperi hudood tak pahuncha, to meri analysis ko tasdeeq mili. Resistance level expected taur par qaim raha, aur pair ki harkat muntazim range ke mutabiq thi. Yeh kamiyabi ka tajziya yeh theory ko mazbooti se tasdeeq di ke pair ma'ashiyati factors ke asar par react kar raha tha, jismein dollar par inflation rate ka asar shamil tha. Inflation rate is surat-e-hal mein ek ahem kashfa karne wala factor tha, jo dollar ki mazeed qadar afzaish ko rok raha tha aur EUR/USD ko makhsoos range ke andar muntazim kar raha tha.



Aage dekhte hue, aglay set organizational data releases pair ke mustaqbil ki taraf ka raasta tay karne mein ahem sabit honge. Yeh data points batayenge ke kya mojooda range qaim rahegi ya agar koi naya trend niklega. Is doran, meri strategy makhsoos range ke andar trading par jama rahegi, muhim hai ke ahem ma'ashiyati indicators ko nigaah mein rakha jaye aur positions ko mutabiq kiya jaye. Overall, EUR/USD pair ke haal ki harkatein inflation data aur iska currency valuation par asar ko nazar andaz karne ki ahmiyat ko nazar andaz karti hain. In ma'ashiyati factors ke baare mein ma'loomat hasil kar ke aur ek naram trading strategy banakar, main currency markets ko kamyabi se samajhne ka maqsad rakhta hoon. Meri tajziya koshish mein mukammal tor par support aur resistance levels ka dhyan hai, asal ma'ashiyati drivers ko samajhna aur naye maloomat ke mutabiq tayyar rehna hai.

EUR/USD Daily Chart Preview:

Rozana (D1) timeframe par, currency pair ne aik ahem niche ki taraf ki movement ke baad aik correction bounce ka samna kiya. Magar, is temporary upward correction ke baad, pair ne apni niche ki taraf ke trend ko dobara shuru kiya, jo ke point T2 par mojood level se shuru hua, jo ke 1.0855 ke qeemat par thi. Yeh janoobi trend ko aik decisive break ke zariye nishaanay level par 1.0816 ke target level ke sath shuru kiya gaya tha, jo ke aik ahem support level tha, jo mazeed bearish momentum ko darust karta hai. Jab ke qeemat ghata rahi thi, woh aakhir mein us ilaqe tak pohnchi jo ke downtrend Moving Resistance (MR) se mashhoor hai, aur ab 1.0813 ke darje par trading ho rahi hai. Yeh movement market mein mojooda bearish sentiment ko taqat denay wala hai. Is saaf nichlay rukh ke bawajood, aik u-turn ya upward corrective trend ka jari rehne ka imkan hai. Agar qeemat target level 1.0816 ke upar jamati hai, to yeh market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein, jahan qeemat mustaqil hoti hai aur 1.0816 ke upar qaim hai, to pair ke pass mazeed ooper ki movement ka imkan ho sakta hai. Is timeframe par agla ahem shumali nishana, pehle ka resistance level, point par mojood hai, jo ke 1.0855 ke qeemat par hai. 1.0816 ke upar jamati aur mustaqil jamati hona kisi bhi tawanaiwala ooperi trend ke liye ahem hoga. Yahan aik mazeed door nishana ko bhi samajhne ka ikhtiyar hai, jo ke meri marking ke mutabiq 1.11393 par mojood hai, lekin yahan aap ko surat-e-haal dekhni hogi aur sab kuch us par mojood maloomat ke upar depend karega jab qeemat chalega aur qeemat kis tarah se designated nishanon ka react karega.



Resistance level 1.08850 ke qareeb pohanchne par qeemat ka alternative rukh aik turning candle ke sath bananay ka aik mansooba hoga. Is liye, traders aur market analysts ko qeemat ke atraaf ka harkat ka tawun ka tawun karna chahiye. 1.0816 ke aas paas qeemat ke action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar is level ko confirm kiya jata hai aur is ke upar mustaqil hota hai, to pair ko 1.0855 ke resistance level ko test karne ka rasta mil sakta hai. Mutawazun naqal 1.0816 ke upar mustaqil naqal ke naqal ki naqal hone ki soorat mein, bearish trend ko dobara shuru hone ka natija ho sakta hai, jahan qeemat niche ki support levels ko dobara test kar sakti hai. Khulasa kar ke, jab ke pair mojooda mein bearish phase mein hai, 1.0816 ke upar mustaqil jamati ho sakta hai market dynamics ko badal kar, jahan ooperi correction ke liye mazeed ooper ki taraf ja sakti hai key resistance 1.0855 tak. Yeh ahem qeemat levels ki ahmiyat aur unka mustaqbil ke market directions ko tay karne mein kirdaar ko wazeh karti hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur dono bullish aur bearish scenarios ka imtiaz karna chahiye, apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye.

EUR/USD H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

Agar aaj hum 1.0840 ke range ko tor letay hain aur is ke upar jamatil ho jatay hain, to yeh darust ho jayega ke rate ko bulandi ki taraf signal hai. Jab 1.0785 ke range ka jhoota breakout shakal mein tay ho jata hai, to is ke baad growth jari rahegi. Abhi, mein rate ka barhna aur 1.0860 ke range se bahar nikalne ka intezar kar raha hoon. Agar is ke upar breakout aur jamati ho jata hai, to is ke saath growth aur bhi jari rahegi. 1.0860 ke range ko tor dena mumkin hai, jis case mein growth aur bhi jari rahegi. Jabki yeh mumkin hai ke chhote se neeche ki taraf correction ke baad, growth jari rahe. 1.0880 ke range ko torne ke baad, growth jari rahe aur aap kharid sakte hain. Abhi, mein 1.0945 ke range ka breakout bhi ummeed karta hoon aur jab hum is ke upar jamati karte hain, to yeh kharidne ka signal hai. 1.0890 ko tor dena bhi mumkin hai aur is ke upar jamati ho jaye, phir yeh kharidne ka signal hoga. 1.0865 ke range se growth jari rahegi. Thori si kami ke baad, growth jari rahegi. Magar agar market dakshini samudri rukh nahi leta aur EUR/USD barhne lagta hai, to hum shuru ke stage mein 1.0865 par rukawat ka samna kar sakte hain. Agar aisa scenario ho, to pair maujooda dynamics ko dobara ghor karega aur ummeed ki bajaye ghati hui raftar ke bajaye, upar ja sakta hai, jo ke market ka am ummeed gari rukh ka tahafuz karega.

EUR/USD Currency Pair: Crucial Phase Ahead

EUR/USD currency pair ab aik ahem mor par hai, jo apni salahiyat par khatay mein hai ke kuch ahem rukawat ke darwazon ko paar kar sake. Is pair ka mustaqbil khareedaron ke haath mein hai, jo agar Euro ko 1.0895 ke ahem darwazay se oopar le jaane mein kaamyab ho jate hain, to 1.0940 ka ek potenshal dobarah test izhar kar sakte hain. Aisi kamiyabi bullish jazbat ko zahir kar sakti hai, jise ek mazeed izafa ka manzar banaye ga, jo ke 1.0980-1.1000 ke mazboot zone ki taraf barhne ke liye stage set karta hai, jo traders ke liye aik ahem challenge hai. Magar, aik downside movement ki mumkinat ko tasleem karna ahem hai, jahan farokht karne wale dabaav dala sakte hain aur pair ko 1.0814 ke support darwazay se neeche le ja sakte hain. Aise scenario mein, breakout ho sakta hai, jo ke pair ke raftar ko tabdeel kar sakta hai.

Dynamics ki tanqeed mein, yeh wazeh ho jata hai ke EUR/USD pair aik charahgar mor par hai, jiska agla safar mukhtalif factors par mabni hai. Market participants kharidaron aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan ke ta'alluqat ko nazdeek se nazar andaaz karte hain, unki taqat aur bardasht ko jan'ne ke liye jo pair ke rukh ko shakal dete hain. Iske ilawa, maqami asarat jese ke ma'ashiyati numainday, jughrafiyai waqiat, aur markazi bankon ki policies, tanqeed ko pesh karte hain. Traders ko in factors se mutaliq signals ke majmoo se guzarna hota hai, sahi market harkat ko peshgoi karne ke liye. Is mutasir manzar mein, technical tanqeed traders ke liye aik qeemti sahara hai, jo ke qeemat ke pattern, trends, aur ahem levels par dakhilat deta hai. Zikar ki gayi rukawat 1.0895 par aur support 1.0814 par ahem reference points ki tarah kaam karte hain, jo karobar ke faislon aur khatre ko kamyab banate hain.



Iske ilawa, karobar ki nafsiyati pehlu ko nuqta e nazar se guzarna namumkin nahi hai. Jazbat ka khel market dynamics ko shakal dete hain, kyun ke khauf, lalach, aur qom ki ra'ayat aksar sarmaya karon ke amal ko muntazir rakhte hain. Traders ko in jazbaton ka samna karna parta hai, market ke jhoolte hue qadmon mein dilchaspi aur mantaqiyyat ko barqarar rakhna.

Early European trading hours mein mangalwar ko, EUR/USD jodi ne taaqat ki alamaat dikhayi aur 1.0890 ke aas paas trade kiya. Magar is update ke waqt, jodi ne 1.0845 kshetra ke qareeb baseerat hasil kar li. Ye tabdeeli currency market par asraat murakkab ko darust karta hai, jisme markazi bankon ki policies aur maashiyati indicators shamil hain.

Markazi Bankon Ki Policies aur Umeedain:

European Central Bank (ECB) apni ane wale June ki mulaqat mein apne qarz lenay ke asoolon ko kam karne ka am sabit hai. ECB board member Isabel Schnabel ne ishaara kiya ke qarz kaatna mumkin hai, lekin unho ne maashiyati manzar mein shakhsiyat ki be yaqeeniyan ke baare mein khabardaar kiya. ECB aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan maashiyati policy mein yeh mumkin farq Euro (EUR) par dabaav dal sakta hai, jo EUR/USD jodi ke liye aik rukh ban sakta hai.

Federal Reserve Ki Riayat:

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki akhri Meeting Minutes ne September mein ek qarz kaatne ko wazeh tor par mansookh nahi kiya. Magar, behtarfa alfaaz ke Fed ko itna data ikattha karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai ke wo tasdeeq kar sake ke mahana milaap apne 2% saalana maqsood ke taraf taraqqi kar raha hai. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September mein ek 25 point ka darajah kaatne ki mumkinat ko 60% tak gir gaya hai.

D1 Chart Takneeki Tahlil:

Jodi ne apne 200 ghanton ke Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0801 ke neeche girne ka muzahira kiya, jahan wo 1.0820 ke qareeb apni haisiyat ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahi thi. Ye girawat 1.0900 handle par bullish daur ko barqarar rakhne ki nakami ke baad aai, jo market ki raaye mein aik mumkin tabdeeli ki alaamat hai.



Din Bhar ke Mumtaazi Chart:

Daily candles mein EUR/USD jodi 50 dinon ke EMA ke qareeb qareeb ja rahi hai, jo ke mojooda mein 1.0777 hai. Jodi ne aakhri chaar dinon mein teen martaba laal mein band ki gayi hai, jo nazdeek ke arsa ki bearish pullback ki nishani hai. Is halat ke bawajood, EUR/USD apne markazi swing low 1.0600 ke baad upar hai jo mid-April mein dekha gaya tha.

Maujooda guftagu ka mozu EUR/USD currency duo ke qeemat pattern ko nigrani se dekhna hai. Jodi ne ek martaba phir se ek neeche ki taraf ki taraf daur shuru kiya hai, iska ishara hai ke peechle din ki 1.0885 tak ki izaafi harkat ek ghalat fehmi bhari qadam thi. Is waqt kharidari mein thora intezar karna behtar hoga kyunkay ghalat tor par tor par taraqqi ka ishaara hai ke aane wale nuqsaan ki sambhavna hai. Agar 1.0826 level qabil-e-bharosa sabit ho, to jodi darhamawar ko nichi hadood aur 1.0780/65 ke mazid saalon ki madad se gir sakti hai. Ye aaj ho sakta hai jab Germany apni aakhri inflation data jald hi jaari karegi. Aaj ke ilawa koi ahem khabar nahi hai, siwaye Fed Beige Book aur kuch Fed afisaan ke taqreeron ke, jo dollar ko faida pahunchane ka intezar kiya jata hai. Aaj ke sona aur US futures mein giravat ko darhamawar se shuruaat ka ishara hai.



1.0845 ke bearish shuruaati line ne saath darakht tod diya aur saath ke samarthan ke neeche istiqamat kiya. Magar, saandh abhi bhi ek aage ki harkat barqarar rakhne ka moqa rakhta hai jab tak 1.0847 ka samarthan nahi milta. Jab yeh ho jaye ga, to asli impulse faa'el ho jaye ga, aur EUR/USD jodi 1.0816 aur 1.0799 ke darajat tak gir sakti hai. Halankeh euro-dollar ke qeemat ka 1.0865 ke ooper lautne ka ek doosra manzar bhi hai, lekin is waqt ye namumkin hai. Tijarat mein ehtiyaat mashwara di jati hai aur ahem satah aur ane wale data aur trends ke asar par market ke shifts par tawajjo dena ahem hai. In satahon aur khabron par qareebi nazar rakhna fazool hai taa ke maqool trading faislay liye jaa sakein.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Daily Time Frame Analysis

Salam sab ko.

Pichle do hafton mein qeemat ki harkat neeche ki taraf rahi hai. Jab naya hafta shuru hota hai, qeemat neeche ki taraf hawale se trade karegi, jo ke barqarar mand rukh ki saabit karta hai. Opening qeemat girte hue laal channel ke upper border ke qareeb hogi, jo shayad ek upar ki taraf tor karne ki koshish karay. Agar kaamiyaab hui, to qeemat blue channel ki line ko nishana bana sakti hai phir apni girawat ko barqarar kar sakti hai.

Rozana ke chart par, peechle haftay ka candle ek sudhar ke ihtimal ko dikhata hai, phir neeche ki rukh ke barqarar rehne se pehle. Is mahine ke pehle haftay mein, qeemat ek khareedari zone mein thi, jo ke urooj price channels ke andar trade kar rahi thi aur maheena pivot level 1.0790 se support mil raha tha. Is support ne mahine ke shuru mein ek upri lehar ko paida kiya, lekin qeemat akhir mein waapas aa gayi aur donon upar ki rukh aur maheena pivot level ko tor diya. Jumeraat ka candle channel torne ke baad mazbooti se bearish tha, lekin Jumeraat ka candle, jo ek upar ki taraf ka bounce dikhata tha, ek mumkin upward correction ka ishaara tha, kam az kam maheena pivot level tak.

EUR/USD ke liye Tijarati Strategy:

Kharidain: Haftay ke shuru mein, mumkin upward correction par faida uthayen.

Bechein: Jab qeemat maheena pivot level tak pohanchti hai to bearish qeemat ki harkat nazar aati hai.



Aane wale haftay mein qeemat 1.830 ke qareeb blue channel line tak barh sakti hai phir apni girawat ko barqarar kar sakti hai. Ek naya nichla darjaa pehle haftay mein bane darjaa se kam ke imkaaniyat hain. Qeemat ab maheena support level 1.770 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai, jo agla nishana samjha jaata hai.