Euro (EUR) ab lagbhag 1.0750 ke aas paas thahar gaya hai, haal hi ki aamadni mein wapas aakar aur haftay ki shuruaat mein shuru hui range ke andar rah raha hai. Yeh tab aaya jab European markets ko Thursday ko chhutiyo ki wajah se khamoshi ki umeed hai, jabke US ne Jumma ko ek ahem consumer confidence report ke aage chhote data jaari kiya. Wednesday ko kuch shuruaati khareedari ke bawajood, EURUSD ko kisi maayne mein zyada traction haasil nahi hua. Jodi ne ek din mein 1.0757 ki andaruni uchchai tak pahunchi lekin din ke aakhir mein apne vartaman star ke qareeb khatam hui. Daily charts par technical indicators ko mazeed niche ki dabav ki alaamat hain, jab EURUSD 1.0788 par 200-day moving average ko paar karne mein asafal raha. Agar downtrend jaari rahe, to currency pair apni haal hi ki kam se kam 1.0600 ki tasalli par phir se a sakta hai. Nazdeek se dekhte hue, chhoti-muddat ke technicals bhi thodi si bearish mudav par hain. EURUSD dono 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke nichle ja rahe hain. Magar, buyers ne hilne ki koshish ki hai is resistance ke upar haal hi mein, pichle haftay aur is haftay ke shuruaat mein, jo kharidaron aur farokhton ke darmiyan chalti hui mehfooz ke roshni mein ek jaari jang ke khilaf parda uthata hai. Abhi EURUSD market mein lambi aur chhoti bets ke darmiyan ek sarabara barabar halat hai. Anay wale dinon mein agli harkat ka faisla karna ahem ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi taraf 1% ke qareeb ek tay karne wala break, lambi muddt ke trend ka aghaaz ishaara kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.0850 ke ird gird ek harkat 1.1050 ki taraf barhne ka darwaza khol sakti hai aur shayad mazeed bhi. Baraks, 1.0650 ke neeche ek girawat kharidaron ko 1.0500 ke aas paas ikattha karne par majboor kar sakta hai aur mazeed girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers ke Thursday ko taqreer denay ka imkan hai, investors unki tafseeli raayein future monetary policy faislay ke bare mein kisi bhi ishaare ke liye kareebi nazar se dekhenge. Magar, chhutiyo ki susti ki wajah se, ye taqreerain bazaar ko kisi bada market disturbance ka sabab nahi banayengi. America mein, tawajjuh initial jobless claims data par hogi jo May 3rd ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye hai. Analysts naye claims mein halki izafa ka tajziya karte hain 210,000 tak, muqablay mein pichle haftay ki 208,000 ke. Zada ahem University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index Jumma tak na hone wala hai. Aam tor par, EURUSD khud ko ek holding pattern mein paya hai, jahan dono bulls aur bears ek catalyst ka intezar kar rahe hain jo tarazoo ko uthane ke liye kaafi hai. Aane wale dinon mein data releases aur central bank commentary ka mix pesh karega, jo market ko apni mojooda range se bahar nikalne ke liye zaroorat hai.
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