یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Humari mojooda jaaiza mein EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke dynamics par tafseel se ghoor kar rahe hain, jahan hum iske harkaat ko rehnumai karne wale pesh-e-nazar mamoolat ko shaamil kar rahe hain. Is tafteesh ke doraan, Thursday ke kam se kam ya us se neeche 1.0726 ke low par rukawat lagane ki maqooliyat muntashir hai, kyun ke mojooda market shiraa'at ko daryaft karne ke liye behtar intezam sabit nahi ho sakti. Balkeh, hum ek ziada ihtiyaat angaiz tareeqa pasand karte hain, jo ke pichle haftay ke intehai 1.0652 ke low ke neeche stop-loss order ka intezam shamil karta hai. Ye tanzeemi tabdeeli na sirf ek buland darja ka khatra nigrani ko numaya karti hai balkay munasib nuqsaan ke khilaaf bhi ek buffer faraham karta hai. Ek bari raay se, agar EUR/USD ki raftar mein koi nazar aane wala ulat pher tasleem kiya jata hai, to ye aik waziha tarmeem ka ishara hai jise aik bearish bandobast ke lehaz se tabdeel kiya jaata hai. Magar, aisi ek manzil ko hasil karne mein kuch challenges shamil hain, jin mein liquidity constraints ka imkan shamil hai, khas tor par agar Thursday ka minimum level istemal kiya jata hai. Qeemat ke dynamics aur market liquidity ke darmiyan payda hone wale gehra taluqat ko tasleem karna zaroori hai, kyun ke ye factors aksar karobar ke nataij par gehri asar daaltay hain.
Is ke ilawa, haal hi mein EUR/USD ke range 1.0768-1.0772 mein hone wale breakout ko aik mustaqil bullish harkat ka ishara samajhna zaroori hai. Halankeh aisi taraqqi pehle wazeh lag sakti hai, khas tor par agar rukh ke tajziya ke zere nazar dekha jaaye, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke ehtiyaat baratna bhi zaroori hai, khas tor par jab ye waqt ke shuruaat mein paish aata hai. Market dynamics fitri tor par tabdeel hoti rehti hain aur tezi se tabdeel hone ke imkanat hote hain, is liye jab trading strategies banai ja rahi hain to ehtiyaat aur huqoomat ko zaroori samajhna chahiye. Aakhri taur par, EUR/USD currency pair ke complexities ko samajhne ke liye technical expertise, risk management ke maharat, aur market sentiment ka aik lafaazi samajh zaroori hai. Humari tafteesh se hasil hone wali maloomat par tawajjo dete hue aur ehtiyaat ke sath aik qadam utha kar, traders apne aap ko market trends ke tabdeel hone wale faide se faida uthane ke liye mufeed taur par position kar sakte hain, jabke potenzo nuqsaan ke khilaaf tahaffuz bhi faraham karte hain. Jab tak market barqarar rehti hai, hoshiyari aur badalne ki salahiyat currency trading ke hamesha changing landscape ko samajhne mein aham rehain gi.

EUR/USD currency pair ke andar keemat ke hum o bargi andaz ka tajziya aur tabeer traders ke darmiyan duniya bhar mein mukhtalif tajziya aur nizaam istemal karte hain, jo zyada tar signals ko base banate hain. EUR/USD, forex market mein aik ahem kirdar ada karta hai, aur is ka technical istehsal aik nazar ko qaboo mein rakhta hai. Khaas tor par, 1.07913 ke resistance level par mukhtalif tajziya hai, jo ke traders ke liye aham hai, aur jo is se wabasta kisi bhi taraqi par tawajju dena hai. Aanay wale economic data, jo ke Budh ko jari hone wale hain, khaas tor par US retail sales aur consumer price indices, bazari jazbat par bohot zyada asar dalne ka imkaan hai. Investors in indicators ko tawajju se dekh rahe hain, kyunkay ye amreeki maeeshat ke sehat aur rukh par roshni dalte hain. Mukhtalif factors ke interplay ne forex market ki plex aur dynamic kisam ko jo bataya hai.
Is ke ilawa, tawajju bhi Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke aane wale taqreer par mudaawin hai jo ke Budh ko hone wale hain. Powell ke khitab ka asar market ki umeedon ko shakal dene mein bohot zyada hota hai, khaas tor par maali policy aur maeshat ki nigah mein. Un ke tajziya mumkinah taur par Federal Reserve ke future ke amal par koi ishaara kar sakta hai, is taur par currency ke qeemat par asar dal sakta hai. US-centric events ke ilawa, market participants Eurozone ke taraqqi par bhi khubsurat nazar rakhte hain. Jumma ko jari hone wale events, jese ke economic reports ya official bayanat, EUR/USD pair ke dynamics par asar dal sakte hain. Traders Eurozone authorities ki kisi bhi elan ya data release par tawajju dete hain, kyunkay ye ilaqa ki maeshat ki performance aur policy rukh par roshni dal sakte hain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum, EUR/USD apni chhoti se izafa ko dekh kar 1.0750 ke qareeb ek tang channel mein fluctuate kar raha hai jo ke peer ko chhote muqarrar hone ke baad hai. Germany se aae factory orders ke mayoos kun data ne euro ke izafe ko roka jabke investors central bankers ke comments par nazr rakhte rahe. 4 ghantay ke chart par Relative Strength Index indicator 60 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo nazdeeki muddai se izafe ka nuqsan dikhata hai. Neeche, 1.0750 (200-period simple moving average, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) ko aham support ke tor par line up kara gaya hai pehle 1.0720 (50-period SMA) aur 1.0700 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) ke baad. Muqablay 1.0790-1.0800 (Fibonacci 50% retracement), 1.0830 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) aur 1.0900 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) par mojood hain. EUR/USD ne Monday ko high-level data releases ke mojoodgi mein rahar nahi payi. Jabke risk sentiment mein behtar hone se US dollar ko talash karne mein mushkil hui, Federal Reserve ke afsoos karne se dollar ne apne nuksan ko had se zyada karne se roka. Mazeed taqatwar rozgar market ke baabat, Fed ko abhi bhi yeh samajhne ke liye waqt hai ke kya inflation uski 2% target ki taraf girega, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne kaha. Iske ilawa, NY Fed President John Williams ne note kiya ke jab mahinayana inflation print buland aate hain toh ye pareshani ka baabat hai. Din ke pehle hisse mein, Germany se aane wale data ne dikhaya ke factory orders March mein mahinayana buniyadi bunyadon par 0.4 percent gir gaye. Ye reading market ki 0.5% izafe ke liye umeedein se behtar nahi aayi aur euro par bhaari pad gayi. Behtar stock index futures ke isteemaal mein, early European session mein US ke stock index futures barabar trade kar rahe hain. Agar bade Wall Street indices Monday ke izafe ko bardasht kar paate hain, toh USD ko apne competitors ke khilaf qaim rehne mein mushkil hogi aur EUR/USD ko buland jaane dene diya ja sakta hai.

Bilkul, samajh gaya. EUR/USD ke current scenario mein itna mubhampan zaroor hai ke aksar traders ko confusion hota hai. Yeh sudden 300 points ka uptrend dekh kar kuch log glitch ya technical error samajhte hain. Aur sach kaha gaya hai, aise anomalous movements dekh kar kisi bhi trader ka dil ghabrata hai. Kyunki jab market itni lambi muddat se aik tareeqay se chal rahi hoti hai, aur phir achanak se itni bari movement hoti hai, to ismein samajhna mushkil ho jata hai. Aap ne sahi farmaya hai ke is waqt EUR/USD mein bohot uncertainty hai. Aur jab bhi market mein itni badi chalakiyan hoti hain, to logon ko khatra mehsoos hota hai aur unka trust shake hota hai. Lekin aap ne bhi theek kaha ke hamen is haqeeqat ko tasleem karna chahiye ke market objective tor par niche ja raha hai. Yehi wahi haqeeqat hai jo humein apni trades ke liye dhyan mein rakhna chahiye. Bearish trend ko clear tor par dekh kar, aap ne sahi kiya ke serious mushkilat ka samna karne ki tayyari ki hai. Kyunki jab market bearish hoti hai, to traders ko aur zyada cautious rehna chahiye. Is waqt, risk management aur apne trading plan ko follow karne ki zaroorat hoti hai. Aur yeh bhi yaad rakhiye ke market mein kabhi bhi kuch bhi ho sakta hai, is liye hamesha taiyar rehna zaroori hai.

Agar aapko lagta hai ke aapke paas sahi strategy hai aur aapne market ki movements ka analysis ache se kiya hai, to aap apne decisions par mukammal bharosa rakhein. Lekin hamesha flexible rehna bhi zaroori hai, kyunke market kabhi bhi badal sakti hai. Is liye, hamesha apni trades ko monitor karte rahein aur zaroori halqa bandiyan laga kar rahen. Aakhri alfaz, yeh zaroori hai ke aap apne emotions ko control mein rakhein aur ghalat faislon se bachain. Market mein volatility hai, lekin agar aap apne irade ko mazboot rakhein aur discipline se trading karein, to aap mushkilat ka muqabla kar sakte hain aur apne trading goals ko achieve kar sakte hain. Umeed hai ke yeh situation jald hi clear ho jaye aur aap apne trading journey ko smooth tareeqay se continue kar sakein. Agar aapko kisi aur madad ki zaroorat ho, to mujh se zaroor rabta karein.

Pichle trading week mein euro ka qeema 1.0763 ko paar karke aik unchaai tak barh gaya aur mazeed mazboot honay ki koshish kar raha hai. Halankeh yeh waqtan-fa-waqt is had tak gir gaya, lekin jald az jald apni asal jagah par wapas aa gaya, barqarar rehtay hue. Magar, yeh nishandah halat se agay ke mutaaliq peshgoyi shuda shumari se kuch kam raha, jis se yeh rukh jaari hai. Sath hi, keemat ka chart aik mustaqil up-trend darust kar raha hai, jis se chal rahi kharidari ki taqat ki tasdeeq hoti hai. Mazeed, qareeb aanay wali izafa ki ummed US ke consumer aur producer prices ke mutaliq anay walay mahine ke data ke saath judi hui hai, jabke investors Federal Reserve ke rukh ke baray mein raaye lena chahte hain ke wo interest rates ki tabdeeli ko taakhir de sakti hain. Aane wale data mein tahqiqat ke mutabiq munsalik dabaavat mein mustawi hone ki ummeed hai, jo agle foran ke barhne ki fikron ko kam kar sakti hai. Mazeed, naye trading week ke ibteda mein, US Treasury yields mein kami dekhi gayi, jabke 10 saal ke Treasury note ki 4.502 feesad se 4.478 feesad tak gir gayi.
Haal mein, yeh joda mukhtalif harekaton ko dikhata hai aur haftawarana bunyad par ek be-naam rukh barqarar rakh raha hai. Ahem support zones abhi tak qaaim nahi hui hain aur oonchi unchaiyon ki ahmiyat ko samjha jata hai. Yeh tawakuf hai ke keemat halqa mein mazid tawazun hasil karegi aur apne aap ko 1.0763 ke qareeb mumaani rakhegi, jo asal support ilaqa ka hadaf hai. Agar koi correction hoti hai, to is zone ka dobara test kiya jayega jis mein gehra honay ki sambhavna hai, phir uske baad ek baad mein rebound hoga, jis ka maqsad 1.0926 aur 1.1033 ke darmiyan tawazun ko barhane ki koshish hai, ek mutmaeen mauqa pesh karti hai. Magar agar support ko tod diya jata hai aur keemat 1.0694 ke pivotal level se neeche gir jati hai, to haliyaat palat diya jayega. Dhaari hui levels mein shamil hain 1.0723-59 par support aur 1.0791-1.0809 par resistance. 1.08 ke mark ko paar karte hue ek price reaction ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai jo agle resistance zone 1.0822-79 ki taraf isharat kar sakta hai, jis mein mazeed izafa shaamil hai. Magar, aik jhoota breakout established range mein wapas palat ja sakta hai. Abhi tak, EURUSD qaim hai.

EUR/USD pair halqay mein mustaqeem tor par 1.0750 ke darja par ghum raha hai, daramadi market ki harkat ki manzar nama hai. Haal hi mein America ka index dobala hua hai, jo 200-day simple moving average ko 1.0760 ke mark ke neeche utarne ka andesha deta hai. Agar yeh ahem lehja guzar jaye, to yeh mumkin hai ke ek moqami upri islah ka sabab ban jaye, jo ke baazdari momenton ko mahakta hua 50% Fibonacci retracement level se mukabla kar sakta hai jo 1.0720 par mojood hai. Magar agar ek muqabila anjam nahi de sakta, jo 1.0765 par neutral base hai. Jab bhi aam taur par ek currency pair mein movement hoti hai, to iska asar dosri currencies par bhi hota hai. Halqi harkat ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair ka 1.0750 ke darja par ghumna, market ke daramadi halaat ko darust karne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Hal hi mein, America ka index double hua hai, jo ke 200-day simple moving average ko 1.0760 ke mark ke neeche utarne ka andesha deta hai.

Is situation mein, agar yeh ahem lehja guzar jaye, to ek moqami upri islah ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh isliye hai kyunki baazdari momenton ko mahakta hua 50% Fibonacci retracement level se mukabla kar sakta hai jo 1.0720 par mojood hai. Yeh ek crucial level hai jo market ke future direction ko decide karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Magar agar ek muqabila anjam nahi de sakta, jo 1.0765 par neutral base hai, to yeh shayad ek aur rukawat ban sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mein kuch arsey tak tawazun bana rahega jab tak koi naye tajziayati ahemiyat hasil na kare.Is dauran, traders ko sabar aur tawajjo se kaam lena chahiye. Market ki harqat aur trends ko samajhna zaroori hai taake woh behtar faislay kar sakein. Is surat-e-haal mein, tajziayati tajziyat aur muqablay ki zarurat hoti hai taake market ke mukhtalif scenarios ka behtar andaza lagaya ja sake.

EURUSD jodi ki Daily time frame ki tajziya:

Kharidaron ne peer ko EURUSD jodi mein qawi tor par trading ka kontrol phir se hasil kia, khaas tor par support area par 1.0770-1.0765 ke qeemat par kamyaabi ke baad, jo ke farokht karne walon ko dobara muma'ani banaya aur qeemat ka kontrol phir se kharidaron ke paas chala gaya jo phir taqat se push lagaye. Mazeed taqatwar bullishness ne EURUSD jodi ki qeemat ko phir se mazboot kardia.

Rozana time frame mein Moving Average indicator ka istemal kar ke dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat ya candle ne laal MA 50 area ke oopar se nikaal kar upar lai gayi hai jo 1.0785-1.0787 par hai aur abhi mojood hai peeli MA 200 area mein jo 1.0790-1.0792 par hai jise test kia gaya lekin yeh kamyabi se nahi guzra kyun ke yeh abhi tak farokht karne walon ke bharose se bharosa kar sakta hai. Bullish candlestick ke banne ke sath, kharidaron ke liye qeemat ko phir se mazboot karne ka mauqa, aur bullish, ab bhi wide open hai jis ka agla maqam hai qeemat ko le kar upar Blue 100 MA area tak jo ke 1.0827-1.0830 par hai aur farokht karne walon ke liye mazboot supply resistance area bhi hai.

Mangalwar ko Asian market session mein trading mein subah phir se qeemat ko farokht karne walon ne control kiya jo ke resistance area ko qeemat par banaye rakha tha 1.0805-1.0800 ke qeemat par jo ke kharidaron ne nahi tora tha, is liye phir se qeemat ko farokht karne walon ne control kia jo taqat se bearish dabao lagaye. Farokht karne walon ka irada hai qeemat ko bearishly neeche le kar laya jaye kharidaron ke support area tak jo ke 1.0770-1.0765 ke qeemat par hai. Agar yeh area tora ja sake, to qeemat mazeed kamzor ho jayegi, lekin agar yeh kamyaab na ho, to kharidaron ke liye badi mauqa hai target ke sath qeemat ko le kar upar farokht karne walon ke supply resistance area tak jo ke 1.0820-1.0830 ke qeemat par hai.

Ikhtitam:

Kharid ya kharid trading options ko istemal kiya ja sakta hai agar qeemat farokht karne walon ke resistance area ko tor kar pending order buy stop area par rakh diya jaye 1.0800-1.0805 ke qeemat par TP area ke sath 1.0825-1.0830 ke qeemat par.

Farokht ya farokht trading options ko istemal kiya ja sakta hai agar qeemat kharidaron ke support area ko kamiyabi se tor deti hai pending sell stop order ke sath 1.0770-1.0765 ke qeemat par TP area ke sath 1.0730-1.0725 ke qeemat par.

Pichli trading week mein, euro ne 1.0763 ke upar ek makhsoos bulandi tak pohanch gaya aur mazid mustaqil hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Keemat foran is level ke neeche gir gayi lekin is ne aapni asal jagah ko qaim rakha aur mustaqil hone ke koshish ki. Magar, yeh nishana area tak nahi pohancha, mukhya manzarnama ke tawaqo ke mutazad hai, yeh manzarnama abhi bhi jari hai. Is doran, keemat ka chart hara supertrend zone mein hai, jo ke mustaqil kharidari ki faaliyat ki nishandahi karta haiRozgar aur munfarid daramad daron par USA mein iflashti data ke muntazir hote hain jabke sarmayakar muntazir hain ke Federal Reserve taiztar rate kam karne se pehle lamba intezar kare. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke muntazir data dikhaye ke iflasht mein mustaqil hone ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai aur tezi se barhna dobara shuru nahi hoga. USA Treasury yields naye trading week ke pehle din gir gaye. 10 saal ke USA Treasury note ki farahmi pichle din ke 4.502 percent se 4.478 percent tak gir gayiIs waqt, jodi mukhtalif rukh par trading kar rahi hai aur haftawarana bunyadi tor par neutral hai



. Markazi support areas abhi tak mehsoos aur barqarar nahi hue hain, jo ke pasandida urooj ke vector ki ehmiyat ko dikhata hai. Keemat is mojooda keemat zone mein mustaqil honi chahiye aur apni hadood ko 1.0763 ke darja ke qareeb band karna chahiye, jo ke mukhya support area ka hadood hai. Agar koi tanazul hota hai, to humein is area ko dobara check karne aur isay mazeed gehra karnay ke saath agle buland rukh ko nishana banane ki umeed hai, jo ke 1.0926 aur 1.1033 ke darmiyan area ko nishana banayega aur ek aur urooj dene ka moqa dega.Agar support toot jata hai aur 1.0694 pivot level ke neeche gir jata hai, to mojooda manzarnama ulta ho jayega.

Hamari mojooda guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ki performance ka tajziya karne ke ird gird ghumti hai. Qeemat ne mushkilat se bharh kar 1.0786 ke level ke ooper uthna kaamyaab kiya, jis ke nichle tor par musbat taur par jamak aur m30 timeframe par aik bearish trend ki bunyad qaim ki gayi, jo farokht ke liye behtareen mauqaat faraham karta hai. Main 1.0726 ke support level par qareebi nigaah rakhta hoon, agar isay tor diya gaya to seedha 1.0676 ki taraf tezi se girna mumkin hai, hamare agle qadam ki raah ko asaan karne ke liye. Agar ye support mumkin hai, to yeh humein 1.0604 ko imtehaan denay ki taraf le ja sakta hai aur shayad mazeed 1.0521 tak bhi nichay girne ka imkaan hai. Jumeraat ko, qeemat Ichimoku Cloud indicator mein dakhil hui aur iske andar qaaim rahi, jo mojooda bearish jazbat ko mazboot karti hai aur mumkin hai ke 1.0753 ka imtehaan lena. Is nishan ko paar karne se humare qareeb qareeb 1.0725 ke ahem support tak pohanch sakti hai, jiska tor aik ahem downtrend ko shuru kar sakta hai. Magar, 1.06 ke level par lautna namumkin nazar aata hai, jo EUR/USD mein kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa downtrend se pehle aik mushtahkam ikhtraaq ki dawat deti hai.


Iske ilawa, RSI indicator ka mojooda bearish rukh mukhtasir bearish signals ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai. Is dauraan, maine EUR/USD ke liye M30 chart par 1.0781-1.0728 ka ek trading range pehchani hai, jismein qeemat iske ooper ki janib hi dabbi hui hai, jisse euro ke maqasid ab 1.0722 ke ird gird hain. Agar 1.0791 ke ooper aik mumkin tor par guzar jaye aur baad mein jamak ho, to yeh aik kharidne ka mauqa darust kar sakta hai. Jab tak hum 1.0772 range ke andar ya iske ooper rahein, ooper ki raftar mumkin hai. Taqreeban 1.0791 ke qareeb aik choti taqseer aur iske baad mazeed izafa hone ka pehle asar ho sakta hai. Maqwiyat ke andar tajawuz karte waqt abadi ki raftar jari reh sakti hai jab tak 1.0800 ke nichle rehne ke bajaye ooper chali jaye, jo 1.0851 ke tor ko torne ki taraf ja sakta hai. US session ke doran aik taqseer mazeed izafa ke pehle aati hai, jo 1.0812 ko torne ka aghaaz karta hai. 1.0782 ko tor kar aur jamak karne ka mazboot kharidne ka signal agle haftay ke liye darust kar sakta hai.

EURUSD jodi Ichimoku Cloud ke through guzri aur woh bechnay walay se pak gayi jo Tenkan-Sen reversal line 1.08200 aur Kijun-Sen base line 1.07969 ke golden cross ke peechay bethe thay. Tenkan-Sen tezi se chalti hai, is liye usay reversal line kaha jata hai, woh Kijun-Sen se ooncha hai, jiska period settings mein zyada hai, is wajah se woh dhimi hai. Cross karne ka signal aur market price 1.08239 ke cloud ke upar milna sab se taqatwar khareedne ka signal deta hai. Main khareedne ki tavsiyat deta hoon; jab market upar jaaye, to Senkou Span B 1.07831 aur Senkou Span A 1.07872 cloud lines ki taraf se mazeed rollbacks mumkin hain, jo ke ab support bana rahe hain. Farokht ka option yeh hai jab Tenkan-Sen Kijun-Sen line ko oopar se neeche cross karta hai. Yeh pehlay hi signal mein hai, lekin behtar hai ke intezar karen jab tak Ichimoku Cloud ko toorna aur usay assign karna. Kal EUR/USD ka local maximum 1.0806 par tha aur haalaanki maine, jaisey socha tha, 1.0802 par test ke baad bechna kiya - matlab, hum keh sakte hain ke dakhliat bohot durust aur wazeh thi, eurodollar mujhe normal munafa se khush nahi kiya. Maine deal kal ki raat ko rakhi, usay raat bhar chhoda, aur aaj maine usay 1.0786 par band karne ka faisla kiya, matlab, kam se kam 20 points se kam munafa. Beshak chhota munafa kisi bhi nuksan se behtar hai, lekin point yeh hai ke eurodollar, aur amuman, market ab itna inactive hai ke trading karna mushkil hai, wazeh benchmarks ka intezar karna mushkil hai, aur agar intezar karen, to munafa mein churran aayenge... To aaj ke plans farokht karne ke liye hain, phir se figure 1.08 se - aaj mere paas resistance 1.0810 par hai, lekin ek shak hai ke aaj hum is zone ka test nahi dekhein ge, aur agar dekhein ge, to yeh figure 1.07 ki taraf laut kar, ho sakta hai, nahi hoga.



is wajah se woh dhimi hai. Cross karne ka signal aur market price 1.08239 ke cloud ke upar milna sab se taqatwar khareedne ka signal deta hai. Main khareedne ki tavsiyat deta hoon; jab market upar jaaye, to Senkou Span B 1.07831 aur Senkou Span A 1.07872 cloud lines ki taraf se mazeed rollbacks mumkin hain, jo ke ab support bana rahe hain. Farokht ka option yeh hai jab Tenkan-Sen Kijun-Sen line ko oopar se neeche cross karta hai. Yeh pehlay hi signal mein hai, lekin behtar hai ke intezar karen jab tak Ichimoku Cloud ko toorna aur usay assign karna. Kal EUR/USD ka local maximum 1.0806 par tha aur haalaanki maine, jaisey socha tha, 1.0802 par test ke baad bechna kiya - matlab, hum keh sakte hain ke dakhliat bohot durust aur wazeh thi, eurodollar mujhe normal munafa se khush nahi kiya. Maine deal kal ki raat ko rakhi, usay raat bhar chhoda, aur aaj maine usay 1.0786 par band karne ka faisla kiya, matlab, kam se kam 20 points se kam munafa. Beshak chhota munafa kisi bhi nuksan se behtar hai, lekin point yeh hai ke eurodollar, aur amuman, market ab itna inactive hai ke trading karna mushkil hai, wazeh benchmarks ka intezar karna mushkil hai, aur agar intezar karen, to munafa mein churran aayenge... To aaj ke plans farokht karne ke liye hain, phir se figure 1.08 se - aaj mere paas resistance 1.0810 par hai, lekin ek shak hai ke aaj hum is zone ka test nahi dekhein ge, aur agar dekhein ge, to yeh figure 1.07 ki taraf laut kar, ho sakta hai, nahi hoga Is this conversation helpful so far?

EUR/USD jodi ka agla data agar mayoos kun hota hai, toh market mein dobara bechaini ka mahol ban sakta hai. April ke 10th inflation report ne Euro mein tezi se girawat ko janam diya tha, jo 2024 ke 1.0693 ke naye minimum tak le gaya. Yeh girawat bohot se traders aur investors ke liye chokane wali thi, kyunke unka maanna tha ke Euro thoda stable rahega. Agar hum peeche mudh kar dekhein, toh yeh saal Euro ke liye kuch khaas acha nahi raha. Mehngai ke barhawa aur economic growth ke slow hone ke asar se Eurozone mein uncertainty barh gayi hai. Yeh factors mil kar Euro par bohot pressure dal rahe hain. Jab inflation report aayi aur usme pata chala ke mahngai abhi bhi control mein nahi hai, toh Euro investors ne panic mein aakar apni holdings bechni shuru kar di. Iski wajah se Euro ki value aur bhi kam ho gayi.

Ek aur important factor jo Euro/USD pair ko affect kar sakta hai woh hai US Federal Reserve ka policy stance. Agar Fed apni monetary policy tight rakhta hai, toh Dollar aur bhi strong ho jayega. Ab tak ke indicators yeh batate hain ke US economy comparatively stronger hai aur inflation bhi control mein aa rahi hai. Isliye Dollar ki demand barh rahi hai, aur yeh trend Euro ke against Dollar ko mazboot banata ja raha hai. Eurozone ke leaders aur ECB (European Central Bank) ke policymakers ke liye yeh waqt bohot challenging hai. Unhe balance karna hoga ke kaise economic growth ko bhi support karen aur inflation ko bhi control mein rakhen. Agar ECB aggressively interest rates badhata hai, toh short term mein toh Euro ko support milega, lekin long term mein yeh economic growth ko affect kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf agar wo zyada action nahi lete, toh inflation out of control ho sakti hai, jo logon ke purchasing power ko aur kam kar degi.

Overall, Euro/USD jodi ke future mein bohot uncertainty hai. Market participants ko sabse pehle economic data aur central bank policies par focus karna hoga. Agar data negative raha, toh panic selling aur barh sakti hai, jisse Euro aur gir sakta hai. Investors ko apni strategies ko review karna hoga aur risk management pe zyada dhyan dena hoga, taake wo iss volatility mein apne losses ko minimize kar saken. In sab developments ko closely monitor karna aur timely decisions lena bohot zaroori hoga. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aane wale mahino mein Euro/USD jodi ka behaviour dekhna bohot interesting hoga. Forex market ki dynamics aur economic indicators ko samajh kar hi investors ko apne trades plan karne chahiye, taake wo profit bhi kama saken aur apne losses ko bhi control mein rakh saken.

Pichle trading week mein, euro ne 1.0763 ko paar karke izafa kiya aur mazeed mazbooti hasil karne ki taraf daur jari hai. Ghalba ke darmiyan mein jab ye chand lamhon ke liye is se neeche utar gaya, to jald hi apni asal jagah par laut aya, ek qaaim rasta barqarar rakhte hue. Magar ye maqsad taqariban nahin pahuncha, pehle ke ummedon se hath chhuda kar, is raah par qadam jari hai. Sath hi, price chart ke mutabiq ek barqarar bharti nazar aati hai, jise yeh darshata hai ke khareedne ki sargarmi jaari hai. Iske ilawa, agle trading week mein an-qareeb aane wali inflation data se le kar umeed hai, jise investors Federal Reserve ke interest rate adjustments ko taalne ki disha mein ishara samajhte hain. Aane wale data mein izafa aane ki sambhavna hai, jo ke inflationary dabe par stability dikhane ki ummeed hai, shayad ane wali surge ke liye chinta ko kam kar de. Iske alawa, naye trading week ki shuruaat mein, US Treasury yields mein kami dekhi gayi, 10-year Treasury note 4.502 percent se gira kar 4.478 percent tak aa gaya.

Hal hi mein, pair mukhtalif movements dikha raha hai aur hafte ke lihaz se aik neutral stance maintain kar raha hai. Ahem support zones abhi tak moaina nahi hue hain aur aage ka raasta uthane ka bara matlub hai. Umeed kii ja rahi hai ke price is moaina mein consolidate hogi aur 1.0763 level ke qareeb rehkar apne aap ko rokega, jo ke primary support region ka border darshaata hai. Agr koi correction ho, to is zone ke retest ka ummeed hai jise agle deepening ke saath followed by ek baad ka rebound ho ga, jo ke range 1.0926 se 1.1033 ke darmiyan jaa kar mazeed upward momentum ka aghaz kare ga, ek faidamand mauqa paish karne ke liye. Magar, agar support ko breech kiya jata hai aur price pivtoal level 1.0694 ke neeche gir jata hai, to mawqif palat jayega. Eham levels mein support 1.0723-59 aur resistance 1.0791-1.0809 shamil hain. 1.08 ke mark par breakthrough, ek push-off ke baad, agle resistance zone of 1.0822-79 ki taraf price reaction ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke mazeed expansion ki nishani ho sakti hai. Magar, ek ghalat breakout establishment range mein waapas chale ja sakti hai. Abhi tak, EURUSD koun say rukh par hai.

Future me Federal Reserve policy ke matlub ke bare me uncertainty ke baray mein kuchh kah nahi sakte. Yah dollar par bojh ban gaya hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko aur bhi taqat deti hai jab tudkar apne positions ko dobara jaanchti hain. Jab EUR/USD pair traction hasil karta hai, to bara market context ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Economic fundamentals, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies ka interplay pair ke raaste par asar dalta rahega. Traders ane wali economic data releases, central bank meetings, aur geopolitical events ko tamer nizaam se dekhte rahenge pair ke raste ki disha ke liye. Aakhriyon, EUR/USD currency pair ki nedeed halat 1.0700 support level par uske guzarna ne ek ahem mor par iske raste mein daakhil hoti hai. Yeh azeem support level ne traders mein bullish sentiment ko punha jaga di hai, jo ke technical factors, Eurozone se achhe economic data, aur US economy se mix signals ke ek combination ke zariye chal rahi hai. Jab market mizaaj barqarar rehta hai, to EUR/USD pair traders aur analysts ke liye ek mukhy shikar ban kar rahega, jisme aik sath mauqe aur challenges shaamil hain.

EUR/USD:

EUR/USD pair ke dairey 1.0820 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai. Ye tabdeeli US central bank ki mehengai ke shurafat ki tasleem ke baad aai hai, halankeh woh ab tak apne maqasid ko pura nahi kar paaye hain, jo ek wazeh taraqqi mein ikhtilaaf ke sath aata hai. Sath hi, mazeed market mein US Dollar (USD) mein kami nazar aati hai.

Fed ka Raqam aur Market ka Jawab

Umeed hai ke Fed ke interest rates ke lehaz se kis raaste ko ikhtiyaar karegi, jahan umeedain lambay muddat tak mehdood policies ke lehaz se hain. Ye faisla ek janwari-march dor ke mehngai ke readings se mansoob hai, jo ke tawaqo'at ko paar kar chuki hain, aur bani hui fikron ke bais bana hai ke mehngai ke dabao ko barqarar rehne ki aashnai hai. Mangal ke din Q1 Employment Cost Index ke ikhtilaafat ko aur bhi barhaya, jismein 1.2% ki taraqqi nazar aai, jisein dono tawaqo'at aur pehle ki figures se aage barh gaya tha. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne demand par moat sabit karne ke lehaz se maujooda mehdood policy ka asar tasleem kiya, lekin darust rate ki tarmeem ke lehaz se saboot ki zaroorat par zor diya.

Takneeki Tanqeed aur Supply Zone Ki Tashkeel

EUR/USD pair 1.0830 resistance level ko paar karne ki koshish karta hai jab ke ECB ke samne Fed ke agle rate cuts lagane ki umeed ke saath aaghaaz ki umeedain laaye gaye hain. Ye mukhalfat nazdeeki dor ki nazdeeki nazdeeki manzar ko shumara karta hai, jo ke 1.0782 par 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki darr se naapakar hai. Is rukawat ko par karna Euro ke shero ke liye ek bhari uqdaan hai, jisein maujooda market ke manzar mein mukhtalif pesh aati hai.

EUR/USD TAJZIYA

Kal maine USD jodi ki tajziya ki aur wo kaafi achha gaya. Jodi mere tawaqo ke mutabiq hi move kar rahi hai. EUR-USD jodi ek channel mein move kar rahi hai, jodi lagbhag resistance trend line tak pahunch chuki hai jo 1.08234 ke darje par hai. Halanke, jodi abhi resistance trend line par move kar rahi hai. Maine EUR USD jodi ko h4 aur h1 time frames par tajziya kiya hai, dono time frames par EUR USD ek channel mein move kar rahi hai. Ab, jodi ne bilkul hi resistance trend line ko dono time frames par hit kiya hai. Yahan, humein tasdeeqi signal ka intezaar karna chahiye. Agar EUR-USD jodi 1.08298 ke darje ko paar kare aur is darje par settle ho jaye, to jodi upar ki taraf move karegi aur agle resistance ko nishchit karegi h4 time frame mein, jo 1.09244 par hai.

Aaj New York session mein high-impact US consumer price index data shaya kiya jayega. Ye market mein buland tarha volatility laayega. Inflation US mein saalana dar par 3.4% ki raftar se barh rahi hai. Jab bhi mehngai barhti hai, to USD X neeche jaata hai, jab USD X neeche jaata hai to wo EUR USD jodi mein musbat palne laata hai.

H1 PAR TAJZIYA

Maine EUR-USD jodi ko h1 time frame par bhi tajziya kiya, ye jodi ek channel mein move kar rahi hai, abhi channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai. Agar jodi resistance trend line ko paar karne mein kaamiyaab hoti hai. Lekin agar wo resistance trend line, 1.08244 ke darje ko paar nahi karti hai, to humein upar se jodi ko bechna chahiye aur take profit support level par hona chahiye. Agar jodi resistance trend line ko safalta purvak paar karti hai aur settle ho jaati hai, to ye jodi bullish taraf push karegi. Phir humein agle resistance 1.09255 ke darje ke liye kharidna chahiye.

BECHNA TAAWEEZ

Dakhil 1.08021

Stop loss 1.09122

Take profit 1.0700


KHARIDNA TAAWEEZ

Dakhil 1.08312

Stop loss 1.0799

Take profit 1.09188

Aleks ka paigham:

Subah bakhair Daly! Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kon kis ko kahan kheench raha hai, khaaskar ek market mein jahan koi khaas khabar nahi hai, aur peechle saat dino se hum rozana ki candle ki range mein trade kar rahe hain. Jab trading engine kaam karna shuru karega, tab saaf ho jayega ke humein agle kis raaste par le jaata hai. Lekin yeh sirf meri raaye hai raaste ke bare mein. Dino ki nazar uttar ki taraf jhuki hui hai, lekin agar hum EURUSD jodi ko uske chhote bhaaiyon par dekhein, toh ek neeche ki taraf palat jane ka saaf andaaza lagaya ja sakta hai. M30 par humne neeche dikhaye gaye tasveer ke mutabiq ek bechne ki zone banadi hai, aur agar aaj Europe mein hum ise torh nahi sakte, toh jodi neeche ki taraf roll back kar jaayegi lagbhag jaise ki tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai.

Ferblud ka jawab:

Hello. Haan, kal khariddaar Euro ko aur unchi le jane ki koshish ki gayi, aur sirf thoda sa current high ko update karne se chuk gaya jo 1.08117 par tha. Ab, is level tak pahuchne ki koshish karne ke liye, humein 1.08060 ke darje ko torh kar sthirta se neeche jaana padega. Aur agar ye poori soch kharidaar ke liye kaam karta hai, toh hume 1.08658 ke darje tak aage ke badhne ki ummeed hai. Ek neeche ki movement ko viksit karne ke liye, bechne wale ko 1.07595 ke darje ko torh kar sthirta se neeche jaana hoga; agar safalta milegi, toh phir wo 1.07230 ke darje tak jaane ka intezar kar sakte hain. Aaj Powell bolenge, aur agar unhone mukhya dar ke kismet ke baare mein kuch mahatvapurn kaha, toh hum shayad market mein ghumav dekhein.

Subah bakhair! EURUSD jodi ke liye, kal unhone ant mein ek correction ke liye faisla kiya aur jodi ne 1.07670 ke darje par support level ko kaam kiya, jahan se jodi phir se kharidne ki taraf palat gayi, ab price 1.08256 ke resistance level par hai aur mujhe is level se kaam karne ke do options hain, pehle ke mutabiq, yeh jodi aage badhti rahegi aur 1.08394 ke darje par resistance level ko kaam karegi, ya shayad seedha upar ke resistance 1.08618 par pahunch jayegi, aur wahan wo 1.08643 ko kaam karegi, lekin doosre vikalp ke mutabiq, yeh lagta hai ke mojooda resistance se jodi ek correction ki taraf ja rahi hai 1.08032 tak support aur phir yahan se nishchit targets ki taraf badhti rahegi.