یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Salam, EUR/USD ney Asian session mein apni intraday izafay ko kam kiya aur 1.0780 ke qareeb buland trading kar raha hai Jumeraat ko. Pair ko 1.0800 ke nafsiyati nishaan par ahem rukawat mil sakti hai. Agar yeh rukawat paar hojaye to EUR/USD pair ko 1.0818 ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average jo 1.0820 hai, ke aas paas jaa kar talaash karni paregi. Mazeed rukawat 1.0900 ke nafsiyati rukawat ke baad 1.0850 ke baray level par hai. Takneeki tajziyah EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish jazbat ko darust karta hai. 14 dinon ka relative strength index 50 mark ke neeche hai, jisse kharidari ke momentum mein kamzori darust hoti hai. Mazeed, moving average ne convergence divergence signal line ke neeche bhinnata dikhaya aur central line ke neeche rehta hai. Haan, yeh ek dairpa indicator hai, lekin yeh hamwaar bearish momentum ki tasdeeq karta hai EUR/USD pair ke liye. Tehqiqati tajziyah ke mutabiq, fori support March ki kam se kam 1.0767 ke naye low par nazar aata hai, jise major support 1.0750 par follow karta hai. Iss se neeche girne par, EUR/USD pair ko 1.0700 ke nafsiyati level ke aas paas safar karna padega. EUR/USD pair abhi 1.0803 par 1.0694/1.0981 rally ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke neeche taraqqi kar raha hai, jo khatra ko kam karta hai. EUR/USD ke daily chart mein pair apni saari moving averages ke neeche rehta hai, jahan flat 200 simple moving average agle Fibonacci resistance level 1.0835 ke saath ulta hota hai. Aakhir mein, takneeki indicators ne apni ghiri hui surat e haal ko manaa rakha hai, apni neeche ki raah ko barqarar rakhtay hain aur agle kam level ki tawaqqo ko jari rakhtay hain.

Qareebi muddat mein, 4-hour chart bhi bearish tauseeat ko support karta hai, jab EUR/USD apni saari moving averages ke neeche taraqqi kar raha hai jabke bearish forokhtkar 20 SMA ke qareeb hain. Intehai asar daari ke sath lambi muddat ka trend chhota moving average ke oopar be-gair hai. Aakhir mein, takneeki indicators ne apni ریاست ko dobara shuru kiya hai.

EUR/USD


Mangalwar ko, 1.0866 range ka maqami top tooti ki break mumkin hai. Jab yeh hota hai, ek kharidne ka signal utpann hoga. Koi normal neeche ki tahfeem nahi hai, aur darjat apni mojooda satah se barh sakte hain. Kharidarein 1.0860 ilaqe ko toorna chahte hain aur is mein kamyab ho gaye hain. Yeh ek jhooti break hai balkay tasdeeq shuda izaafa nahi hai, isliye yeh share khareedne ka koi sabab nahi hai. Phir, hum jald hi 1.0780 ilaqe ke neeche tootne ka intezar karte hain. Agar hum is satah ko barqarar rakhte hain toh yeh share khareedne ka aik behtareen sabab hoga. Ek aur neeche ki jhatka ho sakti hai, jaise ke trade 1.0975 range tak pohanchta hai, uske baad izaafa jari rahega. Chhoti tahfiz ta'meer mumkin hai aur jald he 1.1000 tak pohanch sakti hai. 1.0890 ke neeche toorna bechne ka signal darust karega. Hum aik ghalti kar sakte hain ke maqami top area 1.09540 ko torr den aur is ke neeche reh jaen, aur ek aur signal keemat mein kami ka zahir ho sakta hai, lekin abhi yeh option pechay mein rehta hai. Agar qeemat mojooda satah se kam hoti hai, toh yeh mazeed faiday ka bais ban sakti hai, jo ke aik zyada kashish afreen sarmaya ho sakta hai. Mazeed kharidari mumkin hai agar qeemat 1.08660 ilaqe ko torr deti hai aur is ke oopar jam jati hai. Ek kamyabi se mila hua ittehad aik behtareen bechnay ka signal darust karega 1.0780 ke neeche. Hamain aane wale maheenon mein halki neeche ki rah ka istemaal jari rahega, izaafa ki tawajjo barqarar rakhte hue. Main apni tamam kharidari ko market mein rakhta hoon taake aane wale haftay ke mazeed taqatwar izaafa ke liye tayar ho.

مارچ 29 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے وسیع اتار چڑھاؤ کا مظاہرہ کیا، روزانہ کینڈل کے نچلے سائے کے ساتھ 1.2596 پر ہدف کی حمایت کی جانچ کی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر غیرجانبدار رہتا ہے، نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں سائیڈ وے حرکت کو برقرار رکھتا ہے۔ آج، قیمت بیلنس لائن کے نیچے کھلی، جو ظاہر کرتی ہے کہ پاؤنڈ کا بنیادی مقصد 1.2596 کی ہدف کی سطح پر قابو پانا ہے۔



یہ آج نہیں ہوسکتا ہے کیونکہ یہ برطانیہ اور امریکہ دونوں میں عام تعطیل ہے، لہذا ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ جب امریکی مارکیٹ پیر کو کھلے گی تو بڑے واقعات رونما ہوں گے (برطانیہ کی مارکیٹ منگل کو کھلے گی)۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر سے نیچے ہے، لیکن مارلن ترقی کے علاقے میں داخل ہونے میں کامیاب ہو گئی ہے۔

مارکیٹ ممکنہ طور پر غیر جانبدار اشارے کے ساتھ ایک طرف حرکت شروع کرے گی۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن مزاحمت کا کام کرتی ہے۔ لہٰذا، آج ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ برطانوی پاؤنڈ ایک طرف بڑھے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD (Euro/American Dollar). Aaj kaafi faida mand trading mauqa mojood hai currency pair/instrument ke liye H1 timeframe par munafa bakhsh long position ko shuru karne ke liye. Tajziya ke liye istemal hone wale teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - moujooda kefiyat mein sab se faida mand keemat par long positions kholne ka mauka faraham karenge. Acha munafa hasil karne ke liye market mein sab se behtareen dakhil hone ka mubadi maqam durust pehchaan lena zaroori hai, yeh kai ahem shartein ko mad e nazar rakh kar hota hai. Sab se pehle aur sab se ahem, zaroori hai ke mojooda trend ko higher timeframe H4 par sahi taur par tajziya karna, taake market ke jazbaat ka galat andaza lagakar mali nuqsaan se bacha ja sake. Is ke liye, aik 4 ghante ka timeframe ke saath humare instrument ka chart study karte hain aur dekhte hain ke kya yeh kefiyat ko pura karta hai - H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend ki harkat ek dosre ke mutabiq honi chahiye. Is tarah, pehli qayd ki puri hone ki tasdeeq kar ke, hum yeh yakeen kar sakte hain ke aaj market humein long position mein dakhil hone ka behtareen mauqa faraham kar raha hai. Mazeed tajziya mein, hum indicators ke signals par bharosa karenge.

Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur sabz rang mein tabdeel ho jaayein, to yeh bullish interest ka asal tasdeeq samjha jayega aur yeh ke buyers is waqt market par hukoomat kar rahe hain. Jaise hi indicators rang tabdeel karte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jaate hain aur aik long position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator ke readings par base kara jayega. Mojudah waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se umda levels neeche diye gaye hain - 1.09946. Zaroori maqasid ko hasil karne ke baad, chart par price action ko achi tarah se monitor karna zaroori hai magnetic level ko guzarne ke baad, aur agle qadam ko faisla karna - kya position ko market mein agle magnetic level tak rakha jaye ya pehle se hasil ki gayi munafa ko lock kya jaye. Agar potential munafa barhane ki koshish ki jaaye, to aik trailing stop istemal kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis:

Din ke shuruwat mein, EUR/USD pair ne trading 1.0794 par shuru ki, jo uske forex market mein safar ka pehla marker hai. Har taarik mein, isne 61 pips ka daily span cover kiya, jisme volatality aur mauqon ka safar tha. Jaise jaise ghante beet gaye, exchange rate ne dheere-dheere bartaav kiya, aakhir mein 1.0941 tak pahunch kar, jisse uska trajectory mein ek khaas uchaai darj ki gayi. Virodh mein, market forces ke ebb aur flow ke darmiyan, ek southern trend ubhra, jise 1.0779 tak gira, ek bearish sentiment ki duniya mein chali gayi. Lekin, price movements aur investor sentiment ke tufaan ke beech, ek ajeeb anomaly saamne aaya. Jabke exchange rate ko neeche ki taraf tezi ke jarjmein le ja raha tha, usne kisi had tak channel ki boundary ko nahi toda, 1.0758 tak phunch kar, jo ke bahut paas tha.

Is khilaafati nach ke beech, kharidne walon aur bechne walon, bulls aur bears ke darmiyan yeh jaari dhamaka forex market ke dynamic nature ko darust karta hai, jahan har tick aur pip ek anticipation, speculation aur ant mein, munafa ki talash ki kahani sunata hai. Ek imkan hai ke price 1.0740 ke upar chadh jaaye, jisse 1.0849 aur shayad 1.0865 tak phunch sake. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke pair 1.0805 aur shayad 1.0700 tak girega agar wo 1.0800 ke neeche jaata hai. Pair ka correctuve nature uski positioning dikhata hai, jahan wo monthly pivot level 1.0700 ke upar hai, haftawar pivot level 1.0849 ke neeche, aur dinawar pivot level 1.0885 ke neeche hai. EURUSD pair apne chart par ek potential bullish signal dikh raha hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke hume ihtiyaat bartna chahiye kyunke current price formation mein volume confirmation ki kami hai.

EURUSD jori par shumali jazbaat ka mahaul barqarar hai, lekin lamha e fikriyat mein lamba safar tay karna waqai acha nahi lag raha. Main intezaar karna chahta hoon, jaise ke samundar ke purane aadmi, kam az kam takreeban 1.0821 ke atraaf ek pullback ka, phir jab shumali signal phir se shuru ho, tab khareedna chahta hoon. Shayad aaj yeh na ho. Wednesday ko buhat ahem waqeiat ki tawaqqa hai, America mein ahem reportat hain, jin mein non-farm payrolls shamil hain, aur of course 18:00 MSK par Fed Chairman Powell ka taqreer hai. Shayad yeh bhi nikal aaye ke is se pehle hum dheere dheere giraavat ke sath musalat ho jayein, aur phir shumal ki taraf uchhal jayein. Aaj main koi mazboot uptrend nahi dekhta, zyada se zyada 1.0860, aur yeh sirf agar hum Amriciyo ki raftaar ko follow karein. Mujhe is par shak hai. Aaj koi ahem khabrein nahi hain, agar taqseemiat kuch dal deti hai to.
Maujooda surat haal ek mauqa faraham karti hai ke aanay waale haftay mein EURUSD ko farokht karne ka soch sakte hain, is ke ird gird mojud negative jazbaat ka faida uthate hue. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur apne risk ko manage karne ke liye strategies istemal karni chahiye, forex market ki tabdeeliyon ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. EURUSD ke buland aur pasti ke darjo ka tawazun aur doosre market factors aham honge jab EURUSD ke uthaal chalang mein aqalmandana intekhabat kiye jayenge.

EURUSD ki mukhtalif ahem events ke samne kamiyabi ka tasawar bhi ho sakta hai, jaise ECB meeting aur Amriki nukari ke figures. Haalaanki, aglay maheenay tak dekhte hue, hum yeh kehna ke pair mojooda levalon se door trade nahi karega, darust nahi hai. America ke data ki mustaqil numaindagi maarch se shuru hone ki umeed hai, lekin yeh ek dharaftar process ho sakti hai, ziada bharose mand data ka izhar hota hai. Dollars bechne ko zyada sahulat bakhshtay hain. 200 din ka moving average 1.08246 leval par support ka kaam karta hai aur pair ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Doosri taraf, 50 din ka moving average 1.08654 1.09 tak bullon ka rasta rokta hai.

EURUSD jori ne jumme ke din Amriki dollar ke shehri dabaav se faida uthaya aur haftay ko halka phaila kar khatam kiya. Jori 1.0850 leval par qayam rakhti hai peer ke subah, aur chhoti arsay ki takniki manazir ne ek bullish trend ka bias zahir kiya. EURUSD jori ne 1.0850 ke aas paas qayam rakha hai baqaida Sentix investor confidence index Eurozone mein March mein -10.5 tak barh gaya. Amriki dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai jab ke traders ahem haftay ke agaz par ehtiyaat barat rahay hain, jis mein ECB rate faisla aur Powell ki gawahi ka markazi tasawwur hai. Main 1.0833-1.0819 tak farokht karne ke liye correction ka mozu par soch raha hoon aur pattern ke zuhoor par, pehla maqsaad 1.0888 tak khareedta hoon, jahan hum tijarat ka aik hissa band karte hain aur baqi ko agle zone tak 1.09465-1.09549 tak rakhte hain.

EUR/USD Monday ko mazeed kuch kamzor hotay huay 1.0800 ke qareeb tight range mein trade kiya, haftay ko thori kami ke baad. Trading conditions thin hain, jis se pair ko Easter Monday par directional momentum ikattha karna mushkil hai. United States ke data ne dikhaya ke Jumeraat ko personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index aur core PCE price index dono February mein mahinay ke hisaab se 0.3% barh gaye. Din ke akhri hisse mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke be shak U.S. economy mazboot hai, aur kehne ke saath saath keh diya ke taaza core inflation data ne "asal taraqqi dikhayi." CMEFedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market Fed ke policy rate ko 25 basis points kam karne ki qareeb 70% chance qaim karti hai. U.S. ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) March mein din ke akhri hisse mein jaari kiya jayega. Investors ke mutabiq, overall manufacturing PMI contraction territory mein rehne ki umeed hai lekin thori izafay ke saath 48.4 se barh jayega. Asal-price index, PMI survey ka inflation hissa, 50 se zyada ki umeed hai. Agar asal-price index 50 se neeche surprise karta hai, to pehli reaction dollar ko nuqsaan pohancha sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko traction hasil karne de sakta hai. Sath hi, U.S. stock futures 0.3% se 0.5% tak barh gaye hain. Wall Street par bullish opening dollar demand ko U.S. trading session mein mehdood kar sakti hai. 1.0800 (latest uptrend ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) EUR/USD ka central level hai. Agar yeh resistance level qaim hota hai, to euro mazeed gir sakti hai 1.0760 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement level) aur 1.0700 (uptrend ka shuruaati point) ki taraf. Agar EUR/USD 1.0800 se support leta hai, to 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at 1.0840 agla upside target ho sakta hai, 1.0860-1.0870 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement, 100-period SMA) ke baad.

EURUSD pair ki 4-hour chart ki technical analysis:

Is hafte ka price trend zyada tar neeche ki taraf jaa sakta hai, kyun ke price is hafte price channels ke andar neeche ki taraf trading start kar raha hai, jo ke peechle do hafto ke price movement ki direction ko darust karti hai. Price weekly pivot level 1.0808 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai. Price ne weekly pivot level tak badhna shuru kiya, phir neeche rebound hokar mid-channel lines par trade karna jari rakha. Magar, current candle mid-channel lines ko torne lagti hai, jo ke weekly support level 1.0752 ki taraf ek neeche ka wave ko darust kar sakta hai. Is hafte, agar price weekly pivot level ke upar badhe, toh aap buy kar sakte hain jahan se aap resistance level 1.0848 tak aur phir level 1.0904 tak buy kar sakte hain. Jab price weekly pivot level ke neeche hi rehta hai, toh yeh selling ko support karta hai takriban support level 1.0752 tak.

Mehnat ke nazriye se, April trading ka start hone ke saath, EUR/USD currency pair ka price 1.0800 ke psychological support level ke neeche stable rehta hai, jahan se nuksan 1.0760 level tak badh gaya hai, jo ke paanch hafton ka lowest level hai. Is performance mein pehle quarter ke nuksan lagbhag 2.3% tak badh gaye hain, jisme ECB ke interest rates ko jaldi kam karne ki speculation shamil hai. Kai traders borrowing costs mein kami ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan June sabse zyada possibility hai, haala ke April bhi ek mumkinah time frame hai. ECB officials ne pessimistic forecasts express ki hain, jahan ECB Governing Council ke member Villeroy de Galhão ne kaha ke samay aa gaya hai growth risks ke against insurance lena shuru karke interest rates ko kam karne ka, aur ECB member Fabio Panetta ne yeh indicate kiya ke conditions ban chuke hain policy ko ease karne ka. Cash aane laga hai. Additionally, Piero Cipollone ne ECB ke andar inflation trends ke wapas 2% target tak mid-2025 mein aane ki growing confidence ko note kiya hai, khaaskar jab wage growth ko control mein le liya jata hai, jo lower interest rates ke favor mein ek strong case banata hai.

EUR/USD Pair Review:

EUR/USD pair ab European session ke doran 1.0800 area ke aas paas ek bahut hi narrow price channel ke andar oscillate ho raha hai.

Easter Monday par trading conditions weak hain.

US economic calendar mein ISM Manufacturing PMI data featured hoga.

EUR/USD pair Monday ko 1.0800 area ke thode niche ek bahut hi narrow price range ke andar upar neeche move kar raha hai, jabki pichle hafte ka closure thoda niche tha. Trading conditions weak hain aur Easter Monday par pair ko directional momentum gain karna mushkil hai. Friday ko US se aaye data mein PCE Price Index aur Core PCE Price Index dono 0.3% ke monthly basis par badh gaye thay. February mein. Din ke akhiri hisse mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ki US economy beshak strong hai aur core inflation numbers ne "real progress" dikhaya hai.

CME Group's FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, markets mein Fed ka policy rates ko June mein 25 basis points ki cut karne ki 70% probability hai.

March ISM Manufacturing PMI aaj US economic docket mein featured hoga. Investors headline PMI ko contraction territory mein rehne aur thoda improve hoke 48.4 se 47.8 tak pahunchne ki umeed karte hain. Prices paid index, PMI survey ka inflation component, 50 levels ke upar aane ki umeed hai. Agar prices paid index 50 levels ke neeche unexpectedly gir jaata hai, toh initial reaction US dollar ko nuksan pahuncha sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko gain karne ki ijazat de sakta hai.

Wahi samay par, US stock index futures 0.3% se lekar 0.5% ke beech mein rise kar rahe hain. Wall Street par ek bullish opening US trading hours mein US dollar ke demand ko rok sakta hai.

1.0800 area (recent uptrend ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels) EUR/USD mein ek pivot zone ke roop mein emerge ho raha hai. Agar ye area ek resistance zone ke roop mein kaam karta hai, toh 1.0760 area (78.6 Fibonacci retracement levels) aur 1.0700 area (uptrend ka starting point) ki taraf additional losses dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

Agar EUR/USD mein 1.0800 support ban jaata hai, toh agla retracement target 200-period SMA par 1.0840 pe dekha jaa sakta hai, pehle 1.0860-1.0870 (38.2% Fib, 100-period SMA) ke paas.

EUR/USD Keemat Ka Amalati Jaiza

Chaliye taqreeban aur mojooda EUR/USD currency pair ki harkat par guftagu karte hain. Ek daily transaction ke liye aik ghante ke arsay ke andar bechna munasib lagta hai. Dakhilay ka point -1.0827 par hona chahiye, Stop-Loss 1.0840 aur Take-Profit 1.0814, 1.0801, aur 1.0788 ke liye pehle, doosre, aur teesre hisso ke liye. Behtar hai ke trade ko faida mein band kar diya jaye agar signals tabdeel ho jayein, stop loss ka intezar kar ke nahi. Haal hi mein Federal Reserve ki numainda Lisa Cook ne mukhtalif iqtisadi sectors mein tanaffus ko kam karne ke liye interest rates mein ihtiyaat ka mashwara diya. Haalanki haal hi mein tanaffus mein izafa hua, lekin Fed Chair Powell ne iski ehmiyat ko kam samjha. Cook ne roozgar aur tanaffus ke hawale se maeeshat ki mustaqbil ke mutaliq nakaarat ke raste ko zahir kiya. Mazboot iqtisadi indicators ke bawajood, Fed ne apni taaza meeting mein darjat ko qayam rakha, haalanki ma'aashiyat ke maamlay mein teenu rate cuts ki tawaqqa ki jaati hai.

Naukriyan tayyar ki ja rahi hain, peechle cheh mahino mein musalsal 231,000 nai naukriyan tayyar ki gayi hain. 2024 ke liye iqtisadi nigrani ko 2.1% tak barha diya gaya hai, jise zyada se zyada tanaffus ki wajah se dhamakedar samjha jata hai. Hukoomat ka ehtiyaat angreziyon ko do feesad ke qareeb qayam rakhte hue mehfooz aur mustaqil rokna hai. Is tareeqe se apne aemal se, policymakers umeed karte hain ke keemat ki barqarar rakhi jaye aur ma'aashiyat ki taraqqi ko barhawa diya jaye. Yeh khaas tor par ahem hai mojooda iqtisadi manzar ke hawale se, jo shak o shuba aur shiddat ke sath mutaasir hai. 4 ghante ka EUR/USD chart dekhte hue, mujhe tasavur hai ke tanaffus ke rujhanon ke asar mein ek makhsoos range ke andar trading jari rahegi. Jab tak tanaffus mein numaya tabdiliyan na dikhai dein, jodi is range ke andar tabdeel ho sakti hai. Halanki barhawa aakhir mein ho sakta hai, lekin mojooda halaat ek tang trading range ko support karte hain.

Yeh hafta Euro ne ek chhote se behtar hone ka aghaz kiya, jise thori der ke liye US Dollar ke khilaf 1.08 ke resistance level tak pahunch gaya Yeh ek arsay ki mustaqil kamzori ke baad aaya, jise mukhtalif maqami maaloomat ke pehle aane se pehle investoron ki hoshiyari ne barhaya tha Khatre se bachne ki tawajo ne market ki jazbat ko control kiya, jahan risk-sensitive currencies jaise Euro nuqsaan utha rahe thay Aane waale Jumma ko hone wala American Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report aik badi uncertainty ka markaz hai, aur investors bhi March ke American Manufacturing PMI data ko jo ke Budh ko aane wala hai, dekh rahe hain Jabke factory fa'alat mein thori izafa ki umeed hai, lekin 50 ke neeche ka reading ab bhi tangi ki nishandahi karti hai June mein Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko kam karne ki umeedon ke bawajood, US Dollar taqatwar rehta hai Market ki tawajjo mojooda doran interest rates ko kam karne ki taraf 65% hai Mauqif mein, Eurozone ko kamiyat ke inflation data ki umeed hai, jo ke European Central Bank (ECB) ko June se apne khud ke interest rates ko kam karne ke liye encourage kar sakta hai








Hafta Erupean holiday ke wajah se Monday ko khamosh shuru hua Yeh Euro ke liye aik significant giravat ke doran aaya, jo ke US Dollar ke khilaf key Simple Moving Averages (50, 100, aur 200) ke neeche gir gaya Technical indicators ke mutabiq Euro abhi kisi lowest point ki taraf ja sakta hai, jahan RSI aur Stochastic oscillators pe oversold signals hain Yeh short-term bounce ka baa'is ban sakta hai phir Euro apna downtrend shuru kare Magar, maujooda maqami maaloomat aur central bank policy decisions ke ird gird uncertainty ki wajah se overall manzar andhera hai Aane waale dinon mein Euro aur US Dollar ki future direction ko taayun karne mein ahmiyat hai. September 28, 2022 se July 18, 2023 tak ke uptrend aur December 15, 2022 ke high ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement 1.0727–1.0735 ilaqa mein hai, jahan bear agar khud ko confident mehsoos karte hain to wo EURUSD ko mazbooti se ghaatein de sakte hain Agla potential support ilaqa 1.0635 par ho sakta hai, aur agar wo kamiyaab hote hain to wo 2024 ke liye aik naya low set kar sakte hain

EUR/USD

EUR/USD ne Budh ko "hairat angez" ghair ma'mooli halchal dikhai. Din ka uncha nicha sirf 29 pips ka tha. Magar hum ne pehle hi aap ko daraya tha ke is haftay main tezi kam hogi, kyun ke pichle haftay mein mazidati bunyadi bunyad thi, jab ke is dafa yeh kamzor thi. Aur aise hi hua. Economic reports bhi jo kabhi kabhi traders ke liye dastiyab hote hain, unka koi asar nahi tha kyun ke tamam data doosray ahem nahi tha. Aur har hal mein, agar market practically kuch kar rahi hai to phir farq kya padta hai ke kya unka koi asar hai ya nahi?

Budh ko aam tor par koi macroeconomic background nahi tha. Keemat trend line ke neeche hai, is tarah downtrend jari hai. Hum yeh manti hain ke euro girawat ko dobara shuru karega, magar naye traders khud is harakat ke haqeeqi fitrat ko dekh sakte hain: 3-4 dinon ki kam volatility, 1-2 zyada ya kam dilchasp trading mauqay. Aik sell signal 5-minute timeframe par peda kiya gaya. Kisi waqt European session ke doran, keemat ne 1.0838 ke level se takrao kiya, is ke baad is ne kuchh 20 pips ke qareeb girnay ka kamyab tareeqa dhoondh liya. Kisi bhi nishanat ko khatam karne ke liye koi signal nahi tha, isliye yeh sham ke kisi bhi qareeb band kiya ja sakta tha. Is par munafa 10-15 pips tha. Kuch na honay se behtar hai.

Aaj ke liye lagbhag 1.0800 ke qareeb support hai, mujhe lagta hai ke agle haftay hum is par wapas lautenge, magar abhi shayad kholne par mazeed barh chuki ho! South ke sath jari rehne ke sath, mujhe unchi frames par ghoor kar raha tha, main south ki taraf keh raha hoon! Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke agar vristi hoti hai, to yeh south ki taraf ke trend ko toorna nahi hogi! Is ke ilawa, main khareedne ke volumes par nazar rakh raha hoon jo bilkul shrink ho gaye hain, lagta hai ke woh aakhriyon ko uttar mein khatam karenge, aur phir shayad sirf 1.0700 ke level tak ja kar south jaayenge! Uske baad, agar bechne par munafa lena 1.0700 ke qareeb hota hai, to shayad phir puri tarah se vristi hoti hai! Magar abhi main amooman south ke jari rahne ka hun, sawal sirf yeh hai ke kab? Uttr mein vristi hai jisme rukawatein aur rukawatein shayad phir se south ki taraf mudaavat karenge! Magar abhi main short time mein uttar ki taraf se rollback ki taraf hoon.

EUR/USD

Hum euro/dollar pair ke market situation ko mazeed analyze karte hain. Hum D1 chart ko kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, jab ascending price channel toota, to major sideways trading mein shift hui aur phir ek wide descending wedge bana, jisme do waves of growth aur do waves of decline draw kiye gaye. Iske ilawa, doosri wave of decline poori tarah se form nahin hui thi, aur is analytical post ko likhne ke waqt, major 1.0742 ke level par trade ho rahi hai. Current level se hum aagey south ki taraf ja sakte hain 1.0670 ya 1.0665 ke level tak, jo ke yeh matlab hai ke current levels se hum lagbhag 100 points ka net profit hasil kar sakte hain. Lekin iske saath hi, yeh ek daily chart hai, jiski wajah se hum current levels se corrective growth mein ja sakte hain, aur is moment ko samajhne ke liye humein ek lower timeframe ko consider karna hoga.

M30 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:

Upar, maine daily chart par situation ka analysis kiya, aur ab main half-hour chart kholna chahta hoon aur dekhna chahta hoon ke half-hour timeframe humein kya signals deta hai. Jab ek naya local maximum level 1.0865 par bana, tab euro/dollar pair south ki taraf muda aur phir ek confident downward price channel bana, jisme euro/dollar pair lambe samay tak trade hui jab tak aaj pair ne channel ka lower boundary level 1.0765 ko toor diya, uske baad euro/dollar pair zyada aggressive taur par decline karne laga aur 1.0730 tak gir gaya. Bears abhi tak is level ke neeche nahin gaye hain, lekin maine pehle hi decline ko exactly round price level 1.0700 tak predict kiya tha aur main samajhta hoon ke yeh immediate target sellers ke liye hoga.

EUR/USD


Euro ahtiyaat se trading ho raha hai, bilkul 1.0750 ke ahem level ke neeche, jabke ek kamzor US Dollar anay walay data releases ke liye umeedon ko barha raha hai. Market ke shirakat daar German February Sales aur US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ke 4th quarter (Q4) ke figures ka besabri se intezaar kar rahe hain, kyunki ye EUR/USD pair ke rukh par asar daal sakte hain. Euro 1.0784 par hai, jo ke aik chhote 0.04% daily giravat ko darust karta hai.

Maeeshati Manzar Nama Ko Samajhna:

Pichle haftay, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne panchwe musalsal ihtimaam par darjat ko 5.25–5.50% par barkarar rakha. Chair Powell ke tajurbaat CPI inflation data par kiye gaye tajziye ne ye nazar andaz kiya ke inflation ne neeche ki taraf jane ka imkan hai. Lekin, FOMC tayyar hai ke agar kaam ki shirakat ki halaat ghaflatanah kharab ho gayi toh darjat ko adjust karne ke liye, 2024 ke liye 4.625% par ek darmiani dot tasavvur ki taraf pesh karta hai, jo ke saal bhar ke doran darjat mein kami ke sath numainda hai.

Dovish Rujhanat Ka Jaiza Lena:

Khaas tor par, Atlanta ke Fed President Raphael Bostic ne mukhtalif maeeshati shiraa'at ke tahet 2024 mein aik darjat kami ki taraf ishaara kiya, jabke agah kar diya ke pehle se kam sangeen ho jaane se jo inflation ko pheilata hai. Isi tarah, Chicago ke Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne bhi ek zyada dovish stance express kiya, 2024 mein teen darjat kam hone ke liye guftagu ki, shiraa'at ko inflationary downtrends ke saboot ke mutabiq.

H4 Chart Technical Analysis aur Keemat Ke Shumaray:

Technical indicators ke mutabiq EUR/USD pair ke liye ahtiyaat se ka nazar rehta hai, jahan 'bearish harami' candle pattern nikal raha hai. Bechne walon ke liye, March ke 1.0768 ke neeche chale jaane ka ahem hai, jo ke 1.0700 ki taraf aik challenge ka rasta saaf kar sakta hai. Maamooli barhta huwa Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke bawajood, ahem 200-DMA aik mazboot resistance barrier hai. Mutasir tor par, pichle haftay ke 1.0850 level ke oopar chalne se 1.0800 ko khol sakta hai, jo ke February 14 ke 1.0692 ke doran hoga.

Khud dekhen ke H4 ke darmiyan kuch bhi nahi ho sakta aur aaj pura din aisa hi raha hai. Amm taur par, humare paas euro ke liye ek neeche ki taraf ka channel hai, jo girawat ko darust karta hai, aur ek khaas "head and shoulders" reversal pattern bhi hai. Yahan aap ek triangle bhi dekh sakte hain, jo kaafi bara hai. Jab figure ki neck line tooti, to quotes is line ke neeche qadam nahi jamasakti thin, lekin phir se uske upar laut gayin. Aur amm taur par, agar dhyan se dekhein, to hum channel ke upper line ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain, aur yeh girawat ke liye bahut acha nahi hai. Main tasleem karta hoon ke agle haftay se pehle hum pehle upar ja sakte hain, aur shayad north, chahe local hi kyun na ho, girawat ke muqablay mein ahamiyat rakhay ga

Dusre chart par main euro ki zindagi ko ghantay ki bunyad par dekhta hoon. Yahan euro haqeeqatan mein barhne ka kaafi dilchaspi se izhar karta hai. Humare paas pehle se do khareedne ke signals hain, aur dusra signal ek duplicate mana jata hai. Agar hum growth ki mumkinat ko napen, to asal signal ke mutabiq hum 161.8% Fibonacci targets ki taraf barhne ko dekhte hain, yani ke level 1.0945 ki taraf. Dusra signal thoda kam potential rakhta hai pehle signal ke muqablay mein, aur yeh ishara karta hai ke 138.2% Fibonacci level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke 1.0930 ke targets ke mutabiq hai. Main upar bhi mustaqbil ke maqasid ko neela rectangle se mark karta hoon; agar kuch ho to wahan diye ja sakte hain. Wahan, Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, hamare paas 261% ke level hain, aur numbers ke mutabiq, yeh level 1.1007 hai. Mojooda structure yeh hai ke main tasleem karta hoon aur barhne ko 1.0945 tak zyada mumkin samajhta hoon, girawat ki mansoobahat ke bajaye