Eurusd forum

EUR/USD

Ab bhi mazboot imkaan hai ke trend ke peeche izafa izafa hota rahe ga, halaanki sudharne wale giravat ke baad bhi. Kharidari karne wale behtar shaffaf fariyad ke liye talaash kar rahe hain. Agar 1.0800 ke local minimum se dobara chadh kar izafa hota hai aur wahan se izafa hota hai, to izafa jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Is ke saath hi, wahan bhi ek mehdood quantity ki kharidari ki hukumat thi. Is market ke daraje ka bhi yeh ek pro-trading mahol hai. Giravat mojoodah se aage bhi ja sakti hai, lekin agar mojoodah se giravat jaari rahe, to kharidari phir bhi ki ja sakti hai. Agar hum jald hi 1.0865 ke local maximum ke upar se todte hain aur is ke upar jam hojate hain, to yahan ek achha signal milne par hum kharidari shuru kar sakte hain. Izafa mumkin hai agar mojoodah staron se halki sudhar ke baad jaari rahe. Agar hum 1.0950 ke upar tod sakte hain aur is ke upar jam hojate hain, to hume mazeed dekhna chahiye, kyun ke hum agar is ke upar tod sakte hain.

Agar 1.0867 ke local maximum ke range ka jhoota breakout hojata hai, to yeh keemat hai ke aap apni behtari ko bechna chahte hain. Mojudah trend jald hi jaari rahega, jise chhodkar, jald hi 1.0950 ke range tak ja sakte hain, agar mojoodah trend jaari rahe. Agar share ki keemat dobara 1.0800 ke range tak gir jati hai, jahan trade mojood hai, to izafa dobara shuru ho sakta hai, aur keemat phir se chadh sakti hai. Jab market ke keemat 1.0865 ke range ke doran chhoti sudhar ke doran aas pass aaye, to ek kharidari signal nazr ayega jab market ke harkat se kharidari signal utpann hoga. Signal bullish hai jab ye 1.0965 ko par kar ke uske upar jam hojata hai. Ek indication bhi hai ke keemat jald hi girne wali hai, jo ke 1.0920 ke aas paas ke local maximum range se ek jhoota breakout hoga. Halaanki, is waqt, yeh option pehle se hi peechey reh jayega.

EUR/USD: Tijarati Tadbeer Price Action Ke Sath
Chaliye EUR/USD currency pair ke halat ka tajziya dekhte hain. Pichle karobaari hafte ke Thursday aur Friday mein ahem ma'ashi daston ke bawajood, na to bear aur na hi bull jeet sake, jis se 150 point range ke andar idhar udhar ki liye rukawatein paida hui. Hafta 1.0797 ke muqablay mein 1.0834 ke qareebi upar ki taraf khatam hua, jo ke Monday ke opening ke muqablay bara. Friday ko dekhe gaye EUR/USD ke qeemat ke munafaq aur dilchasp tawazun ne behirhal kai market analysis karne walon ko hairan aur tafseelat talash karne par majboor kar diya. Muashia jori pehle 1.0792 par tezi se giray, lekin bad mein 1.0848 tak phir se utri. Ma'barat ki ghair mamooli aur anoki rawish ne bohot se market analysts ko hairan chhod diya aur unhe wazahat ki talash mein mubtala kar diya. Jabke nazariyaati tajziya peshgi karta hai ke 1.0868 ke qareebi rukawat ki taraf pehla upri harkat hone ka imkaan hai, lekin keemat ke rukh ke baray mein shak o shubahat baqi hain, dono taraf ki mukhtalif raftar ka imkaan hai.

H1 chart par "Head and Shoulders" pattern saamne aaya hai, jo ke aage chal kar bullish izafa ki taraf ishaarat de sakta hai jis ko tod kar 1.0926-1.0946 aur 1.0970 ke qareebi rukawat tak ponch sakta hai. Magar, agar yeh pattern ko tor diya jaye aur ek mukhtalif bearish level ka tohfa dena pare, toh yeh pattern naqis ho jaye ga, sath hi ek mumkin bullish channel bhi. 15-minute chart ko nigaah daal kar, maine dekha ke jab 1.0864 ke rukawat ke ooper karobar hota hai, toh farokht karne walon ko momentum milti hai, jis se 1.0831 support par tabdili aati hai. Magar, yeh support mazeed farokht dabaav ko barhata hai, jo ke ek neeche ki raftar ki ishaarat de raha hai, jise 1.0812 support ko tor kar siddha kiya gaya hai. Musbat bayrozgari daston ke bawajood, jodi ka rukh 1.0831 tak qareeb rukawat ke bina ghair ahem farokht karne walay volume ke saath mutalliq sawalat uthta hai. Jabke kharidar volume kehte hain ke izafa ka imkaan hai, main 1.0864 rukawat ki taraf mazeed upar ki taraf harkat ki umeed karta hoon.

اپریل 8 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

جمعے کے روز امریکی روزگار کے اعداد و شمار بہترین سامنے آئے، جس سے تاجروں کو خطرہ مول لینے کی ایک اچھی وجہ ملی، لیکن پھر جوش تیزی سے ختم ہو گیا، اور یورو اور دیگر انسداد ڈالر کی کرنسییں دن کے نیچے بند ہوئیں (ڈالر انڈیکس 0.17%)۔ آج، فروری کے لیے جرمنی کا تجارتی توازن شائع کیا جائے گا، جس میں پیشین گوئیاں 27.5 سے 25.1 بلین یورو تک کمی کی تجویز کرتی ہیں۔ اس دن کے لیے کوئی اور اہم ڈیٹا جاری نہیں کیا جائے گا۔ آگے بڑھتے ہوئے، مارچ کے لیے امریکی سی. پی. آئی. بدھ کو جاری کیا جائے گا - پیشین گوئی فروری میں 3.2% y/y کے مقابلے میں 3.4% y/y ہے۔ یہ فیڈرل ریزرو کے مقابلے میں مضبوط یورپی مرکزی بینک کی شرح میں کمی پر سرمایہ کاروں کے خیالات کو متاثر کر سکتا ہے۔ ای سی بی کی اگلی میٹنگ جمعرات، 11 اپریل کو ہونے والی ہے۔ مارکیٹ عام طور پر یہ مانتی ہے کہ مرکزی بینک نرخوں میں کوئی تبدیلی نہیں کرے گا۔ تاہم، ای. سی. بی. نے ممکنہ آسنن شرح میں کمی کے بارے میں سگنل بھیجے ہیں۔ تاریخ ہمیں بتاتی ہے کہ ای. سی. بی. نے مارکیٹ کے جذبات سے قطع نظر، ٹھیک ٹھیک اشارے کے بعد ہی شرحیں تبدیل کی ہیں، فیڈ کے برعکس، جو کہ ابتدائی طور پر مارکیٹوں کو آئندہ ریٹ کی تبدیلی کے لیے تیار کرتا ہے۔ لیکن یہاں تک کہ اگر 11 تاریخ کو شرح میں کوئی تبدیلی نہیں ہوتی ہے، تو بینک یقینی طور پر ایک غیر مہذب موقف کا مظاہرہ کرے گا۔ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ اس ہفتے یورو میں اضافے کی بہت کم وجہ ہے۔



یومیہ چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے ہے، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر قلیل مدتی سائیڈ وے حرکت کے بعد نیچے آگیا ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 1.0796 پر سپورٹ سے نیچے ٹوٹ جائے گی اور 1.0724 کی طرف مزید گرے گی۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے اوپر جا رہی ہے۔ مارلن بھی اپ ٹرینڈ علاقے میں ہے۔ قیمت کو 1.0796 پر سپورٹ پر حملہ کرنے کے ساتھ ساتھ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن ، جو اس کے نیچے ہے، کے لیے جوڑے کو اچھی تحریک کی ضرورت ہے۔ اس وقت تک، قیمت ممکنہ طور پر ایک طرف جائے گی۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD daily H4 timeframe chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke siyasi tanaavat, tajaratik tanazaat, aur global uncertainties tajirana ehsasaat par bhaari asar daal sakti hain, jis se currency values mein nazar aane wale farqat-e-wazeh ho sakti hain. Haal hi mein, euro ne mukhtalif challenges ka samna kiya hai Eurozone ke andar siyasi be-atmiyatiyon ke natayej mein, jese ke ongoing Brexit negotiations, Italian debt ke mutaliq pareshaniyan, aur member states ke darmiyan fiscal strategies ke lehranaat. Ye uncertainties euro par dabaav barhane ka sabab bane, jis se major currencies, khaaskar US dollar ke muqable mein izafa shiddat se hota hai. US dollar ka darja jahan har taraf primary reserve currency ke tor par hai, usay global financial markets mein ek khaas position hasil hai. US monetary policies, economic indicators, aur siyasi waqiyat ke tabadlon ka asar aam tor par currency markets par wazeh farqat daal sakti hai, jis se trading dynamics, jese ke EUR/USD pair, mein asar hota hai.
EUR/USD currency pair market sentiment ka aik ahem meter hai, jo Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan arazi maliyyat ke istehqaaq ko darust karta hai. Traders aur investors mukhtalif factors ko ghor se janchte hain, jese ke economic data releases, central bank decisions, siyasi waqiyat, aur prevailing market sentiment, taki future movements ko EUR/USD currency pair mein paish-e-nazar kar sakein. Har ek ye maamoolat currency market dynamics ko shakl dene wale jatil tarzeen mein hissa hai.

Asal mein, EUR/USD currency pair mukhtalif influences ke liye naqis rehta hai, jese ke economic indicators, central bank policies, siyasi waqiyat, aur prevailing market sentiment. Haal hi mein German inflation data ke weakened hone ke mutaliq speculation ne market ke ongoing discussions mein mazeed complexity ko izafa diya hai. Ye jatil factors mil kar currency market dynamics ki mukhtalif wusat ko numayan karte hain.

Haal hi mein ECB interest rate cuts ke mutaliq shakhsiyat ne euro par dabaav barha diya hai, jis se investors Eurozone aur United States se inflation data, sath hi US ki ISM Services PMI ko bhi ghor se monitor kar rahe hain. Traders ek plex landscape mein navigate kar rahe hain aur in factors ko tajjub se janch kar ke forex market mein maujooda opportunities ko giraft karna chahte hain.

H4 time frame chart par EURUSD pair ki movement dekhte hue, pichle Thursday ke trading session mein price ka barhao saaf nazar aata hai. Is barhao ne 1.0869 ka resistance level ko tor kar kaamyaabi hasil ki. Is event ko samajhne ke liye, humein kuch factors ko dhyan mein rakhna hoga. Sabse pehle, resistance level ka tor karna ek important technical event hai, jo traders ke liye significant hota hai. Jab price ek resistance level ko tor kar upar jaata hai, toh ye ek bullish signal provide karta hai, jisse market sentiment positive ho jaata hai. Is barhao ke peeche kuch reasons ho sakte hain. Ek possible reason ho sakta hai ki market mein positive news ya events hue honge, jo EUR ke favor mein the. Ye ho sakta hai ki economic data ya geopolitical developments ne EUR ki demand ko badhaya ho. Dusri possibility ye bhi ho sakti hai ki USD weak ho gaya ho. USD ki weakness bhi EURUSD pair mein price ka barhao laa sakta hai. USD ki weakness ke peeche kai factors ho sakte hain, jaise ki dovish monetary policy statements ya economic indicators ka underperformance. Technical analysis ke perspective se, traders ne bhi is movement ko support kiya hoga. Agar price ne resistance level ko tor diya hai, toh traders ka confidence bhi badh jaata hai, aur wo long positions lete hain, expecting further upward movement. Is situation mein, traders ko bhi apne risk aur reward ko consider karna important hota hai. Is bullish movement ke baad, kya price aur upar jaayega ya phir resistance level se reversal hoga, ye samajhna crucial hota hai. Risk management ke liye, stop-loss orders ka istemal karna bhi important hota hai. Overall, EURUSD pair ke H4 time frame chart par Thursday ke trading session mein dekha gaya price ka barhao aur 1.0869 ka resistance level ko tor kar kaamyaabi hasil karna, multiple factors ke combination ka natija hai, including positive market sentiment, potential USD weakness, and technical analysis support. Traders ko is movement ko samajhkar apne trading strategies ko adjust karna zaroori hai, taking into account both potential opportunities and risks.

Eurusd

Main Eurusd ki movement ko fundamental analysis aur technical analysis ke zariye analyze karne ki koshish karunga taake Eurusd ke agle movement ki disha ko pata chale.

Eurusd ka movement Jumma ko kafi giravat dekha, 60 pips tak, jabke 1.0850 se 1.0790 tak gir gaya. Eurusd currency pair ka giravat EURO currency exchange rate ki kamzori ki wajah se hua, Eurozone mein retail sales kam hone ke news ke release hone ke baad 0.5% aur German factory orders bhi 0.2% kam hone ke news se Eurusd ka movement 20 pips gir gaya. Iske alawa, Eurusd ka giravat USA dollar ki taqat bardasht karne se bhi hua, jab NFP news ke release hone ke baad 303 hazar non-agricultural job vacancies aayi aur America mein be rozgar dar bhi 3.8% tak kam ho gaya, isse Eurusd ka movement kafi zyada gir gaya 1.0790 ke price tak. Lekin, Jumma ko market band hone ke baad, USA dollar ka kamzori experience hua jab SP500 index shares ke price 5220 tak badh gaya, isse USD se EURO exchange rate kafi zyada kamzor ho gaya. Mere fundamental analysis ke natijay mein aaj ke liye future movement ke liye EURUSD ka mai ab bhi BUY EURUSD ka faisla karta hoon 1.0860 ke price tak.

Mere technical analysis ke hisab se, Eurusd ka future movement ab bhi 1.0860 ke price tak ka rise ka trend dikhata hai. Is baat ki wajah hai ke M30 time frame par Eurusd currency pair ka movement ek bullish engulfing candle ban gaya hai jo ke kafi strong BUY EURUSD signal hai 1.0860 ke price tak future mein. Relative strength index 14 indicator ki visualisation mein, pata chalta hai ke eurusd ka price 1.0790 par oversold ya bohot zyada oversold hai, iska matlab hai ke shayad hi Monday ko eurusd ka movement upar ki taraf correct ho jaaye, kareeb 10-50 pips tak. BUY EURUSD signal ko FIBONACCI method se bhi support mil raha hai kyunki jab Eurusd ka price 1.0790 ke range mein tha, toh pata chala ke Eurusd RBS area mein tha, isliye Monday ko Eurusd ka price 1.0860 ke range tak badhna mushkil nahi hai. Mere technical analysis ke natijay mein aaj ke liye Eurusd currency pair ke movement ke liye, maine faisla kiya hai ke mai BUY EURUSD 1.0860 ke price tak rakhunga.

Aaj ki daily chart ki takhleeqi tajziyah se, aam tor par wazeh hai ke simple moving averages qeemat par upar ki taraf dabaav daal rahe hain. Halaanki, ye bullish jazba ko baaqi rehne wale bearish signals ke saath juxtakarta hai. Takniki tasveer saath mein shamil shakl mein darust hai. Is manzar ke mutabiq, maujooda intraday trend ek downtrend ki taraf mael karta hai, jahan ek barri manzil 1.0765 par set ki gayi hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke dhiyan dein ke agar yeh level tor diya jata hai to currency pair ke liye nuqsaan ko barha sakta hai, jisey mazeed giravat ki rah mein aur 1.0730 aur aakhir mein 1.0700 ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Iske baad, agar niche ki manzil jaari rahe to pair ko mazeed challenges ka samna kar sakte hain, jahan ek mumkin giravat 1.0665 tak ho sakti hai. Ye tajziyah market mein maujood bullish aur bearish taqatoun ke darmiyan nazuk tabeer ko zahir karta hai. Jabke moving averages ko upar ki harkat ke liye daawat dete hain, maujooda bearish jazba tasveer mein hoshiyari ka aghaz karta hai. Karobari logon ko khaas tor par pehchaanay gaye maqamat ko qaabil nigaah rakhte hue tajziyah ke maayene ko samajhne ke liye hamesha qareebi hifazati nikaat aur maqsadon ko mutasir karne wale key levels ka tehqiq karna chahiye.
Is tarah, hushyar khatra nigrani ke tariqay ko hidayat kiya jata hai, jahan karobari log mukhtalif mode ke ya taweil giravaton ke hawale se hoshyaar rehte hain. Market ke hissedarain stop-loss orders istemal karne aur qeemat ki harkat ko qareeb se dekhte hue maujooda ghair yaqeeni mein mukammal tor par guzara kar sakte hain. Aakhri mei, jab takneeki tajziyah aam tor par ek aaghaazati trend ki taraf ishara karta hai, bearish signals ke mojoodgi ek hoshiyari taur par hona zaroori hai. Key levels ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hue aur mazboot khatarnaak nigrani strategies ka istemal karke, traders apne aapko potential opportunities par faiyda uthane ke liye muntaqil kar sakte hain jabke is dakhliyat se hone wale nuqsaan ko kam kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Euro ne peechle review ke mansoobe ko amal mein nahi laaya. Umeed ki gayi izafa nahi hua. Taqreeban nishandah range ke andar se ooncha shuru karke, pair ne 1.0905 par ruk gaya, maqsood ke darmiyan. Iske baad, yeh gir gaya, support aur reversal levels ko tor kar aur nuqsaan ko 1.0787 par roka. Ek bounce hua, aur qeemat phir se 1.0905 tak pahunch gayi, jahan woh rukawat ka samna kiya aur apni girawat ko jari rakha. Qeemat ne taqreeban ek triple-top pattern ko resistance level par paida kar diya. Agar qeemat resistance level ko tor nahi pati hai, toh woh 1.0787 support level ko tor degi. Stochastic oscillator 100 lines ko pohanch kar ek bearish trend dikhata hai. Isliye, hum intezar karenge jab tak qeemat resistance level ke neeche rehti hai. Chart neeche dekhein:



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Aam tasveer dikhati hai ke pair koi waziha raah nahi rakh raha hai. Magar, poori tarah se izafa karne ki namumkinat tasveer, rukh ke tabadil hone ki alaamat ho sakti hai. Halq mein girawat jari rahi, mojooda range ke baad. Mein ne euro mein bech ka karobaar kiya hai, jo ke nuqsaan mein tair raha hai. 1.0930 ke level ka pur sukoon imtehaan aur is ke neeche jamav, ek rebound ke baad, mazboot rukawat ko dikhata hai. Is level ko dobara imtehaan karne ki koshishain naa-mumkin nahi hain. Ek rebound ke case mein, pair ek maqami kam se kam tak giray ga, pehla target qareeb 1.0787 ke paas aur 1.0713 ke toot jaane ka. Dusra mansooba izafa ke taraf is pivot level 1.0930 ke ilaqa mein is hain, jis ke upar ek upri harkat zyada sambhav hai. Chart neeche dekhein:

Subah bakhair! EUR/USD currency pair ke daily (D1) time frame chart ne hal mein kafi tawajju hasil ki hai. Shuru mein, yeh ek phase tha jahan trading mein koi tabdeeli nahi thi, phir aik numaya wide falling wedge pattern ka ubhar hua. Yeh pattern barhtay huay kam darjat ki unchaaiyon aur kam darjat ki nichaaiyon se makhsoos hota hai, jo ke market mein bullish aur bearish ehsaasat ke darmiyan ek jhagra darust karta hai. Market ke hissa lenay walay aur analysts in tarraqiyo ko muntazir hain kyunke yeh market ke ehsaasat mein tabdeeli ki mumkin nishandahi aur ek raasta tay karne ka waqt nazar aata hai.Side mein trading phase, jo market ka muwazan darust karta hai, ek aise dor ko darust karta hai jahan na kharidaron ka dominancy hai na farokht karne walon ki. Aise consolidation phases aksar ahem keemat ke harekato se pehle aate hain. Magar, wide falling wedge pattern ke baad ke ubharne ka nishaan, is muwazan ka hal kiye jaane ki tawajju ko darust karta hai, jahan ek taraf ke momentum ki taraf leaning hoti hai.

Wide falling wedge pattern mein tajziya ki jaane wali tafseelat mein, keemat mein charhne aur girne ki shaayd nazar aati hai, jo kharidaron aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan control ke liye ek jang ka darust karta hai. Pehla charhavvad aksar shuru ki farokht dabi hai, jo ke keemat mein kami ka baais banta hai. Is ke baad, doosra charhavvad aksar ek consolidation ya thori si behtari ka daura darust karta hai phir mazeed girne wale momentum ke peechay.Ye patterns market psychology aur mumkin mustaqbil ke keemat ke harekato mein insights faraham karte hain, sirf technical tajziya se zyada. Traders in taraqqiyo ko tafseel se dekh rahe hain taake woh aane wale trading opportunities ko pehchaan sakein aur un par faida utha sakein. Mazeed, analysts market ehsaasat ko mutasir karne wale broader economic aur geopolitical factors ko dekh rahe hain, jo wide falling wedge pattern ke ubharne wale directional bias ko mustaqil ya naa-mustaqil karte hain.Iske ilawa, wedge pattern ki barhtay huee fitrat tajziya mein complexity ko izhar karta hai, jo market mein izafa hone wali bechaini aur uncertainty ki nishandahi karta hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur samajhdaari se amal karna chahiye.

Euro ka US Dollar ke muqable mein ek buland raftar par chal raha hai, jo ke teesre ko naram Dollar ke dafatan ke sath 1.0860 ke darje ke qareeb mojood hai. Investors agle waqiyat jaise ke US March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka izhar jo mangal ko hai aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki aamli baithak jo jumeraat ko hai, ko qareeb se nazar andaaz kar rahe hain. Agla US CPI figures ka izhar March ke liye sabar se intezar kiya ja raha hai kyun ke yeh maheene ke izhaar se maeeshat mein mazeed taqat aur mukhtalif interest rate ke azal ki tajziyat ko mutasir karne ki hesiyat rakhta hai. Agar CPI data umeedon ko paar karta hai, to yeh bharta hua inflationary dabao ke baare mein pareshani ka sabab ho sakta hai, aur shayad Federal Reserve ke maali policy ke tawajju mein tabdiliyon ke baare mein tajziyat ki aag mein dal sakta hai. Bar aks, ECB ka darust rahega ke apne Main Refinancing Operations Rate ko 4.5% par banaye rakhna jisme uska April ki baithak shamil hai. Yeh faisla maeeshat mein dobara taraqqi aur Eurozone mein inflation ko stable banaye rakhne ki koshishon ke mutabiq hai. ECB ke faisla aur uske policymakers ke kisi bhi sath ki tahrirat currency markets mein Euro ki karobariyon ko mukhtalif terhan mutasir kar sakti hain.
Haal ki doraan, Euro Dollar ke muqable mein apni position ko mazboot kar raha hai, jo ke Eurozone se behtar maeeshati nishanat aur US Dollar ki mukhtalif kamzoriyon ke zor par chal raha hai. Magar, siyasi tanazurat aur jari COVID-19 waba ke ird gird ke gumrahiyan ab bhi market ehsaasat aur currency fluctuations par asar dal rahe hain. Traders aur investors in taraqqiyo ko tawajju se dekh rahe hain, EUR/USD exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh ke baray mein signals talash kar rahe hain. Agar US CPI data mein koi hairat angez waqia ya ECB ki maali policy stance mein anjaan tabdeeliyan hui to currency markets mein bulandi hui volatility ka sabab bann sakti hai. Amuman, Euro ke dollar ke muqable mein kismet ko maeeshati data ke izharat, central bank ke faislay, aur global waqiyat ke sath tay kiya jata hai jo agle dinon mein aane wale hain. Traders ko chaukanna rehne aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banane ki salahiyat rakhni chahiye taake wo market sharaait ke tabdeel hone wale manzar ko guzarne mein kamyab ho sakein.

Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, hum pehle se hi H1 chart par oversold range mein hain aur wahan se taqwiyat jari rahe sakti hai. Hum ne is ke baad correctional reduction hasil kiya, aur ab hum ek izafa hasil kar sakte hain. Yeh pata chalta hai ke barhawat jari rahegi, shayad 1.0885 ka tor phorna ke baad. Shayad woh is ke oopar mazbooti hasil kar le, phir yeh kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Neeche 1.0800 ka support level hai jahan se keemat Jumeraat ko phir se uchal mili thi. Jab ke yahan uncertainty hai, farokht karne wale aur khareedne walon ke liye mohtaat imkaanat hain. Main girawat ke liye hoon aur do farokht zones hain, ya ek khatarnak line tak barhna aur wahan, chhote douron mein, ek farokht shakal ka intezaar karna. Ya girawat aur 1.0900 ke neeche mazbooti hasil karne, farokht jari girawat ke liye bhi wahan muntazir kiye gaye hain.

Currency pair din ke doran mustabiq hai, is ne 12 ghanton mein zyada nahi harkat ki, 1.0801 ke muqaddar numindar janubi rukawat ke oopar reh raha hai jo Jumeraat ko aik sahara darja aur peechli trading haftay ka kam se kam level hai. Is ne ne to kam ke dobara jaanch kiya hai, balke is se inkar kiya ja raha hai, ab 1.0818 par quotation hai. Time horizon par mumalik ke candlesticks dekhne par, aik mombatti taizi ke shuba mein 1.0850 ki taraf barhne ki ishaarat deti hai, lekin kya din ke end tak yeh wahaan taye ga yeh sawal rehta hai. Currency exchange rate ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ka imkaan hai, isliye sirf ek zor se ya dorost barhne ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. Pichle do hafton mein, qeemat ke rukh niche ki taraf tha, kyunke is haftay ki shuruaat bearish qeemat ke channels ke andar hui, sath hi hafte ke pivot level 1.0850 ke neeche tha.

Ab qeemat buland ja rahi hai, kyunke is haftay jora gaya rukh bearish hone ki umeed hai. Magar, pehle hafte ke pivot level tak pohanchna mumkin hai phir kami shuru hone lagay, kyunke qeemat haftay ke support level 1.0758 tak pohanch sakti hai. Pichle haftay ke natayej ke mutabiq, yeh maloom hota hai ke jora gaya rukh neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Zahir hai ke yeh 1.0694 par mojooda kam se kam ko dobara test karne ki taraf ja raha hai, jis ko toor kar yeh aik naya kam se kam banana chahay ga, jis se yeh phir se buland ho jaye ga.

Ye tajziya foran nahi hai aur euro ke liye lagbhag ek mah ya do mah lag sakta hai. Ab qeemat do levels ke darmiyan hai: 1.0700 par sahara aur 1.1000 ke neeche bass resistance. Halaat ke mutabiq, yeh maloom padta hai ke jora gaya rukh neeche ki taraf ja raha hai aur iska target sahara hai. Aglay haftay ki shuruat maqbool tor par upar ki taraf aam shuru ho sakti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak neeche ka rukh tor nahi payega, aur neeche ka rukh jaari rahna chahiye.

Subah bakhair EUR/USD daliy D1 taim farm chart currency pair ne khaas tawajju hasil ki hai, jisay pehle ek muddat ke stagnant trading ki doraan mazboot chadhti hui falling wedge pattern ki numayan shakal mein ubhaar diya gaya. Ye pattern, jo progressive tor par kam hoti hui unchiyon aur kam hoti hui qeematon se nazar aata hai, market mein bullish aur bearish jazbaton ke darmiyan ek jhagra ko zahir karta hai. Market ke hissadaran aur analysts in taraqqiyat ko qareebi nigrani mein rakhte hain kyun ke ye market ke jazbat mein ek mumkinah tabdeeli aur ek dairah sari taraf ki taraf ka aghaz ki tasweer deta hai. Sideways trading phase, market ka eqilibrium darust karta hai, jo aik muddat hai jahan kharidari ya farokht karne wale dono zaahir nahi hote. Aise consolidation muddaton mein aksar ahem qeemat ke peshiyan hoti hain. Magar, wide falling wedge pattern ke baad aane wale ubhaar is eqilibrium ka hal ka mumkinah ishaara hai, jisme ek taraf ko neeche ki taraf ka tendency hota hai.

Wide falling wedge pattern unchiyon aur neeche ki taraf mein qabil tajziye waves ko shaamil karta hai. Har wave kharidari aur farokht ke darmiyan control ka aik mukhtalif marhala dikhata hai. Aam tor par, pehla wave aghazati farokht ki dabaav ko dikhata hai, jisse qeemat girti hai. Baad mein, doosra wave aksar aik consolidation muddat ya thori si behtari ko dikhata hai phir mazeed neeche ki taraf ka momentum hota hai.

In patterns ke asarat sirf technical analysis se zyada hain, kyun ke ye market ki psychology aur mumkinah future ki qeematon ke hawalay se maahol ke andar ki darustiyan faraham karte hain. Traders ye taraqqiyat nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhte hain taake wo potential trading opportunities ka paish qadam ban sakein. Is ke ilawa, analysts market sentiment ko asar daalne wale broad economic aur geopolitical factors ko bhi tafsili tor par dekh rahe hain, jo wide falling wedge pattern ke emerging directional bias ko tasdeeq ya na tasdeeq kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, pattern ka barhne wala nature tajziya mein aur bhi complexities ka ek husn hai, jo ke market mein barhte hue volatility aur uncertainty ko zahir karta hai. Traders ko aise turbulent halat mein hoshyar rehna aur risk management strategies ka istemal karna chahiye. Pattern ke barhne ka aik aur nuksan bhi ho sakta hai, jo ke market participants ke darmiyan lamba fasla hone ki nishaani ho sakti hai, isliye developments ko waqt par qareebi nigrani mein rakhna zaroori hai.

Doraan-e-ghalta aur keemat ki harkat mein ghairat ehtiyaat aur adhaayat, emerging directional bias ki taqat aur istiqamat ke baray mein ahem insights faraham kar sakta hai. Traders aur analysts dekhte hain ke kya neeche ki taraf ka momentum mazid barhta hai ya agar pattern ke andar rukh ya thabk jhalakta hai. Aise tajziyat trading strategies ko behtari se behtari banane aur risk exposure ko mutabiq karna ke liye nihayat ahem hain.

Mukhtasir tor par, EUR/USD currency pair ki haal ki keemat ka amal, jo wide falling wedge pattern ke ubhaar ke zariye chhintak hota hai, market sentiment mein ek mumkinah tabdeeli aur neeche ki taraf ka bias ka aghaz dikhata hai. Traders aur analysts ye developments nazar andaz kar rahe hain taake future price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake aur market mein mojood volatility aur uncertainty ka samna karte hue trading opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S E U R / U S D

Aaj, main apni trading analysis EUR/USD par aap ke saath share karne ke liye utejit hoon. Is waqt, keemat EUR/USD ke 1.0873 ke neeche tair rahi hai. US dollar index manfi ilaqa mein hai, jo ke darsata hai ke US currency ghat rahi hai, aur natija yeh hai ke EUR/USD market mein ek musbat trend hai. Agar aap log chart dekhein, to EUR/USD ke keemat ke taraqqi ke development ko ek uptrend ke taur par dekh sakte hain. Qeemat pehle se barh rahi hai, aur bull momentum zaroori hai, isliye ab EUR/USD ke qeemat mein izafa bohot hoga. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.0598 par hai jo ke bullish ilaqa mein hai aur ek bullish momentum dikhata hai. Ussi waqt, MACD indicator par bhi bullish signal hai kyun ke signal line ya slow line zero line ya midline ke upar hai. Ye indicator bhi darsata hai ke EUR/USD par bull bohot mazboot hain, isliye main umeed karta hoon ke EUR/USD ke qeemat agle dino mein mazbooti se aur zyada barhegi. Moving averages bhi ek bullish signal dikhate hain. EUR/USD 20-day exponential moving average ke thori upar trade ho rahi hai. Ussi waqt, 50-day exponential moving average bhi mojooda EUR/USD ke qeemat ke neeche hai jo ke ek bullish signal dikhata hai.

Is mamlay mein, 1.0873 EUR/USD ke liye ahem resistance level hoga. Is time frame chart par, agla mazboot resistance 1.0941 ke qeemat par hai. Us ke baad, EUR/USD aur bhi 1.1121 ke resistance level ke taraf barhegi jo ke teesra resistance level hai. Dosri taraf, is mamlay mein, 1.0821 EUR/USD ke liye ahem support level hoga. Is time frame chart par, agla mazboot support 1.0775 ke qeemat par hai. Us ke baad, EUR/USD aur neeche 1.0725 ke support level ke taraf giray gi jo ke teesra support level hai. Isliye agar hum ab EUR/USD ko khareed lein to hum achha munafa hasil kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD

Ab bhi mazboot imkaan hai ke trend ke peeche izafa izafa hota rahe ga, halaanki sudharne wale giravat ke baad bhi. Kharidari karne wale behtar shaffaf fariyad ke liye talaash kar rahe hain. Agar 1.0800 ke local minimum se dobara chadh kar izafa hota hai aur wahan se izafa hota hai, to izafa jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Is ke saath hi, wahan bhi ek mehdood quantity ki kharidari ki hukumat thi. Is market ke daraje ka bhi yeh ek pro-trading mahol hai. Giravat mojoodah se aage bhi ja sakti hai, lekin agar mojoodah se giravat jaari rahe, to kharidari phir bhi ki ja sakti hai. Agar hum jald hi 1.0865 ke local maximum ke upar se todte hain aur is ke upar jam hojate hain, to yahan ek achha signal milne par hum kharidari shuru kar sakte hain. Izafa mumkin hai agar mojoodah staron se halki sudhar ke baad jaari rahe. Agar hum 1.0950 ke upar tod sakte hain aur is ke upar jam hojate hain, to hume mazeed dekhna chahiye, kyun ke hum agar is ke upar tod sakte hain.

Agar 1.0867 ke local maximum ke range ka jhoota breakout hojata hai, to yeh keemat hai ke aap apni behtari ko bechna chahte hain. Mojudah trend jald hi jaari rahega, jise chhodkar, jald hi 1.0950 ke range tak ja sakte hain, agar mojoodah trend jaari rahe. Agar share ki keemat dobara 1.0800 ke range tak gir jati hai, jahan trade mojood hai, to izafa dobara shuru ho sakta hai, aur keemat phir se chadh sakti hai. Jab market ke keemat 1.0865 ke range ke doran chhoti sudhar ke doran aas pass aaye, to ek kharidari signal nazr ayega jab market ke harkat se kharidari signal utpann hoga. Signal bullish hai jab ye 1.0965 ko par kar ke uske upar jam hojata hai. Ek indication bhi hai ke keemat jald hi girne wali hai, jo ke 1.0920 ke aas paas ke local maximum range se ek jhoota breakout hoga. Halaanki, is waqt, yeh option pehle se hi peechey reh jayega.

Euro (EUR) ab 1.0765 ke qareeb hai, aur chand hafton ke kam az kam girawat ke baad ek choti si uthaal-putaal ke baad ke lagataar haarte hue hai. Ye is ke bawajood hai ke US Dollar Index (DXY) jo ke mojooda waqt mein 105.00 ke neeche trading kar raha hai, EUR/USD pair ko kuch madad faraham kar raha hai. Magar, Eurozone ke ma'ashiyati data ek mukhtalif tasveer paish kar raha hai. Ek taraf, kamzor US Dollar Euro ke liye aik musbat factor hai. US Federal Reserve ke doveish comments jismein ye kehte hain ke is saal interest rates kam kiye jaane ke ihtemam hai, ye hararat zada pressure daal rahe hain dollar par. Ye future traders ke tawaqo ke mutabiq hai jo June mein Fed ko monetary policy ko asaan karna aur saal ke ikhtitami tak 75 feesad point ke had tak darjat ko kam karne ki tawaqo rakhte hain. Doosri taraf, haal hi mein German inflation data Euro ke rukh ko kamzor kar raha hai. Germany ke March ke inflation figures thori had tak tawajjo se kam aaye, ye tajwez kar rahe hain ke European Central Bank (ECB) darjat ko kam kar sakta hai. Ye is liye ke ECB 2% ke qareeb inflation ko nishana banata hai, aur Germany ke kam figures Eurozone ko is maqsad ke qareeb pohancha sakte hain. Yeh mukhtalif signals ke baais EUR/USD pair ko aik seedha seedha trade kar raha hai ek shant haftay ki shuruaat mein, jis ka sabab Europe mein Easter holidays hain. Takneekan, EUR/USD late December 2023 se neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, bar-bar resistance line ko torne mein na kaamyaab hota hai. Ye kamzori mazeed aham hai is wajah se ke pair ab apni ahem moving averages (50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day) ke neeche trading kar raha hai. Agay dekhte hue, kuch tajziye karne walay is ke liye mazeed downside hosakta hai EUR/USD ke liye. Technical indicators jese ke Stochastic Oscillator par oversold territory ka hona ye ishara deta hai ke Euro ke aur girne ke liye jagah hai qabal-e-awaal rebound ke. Ye bearish traders ke liye ek dilchasp dakhilay ka point hosakta hai jo EUR/USD ko short karna chahte hain aur ek moghtasir giravat se faida uthana chahte hain.