Eurusd forum

EUR/USD mein ab tak dekhi gayi behtri kafi dilchasp hai. Market mein chhote aur baraabari ke mudday hain, jo traders aur investors ko sochne aur kaam karne par majboor karte hain. Abhi, jab market 1.07303 par hai aur aage ki taraf ja raha hai, kuch important factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue market ki haalat ko samajhna zaroori hai. Pehli baat to ye hai ke Euro aur Dollar ke darmiyan ki competition hamesha se hi strong rahi hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur monetary policies ke asar ke teht, currency pairs ki value mein tabdiliyan aati rehti hain. Eurozone aur US mein halaat mein kisi bhi badlav ki wajah se EUR/USD pair mein tezi ya mandi aati hai.

Dollar ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, interest rates, aur economic data, jaise ke GDP growth aur employment figures, currency pair ki direction ko asar daal sakte hain. Recent months mein, US economy ke kuch signs of recovery nazar aaye hain, jo dollar ki value ko support kar rahi hai. Euro ki taraf se, European Central Bank ki monetary policy, Eurozone ke economic indicators, aur political stability bhi EUR/USD pair par asar daalte hain. Eurozone mein economic challenges aur political uncertainty ke baawajood, Euro ne kuch muddat se apni strong performance dikhayi hai.



Is waqt, jab market buhat niche a chuki hai, traders ko caution aur risk management par zyada tawajju deni chahiye. Volatility ka level bhi samajhna zaroori hai, kyun ke volatile markets mein trading karne ke liye alag strategies ki zaroorat hoti hai. Kuch traders short-term trading ki taraf mayil hote hain, jo unhe quick profits dilata hai. Iske saath hi, long-term investors bhi hote hain jo economic fundamentals aur global trends ko mad e nazar rakhte hue apna investment portfolio manage karte hain.

Market ke fluctuation aur volatility ka samna karte hue, zaroori hai ke traders apni strategies ko regularly update karte rahein aur market ki latest news aur analysis par amal karein. Technical analysis, fundamental analysis, aur sentiment analysis jaise tools ka istemal karke, traders apne decisions ko sahi taur par informed banate hain. Yeh sabhi factors milakar EUR/USD pair ke future ko shape karte hain. Halanki, market ki unpredictable nature ko samajhna mushkil ho sakta hai, lekin agar traders aur investors apne knowledge ko enhance karte rahein aur market trends ko samajhte rahein, to wo apne trading aur investment decisions ko behtar tareeqe se manage kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis.

EUR/USD ke tabdeel hone ke liye $1.0745 ke aspas challenges hain, jin ka sabab Thursday ko dollar ka mazboot performance tha. Investors European Central Bank (ECB) ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain jab wo apni April meeting ke liye ikhtiyaar karega, jahan umeed hai ke bank apni mojooda daromad dar rates ko barqarar rakhega. Thursday ko, US dollar ko taqwiyat mili, jis ne euro par dabao dala, jo hararat se dollar ke khilaaf apni jagah ko qaim rakhne mein muskhil mehsoos kar raha tha. Ye surat haal EUR/USD jodi ko 1.0725 level ke qareeb rakhti hai. ECB apni April meeting ko ikhtiyaar karte hue, market ke shirakat daron ka intezar hai ke bank daromad dar rates ko be-tarteeb rakhega. Ye faisla COVID-19 pandemic se mutalliq mustaqbil ki tawazoat ke darmiyan chal raha ma'ashiyati nizaam par asar daalta hai. Interest rates ko barqarar rakhte hue, ECB kisi bhi tabdeeli se bachne ki koshish karta hai aur kshetra ke ma'ashiyati markets aur businesses ko taraqqi aur sahara faraham karne ki koshish karta hai.



Technical indicators nazdeeki muddat mein EUR/USD jodi ke liye koi wazeh rukh ka pata nahin lagate hain. Jab ke MACD indicator musbat hai, lekin woh abhi apne trigger line ke neeche hai aur neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI 50 ke upar hai lekin woh equilibrium level ke qareeb hai. 1.0875 ke upar tayyar hone wala toor 1.0930 ke qareeb haal ki trading range ke upper end ki taraf barhne ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Magar, zyada bullish nazar ke liye is rukh par barqarar kharak ki zaroorat hai, jis se 1.1000 ke nafsiyati level ka imtehaan ho sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.0800 ke neeche toot jaane par 1.0725 ke qareeb range ke lower end ki taraf kami aayegi. Is support zone ke saaf toor ne mazeed farokht ko janib kheench sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko is saal ke pehle mahine mein support ke tor par kaam karne wala 1.0665 area tak neeche daba sakta hai.

EUR/USD H1



traders dono milte hain! Chaliye, hum EUR/USD ke price development par tawajjo dein. Likhne ke waqt, EUR/USD ke rate 1.0808 hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) maheenay mein aik martaba berozgaari dar jaari karte hain, taqreeban 15 din baad mahine ke ikhtetam ke. Ye daraye dolat arzi tor par gir rahi hai, is liye USD ke qeemat gir rahi hai, jis se EUR/USD market musbat tor par move kar rahi hai. Is doran, EUR/USD ne lambe arse ke liye bullish market ka saabit qadam rakha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke Overall Strength Record RSI hai, is liye General Strength Index RSI pointer ek khareed signal deta hai. Ek saath, MACD oscillator ke mutalliq makhsoos nishan hai jo musbat hissay se






thora door hai aur rukh-e-mukhalif ki taraf ja raha hai. Barhnay ka imkaan mojud hai musalsal levels se. Moving averages EUR/USD ke liye bullish namoona dikhate hain. EUR/USD pair apni 50-day exponential moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Ek bearish nishan ye hai ke 50-day dramatic moving average waqtanf shuuro ho chuka hai aur taaza EUR/USD ke qeemat se neeche hai. Mazeed umeedwaar, 1.0884 ke qareeb hai fori rukawat. Agar EUR/USD 1.0974 ki madad se guzarta hai, toh ye aur taqat hasil kar sakta hai. Uske baad, agar EUR/USD 1.1068 ki rukawat ko tode, toh ye mazboot hota hai aur 1.1177 tak pohanch sakta hai.Dusra rukawat 1.0622 ke qareeb hai. Magar agar 1.0639 ke neeche se support toot jaata hai, toh EUR/USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur gir sakta hai. Uske baad, EUR/USD pair girte hi rahay ga, aur aim hota hai 1.0577 ke gold level of support tak. Market price yahaan se upar ja sakti hai. Is haftay, buyers ki taraf se pressure barha EUR/USD par. Is liye, EUR/USD ki keemat rukawat tak pohanchegi

Euro/USD Daily Takneeki Tahlil

EUR/USD jodi ne numaya tor par laal level 1.0708 ke oopar aik ahem tor par tod phod ka samna kiya hai, jo intahai bearish jazbat ko mansookh kar deta hai. Halaanki, is bullish taraqqi ke bawajood, ye baelz ke liye jashn manana pehle se zyada waqt hai, kyunke aage aane wale musibat ki alaamaat hain, jo ek farokht karne ki zone ka itlaaq mumkin banati hain. 1.0708 ke ahem resistance level ke oopar tod phod market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ki nishani hai, jahan khareedne walon ne qabza kar liya aur jodi ko oopar dhakka de diya. Ye kadam kuch traders ko mutmain nahi karta, khaaskar unko jo mazeed neeche ki taraf momentum ke liye muqarrar thay. Halaanki, aakhri maamlaon se pehle chowkne aur puri market ke mansoobe ko ghoor kar kamyabi ka nataija nikalna ahem hai. Tehqiqati ishaarat aur market ki dynamics ke mutabiq, samne aane wale tor par kuch rukawat ka andesha hai, jise jodi ke rukh mein ulat pherne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Asal mein, "taqat mein farokht" ka tasavvur yahan mayne rakhta hai. Chahe ke itaraf se numaya bullish tod phod ho, lekin Tajruba kar traders samajhte hain ke market aksar ulta chal sakta hai, aur jo numaya bullish kadam lagta hai, woh haqiqat mein choti lehar darust karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is maamle mein, sabr aur mazeed tasdeeq ka intezar karna munasib hai pehle se farokht ki kisi ki dastakht karne se pehle. Ek tareeqa ye ho sakta hai ke jodi 1.0820 ke resistance level tak pohanche. Ye level ahem hai kyunke ye mazeed upar ki taraf chalne ka rukawat ka kaam karta hai, aur shayad market ke shirakat daron ka farokht ka dilchaspi paida kare. Daring traders ke liye jo zyada risk uthane ko tayyar hain, 1.0820 level par farokht karne ka mauqa potential niche ke momentum ka faida uthane ka hosakta hai. Halaanki, yeh zaroori hai ke sahi risk nigrani ke tareeqe ko amal mein laaya jaaye aur stop-loss orders ka istemaal kiya jaaye takay kisi nuqsan se bacha ja sake agar trade umeed ke khilaaf chalay. Zindagi ke liye khichdi ka tasavvur dilchaspi paida karta hai aur is mai aaiadat taariqiyan ki fitri ghaflat ko darust karta hai. Jaise ke zindagi mein, jahan haalaat moujooda surat mein faida pohancha sakte hain lekin ghair mutawaqa tor par mushkilat a sakti hain, wahi trading mein bhi yeh sach hai. Markets achanak jazbat aur rukh mein tabdeeli dikhate hain, jo traders ko tarteeb dene aur mutabiq karne ke liye majboor karta hai. Mukhtasar mein, laal level 1.0708 ke oopar tod phod ne EUR/USD jodi mein intahai bearish jazbat ko mansookh kar diya hai, lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Tajruba kar traders ko chokas rahna chahiye aur farokht karne ke liye 1.0820 jaise ahem resistance levels par market ka rawayya dekhna chahiye. Sabr aur sahi risk nigrani tashtari ke complexities ko samajhne aur trading ke mauqe par faida uthane ke liye ahem sifat hain.

candle ke zariye anishchitata ka sanket tha, lekin 4 ghante ka chart ab ek naye sthaniya neeche ki seema dikha raha hai, jo ek sambhav downward pullback ka suchit karta hai. Hamara mukhya dhyan ab bhi range scenario par hai, jahan ek sambhav ghatav ke taraf giravat ke liye. Mahatvapurn hai ki euro futures ke liye trading volumes mein ek tejeeb aayi hai, jo mukhavat ke bich mahatvapurn takraav ko darust karta hai. Open Interest (OI) mein vriddhi ye dikhata hai ki khiladi apni position ko banaye rakhne ya badhane ke liye committed hain, jisme shorts bhi shaamil hain. EUR/USD ki maujooda keemat 1.09256 par kharidne ke liye anukool hai. Hamara prarambhik lakshya 1.09843 par tay kiya gaya hai, aur doosra lakshya 1.10357 par hai. Agar badhti hui gatishilta upper lakshya tak pahunchne ka karan banati hai, to lambi positions ko band karke aur bikri shuru karne ka samay achha ho sakta hai. 1.09296 par dala gaya lambi position ke liye stop loss 1.09287 par rakha gaya hai takni ho sambhav nuksan ko seemit kar sake. Agar price 1.09237 ke neeche gir jaata hai, to vikri positions ka vichar kiya ja sakta hai, jisme alag alag lakshya 1.08731 se shuru honge. H4 chart par, EUR/USD ab chhote samay tak ka giravat ka samna kar raha hai, jahan aakhri adhikatam 1.1000 par kharidne ka avsar ho sakta hai.

1138 ki teji ke saath, ab ye upari uthal-puthal ko sabse adhik labh uthane ka uttam samay hai. Is mauke ko labhanvit karne ke liye is mauke ka labh uthaiye. Hum sanket kar rahe hain ki ek sudhaarane wala gati ko 1.0867 aur 1.0844 ke samarthan staron ki or giraavat, aur is zone se aage ki paravartan aur aga uchal sambhav hai. Najdik ka sambhav lakshya 1.1037 ka resistance level hai, aur agar ise paar kiya jaata hai, to 1.1095 tak ki ek uchal ho sakti hai. Yeh buddhimaan taur par samasyahen hai, jab tak keema 46 moving average ke upar rahe, lekin kharidne ki pravritti kam mahatvapurn ho jaati hai agar is star tak vapis aata hai. Adhik surakshit traders 1.0935 ke upar kharidne ka vichar kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD mein Thursday ke early European session mein 1.0745 ke qareeb traction ghaat gayi. Garmi se zyada intihaai Ameeriki ma'ashiyati dainay ko dollar ne saalana urooj par utha liya aur EUR/USD pair par kuch farokht dabao dala. European Central Bank ki qist efa decision Thursday ke baad hone wali hai, jismein interest rates ko record unchi dar par qaim rakha ja raha hai. EUR/USD pair par Thursday ko 1.0745 ke qareeb kuch farokht karne wale logon ka dhyaan aaya. Pair ne apni bearish stance ko dobara ikhtiyar kiya, muqammi EMA ke neeche, ek oversold RSI ki tehqiq ke saath.
Ek ahem support level 1.0725–1.0730 zone par dekha jata hai. Pehla upside target 1.0800 par hai. Ek technical nazar se, EUR/USD apni bearish manzoori ko dobara ikhtiyar kar chuka hai kyun ke yeh key pair chaar ghanton ke chart par muqammi 100-period exponential moving average ke neeche hai. Neeche ki manzoori ko Relative Strength Index ki tasdeeq karti hai, jo bearish territory mein 50 ke neeche hai.
Halaanki, oversold RSI shiraa'ee shiraa'ee ke liye kisi qareebi ahrar ya nafaqati ke liye qayam nahi ki ja sakti hai. Bollinger Bands ke nichle hisse aur October 10 ki kamzori 1.0725–1.0730 ilaqa EUR/USD ke liye ek ahem support level ka kaam karte hain, jahan koi mazeed farokht ke zariye 1.0700 ki nafsiyati satah tak ja sakta hai. Dekhne ke liye aur ek nichli filter hai, jo ke 9 November 2023 ko 1.0660 par ek kam darja tha, us ke baad 3 November 2023 ko 1.0615 par ek aur kam darja tha. Upar ki taraf, pehla ooper ka rukawat march 22 ki kamzori aur gol shumar 1.0800 ke qareeb aayega. Mazeed shimal, agla nishana 100-period EMA ke 1.0825 par dekha jata hai. Uper chalne ke liye, baad mein woh keval 1.0885 par 9 April ki bulandi tak raaste mein 1.0920 par Bollinger Band ke uuperi had tak pahunchayega.

EURUSD pair ka H4 time frame chart dekhte hue, nazar aata hai ke pichle Thursday ke trading mein jo price barhao hua, wo 1.0864 ka resistance level ko tor kar kaamyaab raha. Magar, agle trade mein, yaani 16 baj kar server time par, price bearish ho gaya jab ek bearish candle ban gaya. Price ka giravat trading ke doran Jumma ko jaari reh sakti hai, khaaskar America ki session ke early trading mein, lekin ant mein, giravat mein ulatne ka muka mila jab price ne 1.0800 ka psychological level chhoo liya. Aur aakhir mein, pichle Jumma ke trading mein sirf sideways trading hi hui. Bollinger Bands ka indicator period 24 ke liye dekhe jane wale halat se pata chalta hai ke Bollinger Bands abhi bhi kafi wide hain, jo dikhata hai ke trading volatility abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Simple Moving Average period 50 aur Simple Moving Average period 120 ke indicators dwaara dikhayi gayi trend direction abhi tak Bearish trend line mein valid hai, lekin kaafi mazboot hai kyun ke price position do SMAs ke darmiyan khel rahi hai. Ek taraf, RSI period 5 aur RSI period 14 ke indicators ke dekhe jane wale halat mein, abhi dono RSIs bhi bearish signals dikhane ke liye valid hain, isliye agle hafte ke trading ke liye price mein giravat hone ki sambhavna abhi bhi hai.
Chuninda waqt-frame (time-frame H4) par liniar regreshan channel dakshin ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo bazaar mein mojooda mazboot farokht daarakht ki mojudgi aur market ke price quotes ka mazboot nichayi tor par guzar jaane ki khaalis mumkinat ko darust karta hai. Ghair liniar regreshan channel ka graph dakshin ki taraf mojood hai, jo farokht karne walon ke koshishat ko darust karta hai jo ke makti qeemat ko kam karne ke liye baqaeda koshaan hain aur kharidaron ko apni makhsoos haliyat se nahi nikalne ka irada rakhte hain.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Euro pichle trading week ko aik partial correction ke saath shuru kia, jab ek nakami ka koshish kiya gaya 1.0763 ke level ko torne ka. Price kareeb 1.0725 tak gir gayi, jahan se mazboot support mila lekin agey barhne se rok diya gaya. Iska natija rebound hua aur signal area 1.0837 ki taraf jaari raha, jisse ke growth ko roka gaya aur ahem resistance diya gaya. Isi doran, price chart, jo green zone of supertrend mein tha, dobara red zone mein wapis jaane laga, jisse ke correction phase khatam hone ka ishaara mila.

FOMC meeting ki minutes ke mutabiq, Fed ko yeh zyada assurance chaahiye ke inflation apne 2% target ke qareeb ja raha hai. March meeting mein, Fed officials ne izhaar kiya ke woh pareshan hain ke inflation kafi tezi se gir nahi raha hai, lekin unhein ab bhi umeed hai ke interest rates is saal ke baad kam kiye jayenge. Federal Open Market Committee ki meeting mein, jo ke phir se short-term borrowing rates ko be-mudh se chhodne ka faisla kiya, officials ne izhaar kiya ke unhein fikar hai ke inflation abhi tak tezi se gir nahi raha hai. Federal Reserve apne benchmark interest rate ko 5.25% se 5.5% ke range mein set karta hai.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pair abhi thoda upar trading kar raha hai, haftay ke highs ke kareeb. Key resistance area ab test kiya ja raha hai aur price ko nicha rakha ja raha hai, jo humein apna pasandida upward direction vector banaye rakhne ki ijaazat deta hai. Giravat ko dobara shuru karne ke liye, quotes ko 1.0837 level se ek mazboot rebound ki zaroorat hai (jahan main resistance zone ka border hai), jo ek aur downward movement ko allow karega, yani area 1.0694 se lekar 1.0627 tak.

Maujooda situation se palatne ka signal resistance ke breakout aur 1.0926 ke reversal level se bahar nikalne ke roop mein aayega. Chart neeche dekhein:

EUR/USD H4

Euro - US Dollar. Currency pair/instrument ki potentiay movemnt ka jayeza Heiken Ashi candlestick signals ke sath TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ki roshni mein kiya gaya, ye note kiya ja sakta hai ke mojooda market halat ko bullish structure se characterise kiya gaya hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, mojooda market forces alignment ko darust karne mein madad karta hai, jisse charts par noise ko smooth out kiya jata hai, technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur trading decisions ki darustgi barhata hai. TMA channel indicator (lal, neela aur peelay rang ke lines) do martaba smooth ki gayi moving averages par mabni support aur resistance lines banata hai, jisse instrument ki movement ke mojooda hudood ko darust karta hai, jo market ke sath tabdeel hote hain. RSI indicator ko ek zariye ka oscillator ke tor par istemal karna faida mand hai.

Munasib chart ke sath, ye dekha ja sakta hai ke Heikin Ashi candles ne blue rang ikhtiyar kiya hai, jo buyers ki numaya taqat ko darust karta hai. Keemat ne upper channel boundary (neela dashed line) ko cross kiya hai aur, bulandi ke noqte se bounce karne ke baad, ab apne darmiyani line (peela dashed line) ki taraf rawana hai. Usi waqt, RSI oscillator bhi kharid signal ko mukammal tor par tasdeeq karta hai, kyunke uska curve ab mazeed upar ki taraf point kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is liye, ye kaha ja sakta hai ke mazeed faida mand long buy trade mein dakhil hone ka acha mauqa hai jo red dashed line par neeche ke channel boundary (red dashed line) ki taraf rukh kar raha hai, jo keemat ke level 1.09236 par

EUR/USD

Good morning! Main yeh maanti hoon ke yeh saara girawat 1.0845 tak ek trend ke khilaaf tha. Main ne sirf is movement mein chhota hissa liya tha. Lekin main munafa band karungi aur baqi munafa jama karungi. Ab main jo munafa liya hai, usay hisaab se adha hisaab hi leungi. Kyunki movements bohot zyada tezi se ho sakti hain. Mujhe ghanton ke chart par maujooda situation se dilchaspi thi, jahan mere paas ek channel wala indicator hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke price ne ghanton ke channel ko tor diya aur char ghanton ke border ko test kiya. Lekin ab rollback hona chahiye aur kam se kam ghanton ke upper limit tak pahunchna chahiye (1.0958). Yeh sirf ek sell signal aata agar Stochastic indicator ne dikhaya ke bechna chahiye. Agar humare instrument mein abhi bhi uttar ki disha mein jagah hai accumulation zone mein. Char ghanton ke chart mein dikh raha hai ke price (1.0892) moving average line (1.0922) se zyada neeche hai.

Unhone bohot zyada aage badh liya hai. Mujhe euro ke bulls ko rokna hai yeh mere dimaag mein tha. Ek taraf, resistance level 1.0803 ko encourage kar raha hai. Lekin humne yahaan H4 time period par ek concentration dekhi hai, jo red MA-75 aur cloud structure se upar hai. Is halat mein, black MA-200 ko zyadatar price milti hai. Neeche di gayi tasveer mein aap dekhte hain. Agar euro ke bulls ko najdeeki resistance 1.0803 aur quotations ko upar tor kar jaate hain, toh safar black Masha tak 200 din ke liye khul jayega. Yeh level ab 1.0858 par hai. Yahaan nishchit roop se ruk jayenge, aksar upar ya neeche unke liye rest ke liye.

اپریل 12 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

یورپی مرکزی بینک سے "نرم سرپرائز" کی ہماری توقعات پوری نہیں ہوئیں۔ نہ صرف ای. سی. بی. نے اپنی شرح سود میں کوئی تبدیلی نہیں کی بلکہ بینک نے مہنگائی میں مسلسل کمی دیکھنے کے باوجود، ای. سی. بی. صدر کرسٹین لیگارڈ کے تبصروں سمیت اپنے ساتھ والے بیان میں غیر جانبدارانہ لہجہ برقرار رکھا۔ اس کے نتیجے میں، قیمت 1.0696 کی سطح تک بھی نہیں پہنچ سکی۔



تاہم، قیمت نے درمیانی مدت میں ابھرتی ہوئی نیچے کی طرف حرکت میں خلل ڈالنے کے لیے بھی کچھ نہیں کیا۔ اور ایسا کرنے کی کوئی وجہ نہیں ہے۔ آج، جرمنی مارچ کے لیے افراط زر کے اعداد و شمار جاری کرے گا - توقع ہے کہ ہم آہنگ سی پی آئی 2.7% y/y سے 2.3% y/y تک گر جائے گی۔ اگر اعداد و شمار توقعات سے قدرے بھی بڑھ جاتے ہیں، تو جون میں شرح میں کمی پر سرمایہ کاروں کا اعتماد مضبوط ہو گا، جیسا کہ لیگارڈ نے بتایا کہ ای. سی. بی. افراط زر کی شرح "2% تک واپس آنے تک انتظار نہیں کرے گا۔"

ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ یورو 1.0636/56 کے ہدف کی حد میں آجائے گا، لیکن اس کے لیے قیمت کو تھوڑا اور وقت درکار ہوگا۔ اس کا پہلا کام 1.0696 پر انٹرمیڈیٹ سپورٹ پر قابو پانا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0724 کی سطح پر رک گئی (6 فروری اور 2 اپریل کی کم ترین سطح)۔ اس کے نیچے کنسولیڈیشن سے قیمت کا 1.0696 تک پہنچنا ممکن ہو جائے گا۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ اہم واقعات اگلے ہفتے سامنے آئیں گے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EURUSD currency pair ke liye aane wale muddaton ka tajziya karte hue, bearish activity zahir hai jo south ki taraf ek potential move ko darust karti hai. Mausam ki halat abhi taqreban complex hai, lekin main southern movement ki taraf rujhan dikhata hoon jo 1.0547 ko nishana banati hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke downside ki taraf ka rasta zyada wazeh hai aur iski possibility upside direction se zyada hai.
Lekin, humein alag alag manazir ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye kyun ke daam shayad pehle thoda sa upar ki taraf retrace kare phir hamare direction mein jari rahega. Mojudah tajziya news ke asar ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hai, isliye main suggest karta hoon ke aaj koi bhi khabrein check ki jayein jo hamare currency pair ko influence kar sakti hain: EUR ke liye, aaj kai news events schedule hain:
Germany ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) (m/m) (Mar), France ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) (m/m) (Mar), ECB Forecast, Eurogroup Meeting, ECB Member Elderson ki Speech. Jabke US dollar ke liye mukhtalif events hain, lekin main sab se ahem ko highlight karunga: Export Price Index (m/m) (Mar), University of Michigan se Expected Inflation (Apr), University of Michigan se Consumer Expectations Index (Apr), Bostic, FOMC Member ki Speech. Zikr ki gayi events teen-star aur do-star rated hain. Yeh chart par shayad kuch zyada volatility ka sabab banayenge. Isliye humein har manzir ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.
Agar daam south ki taraf mazid tawajjuh aur barabari ke sath chal raha hai, to hum trailing stop ko activate karte hain aur mazeed munafa barhne ka intezar karte hain. Doosra option yeh hai ke hum kuch hisse ko band kar ke baaqi hisse ko breakeven par le jaate hain. Agar, mukhalif taur par, market ki harkatein dheemi ho jaati hain ya phir stagnate ho jaati hain aur volatility mein wazeh kami hoti hai, to hum munafa hasil kiya hua mukammal kar ke mazeed signal ka intezar karte hain ek naye market entry ke liye.

EUR/USD bohot zyada bearish pressure ke neeche qaim hai aur apni sabsay kam qeemat par November se bhi nichle 1.0650 ke level par trade kar raha hai. ECB-Fed policy outlooks ki mukhtalifat aur market ka mahol jahan khatre se bachne ki soorat mein hai, woh Dollar ko mazbooti se le kar raha hai aur pair par bojh daal raha hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 20 tak gir gaya hai, jo qareebi muddat mein oversold conditions ko highlight karta hai.

1.0700 (static level, pehla 2024-ka kam support) EUR/USD ke liye pehla rukawat ke tor par hai. Agar pair is level ke upar qaim rehta hai, to 1.0730 (static level) aur 1.0770 (static level) agle rukawat ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai.

Niche ki taraf, 1.0660 (static level, November se) agla support ho sakta hai pehle 1.0600 (psychological level) aur 1.0550 (static level, October se) ke pehle.

EUR/USD ne dobara se bearish pressure mein aakar neeche 1.0700 ke static level ke neeche apni sabsay kam qeemat tak gir gaya. Halankeh, pair ka technical outlook oversold conditions ko darust karta hai, lekin Euro ka rebound par daawa karna khatarnak ho sakta hai ECB aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policies ke mukhtalif hone ke bawajood. Waisay, Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras ne kaha ke woh Fed ki policies se mukhtalif hone ka samarthan karte hain aur 2024 mein chaar ECB rate cuts ki maang karte hain. Is ke ilawa, ECB policymaker Madis Muller ne kaha ke economy ko mazboot hone ke signs hain aur kamzi inflation ne June mein key rates mein kami ka chance barha diya hai.

Dusri taraf, market participants ko lagta hai ke June ke policy meeting ke baad Fed ke interest rate ko 5.25%-5.5% par barkarar rakha jayega. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne Thursday ko kaha ke taaza inflation data ne unke yakeen ko nahi barhaya ke mahangi ko mukhtalif sectors mein phaila hai.

EUR/USD ka current bearish trend global economic factors, monetary policy decisions, aur geopolitical tensions ke asar se ho sakta hai. Ek mahattvapurn factor hai Eurozone ki economic performance jo ki pandemic ke doraan sust thi aur ab bhi recovery phase mein hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ke monetary policy measures bhi is currency pair par asar daal rahe hain. ECB ne negative interest rates aur quantitative easing ko maintain kiya hai taaki economic recovery ko support kiya ja sake. Iske alawa, US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions bhi is pair par asar daal sakti hain. USD ki mazbooti ke bawajood, geopolitical tensions aur global trade concerns bhi is pair par dabaav daal sakte hain. November 1 ke 1.0657 ke level par trade karne ka karan ho sakta hai ki market participants ke beech uncertainty aur risk aversion ka mahol tha. Is samay, investors economic indicators, central bank policies, aur global news ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taaki future market direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Is bearish pressure ke dauran, traders aur investors ko risk management ki badi ahmiyat hai. Stop-loss orders ka istemal karke apne positions ko protect karna zaroori hai taaki nuksan ko kam kiya ja sake. Iske alawa, fundamental aur technical analysis ka sahi istemal bhi market movements ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Technical analysis mein, support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai taaki trading decisions lene mein madad mile. Agar EUR/USD pair 1.0657 ke niche trade kar raha hai, toh traders ko aur neeche ke levels ko bhi observe karna chahiye jo ki further downside movement ka indication de sakte hain. Iske alawa, trend lines, moving averages, aur other technical indicators ka istemal bhi market ke direction ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Ek aur important point hai ke traders ko market sentiment ko bhi dhyan mein rakhna chahiye. Sentiment analysis, market participants ke behavior aur unke expectations ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Positive ya negative market sentiment ke saath trading karne se traders apne strategies ko better tarike se adjust kar sakte hain. Overall, EUR/USD pair ke current bearish pressure ke peeche multiple factors hain aur traders ko careful aur vigilant rehna chahiye jab tak market dynamics clear nahi ho jaate. Ismein risk management aur thorough analysis ka istemal crucial hai taaki trading decisions sahi tareeke se liye ja sakein.

EUR/USD currency pair ke muddaton ka tajziya karte hue, bearish activity ke signals aane lage hain jo ek potential southward move ko darust karte hain. Halankeh mausam ki halat abhi taqreban complex hain, lekin market trends aur indicators ki roshni mein main southern movement ki taraf rujhan dikhata hoon, jo 1.0549 ke qareeb ek nishana banati hai. Pehle, market sentiment ko dekhte hue, global economic conditions mein uncertainty aur risk aversion ka samaa chal raha hai. Geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, aur monetary policy changes ki expectations ne investors ko cautious banaya hua hai, jo traditional safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ki demand ko barha raha hai. Dusri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policies par focus hai. ECB ne recently apni dovish stance ko maintain kiya hai aur stimulus measures ko jaari rakha hai, jabke Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko increase karne ki expectations ko lekar hawkish signals diye hain. Yeh USD ko strong karte hain, jabki Euro ko pressure mein daal rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ne recent sessions mein bearish trend ko follow kiya hai. Moving averages aur other technical indicators, jaise ke RSI aur MACD, bhi bearish signals show kar rahe hain. Iske alawa, price action bhi downside movement ko support kar rahi hai, jo ke further downside ko indicate karta hai. Support aur resistance levels ka tajziya bhi important hai. Agar hum recent price action ko dekhein toh, 1.0700 aur 1.0600 levels ne strong resistance provide kiya hai, jabke 1.0500 aur 1.0400 levels ne support ki tarah kaam kiya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rahe, toh 1.0549 level ko breach karna possible hai, jo ke ek bearish continuation ke liye signal ho sakta hai. Lekin, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke market mein hamesha uncertainty hoti hai aur koi bhi tajziya 100% accurate nahi hota. Geopolitical events, economic data releases, aur unexpected news se market dynamics tabdeel ho sakte hain. Isliye, traders ko risk management ke principles par amal karna chahiye aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karna chahiye taake unka capital protection ho. Saaransh mein, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye bearish sentiment aur southern movement ke signals mojud hain. Agar market 1.0549 level ko breach karta hai, toh further downside ki expectations barh sakti hain. Lekin, traders ko market ke dynamics ko closely monitor karna aur risk management par focus karna zaroori hai.