eur/usd

EURUSD

Euro mein aik ahem giravat ka samna hai, jo teesre din mein takreeban 2% gir gaya hai aur saal bhar ke sab se bura hafta darust kar raha hai. Ye European Central Bank (ECB) aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taur par mukhalif moqay par hai. ECB ka faisla ke interest rates ko 4% par rakhna, kuch andaruni support ke bawajood, tanqeed ka samna kiya gaya hai. Iske saath hi, unke ehtiyati monetary policy bayanat ne investors ko yeh maan ne par majboor kiya hai ke ek rate cut jald hi anay wala hai, shayad June mein. Ye aik tareekhi qadam hoga, ECB ko Fed ke muqablay mein agay barhata hua dikhayega. Mukablay mein, Fed apni belt kass raha hai. Mazboot US ma'ashi data, jo ke mehngaai mein izafa shamil hai, unhe peechlay monetary easing measures ka faida uthane par majboor kar raha hai. Fed ki ye sakhti ECB ke Euro ko mazeed kamzor karti hai. EUR/USD jodi is haftay apni bulandi se 1.9% gir chuki hai, paanch mahinay ki record girawat kiya hai.

Euro ki giravat ko barqarar karne ka ahem aham factor central bank policies mein ikhtilaaf hai. US inflation data aur ECB ke tajziyat ne is shadeed farq ko wazeh kiya hai. Wednesday ko jari hone wala US inflation report ne dollar ko mazboot kiya, jo ke mahino se apni lambi muddat ke average se door hai. Mazeed doosray moqay mukhtalif currency pairs par dabao daal rahe hain. Mahine ke ibtida se, US ne musbat data points dekhe hain: aik uncha manufacturing activity, mazboot naukriyon ki nashriyat aur muntashir shohrat se zyada izafa consumer prices mein. Ye data Fed ke rate cuts ki umeeden ko mazeed agay push karta hai, dollar ko Euro ke khilaf mazeed mazboot karte hue. Kal ke 0.8% ke nuksan ke baad, EURUSD 1.0700 ke gird gira aur aik paanch mahinay ki record girawat 1.0675 tak ki. Aglay support level ka aana 1.0655 se hai, keemat ne oonchi hui trend line ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo aik mumkinah manfi retracement ki taraf ishara karta hai. Mazeed bearish lambi muddat ke timeframe steeper declines se move kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0515 bottleneck ki raah ko banata hai.

EURUSD

EURUSD: 1-ghanta chart par, qeemat ne 1.0753 ke darjay se neeche muda'ah kiya hai, jo aik ahem technical nishaan hai jo market ke momentum mein aik mumkinah tabdeeli ki isharaat deta hai. Ye neechay ka movement mazeed giravat ki tajweez deta hai trading area ke lower border ki taraf ya, zyada taur par, 1.0633 ke support area ke neeche. Yeh ahem hai ke yaad rakha jaaye ke ye darjat peechle qeemat ke amal mein resistance aur support ke ahem points sabit hue hain, jo ke mojooda trend mein mukhtalif mor ke tor par dekhnay ke liye eham hain. Ek aur mumkinah manzar ye hai ke qeemat ko wapas 1.0721 ke oopar uthna kaamyaab ho, jo mazeed waqtan fani ultaav ke ya ek bearish trap ka ishara ho sakta hai. Magar, overall negative momentum ke dawran, yeh natija doosray dono mumkinah manzaron se kam mutwaqqi hai.



Haal hi ke trading activities ko yaad rakhtay hue, kuch traders ne kuch der pahle ki khabron se pehle chhota farokht trade kiya, magar baad mein ise band kar diya. Ye yeh dikhata hai ke kuch traders khabron ke negative market reaction ka intizaar kar rahe thay, magar asal impact mutawaqqi se kam zyada tha. Magar, America ki khabron ke baad market mein haal hi ka aik dynamic bach gaya, jis mein intizaar kiya ja raha tha ke jodi ki behtari ka izafa ho. Prices pehle toot gayi, lekin phir peechle darja ke upar ubhar gayi. Ye qeemat ka amal potential ke shift ko highlight karta hai jo market sentiment mein tezi se tabdeeli ka sabab bana hai aur trading approach mein mutaqabil rahne ki ahmiyat ko dartaal deta hai. Us pees ke peechay, qeemat ko jald hi 1.0721 ke darjay ki taraf lautna nazar ata hai, magar 1.0827 ke resistance level aur darmiyani rukawat 1.0813 ke khilaaf pehle potential pullback ke saath. Ye darjat aik technical rukawat ki tarah kaam karenge jo qeemat ko apna neechay janay ka izazat denge. In resistance darjaton ke kamyab tor par toot jaane se gehri sudhar ya aik potential trend ka ultaaval ishara ho sakta hai.

RSI indicator tabdeeli ke darjay tak ghata gaya hai 1.0735 tak, jahan ye qeemat ke girne ke technical tajziyaat ko dikhata hai. Envelope indicator ke is maqaam mein dhalav overall negative qeemat ke amal ke saath milta hai, bearish nazar ke mustaqil hone ka moujooda darja ko mazid mazbooti deta hai. Momentum indicator aik muddat 14 ke saath ata hai, jo standard qeemat 100.00 hai. Ye reading ye dikhata hai ke momentum waqtan fani dhalne ka aadi hai, jahan market ko tezi se girne ki alamaat dikh rahi hai. MACD technical indicator manfi zone mein barkarar hai, jo bechnay ke trade karne ki imkaanat ko dikhata hai. Is maqaam se, stochastic oscillator sirf farokht ke lia ishara dega. Ye indicators mil kar aik mazbooti bearish market mahol ka tasweer paint karte hain, jo naye traders ko aagay aane wale challenges mein navigational sahayata faraham karte hain.

EURUSD

Forex market mei Euro (EUR) ka US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf maqool giravat dekha gaya hai Jumeraat ke Asian trading hours mein. Is kamzori ka sabab taraqqi pazeer US dollar hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ki agle September mein interest rate kam karne ki khabron se hosakti hai. Dosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne meeting mein interest rates ko record bulandi par qaim rakhne ka faisla kia, lekin June mein ek possible rate cut ki isharaat di. Market participants khush-o-khurraman taur par Germany se mahangai data aur Michigan ke US shehar se consumer confidence readings ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Jumeraat ko muntakhib hai. Magar, ye reports market par kuch asar ka imkaan nahi rakhte hain. Moaser data ke mutabiq, CME FedWatch Tool se, investors sirf is saal Federal Reserve se do interest rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, jin mein pehla cut September mein mumkin hai. Federal Open Market Committee ki meeting se release kiye gaye minutes mein, committee members mahangai mein izafa ke baare mein ghabrahat zahir karte thay, aur taza data unka yakeen barhane mein madad nahi kiya ke 2% ke nishan tak wapas lautega. Waqtan faraaz Atlantic ke dusri janib, ECB ne apni ahem interest rate ko 4.0% par qaim rakha, jo ke panchwa musalsal meeting hai jahan rates ko be tabdeel rakha gaya hai. Federal Reserve ke agle qadam ke aas paas kashishon ke darmiyan, ECB ne bhi qareebi rate cut ki isharaat di. Market ki umeedain ECB ke June mein 25 basis point cut ki taraf ishaarat karti hain.

EUR/USD ne ek taqwiyat ki koshish ki, lekin wo mukhtalif moajizaati markazi ilaqay mein mazboot rukawat ka samna karna para, jo ke EUR/USD jodi ke liye 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke sath sath 50-day SMA aur Ichimoku Cloud ko bhi shamil karta hai. Agar kisi susti se tabdili hone ki soorat mein, to jodi mumkin hai 1.0795 ki support level ko aazmaegi, jo ke February aur March mein ek buffer ka kaam karta hai. Is level ke neeche ek tooti par jabar ka daaba jaega to, qeemat 1.0722 ki recent kamzori ke taraf rawana ho sakti hai, jo December aur February mein bhi support ka kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat mazeed kamzor hoti hai, to 1.0693 ki 2024 ki kami maqbool downside protection faraham kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar saandhain moving average convergence par hamla karain, to qareebi resistance 1.0875 pehli rally ke liye rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is ilaake ke upar ek breakthrough is raste ko banwa sakta hai ke ek chain ka silsila banta hai, jo ke 1.0941, 1.0963, aur 1.0980 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke mil kar ek downtrend line ko shakal dete hain.

EUR/USD


EURUSD pair mein trading mein jo bearish darjaat mojood hain woh ab bhi kaafi mazboot hain jahan sellers phir se kharidaron se zyada dakhil hue taake woh keemat ko rukawat mein rakh saken aur woh keemat ko 1.0730-1.0725 ke resistance area ke neeche rehne ke liye barqarar rakh saken jisne bullish kharidaron par dabaav bana diya aur keemat ko neeche gehra giraawat ke saath chalay gaye.

Rozana ke samay ke Moving Average indicator ka istemal karke dekha jaata hai, toh yeh nazar aata hai ke keemat ya mombatti ko bechnay wale ne keemat ko Yellow 200 MA area se door le ja kar kamyabi se control kiya hai, jo ke darust karta hai ke EURUSD pair ko mazeed neeche girne ka mustaqbil hai, khaaskar jab yeh ab bhi mazboot bearish candlestick se mutasir hai, jo ke agle haftay mein bechne wale ke liye takat ka sabab banata hai. Bechnay wale khud ko ab bhi mauka hai ke price ko mazeed neeche girane ke liye bearishly target karen buyer demand support area ko 1.0560-1.0570 ke darje par jo ab tak kabhi bhi bechnay wale ne test nahi kiya hai.

Aane wale peer ko trading ka aakhri maqam yeh hai ke mazeed bearish girawat ki umeed hai, lekin pehle bullish correction ho sakti hai kyun ke keemat bohot oversold hai. Kharidaron ko ab bhi bechne wale ke bearish rukh ko rokne ki taqat hai dynamic support area ko 1.0630-1.0625 ke darje par keemat ko barqarar rakhte hue taake keemat ko 1.0680-1.0685 ke seller resistance area ki taraf uth jaaye. Agar yeh area kharidaron ne tod diya toh keemat ke agle resistance area ko test karne ka imkan hai jo ke 1.0725-1.0730 ke darje par hai. Magar agar yeh nazdeeki resistance area ke neeche na ghus sake, toh keemat barqarar fir se bechnay wale ke dabaav mein aayegi jo ke keemat ko aur bhi neeche ghaseetenge.

Nateeja. Kharid ya bechnay ke trading options tab aazmaaye ja sakte hain agar keemat ko kamyabi se upar le jaaya jaata hai resistance area ke neeche, kharid ke stop entry 1.0680-1.0685 ke darje par aur TP area 1.0725-1.0730 ke darje par.

Bech ya bechne ke trading options tab aazmaaye ja sakte hain agar keemat kamyabi se kharidaron ke support area ko toorna mei kaamyabi haasil hoti hai, pending bechnay ka stop order 1.0625-1.0620 ke darje par aur TP area ke darje 1.0580-1.0570 ke darje par.

EURUSD: 1 ghante ke chart par, keemat ne 1.0753 ke darja ko neeche kiya hai, jo ke aik ahem takneeki nishaan hai jo market ke momentum mein ek mumkinah tabdeeli ki ishaarat deta hai. Ye neeche ki taraf ka harkat ek mazeed girawat ka iqtidaar hai jo ke trading area ke neeche ki border ki taraf ya, zyada taur par, 1.0633 ke support area ke neeche ki taraf jaane ki ishaarat karti hai. Ye yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke ye levels pehle keemaat ke amal mein ahem resistance aur support ke nuqtaat sabit hue hain, jinhein mojooda trend mein potential muraqbaat ke liye nihayat ahem samjha jata hai. Ek aur mumkinah surat haal ye hai ke keemaat ko 1.0721 ke upar barhne ki kamiyabi mil jaye, jo ke ek temporary reversal ya bearish trap ki ishaarat kar sakta hai. Magar, mojooda manfi hawa mein ye nateeja doosri do mumkinah suraton se kam mumaan nazar aata hai.

Taza trading activities ko yaad karte hue, kuch traders ne kal ki khabar se pehle aik choti sell trade nikali thi, magar baad mein usse band kar diya gaya. Ye ishara hai ke kuch traders khabar ke jawaab mein negative market reaction ka intizaar kar rahe the, magar asal asar umeed se kam sakht tha. Magar, United States ki khabron ke baad mojooda market mein ek taza dynamic pehchaan chhod gaya, jahan unka ispair ki taraf izafa karne ka intizaar tha. Keemaat shuru mein khabron ke baad giri, magar phir pehle ke darja ke upar chad gayi. Ye keemat ka amal jaldi tabdeel hone ki market jazbat aur trading approach mein adaptability ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai. Is peechay ke manzar ke tahat, ye dekha jaa sakta hai ke keemaat jald hi 1.0721 ke darja ki taraf wapas lautegi, magar pehle 1.0827 ke resistance darja aur darmiyan ke resistance darja 1.0813 ke khilaf potential pullback ke saath. Ye darjat keemaat ke liye takneeki rukawat ka kaam kareinge jo keemaat ko apna neeche ka rukh barqarar rakhne ke liye paar karna hoga. In resistance darjon ke kamyabi se bahar nikalna ek gehri sudhaar ya mazeed trend ka mukammal ulta ki ishaarat ho sakti hai.

RSI indicator dheere dheere 1.0735 ke darje tak gira, jahan ye keemat ka technical analysis girne ki ishaarat dikhata hai. Ye envelope indicator ki girawat ahem price action ke sath misal milta hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazbooti deta hai. Momentum indicator 14 ka dor hai, jo ke standared value 100.00 hai. Ye reading ye dikhata hai ke momentum mojooda waqt mein neeche ki taraf favor kar raha hai, jahan market mein girne ki nishaniyan nazar aati hain. MACD technical indicator negative zone mein hai, sell trading opportunities ki ishaarat karta hai. Is darje se, stochastic oscillator sirf sale ko ishara karega. Ye indicators ek saath ek mazbooti bearish market mahol ka tasawar faraham karte hain, naye traders ke liye aage ane wale challenges ke raste ko samajhne ke liye qeemti insights faraham karte hain.

Neeche diye gaye chart mein, aap EUR/USD exchange rate dekh sakte hain. Dilchasp hai ke EUR/USD ne H4 chart mein bullish buy level 1.670 par se guzar kar is tod se phir se downtrend channel mein chala gaya hai. Agar bullish level toot jata hai to 1.710 aur 1.706 ke resistance levels ki taraf mazi bari umeedein hain. Jab trend oopar ki taraf jaata hai, to downtrend channel ko isay barqarar rakhna mushkil hota hai. EUR/USD ke rukh par depend karte hue, agar bearish sell level jari rehta hai aur jodi gir jati hai, to 1.630 ke support tak giravat mumkin hai.

Is haftay ke trading results ke natijay mein, mein do mansubay dekh raha hoon. Pichle kuch mahinon mein, euro/dollar pairs apni saal ke daraj ki seemaat par se 1.0640-1.0630 ke muqami daraj tak gir gaye hain, aur do cheezein hosakti hain: Jodi mazbooti se barhti rahegi aur pair ki keemat 1.0675-1.0750 tak pahunchayegi, jahan pair jangli janib mutawajjah hogi, jahan se pair mukhtalif rukh lega, pehle se mojooda saal ki daraj ki seemaat ko taza kar diya gaya hai. Pichle kuch mahinon se yeh bechna currency pair tha, aur trend jaari hai, jabke EUR/USD ab bhi mazbooti se bechna currency pair hai. Ek arse se mawjudah bearish trend mein koi tabdeeli nazar nahi aati.

1.0630 ke support level ke tootne se pehle, jo log bechna shuru kar chuke hain un ke liye market ek moqa hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke bullish rukh mein price ki harkat ek behtar mauqa farokht dakhil hone ka faraham karti hai. Aane wale mahinon mein kisi tabdeeli ko dekhne ke liye abhi bhi bohot waqt hai. Sirf agar Faderal Reserve mukhtalif maamlaat mein interest rates ki mazeed izafa ko rokta ya chhod deta hai to euro ko sakht taraqqi hosakti hai.

Haftay ke EUR/JPY ke chart par, peechle haftay ke range ki bulandiyon ko update karne ke baad aur local resistance level ko neeche se oopar tak test karne ke baad, jo ke, meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 165.174 par waqay hai, qeemat palat gayi aur mazboot bearish impulse ke saath neeche ki taraf chalne lagi, jiski wajah se ek mukammal bearish candle bani jo peechle haftay ki poori range ko engulf kar gayi aur support level ko upar se neeche tak test kiya, jo ke, meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 162.606 par waqay hai. Aane wale haftay mein, main mukarrar support level ko nazar andaaz karna jari rakhunga, jiske qareeb do manazir samne aayenge. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke qeemat is level ke neeche jam jaaye gi aur mazeed janoobi thehrav ke saath chal chalay gi.
Agar yeh manzar asar andaaz hota hai, toh main qeemat ko support level 160.211 ki taraf le jaane ke liye muntazir rahunga. Is support level ke qareeb, main bulish signals ka talaash jaari rakhunga, umeed hai ke mukammal shumali trend ke tehat qeemat ka phir se chal chala ho ga. Beshak, mazeed door ke maqasid ko nishan banaana bhi mumkin hai, lekin main unhein abhi tay nahi kar raha kyunke main unke jaldi waqai hone ke imkanat ko nahi dekh raha. Doosra manzar qeemat ke support level 162.606 ko test karne ke doran jo ke ek reversal candle kaari aur upar ki qeemat ka chal chala ko phir se jaari karne ke ek mansooba ka hissa hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaamyaab hota hai, toh main qeemat ko waapas laane ka muntazir rahunga, ya to 165.174 ya 165.355 ke resistance level par.
In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ka intezar karunga jo ke agle trading ke raaste ka tay kare ga. Mukhtasir tor par, agle haftay, main maqami tor par umeed karta hoon ke qeemat qareebi support level ko test karne ke liye chale gi, phir main apni strategy ko market ke shara'it ke mutabiq tabdeel karunga.


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EUR/USD ka chart dekh kar lagta hai ke yeh currency pair pichhle kuch waqt se kafi volatile hai aur kisi mukhtasir trend mein nahi hai. Kabhi upar chal raha hota hai aur kabhi niche gir jata hai, jo ke traders ke liye samajhna mushkil ho jata hai. Is tarah ki movement mein trading karna kafi challenging ho sakta hai, khas kar un traders ke liye jo trend ko follow karna pasand karte hain.

Market ke is fluctuation ke doran, EUR/USD ka rate 1.06215 ke qareeb ja raha hai, jis se lagta hai ke yeh level ek important support ya resistance ban sakta hai. Agar yeh rate 1.06215 se neeche jaata hai, toh yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke market aur neeche jayega aur selling pressure barh sakta hai. Wahi agar yeh rate is level se upar jaata hai, toh yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke market mein buying interest barh sakta hai aur EUR/USD ka rate mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Is waqt, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ke movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake woh sahi time par apne positions ko adjust kar sakein. Technical analysis aur fundamental factors ko dono consider karna zaroori hai taake sahi trading decisions li ja sakein.



Ek aur cheez jo traders ko yaad rakhni chahiye, woh hai ke forex market mein risk hamesha hota hai. Is liye, risk management ka ehem hissa hai trading mein. Har trade ke liye stop-loss orders lagana zaroori hai taake nuksan ko minimize kiya ja sake aur trading account ko protect kiya ja sake. Is waqt, EUR/USD ke movement ko closely observe karna zaroori hai aur market ke changes ke mutabiq trading strategy ko adjust karna chahiye. Market ki volatility ka dhyan rakh kar, prudent trading decisions lena zaroori hai.

EUR/USD pair ka tajziya karte hue, yeh saabit hota hai ke market mein mukhtalif waqt per mukhtalif trend dekhne ko milta hai. Yeh asal main ek aham foreign exchange pair hai jo kay traders ke liye aham hota hai. Pichhle arse se isne kuch samay tak fluctuation dikhaya hai, lekin ab seemit signs nazar aa rahe hain jo indicate karte hain ke yeh wapas 1.06226 ke qareeb ja sakta hai. Market analysis karne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke hum samjhe ke trends kya hote hain. Trend basically market ka direction hota hai jo ke ek muddat ke dauran consistent hota hai. Isse traders ko samajh mein aata hai ke market kis direction mein ja rahi hai aur unhein trading decisions lene mein madad milti hai. Trend ko samajhna aur identify karna forex trading ka ek zaroori hissa hai.

Ab jab hum EUR/USD pair ki movement ko dekhte hain, toh hum dekhte hain ke isne pichhle kuch waqt mein kuch aham levels ko test kiya hai. Market ne kabhi upar aur kabhi neeche jhukav dikhaya hai, lekin ab seemit signs hain ke yeh wapas 1.06226 level ki taraf ja sakta hai. Yeh ek important support level hai jo ke pehle bhi test kiya gaya hai aur ab phir se test hone ki possibility hai. Is movement ke peechhe kai factors ho sakte hain. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central banks ke decisions market sentiment ko influence karte hain. Eurozone aur United States ke economic data bhi is pair ke movement par asar dalta hai. Iske alawa, global market conditions aur currency ke relative strengths bhi is pair ke movement ko prabhavit karte hain.

Traders ko hamesha market ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur latest news aur analysis par nazar rakhni chahiye taake woh sahi trading decisions le sakein. Technical analysis ke sath-sath fundamental analysis bhi zaroori hai taake market ke trends ko samajh sakein aur successful trading kar sakein. Is waqt, EUR/USD pair ke movement mein seemit signs hain ke yeh wapas 1.06226 level ki taraf ja sakta hai. Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ke further developments ka wait karna chahiye taake woh sahi trading strategy bana sakein.

Currency pair ya instrument H1 timeframe par medium-term movement ka tajziya karke munafa kamane ka mauqa deta hai. Hamara kaam higher timeframe H4 par maujood trend ko durust pehchanna hai aur market mein munafa hasil karne ke liye sab se durust dakhli naka hai. Ham apne aala H4 timeframe ke chart ko kholte hain aur maujood trend ka rukh dekhte hain. Ham dekhte hain ke aaj market sell trades mein dakhli ke liye ek behtareen mauqa faraham karta hai. Agla, hum teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke signals ka istemal karte hain.

Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke signals ke mutabiq, hum H1 timeframe par bearish trend ko pakadte hain, jab dono indicators laal rang mein hote hain, jo ke farokht karne walon ka fayda kharidaron par gehra hai. Jab tamam zaroori shara'it puri hoti hain, hum bharose ke saath ek sell trade kholte hain. Ham market se bahar magnetic levels indicator ke signals ke mutabiq niklenge. Aaj ke liye kaam karne ke liye sab se dilchasp levels - 1.05587 hain. Phir hum chart par magnetic level ke qareeb quotes ke rawayya ko dhyan se nigrani karenge, aur faisla karenge ke agle magnetic level tak position ko market mein rakhna chahiye ya pehle hi hasil ki gayi munafa ko durust karna chahiye. Aik acha intikhaab MT4 trading terminal mein dastiyab Trailing stop tool (trailing stop order, trail) ka istemal karna hai.

Eurusd h1 waqt frame

Jumma ko jo short trades shuru hui theen, woh ahista ahista chalay gaye aur 1.0696 ke darjaat ko tor diya gaya, phir 1.0630 ke darjaat par mukhtalif ki gayi aur is tarah, 1.0621 tak chadhai gayi, lekin haftay ke ikhtitam aur din ke band hone par darjaat 1.0630 ke upar chale gaye aur jab wo 1.0621 zone se mukhtalif hue, to yeh up main daakhil hui, kyun ke wapis ka ishara mil chuka hai aur wapis ishara quotes ko seedha 1.0696 ke retest ki taraf le jayega, is resistance se main short karna shuru karunga, agar quotes 1.0723 tak na uthayen, aur agar wo uth jayen, phir main achi keemat par shorts ko mazeed add karunga aur maqsadain neeche 1.0620 par hongi, waqt ho gaya hai ke bench mark ko 1.0520 ya 1.0450 par le jayein. Long trades band kar di gayi, tehqeeqat pip ki taraf mukammal hui, 1.0980 ko chhoo kar, aur uske baad darjaat phir se neeche gaye, nichle formation mein laut gaye.

Eurusd h4 waqt frame

Aap ne sahi noted kiya ke halat hamesha be-pesh bayan hoti hain. Lekin yeh wohi hai jo hum sochte hain. Forum par log hain jin ke liye sab kuch asan hai (market mein aur zindagi mein). Achha, theek hai, har koi apna nirdeshak hota hai. Sach kehun, kal bhi mujhe is jodi ke liye dakshin ki pehlaai thi, lekin aaj raat ko Iran ka Israel par hamla hua, mujhe pata nahi kya hoga market ka reaction in tamam chizon ka. Haan, aise lamhon mein America ka dollar barhta hai, lekin mujhe kuch zyada yaqeen nahi hai dollar ki izafa par Iran ki dawat ke baad jo unhone kaha ke unho ne kamyabi hasil kar li hai. Chhoti baat, mujhe ab kya sochna hai bhi nahi pata, mera sar pura uljha hua hai (agar ek system hota toh, phir yeh saara geoplitics aur asaasain maidaan mein baithi hoti). Lekin jab tak deela log hain, main itne waqt tak is haal mein hoon ke aise waqiat ke baad normal se zyada adrenaline chhodti hoon, aur hamesha discplined lines par barqarar rehne ke bare mein sochti hoon.

EUR/JPY ke chart ko dekhne ke baad, peechle haftay ke range ki bulandiyo ko update karne ke baad, jo ke 168.00 se 169.50 tak thi, aur local resistance level ko neeche se oopar tak test karne ke baad, jo ke, meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 165.179 par waqay hai, qeemat palat gayi aur mazboot bearish impulse ke saath neeche ki taraf chalne lagi. Is hafte ke shuruaat mein, EUR/JPY ki qeemat ne mazeed neeche ki taraf rawana hui, jo ke bearish trend ko mazid takat di. Is bearish movement ke peechay kuch mukhya wajohat shamil hain. Sab se pehli wajah hai geopolitical tensions. Duniya bhar ke tensions aur political uncertainty ne market ko destabilize kiya hai, jiske natije mein risk aversion badh gaya hai aur investors apne paiso ko safe haven currencies mein jaise ke Japanese Yen mein daal rahe hain. Is tanaav ki wajah se EUR/JPY pair ki qeemat mein kami dekhi ja rahi hai. Dusri wajah economic indicators ka asar hai. Eurozone ke kuch economic indicators mein kami aayi hai, jaise ke manufacturing PMI aur consumer confidence. Iske alawa, Japan ke economic indicators bhi kuch kamzor aaye hain, jaise ke export aur industrial production. Yeh sabhi factors ne EUR/JPY ke upar pressure dal diya hai. Teesri wajah central banks ke monetary policy decisions hain. ECB (European Central Bank) ne recent announcement mein apni monetary policy ko aur flexible banane ki ghoshna ki hai, jabke Bank of Japan ne bhi apne monetary policy ko accommodative rakha hai. Is tarah ke monetary policy decisions ne EUR/JPY pair ki qeemat par asar dala hai. Ab, agla chehra kya hoga? Is samay, market mein uncertainty hai aur kisi bhi tarah ki tajziya sahi sabit ho sakti hai. Agar geopolitical tensions aur economic indicators mein sudhaar aata hai, to EUR/JPY pair ki qeemat mein izafa dekha ja sakta hai. Wahi agar tanaav aur uncertainty aur badh gaya, to aur neeche ki movement dekhi ja sakti hai. Traders ko mahfooz rehne ke liye, market ki halaat ka achi tarah se tajziya karna zaroori hai aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karna chahiye taake nuksaan se bacha ja sake. Aur, kisi bhi naye trade par qadam uthane se pehle, market ke trend ko samajhna zaroori hai.