eur/usd

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.

EUR/USD currency pair. Pichle haftay, euro/dollar jodi ne ahem level 1.0800 ko paar karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, jo kharidari aur farokht karne walon ke liye ahem tha. Natije mein, farokht karne walon ki taqat barh gayi aur darmiyani muddat ke downtrend jaari raha. Jumma ko choti correction ke bawajood, jodi mein quwwat ka ahsaas nahin tha, jo mazeed kami ka ishara hai. Monday ko market ki dobara khulne se neeche ki taraf ka rukh shuru ho sakta hai, lekin farokht karne walay naye rukh ko 1.0800 par milti hui rukawat ko bachane ka imkaan hai, jo zyada munasib qeemat par farokht ke liye mushkil bana sakta hai. Wo 7th-figure maqasid par nazar rakhte hain, 6th-figure ka imtehaan lena.

Jab tak bearish trend qaim hai, chand muddat ke liye kharidari ke moqaat kamm hain. Agar H1 chart par 1.0823 ke ooper break ho, to ye ek upri sudhaar ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Is takreeban, bearish momentum jaari rahega. 1.0742-1.0764 range ka nishana rakhte hue farokht ka ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Daily chart par, mera nishana 7th figure ke neeche girne ka hai. Magar, downtrend ke dauran muddat ke andar munfarid pulbacks ho sakte hain, jo hoshiyar rehne ki zaroorat hai. Tawajjo farokht par mabni hai, aur mumkinah giravat ko mushkilat ka samna hai. Kal, Asian session ke doran izafa shuda ghairat mandi ka intezar karein, jo European session ke doran shifting player presence ki wajah se kami hone par girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. American session mein izafa shuda ghairat mandi ka imkaan hai, jahan 1.0738 support ke mutaabiq 1.0812 tak mulaqat ho sakti hai. Agar 1.0816 par rukawat mumkin hai, to momentum technical resistance 1.0859 par munfarid rukh ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo mazeed bullish harkat ko le ja sakta hai. Is level ko paar na karne ki soorat mein, ek senior impulse cycle ka nateeja 1.0934 aur iske baad 1.1058 ke taraf ja sakta hai.

Euro (EUR) ab 1.0765 ke qareeb hai, aur chand hafton ke kam az kam girawat ke baad ek choti si uthaal-putaal ke baad ke lagataar haarte hue hai. Ye is ke bawajood hai ke US Dollar Index (DXY) jo ke mojooda waqt mein 105.00 ke neeche trading kar raha hai, EUR/USD pair ko kuch madad faraham kar raha hai. Magar, Eurozone ke ma'ashiyati data ek mukhtalif tasveer paish kar raha hai. Ek taraf, kamzor US Dollar Euro ke liye aik musbat factor hai. US Federal Reserve ke doveish comments jismein ye kehte hain ke is saal interest rates kam kiye jaane ke ihtemam hai, ye hararat zada pressure daal rahe hain dollar par. Ye future traders ke tawaqo ke mutabiq hai jo June mein Fed ko monetary policy ko asaan karna aur saal ke ikhtitami tak 75 feesad point ke had tak darjat ko kam karne ki tawaqo rakhte hain. Doosri taraf, haal hi mein German inflation data Euro ke rukh ko kamzor kar raha hai. Germany ke March ke inflation figures thori had tak tawajjo se kam aaye, ye tajwez kar rahe hain ke European Central Bank (ECB) darjat ko kam kar sakta hai. Ye is liye ke ECB 2% ke qareeb inflation ko nishana banata hai, aur Germany ke kam figures Eurozone ko is maqsad ke qareeb pohancha sakte hain.
Yeh mukhtalif signals ke baais EUR/USD pair ko aik seedha seedha trade kar raha hai ek shant haftay ki shuruaat mein, jis ka sabab Europe mein Easter holidays hain. Takneekan, EUR/USD late December 2023 se neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, bar-bar resistance line ko torne mein na kaamyaab hota hai. Ye kamzori mazeed aham hai is wajah se ke pair ab apni ahem moving averages (50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day) ke neeche trading kar raha hai. Agay dekhte hue, kuch tajziye karne walay is ke liye mazeed downside hosakta hai EUR/USD ke liye. Technical indicators jese ke Stochastic Oscillator par oversold territory ka hona ye ishara deta hai ke Euro ke aur girne ke liye jagah hai qabal-e-awaal rebound ke. Ye bearish traders ke liye ek dilchasp dakhilay ka point hosakta hai jo EUR/USD ko short karna chahte hain aur ek moghtasir giravat se faida uthana chahte hain.

EUR/USD


Euro ko thori waqt ki tawaan support mili Eurozone manufacturing data ke baad. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 rahi, jo ke thori had tak 45.7 ki tawaan se oonchi thi. Magar, yeh ab bhi 50 ke ahem level se neeche hai jo ke growth aur contraction ko alag karta hai. Yeh amreeki PMI ke mukablay mein hai jo ke haal hi mein do saalon ke baad pehli dafa 50 ke upar chala gaya. EUR/USD Easter chutti ke baad taqatwar amreeki data aur ek zyada hawkish Federal Reserve ke peechay kamzor hui. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ne dollar ko taqat di aur June mein interest rate cut ki umeedon ko kam kar diya. Uchhtar interest rates aksar ghair mulki sermaye ko kheenchte hain, jo ke dollar ko zyada kashish deta hai. Wahi par, European Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein dheemi growth aur kam inflation ke bharose zyada dovish stance par aaraha hai. Is haftay mein aaye data ne dikhaya ke March mein German inflation 2.2% par thanda gaya, jo ke tawaan se kam tha aur June mein ECB rate cut ki imkaanat ko aur bhi barha diya. Magar iske bawajood, EUR/USD ko koi khaas traction hasil nahi hui.

EUR/USD abhi ek chhoti mor pe daal gayi hui hai jo ke shuru mein March mein shuru hui. Currency pair ab ek ahem support level ke qareeb pohanch raha hai jo ke 1.0694 ke qareeb hai, yeh saal ke ibtida se sab se kam darja hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) ke mutabiq, jo ke momentum ke liye ek technical indicator hai, Euro ab oversold hai. Yeh ishara hai ke sellers shaed thakan ke qareeb hain aur apne short positions pe thoda rukh sakte hain. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone se nikal jaye (30 ke upar), to yeh traders ke liye short positions band karne aur shayad long positions kholne ka ishara hoga. Yeh temporary pullback ko le kar a sakta hai, lekin overall trend kaafi mutma'in tor par bearish hoga. February ki kamtarin aur saal ke ibtida ki kamtarin 1.0694 ke qareeb ahem support faraham karegi, aur ek bounce pehli koshish mein is level ko todne ki ummeed hai. Magar, is level ke neeche ek faisla saabit hone pe phir se bechani ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai, agle target 1.0650 ke neeche hosakta hai. Ek faisle ko amoman bara laal mombati ki soorat mein charha jata hai jo support level ko mukammal tor par dhus leti hai aur uski neeche band hoti hai. Wahi par, yeh teen mawafiq laal mombatiyon ke zariye bhi nishan de sakti hai ke level ke neeche giraavat shuru ho gayi hai.

Hum euro/dollar pair ki tajziyaat jari rakhte hain aur chaar ghanton ka chart dekhte hain. H4 chart par, 1.0980 ke darje se wazeh tor par phirte hue nazar ata hai, jo aham maqami unchaai ko darust karta hai. Baad mein, barah-e-rastoon mein ek zahir downward price channel bana, jis mein wazeh izafa hota hai. Haal ki trading faa'liyat ne jodi ko support line ke saath ghoomte hue dekha hai, jis ka aaj ka maqami kam 1.0775 tak pohancha. Mojooda waqt mein, jodi 1.0790 par trading kar rahi hai, aur mazeed girawat ka zyada imkaan hai. Farokht karne walay nichle hudood ko nishana banate hain, jo 1.0760 ke aas paas milte hain. Is nateeje par, mojooda rates par currency pair farokht karna mashwara hai, mukhtalif rukh ki ma'mooli wapsi ke bawajood, jabke koi foran palatne ke alaamaat nahi hain.


H4 chart ka jaiza dekhne ke baad, ab mein nazar ko adha ghanta ke time frame par le jata hoon. M30 chart par, ek mukhtalif downward price channel ek wedge ke shakal mein pehle se nikla hai. Keemat musallat tor par resistance line ke neeche hai, aur is tajziya ke waqt, euro/dollar pair 1.0790 par trading kar raha hai. Agar abhi ke darjat se ya 1.0800 ke ooper channel ke simt phirne ke baad, mein nichli trend ka jari rehne ka intizaar karta hoon. Kisi bhi halat mein, bears ko 1.0777 ki kam ke dohraane ki koshish ki umeed hai. Is nateeje par, mein EURUSD ke liye dakchon se mukhtalif ma'amoolon par farokht karne ka intizaar karta hoon, kyunke aham girawat qareeb hai - chhate ke baad chauthe figure tak girawat ka tasavvur ban raha hai.

EURUSD

Euro ne kuch waqt ke liye thori madad hasil ki Eurozone manufacturing data ke baad. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 thi, jo ke tajwez shuda 45.7 se thori ziada thi. Magar ye ab bhi 50 ke ahem level se neeche hai jo ke nashriyat se mukhtalif hai. Ye US PMI ke mukablay mein hai jo haal hi mein do saalon ke baad pehli martaba 50 ke upar pohanch gaya hai. Easter holiday ke baad taqatwar US data aur zyada hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath EUR/USD kamzor ho gaya. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke tajwez ne dollar ko mazid mazboot kar diya jis se June mein interest rate kaatne ki umeedain kam ho gayi. Zyada interest rates aksar foreign capital ko attract karte hain, jis se dollar zyada attractive ban jata hai. Ek dosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein dhimi growt aur kam inflation ki wajah se ek zyada dovish stance ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is haftay mein jari shuda data ne March mein German inflation ko 2.2% par garam kar diya, jo ke umeedon se kam tha aur June mein ECB rate kaatne ke imkanat ko mazeed barha diya. Magar is ke bawajood, EUR/USD ko koi traction hasil nahi hui.

EUR/USD abhi bhi ek short-term downtrend mein gira hua hai jo ke March ke shuru mein shuru hua tha. Yeh currency pair ab 1.0694 ke qareeb ek ahem support level ke taraf ja raha hai, jo ke is saal ke ibtida se ab tak ka kamzor tareen point hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke momentum ke liye ek technical indicator hai, ke mutabiq Euro ab oversold hai. Ye yeh ishara deta hai ke sellers thakne ki had tak pohanch gaye hain aur unhe apni short positions par wapas aa jana chahiye. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone (30 ke upar) se bahar nikal jata hai, to ye traders ke liye short positions ko band karne aur shaed long positions kholne ka ishara hoga. Ye temporary pullback ko laa sakta hai downtrend mein, lekin overall trend ab bhi bearish hone ke zyada chances hain. February ke low aur year-to-date low 1.0694 par significant support denge aur pehli koshish mein is level ko toorna mukhtalif hai. Magar, is level ke neeche ek faisla karne wala break ek aur wave ko trigger kar sakta hai, jiske agle target 1.0650 ke neeche hosakta hai. Ek decisive break aam tor par price chart par aik bara surkh mum ki soorat mein hota hai jo ke support level ko poori tarah ghira leta hai aur is ke neeche band hota hai. Ya to ye teen musalsal surkh mum ki soorat mein hota hai jo ke level ke neeche toot jaate hain.

EUR/USD D1 Timeframe:

EUR/USD pair ki mojooda tehreekat se lagta hai ke ya to resistance level 1.0806 tak pohanchne ka rujhan hai ya phir 1.0865 ke resistance level ki taraf barhne ka rasta hai. Ye ahem levels ek mohtabar trading setup ki talaash ko zaroori banate hain, jo agle trading direction ko taay karna mein ahem kirdaar ada karega. Halankeh ye sambhavna hai ke ye resistance levels ko paar kiya jaye aur ziada buland maqsood 1.9007 ki taraf liya jaye, aise maamlay mein kai factors par nirbhar karta hai, jese ke market conditions aur prices ke tameer ko diye gaye durust mashriqi maqasid ke isteqbaal ke asar par khaas tor par. Agar ikhtiyari surat hal mein, agar price support level 1.0696 ki taraf aata hai, to ek mazeed amal ka tajurba karna mumkin hai jo is level ke neeche aik muwafaqat ki manzil ki taraf ja sakta hai, is ke baad neeche ke raaste mein jaari rahay. Ye ikhtiyarati intezam support level 1.0657 tak aane par, ek mazeed mumkinah surat hal mein shaamil ho sakti hai jo ke price ko is level ke neeche muwafaqat karke uska nichla rukh jaari rakh sakta hai. Traders ko mustaqil rehna chahiye aur unke strategies ko tabdeel karna chahiye muzafrat karne wale market dynamics aur price action ke baare mein.



Dosri taraf, keemat ki harkat ke liye ikhtiyari surat hal mein pair support level 1.0611 ki taraf aane ki mumkin surat hal shamil hai. Is surat hal mein, traders ko is level ke neeche muwafaqat karne ke mumkinat ka ihtemaam karna chahiye, phir mohtaj hote hain ke price apni nichli harkat jaari rakhe. Ye ehtiyaat se bharpoor approach traders ko tabdeel hone wale market dynamics ke mutabiq mukhtasir faislon par isteqbaal karne ki ijazat deta hai. Agar keemat support level 1.0449 ki taraf aane ki taraf hai, to is level ke neeche aik muwafaqat ki manzil ke baad ek surat hal ke mutabiq aage ke nichle rukh ki jaari rahay ke mumkinat hain. Market ko nazdeek se nazarandaz karna zaroori hai aur trading strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye zaroori hai ke potential price movements mein tabdiliyon ka saamna kia jaaye.

EURUSD

Euro (EUR) 1.0765 ke qareeb phansa hua hai, jis se wo thori nuqsan mein hai Wednesday ko multi-week ke kamzor hone ke baad aik chand lamhon ke bounce ke baad. Ye aik kamzor US Dollar Index (DXY) ke bawajood hai jo filhaal 105.00 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jis se EUR/USD jorhne ko kuch support mil raha hai. Magar, Eurozone ki maaliati data aik mukhalif tasweer paint kar raha hai. Aik taraf, kamzor US Dollar Euro ke liye aik musbat factor hai. US Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke mutabiq is saal interest rates ko khatam karne ki sambhavanaon ke niche dabaav daal raha hai. Ye un umeedon ke saath milti hai jo future traders ke intezar hai ke Fed monetary policy ko June mein aasan karne shuru kar de aur saal ke ikhtitam tak 3/4 fee satah ki khaarij kare. Doosri taraf, haal hi mein German inflation data Euro ki momentum ko kamzor kar raha hai. Germany ke March mein inflation figures thori had tak khaarij kiye gaye hain, jo ke nazar andaz ki speculation ko utha raha hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) shayad rates ko khatam kar de. Is ka sabab yeh hai ke ECB ne inflation ko 2% ke qareeb maqsad kiya hai, aur Germany ke kam figures Eurozone ko is maqsad ke qareeb le jane ki alaamat dete hain.

Mukhtalif signals ke bais, EUR/USD pair sideways trade kar raha hai haftay ki shuruwat mein, shayad Europe mein Easter holidays ke sabab se. Takneeki tor par, EUR/USD late December 2023 se ek downtrend par hai, baar baar resistance line ko torne mein nakam reh raha hai. Yeh kamzori mazeed highlight hoti hai is wajah se ke pair ab apne ahem moving averages (50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day) ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Aglay janib dekhte hue, kuch analysts ko lagta hai ke EUR/USD ke liye mazeed neeche jaane ki sambhavna hai. Takneeki indicators jaise ke Stochastic Oscillator par oversold territory ka hone ka ye ishaara hai ke Euro ke aur neeche girne ke liye jagah hai ek potential rebound se pehle. Ye bearish traders ke liye aik dilchasp dakhli point ho sakta hai jo EUR/USD ko short karna chahte hain aur ek moghtasir kam honay ka faida uthana chahte hain.

EUR/USD


5-minute chart ka tajziya karte waqt, qeemat ke harkaat ko driving forces samajhna ahem hai. Is maqam par, Eurozone data ne ibtedai izafa ko janam diya phir ek jhooti breakout ke husool se euro ko bechnay ka ek mumkin mauqa nazar aaya. Lekin, chart ko qareeb se dekhne par yeh wazeh ho gaya ke pair ne neechay ki taraf harkat mein kamyabi nahi dikhayi.

Munasib qeemat ke harkaat se mukhtalif hone ki surat mein, market se nikalne aur din ke baqi hisse ke liye technical manzar ko dobara tajziya karne ka faisla aqalmandana tha. Is maqam par market se nikalna aik mustahiq kadam tha, ummeed shuda aur haqeeqati qeemat ke darmiyan farq ke ghor se, jisse nuqsaan ka khatra kam ho.

Ab, lambi positions kholne ki taraf tawajju badhate hue, revised technical analysis ke buniyadi tor par tawajju ko dobara tez karna zaroori hai. Pehle ki jhooti breakout ki ghair wazehiyat ke dabaav mein, ehtiyaat bhara approach zaroori hai. Aik strategy mein maloomat ke doran intezar karna shamil ho sakta hai jaise ke moving averages, support aur resistance ke darajat, ya oscillators ko bullish momentum ke nishano ke liye nigrani mein rakhna.

Market ke aehmiyat aur anya anjaamat ke baray mein khush mizaji aur kisi aane wale triggers par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo currency ke harkaat par asar daal sakte hain.

Bardaasht aur disiplin gheyr-mamooli market sharaayi halat mein safar karne ke dauraan bohot zaroori hain. Bina mojooda market dynamics ka mukammal samajhne ke beghair kisi position mein jaldi mein dakhil hone se suboptimal nateeja ho sakta hai. Is liye, zaroori hai ke aitmaad aur faraham ki aashanion par intezar karein jo kamiyabi ke buland ihtimam ke saath aane wale mumkin mauqon par muntazir rehna hai.

Aakhir mein, Eurozone data ke bunyadi plan ke bawajood euro ko bechne ka pehla manzar acha tha, lekin keemat ke harkaat mein farq hone ki surat mein, manzar ko dobara tajziya karne ki zaroorat thi. Market se nikalna mawqay ke mustaqbil ki tafseelat ke liye ek rukawat faraham karta hai. Lambi positions kholne ke liye, aik ehtiyaat bhara aur disiplin tajziya mufeed hai, tasdeeqi nishano aur market analysis ko trading ke faislay ko behtar banane ke liye pehluu dain.

EURUSD

Aaj ke din 1.0742 ke darje par khulta, EURUSD currency pair mein kami aayi aur 1.0725 par ek daily kam kiya. Is ke baad, keemat ooper ki taraf palat gayi aur 1.0780 tak ek daily bulandi qaim ki. Is waqt, hum dekh sakte hain ke daily trading ka diagram Relative Strength Index ko ooper ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke khatray ooper ki taraf mael hain. Magar, bull ko price ko is Tuesday ke high ke upar le jaana hoga taake uper ki taraf qeemat ka taraqqi ka safar jari rahe. Agar bull yahan nakam ho gaye to, phir qeemat neechay ki taraf girne ki buland ihtimaal hai. Agar yeh hua, to bearish targets aaj pehle 1.0725 par darj ki gayi kam hogi. Is level ke neechay kami ka kami kamyabi se, quotes ko mazboot support level 1.0700 tak ponchay ga. Agar bears asal mein kuch karne ka irada rakhte hain, to unka target price zone 1.0680/1.0660 hoga.

Char ghanton ke trading diagram par, Relative Strength Index, neechay ki taraf palatne ki koshish kar raha hai aur is se yeh darust hota hai ke aane wale trading sessions mein pair ki keemat mein kami ka imkaan hai. Agar keemat phir se 1.0725 ke darje ke neeche gir jati hai, to psikolojik level 1.0700 jaldi charts par hoga. Is ahem support ke neechay mazeed kami ki taraf, sellers ka target 1.0680 aur 1.0650 banega. Dusri taraf, agar keemat girne ke bajaye ooper chali jati hai, to pehla target 1.0800 ka round mark hoga. Yeh darust kamyabi ke saath upar diye gaye level ke upar taraqqi bullon ke liye zaroori hai taake 1.0840 aur 1.0870 ke darajat ko explore kiya ja sake. Kuch bhi ho, agar keemat 1.0780 ke upar chali jati hai to main kharidne ki moqaar faraham karonga aur agar keemat 1.0725 ke darje ko paar karti hai to main bechnay ki moqaar talash karonga. Chalte chalte dekhte hain ke aane wale sessions mein kya hota hai. Dosto, positive pips ke liye behtareen shubh kamnaein! Aur parhne ke liye shukriya.

EUR/USD technical analysis:

Jab EUR/USD pair ka tajziya kiya jata hai, to yeh maloom hota hai ke iski harkat ab ek wazeh rujhan ko zahir kar rahi hai, jo ke ya to 1.0806 par mojood resistance level ko hasil karne ki salahiyat ko zahir kar rahi hai ya phir 1.0865 par mojood resistance level ki taraf barhne ki salahiyat ko zahir kar rahi hai. Ye aham levels traders ke liye sabr aur hosla ka mazidari se intezar ka dor talab karte hain, kyunke yeh agle trading rukh ka tay karte hain. Is tarah ke ahem moqay par ek munafaqat aur tajurba kaari se trading setup ko pehchanne mein hosla aur ehtiyaat ki zarurat hoti hai, iske alawa yeh kehna zaroori hai ke pair in resistance levels ko paar karne aur 1.9007 tak bulaane ki mumkinat ka tasavvur bhi hona chahiye. Magar, is scenario ka ikhtetaam kai factors par mabni hai, jo ke halaat ke nizaam aur qeemat ko moqtif karte hain.

Doosri taraf, ek mukhtalif manzar mein agar qeemat 1.0696 par support level tak pahunchti hai, to traders ko mukhtalif imaalat apnaane ka tawajjo dena chahiye. Is mein is support level ke neeche ek muddat ki mojoodgi shaamil ho sakti hai, jise ek junbish ki dobaara shuru hone ki sath sath ek nichli raftar shamil hai. Ye mukhtalif strategy qeemat ka muddat ki mojoodgi aur saath hi saath mukhtalif harkato ki gunjaish ka hisaab rakhti hai, jisse traders apni positions ko mutabiq banwa sakte hain. Iske alawa jab qeemat 1.0657 ke qareeb hoti hai, to traders ke liye ehtiyaat aur hosla izafi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh level aik aham juncture ko dhaarna karta hai jahan aik u-turn ya mazeed nichle jhalki ka imkaan hai, isliye is par tanqeedi nazar aur strategy ki planning zaroori hai. Traders ko maazi ki market dynamics par mutawasit rehna aur jaldi se apni strategies ko mutarif karna chahiye.

Ikhteta mein, EUR/USD pair ke complex taba'iyat mein chalne ke liye ahem levels ki samajh aur tajaweezat ko bina taweel guftagu ke samajhna zaroori hai. Sabar aur samajhdaari se tajurba aur soch bichar ke zariye, traders apne aapko currency market ke mukhtalif rujhaanon se asar andazi mein rakhte hain. Jab ke manzar ke farogh ke sath, maazi mein inform hona aur agile rehna trading kamiyabi ko ziyada karne aur mustaqbil mein mustawaab bharakat hasil karne ke liye barqi darusti hai.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe

Raat bakhair dosto! Great Depression maei ma'ashi nizam aur dhanchay ka tabadla nahi hua tha. Ye mukhtalif cheezein hain. Aur ab ye bhi koi raaz nahi raha ke Federal Reserve naye currency duniya mein zinda nahi jayega. Ye idara bhi ab guzishta hojayega, kyunke is ki zaroorat nahi hogi. Is ki jagah funds ko play kiya jayega, jo ke ab naye nizam ki taraf manzoor kar rahi hain, aur Federal Reserve, puranay nizam ka main idara, isay dafn kar raha hai. Is liye, Great Depression ke muqable is se koi taalluq nahi hai. Aur bohot kam logon ko Powell ka kismet se koi dilchaspi hogi. US economy? Bhavishya mein kisi ko aise chhoti moti cheezein ka intezar kis cheez ke liye hoga? Kya aajkal kisi ko Atlantis ki parwaah hai? Sirf agar raazoon ka hal ho to. Yehi haal America ke sath hoga; is mulk ke sirf afsanay reh jayenge. Magar, ye bhavishya mein hai, haan ke itna door nahi, aur humein yeh dekhna hai ke is haftay aur April mein EUR/USD ke sath kya hoga. Mumkin hai ke mazeed trend neeche ki taraf mukharrar hoga, mojudah junubi harkat aur ek bearish trend ko barhne ki zaroorat ke baais. Aaj, zyadatar taur par, hum is harkat ka jari rehne ka silsila dekhenge aur humein 1.0664 ke neeche girne ka intezar karna chahiye, jo ke mojooda giravat ko khatam karne ka pehla qadam hoga. Main EUR/USD ko bechne ka intezar karnay ki idee ko support karta hoon ek correctiv structure ke baad 1.0852 ke rebound ke baad. Mumkin hai ke aap is level tak vapas nahi aayenge is mojooda harkat ke doran. Neeche ki harkat ki shiddat ko mad e nazar rakhtay hue, hum giravat ke aakhri marhale ka khatma ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke aglay ubharte hue cycle ki taraf rukh ka silsila banayega.



Umeed hai ke aap theek honge aur EUR/USD trade ko enjoy kar rahe honge. Aap ke United States ke baray mein kuch qiyamat ki peshgoiyaan hain. Kisi bhi mulk ka girna ya toh jang ya ma'ashi tabahi se pehle hota hai. Ab tak na pehla na doosra America ke baray mein tawajjo ki umeed hai. American economy ab duniya mein sab se mazboot hai, jo ke yeh matlan hai ke dollar duniya ko domine karega. Aur graphs is baat ko tasdeeq karte hain. Digital dollar par tabdeel hona sirf ek technical masla hai jo maamlaat ko aasaan karne ke liye hai aur shayad mazeed capital control ke liye, kuch nahi zyada. Aur agar ek qaumi currency hai, toh ek control karnay wala bhi hona chahiye. Funds currency jaari karne ke liye yet nahi hain, is liye woh is kirdaar ke liye bilkul bhi mozu nahi hain. Intehai ma'ayno ko lekar, EUR/USD pair pehle se hi 1.0765 ke level ko test kar raha hai aur main 1.0770 aur JOLTS vacancies ke market reaction ka intezar kar raha hoon. Shayad aaj hum aik mukhtasir u-turn dekh sakte hain agar 1.0790 ke level ko tor diya jata hai.

Aaj ki daily chart ki takhleeqi tajziyah se, aam tor par wazeh hai ke simple moving averages qeemat par upar ki taraf dabaav daal rahe hain. Halaanki, ye bullish jazba ko baaqi rehne wale bearish signals ke saath juxtakarta hai. Takniki tasveer saath mein shamil shakl mein darust hai. Is manzar ke mutabiq, maujooda intraday trend ek downtrend ki taraf mael karta hai, jahan ek barri manzil 1.0765 par set ki gayi hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke dhiyan dein ke agar yeh level tor diya jata hai to currency pair ke liye nuqsaan ko barha sakta hai, jisey mazeed giravat ki rah mein aur 1.0730 aur aakhir mein 1.0700 ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Iske baad, agar niche ki manzil jaari rahe to pair ko mazeed challenges ka samna kar sakte hain, jahan ek mumkin giravat 1.0665 tak ho sakti hai. Ye tajziyah market mein maujood bullish aur bearish taqatoun ke darmiyan nazuk tabeer ko zahir karta hai. Jabke moving averages ko upar ki harkat ke liye daawat dete hain, maujooda bearish jazba tasveer mein hoshiyari ka aghaz karta hai. Karobari logon ko khaas tor par pehchaanay gaye maqamat ko qaabil nigaah rakhte hue tajziyah ke maayene ko samajhne ke liye hamesha qareebi hifazati nikaat aur maqsadon ko mutasir karne wale key levels ka tehqiq karna chahiye.
Is tarah, hushyar khatra nigrani ke tariqay ko hidayat kiya jata hai, jahan karobari log mukhtalif mode ke ya taweil giravaton ke hawale se hoshyaar rehte hain. Market ke hissedarain stop-loss orders istemal karne aur qeemat ki harkat ko qareeb se dekhte hue maujooda ghair yaqeeni mein mukammal tor par guzara kar sakte hain. Aakhri mei, jab takneeki tajziyah aam tor par ek aaghaazati trend ki taraf ishara karta hai, bearish signals ke mojoodgi ek hoshiyari taur par hona zaroori hai. Key levels ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hue aur mazboot khatarnaak nigrani strategies ka istemal karke, traders apne aapko potential opportunities par faiyda uthane ke liye muntaqil kar sakte hain jabke is dakhliyat se hone wale nuqsaan ko kam kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD D1 Timeframe Analysis

Agar yeh 1.09112 area ke neeche majboot hota hai, to karobariyo ko manzoori ka imkan hai, lekin abhi ke liye unhe is area ke ooper chhota stop rakhna chahiye. Agar 1.0930 area ke ooper koi jhoota toot nahi hota hai, to kharidari jari rakhni chahiye. Magar agar yeh us position ke neeche mil jaata hai, to bechna acha sabit hoga. Jab tak urooj rahta hai, dam aspataalon mein halka halka giravat nazara aayega. Kharidari jari rakhni chahiye jab qeemat 1.0900 area se bahar nikalti hai aur iske ooper majboot hoti hai. Hum aage badh sakte hain jab humein apne taraqqi ke liye munasib giravat milta hai. Agar hum 1.09115 area se bahar nikalte hain aur uske ooper jama ho jaate hain, to kharidari acha idea hoga. Urooj ke dauran yeh mumkin hai ke hume dakshin ki taraf mutawazi hona pare. Agar kharidaron ke paas 1.09112 ke ooper chale jaane ki mumkinat hai, to is range se bahar nikalna zaroori hai. Agar hum bahar nikal kar pahle high se mil jaate hain 1.0950 se, to kharidari jari rakhna zaroori hai. Mumkin hai ke US session ke doran 1.0985 ke neeche gir jaaye, jo aage ki kamai ke liye achay shiraa'at faraham karega. Agar qeemat 1.0910 ke ooper chali jaaye to aage ki kharidari ke liye acha tareeqa hai. agar qeemat kam ho jaaye aur pahle kam se guzar kar 1.0866 ko tode, to karobari jari rakhne ka acha moqa hoga. Aik chhota giravat ka intezar US trading session ke doran kiya ja sakta hai, phir ek urooj ki taraf.

Fiscal requests ke duniya mein, jahan trends tabdeel hote hain aur circles qadeem taur par direct nahi hote, is duniya mein musafir ki liye ek reference point ka hona bohot ahem hai. Request movements aksar apni be-tuklafi ke zariye nazar aate hain, isliye naye patterns ka mustaqbil dekhte waqt chaukanna aur narmi se rehna zaroori hai. Moujooda request ke mahaul mein aik aise reference point ki ahmiyat hai, jo ek maqam ko darust karta hai, naqal aur simat mein mufassal tabdiliyon ki nishandahi karta hai. Magar, request ke dynamic mahaul mein, rang birangi factors ka subtil interplay manwaane ki zaroorat hai. Is mark ko paar karne ki mumkinat be bullish instigation ke liye intehai acha sabit ho sakti hai, lekin ehtiyaat aur mukhtalif mohol ko mad e nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Is khushkhabri ke peechay, ek giravat ki chakori ka masla hai, jahan stock ek ahem support maqam ada karta hai. Is dar se guzarne ka manzar hai jo bhaari hai, jisne khatra aur qeemat ke darmiyan narmi se tanasub ka dardanak mizaaj paida kiya hai. Mujhe halke phoolk ke tehzeeb me yakin hai, jo request pointers aur ahem bunyadiyat ki mukammal tehqiq ke zariye mazboot bani hai. Request sentiment ke jhoolne ke darmiyan, tawazun ka tawajo ek rehnumai ka kaam karta hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis Chart


EUR/USD jodi halkay tor par 1.0720 ke qareeb se bounce kar ke kuch had tak 1.0765 ke aas paas gir gayi. Amreeki dollar index kamzor hai, 105.00 ke mark ke neeche baithe hue, jo EUR/USD ke liye kuch madad faraham kar raha hai. Magar, mutawaqqa German mahangi ke data ne umeed par paani pher diya ke European Central Bank karza daro mein daromadar ko kum kar sakta hai, jo euro par dabaav dal raha hai. Karobariyon ka Eurozone aur U.S. ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index se March ke mahangi ke data ka intizar hai taakee market mein nai rafter ke liye nayi himayat di ja sake. Muhafizanei Federal Reserve afisaar ki dovish taqreeron ne dollar par bohot wazan dala. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester ne mangal ko kaha ke is saal woh interest rates ko kum karna ka tawaqo rakhte hain lekin May mein hone wali aglay policy meeting ko na rukna bata diya. Waqtan-fa-waqtan, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne kaha ke unhe lagta hai 2024 mein teen darja karza kam ke kum ke sath "munasib" lagte hain lekin is tasdiq ke liye mazeed saboot ki zaroorat hai. Futures traders umeed rakhte hain ke U.S. Federal Reserve apni June ki meeting mein policy ko halka karne ka aaghaz karega aur saal ke ikhtitami tak har dafa 25 buniyadi points ke sath teen martaba interest rates ko kum karega.





Jurmni statistics office Destatis ne ek report jaari kiya kehte hue ke Jurmni mahangi March mein thori muddat ke liye mutawaqqa se zyada ruki, apni taqreeban teen saal ki dar se neeche pohnchi. March mein Jurmni Harmonized Consumer Price Index ka pehla mutafarriq qeemat maheenavi buniyad par 0.6% barhi, thora kam se mutawaqqa 0.7%. Jurmni Harmonized Consumer Price Index ka shuruai saalana darja 2.3% tha, mutawaqqa qeemat 2.4% ke mustaqbil par se kam tha. Naram mahangi ka zahir hona dikhata hai ke Germany European Central Bank (ECB) ke 2% ke hadaf ke qareeb pohnch raha hai, market ke umeed ko barha kar ECB ke karza daro mein kum karne ka intizar hai. Yeh phir euro par bojh dalti hai, jis se EUR/USD jodi ke liye rukawaton ka sabab banta hai. Takneeki lehaz se, upri tanasub ki ibtedai rooshni 1.0790 par mojood hai, mazeed rukawat 1.0812 par hai, aur mukhya rukawat 1.0844 par hai; neeche ki tanasub ki ibtedai himayat 1.0736 par hai, mazeed himayat 1.0704 par hai, aur zyada ahem himayat 1.0682 par hai.