یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

۔ EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.

Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko set kiye gaye new high 1.1175 se decline kiya hai 1.1130 par, jab US Dollar (USD) rise hua lekin 2024 ke new low ke qareeb reh gaya. Central currency pair thoda down trade kar raha hai 1.1130 par. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko measures karta hai six other major currencies ke relative, ab 101.00 par trade kar raha hai.
Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates ko lower karne ki track par hai, US dollar ke liye prognosis abhi bhi bleak hai. Is move se, Fed apni first dovish interest rate decision ko almost four years mein kar raha hai. March 2022 se, US central bank ne tight monetary policy ko pursue kiya hai inflation ko reduce karne ke liye.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes July 30-31 policy meeting se indicate karte hain ki "vast majority" Fed officials September mein policy-easing ko appropriate samajhte hain, given continued easing inflationary pressures. Yeh market speculation ko strengthen karta hai Fed interest rate cuts ke liye.

FOMC minutes ne bhi reveal kiya ki some decision-makers July se interest rates ko lower karne ke liye prepared the. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki address ko watch karenge Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein Friday ko 14:00 GMT se, interest rates ki direction ke liye clues ke liye. Woh September ke interest rate decreases ki extent aur Fed is year ke potential reductions ke hints bhi dhoondenge.

Investors US flash S&P Global PMI data ko watch karenge August ke liye Thursday ko 13:45 GMT se release hone ke liye. Preliminary PMI data se anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki July mein Composite PMI 54.3 se 53.5 par gir gaya.

Price Evaluation

Investors ki attention Fed Powell ki address par focused hai JH Symposium mein Friday ko, EUR/USD pair Wednesday ke trading range mein trade kar raha hai. Main currency pair year-to-date high 1.1775 par trade kar raha hai, isliye anticipate kiya ja raha hai ki woh apni four-day winning streak ko extend karega. Standard currency pair ne previously momentum gain kiya hai daily time frame breakout ke channel formation se. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) short-to-long-term trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, upward pointing. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward solid momentum ko indicate karta hai, bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillating. Lekin, momentum indicato

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka analysis karain ge. Pehle toh yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke ascending channel abhi tak break nahi hua; chart abhi bhi trend ke andar adjust ho raha hai. Friday ka upward momentum is liye critical hai kyun ke iss se ascending channel mein growth barqarar reh sakti hai, aur 11th figure ke qareeb jo support level hai, wo buyers ke liye bohot important hai. Yeh level ascending channel ke andar akhri clear reference minimum ko represent karta hai. Agar kal ke din mein accumulation se maximum mein bara update hota, sirf kuch points ka nahi, toh ek naya minimum establish hota ascending channel mein. Magar yeh nahi hua, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke channel pressure mein hai, lekin ab tak break nahi hua. Ek rebound, preferably triangle formation ki taraf, channel ko break karna asaan kar dega aur ek solid reversal pattern establish kar dega.
Agar hum EUR/USD pair ke daily chart ka jaiza lain, toh pair kayi dinon se sideways move kar raha hai, aur aaj bhi yeh range ke andar move kar raha hai. Ab yeh dekhna hoga ke aage situation kaise develop hoti hai, yeh sideways trend continue karta hai ya koi breakout hota hai. Aaj ke technical analysis ko dekhein, toh moving averages neutral hain, lekin technical indicators strongly sell ki taraf ishara karte hain. Overall recommendation sell ki hai, lekin humein ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga aur sahi moment ka intezaar karna hoga. Aaj US se aane wali essential news negative lean karti hai, jo ke pair ko affect kar sakti hai. 5 saal ke US Treasury notes ka auction chal raha hai, aur Euro group meeting khatam ho chuki hai, magar euro zone se koi significant news nahi aayi. Is context mein, pair downward trend karne ke chances hain, aur yeh support level ke qareeb 1.1099 tak pohanch sakta hai. Dosri taraf, ek brief rise bhi ho sakta hai resistance level ke qareeb 1.1129 tak.

Humari discussion mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price changes ka analysis karenge. H4 time frame par EUR/USD pair ke liye, humne kal dono directions mein significant activity observe ki, jisme notable downward move U.S. session ke qareeb dekha gaya. H4 par weekly pivot levels ke mutabiq ek critical development hui—hum ne weekly pivot line 1.10753 ke neeche break kiya, jo bearish stance ki taraf shift ko signal karta hai. Is ke nateeje mein, yeh setup ne H4 par pair ko sell karne ke mauke khole, jahan Ichimoku indicator ne bhi bearish "Dead Cross" ko confirm kiya. Is ka matlab hai ke jab weekly pivot levels H4 par kal phir se recalculate honge, sales open rahengi. Ek strategic approach yeh hogi ke pivot se neeche se retest par sell kiya jaye. Filhal, pehla sales target 61.8% Fibonacci level par 1.10937 hai, aur jab weekly pivot levels adjust ho jayenge, toh downside target mazeed refine kiya ja sakta hai. Single European currency ne naye haftay ke pehle trading hours mein 1.1050 level ke thoda upar trade kar rahi hai jab ke woh pichle teen dinon ke losses ko recoup karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Jab European currency ne 1.12 level ko touch kiya, jo ke chand mahine mein sabse highest level tha, toh mazeed growth par sawaal uthne lage aur US currency dobara forefront par aayi. Yeh development mere pehle ke articles mein diye gaye khayalaat ko poori tarah confirm karta hai, kyun ke mujhe European currency ke mazeed strong rise ki ability par serious shakk tha, jab ke American currency ke favor mein 1.12 par position lena ek bohat acha idea tha. Bilkul, mein yaad dilaata hoon ke Friday ko, jo ke hafta ka aakhri din tha, lekin saath hi bohat rich agenda bhi tha critical macroeconomic statements ke sath, maine US currency ke against gains ko lock karne aur waiting position mein rehne ko tarjeeh di.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to pair ab key support aur resistance levels ko navigate kar raha hai. 1.1050 level, jo recently resistance se support ban gaya hai, immediate downside ko safeguard karne mein madadgar hoga. Agar pair is level se neeche girta hai, to angle significant support zones 1.1021 aur psychological 1.1000 mark par hain. Agar further declines 1.0988 ke neeche hoti hain to 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), jo filhal 1.1063 ke aas-paas hai, bhi play mein aa sakta hai aur pair ko 1.1000 mark tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh level 50-day SMA ke sath coincide karta hai aur crucial pivot point banega. Agar is level se decisively break hota hai, to near-term top signal kar sakta hai aur bearish traders ke favor mein bias shift kar sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, agar pair 1.1000 mark ke upar sustain karta hai to year-to-date (YTD) peak ke challenge ka stage set ho sakta hai, jo lagbhag 1.1203 ke aas-paas hai—jo earlier in the year touch kiya gaya tha. Agar pair is psychological level ke upar strength sustain karta hai, to yeh renewed bullish sentiment trigger kar sakta hai, jo potential rally ke liye raasta bana sakta hai 1.1200 mark tak. Aisa move ek significant milestone hoga, kyunki yeh pehli baar hoga jab pair December 2023 ke baad is level ko reclaim karega

Kal ka din pur sukoon guzar gaya, thori si izafa hui thi, lekin aaj phir se girawat shuru ho gayi hai. Aaj hum EURUSD currency pair ko daily chart par dekhte hain. Filhaal, chart par nazar aata hai ke yeh pair is period ke liye ek ascending trend mein hai, lekin abhi corrective phase mein hai. Wave structure apni upward sequence bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, lekin ab yeh apne signal line ki taraf niche ja raha hai. Pichle trading haftay ne bulls ko koi bhi kamiyabi nahi di; wo pehle jaisay upar ja rahe the lekin ab unka waqt kuch der ke liye khatam ho gaya hai. Agar hum Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke neeche lagayein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke target achieve ho chuka hai - 161.8 level is grid par achieve kiya gaya aur 200 level ko reach karne ki koshish ki gayi. Minimum target achieve ho chuka hai, aur is ke ilawa price ne 2023 ke end ke significant maximum ko bhi exceed kar diya hai, is liye yahan ek potential selling zone ban gaya. CCI indicator bhi overbought zone se bahar aa raha tha. Pichle haftay mein, bears ne revenge liya aur pehle ke uthaav ka ek significant hissa wapas le liya. Unhone price ko niche push kiya, jo ke pound dollar se zyada behtar hai, kyunki EURGBP cross rate pichle kuch dinon se gir raha hai. Yeh downward trend cross rate ke, pound dollar ki girawat ko roknay mein rukawat daal raha hai aur euro dollar ko girne mein madad kar raha hai. Abhi purchases bilkul bhi nahi consider kiye ja rahe hain jab tak price 1.0958 ke support level tak nahi pahunchtay. Wahan kuch upward wave ko pakadne ki ummeed hogi, lekin filhaal yeh nahi hai, sirf choti choti pullbacks hain, aur uske baad phir se ek aur girawat. Aur overall market mein, baqi major pairs bhi nazdeek future mein US dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye nazar aa rahe hain. Tactic yeh hai ke intraday pullbacks ke baad selling formations ko dhoondha jaye aur niche kaam kiya jaye. Mera khayal hai ke is haftay sellers ka dominance rahega. Kal US mein Labor Day tha, isliye shayad activity itni low thi.

Agar hum chart ko aur detail se dekhein, to yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke corrective phase ke doran, price ne kuch technical levels ko test kiya hai jo indicate karte hain ke abhi bhi downward pressure bana hua hai. Jo bhi traders hain, unhe chahiye ke wo market trends ko dhyan se monitor karen aur short-term pullbacks ko use karke profit kamane ki koshish karein. Technical indicators jaise MACD aur CCI ki movement bhi trading decisions ko guide karte hain. Short-term volatility ke bawajood, long-term trend abhi bhi bearish lag raha hai aur sellers ka dominance hi main theme lag raha hai. Isliye, trading strategy ko is ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai aur market ki situation ko nazar mein rakhte hue trades enter karni chahiye

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan hai

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.

Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan hai

Asian session ke dauran Wednesday ko, currency pair negative territory mein trade kar raha hai aur 1.1047 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh halki girawat Greenback ke liye consolidation ke dauran ho rahi hai. Market participants agle economic reports ki taraf dhyan de rahe hain jo currency valuations ko affect kar sakti hain. Khaaskar, aaj ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) ki release investors ke liye ek major point ban gayi hai.

PPI report ke July ke liye inflationary pressures ke thoda kam hone ki ummeed hai. Headline PPI ke 0.1% month-over-month hone ki umeed hai, jo ke pehle ke 0.2% se kam hai. Core PPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, ke 2.7% year-over-year hone ki forecast hai, jo June ke 3.0% se kam hai. Yeh figures broader inflation trends ko reflect karengi jo US economy ko affect kar rahi hain.

Upcoming US CPI Data aur Federal Reserve Policy Expectations

Investors US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain. Economists ko 0.2% ka increase headline aur core CPI mein ummeed hai, aur annual inflation rates thoda dheere hone ka bhi estimate hai. Headline CPI ke 2.9% tak dheere hone ki ummeed hai, jabke core CPI 3.2% tak pohnchne ka estimate hai. Yeh inflation metrics Federal Reserve ke future policy actions ko assess karne ke liye zaroori hain.

Filhal, market expectations Federal Reserve ke key borrowing rates ko September tak kam karne par focus kar rahi hain. Fed policymakers ko lagta hai ke inflation 2% ke targeted rate ki taraf trend kar rahi hai. Lekin, labor market mein emerging downside risks ke concerns bhi badh rahe hain jo future monetary policy decisions ko affect kar sakte hain.

Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Bullish Momentum aur Key Levels to Watch

Yeh pair strong bullish trend mein hai, aur 200-week moving average (MA) ko 1.1111 par cross kar gaya hai. Pair ek multi-week high 1.1203 ke kareeb hai. Oscillators different time frames par bullish alignment dikhate hain, jo EUR ke upward momentum ko support kar rahe hain. Lekin, short-term mein potential correction ya consolidation ka risk bhi hai, kyunki intraday aur daily directional movement indices (DMIs) stretched lag rahe hain. 1.1000 psychological level EUR/USD pair ke liye ek critical support point hai. Spot price ne recently year-to-date high 1.11203 ko approach kiya hai, hourly time frame par channel formation se breakout ke saath. Upward-sloping 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) jo 1.0970 aur 1.0900 ke aas-paas hain, broadly bullish trend ko indicate karte hain. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) jo 60.00 aur 80.00 ke beech oscillate kar raha hai, strong upward momentum ko further support karta hai.

Kal ka din pur sukoon guzar gaya, thori si izafa hui thi, lekin aaj phir se girawat shuru ho gayi hai. Aaj hum EURUSD currency pair ko daily chart par dekhte hain. Filhaal, chart par nazar aata hai ke yeh pair is period ke liye ek ascending trend mein hai, lekin abhi corrective phase mein hai. Wave structure apni upward sequence bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, lekin ab yeh apne signal line ki taraf niche ja raha hai. Pichle trading haftay ne bulls ko koi bhi kamiyabi nahi di; wo pehle jaisay upar ja rahe the lekin ab unka waqt kuch der ke liye khatam ho gaya hai. Agar hum Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke neeche lagayein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke target achieve ho chuka hai - 161.8 level is grid par achieve kiya gaya aur 200 level ko reach karne ki koshish ki gayi. Minimum target achieve ho chuka hai, aur is ke ilawa price ne 2023 ke end ke significant maximum ko bhi exceed kar diya hai, is liye yahan ek potential selling zone ban gaya. CCI indicator bhi overbought zone se bahar aa raha tha. Pichle haftay mein, bears ne revenge liya aur pehle ke uthaav ka ek significant hissa wapas le liya. Unhone price ko niche push kiya, jo ke pound dollar se zyada behtar hai, kyunki EURGBP cross rate pichle kuch dinon se gir raha hai. Yeh downward trend cross rate ke, pound dollar ki girawat ko roknay mein rukawat daal raha hai aur euro dollar ko girne mein madad kar raha hai. Abhi purchases bilkul bhi nahi consider kiye ja rahe hain jab tak price 1.0958 ke support level tak nahi pahunchtay. Wahan kuch upward wave ko pakadne ki ummeed hogi, lekin filhaal yeh nahi hai, sirf choti choti pullbacks hain, aur uske baad phir se ek aur girawat. Aur overall market mein, baqi major pairs bhi nazdeek future mein US dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye nazar aa rahe hain. Tactic yeh hai ke intraday pullbacks ke baad selling formations ko dhoondha jaye aur niche kaam kiya jaye. Mera khayal hai ke is haftay sellers ka dominance rahega. Kal US mein Labor Day tha, isliye shayad activity itni low thi.
Agar hum chart ko aur detail se dekhein, to yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke corrective phase ke doran, price ne kuch technical levels ko test kiya hai jo indicate karte hain ke abhi bhi downward pressure bana hua hai. Jo bhi traders hain, unhe chahiye ke wo market trends ko dhyan se monitor karen aur short-term pullbacks ko use karke profit kamane ki koshish karein. Technical indicators jaise MACD aur CCI ki movement bhi trading decisions ko guide karte hain. Short-term volatility ke bawajood, long-term trend abhi bhi bearish lag raha hai aur sellers ka dominance hi main theme lag raha hai. Isliye, trading strategy ko is ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai aur market ki situation ko nazar mein rakhte hue trades enter karni chahiye

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan

**EUR/USD Ka Fundamental Market Driving Facts:**

EUR/USD ka jo jor hai, woh recently kuch notable movements dekha hai, jo zyada tar US economic data aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke policies ki expectations se chal raha hai. Ek aham event US JOLTS Job Openings data ka release tha jo July ke liye expected se kam aaya. Ye kamzor data US Dollar ko girane ka sabab bana, kyunki ye US labor market ke potential risks ko darshata hai aur Federal Reserve ke aggressive interest rate hikes ki sambhavanayein kam kar deta hai. US Dollar ki kami ne EUR/USD ko do hafton ke low 1.1030 se tezi se recover karne ka mauka diya. Market ka response yeh darshata hai ke US economic recovery ke baare mein chinta barh gayi hai, khaaskar jab labor market kamzor ho raha hai. Europe ki taraf, investors ECB ke upcoming decisions ko nazar mein rakh rahe hain. Yeh speculations hain ke ECB shayad September mein interest rates ko phir se kam kar sakti hai, taake economic growth ko boost kiya ja sake, jabke Eurozone mein low inflation aur doosre challenges hain. Lekin, agar ECB ka stance dovish raha, toh Euro ka upside limit ho sakta hai, jo EUR/USD pair ki recovery ko cap kar sakta hai.

**Technical Outlook Aur Trading Strategy:**

Technically, EUR/USD pair ne ek descending channel ko break kar diya hai jo kaafi waqt se chal raha tha. Yeh breakout US Dollar ke negative sentiment se fuel hua, jiski wajah se pair ne lagbhag 50 pips gain kiya. Lekin, ab pair ko 1.1085 pe significant resistance ka samna hai hourly aur H4 charts dono par. Yeh resistance level crucial hai ek sustained uptrend ke liye confirm karne ke liye. Agar pair 1.1085 ke upar break aur hold karne mein fail hota hai, toh yeh previous channel mein wapas gir sakta hai. Agle US job data ka release pair ki direction determine karne mein pivotal hoga. Agar data disappoint hota hai, toh yeh US Dollar ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai, aur EUR/USD ko 1.1085 resistance ko break karne ka momentum de sakta hai. Agar pair H4 candle ko 1.1090 ke upar close karta hai, toh nayi buyers ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek stronger bullish trend ko signal karega. Aise mein, pair 26 August ke high 1.1197 ko target kar sakta hai, jo ek key resistance level hai. Is level ko successfully break karne se uptrend further extend ho sakta hai.

**Summary:**

Technically, 1.1085 ke upar break aur hold karna crucial hai ek bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye, jahan 1.1197 agla target hai. Traders ko alert rehna chahiye, kyunki pair ki direction agle US job data aur uske broader economic implications se influence hogi.

Pair ne Wednesday ke European trading session ke doran ek chhoti si rukawat ka samna kiya, jab yeh 1.1036 ke support level tak gir gaya. Lekin, jaldi hi iska hoshla phir se barh gaya aur yeh takreeban 1.1045 ke aas-paas wapas aa gaya jab US Dollar Index (DXY) kamzor hota raha. USD ki is kami ka sabab yeh hai ke bazar ko ummed hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates kam karne wala hai. Is wajah se, pair ab 1.1000 ke psychological mark ko test karne ke liye achi position mein hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chay bade currencies ke basket ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak ek saat mahine ke low ke nazdeek hai, jo ke lagbhag 101.60 hai. Fed ke interest rate cuts ke hawale se bazar mein speculations barh gayi hain, jo US labor market ke concerns aur yeh yaqeen ke sath hai ke inflation Fed ke 2% target ke qareeb aa rahi hai. Yeh uncertainty USD ki kamzori ko barhawa de rahi hai.

Euro (EUR) ne USD ki kami ke bawajood apni taqat dikhayi hai. Magar, yeh apne bhi challenges ka samna kar raha hai, khaaskar jab European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rates ko aur kam karne ki ummeed hai. ECB ki taraf se September meeting mein doosre rate cut ke elan ki umeed hai, jo EUR ke performance ko doosri bade currencies ke khilaf nuqsan pohncha sakta hai.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

EUR/USD pair abhi hal hi mein ek naya intraday high near 1.1067 ke resistance level par pohnchne ke baad sideways ho gaya hai. Yeh strength ek channel formation ke breakout ke baad aayi hai jo four-hour chart par dekhi gayi. Upward-sloping 20-day aur 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) jo ke takreeban 1.1061 aur 1.1077 par hain, yeh suggest karte hain ke overall trend pair ke liye bullish hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Euro bulls ke liye foran ka resistance multi-year high 1.1203 hai. Niche ki taraf, August 15 ka low 1.0951 ek key support level hai jisko traders ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 1.1050 ko barqarar rakha, lekin action downside ki taraf tilted hai. US PMI figures jo forecasts ko flub kar gayi, ne Greenback ko naye bid mein daal diya.

Is hafte ke US NFP labor numbers Fed rate cut ki gehraiyon ke liye guiding print honge. EUR/USD Tuesday ko further low side ki taraf tilted raha, intraday bottom bids ne do hafton ke lows ko test kiya aur phir din ko 1.1050 ke aas-paas settle kiya. Price action limited raha kyunki markets aakhri US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) print ke liye tayyar ho rahe hain, lekin US ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures ke flop ne recession ke khauf ko dobara zinda kar diya.

European data is hafte ke pehle half mein limited hai, aur Thursday ko Fiber traders ko pan-European Retail Sales ka update aur US preview labor figures ke sath busy hona padega, Friday ke NFP jobs dump se pehle.

Pan-EU Retail Sales jo July mein khatam hui hain, thodi recovery ki umeed hai, forecast 0.1% YoY hai, jabke pichle period ka -0.3% decline tha. European Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures bhi Friday ko hain, aur growth kaafi had tak pichle figures par barqarar rahne ki umeed hai second quarter mein.

ISM’s US Manufacturing PMI for August expectations se neeche aayi, 47.2 print hui aur median market forecast of 47.5 ko miss kiya. July ke multi-month low 46.8 se soft rebound ne markets ko galvanize nahi kiya, jisne already flighty investors ko bullish expectations se pull back karne ka perfect excuse diya.

Friday ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report kaafi important hai. Yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ke latest rate call se pehle ka last key US labor data round hai, jo 18 September ko aane wala hai. Friday ka NFP print market expectations ko Fed rate cut ki gehraiyon ke liye set karne ki umeed hai, investors ne is mahine ek naye rate-cutting cycle ke start ko fully price in kiya hua hai.

EUR/USD Price Forecast

Fiber ne short-term technical barriers ke nazdeek girawat dekhi hai, lekin bidders ab bhi efforts mein hain ke bids ko on-balance rakhein, chahe woh bullish recovery nahi bhi kar pa rahe. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ke shuruat mein 1.1200 ke upar ek 13-month high ko touch kiya, aur Greenback flows ke near-term pullback se bids bullish chart paper ko pakad kar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0845 ke upar achi tarah se trade kar raha hai. Bull country mein gehraai mein hone ke bawajood, EUR/USD ko ab bhi steepening bearish pullback ka samna karna pad raha hai, kyunki shorts 50-day EMA 1.0956 ke upar targets ko congregate kar rahe hain.

Salam sab ko! Agle haftay mein upward trend ki umeed hai kyonke pichlay haftay ka positive close hua tha. Iss mahine, pair ki price buy zone C mein trade kar rahi thi, jo ke lower channel lines se support hui, lekin phir neeche ki taraf chali gayi aur pivot level tak pohanch gayi, jo ek strong support level ban gaya. Chart se nazar aata hai ke price channels ko break karne ke baad price ne mahana pivot level ko ek se zyada martaba todne ki koshish ki. Iss liye, umeed ki ja rahi hai ke ek downward wave shuru hogi jab tak weekly support level 1.0860 tak pohanch na jaye. Agar aap buy karna chahte hain, toh apna buy level blue channel ke neeche set karein, stop loss bhi blue channel ke neeche set karein, aur apna target mahana resistance level 1.0780 ke neeche set karein. Aap tab buy kar sakte hain jab price resistance level 1.0890 se upar char ghante ke liye stabilize ho jaye. Agle haftay mein seller ke liye pehli mauka yeh hoga ke blue channel ke neeche price girne par aur chaar ghante tak uske bahar stabilize hone par sale initiate ki jaye.

Agar 4-hour candle monthly pivot level ke neeche close hota hai, toh sale ka dusra level bhi monthly pivot level ke neeche hoga. Waisay, ek khareedari bhi ki ja sakti hai agar top break ho aur ek ghante ke liye uske upar stabilize ho jaye. Maashi surat-e-haal ke hawalay se, Europe mein siyasi bechaini euro par pressure dalti reh rahi hai dusre baray currencies ke muqablay mein. Yeh forecast maashi calendar ke natayij par mabni hai. European Commission ke mutabiq, yeh pehli dafa hai ke 2022 ke baad se European mehengai mein izafa hua hai.