یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se th

aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega

EURUSD Pair ka Daily Time Frame ka Jaiza

Pichli haftay ke akhir mein, EURUSD pair par bechne walon ka raj tha, jo phir se kharidne walon ki bullish pressure ko rokne mein kaamyaab rahe. Bechne walon ne 1.0950-1.0952 ke daam par apna resistance area banaya. Kharidne wale is defense area ko todne mein nakam rahe, jisse bechne walon ne daam ko neeche girane ka control hasil kiya.

Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ka istemal karne se yeh nazar aata hai ke bechne wale ab bhi daam ko MA 100 Blue area (1.0935) par control mein rakhe hue hain. Aaj ki trading mein daam MA 100 Blue area ke neeche chalne lag gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke EURUSD pair ka bazar ab bhi neeche ki taraf girne ki taraf jhuk raha hai aur MA 200 Yellow area (1.0870-1.0872) ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo kharidne walon ke liye ek demand support area hai.

Senwari ke din, Asian market mein bechne walon ki koshishon ko kharidne walon ne rok diya, jo zyada daakhil hue aur bearish se bullish ki taraf situation ko ulatne mein kaamyaab rahe. Agar bechne walon ka resistance area (1.0950-1.0952) mazbooti se tod diya jata hai, toh EURUSD ka daam bullish hota rahega, agla target strong seller supply resistance area (1.0996-1.0998) ki taraf hoga.




Nataij:

Buy trading ke options tab kiye ja sakte hain jab daam bechne walon ke resistance area ko todne mein kaamyaab hota hai. Iske liye pending buy-stop order 1.0950-1.0952 par lagana chahiye aur TP area 1.0997-1.0998 rakhna chahiye.

Sell trading ke options tab kiye ja sakte hain jab daam kharidne walon ke support area ko todne mein kaamyaab hota hai. Iske liye pending sell-stop order 1.0906-1.0905 par lagana chahiye aur TP area 1.0886-1.0885 rakhna chahiye.

EUR/USD Price Action Ka Jaiza

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis karenge. Mujhe lagta hai ke agar aap 1.10091 tak ek corrective increase ki umeed rakhte hain, to upar ki taraf harkat mumkin hai. 1.08971-1.08571 ke support levels se EUR/USD ko ulat kar corrective rise dekhne ko milna chahiye. Yeh pair ab 1.08971 tak gir chuka hai, isliye aage barhne ki sambhavna hai. Magar, 1.08971-1.08571 tak ek aur girawat ka bhi mumkin hai, jiske baad in areas se rebound ho sakta hai, jo kam se kam 1.10091 ki taraf barhne ka sabab banega. H4 chart abhi bhi bearish trend dikhata hai, lekin maine apni short position band kar di hai aur bullish rally ki umeed rakh raha hoon. Yeh rally mere H4 chart par buy threshold ko tod sakti hai. Agar bullish level toot gaya, to yeh buying ka signal dega, jisse main market mein entry karunga. Yeh rise ek correction hai, jo pehle ki breached bullish trend line ya 1.10472 ke resistance level ki taraf ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf mazboot momentum sambhav hai, jo 1.1021-1.11021 range ko correct kar sakta hai.




Meri buy threshold ab neeche shift ho kar 1.09901 par hai. Agar price is bullish threshold ko todti hai, to main kharidunga aur iski umeed karunga ke yeh pehle ki broken bullish trend line aur resistance levels ki taraf barhegi. H4 chart par, maine 1.11021 par bearish sell level ko tod diya hai, jo aage ki girawat ka darwaza kholta hai, aur bearish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. 1.11021 sell level se ab tak 201 points ki girawat ho chuki hai—yeh H4 chart ke liye ek aham girawat hai—lekin bearish trend ab bhi dominant hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke girawat 1.08901 aur 1.08641 ke support levels tak pahunchegi. Bullish trend line ka tootna is tez girawat ke dauran bearish momentum ko aur bhi badhata hai. Halankeh mazeed girawat sambhav hai, lekin abhi ke levels se bechna high risk hai. Bechna 1.11021 ke neeche nahi hona chahiye.

Euro ne is haftay ke doran utar-chadar dekhi, jabke bazar mein key levels ke ird gird uncertainty nazar aayi. 1.10 ka level ek aham resistance point hai, jabke neeche 1.09 ka level crucial support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Ye aage-peeche ki harkat bazar ki overall noise aur volatility ko dikhati hai, jab traders recent euro sell-off ke baad cautious hain.

Agar euro 1.09 ke level se neeche girta hai, to agla target 1.08 ka level ho sakta hai, jo ke pichle kuch saalon mein consolidation range ka bottom hai. Ye bazar Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ki monetary policy ke masail se mutasir ho raha hai. Dono institutions kaafi relaxed policy rakhti hain, jo uncertainty mein izafa karti hai. Iske ilawa, economic slowdown ke bare mein barhte hue concerns hain, jo currency movements ko aur bhi mutasir kar sakti hain.




Agar slowdown hota hai, to traders US dollar ko ek safe-haven currency ke tor par pasand kar sakte hain, iski stability ke liye. Ye situation euro par mazeed pressure daal sakti hai aur isay uchi levels tak pohanchne mein mushkilat ka samna karna par sakta hai. Lekin in sab factors ke bawajood, bazar ab tak usi trading range mein hai, jo ke kaafi der se hai, jo dikhata hai ke traders abhi tak ek saaf direction establish karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Khulasa ye hai ke euro abhi ke liye is band behavior ko continue rakhega, jahan 1.09 aur 1.10 jese key levels aane wale moves ke liye aham indicators hain. Economic conditions aur central bank policy ke bare mein ongoing concerns is bazar ke agle marahil ko shape dene mein aham kirdar ada karengi.

EUR/USD Weekly Market Forecast

Sab ko salam aur subh bakhair!

Hum dekh rahe hain ke EUR/USD ka market pichlay hafte bechne walon ke haq mein raha. Jaisay jaisay hum US Presidential Elections ke qareeb aa rahe hain, mujhe lagta hai ke US dollar aur zyada kamzor hoga. Elections ke ird gird ki siyasi uncertainty aur musalsal aati hui negative economic data is currency par bhaari pad sakti hai.

Market ko sambhal kar dekhna zaroori hai, kyunke ghalat ghalat volatility ka khatra zyada hai. Stop losses ka istemal karna trade ko achanak market ke tezi se girne se bachane aur capital ko mehfooz rakhne mein madad karega. EUR/USD par trading karte waqt, jab hum US dollar ke liye ek mushkil waqt ki tayari kar rahe hain, traders ko aane wali economic releases, khaaskar inflation, employment, aur consumer sentiment se mutaliq reports par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye.

Ye reports Federal Reserve ke agle qadam aur is ke natije mein US dollar ki agle samay ki disha ka andaza lagane mein ahmiyat rakhti hain. Agar ye reports kamzori dikhati rahi, to US dollar par pressure bana rahe ga. Agar data mein koi achi khabar aati hai to USD mein kuch der ke liye sudhar aa sakta hai, lekin aam trend abhi bhi kamzori ki taraf hai.

EUR/USD market par trading ke maqasid se, pichlay hafte US dollar ke buniyadi asraat ne kamzori ka trend dikhaya hai, jo ke negative economic data jaise Core PPI, CPI, unemployment rate, aur consumer sentiment reports ke hasil hai. Aane wale US Presidential Elections is nazar ko aur mushkil bana dete hain, kyunke siyasi uncertainty US dollar par pressure ko barhawa de sakti hai.




Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, stop losses ka istemal karke risk ko manage karna chahiye, aur aane wale economic developments se waqif rehna chahiye taake is challenging market environment ka samna kar sakein. Umeed hai ke EUR/USD ka price aane wale dino mein 1.0975 ki resistance zone ko paar karega.

Aapka weekend khushgawar ho!

EUR/USD Market Analysis

Haan, sales kaafi jagah par hui hain, aur kuch partially implement bhi hui hain. Kuch trades ko maine chhod diya hai aur 1.09 ke breakthrough ka intezar kar raha hoon. Is ke ilawa, humare paas bearish signals hain, jo apna algorithm kuch had tak pura kar chuke hain; mukhya level 1.0870 par hai. Abhi humare paas pichle low se 1.0899 par ek jump hai, jo 50 points se zyada organize kiya gaya hai. Ye humein ek baar phir yaad dilata hai ke humein lalach nahi karni chahiye, aur waqt par profit secure karna chahiye.

Chalo dekhte hain ke aglay haafte kya hota hai. Agar Friday ko 15:30 par dollar par European currency ke khilaf koi naya foundation pressure dalta hai, to hum in maqsad ko implement kar sakte hain. Agar aisa nahi hota, to main aglay hafte ke liye in targets ki implementation ki umeed rakhta hoon. Is dauran, yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke powerful fall ke bina correction ho sakti hai. Screen par bhi ye clearly dikh raha hai ke price ab tak 300 points se zyada gir chuki hai, aur unloading sirf "moving to the right" se hui hai.




Meri rai yeh hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari rehne ka chance hai, khaaskar jab H4 timeframe par moving average 1.0994 par hai, jo ke shayad humari taraf hai. Is ke ilawa, daily chart par ek strong resistance level tooti hui nazar aata hai, jo bullish trend ki taqat ko confirm karta hai. Is liye, main bullish raha hoon, aur movement ko continue karne ke liye 1.0951 ko break karna zaroori hai. Uske baad, EUR/USD par bears ka attack zyada intense ho sakta hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye long-term positions ko 1.0994 tak pohanchne se nahi rok payenge.

Filhal, EUR/USD ka trend sideways move kar raha hai, lekin ye activity se badal jayega. Lekin, future movement ki disha abhi tak clear nahi hai.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis




1-hour chart par, price upward trend shuru karti hai jab yeh successfully channels ko upward break karti hai. Aaj price ne peechlay do din ke dauran jo descending price channels bane hue hain, unmein trading shuru ki, lekin aisa lagta hai ke price upward trend ki taraf badalne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Price ko channels ki middle lines se support mila aur jab yeh upper channel lines tak pohnchi, to pehle resistance ka saamna kiya, lekin price channels ko break karne mein kamiyab rahi.

Is pair par trade karne ke liye, humare paas current level se achi buying opportunity hai. Hum buying mein enter kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko aaj ke lowest trading price ke neeche set kar sakte hain.

Economic side par, US dollar ki gains baqi major currencies ke muqable mein badh gayi hain jab US ke inflation figures stronger-than-expected aaye. Iske ilawa, US Federal Reserve ki aakhri meeting ke minutes ke release ke baad positive momentum bhi dekha gaya.

Forex trading ke mutabiq, US dollar ka price thoda chamak raha hai, kyunke Federal Reserve ne yeh dikhaya ke yeh resilient US economy ke liye vigilant hai aur future interest rate cuts par policymakers kaafi debate karenge. Fed ne September mein interest rates ko 50 basis points se kam kiya, lekin decision ke minutes ne yeh dikhaya ke yeh consensus nahi tha. Yeh bhi pata chala ke kuch members of the policy-setting committee (Federal Open Market Committee) 25 basis points ki cut ke haq mein the, jabke doosre members choti cut ko pasand karte the. Iska matlab hai ke future cuts ka timing aur size active FOMC ke zariye debate ka maudha banega, aur yeh expectation khatam kar dega ke Fed automatically US interest rate level set kar raha hai jo economy ke liye neutral samjha ja sake.

EUR/USD Market Outlook

Good Morning dosto!

Kal ka din EUR/USD traders ke liye kaafi dramatic raha. US FOMC Meetings ne US dollar ko stable kar diya aur price ne 1.0945 zone ko successfully cross kiya. Aaj, US CPI aur unemployment rate final role ada karenge. Sellers kisi bhi nishan ki talash mein hain jo data ko unke haq mein shift kar sakta hai.

Agar Core CPI ya CPI m/m ki figures ummed se zyada aati hain, to yeh inflation ke baare mein concerns barha sakta hai aur Federal Reserve se zyada aggressive rate hikes ki umeedon ko janam de sakta hai. Aisa hona USD ko mazboot karega aur risk assets par pressure daalega, jo sellers ko neeche ki taraf harkat ka faida uthane ka mauka dega.

Isi tarah, agar unemployment rate labor market mein unexpected kamzori dikhata hai, to yeh market sentiment ko kharab kar sakta hai aur equities aur dusre risk assets mein bechne ka silsila shuru kar sakta hai.

Ek zaroori baat yeh hai ke kal ke FOMC Meeting Minutes ne US traders ke liye koi nayi insights nahi di. Jabke minutes ne Fed ki inflation control karne ki commitment ko dohraaya, lekin koi aisi groundbreaking maloomat nahi di jo market sentiment ko significant tor par shift kar sake. Is wajah se, bohot se traders bechain mehsoos kar rahe the kyunki unke paas "profit ratio" lene ka mauka nahi tha.

Lekin aaj ka data release—khaskar US Unemployment aur Core CPI—traders ke liye naye mauqe paida kar sakta hai taake wo aane wali volatility ka faida utha sakein. Aaj main buy order dene ka soch raha hoon kyunki mujhe umeed hai ke EUR/USD market wapas aayega aur shayad bullish journey shuru karega.




Stay blessed aur pur-sukoon rahiye!

EUR/USD: Price Action Ka Fun Aur Science

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price movement ka tajziya karte hain. Yeh pair daily chart par aam tor par bearish trend dikhata hai, lekin yeh teen din se sideways move kar raha hai. Humein dekhna hoga ke kya yeh sideways pattern jari rahega ya koi breakout aane wala hai. Aayiye technical analysis par nazar dalte hain taake aane wale moves ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Moving averages active sell ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi active sell ko darshate hain, jo ke overall strong sell signal ki taraf ishaara hai. Yeh pair lagta hai ke niche ki taraf chalne ka irada rakhta hai, lekin faisla karne se pehle confirmation ki zaroorat hai. Aaj, United States se kuch zaroori khabrein aayi hain jo thodi negative hain. Aur bhi U.S. news aane wali hain, lekin filhal ka forecast neutral hai. European Central Bank ka ek representative bhi bola hai, lekin aaj eurozone se koi khaas developments ki umeed nahi hai.

H4 chart par outlook thoda bearish hai, aur price 38.2% Fibonacci level par support ko target kar sakta hai.




Is tarah, hum pair ke liye aage aur bearish movement ki umeed karte hain, jahan sales ka target 1.0939 support level hoga. Kisi bhi purchases ka limit 1.0964 ke resistance level tak ho sakta hai. Main in the near term pair ke liye bearish move ka andaza laga raha hoon, jo shayad is sideways movement se break kar sakta hai. Hourly chart par bhi halat wahi hai. Price 1.0955 support se neeche nikal chuki hai aur ek descending channel mein slide kar rahi hai, jiska next level 1.0924 ho sakta hai.

Is level se ek medium-term correction shuru ho sakti hai jo kuch din tak chalegi. Is correction ka signal 1.0985 ke resistance se upar breakout aur consolidation hoga. Daily chart par agla key target 1.0863 par support hai, lekin mujhe shak hai ke kya yeh level bina kisi correction ke reach karega. Isliye, price pehle support level tak gir sakti hai phir thoda increase kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD

Hamari currency pair EUR/USD ki qeemat 1.0941 par trade kar rahi hai. Jab se qeemat ne pichle hafte ka minimum 1.0950 update kiya hai, maine downward trend line ko move kiya hai. Matlab, qeemat filhal is trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Jab tak trend line nahi tooti, asset ko kam karne ka idea kaafi viable hai.

Hourly chart par sales targets ban chuke hain. Pehla target Fibonacci grid par level 161.8 par hai, jo 1.0923 hai. Dusra target level 261.8 par hai, jo 1.0873 hai. Teesra target level 423.6 par hai, jo 1.0798 hai. Agar qeemat 1.0997 ke resistance ko current values se todti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke asset 1.1130 tak barh sakta hai. Lekin yeh growth wahan nahi rukegi; agar strong bulls aaye, to yeh 1.1215 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.1130 se bounce hota hai, to hum decline dekh sakte hain aur minimum 1.0930 tak phir se aane ka mumkin hai.




Hamari EUR/USD currency pair ne pichle Thursday ka minimum 1.0950 update kiya. Mere khayal se, decline ke saare targets ab tak achieve ho chuke hain aur ab price ko north ki taraf jaana chahiye, kam se kam northern correction ke liye. Halankeh kuch logon ka kehna hai ke bulls ab bhi khud ko dikhane ke liye tayyar hain aur EUR/USD 23 saal ka maximum 1.1280 update kar sakta hai. Yeh abhi bohot bold expectation lagti hai.

Agar aaj price north ki taraf reversal karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, to yeh sirf northern correction ka shuruat hoga. Lekin iske liye, price ko pehle choti M5 chart par 1.0942 ke resistance ko todna hoga aur is period ke average moving average MA120 ko bhi, jo ke bhi 1.0942 par hai, is par consolidate karna hoga. Aise mein, main expect karta hoon ke asset pehle 1.0993 ke resistance tak barhega. Agar yeh todta hai, to 1.1034 tak barhne ka potential khulega.

EUR-USD Pair Review

Jis tarah se main dekhta hoon, hafte ki shuruat se yeh saaf hai ke EUR/USD pair mein bearish price simple moving average zone of period 100 ko paar kar chuki hai. Latest technical situation ke mutabiq, candlestick ab bearish rally mein chal rahi hai. Niche ki taraf ka safar ab bhi sellers ke support mein hai. Pichle kuch dinon se, candlestick kaafi tezi se neeche ja rahi thi. Ab price 1.0945 ke ird gird consolidate ho rahi hai kyunke market abhi Asian session mein hai. Hafte ki shuruat se, market ne waqai mein bearish journey shuru ki hai, agar agla downward journey 1.0927 zone ko touch karti hai, to shayad price aur neeche gir sakti hai agle hafte tak.




Aisa lagta hai ke 4-hour chart par sellers ka control market par khulega jab tak American market session ka aaghaz nahi hota. Agar aap kal raat ko dekhein, to buyers ki taraf se candlestick ko upar uthaanay ki koshish hui, lekin yeh itni zyada nahi thi kyunke iske baad candlestick phir se gir gayi. Ab stochastic indicator 20 zone ko touch karne ke liye gir gaya hai, jo seller control ka indication hai. Yeh darshata hai ke price gir sakti hai taake weekly trend ko continue kiya ja sake.

Upar bayan kiye gaye market conditions se, main yeh nikaal raha hoon ke EUR/USD market mein downtrend journey ke jari rehne ke liye ab bhi ek mauka hai. Weekly trend ko neeche ki taraf jaana kaha ja sakta hai, lekin Sell position kholne ke liye lagta hai ke price ke phir se girne ka intezar karna padega. Agle bearish journey ke liye acchi area dhoondhna zaroori hoga jahan aap Sell option chun sakein, jo upar diye gaye analysis ke natije ke mutabiq ho. Yeh sambhavna hai ke downtrend aaj raat tak continue rahega.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis

Euro pichle trading hafte ke main resistance ko todne mein nakam raha, wapas bounce hua aur gir gaya, apne pichle kuch hafton ke saare faide kho diye. Price phir se 1.1198 tak pahuncha, lekin lagbhag foran wapas gir gaya, jiski wajah se ek tez girawat hui jo signal zone se bahar nikal gayi lekin isay pakarne mein nakam rahi. Natiijatan, sustainable development ka jo manzar tha, wo haqeeqat mein nahi aa saka aur aakhirkar cancel ho gaya. Iske ilawa, price chart super trendy red zone mein chala gaya, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers ne control le liya hai.

Technical point of view se dekhein to yeh dekha gaya ke pair psychological resistance barrier 1.1200 ke upar consolidate karne mein nakam raha, jo ek temporary barrier hai. 240-minute chart par nazar dalne par, Stochastic negative signals ko paar karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur pair 50-day SMA se positive impulse lene ki koshish kar raha hai. Uptrend active aur correct hai jab intraday trading strong support 1.1100 ke upar hai, aur agar resistance 1.1200 se upar break hota hai, to uptrend ki taqat barh jaegi aur pehla direct target 1.1250 level ho sakta hai, uske baad 1.1300 ki umeed hai.




Yad rahe, agar 1.1100 aur 1.1095 ke upar break ka confirmation milta hai to expected bullish scenario ruk jayega aur pair negative pressure mein aa jayega, jiska target 1.1065 aur 1.1030 ko retest karna hoga.

Pair filhal apne weekly lows ke nazdeek bullish level par trade kar raha hai. Main support area jo quotes ko contain nahi karta, aur confidence se nikalna yeh darshata hai ke preferred vector ko neeche shift karne ki zaroorat hai. Iska confirmation ke liye price ko 1.1033 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jisse main resistance area ki border guzar rahi hai. Is area ka retest aur subsequent rebound naye down move ki ijazat dega jiska target 1.0837 aur 1.0763 hoga.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price 1.1121 ke reversal level ke upar chali jaati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

اکتوبر 14 2024 کے لیے یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

چینی حکومت کی جانب سے ہفتے کے روز اعلان کردہ نئے اقتصادی اقدامات سرمایہ کاروں کی توقعات پر پورا نہیں اترے۔ بنیادی طور پر، یہ صرف ارادے کا بیان تھا، جس میں بتدریج نفاذ کے منصوبے تھے، خاص طور پر رئیل اسٹیٹ سیکٹر اور مقامی حکومتوں میں۔ بہر حال، ایشیائی منڈیاں آج اوپر ہیں، جمعہ کی امید کو جاری رکھتے ہوئے (ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 0.61% اضافہ)۔



کل، یوروزون میں صنعتی پیداوار کے اعداد و شمار (1.8% اگست کے لیے) اور زد . ای.ڈبلیو. اشاریہ جات، جن سے ترقی کی مضبوط حرکیات کی توقع کی جاتی ہے، جاری کیا جائے گا۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 1.0950 مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر ٹوٹ جائے گی۔



چار- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن صفر لائن کے قریب اتار چڑھاؤ کر رہی ہے، اور قیمت اشارے کی لکیروں کے دباؤ میں ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کا سامنا کرنے سے پہلے قیمت کو 1.0950 کی سطح سے اوپر مضبوط کرنے کی ضرورت ہے۔ دوسری صورت میں، یورو 1.0882 سے نیچے گر سکتا ہے۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.
Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai