یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Euro mein aaj subha maizid sideways movement dekhi gayi, aur market mein agay peechay ki shift ke asaar nazar aaye.

Market pehle hi kai interest rate cuts kar chuka hai, jo sawal uthata hai ke kya koi ziada tashweeshnaak cheez aane wali hai. Agar waqai ek shadeed mandi (recession) aanay wali hai, tou Federal Reserve ke tajawuz (aggressive) rate cuts paradoxically US dollar ko mazboot kar sakte hain. Yeh is tarah ho sakta hai ke khauf se bharay sarmaaya kaar US Treasury market ki taraf rujoo karain, chahay ke maashi tashweesh khud Amreeka se bhi aa rahi ho. Yeh soch naye traders ke liye ulta lag sakta hai, lekin tareekhi tor par, khauf ke waqt sarmaaya aksar wapas Amreeka ki taraf aata hai aur dollar mazboot hota hai.

Euro ne haali mein aik muqarrar range mein utar chadhav dekha hai, jo aham levels ke darmiyan chal raha hai. 1.10 level support ki tarah kaam kar raha hai jabke 1.11 level resistance ke taur par. Yeh movement pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke market is waqt ek holding pattern mein hai, in dono ehm numbers ke beech mein phansa hua hai. Jese hi traders Atlantic ke dono taraf central bank policies ke mumkin natijay tolayn gay, euro ke mazeed iss range-bound behavior mein rehne ki umeed hai jab tak ke koi wazeh signal samnay nahi aata.

Mukhtasir taur par, euro ki iss waqt ki price action market ki bayyaqeeni ko darshata hai jese traders European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve ki mazeed action ka intezar kar rahe hain. Currency established support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade ho rahi hai, aur market kisi waazeh maashi signal ka intezaar kar raha hai taake koi faisla kun qadam uthaye.

Hamara maqsad EUR/USD currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior ki tajaazi surat-e-haal ka jaiza lena hai. Asia session ke dauran 1.1069 ke high ko touch karne ke baad, EUR/USD currency pair ne jaldi se neechay girna shuru kar diya. Sellers ne pair ko niche dhakel diya lekin yeh abhi bhi support level 1.1021 se upar hai. Agar buyers euro ko is level ke upar rakhne mein kamyab ho jaate hain, toh main tawakku karta hoon ke yeh northward move karte hue local trend line 1.1059 tak jaaye, jahan se ek potential breakthrough isko mazeed majboot bana sakta hai aur agle resistance level 1.1096 tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar hourly candle 1.1021 se neeche close hoti hai, toh pair ke neeche girne ke imkanaat barh jaate hain, aur yeh 1.0986 ki taraf continue karega. Jab tak yeh level hold karta hai, buyers mazboot hain, lekin agar yeh break hota hai toh trend shift ho sakta hai. Aaj dono levels mumkin hain, is liye outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin upward trend line buying ko favor karti hai. Agar pair 1.1059 ko break karta hai toh buyers ko mazeed takat milay gi, lekin is waqt bhi unka halka sa faida hai.

Hum dekh rahe hain ke EUR/USD pair mein ek bearish correction aur mukammal local reversal ho raha hai. Aaj price ne 1.1022 level ko test kiya, aur ho sakta hai yeh bears ka is hafte ka aakhri target na ho. U.S. stock markets mein bhi significant losses nazar aaye hain, jiss ki wajah se safe-haven currencies jaise yen aur franc mazboot ho gayi hain, jo ke risk se doori ko zahir karta hai. Kamzor PMI/ISM Index data se lagta hai ke recession ke imkanaat barh gaye hain. Daily chart par EUR/USD ek wide ascending channel mein trade kar raha hai, aur mujhe tawakku hai ke yeh movement jari rahegi, mumkin hai ke channel ke lower boundary 1.0929/19 tak pohanch jaaye. Kisi bhi wapas aane ka daromadar strong negative nonfarm payroll report par hai jo is Friday ko aani hai. Agar surat-e-haal yeh hi rehti hai toh strong buying opportunities nazar aa sakti hain, pehla target 1.0969 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

Mein ne abhi EUR/USD currency pair ke current price performance ka analysis kiya hai. Price ne recent mein daily chart ke trend channel ke andar decline kiya, jo humein iski potential direction ke baare mein behtar samajh de raha hai. Yeh change pichlay upward movement se mukhtalif hai, jahan price overbought thi lekin phir bhi barh rahi thi. Teen bearish price candlesticks ke baad, humein kal ek bullish candle dekhnay ko mili, jo shayad ek correction ya higher levels ko reach karne ki koshish thi. Magar yeh koshish bullish weakness ki wajah se fail ho gayi, jo mazeed declines ka sabab bani. Daily chart par ek bearish movement nazar aa rahi hai, jo long-term selling trend ko indicate kar rahi hai. Immediate target 1.1017 (stop reversal 1/8) par hai, jabke key level 1.0987 (0/8) par hai. Kal, mein 1.0987 par touch aur is support level par reaction ko monitor karunga.
**Aaj ki EUR/USD Performance ka Khulasa:**

Aaj ke trading din ka khulasa karein to yeh wazeh hai ke hamain 1.1080 par resistance ka test karne se bacha raha, aur hamain 1.1062 par short position enter ki. Outcomes moderate thay. Euro ke decline ke bawajood, movement limited thi, aur aaj ka trading range 40 points se kam tha. Halan ke din abhi khatam nahi hua, lekin ye lagta hai ke euro-dollar significantly current 1.1033 se neeche nahi jayega. Meri buy order 1.1028 par hai, lekin mujhe yakeen nahi hai ke yeh trigger hogi. Is area se ek rebound possible hai, lekin mera priority lower entry point dhoondna hai. Filhal, sab kuch reduction strategy ke sath align karta hai. Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne 75-day moving average (MA75) ko test kiya, jo renewed sell-offs ka sabab bana.

Humari analysis ka mawzu hai EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka mojudah status. Jab yeh pair Asian high 1.1069 ko touch kar gaya, uske baad EUR/USD currency pair ne tezi se ground lose karna shuru kiya. Sellers ne pair ko neeche push kiya, magar abhi tak support level 1.1021 ke upar hain. Agar buyers euro ko is level ke upar maintain kar sakte hain, toh mein expect karta hoon ke ek northward move hogi jo local trend line 1.1059 tak pohanch sakti hai. Agar yeh breakthrough hota hai, toh agla resistance level bulls ke liye 1.1096 par hoga. Lekin agar hourly candle 1.1021 ke neeche close hoti hai, toh pair ka decline 1.0986 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Jab tak yeh level hold karta hai, buyers mazboot hain, magar agar yeh break hota hai, toh trend shift ho sakta hai. Aaj dono levels possible thay, is wajah se outlook uncertain hai, magar upward trend line ab bhi buying ko favor karti hai. Buyers mazeed strength gain karenge jab pair 1.1059 ko break karega, lekin abhi bhi, unke paas halki si advantage hai.
**Bearish Correction aur Reversal:**

Hum EUR/USD pair mein ek bearish correction aur ek full-fledged local reversal dekh rahe hain. Aaj price ne 1.1022 level ko test kiya, aur yeh shayad is haftay bears ke liye akhri target na ho. U.S. stock markets ne significant losses face kiye hain, jis ki wajah se safe-haven currencies jese ke yen aur franc mazboot ho rahi hain, jo risk se doori ko indicate karti hain. U.S. se aane wale weak PMI/ISM Index data ne bhi yeh concerns barhaye, jo potential recession ke dar ko zyada kar rahe hain. Daily chart par EUR/USD ek wide ascending channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, aur mein expect karta hoon ke yeh movement continue karegi, shayad channel ke lower boundary 1.0929/19 tak pohanch sakti hai. 11th-floor levels par wapas ana depend karega strongly negative nonfarm payroll report par jo Friday ko aayegi. Agar yeh situation persist karti hai, toh strong buying opportunities emerge ho sakti hain, pehla target lagbhag 1.0969 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.
Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. US Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai

EUR/USD ke Haalati Taja'daat
Humaari analysis ka mawzu EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda pricing behaviour ka jaiza hai. Asian high 1.1069 ko chhune ke baad, EUR/USD currency pair ne jaldi se ground khona shuru kar diya. Sellers ne pair ko neeche push kiya lekin pair abhi bhi 1.1021 ke support level ke upar hai. Agar buyers euro ko is level ke upar barqarar rakh sakte hain, to mujhe umeed hai ke price northward move karega local trend line 1.1059 tak, jahan ek potential breakthrough ho sakta hai jo isay mazeed strengthen karte hue bulls ke liye agla resistance level 1.1096 tak le jaaye. Agar hourly candle 1.1021 ke neeche close hota hai, to pair ka girna jaari rahega aur yeh 1.0986 tak ja sakta hai. Jab tak yeh level qaim hai, buyers mazboot hain, lekin agar yeh break hota hai to trend shift kar sakta hai. Dono levels aaj ke din ke liye possible the, jisse outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin upward trend line buying ke haq mein hai. Buyers mazeed strength tab hasil karenge jab pair 1.1059 ko break karega, lekin abhi bhi unko halka sa faida hai.

Hum EUR/USD pair mein bearish correction aur ek local reversal dekh rahe hain. Aaj ke din price ne 1.1022 level ko test kiya, aur yeh bears ka is haftay ka aakhri target nahi ho sakta. U.S. stock markets ne kafi losses ka samna kiya hai, jo safe-haven currencies jaise yen aur franc ko mazbooti de raha hai, jo ke risk se dour hone ki nishani hai. Weak U.S. PMI/ISM Index data ne bhi in concerns ko barhawa diya hai, jo ke ek potential recession ka dar paida kar raha hai. Daily chart par EUR/USD ek wide ascending channel mein trade kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh movement jaari rahegi, jo channel ke lower boundary 1.0929/19 tak ja sakti hai. Wapas 11th-floor levels tak pohanchna nonfarm payroll report par mabni hai, jo ke is Friday ko aayegi. Agar yeh surat-e-haal barqarar rehti hai to strong buying opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jisme pehla target 1.0969 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke Haalati Taja'daat
Humaari analysis ka mawzu EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda pricing behaviour ka jaiza hai. Asian high 1.1069 ko chhune ke baad, EUR/USD currency pair ne jaldi se ground khona shuru kar diya. Sellers ne pair ko neeche push kiya lekin pair abhi bhi 1.1021 ke support level ke upar hai. Agar buyers euro ko is level ke upar barqarar rakh sakte hain, to mujhe umeed hai ke price northward move karega local trend line 1.1059 tak, jahan ek potential breakthrough ho sakta hai jo isay mazeed strengthen karte hue bulls ke liye agla resistance level 1.1096 tak le jaaye. Agar hourly candle 1.1021 ke neeche close hota hai, to pair ka girna jaari rahega aur yeh 1.0986 tak ja sakta hai. Jab tak yeh level qaim hai, buyers mazboot hain, lekin agar yeh break hota hai to trend shift kar sakta hai. Dono levels aaj ke din ke liye possible the, jisse outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin upward trend line buying ke haq mein hai. Buyers mazeed strength tab hasil karenge jab pair 1.1059 ko break karega, lekin abhi bhi unko halka sa faida hai.

Hum EUR/USD pair mein bearish correction aur ek local reversal dekh rahe hain. Aaj ke din price ne 1.1022 level ko test kiya, aur yeh bears ka is haftay ka aakhri target nahi ho sakta. U.S. stock markets ne kafi losses ka samna kiya hai, jo safe-haven currencies jaise yen aur franc ko mazbooti de raha hai, jo ke risk se dour hone ki nishani hai. Weak U.S. PMI/ISM Index data ne bhi in concerns ko barhawa diya hai, jo ke ek potential recession ka dar paida kar raha hai. Daily chart par EUR/USD ek wide ascending channel mein trade kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh movement jaari rahegi, jo channel ke lower boundary 1.0929/19 tak ja sakti hai. Wapas 11th-floor levels tak pohanchna nonfarm payroll report par mabni hai, jo ke is Friday ko aayegi. Agar yeh surat-e-haal barqarar rehti hai to strong buying opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jisme pehla target 1.0969 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke Haalati Taja'daat aur Iqtesadi Surat-e-Haal
Budh ke din, spot price pair mein 0.34% ka izafa dekha gaya, jisme pair 1.1090 level se upar chala gaya, jo ke December pichle saal ke baad pehli dafa hua hai. Yeh 2024 ka naya high hai, kyun ke pair ne pichle teen trading dinon mein musalsal positive close kiya hai. Is haftay ke aghaz se, EUR/USD ek mazboot upward trajectory par hai aur Monday ke opening se taqreeban ek percent ka izafa dekhne ko mila hai.

Eurozone Iqtesadi Data aur ECB Expectations: PMI aur Wage Rates par Focus

Investors is haftay ke Eurozone ke ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisme August ka preliminary Eurozone HCOB Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) aur Q2 ke Negotiated Wage Rates shamil hain. Maashiyat daan umeed kar rahe hain ke Composite PMI mein thoda behtri aayegi, halaan ke manufacturing sector abhi bhi contraction ka shikar hai. Is dauran, Negotiated Wage Rate jo ke wage growth ka ek ahem indicator hai, pehle quarter mein 4.69% tak barh gaya tha. ECB ke liye, second quarter ke liye kam reading inflationary pressures ko kam karne mein madadgar hogi.

Eurozone ka economic outlook abhi bhi kamzor hai, khas tor par Germany, jo Eurozone ki sab se bari maashiyat hai, ko domestic aur international demand mein kami ka samna hai. In economic uncertainties ke bawajood, ECB policymaker Olli Rehn, jo Finnish central bank ke sarbarah bhi hain, ne kaha hai ke wo market ki expectations ko samajhte hain, ke September mein potential rate cuts ho sakti hain. ECB ko apni broader concerns hain ke wo economic stability ko kaise barqarar rakhe.

EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis:

Pair ne hal hi mein 2024 ka naya peak haasil kiya, jo ke 1.1203 ko cross kar gaya, jo zyadatar U.S. dollar ki general decline ki wajah se tha, na ke euro ki kisi khas taqat ki wajah se. Pichle haftay se pair ne strong bullish momentum banaye rakha hai, jisme akhri saat trading dinon mein sirf ek din negative close kiya. Pair ab 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.0854 par hai, ke kaafi upar hai, jo ke mazboot bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Pehle technical movements mein euro mein mazeed taqat dekhi gayi jab pair ne daily chart par ek channel formation se breakout kiya. Yeh breakout short- se long-term tak ke tamaam Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke upward trend se support karta hai, jo ke ek strong uptrend ko zahir karte hain. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein hai, jo ke current upside momentum ko reinforce kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ke Haalati Taja'daat aur Iqtesadi Surat-e-Haal
Budh ke din, spot price pair mein 0.34% ka izafa dekha gaya, jisme pair 1.1090 level se upar chala gaya, jo ke December pichle saal ke baad pehli dafa hua hai. Yeh 2024 ka naya high hai, kyun ke pair ne pichle teen trading dinon mein musalsal positive close kiya hai. Is haftay ke aghaz se, EUR/USD ek mazboot upward trajectory par hai aur Monday ke opening se taqreeban ek percent ka izafa dekhne ko mila hai.

Eurozone Iqtesadi Data aur ECB Expectations: PMI aur Wage Rates par Focus

Investors is haftay ke Eurozone ke ahem economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisme August ka preliminary Eurozone HCOB Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) aur Q2 ke Negotiated Wage Rates shamil hain. Maashiyat daan umeed kar rahe hain ke Composite PMI mein thoda behtri aayegi, halaan ke manufacturing sector abhi bhi contraction ka shikar hai. Is dauran, Negotiated Wage Rate jo ke wage growth ka ek ahem indicator hai, pehle quarter mein 4.69% tak barh gaya tha. ECB ke liye, second quarter ke liye kam reading inflationary pressures ko kam karne mein madadgar hogi.

Eurozone ka economic outlook abhi bhi kamzor hai, khas tor par Germany, jo Eurozone ki sab se bari maashiyat hai, ko domestic aur international demand mein kami ka samna hai. In economic uncertainties ke bawajood, ECB policymaker Olli Rehn, jo Finnish central bank ke sarbarah bhi hain, ne kaha hai ke wo market ki expectations ko samajhte hain, ke September mein potential rate cuts ho sakti hain. ECB ko apni broader concerns hain ke wo economic stability ko kaise barqarar rakhe.

EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis:

Pair ne hal hi mein 2024 ka naya peak haasil kiya, jo ke 1.1203 ko cross kar gaya, jo zyadatar U.S. dollar ki general decline ki wajah se tha, na ke euro ki kisi khas taqat ki wajah se. Pichle haftay se pair ne strong bullish momentum banaye rakha hai, jisme akhri saat trading dinon mein sirf ek din negative close kiya. Pair ab 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.0854 par hai, ke kaafi upar hai, jo ke mazboot bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Pehle technical movements mein euro mein mazeed taqat dekhi gayi jab pair ne daily chart par ek channel formation se breakout kiya. Yeh breakout short- se long-term tak ke tamaam Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke upward trend se support karta hai, jo ke ek strong uptrend ko zahir karte hain. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein hai, jo ke current upside momentum ko reinforce kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ki price patterns par behas Is waqt hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 time frame par market mein buy intentions ke saath enter hona munasib lagta hai. Price abhi bhi 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Guzishta din ke akhri hissay mein, pair consistent tor par din ke opening level se upar trade karta raha aur trading session bhi higher close kiya. Din ke dauran, price quotes ne neeche se upper Bollinger Band ko cross kiya, jo bullish sentiment aur aage bhi upward movement ke imkaan ko mazboot banata hai. Yeh tamam technical indicators mixed outlook zahir karte hain, jis mein bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ya kisi corrective pause ke imkaanat hain, jo aane wale sessions mein critical levels aur market behavior par depend karega. In thresholds ki monitoring trading decisions ke liye zaroori hogi. Is waqt, RSI favorable reading de raha hai jo potential buy actions ko support karta hai, kyunke uske values buying ke liye valid range se mutabiq hain. EUR/USD pair ke hawale se, 4-hour time frame ke graphical analysis ki buniyad par ek trading signal saamne aaya hai, jo Head and Shoulders reversal pattern dikha raha hai. Yeh setup British pound ke saath bhi dekha gaya tha. Euro ke liye, sellers ne trading close par price ko support level 1.1047 tak neeche push kiya. Quotes Monday raat trading resume hone par is horizontal line ke aas paas hover karte rahenge. Is liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke breakdown hoga ya nahi. Corrective decline mumkin hai ke barqarar rahe, lekin range ab zyada constrained lagti hai. Primary support level 1.0989 aik critical target hai. Is point se, main buy positions open karne par ghour karunga. Dusri taraf, agar support level 1.1047 par barqarar rehta hai aur break nahi hota, toh downward correction khatam ho sakta hai aur upward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, is baat ka bhi imkaan hai ke price 1.1047 se 1.1105 ke trading range mein sideways

Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki US labor market ke ek aur weak report ne US currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, US dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.
Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - US trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new US inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha
EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna

EUR/USD ke Bunyadi Market Haalaat:
Haal hi mein EUR/USD pair mein kaafi harkat dekhi gayi hai, jo zyada tar US economic data aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies ke hawalay se expectations par mabni hai. Ek ahem waqia US JOLTS Job Openings ka data tha, jo July ke liye expected se kam aaya. Yeh kamzor data US Dollar mein girawat ka sabab bana, kyun ke is se US labor market ke hawalay se khatarat samne aaye aur Federal Reserve ke aggressive interest rate hikes ke chances kam ho gaye. US Dollar ki is depreciation ne EUR/USD pair ko do haftay ke low 1.1030 se jaldi se recover karne ka mauqa diya. Market ka response yeh zahir karta hai ke US economic recovery par concerns barh rahe hain, khaaskar labor market ki kamzori ke madde nazar.

Doosri taraf, Europe mein investors ECB ke aane wale faislay ghore se dekh rahe hain. Aisa kaha ja raha hai ke ECB September mein phir se interest rates cut kar sakta hai, taa ke Eurozone ki kam inflation aur doosri challenges ke hawalay se economic growth ko barhaya ja sake. Magar, agar ECB ek dovish stance ikhtiyar karta hai, toh Euro ke liye upside mein rukawat aasakti hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair ki recovery ko limit kar sakti hai.

Technical Trading Strategy ka Jaiza:

Technical tor par EUR/USD pair ne apne descending channel se breakout kar ke taqat ka izhar kiya, jo kafi arsay se wujud mein tha. Is breakout ka sabab US Dollar ke negative sentiments the, jis ne pair ko taqreeban 50 pips ka izafa diya. Magar ab pair 1.1085 ke significant resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke hourly aur H4 charts par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh resistance level ek sustainable uptrend ko confirm karne ke liye bohot ahem hai. Agar pair is level ko break kar ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, toh yeh wapas apne pehle channel mein gir sakta hai.

Aane wale US job data ka release EUR/USD ki direction ka tayyun karne mein ahem kirdar ada karega. Agar data disappoint karta hai, toh yeh US Dollar ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai, jisse EUR/USD ko 1.1085 resistance ko tor kar agay barhne ka momentum mil sakta hai. Agar pair 1.1090 par H4 candle close karta hai, toh yeh naye buyers ko attract karega, aur yeh ek mazboot bullish trend ka signal hoga. Is surat mein pair 26 August ka high 1.1197, jo ke ek key resistance level hai, ko target kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh uptrend mazeed barh sakta hai.

Nateeja:

Technically, 1.1085 ko break kar ke upar hold karna bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye zaroori hai, aur 1.1197 agla target ho sakta hai. Traders ko alert rehna chahiye, kyun ke pair ki direction aane wale US job data aur iske broader economic asraat par mabni hogi.

EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka analysis karain ge. Pehle toh yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke ascending channel abhi tak break nahi hua; Chart abhi bhi trend ke andar adjust ho raha hai. Friday ka upward momentum is liye critical hai kyun ke iss se ascending channel mein growth barqarar reh sakti hai, aur 11th figure ke qareeb jo support level hai, wo buyers ke liye bohot important hai. Yeh level ascending channel ke andar akhri clear reference minimum ko represent karta hai. Agar kal ke din mein accumulation se maximum mein bara update hota, sirf kuch points ka nahi, toh ek naya minimum establish hota ascending channel mein. Magar yeh nahi hua, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke channel pressure mein hai, lekin ab tak break nahi hua. Ek rebound, preferably triangle formation ki taraf, channel ko break karna asaan kar dega aur ek solid reversal pattern establish kar dega. Agar hum EUR/USD pair ke daily chart ka jaiza lain, toh pair kayi dinon se sideways move kar raha hai, aur aaj bhi yeh range ke andar move kar raha hai. Ab yeh dekhna hoga ke age situation kaise develop hoti hai, yeh sideways trend continue karta hai ya koi breakout hota hai. Aaj ke technical analysis ko dekhein, toh moving averages neutral hain, lekin technical indicators strongly sell ki taraf ishara karte hain. Overall recommendation sell ki hai, lekin humein ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga aur sahi moment ka intezaar karna hoga. Aaj US se aane wali essential news negative lean karti hai, jo ke pair ko affect kar sakti hai. 5 saal ke US Treasury notes ka auction chal raha hai, aur Euro group meeting khatam ho chuki hai, magar euro zone se koi significant news nahi aayi. Is context mein, pair downward trend karne ke chances hain, aur yeh support level ke qareeb 1.1099 tak pohanch sakta hai. Dosri taraf, ek brief rise bhi ho sakta hai resistance level ke qareeb 1.1129 tak

EUR/USD currency pair ki price changes ka analysis karenge. H4 time frame par EUR/USD pair ke liye, humne kal dono directions mein significant activity observe ki, jisme notable downward move US session ke qareeb dekha gaya. H4 par weekly pivot levels ke mutabiq ek critical development hui—hum ne weekly pivot line 1.10753 ke neeche break kiya, jo bearish stance ki taraf shift ko signal karta hai. Is ke nateeje mein, yeh setup ne H4 par pair ko sell karne ke mauke khole, jahan Ichimoku indicator ne bhi bearish "Dead Cross" ko confirm kiya. Is ka matlab hai ke jab weekly pivot levels H4 par kal phir se recalculate honge, sales open rahengi. Ek strategic approach yeh hogi ke pivot se neeche se retest par sell kiya jaye. Filhal, pehla sales target 61.8% Fibonacci level par 1.10937 hai, aur jab weekly pivot levels adjust ho jayenge, toh downside target mazeed refine kiya ja sakta hai. Single European currency ne naye haftay ke pehle trading hours mein 1.1050 level ke thoda upar trade kar rahi hai jab ke woh pichle teen dinon ke losses ko recoup karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.
Jab European currency ne 1.12 level ko touch kiya, jo ke chand mahine mein sabse highest level tha, toh mazeed growth par sawaal uthne lage aur US currency dobara forefront par aayi. Yeh development mere pehle ke articles mein diye gaye khayalaat ko poori tarah confirm karta hai, kyun ke mujhe European currency ke mazeed strong rise ki ability par serious shakk tha, jab ke American currency ke favor mein 1.12 par position lena ek bohat acha idea tha. Bilkul, mein yaad dilaata hoon ke Friday ko, jo ke hafta ka aakhri din tha, lekin saath hi bohat rich agenda bhi tha critical macroeconomic statements ke sath, maine US currency ke against gains ko lock karne aur waiting position mein rehne ko tarjeeh di

EUR/USD ke Bunyadi Market Haalaat:
Haal hi mein EUR/USD pair mein kaafi harkat dekhi gayi hai, jo zyada tar US economic data aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies ke hawalay se expectations par mabni hai. Ek ahem waqia US JOLTS Job Openings ka data tha, jo July ke liye expected se kam aaya. Yeh kamzor data US Dollar mein girawat ka sabab bana, kyun ke is se US labor market ke hawalay se khatarat samne aaye aur Federal Reserve ke aggressive interest rate hikes ke chances kam ho gaye. US Dollar ki is depreciation ne EUR/USD pair ko do haftay ke low 1.1030 se jaldi se recover karne ka mauqa diya. Market ka response yeh zahir karta hai ke US economic recovery par concerns barh rahe hain, khaaskar labor market ki kamzori ke madde nazar.

Doosri taraf, Europe mein investors ECB ke aane wale faislay ghore se dekh rahe hain. Aisa kaha ja raha hai ke ECB September mein phir se interest rates cut kar sakta hai, taa ke Eurozone ki kam inflation aur doosri challenges ke hawalay se economic growth ko barhaya ja sake. Magar, agar ECB ek dovish stance ikhtiyar karta hai, toh Euro ke liye upside mein rukawat aasakti hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair ki recovery ko limit kar sakti hai.

Technical Trading Strategy ka Jaiza:

Technical tor par EUR/USD pair ne apne descending channel se breakout kar ke taqat ka izhar kiya, jo kafi arsay se wujud mein tha. Is breakout ka sabab US Dollar ke negative sentiments the, jis ne pair ko taqreeban 50 pips ka izafa diya. Magar ab pair 1.1085 ke significant resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke hourly aur H4 charts par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh resistance level ek sustainable uptrend ko confirm karne ke liye bohot ahem hai. Agar pair is level ko break kar ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, toh yeh wapas apne pehle channel mein gir sakta hai.

Aane wale US job data ka release EUR/USD ki direction ka tayyun karne mein ahem kirdar ada karega. Agar data disappoint karta hai, toh yeh US Dollar ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai, jisse EUR/USD ko 1.1085 resistance ko tor kar agay barhne ka momentum mil sakta hai. Agar pair 1.1090 par H4 candle close karta hai, toh yeh naye buyers ko attract karega, aur yeh ek mazboot bullish trend ka signal hoga. Is surat mein pair 26 August ka high 1.1197, jo ke ek key resistance level hai, ko target kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh uptrend mazeed barh sakta hai.

Nateeja:

Technically, 1.1085 ko break kar ke upar hold karna bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye zaroori hai, aur 1.1197 agla target ho sakta hai. Traders ko alert rehna chahiye, kyun ke pair ki direction aane wale US job data aur iske broader economic asraat par mabni hogi.