eur/usd

Hamara Baat Cheet EUR/USD Currency Pair Ki Price Movements Ko Samajhne Par Mutaaliq Hai.

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt aik flat range mein move kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0599 ke bearish level aur 1.0899 ke bullish level ke darmiyan hai. Is waqt, yeh pair apni is range ke bullish border par pohanch gaya hai. Jumma ke din, euro mein aik bearish figure se zyada ka spike aya tha, jo ke dollar ke significant dip ki wajah se tha. Lekin yeh trend hamesha ke liye nahi chal sakta, aur dollar akhirkar dobara apni priority hasil karega. Market mein aksar sharp mood shifts dekhe gaye hain. Agar wave patterns ko dekha jaye, to EUR/USD pair mein neeche ki taraf chalne ka imkaan lag raha hai. Yeh pair ab 1.0599 ki taraf jane ke liye tayar hai. Aakhri candle bearish absorption ko zahir karti hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ko suggest karti hai pehle 1.0894, phir 1.0849, aur uske baad 1.0827 tak, jahan se growth non-farm payroll report ke doran shuru hui thi.

Technically, EUR/USD ne halya chaar mah ka high se retrace kiya hai aur ab key support levels ke qareeb aa raha hai. 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) potential resistance ka kaam kar rahe hain. Agar pair recent uptrend ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level se neeche break karta hai, to mazeed downside expected ho sakti hai, jahan 61.8% Fibonacci level aur June ka low subsequent support levels ke tor par kaam karenge. On the upside, agar pair 38.2% Fibonacci level ko overcome karta hai, to yeh ek naya bullish momentum signal kar sakta hai, jahan resistance levels June ke high aur halya chaar mah ka peak honge. Overall, EUR/USD pair ko potential economic slowdown aur resilient economic data ke conflicting forces ke darmiyan dekha ja raha hai. Aane wala US non-farm payrolls report pair ke short-term direction ko tay karega.

**EUR-USD Pair Forecast**
Aaj ke trading session mein, 4-hour market ke image ko dekhte hue, current EURUSD currency market ke halat ab tak Buyers, yani Bullish trend se dominate ho rahe hain. Yeh is baat ka ishara dete hain ke price abhi bhi Bollinger Bands indicator ke middle bands ke upar trade ho rahi hai, EMA50 ke upar hai, aur Stochastic Oscillator ab tak level 50 ke upar hai. Bullish Candlestick momentum Wednesday ko dekha gaya tha, jisse yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke buyers ke purchases ko mazid mazbooti milne ki potential hai, jisse yeh najdeek ke resistance level ko test karne ki koshish karenge, jo ke 1.1050 ke price par hai. Mumkin hai, agar yeh resistance level successfully break hota hai, to price mazid upar ki taraf push ho sakti hai, aur aglay resistance level ko test karne ki koshish kar sakti hai.

### Aaj ka Trading Plan

Upar diye gaye basic analysis ko use karte hue, EURUSD currency pair ke trading plan ke liye buy option ko consider karna chahiye. Technical analysis ke sath, humein aaj release hone wali economic news par bhi tawajju deni chahiye, kyunki economic news trading activities ko anjam dene mein madad kar sakti hai, jo ke loss ke risk ko kam karne aur optimal profits hasil karne mein madadgar sabit hoti hai. Market mein entry karne se pehle, yeh behtar hoga ke nearest support level ko test karne ke liye price ke correction ka intezar kiya jaye, taake ek ideal market entry hasil ho sake. Pin bar candlestick pattern aur Bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ko EURUSD currency pair ke price ke mazid mazboot hone ki confirmation ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai.


Sell market mein entry karne ka plan resistance level par, jo ke 1.1000 ka price hai, par banaya ja sakta hai. Stop loss kam az kam 1:1 par set kiya ja sakta hai, aur profit target entry price se 100 points le sakta hai, ya market conditions ke mutabiq adjust kiya ja sakta hai. Yani ke, EURUSD currency pair ke technical analysis ka kul mila kar yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke, Bullish trend ke waja se, buy trade option ko consider karna dilchasp ho sakta hai, lekin is baat par khusoosan tawajju dene ki zaroorat hai ke nearest resistance level ko kis had tak hasil kiya gaya hai.

**EUR-USD Pair Review**
Aaj, EUR-USD trading ne unchi shuruaat ki kyunki pichlay Wednesday ko currency pair mein kaafi zyada izafa dekhne ko mila. Agar mein izafa ka hisaab karun to yeh taqreeban 60 pips ke qareeb tha. Us waqt candle 1.0996 ke area se 1.1045 tak move kar gayi thi. Pehle, kai logon ka khayal tha ke EUR-USD 1.0996 ke supply area mein retrace karega. Magar asal mein, buyers ka bohat zyada pressure tha jisse supply area ab upar ki taraf break kar gaya hai, isliye ab EUR-USD ke us area mein girne ka imkaan kam hai. Thursday ko, thori si kamzori dekhi gayi, lekin candle ki position ab bhi resistance ke upar thi.

Agar H1 timeframe se kal ke analysis ko dekha jaye to candle ne successfully 1.0996 par resistance ko break kar diya tha. Iske baad, EUR-USD foran se 1.1044 tak chala gaya. Resistance ka break hona yeh sign ho sakta hai ke EUR-USD ke mazeed barhne ke imkanaat ab bhi maujood hain. Mera agla tajziya yeh hai ke EUR-USD agle supply area, jo ke 1.1127 par hai, ko target karega. Wahan tak pohanchne ke liye taqreeban 110 pips ka safar darkar hai. Lekin agar candle ki position dobara resistance ke upar na rahi, to yeh EUR-USD ke dobara girne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Agar isse ichimoku indicator ki madad se analyze kiya jaye, to candle ab bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke trend ab bhi uptrend phase mein hai. Ichimoku indicator yeh darshata hai ke barhne ke imkanaat ab bhi kaafi zyada hain. Lekin ab candle ne blue kijun sen line ko chhura hai. Umeed hai ke yeh line break na ho, kyunki agar aisa hota hai, to yeh tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke intersect hone ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh intersection EUR-USD ko aur zyada girne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator yeh darshata hai ke EUR-USD ka current condition overbought zone mein daakhil ho gaya hai, kyunki EUR-USD ne do lagatar dinon ke liye kaafi zyada izafa dekha hai. Overbought condition is baat se sabit hoti hai ke line ne level 80 ko chhura hai. Overbought zone mein daakhil hone ke baad, EUR-USD ne aista aista girna shuru kar diya hai. Lekin ab line level 20 ko chhune wali hai. Halanki EUR-USD ka girna abhi tak bohat kam hai. Jo upar mein ne kaha, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR-USD ka izafa jari rahe.




Aaj ke analysis ka nateejah yeh hai ke EUR-USD ke barhne ke imkanaat ab bhi mojood hain, kyunki jab yeh kal bara tha to candle ne 1.0995 ke price par resistance ko break kar diya tha. Iske ilawa, agar isse ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye, to candle ab bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar move kar rahi hai. Isliye, mein yeh recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, unhein sirf buy positions open karne par focus karna chahiye. Aap apna take profit target najdeek ke resistance, jo ke 1.1132 ka price hai, par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko najdeek ke support, jo ke 1.0908 par hai, par rakh sakte hain.

Aaj ke trading session ke liye EUR/USD currency pair ke halat kuch is tarah hain:

4-hour market analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair mein abhi bhi buyers ka dominance hai aur bullish trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke price Bollinger Bands ke middle bands ke upar trade ho rahi hai, EMA50 ke upar hai aur Stochastic Oscillator level 50 ke upar hai. Wednesday ke bullish candlestick momentum ke saath, buyers ki strength barhne ki umeed hai aur price 1.1050 ke resistance level ko test kar sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance level break ho gaya, to price aur upar ja sakti hai aur agle resistance level ko test kar sakti hai.

**Aaj ka trading plan:**

Upar di gayi basic analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye buy option ko consider karna chahiye. Technical analysis ke ilawa, aaj ke economic news ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh trading activities mein madadgar hota hai aur loss ka risk kam kar sakta hai, saath hi optimal profits generate karne mein bhi madad karta hai. Market mein enter karne se pehle price ka nearest support level test karne ka intezar karna behtar hoga, taake ek ideal entry point mil sake. Pin bar candlestick pattern aur Bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ko EUR/USD price ke strengthening ke confirmation ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai.

Sell market ke liye plan yeh hai ke resistance level 1.1000 par enter karein, stop loss ko 1;1 ke ratio par set karein aur profit target ko entry price se 100 points set karein, ya market conditions ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Overall, EUR/USD currency pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, bullish trend ke madde nazar buy trade option ko consider karna behtar hai, khas taur par jab nearest resistance level achieve ho.Aaj ke trading session ke liye EUR/USD currency pair ke halat kuch is tarah hain:

4-hour market analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair mein abhi bhi buyers ka dominance hai aur bullish trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke price Bollinger Bands ke middle bands ke upar trade ho rahi hai, EMA50 ke upar hai aur Stochastic Oscillator level 50 ke upar hai. Wednesday ke bullish candlestick momentum ke saath, buyers ki strength barhne ki umeed hai aur price 1.1050 ke resistance level ko test kar sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance level break ho gaya, to price aur upar ja sakti hai aur agle resistance level ko test kar sakti hai.

**Aaj ka trading plan:**

Upar di gayi basic analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye buy option ko consider karna chahiye. Technical analysis ke ilawa, aaj ke economic news ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh trading activities mein madadgar hota hai aur loss ka risk kam kar sakta hai, saath hi optimal profits generate karne mein bhi madad karta hai. Market mein enter karne se pehle price ka nearest support level test karne ka intezar karna behtar hoga, taake ek ideal entry point mil sake. Pin bar candlestick pattern aur Bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ko EUR/USD price ke strengthening ke confirmation ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai.

Sell market ke liye plan yeh hai ke resistance level 1.1000 par enter karein, stop loss ko 1;1 ke ratio par set karein aur profit target ko entry price se 100 points set karein, ya market conditions ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Overall, EUR/USD currency pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, bullish trend ke madde nazar buy trade option ko consider karna behtar hai, khas taur par jab nearest resistance level achieve ho.

EUR/USD pair Wednesday ko phir se upar ki taraf trade karte hue nazar aayi. Is dafa euro ke barhney ke liye kisi khaas waja ki zaroorat nahi thi. Agar ek din pehle market ne U.S. Producer Price Index ke data ke base par pair ko khareeda, to Wednesday subah euro khareedne ke liye koi waja nahi thi. Eurozone ne second quarter ke GDP reports aur industrial production ka data release kiya, jisme GDP ka estimate pehle se match kiya, lekin industrial production ka data forecast se kam nikla. Lekin aksar hota hai ke market ne unfavorable data ko ignore kiya aur PPI ki taraf react kiya jo ke slowdown show kar raha tha. Shaam mein, U.S. inflation ka data 0.1% ka slowdown show kar raha tha, jo ke umeed se zyada tha. Is se market ko dollar ko sell off karne ka solid basis mila. Upward movement sirf 1.1043 level ke aas-paas ruk gayi, lekin ab humare paas ek nayi, solid upward trend hai. Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par teen trading signals generate hue. Pehle, pair ne 1.1011 level breach kiya, phir us par bounce back kiya, uske baad 1.1043 level ko touch kiya aur wahan se phir se bounce back kiya. Novice traders ne 1.1011 level ke aas-paas long positions open kar sakte thay, phir 1.1043 ke aas-paas close kar sakte thay, aur phir 1.1043 ke aas-paas short positions open kar sakte thay aur 1.1011 ke aas-paas profit book kar sakte thay. Total profit 40 pips tak ban sakta tha.

Trading tips Thursday ke liye:
EUR/USD ne ek nayi upward trend form kar li hai jo ke hourly time frame mein ek trend line se support ho rahi hai. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne sare bullish factors ko puri tarah se factor in kar liya hai, is liye hum kisi sustained upward movement ki umeed nahi karte. Flat phase abhi bhi 1.06-1.10 range ke andar hai 24-hour time frame mein. Lekin market phir se ye show kar raha hai ke agar U.S. inflation ka slowdown hota hai to dollar ko panic mein sell off kiya ja sakta hai. Is liye jab expectations kuch aur hoti hain, current technical picture ko ignore nahi karna chahiye. Price agar trend line ke neeche consolidate hoti hai to pair ke girne ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

Thursday ke din, agar price 1.1011 level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai to novice traders girawat ki umeed kar sakte hain. Is soorat mein euro 1.0971 tak gir sakta hai.

5M time frame mein dekhne ke liye key levels hain: 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, 1.1091. Thursday ke din Eurozone mein koi scheduled events ya reports nahi hain, jabke U.S. mein less critical reports jaise ke industrial production, retail sales, aur unemployment claims release honge.

IToday, EUR-USD trading ne higher par khula kyunki pehle Wednesday ko currency pair ne fairly high increase dekha. Increase, agar main calculate karun, 60 pips ke around tha. Candle us waqt 1.0996 area se 1.1045 tak move kar saka. Pehle, bahut se logon ne socha hoga ki eurusd 1.0996 supply area mein retrace karega. Lekin, reality mein, buyers ki very strong pressure ne supply area ko upwards penetrate kar diya hai taaki eurusd ko us area mein girne ki opportunity nahi rahi.

Thursday ko movement thoda sa weaken hua, lekin candle position abhi bhi resistance ke upar thi. Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, candle ne resistance ko 1.0996 ke price par penetrate kar diya tha. Penetrate ke baad, eurusd ne immediate 1.1044 ke price tak uthal diya. Resistance ke penetration se sign mil sakta hai ki eurusd ko abhi bhi rise karne ka chance hai. Mera next prediction hai ki eurusd 1.1127 ke price par next supply area ko target karega. Wahaan pahunchne ke liye, abhi bhi 110 pips ke around journey ki zaroorat hai. Lekin, agar candle position resistance ke upar nahi rahi to gbpusd ko phir se girne ka khatra hai.

Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analyze kiya jaye to, candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo ki trend ko abhi bhi uptrend phase mein dikhata hai. Ichimoku indicator se pata chalta hai ki rise karne ka opportunity abhi bhi bahut bada hai. Lekin, abhi candle ne blue kijun sen line ko touch kar liya hai. Umeed hai ki line break nahi hogi kyunki agar aisa hoga to tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ko intersect kar sakta hai. Ye intersection gbpusd ko aur deep fall kar sakta hai.



Stochastic indicator se pata chalta hai ki current condition eurusd overbought zone mein enter ho gaya hai kyunki eurusd ne two consecutive days mein very high increase dekha hai. Overbought condition level 80 ko touch karne se prove ho sakta hai. Overbought zone mein enter karne ke baad, gbpusd ne slowly fall shuru kar diya hai. Lekin, abhi line level 20 ko touch kar rahi hai. Even though gbpusd ki decline bahut hi small rahi hai. Main above kaha tha ki gbpusd ko rise karne ka chance abhi bhi hai. Toh today ki analysis ka conclusion hai ki eurusd ko rise karne ka chance abhi bhi hai kyunki yesterday ko uthal ke baad candle ne resistance ko 1.0995 ke price par penetrate kar diya tha. In addition, ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye to, candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar move kar rahi hai. Therefore, main recommend karta hoon ki aap logon ko is pair mein trade karte waqt sirf buy positions ko focus karna chahiye. Aap take profit target ko nearest resistance 1.1132 ke price par place kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko nearest support 1.0908 ke price par find kar sakte hain

IToday, EUR-USD trading ne higher par khula kyunki pehle Wednesday ko currency pair ne fairly high increase dekha. Increase, agar main calculate karun, 60 pips ke around tha. Candle us waqt 1.0996 area se 1.1045 tak move kar saka. Pehle, bahut se logon ne socha hoga ki eurusd 1.0996 supply area mein retrace karega. Lekin, reality mein, buyers ki very strong pressure ne supply area ko upwards penetrate kar diya hai taaki eurusd ko us area mein girne ki opportunity nahi rahi.

Thursday ko movement thoda sa weaken hua, lekin candle position abhi bhi resistance ke upar thi. Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, candle ne resistance ko 1.0996 ke price par penetrate kar diya tha. Penetrate ke baad, eurusd ne immediate 1.1044 ke price tak uthal diya. Resistance ke penetration se sign mil sakta hai ki eurusd ko abhi bhi rise karne ka chance hai. Mera next prediction hai ki eurusd 1.1127 ke price par next supply area ko target karega. Wahaan pahunchne ke liye, abhi bhi 110 pips ke around journey ki zaroorat hai. Lekin, agar candle position resistance ke upar nahi rahi to gbpusd ko phir se girne ka khatra hai.

Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analyze kiya jaye to, candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo ki trend ko abhi bhi uptrend phase mein dikhata hai. Ichimoku indicator se pata chalta hai ki rise karne ka opportunity abhi bhi bahut bada hai. Lekin, abhi candle ne blue kijun sen line ko touch kar liya hai. Umeed hai ki line break nahi hogi kyunki agar aisa hoga to tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ko intersect kar sakta hai. Ye intersection gbpusd ko aur deep fall kar sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator se pata chalta hai ki current condition eurusd overbought zone mein enter ho gaya hai kyunki eurusd ne two consecutive days mein very high increase dekha hai. Overbought condition level 80 ko touch karne se prove ho sakta hai. Overbought zone mein enter karne ke baad, gbpusd ne slowly fall shuru kar diya hai. Lekin, abhi line level 20 ko touch kar rahi hai. Even though gbpusd ki decline bahut hi small rahi hai. Main above kaha tha ki gbpusd ko rise karne ka chance abhi bhi hai. Toh today ki analysis ka conclusion hai ki eurusd ko rise karne ka chance abhi bhi hai kyunki yesterday ko uthal ke baad candle ne resistance ko 1.0995 ke price par penetrate kar diya tha. In addition, ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye to, candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar move kar rahi hai. Therefore, main recommend karta hoon ki aap logon ko is pair mein trade karte waqt sirf buy positions ko focus karna chahiye. Aap take profit target ko nearest resistance 1.1132 ke price par place kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko nearest support 1.0908 ke price par find
kar sakte hain

EUR/USD Ki Market Sentiment aur Investor Behavior

Jumay ke din, EUR/USD pair mein ek significant rally dekhi gayi, jo ke US labor market data ki disappointment ki wajah se hui. July ki Nonfarm Payrolls sirf 114,000 par ayi, jo expectations se kafi kam thi, aur unemployment rate 4.1% se barh kar 4.3% ho gaya. Is se dollar mein sharp sell-off hua. Euro ki growth ke bawajood, long-term outlook ye suggest karta hai ke aagey gains limited ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD Ki Current Trading Levels

EUR/USD pair apne daily opening level 1.0850 aur daily pivot level 1.0847 se upar trade kar raha hai. Key indicators bullish momentum dikhate hain, aur price 72-period Moving Average trend line ke upar hai, jahan volume distribution hota hai.

Upside Scenario

Agar price 1.0867 se upar break karta hai, toh yeh 1.0880 tak move kar sakta hai aur potential 1.0899 tak pahunch sakta hai. Ye bullish move, defined resistance levels se upar strong buying activity ko indicate karta hai.

Downside Scenario

Agar price 1.0850 se niche girta hai, toh expectation hai ke yeh support levels 1.0841 aur ho sakta hai 1.0825 tak decline kare. In levels ke niche close hona, weakening bullish sentiment ko signify karega.

Pivot Levels

Pair monthly pivot level 1.0764 (pehle 1.0797), weekly pivot level 1.0899 (pehle 1.0872) ke niche, aur daily pivot level 1.0847 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Ye positioning, pair ke liye strong bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Daily pivot level 1.0847 ke upar trading, potential upward movement ko suggest karti hai, jabke niche girna, further corrections ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Resistance Levels Ki Importance

Resistance levels crucial hain, kyunke ye points hain jahan price selling pressure face kar sakti hai aur potential reverse direction le sakti hai. Agar price in levels ko reach karta hai, toh traders selling opportunities consider kar sakte hain.

Current Market Sentiment

Daily pivot point 1.0885 par stand karta hai. Current market price 1.0876 is pivot point se niche situated hai, jo bearish outlook ko indicate karta hai. Jab price pivot point se niche hota hai, toh aksar ye weak buying interest aur further declines ki likelihood ko signal karta hai.

Moving Average Analysis

Abhi, moving average 1.08728 par hai, jo downward trend dikhati hai. Moving averages price data ko smooth out karte hain taake ek flowing line banayen, jis se trend ki direction ko identify karna asaan ho jaye. Current moving average overall bearish trend ko indicate karta hai, kyunke ye pivot point aur current market price dono se niche hai.

Bearish Scenario

Considering ke current market price 1.0876 pivot point 1.0885 se niche hai aur moving average downward trend dikhati hai, ek bearish scenario anticipate kiya jata hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke market sentiment selling ki taraf jhuka hua hai. Traders expect kar sakte hain ke price support levels ki taraf move kare.

Economic Impact

Agar aaj ke economic reports Eurozone mein weak retail sales ya US mein stronger-than-expected personal income aur spending ko reveal karte hain, toh ye bearish outlook ko aur mazboot kar sakte hain. Euro ke liye negative news ya US Dollar ke liye positive news aksar EUR/USD pair ko niche dhakelti hai.

everyone! Kuch arsa se euro aur US dollar ka pair key support level 1.08 ke upar trade kar raha tha, aur lag raha tha ke ek reversal aur overall uptrend ka continuation expect kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin aaj price ne key level ko break kar ke decent decline show kiya. Is waqt hum downtrend ka continuation dekh rahe hain, jo na sirf hourly charts par visible hai balki higher timeframes par bhi. Ab key level 1.08 ek significant resistance level ke tor par act kar sakta hai, jahan se short positions consider ki ja sakti hain. Ab sab se bara sawal yeh hai ke EURUSD pair kitna zyada decline kar sakta hai, jab hum broad ascending channel ko dekhte hain jiska lower line is waqt 1.07 ke level ke aas paas hai. Yeh assume kiya ja sakta hai ke agar iss hafte nahi to agle hafte euro is level ki taraf move karega. Is waqt technical indicators bhi bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne oversold territory mein entry ki hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke selling pressure abhi bhi present hai. Moving averages bhi downward slope dikhate hain, jo bearish momentum ko confirm karte hain. Trendline analysis ke hisaab se, agla support level 1.07 par hoga, jo ascending channel ka lower boundary hai. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai to euro aur downward momentum gain kar sakta hai.
Fundamental factors bhi euro ke liye favorable nahi lag rahe. Eurozone ki economy slow recovery process mein hai, jab ke US economy ke indicators relatively strong hain. US Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance aur interest rates ka increase bhi dollar ko support kar raha hai, jo euro ke against negative impact dal raha hai.
Agar hum trading strategy ki baat karein, to short positions key level 1.08 ke resistance par consider ki ja sakti hain. Stop loss 1.0820 par place karna safe hoga, jab ke profit target 1.07 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh cautious approach zaroori hai, kyunke market volatility unexpected price movements cause kar sakti hai.
Summary mein, EURUSD pair downtrend continuation dikhata hai, aur short-term mein 1.07 ke level ki taraf move karne ka potential rakhta hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis, dono hi bearish outlook ko support karte hain.

kaafi zyada izafa dekhne ko mila. Agar mein izafa ka hisaab karun to yeh taqreeban 60 pips ke qareeb tha. Us waqt candle 1.0996 ke area se 1.1045 tak move kar gayi thi. Pehle, kai logon ka khayal tha ke EUR-USD 1.0996 ke supply area mein retrace karega. Magar asal mein, buyers ka bohat zyada pressure tha jisse supply area ab upar ki taraf break kar gaya hai, isliye ab EUR-USD ke us area mein girne ka imkaan kam hai. Thursday ko, thori si kamzori dekhi gayi, lekin candle ki position ab bhi resistance ke upar thi.

Agar H1 timeframe se kal ke analysis ko dekha jaye to candle ne successfully 1.0996 par resistance ko break kar diya tha. Iske baad, EUR-USD foran se 1.1044 tak chala gaya. Resistance ka break hona yeh sign ho sakta hai ke EUR-USD ke mazeed barhne ke imkanaat ab bhi maujood hain. Mera agla tajziya yeh hai ke EUR-USD agle supply area, jo ke 1.1127 par hai, ko target karega. Wahan tak pohanchne ke liye taqreeban 110 pips ka safar darkar hai. Lekin agar candle ki position dobara resistance ke upar na rahi, to yeh EUR-USD ke dobara girne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Agar isse ichimoku indicator ki madad se analyze kiya jaye, to candle ab bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke trend ab bhi uptrend phase mein hai. Ichimoku indicator yeh darshata hai ke barhne ke imkanaat ab bhi kaafi zyada hain. Lekin ab candle ne blue kijun sen line ko chhura hai. Umeed hai ke yeh line break na ho, kyunki agar aisa hota hai, to yeh tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke intersect hone ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh intersection EUR-USD ko aur zyada girne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator yeh darshata hai ke EUR-USD ka current condition overbought zone mein daakhil ho gaya hai, kyunki EUR-USD ne do lagatar dinon ke liye kaafi zyada izafa dekha hai. Overbought condition is baat se sabit hoti hai ke line ne level 80 ko chhura hai. Overbought zone mein daakhil hone ke baad, EUR-USD ne aista aista girna shuru kar diya hai. Lekin ab line level 20 ko chhune wali hai. Halanki EUR-USD ka girna abhi tak bohat kam hai. Jo upar mein ne kaha, yeh mumkin hai ke EUR-USD ka izafa

**EUR/USD H4**

Hamari discussion mein, EUR/USD currency pair ki price changes ka analysis karenge. Powell ne ECB forum mein baat ki aur jaise ke aam tor par, US dollar ko neecha gira diya, halanke Lagarde ne unse pehle baat ki thi aur euro ko thodi support di thi. Powell ne kuch naya nahi kaha, lekin EUR/USD ne 1.0739 level ko break kiya aur ab 1.0749 resistance ke qareeb hai. EMA-200 se mark kiya gaya critical resistance level 1.0759 par hai. Yeh clear nahi hai ke market ne Powell ke comments par aisa reaction kyun diya, kyunki unki remarks groundbreaking nahi thi. Unhone kaha ke labor market ab bhi strong hai, inflation 2% ke qareeb nahi hai, aur disinflation ke signs hain. Lagarde ne bhi comment kiya ke inflation sahi direction mein move kar rahi hai, lekin yeh kehna abhi too early hai ke yeh waise hi rahegi. Powell ne emphasize kiya ke Fed apne decisions mein jaldi nahi karega aur US aur Europe ke inflation alag issues hain jo alag approaches ko zaroorat hain. Unki comments ke bawajood, market US dollar ko buy karne mein hesitant hai.
**EUR/USD H4**

Europe mein political developments ne market sentiment ko significantly influence kiya hai, khaaskar European parliamentary elections jo euro mein confidence ko dent kar chuki hai. France ka parliament dissolve karne aur snap elections ke liye decision, jo President Emmanuel Macron ne EU parliament elections mein substantial defeat ke baad liya, market uncertainty ko badha raha hai. Marine Le Pen, jo ek right-leaning conservative politician hain National Rally se, ki victory ka prospect European financial markets mein apprehension create kar raha hai. Le Pen ki policies, jo steep tax cuts, retirement age ko kam karne, aur stringent immigration controls ko include karti hain, France mein kaafi popular ho gayi hain.

Le Pen ki potential victory European financial markets ko pareshani mein daal rahi hai. Unki policies fiscal challenges impose kar sakti hain jab European economic indicators pehle se hi underperform kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ko rate cuts implement karne mein constraints hain due to persistent inflation issues within the Eurozone.

Euro ki qeemat $1.0825 ke support level tak girti rahi, aur apne chaar mahinay ke buland tareen level $1.094 se door ho gayi, jo ke 17 July ko chooa tha. Ye girawat euro zone, Germany, aur France ke weak PMI data ke release ke baad hui, jisne ye expectations barha di ke European Central Bank iss saal do additional martaba interest rates cut karega.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... Flash Eurozone PMIs ne July mein private sector activity mein achanak girawat dikhayi, jo ke manufacturing mein zyada contraction aur services mein slowdown ke sabab se hui. Germany aur France ne broader region mein kamzor performance dikhayi. Is ke natayej mein, traders ne iss saal European Central Bank ke do additional interest rate cuts par apni bets 80% se barha kar 90% tak kar di.

Europe mein, German Treasuries aur French oats yields ke darmiyan yield gap 71.70 basis points tak barh gaya, jo ke France mein siyasi tensions ki wajah se hua. Far-left National Front party ne pension reform ko reverse karne ka tajwez diya jo ke President Macron ne far-right National Front party ki himayat se approve ki thi, jisse fiscal spending aur France ke qarz par risk premium se mutaliq concerns barh gaye. President Macron ne kaha ke unki hukumat Olympics ke doran mid-August tak barqarar rahegi, aur left-wing coalition ki koshishon ko rad kar diya jo naye wazir-e-azam ko appoint karna chahti thi.

Daily chart ki performance ke mutabiq, euro ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable EUR/USD ke sath ab bhi 1.0800 ke aham psychological support level ko tor kar neeche jaane ke qareeb hai, jo agar hota hai to bears ko aur zyada momentum milega ke woh mazeed neeche movement kar sakein, aur agle sabse aham support levels 1.0745 aur 1.0660 honge. Doosri taraf, isi duration ke doran, aur jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha, general trend mein koie strong aur aham shift upar ke taraf tab tak nahi hoga jab tak 1.1000 ke psychological resistance level tak dobara nahi pohncha jata. Aaj euro dollar ki qeemat European Central Bank ke Governor Lagarde ke bayanaat, German IFO reading, aur aham American economic data, jisme GDP growth reading, weekly unemployed claims, aur durable goods orders shamil hain, se mutasir hogi.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EUR/USD Forecast: Jab Tak 1.1000 Support Ke Tor Par Barqarar Hai, to Euro Bulls Dilchaspi Rakh Sakte Hain

EUR/USD ne 1.1000 se upar apni position banaye rakhi hai jab ke budh ko ek naya 2024 ka high choo liya. US economic calendar mein kuch ahem data releases shamil hain jo ke jumeerath ko release kiye jayenge. Pair ka technical outlook yeh zahir karta hai ke bullish bias abhi bhi barqarar hai. EUR/USD ne bullish momentum ikattha kiya aur budh ke din apna 2024 ka sabse uncha darja 1.1050 ke qareeb chhoo liya. Yeh pair consolidation phase mein hai aur Thursday ke din European session mein 1.1000 se thoda sa upar trade kar raha hai.

Is Hafta US Dollar Ki Price

US se milne wale data ne budh ke din yeh zahir kiya ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur core CPI dono hi maheena daar 0.2% barhay, jaise ke umeed thi. US inflation figures ke baad risk mood mein behtari dekhi gayi, jo ke US Dollar (USD) ke liye demand paida karne mein mushkilat paida kar rahi thi.

European subah mein, US stock index futures ne din mein thori se izafi trade ki. US economic calendar jumeerath ke din weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur July Retail Sales data ko shamil karega.

Agar pehli dafa unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki tadaad mein kafi kami aati hai, aur yeh reading 220,000 se kam hoti hai, to US Dollar (USD) mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai. Wahi, Retail Sales ka umeed hai ke 0.3% barhengi, jo ke June mein change nahi hui thi. Agar yeh negative print hoti hai, to yeh US economic downturn ke khauf ko dubara zinda kar sakti hai aur USD ko nuqsan pohancha sakti hai, chahay Jobless Claims data umeed se behtar hi kyun na ho.

Sarmayakaar Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ke comments par bhi qareebi tawajju dein gay. Agar policymakers yeh wazeh kartay hain ke July inflation ke baad September mein 50 basis points (bps) rate cut ki umeed nahi hai, to USD apne rivals ke muqable mein mazboot rehne ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 70 se neeche retreat kar gaya hai jab ke budh ke din 80 ko chhoo gaya tha, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ka bullish bias technical correction ke baad bhi barqarar hai.

Downside par, 1.1000 (psychological level, static level) immediate support ke tor par align hota hai 1.0960 (static level), 1.0940 (static level) aur 1.0900 (psychological level, static level) se pehle. Agar yeh pair 1.1000 se upar apni position barqarar rakhta hai, to buyers dobara control apne haath mein le sakte hain. Is surat mein, 1.1050-1.1060 (static level) ko agla resistance samjha ja sakta hai 1.1100 (psychological level, static level) se pehle.

Euro Ki Mazbooti

Euro, Eurozone ke 20 European Union mumalik ka currency hai. Yeh duniya mein doosray number par sabse zyada traded currency hai, US Dollar ke baad. 2022 mein yeh tamam foreign exchange transactions ka 31% tha, jismein rozana ka average turnover $2.2 trillion se zyada tha. EUR/USD duniya ka sabse zyada traded currency pair hai, jo ke tamam transactions ka takreeban 30% hai, uske baad EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) aur EUR/AUD (2%) aate hain.

European Central Bank (ECB) Frankfurt, Germany mein Eurozone ka reserve bank hai. ECB interest rates set karta hai aur monetary policy ko manage karta hai. ECB ka primary mandate price stability ko barqarar rakhna hai, jo ke ya to inflation ko control karna hai ya phir growth ko stimulate karna hai. Iska primary tool interest rates ko barhana ya kam karna hai. Relatively high interest rates – ya phir high rates ki umeed – aam tor par Euro ke liye faidemand hoti hai aur vice versa.

ECB Governing Council monetary policy decisions meetings mein 8 martaba saal bhar mein leti hai. Yeh decisions Eurozone ke national banks ke heads aur 6 permanent members, jin mein ECB ke President Christine Lagarde bhi shamil hain, karte hain.

Eurozone inflation data, jo ke Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) se measure ki jati hai, Euro ke liye ek ahem econometric hai. Agar inflation umeed se zyada barhti hai, khaaskar agar yeh ECB ke 2% target se zyada hai, to yeh ECB ko interest rates barhane par majboor karti hai taake usay control mein laya jaye. Relatively high interest rates, compared to its counterparts, aam tor par Euro ke liye faidemand hoti hai, kyun ke yeh region ko global investors ke liye zyada dilchasp banata hai.

Data releases Euro ki economic health ko gauge karte hain aur Euro par asar daal sakte hain. Indicators jese ke GDP, Manufacturing aur Services PMIs, employment aur consumer sentiment surveys sab Euro ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Ek mazboot economy Euro ke liye faidemand hoti hai. Na sirf yeh zyada foreign investment ko attract karti hai, balki yeh ECB ko interest rates barhane par majboor kar sakti hai, jo ke seedha seedha Euro ko mazboot karta hai. Warna, agar economic data kamzor hai, to Euro gir sakta hai. Eurozone ke chaar barray economies (Germany, France, Italy aur Spain) ke economic data khaas tor par ahem hai, kyun ke yeh Eurozone ke 75% economy ko banate hain.

Ek aur ahem data release Euro ke liye Trade Balance hai. Yeh indicator us farq ko measure karta hai jo ke ek mulk apni exports se kamata hai aur jo apni imports par kharch karta hai kisi diya gaya muddat mein. Agar koi mulk highly sought after exports produce karta hai, to uska currency value mein izafa hota hai sirf foreign buyers se jo in goods ko khareedne ke liye is currency ki demand paida karte hain. Isliye, ek positive net Trade Balance currency ko mazboot karta hai aur vice versa negative balance ke liye.





Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 4-hour chart par 70 se neeche retreat kar gaya hai jab ke budh ke din 80 ko chhoo gaya tha, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ka bullish bias abhi bhi barqarar hai ek technical correction ke baad.

Downside par, 1.1000 (psychological level, static level) immediate support ke tor par align hota hai 1.0960 (static level), 1.0940 (static level) aur 1.0900 (psychological level, static level) se pehle. Agar yeh pair 1.1000 se upar apni position barqarar rakhta hai, to buyers dobara control apne haath mein le sakte hain. Is surat mein, 1.1050-1.1060 (static level) ko agla resistance samjha ja sakta hai 1.1100 (psychological level, static level) se pehle.

Fundamental Overview

EUR/USD ne bullish momentum ikattha kiya aur budh ke din apna 2024 ka sabse uncha darja 1.1050 ke qareeb chhoo liya. Yeh pair consolidation phase mein hai aur Thursday ke din European session mein 1.1000 se thoda sa upar trade kar raha hai.

US se milne wale data ne budh ke din yeh zahir kiya ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur core CPI dono hi maheena daar 0.2% barhay, jaise ke umeed thi. US inflation figures ke baad risk mood mein behtari dekhi gayi, jo ke US Dollar (USD) ke liye demand paida karne mein mushkilat paida kar rahi thi.

European subah mein, US stock index futures ne din mein thori se izafi trade ki. US economic calendar jumeerath ke din weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur July Retail Sales data ko shamil karega.

Agar pehli dafa unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki tadaad mein kafi kami aati hai, aur yeh reading 220,000 se kam hoti hai, to US Dollar (USD) mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai. Wahi, Retail Sales ka umeed hai ke 0.3% barhengi, jo ke June mein change nahi hui thi. Agar yeh negative print hoti hai, to yeh US economic downturn ke khauf ko dubara zinda kar sakti hai aur USD ko nuqsan pohancha sakti hai, chahay Jobless Claims data umeed se behtar hi kyun na ho.

Sarmayakaar Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ke comments par bhi qareebi tawajju dein gay. Agar policymakers yeh wazeh kartay hain ke July inflation ke baad September mein 50 basis points (bps) rate cut ki umeed nahi hai, to USD apne rivals ke muqable mein mazboot rehne ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD exchange rate ne chal rahe selling pressure ke bawajood 1.0842 ke aas-paas stabilize kar liya hai, jabke Eurozone aur US manufacturing aur services sectors ke Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings ke announcement ki intezar hai. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, euro trading week ke shuru mein $1.088 ke aas-paas fluctuate kar raha tha, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke upcoming monetary policy review ke liye anticipation barh rahi hai. Recently, euro ne July 17 ko $1.094 par apne chaar mahine ke peak se retreat kiya, jo market uncertainty ka indication hai.

Aane Wale Economic Data Release

Traders aur analysts is hafte Eurozone, Germany, aur France ke flash PMI data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Ye figures economic health aur performance ke critical insights provide karengi, jo market participants ko ongoing euro volatility handle karne mein madad karengi.

Market Sentiment aur Future Expectations

Euro ka recent decline apne peak se underlying market anxiety ko reflect karta hai, jo European Central Bank ke future actions ke hawale se speculation se driven hai. Interest rate cuts aur naye macroeconomic forecasts par emphasis ECB ki accommodative stance ko highlight karta hai economic indicators ke response mein. Isliye, upcoming PMI data market sentiment aur euro ke trajectory ke expectations ko shape karne mein pivotal hogi.

Key Economic Indicators

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Eurozone, Germany, aur France ke flash PMI data economic activity aur sentiment ke key indicators ke roop mein serve karenge in critical regions. Stronger-than-expected PMI reading euro ko support de sakti hai, jabke weaker data ECB ke further monetary easing ke expectations ko barha sakti hai.

Jabke euro $1.088 ke aas-paas hai, attention ab ECB ke policy review aur crucial economic data ke release par hai. Central bank ke decisions, jo updated economic forecasts aur indicators se influence honge, euro ke future trajectory ko determine karenge. Isliye, investors aur traders ko in developments se update rehna chahiye taake potential currency market fluctuations ko navigate kiya ja sake.

Eurozone Mein Consumer Sentiment Behtareen

Preliminary estimates ke mutabiq, Eurozone ka consumer confidence index July 2024 mein -13 par chala gaya, jo pehle ke mahine se -14 se behtar hai aur market expectations of -13.4 ko surpass karta hai. Ye level February 2022 ke baad se highest hai, jo ECB ke recent interest rate cuts ke response mein inflation ke easing ke sabab hai. Market sentiment September aur shayad December mein further rate cuts ki umeed rakhta hai. France mein parliamentary elections ke baad political concerns bhi kam hue hain, jo single-party dominance aur legislative gridlock ke fears ko reduce karta hai. Wider European Union mein bhi consumer sentiment behtar hua hai, jo -12.2 par pahunch gaya hai.

US ki na ummeedkan economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa diya. Ye tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare mein barhti hui chinta ko darshati hai aur Federal Reserve ke zariye interest rate cuts ke tajawiz ko tez karne ke mumkinahay ko uthaati hai. Key indicators ne ek chinta janak tasawwur diya hai. June mein naukri ka izafa ummeed se kam raha, ADP data ne ye bataya ke naukriyon ki kami zyada tar kam aay ke sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment mein hui. Initial jobless claims bhi barh gayi, aur ISM ka Services PMI do saal ke sabse niche star par chala gaya. Ye data US economy ke slow hone ka nishan hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam karta hai. Jab US dollar ne girawat dekhi, euro ne is mauqe ko pakda aur briefly 1.0800 level ko paar kar gaya. Ye positive jazba mixed European data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne ummeed se zyada izafa dikhaya, jo manufacturing activity ki growth ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone mein producer prices May mein zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Agle kuch dinon mein US Independence Day holiday aur German factory order data currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hai. US markets band rahengi, jo trading activity ko patla kar sakti hai. German factory orders May mein rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur prabhavit kar sakta hai.

Technical hurdles aur aage ke gains ki potential. Euro ko 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna hai. Is zone ke upar decisive break hone se October 2023 ke uptrend line ke 1.0955 tak ki tez chadhai ki raah khul sakti hai. In conclusion, euro kai factors ka faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo ke slowing US economy aur Fed se accommodative monetary policy ke tajawiz se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur dono US aur Europe mein aane wale economic releases crucial honge, ye dekhne ke liye ke euro ke gains sustain ho sakte hain ya nahi.