eur/usd

# EUR/USD Dabao Mein: Naye US Dollar Ki Demand Aur Key Factors Jo Dekhne Hain
EUR/USD jorha shukrwar ki Asian trading session ke doran barh gaya, aur 1.0987 ki high tak pohncha. Lekin ab yeh niche ke pressure ka samna kar raha hai US Dollar ki demand ke barhne ki wajah se. Filhal, yeh jorha 1.0980 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, aur market participants agle US economic data jaise ke June ke retail sales figures aur Federal Reserve ke member Adriana Kugler ki speech par nazar rakhe hue hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ki interest rate decision bhi market sentiment ko kaafi mutasir kar sakti hai agle dinon mein.

### EUR/USD Jorhe Ko Drive Karne Wale Fundamentals

Market sentiment mein tabdeelion ka sabab Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cut ke baray mein barhti hui umeed hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke recent bayan ne is speculation ko barhawa diya. Powell ne kaha ke central bank shayad 2% inflation target tak pohnchne ka intezar nahi karega, kehna tha, "Agar aap intezar karenge jab tak inflation 2% tak pohnchti hai, to aap shayad bahut der kar chuke hain." Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke Fed shayad zyada tight monetary conditions se inflation ko 2% ke niche jane se roknay ke liye pehle hi action le.

Is complex economic outlook ko aur bhi barhawa dete hue, Mary Daly, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ki President, ne kaha ke jab tak inflation aise tarz se kam ho raha hai jo 2% target ko haqiqat banane mein madadgar hai, aur zyada data ki zaroorat hai interest rates ke decisions ke liye. Fed rate cut ki umeed se US Dollar par niche ke pressure ka asar ho sakta hai, jo EUR/USD jorhe ko barhawa de sakta hai.

### Technical Outlook Daily Time Frame Par

Technical nazariye se, EUR/USD jorha is haftay ke aaghaz mein chaar maheenon ki high tak pohncha, lekin 1.1100 ke key resistance level ko break karne mein nakam raha. Is fail ho jane ki wajah se technical consolidation ka phase shuru ho gaya hai, aur jorha filhal ek descending channel ke upper end par trade kar raha hai. Yeh consolidation teen din ki winning streak ke baad aayi hai, jo ke recent sessions mein jorhe ke upar chadhne wale bullish stance ka darshak hai.

Jabke jorha ke recent gains hai, yeh ab bhi daily chart par 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo ke long-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bearish territory mein 43.0 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke jorha aage chal kar downside risk ka samna kar sakta hai. Agar RSI aur decline karta hai, to yeh selling pressure ko barha sakta hai, aur 1.0914 ke key level ke aas-paas support mil sakta hai jo ek throwback support level ban sakta hai.

### Conclusion


EUR/USD jorha ek complex landscape ko navigate kar raha hai jo shifting market sentiment se driven hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke potential rate cuts aur agle ECB interest rate decision se mutasir hai. Jabke jorha 100-period EMA ke upar technically positive hai, RSI ke bearish signals yeh darshate hain ke downside risks ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Traders ko agle US economic data aur central bank communications par nazar rakhni chahiye jisse jorhe ke direction ke baray mein mazeed insights mil sakein. Key levels jo dekhne chahiye woh hain resistance at 1.1100 aur support around 1.0914.

### EUR/USD Currency Pair Mein Bullish Movement
EUR/USD currency pair ki daily timeframe par candlestick movements ko analyze karte hue, market is haftay bhi bullish nazar aati hai, jo ke pichle kuch hafton mein dekha gaya trend hai. Overarching direction ek upward trajectory ko darshati hai, jo price ko bullish rally phase mein rakhti hai. Is haftay overall trend upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur range bhi kafi significant hai.

### Weekly Overview

Hafta 1.0917 ke level se bullish movement ke sath shuru hua aur aaj ki session mein 1.0979 tak pohncha. Thursday shaam ke trading session mein, closing price Monday ke market opening price ke upar thi. Is doran, candlestick positions indicate karti hain ke previous week ka highest price level 1.1008 ko break karne ki koshish ho rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD currency pair apne bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hai.

### Monitoring Key Indicators

Aage chal kar, main key indicators ko monitor karunga jo market analysis ke liye use hotay hain. MACD indicator (12, 26, 29) dikhata hai ke dotted yellow line upward movement ka signal de rahi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market abhi bhi bullish rally mein hai. Histogram bar ka position zero level ke upar hai aur size moderate hai. Additionally, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) 70 mark ke kareeb hai, jo potential bullish momentum ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, yellow Simple Moving Average (SMA) 60 abhi bhi red Simple Moving Average (SMA) 150 ke upar hai, jo daily timeframe par bullish trend ko confirm karta hai.

### H4 Timeframe Analysis

Technical data ko H4 timeframe chart ke sath complete karte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke EUR/USD ki price movement pichle kuch hafton se bullish candlesticks se dominate ho rahi hai, jo ke upward trend ko indicate karta hai. Jabke candlestick pichle mahine ke shuruat mein yellow SMA 60 ke niche thi, ab yeh is mahine ke dauran iske upar aa gayi hai. Yeh condition price ko har din higher levels par close karne ka natija banati hai, jo yeh reinforce karta hai ke market conditions increasingly bullish ho rahi hain. Pichle Thursday, buyers ne price ko upar push kar diya.

### Additional Technical Insights



Is technical analysis ke ilawa, main Relative Strength Index (14) ke instructions ko monitor karta hoon, jahan Lime Line 50 level ke upar hai, jo bullish market state ko signal karti hai. MACD indicator (12, 26, 29) dikhata hai ke broken yellow line ne downward turn lena shuru kar diya hai aur histogram bar ki shape shrink ho rahi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market moderate strength ke sath correct ho rahi hai. Is dauran, candlestick dono Simple Moving Averages (60 aur 150) ke upar comfortably hai, jo market ko abhi bhi bullish state mein portray karta hai.

### EUR/USD D1 Analysis
#### Market Overview

EUR/USD jorha daily timeframe par range-bound behavior dikhata hai. Halankeh breakouts ki koshishen hui hain, lekin yeh jorha baar-baar apne trading range mein wapas aa jata hai, jo market participants ke darmiyan indecision ko darshata hai.

#### Support aur Resistance Levels

- **Strong Support**: 1.0850 - Yeh level pehle significant support provide kar chuka hai aur yeh bullish reversals ke liye ek key area ban sakta hai.
- **Immediate Support**: 1.0979 - Yeh level recent mein current range ke andar support ke taur par kaam aaya hai.
- **Immediate Resistance**: 1.1055 - Yeh level resistance ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, jo upward price movements ko limit kar raha hai.
- **Strong Resistance**: 1.1120 - Is level ke upar breakout bullish breakout ka signal de sakta hai.

#### Order Blocks

- **Potential Order Block**: 1.0850 - Yeh level strong support ban sakta hai, aur agar price is level par retrace hoti hai aur bullish reversal dikhati hai, to yeh long positions ke liye ek potential order block ban sakta hai.
- **Potential Order Block**: 1.0979 - Price action ke hisaab se, yeh level long ya short positions ke liye ek order block ban sakta hai. Agar price is level ke upar breakout karti hai to yeh support level ban sakta hai, jabke neeche breakout hone par yeh resistance level ban sakta hai.
- **Potential Order Block**: 1.1055 - Agar price is level par retrace karti hai aur bearish reversal dikhati hai, to yeh short positions ke liye ek order block ban sakta hai.
- **Potential Order Block**: 1.1120 - Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai aur uske baad decline karti hai, to yeh long positions ke liye ek potential order block ban sakta hai.

#### Indicators

- **RSI (14)**: RSI ab overbought territory mein hai, jo upward momentum ke exhaustion ko indicate kar sakta hai. Lekin, price aur RSI ke darmiyan divergence ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai.
- **MACD (12, 26, 9)**: MACD histogram flatten ho raha hai, jo momentum ke decrease ko indicate karta hai. Ek clear bearish crossover potential trend reversal ka signal de sakta hai.

#### Best Areas for Buying and Selling



- **Buy**: Agar price 1.1120 resistance level ke upar strong bullish momentum ke sath breakout karti hai aur follow-through hota hai, to ek potential buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai.
- **Sell**: Agar price 1.0850 support level ke neeche strong bearish momentum ke sath breakout karti hai aur follow-through hota hai, to ek potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai. Lekin, recent price action ko dekhte hue, false breakouts ko overlook nahi kiya jana chahiye.

EUR/USD Forum Analysis aur Forecast
Current Market Overview

Daily timeframe par EUR/USD currency pair ke candlestick movements ki base par dekha jaye to iss hafta bhi market bullish momentum show kar rahi hai, pichle hafton ki tarah. Trend direction ko observe karte hue ye clear hai ke price upward move kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish rally phase ko indicate kar rahi hai. Misal ke taur par, Monday ko candlestick ne bullish movement ka aghaz 1.0917 level se kiya aur ab tak ke session me 1.0979 tak pohonch chuki hai. Thursday night trading ke waqt closing price level Monday ke market opening price se upar tha. Iss haftay ke candlestick position se yeh nazar aa raha hai ke last week ke highest price level 1.1008 ko break karne ki koshish ho rahi hai, jo ke EUR/USD ke bullish trend ke continue hone ka ishara de raha hai.

Key Indicators Analysis

Mazid analysis mein, main un indicators ko monitor karunga jo market analysis ke liye istemal hote hain. MACD indicator (12,26,29) show kar raha hai ke yellow dotted line abhi bhi upwards point kar rahi hai, jo market mein bullish sentiment ko reflect kar rahi hai. Histogram bar zero level ke upar positioned hai aur moderate size mein hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) indicator lime line ko level 70 ke qareeb dikha raha hai. Yellow Simple Moving Average (SMA) 60 aram se red SMA 150 ke upar positioned hai, jo ke daily timeframe par bullish trend ko reinforce kar raha hai.

H4 Timeframe Insights

Technical data ko complete karte hue, H4 timeframe chart se pata chalta hai ke pichle kuch hafton se EUR/USD ka price movement bullish candlesticks se dominated hai, aur upward trend continue kar raha hai. Pichle mahine ke aghaz mein candlestick yellow SMA 60 ke neeche thi, lekin iss mahine ke aghaz se wo iske upar move kar chuki hai. Yeh condition higher daily closing prices mein contribute kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish market conditions ko indicate karti hai. Last Thursday, buyers ki forces ne price ko aur upar push kiya.

Additional Technical Analysis

Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (14) ki lime line level 50 ke upar positioned hai, jo market ke bullish state mein hone ka signal de rahi hai. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par yellow line ne downward turn start kiya hai jabke histogram bar shrinking signs show kar raha hai, jo market ke moderate correction ki nishani hai. Candlestick SMA 60 aur SMA 150 ke upar aram se play kar rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke market par control ko indicate kar rahi hai.

Conclusion

Market conditions aur indicators ke readings se yeh reflect ho raha hai ke daily aur H4 timeframes par bullish trend hai, aur yeh upward movement continue karne ki umeed hai. Meri rai mein, BUY position open karna profit generation ke liye mazid strong opportunities provide karta hai. Lekin, ideal candlestick position trading ke liye tab identify ki jayegi jab price 1.0990 ke level tak pohonch jaye. Agla bullish target 1.1045 set kiya ja sakta hai, jabke stop-loss level 1.0955 par rakhna chahiye.

# EUR/USD Aath Mahinay Ki Bulandiyon Par, ECB Aur Fed Kay Faislayon Say Pehlay Market Ka Jashan
Budh ke din, EUR/USD currency pair nay aath mahine ki nai bulandiyon ko choo liya, jis ki wajah market mein positive jazba hai. Yeh upar jany ka silsila traders ke tayyari karne ki wajah say hai jo European Central Bank (ECB) kay aanay walay rate decision ka intezaar kar rahay hain jo ke Thursday ko hoga. Market mein bara optimism hai, aur khas taur par Federal Reserve (Fed) ke anticipated rate cut par bhi nazar hai jo ke September 18 ko expected hai.

### Fed Officials Ki Umeed Aur Market Ke Tajawezat Rate Cuts Ke Liye Expectations Barha Rahay Hain

Akhri dino mein Fed officials ke bayanaat ne is optimism ko aur mazid barha diya hai. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne inflation trends kay bare mein ihtiyaat se umeed ka izhar kiya hai jo central bank ke 2% target ke qareeb aa rahay hain. Kugler ne mukhtalif sectors, jaise goods, services, aur housing mein behtri ko highlight kiya, jo disinflation ke silsiley ko qaim rakh rahay hain. Isay mazeed taqat milli hai akhri data se, jahan June ke consumer inflation report ne is baat ki taseek ki ke is saal ke aaghaz mein jo pause aya tha us ke baad disinflation ka silsila dobara shuru ho gaya hai.

Iske nateeje mein, market mein Fed ke rate cuts ke baray mein tajawezat ne bohat zor pakra hai. Thanday hotay inflationary pressures aur kamzor hoti labor market ke asraat ne traders ke rate cut ki ummedon ko mazid mazboot kiya hai jo ke September mein ho sakta hai. Yehi tajawezat EUR/USD ke recent surge ka sabab bani hain.

### EUR/USD Ki Technical Analysis

Agar technical nazar se dekha jaye, to EUR/USD taqreeban 1.0988 tak barh gaya hai, jo ke daily chart mein ek Symmetrical Triangle pattern se breakout ka nateeja hai. Is technical breakout ne volatilty aur trading volume mein izafa kiya hai, jo yeh signal karta hai ke yeh pair apni upward movement ko aglay key resistance level tak extend kar sakta hai jo ke 1.1050 kay qareeb hai.

14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.0982 kay qareeb hai, woh upwards trend kar raha hai, jo ke positive price action ko support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range mein chala gaya hai 60.00-80.00 ke darmiyan, jo ke strong upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Yeh indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke EUR/USD ka near-term outlook bullish hai, aur agar market conditions euro ke haq mein rahti hain to mazeed gains ke chances hain.

### Conclusion

Jab tak traders aur investors ECB aur Fed ke faislayon par nazar rakhenge, EUR/USD pair par focus barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Technical breakouts aur favorable market sentiment ka milap yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh pair apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. Lekin market participants ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye, kyun ke agar koi unexpected announcements ya economic data mein shifts aati hain to volatilty mein izafa ho sakta hai. Filhal, bullish momentum mazboot nazar aa raha hai, aur key resistance levels nazar mein hain, jo traders ke liye moqay paish kar sakte hain

EURUSD currency pair ke candlestick movement ki characteristics ke mutabiq, jab daily timeframe ke graph par nazar dali jaye, to is haftay ki movement ab bhi bullish lag rahi hai, bilkul pichle kuch hafton ki tarah. Agar trending market ki direction dekhi jaye jo ke ek hi direction mein upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai, to aisa lagta hai ke price ek bullish rally phase experience kar rahi hai. Overall, is haftay trend ki direction ab bhi kaafi wide range ke saath upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Monday ko candlestick ne apna bullish movement 1.0917 ke level se start kiya aur aaj ki session tak ye 1.0979 ke level tak barh gaya. Thursday raat ke trading session mein closing price level Monday ke market opening price level ke upar tha. Issi dauran, is haftay ke candlestick ki position aise lag rahi hai ke ye pichle haftay ke highest price level 1.1008 ko break out karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur zyadatar chances hain ke EURUSD currency pair dobara bullish trend ki taraf move kare.
Agay, main indicators ka monitoring karunga jo market ko analyze karne ke liye istemal hotay hain. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par dekha ja sakta hai ke ek dotted yellow line upar ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai kyun ke market ab bhi bullish move kar raha hai. Histogram bar ki position bhi zero level ke upar hai aur iska size moderate hai. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) par Lime Line ki position ab level 70 ke qareeb barh rahi hai. Is tarah, yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki position ab bhi red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar move kar rahi hai jo ke daily timeframe mein market trend ka bullish hona darshata hai.

Sab ko acha din! Monday ko euro aur US dollar ke beech koi bade upheavals nahi aaye. Hum abhi bhi support level 1.09 ke upar trade kar rahe hain, aur aaj price thodi upar ja rahi hai, jo humein ummeed de sakti hai ke activity barh sakti hai aur EUR/USD currency pair apne targets ki taraf upar ki taraf move kar sakti hai. General taur par, agar kisi ne long positions kholni thi, to pichle trading week aur is week mein iske liye kaafi opportunities thi, isliye agar ab price upar jaati hai to mujhe hairani nahi hogi. Agar humare saath thodi si lucky raha, to shayad thoda sa pullback bhi dekhne ko mile, jahan buy positions kholna bhi mumkin ho. To ab hum round resistance level 1.10 ki taraf movement ki intezar karenge, aur shayad aur bhi current highs update ho. Selling consider karna tabhi samajh aayega agar currency pair support level 1.09 ke neeche girti hai.
**Current Bullish Trends**

EUR/USD pair abhi strong bullish trends dikha rahi hai, jo ke 1.1000 levels ke upar tezi se chadh rahi hai aur kuch periods ke liye 1.0950 ke upar bhi ja rahi hai. Yeh pair 200-day EMA ko bhi 1.0826 ke upar se paar kar chuki hai, jo ke short-term bullish sentiment ko signal deta hai. Yeh technical breakthrough yeh suggest karta hai ke upward trend continue ho sakti hai, aur traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points par nazar rakhenge.

**Influencing Factors**

Summary yeh hai ke Euro ki strength US Dollar ke muqablay mein weak US economic indicators aur European markets mein stable sentiment ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels ke qareeb pohanchti hai, market participants aane wale economic data aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhenge, kyunki yeh factors future movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

**Technical Analysis Attracting New Participants**

Technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh technical indicators ka alignment confirmation data ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko aur fuel kar sakti hai, jab naye buyers existing upward pressure ko badhate hain

July mein month-over-month increase hua, jaise ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, jo ke pehle 0.9% decline se recover hua. Annual basis par, sales mein 1.4% growth hui, jo ke pehle 0.3% decline ko reverse karti hai aur market expectations ko meet karti hai.

Iske ilawa, Thursday ko UK GDP figures report hui ke UK economy ne second quarter mein quarter-on-quarter basis par 0.6% ka expansion dikhaya, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha. Year-on-year basis par, GDP mein Q2 mein 0.9% ka izafa hua, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Q1 ke 0.3% se barh gaya.

Finance Minister Rachel Reeves ne highlight kiya ke latest data naye hukoomat ke liye challenges ko darshata hai aur apna mauqaf dohraya ke economic fundamentals ko behtar banane ke liye mushkil faislay lena zaroori hoga, Reuters ke mutabiq.

Eurozone mein, Thursday ko halia data ne investor confidence mein aik sakht girawat aur industrial activity mein unexpected decline ko darshaya. Iske bawajood, Eurozone ka preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 mein quarter-on-quarter basis par 0.3% barha, jo pehle period ke mutabiq tha aur market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Year-on-year basis par, economy mein 0.6% ka izafa hua, jaise ke anticipate kiya gaya tha. Is mustahkam growth ne October tak European Central Bank (ECB) ke do potential rate cuts ke hawale se speculation ko barhaya.

EUR/JPY ne Friday ke early Asian session mein 163.55 ke qareeb soft note par trade kiya. Cross ne 100-period EMA ke upar apna uptrend dobara shuru kiya aur bullish RSI indicator ke sath mazid barh gaya.
Immediate resistance level 164.00 par ubharta hai; 163.10-163.00 ka region initial support level ka kirdar ada karta hai.
EUR/JPY cross ne Friday ko early European session ke dauran 163.55 ke qareeb kamzor trade kiya, apni char dinon ki winning streak ko tor diya. Japanese Yen (JPY) ne mazeed barh kar kuch strength hasil ki jab Japan ka second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 mein anticipated se zyada barh kar 0.8% QoQ par aya. Encouraging GDP growth numbers Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke nazdeek waqt mein interest rate hike ke chances ko support karte hain.

Cross ne apna uptrend 4-hour chart par dobara shuru kiya, jahan price key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) ke upar hold kar rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke upar 68.50 ke qareeb khada hai, jo ke bearish vibes ki darshani karta hai.

Potential upside barrier EUR/JPY ke liye 164.00 psychological mark par ubharta hai. Agar yeh level sustained break hota hai to yeh wapas 164.89 tak climb ke continuation ka izhar kar sakta hai, jo ke July 25 ka low tha. Extended gains se July 31 ke high 166.56 tak rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Dosri taraf, 163.10-163.00 ka zone cross ke liye initial support level ka kirdar ada karta hai. Additional downside filter ko dekhna chahiye jo August 15 ka low 161.95 hai. Agla contention level August 14 ke low 160.59 par dekha ja sakta hai

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.0931 level ko highlight kiya aur is par apne trading decisions ko base kiya. Aaiye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyze karte hain ke kya hua. 1.0931 ke qareeb ki Kami hui, lekin yahan false breakout nahi hua. Is liye, main first half of the day mein market se bahar reh gaya. Technical outlook ko second half of the day ke liye reassess kiya gaya.

EUR/USD ke liye Long Positions Kholne Ke Liye:
Euro ne ZEW index data ke response mein predictably Kami ki, phir pressure ease hui, market ko stabilize kiya. Traders ke paas clear guidance nahi hai, jo market volatility ko affect karta hai. Second half of the day mein, hum U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) aur NFIB Small Business Optimism Index ke report ki ummeed karte hain. FOMC member Raphael Bostic ka speech bhi attention attract karega, especially agar data mein producer prices ki Kami dikhai deti hai, September mein half-point rate cut ke argument ko strengthen karti hai. Long positions kholne ke liye, main decline ki ummeed karta hoon aur new support level 1.0911 ke qareeb false breakout ki formation ki ummeed karta hoon.

EUR/USD ke liye Short Positions Kholne Ke Liye:
Sellers ne control maintain kiya. 1.0940 ko defend karna aur false breakout se short positions kholna appropriate scenario hoga. Target 1.0911 ke support tak Kami hoga. Breakout aur consolidation is range ke neeche, bottom-up retest ke saath, another selling point provide karega 1.0884 ke qareeb, jahan main buyer interest ki ummeed karta hoon. Sab se dur target 1.0855 ke area hoga, jahan main profit lena plan karta hoon

EUR/USD ne 1.0958 ki demand area ko penetrate karne mein nakam hone ke baad phir se izafa dekhaya. Kal Friday ko EUR/USD ki movement kaafi zyada thi kyunki candle ne 1.0971 se 1.1028 tak move kiya. Agar yeh calculate kiya jaye, toh iska matlab hai ke EUR/USD kareeban 60 pips upar gaya. Thoda aur izafa, aur candle 1.1048 ke resistance ko touch kar legi. Do din pehle EUR/USD ki movement kaafi neeche chali gayi thi, lekin yeh zyada dair tak nahi rahi kyunki movement sirf 1.0958 tak gayi. Shayad EUR/USD ka yeh girna sirf ek correction tha.

Agar h1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh meri prediction yeh hai ke jab tak demand area 1.0958 par penetrate nahi hota, EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi kaafi zyada hain. Lekin kyunki candle ab shoulder area mein hai, mujhe ehtiyaat karni chahiye, kyunki yahan se ek retracement ho sakta hai jo EUR/USD ko phir se neeche la sakta hai. Shoulder ka area 1.1028 par hai. Agar waqai mein EUR/USD shoulder area mein reverse hota hai, toh yeh pehle 1.0930 par gir sakta hai. Mera umeed hai ke shoulder area jaldi penetrate ho jaye kyunki lambi muddat mein meri prediction yeh hai ke EUR/USD upar jayega.



Ichimoku indicator se dekha jaye toh candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke aane wale waqt mein EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuki hai aur iska color brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke buyer ka pressure zyada ho raha hai. Lekin candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh dono lines cross kar jayein aur EUR/USD phir se neeche gir jaye.

Stochastic indicator se bhi yeh idea milta hai ke EUR/USD overbought condition mein hai, kyunki line ne h1 timeframe par 80 level ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin abhi ke liye yeh line upar ki taraf hai, chahe condition overbought hi kyu na ho. Filhaal koi neeche jane ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Neeche girne ki condition tab hogi jab yeh line neeche ki taraf move karegi.

Pair ne is haftay ek setback ka samna kiya, jab yeh 1.1017 mark se upar chalay janay ke baad sharply retract kar gaya. Is haftay ke shuru mein jo rally hui thi, woh bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahi, jis se pair ek descending price channel ke upper edge par oscillate kar raha hai. Market participants is waqt apni positions ko US Dollar par assess kar rahe hain, jo recent Federal Reserve officials ke bayanaat se heavily impact hui hain.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne inflation par recent progress ko highlight kiya, jo Fed ke policy direction ke bare mein kuch insight de raha tha. Powell ke remarks ke baad, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne bhi kuch commentary di, lekin unka bayan itna impactful nahi tha. Dono policymakers ne emphasize kiya ke Fed rate cuts ke decisions meeting-by-meeting basis par kiye jayenge, aur is baat ka koi fixed schedule nahi hai ke yeh cuts kab honge. Traders bohot closely mid-tier US data, jaise ke Existing Home Sales Change for June, ke release ko watch karenge. Lekin traders ka primary focus Wednesday ke Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports par hoga. EU ke Manufacturing aur Services PMI for July se thodi increase ki umeed hai, jisme Services PMI pichlay maheenay ke 52.8 se barh kar 53.0 hone ka andaza hai.

Tuesday ko pair ka trading near-term technical levels ke andar raha, jo 1.0926 ke 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se thoda upar fluctuate kar raha tha. Pair ne recent highs jo ke 1.1050 ke qareeb the, se retrace kiya, kyunke Greenback ki strength kamzor hui hai. Is ke bawajood, descending channel ka upper range ab bhi within reach hai.Wahin, ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, candle position ab tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo is baat ka signal de raha hai ke future mein EUR/USD ke barhne ka chance ab bhi hai. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuka hai aur uska rang brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi ek sign hai ke buyer pressure mazid strong ho raha hai. Magar, candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh mumkin hai ke yeh do lines intersect karen aur EUR/USD dobara se neeche chale jaye.

Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, EUR/USD abhi overbought state mein hai. H1 timeframe se dekhne par line ne level 80 ko penetrate kar liya hai. Filhal line ab bhi upar ki taraf face kar rahi hai, halaankeh condition overbought hai. Filhal ke liye, neeche janay ke koi signs nahi hain. Neeche ki movement tab hogi jab line neeche ki taraf face karegi.Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke EUR/USD currency pair Monday ko ab bhi barhne ka chance rakhta hai, lekin candle line ko shoulder area par 1.1028 ke price par penetrate karna hoga. Agar yeh area penetrate nahi hota, to iska matlab hai ke EUR/USD dobara se neeche chala jaye ga. Kyunke trend ab bhi bullish hai, main ab bhi buy position open karne ki recommendation karta hoon. Aap apna take profit target qareebi resistance par 1.1243 ke price par rakh sakte hain aur apna stop loss qareebi support par 1.0945 ke price par rakh sakte hain.

Meri subah ke forecast mein, maine 1.0931 ke level par focus kiya aur us point se trading decisions lene ka plan banaya. Humein 5-minute chart ka jaiza lena chahiye aur dekhna chahiye ke kya hua. Price 1.0931 ke area tak uthi, lekin koi false breakout nahi hua, isliye maine din ke pehle half mein market mein entry nahi di. Nateeja yeh raha ke maine subah ke session ke dauran koi trades nahi ki. Technical picture ko din ke doosre half ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.
**EUR/USD par Long Positions kholne ke liye:**
Germany aur Italy se aayi data ne expected volatility spike ko trigger nahi kiya. Chunan, jab tak dopahar mein koi significant statistics nahi hain, hafte ka end kafi dull aur uneventful ho sakta hai. Isliye, main market mein enter karne ke liye jaldi nahi karunga. Main decline aur naye support level 1.0907 ke aas paas ek false breakout ka intezaar karunga, jo kal ke results ke basis par bana hai. Target hoga upar jana aur naye resistance 1.0931 ka retest karna, jahan main expect karta hoon ke sellers emerge karna shuru karenge. Is range ka breakout aur baad mein top se bottom tak ka retest pair ko strengthen kar sakta hai, 1.0958 ki taraf rise ka chance dekar. Sabse door target 1.0985 hoga, jahan main profits fix karunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karti hai aur doosre half of the day mein 1.0907 ke aas paas koi activity nahi hoti, to sellers initiative ko wapas le sakte hain aur downward trend build karna shuru kar sakte hain. Is case mein, main sirf 1.0884 ke aas paas ek false breakout ke baad entry consider karunga. Main 1.0855 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon, intraday correction ka target 30-35 points hoga.

**EUR/USD par Short Positions kholne ke liye:**
Sellers abhi bhi initiative ko maintain kar rahe hain. Jab tak significant U.S. statistics nahi hain, 1.0931 ko false breakout ke saath defend karna short positions kholne ke liye ek suitable scenario hoga, jiska target 1.0907 ke support tak girna hoga, jo kal ke results ke basis par bana hai. Is range ka breakout aur iske neeche consolidation ke baad, neeche se upar ka retest selling ke liye ek aur entry point provide karega, jahan movement 1.0884 ki taraf hoga, jahan main expect karta hoon ke zyada active buyers dekhenge. Sabse door target 1.0855 hoga, jahan main profits fix karunga. Is level ka test buyers ke uptrend banane ke plans ko negate karega. Agar EUR/USD din ke doosre half mein upar jati hai aur 1.0931 par bears nahi hote, to buyers ko initiative wapas milne ka chance hoga. Is case mein, main sales ko agle resistance 1.0958 ke test tak postpone kar dunga. Main wahan bhi act karne ka plan bana raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main 1.0985 se rebound par short positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon

Ye Euro dhire dhire upwards ki taraf crawl kar raha hai, traders ke nerves ko test kar raha hai, dono buyers aur sellers ke liye. Sellers decline ka wait kar rahe hain, aur ye price fluctuations unhe constantly worry kar rahi hain. Buyers, on the other hand, impatient hain price ko apne target levels par pahunchane ke liye, aur har pullback unke position par emotional decision-making karne par majboor kar raha hai.

Abhi tak, sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chal raha hai. Humare paas upside ke liye kai signals hain, sab higher timeframe par H4 (ya even daily) ke hisab se. Hourly timeframe par bhi signal hai aur M15 par bhi. Pehle chart mein, main M15 par discussion kar raha hoon aur socha tha ki ye kal play out hoga. Purple bar 1.09456 ke level par precisely is signal ka potential dikha raha hai. Is signal ke boundaries Fibonacci levels 0.0% aur 100% se mark kiye gaye hain. Humare case mein, 100% targets represent karta hai, jabki 0.0% risk level 1.08812 par hai. Jab tak inmein se koi level reach nahi hota, signal idea valid rehta hai.

Agar Euro decide karta hai deeper pullback karne aur target levels reach nahi kar paata, to phir long positions enter karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai 1.09026 aur/or 1.08964 ke level se. Pehle case mein, risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 2 hoga, aur doosre case mein 1 to 3. Currently, humare paas M15 timeframe par sell signal hai. Lekin hum yahan sells mein enter nahi kar rahe hain. Signal either play out ho sakta hai ya correction ke baad reversal mein badal sakta hai. Agar abhi buys enter kiye jayein, to risk level choose karne mein difficulty hogi. Maine fractals ko red rectangles mein mark kiya hai, unki bahut sari hain, aur unclear hai kon sa best hai risks ko place karne ke liye. Last one ke peechhe try ki ja sakti hai, jo currently sell signal de raha hai. Agar reversal nikla, to short stop-loss ke saath good residual potential capture ki ja sakti hai. Lekin correct risk overall is idea mein 1.08812 ke level ke beyond honi chahiye. Is liye, humein surprise nahi hona chahiye agar Euro suddenly liquidity grab karke 1.09026 aur/or 1.08964 ke levels par pahunch jaye
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Market Overview

EURUSD pair filhal H4 timeframe par strong bullish trend ko dikha raha hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows form kiye hain, jo sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels

Immediate Support: 1.0910 level ne past mein strong support ka role ada kiya hai aur yeh potential entry point ke liye retest ho sakta hai.

Strong Support: 1.0850 level deeper correction ke case mein more significant support zone ka role ada kar sakta hai.

Immediate Resistance: 1.1030 level ne resistance ka role ada kiya hai, lekin current bullish momentum ke liye yeh soon break ho sakta hai.

Strong Resistance: 1.1030 ke above clear resistance level nahi hai, jo further upside ke potential ko indicate karta hai.

Indicators

RSI (14): 72.24 par, RSI overbought territory mein hai, jo uptrend ki exhaustion ko suggest karta hai. Lekin RSI extended period ke liye overbought conditions mein reh gaya hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke above hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Histogram expanding hai, jo increasing bullish momentum ko suggest karta hai.

Order Blocks

Potential Order Block: 1.0910 support level potential order block ke liye act kar sakta hai. Is level ke retest ke saath bullish reversal pattern high-probability entry ho sakta hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.0970 ke price action potential order block form kar sakta hai agar price is level par retrace karta hai. Lekin current bullish momentum ke liye yeh less likely hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling

Buy: 1.0910 support level par price pullback ke saath bullish reversal signs ke liye potential buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai.

Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin 1.1030 resistance level par bearish engulfing pattern ke liye potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai, lekin yeh current bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

Additional Considerations

EURUSD pair strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko long positions ke liye focus karna chahiye. RSI ko divergence ke signs ke liye aur MACD ko potential bearish signals ke liye monitor karna zaroori hai. Additionally, order blocks ko potential trading opportunities ke liye monitor karna chahiye

EUR/USD par 1.1050 ke aas-paas jana mushkil lag raha hai, lekin jo baat hai woh yeh ke ek retest ho sakta hai aur shayad 1.1050 aur 70 tak update ho sakta hai. Main volumes ko dekh kar keh raha hoon ke hum north ki taraf wahan tak pull kar sakte hain, lekin agar same volumes ko dekhein, to growth ke liye zyada kuch nahi hai, aur complex reversal south ki taraf shuru ho sakti hai! Naye hafte mein, Weekly candle north ki taraf shadow de sakti hai aur is candle ko absorb kar sakti hai! Yeh bhi ek option ho sakta hai, lekin main yeh kehna chahunga ke jaldi mat karein, ek ya do din next week mein dekhenge ke kya hota hai. Mera khayal hai ke growth ka foundation nahi hoga! Ya phir umeed hai ke aisa nahi hoga!

Pair ke saath achhi luck ho, main 1.1050-70 ke strong resistance level se sales dekhne ki koshish karunga. Next week mein pair ke saath luck ho, main sochta hoon ke buy karna late hai aur sell karna jaldi hai, lekin aap pehle se sale level estimate kar sakte hain. Jumeraat ko EUR/USD pair ne upar ki taraf achha movement kiya. Agar daily time period ko dekhein, to previous maximum 1.1047 ke nazdeek hai. Haan, RSI upar dekh raha hai, lekin stochastic down ki taraf hai, jo weak signal hai. Ek bearish butterfly bhi hai jo agle hafte work out kar sakti hai. Dekhna padega. Agar growth agle hafte mein continue hoti hai, to last maximum update hoga, lekin phir butterfly update ho sakti hai aur downward reversal ka attempt ho sakta hai.

Agar decline hoti hai, to shayad pehle upper MA (1.0967) par wapas aa sakte hain. Wahan dekhna hoga ke price niche break kar sakti hai ya nahi. Agar break hota hai, to decline aage bhi ho sakti hai, lower MA aur average Bollinger ke area tak (1.0917/0899). Inke aas-paas bhi dekhna padega ke price immediately niche jaati hai ya nahi. Agar aur decline hoti hai, to lower Bollinger band ke direction mein (1.0777) bhi dekhna padega.

Trading mein sabko good luck.

Is hafte pair ko ek rukawat ka samna karna pada, jo 1.1017 ke mark se upar kuch waqt ke liye barhne ke baad tezi se gir gaya. Is hafte ki shuruat mein hui rally bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahi, jisse pair ek girti hui price channel ke upar ke kinare par oscillate kar raha hai. Abhi market participants US Dollar par apne positions ko assess kar rahe hain, jo Federal Reserve officials ke recent statements se kafi mutasir hue hain.
**Fed ke Policy Insights aur Key Economic Data Jo Dekhne Wali Hai:**

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne inflation ke recent progress par roshni daali, jo Fed ki policy direction ke bare mein kuch insight diya. Powell ke bayanat ke baad, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne bhi commentary di, lekin unke bayanat kam mutasir rahe. Dono policymakers ne kaha ke Fed rate cuts ke faisle har meeting ke dauran liye jayenge, aur in cuts ka koi fixed schedule nahi hai.

Traders mid-tier US data, including Existing Home Sales Change for June, ko nazar mein rakhenge. Lekin traders ka primary focus Wednesday ko aane wale Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports par hoga. EU ke Manufacturing aur Services PMI for July mein halka sa izafa hone ki umeed hai, jahan Services PMI 52.8 se barh kar 53.0 hone ka tajwez hai.

**EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis:**


Tuesday ko, pair trading ne near-term technical levels ke andar hi rahe kar trade kiya, 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0926 ke just upar fluctuate karta raha. Pair ne 1.1050 ke aas-paas ke recent highs se retrace kiya hai, kyunke Greenback ki strength kam hui hai. Is ke bawajood, descending channel ke upar lines intersect karen aur EUR/USD ko phir se gira de.
Stochastic indicator se bhi ye pata chalta hai ke EUR/USD ab overbought state mein hai. H1 timeframe par line level 80 ko penetrate kar chuki hai. Lekin, filhal line ab bhi upar ki taraf hai, halanki condition overbought hai. Jab tak line neeche ki taraf nahi jaati, tab tak koi girawat nahi hai.

Toh, aaj ke analysis ka nishkarsh ye hai ke EUR/USD currency pair Monday ko bhi barhne ke mauke mein hai, magar candle line ko shoulder area 1.1028 ko penetrate karna hoga. Agar ye area penetrate nahi hota, to EUR abhi bhi dastiyab hai.