یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

**EUR/USD Pair Analysis**

**Daily Chart Analysis**

EUR/USD pair ne recent sessions mein notable activity dikhayi hai, jahan traders technical signals aur economic indicators ke hawale se react kar rahe hain. Abhi pair 1.1110 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ek naya 13-month high 1.1203 ke paas hit kar chuka hai. Yeh US Dollar ki broad weakness aur Federal Reserve (Fed) policies ke future speculation ki wajah se hua hai.

Daily chart ko dekhen to EUR/USD pair ne pichle kuch hafton mein remarkable strength dikhayi hai. August maheenay mein euro kaafi strong raha hai, aur is mahine mein pair ne 3% se zyada ki appreciation dikhayi hai. Yeh surge pair ko 2024 ke highest levels ke kareeb le aayi hai. Daily chart par ek clear breakout dekha gaya hai jo channel formation se hua hai, jo ek strong signal hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Sab key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) alag-alag time frames (short-term, medium-term, aur long-term) par upar ki taraf hain. Yeh EMAs ka alignment confirm karta hai ke pair well-supported hai aur overall trend bullish hai.

Resistance ki baat karein to pair 1.1141 par ek significant barrier face kar raha hai, jo late December 2023 ka highest level tha. Agar yeh level breach ho jata hai, to agla target 1.1204 mark hoga, jo psychologically important number hai. Downside par, 1.1050 ek crucial support level hai, aur 1.0951 deeper support hai jo traders monitor karenge agar pair apni current gains ko reverse kare.

**Hourly Chart Evaluation**

Hourly chart par, pair ne critical support level 1.1050 ke upar apni position maintain ki hui hai, jo ek strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Recently, EUR/USD ne 1.1110 level ko break kiya, jo clear upward movement ko dikhata hai. Lekin, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke is rally ke bawajood, pair ne consistently is level ko upar nahi rakha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke current highs ko maintain karne mein struggle ho sakta hai. Pair ne ek "quasi bearish harami" pattern bhi form kiya hai, jo ek two-candle formation hota hai jo uptrend mein hesitation ko signal karta hai. Is formation ke bawajood, bulls ne price ko significantly neeche nahi push kiya, matlab overall market sentiment cautiously optimistic hai. Agar pair 1.1150 ke upar break kar sakta hai, to yeh uptrend ke continuation ko signal kar sakta hai. Hourly chart par 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60 aur 80 ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai lekin overbought conditions ke kareeb bhi hai. RSI ne overbought territory se exit kar liya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke jabke pair ke pass climb karne ki jagah hai, traders ko potential pullback ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

/USD Traders Ki Nazar US Economic Data Par:**
EUR/USD traders kal ke liye aanewale key US economic data par nazar rakh rahe hain. Is haftay pair ne 1.105 ke aas-paas support paaya hai, jab ke August mein ek saal ka high chhoda tha. Agar key resistance level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pair aur upar ja sakti hai, jo kal ke key positions report par depend karega.

EUR/USD traders is haftay ke US economic data ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain kyun ke recession ke dar se badh rahe hain. Jabke focus critical tasks par hai, pair ka direction is baat par depend karta hai ke data Fed ke pehle rate cut ke size ke liye expectations ko kaise shape karta hai.

Kal release hui Beige Book ne country ke across economic activity mein slowdown par attention draw kiya. Saath hi, JOLTs report ne jobs mein kami dikhayi, jo 7.91 million se ghat kar 7.67 million tak aa gayi, yeh January 2021 ke baad ka sabse low level hai.

Ye data points economy ke soft landing ke idea ko challenge kar rahe hain. Iska nateeja yeh hua ke markets ne is mahine 50 basis points Fed rate hike ke odds ko phir se assess karna shuru kar diya. US dollar, jo pichle haftay 102 tak partially recover hua tha, is haftay half a point gir kar 101.2 ke aas-paas aa gaya hai.

Aaj bhi data sheet bharpoor hai aur kal ke non-farm payrolls aur unemployment rate reports ke pehle kaafi data release honay wala hai. Market sentiment abhi bhi growth signals ke liye bohot sensitive hai, aur kal ke employment data EUR/USD pair ke future direction ko determine karne mein ek key role ada karega.

**Technical View:**

EUR/USD ne late August mein ek saal ka high 1.12 chhoda tha aur tab se yeh pair is haftay 1.105 ke aas-paas support pa rahi hai jaise critical economic data aati ja rahi hai. Kal, euro ki demand ne pair ko 1.1075 tak utha diya, jo ke naye strength ki taraf ishara hai.

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.
EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai
EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuki hai aur iska color brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke buyer ka pressure zyada ho raha hai. Lekin candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh dono lines cross kar jayein aur EUR/USD phir se neeche gir jaye.
Stochastic indicator se bhi yeh idea milta hai ke EUR/USD overbought condition mein hai, kyunki line ne h1 timeframe par 80 level ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin abhi ke liye yeh line upar ki taraf hai, chahe condition overbought hi kyu na ho. Filhaal koi neeche jane ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Neeche girne ki condition tab hogi jab yeh line neeche ki taraf move karegi.

### EUR/USD Ka Taja Halaat

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ucha chada, jab markets ne Greenback ko becha. Ab markets risk-on position mein hain kyunke Fed ke rate cut ke ummed barh gayi hain. US jobs data market ki movement ko dominate kar raha hai, aur investors NFP ke intezar mein hain.

### Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek rebound dekha, jab recent selloff ke baad 1.1050 se technical support mila. Halankeh midweek mein price action upar ki taraf tha, phir bhi yeh pair 1.1100 ke handle ke neeche atka hua hai. US jobs data is haftay ka key focus bana rahega, khaaskar Friday ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke qabul se pehle.

### European Data

European Retail Sales is haftay ke EU side se ek hi ahem data print hai. Thursday ko, pan-EU Retail Sales figures July mein 0.1% YoY recover hone ki ummed hai, jo pehle -0.3% contraction ke muqablay mein behtar hai.

### US Data

US JOLTS Job Openings July mein expectation se kam rahe, 7.673 million available jobs add hue, jabke forecast 8.1 million tha. Pehle mahine ke revised 7.91 million ke muqablay mein yeh kam hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) se ummed hai ke wo September 18 ko interest rates cut karega, aur markets 50 bps cut ke bets mein hain. Rate markets ab bhi 2024 ke end tak 100 bps ke total cuts price kar rahe hain, lekin CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq September ke rate call mein 25 bps cut hone ka 57% chance hai.

### NFP Report

Friday ka US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report badi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur yeh Fed ke pehle rate cut se pehle ka aakhri key US labor data hai. NFP ka print market expectations ko determine karega, aur investors ke liye ek naye rate-cutting cycle ka shuruat is mahine ke liye fully priced in hai.

### EUR/USD Price Forecast

Fiber ne phir se short-term technical barriers ko face kiya hai, lekin bidders bullish chart paper ko hold karne ke liye koshish kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ne pichle hafte ek 13-month high ko cross kiya tha, aur ab Greenback flows mein near-term pullback dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Pair ab bhi 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0845 par hai. Halankeh bullish territory mein hai, EUR/USD ab bhi bearish pullback ka samna kar raha hai, aur shorts ne targets 50-day EMA ke just upar 1.0956 ke aas-paas rakhe hain

EUR/USD Pair Analysis**
**Daily Chart Analysis**

EUR/USD pair ne recent sessions mein notable activity dikhayi hai, jahan traders technical signals aur economic indicators ke hawale se react kar rahe hain. Abhi pair 1.1110 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ek naya 13-month high 1.1203 ke paas hit kar chuka hai. Yeh US Dollar ki broad weakness aur Federal Reserve (Fed) policies ke future speculation ki wajah se hua hai.

Daily chart ko dekhen to EUR/USD pair ne pichle kuch hafton mein remarkable strength dikhayi hai. August maheenay mein euro kaafi strong raha hai, aur is mahine mein pair ne 3% se zyada ki appreciation dikhayi hai. Yeh surge pair ko 2024 ke highest levels ke kareeb le aayi hai. Daily chart par ek clear breakout dekha gaya hai jo channel formation se hua hai, jo ek strong signal hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Sab key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) alag-alag time frames (short-term, medium-term, aur long-term) par upar ki taraf hain. Yeh EMAs ka alignment confirm karta hai ke pair well-supported hai aur overall trend bullish hai.

Resistance ki baat karein to pair 1.1141 par ek significant barrier face kar raha hai, jo late December 2023 ka highest level tha. Agar yeh level breach ho jata hai, to agla target 1.1204 mark hoga, jo psychologically important number hai. Downside par, 1.1050 ek crucial support level hai, aur 1.0951 deeper support hai jo traders monitor karenge agar pair apni current gains ko reverse kare.

**Hourly Chart Evaluation**

Hourly chart par, pair ne critical support level 1.1050 ke upar apni position maintain ki hui hai, jo ek strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Recently, EUR/USD ne 1.1110 level ko break kiya, jo clear upward movement ko dikhata hai. Lekin, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke is rally ke bawajood, pair ne consistently is level ko upar nahi rakha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke current highs ko maintain karne mein struggle ho sakta hai. Pair ne ek "quasi bearish harami" pattern bhi form kiya hai, jo ek two-candle formation hota hai jo uptrend mein hesitation ko signal karta hai. Is formation ke bawajood, bulls ne price ko significantly neeche nahi push kiya, matlab overall market sentiment cautiously optimistic hai. Agar pair 1.1150 ke upar break kar sakta hai, to yeh uptrend ke continuation ko signal kar sakta hai. Hourly chart par 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60 aur 80 ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai lekin overbought conditions ke kareeb bhi hai. RSI ne overbought territory se exit kar liya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke jabke pair ke pass climb karne

EUR/USD ko dabao ka samna karna par raha hai jab Euro ECB ke rate cuts ke imkaanat ke bawajood kamzor hota hai. Eurozone ki kamzor ma'eeshat ECB ke September ke liye rate cut ke bets ko support karti hai. US Dollar apni position ko mazbooti se wapas hasil karta hai jab US core PCE inflation data par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1150 ke qareeb thoda correct hota hai. Yeh major currency pair tab girta hai jab US Dollar (USD) apni position ko wapas hasil karta hai jo is hafte ke naye saal ke low par pahunch gaya tha. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke 6 bade currencies ke khilaf value ko track karta hai, naye lows 100.50 se thoda upar 100.80 ke qareeb chala gaya hai.
US Dollar ki halki recovery abhi ke liye ek chhoti si pullback lagti hai, jo market participants ke liye bechne ke mauke ke taur par istemal ho sakta hai. Greenback ka near-term outlook abhi bhi fragile hai, khas taur par Fed ke September mein interest rates kam karne ki umeed par.

Jab Fed ke September mein rate cuts ko traders ne puri tarah se price in kar liya hai, bets ab bhi is baat par divided hain ke central bank dheere dheere 25 basis points (bps) ka cut karega ya 50 bps ka bada cut. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50-bps ke interest rate reduction ka imkaan 34.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ke cut ko zyada support milta hai.

Rate-cut size ke fresh cues ke liye, investors Friday ko United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) data ka intezar kar rahe hain. PCE Price Index report ka andaza hai ke annual core inflation 2.7% tak barh jayegi, jo June ke reading 2.6% se upar hai, aur monthly figures steady 0.2% se barh rahi hain. Agar underlying inflation mein mazeed kami dekhne ko milti hai, to Fed ke aggressive policy-easing approach ki umeed barh jayegi. Iske baraks, agar figures sticky rahte hain to jumbo rate-cut ke scenarios kamzor ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD naye highs 1.1200 se girti hai jab Euro (EUR) kamzor hota hai. Euro apne major peers ke muqablay mein underperform karta hai kyunki investors ka confidence hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates phir se kam karega.

ECB ne June mein interest rates ko kam karna shuru kiya jab policymakers ko lagta hai ke Eurozone mein price pressures 2025 tak bank ke 2% target par wapas aayengi. Lekin, July mein isne key borrowing rates ko unchanged rakhna decide kiya kyunki officials ko dar tha ke aggressive policy easing inflationary pressures ko dobara badha sakti hai. EUR/USD 1.1200 par naye swing high se gir kar 1.1150 ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Major currency pair ka broader outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki yeh weekly time frame par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ka breakout hold karta hai. Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, mazeed upside support karta hai

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior par baat aur analysis kar rahe hain. Main daily chart ko zoom out karunga taake long-term sideways channel ko highlight kar saku, jo ke monthly support aur resistance zones ke darmiyan hai. Hum is range mein ek saal se zyada arsay se trade kar rahe hain, aur mera primary target monthly resistance zone ki upper boundary hai. Aane wala movement is baat par depend karta hai ke hum is area ko kaise navigate karte hain—ya toh hum is sideways channel ke andar downward trading algorithm develop karenge, ya phir is zone ke upar break karke bullish trend ko continue karenge. Lekin, yeh sirf meri raye hai. Agle hafte critical EU ka inflation data EUR/USD exchange rate par asar daalega. Forecast ke mutabiq monthly inflation rate 0.1% hai jo ke koi bara market reaction trigger nahi karega, kyunke yeh European Central Bank (ECB) ke rate ko kam karne ke plans ko mutasir nahi karega.
Buyers ne umeed se zyada achi performance dikhayi. Bullish momentum sirf tab mazid strong hota jab predictions 1.10 par hoti, aur maximum move December ke high 1.1139 tak hoti. Khabaron ki wajah se kuch pullbacks ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair ne bullish direction ko wapas hasil kar liya. Aap theek thay twelfth figure ke baray mein, halaan ke move utni tezi se nahi hui jitni kuch logon ne umeed ki thi. Jab ke euro ne thore bearish pullbacks kiye, dollar struggling position mein hai aur lagbhag sabhi currencies ke muqable mein ground lose kar raha hai, siwai kuch cross pairs ke. Bulls ne confidently 1.1049 ko weekly time frame par break kiya hai, aur yeh kam hai ke bears foran price ko neeche push karenge. Situation kafi dramatic tor par badal gayi hai, aur July 2023 ka high 1.1269 ab qareeb hai. Halaanki, bears asani se surrender nahi karenge, lekin phir bhi main is possibility ko consider karta hoon. Agar bulls market opening par tezi se twelfth figure tak pohanch gaye bina momentum lose kiye, toh hum seedha 1.1269 tak move dekh sak hain.
EUR/USD pair key support levels ko approach kar raha hai. Agar yeh levels breach ho jate hain, to yeh further downside ko lead kar sakta hai. Lekin agar pair support finds karta hai aur in levels ko hold karne mein successful hota hai, to yeh reversal ki potential ko signal kar sakta hai. Traders aur investors 1.1100 level ko closely watch kar rahe hain, jo historically strong support zone ka role ada karta hai. Is level ke neeche break ho sakta hai, jo further declines ko open kar sakta hai, possibly 1.1000 level ki taraf. Conversely, agar pair is support se bounce karta hai, to yeh recovery ki shuruaat ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Spot price ne 1.1050 ke key support level ke upar stability barqarar rakhi. Yeh pair Friday ke din ke banaye gaye range mein trade karta raha, jabke investors closely dekh rahe hain ke ECB aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki interest rates mein kya tabdeeliyan ho sakti hain baaki saal ke liye.
Market ka Focus September Rate Cut ke Prospects par:

Markets ka main focus ab September interest rate cut ke prospects par hai. Current market expectations ne fully price kiya hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting 18 September ko rate-cutting cycle shuru kar sakti hai. Lekin, pehli baar 50 basis points cut hone ki sambhavana thori kam hui hai, ab yeh chances 50% se thoda zyada hain, jabke pehle is hafte ke shuru mein yeh nearly 70% the. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders 53.5% probability de rahe hain ke September mein 50 basis points cut hoga, aur 2024 ke end tak do additional 25 basis points cuts ki bhi ummeed hai.

US Job Data ne Economic Concerns ko Kam kiya Better-Than-Expected Claims ke Saath:

US labor market se recent data ne economic weakness ke concerns ko kam kar diya hai. August 2 ko khatam hone wale hafte ke liye Initial Jobless Claims ki kam hone wali figures ne 233,000 tak drop kiya, jo forecasted 240,000 aur pehle ke figure 250,000 se zyada achha hai (jo pehle 249,000 se revise hua tha). TD Securities ke head of US rates strategy Gennadiy Goldberg ne data par positive comments diye, kehte hue, “Yeh markets ke liye ek bohot positive print hai. Yeh yeh reinforce karta hai ke labor market ka momentum usi tarah se slow nahi ho raha hai jaisa payroll report se laga, aur yeh bhi reinforce karta hai ke economy mein bahut zyada layoffs nahi ho rahe.”

H1 Chart EUR/USD ko Positive Signals ke Baawajood Mushkil Hoti Hai:

Friday ko, pair ne apni late rebound ko 1.1050 ke low se banaya, lekin Asian session mein upward momentum banaye rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya. Market ke band hone par, pair 1.1046 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, din ke liye 0.55% se zyada girawat ke saath. Yeh girawat ek recent winning streak ko khatam kar rahi thi aur pair ko key 1.1100 level ke neeche le gayi, jo suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum shayad kam ho raha hai. Pair ab shayad ek downward trend mein wapas ja sakta hai jo iske 2024 ke performance ko characterize karta hai.

Recent bounce Thursday ko 1.1150 resistance level se jo ab support ban gaya hai, bullish traders ko faida de raha hai. Iske ilawa, hourly chart par technical indicators achhe signals de rahe hain aur abhi tak overbought conditions tak nahi pahunche hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD pair mein ab bhi additional gains ki potential ho sakti hai

EURUSD dusre din ke liye niche trade kar rahi hai aur blue moving average ke neeche wapas aa gayi hai chaar ghante ke chart par, jo ke continued decline ka ishara hai, aur support 1.0877 par mil raha hai. Is measure par poora bharosa nahi hai. Indicators already bohot strong oversold conditions dikhate hain, aur bulls ke market mein wapas aane ki possibility ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Isliye, agar quotes 1.0877 level ke neeche rehti hain, to main downward trend ke continue hone ki ummeed karta hoon. Doosri scenario ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye, agar quotes 1.0927 resistance ke upar wapas aati hain, to main long-term rise aur ek aur uchaai ki ummeed karta hoon.
EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.
Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge.
Iske ilawa, technical analysis ke context mein, yeh scenario naye participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo pehle cautious ya bullish trend ke confirmation ka wait kar rahe the. In technical indicators ka alignment unhe confirmation data hai, jo ek stronger conviction offer karta hai ke uptrend sustainable hai. Yeh increased participation bullish momentum ko further fuel kar sakta hai, jise naye buyers existing upward pressure ko add karte hain.
Summary yeh hai ke price ka 100-period SMA ke upar hona weekly chart par, aur positive oscillator readings ke sath, currency pair ke liye strong bullish momentum ka indication hai. Yeh technical setup yeh darshata hai ke upward pressure likely hai ke continue rahega, kyunki yeh price action aur momentum indicators dono ke sath well-supported trend ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors isse bullish signal ke roop mein dekhenge, jo continued buying aur near term mein further price appreciation ki taraf le ja sakta hai
EUR/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain. Iske ilawa, white kumo penetrate ho chuki hai aur iska color brown mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke buyer ka pressure zyada ho raha hai. Lekin candle ke shoulder area mein rukne se yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh dono lines cross kar jayein aur EUR/USD phir se neeche gir jaye.
Stochastic indicator se bhi yeh idea milta hai ke EUR/USD overbought condition mein hai, kyunki line ne h1 timeframe par 80 level ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin abhi ke liye yeh line upar ki taraf hai, chahe condition overbought hi kyu na ho. Filhaal koi neeche jane ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Neeche girne ki condition tab hogi jab yeh line neeche ki taraf move karegi.

EUR/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast
**M15 Minutes**

Sab ko din ki khushiyan! M15 chart par linear regression channel ka slope upar ki taraf hai, jo buyer ke strength ko dikhata hai jo 1.11274 ke level tak barhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Target tak pohnchne par, movement dheemi ho jayegi. Kamzor hone ki wajah se volatility chuni jayegi, market dheemi ho jayegi, aur correction ki zaroorat hogi. Channel ke upper part ko purchases ke liye nahi dekhna chahiye, aapko 1.11025 tak correction ka intezar karna chahiye, jahan aap purchases consider kar sakte hain. Agar 1.11025 ke neeche fixation hoti hai, to bearish market apni presence dikhayegi, jo market ko neeche le ja sakti hai. Isliye, is context mein purchases ko interest nahi dena chahiye. Channel ka angle bull ki activity ko dikhata hai, zyada angle ka matlab hai ke buyer strong hai. Channel ka strong angle aksar market news ki action ka sign hota hai, jo achi movement ko contribute karta hai.



**H1 Hour**
Main linear regression channel H1 par located hai, aur main is channel ke zariye movements ko determine karta hoon. M15 channel, ek auxiliary channel hai, jo ab bullish picture ko complement kar raha hai aur growing trend ko highlight karta hai. Dono channels ek hi direction mein move kar rahe hain, isse bullish mood ko characterize kiya ja sakta hai. Jab younger period par signal break hota hai, to 1.10630 level tak girne ka intezar karein. Is level se aap purchases ko 1.11237 tak reconsider kar sakte hain. Channel ke upper boundary par, jab bulls maujood hain, main purchases ke liye cautious hoon, aur sales abhi mere liye knives hain. Mere trading ka principle H1 channel ke direction mein trade karna hai, kyun ke yeh mera main channel hai. Younger channel par entry ko clarify karna aur strong movement ke sath kaam karna acha hota hai, jab correction minimal ho.

**Current Developments in EUR/USD**

Hamari analysis ka mawad EUR/USD currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka tajziya hai. Asian high 1.1069 tak pohnchnay ke baad, EUR/USD currency pair ne jaldi se ground khona shuru kar diya. Sellers ne pair ko neeche push kiya lekin yeh 1.1021 ke support level ke upar raha. Agar buyers is level ke upar euro ko barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab rahe, to main umeed karta hoon ke price northward move karegi aur local trend line 1.1059 ki taraf barhegi, jahan se breakthrough ke baad price ko agle resistance level 1.1096 ki taraf barhne ke chances hain. Lekin, agar hourly candle 1.1021 ke neeche close hoti hai, to pair 1.0986 ki taraf girne ke liye aage barh sakti hai. Buyers tab tak strong hain jab tak yeh level barqarar hai, lekin agar yeh break hota hai, to trend shift ho sakta hai. Dono levels aaj ke liye possible hain, jis se outlook uncertain hai, lekin upward trend line ab bhi buying ko favor karti hai. Buyers ko zyada strength milegi jab pair 1.1059 ko break karega, lekin ab bhi wo slight advantage mein hain.

**H4 Hour**

Agar pair H4 candle ko 1.1090 ke upar close karta hai, to naye buyers ko attract karne ki ummeed hai, jo ke stronger bullish trend ka indication hai. Is scenario mein, pair crucial resistance level 1.1200 ko target kar sakti hai. Agar is mark ke upar successful breakout hota hai, to uptrend continue ho sakta hai. Technically, 1.1200 agla objective hai; 1.1080 ke upar break aur hold karna bullish trend ko validate karne ke liye zaroori hai. Aane wale events pair ki trajectory par impact daalenge, isliye traders ko alert rehna chahiye. American session ke dauran trading ka bhi apna importance hai, kyun ke dollar ne kal unfavorable economic news ke bawajood bhi strengthen kiya. Main abhi bhi current price point par selling ke bare mein nahi soch raha, halanke downward trend ko dekh raha hoon. Jab se maine 1.1035 par buy position shuru ki, main sirf upar dekh raha hoon aur umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam se kam 1.12 region ko touch karegi.

Euro/Dollar exchange rate ne sale ka samna kiya jab Eurozone inflation rate expectations ke sath aaya aur region mein unemployment rate unexpectedly gir gaya, lekin rise ab bhi limited rehne ki ummeed hai. Iske mutabiq, Euro/Dollar price 1.1042 ke support level ki taraf gir gaya, 1.1200 ke resistance level se neeche, jahan price ko stabilize karne ki koshish ki gayi taake upward trend ki strength complete ki ja sake, lekin uske baad humne Euro/Dollar ko sell karne ki recommendation di jab iske gains ne technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf move kiya.

**Economic Calendar**


European statistical office Eurostat ne kaha ke Eurozone ka inflation rate annual basis par 2.2% tak pohnch gaya, jo pehle 2.6% tha, aur unemployment rate unexpectedly 6.4% tak gir gaya jo pehle 6.5% tha. Inflation figures ECB ke 2.0% target ki taraf notable drop ko dikhati hain, lekin humare khayal mein investors ko ye concern tha ke yeh aur bhi gir sakta hai Germany aur Spain se negative surprises ke baad jo ke sirf 24 ghante pehle aaye the. Overall, German aur Spanish inflation results ne euro ko kamzor kiya aur markets ko another potential negative surprise ke liye alert kar diya. Consensus reading ne euro mein kuch buying interest ko spark kiya. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne is saal ki sabse kharab performance di. Latest inflation data ne Federal Reserve ke liye interest rates ko is saal kai baar cut karne ke case ko strengthen kiya, swap markets ne year ke end tak 100 basis points ke cuts price kiye hain, lekin sabse bada cut kab hoga yeh abhi bhi uncertain hai. Core price index, jo food aur energy ko exclude karta hai, July mein 0.2% m/m se barh gaya, jo market expectations ke sath align karta hai.

**EUR/USD Prices ke Saath Opportunities**
Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ke review par hai. Daily ascending range ko dekhte hue, agla likely target euro-dollar sellers ke liye 1.0988 level ho sakta hai. Lekin, mujhe EUR/USD ka is level tak directly girne par reservations hain. Agar buyers ascending range ke upper bounds ko test kar rahe hain aur liquidity zone (dotted diamond) ko paar karne ki koshish karte hain, to unhein jaldi challenges ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Aaj EUR/USD par jo pressure hai, wo shayad manufacturing sector mein negative business activity aur major stock indices ke girne se aaya hai. Aam tor par, aise factors ko jaldi adjust kiya jata hai. Isliye, EUR/USD apne decline ko daily range level 1.0988 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Humein dekhna chahiye ke aakhri chaar ghante trading ke kaisa guzarte hain.

**Pichle Trading Week**

Pichle trading week mein, euro ne 1.1198 ka high reach kiya, jahan resistance milne ke baad downward correction shuru ho gaya. Price signal zone ke border ke neeche gir gayi aur 1.1033 ke level tak pohnch gayi. Isliye, expected sustainable development scenario realize nahi hua, aur target territory ab bhi functional hai. Saath hi, price chart super trend red zone mein move ho gaya, jo sellers ke prices ko rokne ko

dikhata hai. Aaj ke technical front par, 4-hour chart ko nazar se dekhne par, simple moving average price par upar se negative pressure dal rahi hai, jo daily downward price curve ko support karti hai. Isliye, agar 1.1040 support level ka clear aur strong break dekha jata hai, to downward correction resume ho sakta hai, jo 1.0990 ke pehle official level ke nazdeek aane ki zaroorat ko pura kar sakta hai, aur phir 1.0950 tak barh sakta hai. Upar se dekha jaye to, agar trading consolidation 1.1100 ke upar wapas aati hai, to pair normality ki taraf wapas aayegi, aur hum 1.1140 se shuru hote huye positive trading session ko dekh rahe hain. Chart niche dekhen:

M15 Minutes
Sab ko bohat acha din ho! M15 chart pe linear regression channel ka slope upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ki taqat barh rahi hai aur wo 1.11274 ka level haasil karna chahtay hain. Jab target tak pohanch jaye ga, to movement dheemi ho jaye gi. Weakness ki wajah se, volatility ka intekhab kiya jaye ga aur market dheere dheere rukne lagegi, is waqt correction zaroori ho gi. Channel ka upper part khareedari ke liye consider nahi karna chahiye, aapko 1.11025 ka correction ka intezaar karna hoga, jahan aap khareedari ke liye entry consider kar saktay hain. Agar price 1.11025 ke neeche fix ho jaye, to bear market ka zor dikhai de ga, jo market ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Is liye, iss surat mein khareedari karna pasandida nahi hoga. Channel ka angle dikhata hai ke bull kitna active hai, jitna zyada angle ho ga, utni zyada buyer ki taqat ho gi. Strong channel angle aksar market news ka asar hota hai, jo acchi movement ko promote karta hai.





H1 HOUR
H1 chart par main linear regression channel ko dekh kar movement ka andaza lagata hoon. M15 channel aik madadgar hai, jo bullish picture ko support karta hai aur growing trend ko highlight karta hai. Channels aik hi direction mein move kar rahe hain, jo ke bullish mood ko show karta hai is instrument ke liye. Agar chhoti period par signal break hota hai, to 1.10630 tak decline ka intezaar karna chahiye, jahan se aap 1.11237 tak khareedari ka soch saktay hain. Channel ke upper boundary par, jab bulls wahan hoon, to mein khareedari se door rehta hoon, aur sale karna bhi pasand nahi karta, kyun ke yeh mere liye risky hai. Mere trading ka principle hai ke H1 channel ke direction mein trade karoon, kyun ke yeh mera main channel hai. Chhoti channel par entry clarify karna aur strong movement ke sath kaam karna acha hota hai jab correction minimal ho.

Pehle saal ke shuru mein, yeh jor 1.0600-1.0700 ke support area ke aas paas consolidate kar raha tha, jo ke bottom liquidity zones se zahir hota hai. Yeh range bulls ko ek mazboot buniyad faraham karti thi, jo dheere dheere price ko upar ki taraf push karte gaye. March mein 1.0800 ke upar break hona aham tha, kyunki yeh Distribution Liquidity zone ke sath coincide kar raha tha, jo sustained bullish move ki shuruaat thi. Price ne 1.1000 ke level ke aas paas resistance face kiya, jahan strong selling pressure ke bawajood ek chhoti si pullback hui. Lekin yeh pullback zyada dair tak nahi rahi, aur price ne jald recovery karte hue 1.1000 resistance level ko break kar diya. Mid-2024 ke dauran, EUR/USD jor ne apni upward trajectory continue ki, jahan 1.0900-1.1000 area ne breakout ke baad ek critical support zone ka kaam kiya. Multiple liquidity zones aur FVG ke hone se market ne is area mein value dekhi, jo sustained buying interest ka sabab bana. Jor ne 1.1100 level ko break kar ke naye saal ki high tak pohnch gaya, lekin 1.1150 ke upper liquidity zone mein foran resistance face kiya. Yeh resistance area important hai, kyunki yeh bulls ke liye ek bada hurdle hai agar uptrend ko continue rakhna hai.

Saff September ke shuru mein, jor ne 1.1150 resistance se thoda retrace kiya hai aur filhal 1.1050 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh pullback ek healthy correction ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai, jo jor ko consolidate karne ka mauka deta hai pehle se upar break karne ke liye. Aane wale waqt mein dekhne ke key levels hain 1.1000 ka support, jo agar break hota hai to 1.0900 level tak gehra correction ho sakta hai, aur 1.1150 ka resistance, jahan ek successful breakout se further gains ke liye raste khul sakte hain 1.1200 aur usse aage. EUR/USD jor bullish trend mein hai, aur 1.1000 level pivotal support ka role ada kar raha hai. 1.1150 resistance se recent pullback ya to further consolidation ki taraf le ja sakti hai ya phir agle leg higher ke liye base ban sakti hai. Traders ko 1.1000-1.1100 zone par nazar rakhni chahiye agle directional move ke clues ke liye, jahan 1.1150 ke upar break hone se continued bullish momentum ka potential nazar aayega.

Kal ka din pur sukoon guzar gaya, thori si izafa hui thi, lekin aaj phir se girawat shuru ho gayi hai. Aaj hum EURUSD currency pair ko daily chart par dekhte hain. Filhaal, chart par nazar aata hai ke yeh pair is period ke liye ek ascending trend mein hai, lekin abhi corrective phase mein hai. Wave structure apni upward sequence bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, lekin ab yeh apne signal line ki taraf niche ja raha hai. Pichle trading haftay ne bulls ko koi bhi kamiyabi nahi di; wo pehle jaisay upar ja rahe the lekin ab unka waqt kuch der ke liye khatam ho gaya hai. Agar hum Fibonacci target grid ko pehli wave ke neeche lagayein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke target achieve ho chuka hai - 161.8 level is grid par achieve kiya gaya aur 200 level ko reach karne ki koshish ki gayi. Minimum target achieve ho chuka hai, aur is ke ilawa price ne 2023 ke end ke significant maximum ko bhi exceed kar diya hai, is liye yahan ek potential selling zone ban gaya. CCI indicator bhi overbought zone se bahar aa raha tha. Pichle haftay mein, bears ne revenge liya aur pehle ke uthaav ka ek significant hissa wapas le liya. Unhone price ko niche push kiya, jo ke pound dollar se zyada behtar hai, kyunki EURGBP cross rate pichle kuch dinon se gir raha hai. Yeh downward trend cross rate ke, pound dollar ki girawat ko roknay mein rukawat daal raha hai aur euro dollar ko girne mein madad kar raha hai. Abhi purchases bilkul bhi nahi consider kiye ja rahe hain jab tak price 1.0958 ke support level tak nahi pahunchtay. Wahan kuch upward wave ko pakadne ki ummeed hogi, lekin filhaal yeh nahi hai, sirf choti choti pullbacks hain, aur uske baad phir se ek aur girawat. Aur overall market mein, baqi major pairs bhi nazdeek future mein US dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye nazar aa rahe hain. Tactic yeh hai ke intraday pullbacks ke baad selling formations ko dhoondha jaye aur niche kaam kiya jaye. Mera khayal hai ke is haftay sellers ka dominance rahega. Kal US mein Labor Day tha, isliye shayad activity itni low thi.
Agar hum chart ko aur detail se dekhein, to yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke corrective phase ke doran, price ne kuch technical levels ko test kiya hai jo indicate karte hain ke abhi bhi downward pressure bana hua hai. Jo bhi traders hain, unhe chahiye ke wo market trends ko dhyan se monitor karen aur short-term pullbacks ko use karke profit kamane ki koshish karein. Technical indicators jaise MACD aur CCI ki movement bhi trading decisions ko guide karte hain. Short-term volatility ke bawajood, long-term trend abhi bhi bearish lag raha hai aur sellers ka dominance hi main theme lag raha hai. Isliye, trading strategy ko is ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai aur market ki situation ko nazar mein rakhte hue trades enter karni chahiye