Gbp usd

GBP/USD H4 Chart Par Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ab mohtaat tezi ke sath halkay rang mein move kar raha hai, jab ke forex market ek tezi ki taraf rawana ho raha hai. Dominate market trend bullish hai, jo peechli trading session mein significant increase ke saath mazid prices ke surge ko barhaya.

Ahem Tazad:

1. Dheemi Harkat:
- Pair ek halkay rang mein move kar raha hai.
- Market trend bullish rehta hai.

2. Hala hil Surge:
- Pechle trading session mein aik significant increase ne prices ko ooper le gaya.
- Ye surge mazid upar ki movement ki potential ko darshata hai.





3. Mazeed Maqasid:
- Aglay trading session mein prices ko barhane ki mukhtalif koshishen dekhne ko milegi.
- Lambay arsay ke market structure ne ek bullish trend ko zahir kiya hai, mazid price barhane ki potential ke sath.

4. Ahem Levels:
- Buyers ke liye foran ka maqasid 1.2910 level hai.
- Ye level potential breakouts ke liye nazdeek ka maqasid hai.

Strategy:

Short-Term Strategy:

- Bullish Momentum Par Nazar:
- Pair ko barqarar bullish momentum ke signs ke liye dekhte rahiye.
- 1.2910 level ke qareeb price action par khaaskar tawajjo dijiye.

- Breakout Potential:
- 1.2910 ke ooper successful breakout mazid upside potential ko darshana hai.
- Mazid target ke liye strong buying activity aur is level ke barabar naye maqasid ke liye monitor karein.

- Risk Management:
- Kisi potential pullbacks ka ehtiyaat baratna, khas taur par agar price ne 1.2910 level ko torne mein nakam reh gaya.
- Sudden market reversals se wabasta risk ko manage karne ke liye stop-loss orders implement karein.

Nateeja:

GBP/USD pair hal hi mein aik dheemi lekin barqarar bullish trend dikha raha hai, jo prices mein nediyon ke hilne ke sath mazid surge ko support karta hai. Jab market upar ki taraf rawana rehti hai, to buyers ke liye agla ahem maqasid 1.2910 level hai. Price action aur bullish momentum ko agle trading sessions mein dekhna ahem hoga, potential breakouts par tawajjo dena, aur is se wabasta risk ko manage karna.

Pair ne desi waqt New York session me jo zara namoodar aamad dekha, takriban 1.3040 mark ke ird gird ghoomna, USD ke khilaf aik inqilabi barhao darj kiya. Yeh GBP/USD pair ke liye aik behtreen nihayat giraavat hai ek aham avrthal ghataav ke baad jo peechli hafte mein hua, jo keh DXY mein movement se bana, jo ke major global currencies ke khilaf Greenback ka track karta hai.

Economic indicators aur Central Bank polisi ka Assad GBP/USD Exchange Rate par:

Bank of England (BoE) ki haaliya doelibari stance se British Pound par wazan jari hai, jahan market August ke monetary policy meeting mein shaayad aik interest rate cut par khilaaf ana par sawaalat utha rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, taaza UK PMI figures ne private sector business activity ki grow pace ko ziada der se ghataaya, jo June mein, sawal pichle November ke baad sab se kamzor rahe. Ye factors, sath hi, mazedar USD ki taqat, ne haalaat ko imtehan yaad rakhne ke mujarrad starat ke sath 02 ka moqabla karwaya hai bayuni inteqaami.





Technical Analysis aur Trading Range for GBP/USD:

Budh (Wednesday) ko GBP/USD pair 1.2900 ke nazdeek tareen kamzoriyon se six-tenths of a percent se chadha, jo 50-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par, 1.2979 ke neeche mila. Analysts ab 1.3050 ke upri tajwez se nazar rakh rahe hain, jo GBP/USD pair ko agle resistance zone ke qareeb 1.3150 le ja sakta hai, agar koi ahem USD barhao nahi hota.



Technical front par, hourly candlesticks halat mein 20-day EMA, 1.3000 par jama hain, where is 50-day EMA, 1.2979, ne downside movements ko mehdood kar sakti hain. GBP/USD ke liye intraday trading range 1.2960 se 1.3040 ke darmiyan mehsoos hoti hai, jo traders mein sawait rawaiya ko darust karne wale muktalif market signals ke mutazir hain.

GBP/ USD /H4/

GBPUSD currency pair ka halat ab bhi mohtaat tarz se halki halki chal rahi hai kyunke forex market ab bhi ek bullish trend ki taraf muhim ko le jaa raha hai jiski range kafi wide nahi hai. Issi ke sath, dekha gaya market trend ab bhi aam tor par bullish trend mein hai. Iske sath hi, kal raat ke trading session mein significant izafa hua hai, jiske baais keemat phir se chadhe hain. Aglay trading session mein, keematon ko zyada tar barhane ki koshish ki jayegi takay ek zyada level ko nishana banaya jaa sake. Agar hum market structure ki taraf dekhte hain jo aam tor par bullish direction mein dikhai deta hai, toh lambay arse mein keemat barhte rahegi aur zyadatar 1.2910 level ko kharidaron ki faujon ke liye tor mein dhalne ka sabse qareebi nishana banega.

Pehle chart par, ek neeche ka mansoobiyaat aur farokht ki points nazar aati hain. Yeh plan kabhi maqool tha jab tak pound dhaari se uttar ki taraf teh kar gaya. Neela bar H4 signal ke mutabiq moving averages ke liye giraavat ke potential ko dikhata hai, aur aaj sirf yeh kaha jaa sakta hai ke yeh signal kaam nahi aaya. Aaj, humne iss signal ke liye risk level ko paar kar diya hai. Sabse pahle, sab clarity ke liye hari aur gray bars understanding ke liye hain ke humey kabhi ek level se ya doosray se bechne se milne wale ratios ko samajhne hain. Phir, baad mein growth impulse ke baad, ek ulta signal (i.e., buy signal) H4 timeframe par bhi tha, aur yeh jaldi apne targets ko pahonch gaya bina kisi pullback ke. Jaise hum dekh sakte hain, chadhai bina kisi significant pullback ke thi, isliye yeh bahut kamyab nahi tha ke lower timeframe par dakhil ho, kyunke woh seedha signal ke baad uppar chale gaye the.





Mukhtasar mein, GBP/USD trading session mein khaas farak wala aik range of movement between 1.2730 aur 1.2850 ke darmiyan nazar aati hai, jo economic aur geopolitical factors ka market ke react karne ka saboot hai. Investors ke reactions critical economic data releases aur geopolitical events par zor dete hain jo currency pair ki volatility aur overall direction ko barhane ke liye in elements ki ahmiyat ko samajhate hain.

GBP/USD H4 chart

GBP/USD currency pair mein, hum ek paanch-wave bullish pattern dekh sakte hain, jismein paanchwa wave ab khatam hone wala hai. Haftawar ki bulandi ne peechle mahine ke peak ko paar kar liya hai, jo mazboot upward momentum ko darshata hai. Phir bhi, MACD indicator par bearish divergence bana hai, jo market ke rukh mein ek mumkinah tabdeeli ki pehlu ko zahir karta hai. 1.2858 ke resistance level ne aham rukawat pesh ki hai, aur traders ko sirf is area se short positions mein dakhil hone ka ghoor karna chahiye. Technical factors ke combination, jaise paanch-wave structure ke ane wali mukammal hone wale hona aur bearish divergence, ek giravat ki sambhavna ko darshata hai, jis ka maqsad mojooda uptrend ka minimum paar karke 1.2754 ke support level ko nishana banana hai. CCI indicator is bearish nazariya ko support karta hai, kyunke yeh overbought zone se neeche jaane ke liye tayyar hai. Ahem baat yeh hai ke market UK se kai ahem maamlat jaise Gross Domestic Product, Industrial Production, Manufacturing Production, aur Trade Balance ke ek series key economic releases ka ek sanbandh dekhega, sath hi German Consumer Price Index bhi, jo 9:00 Moscow waqt par jaari honge. Ye news events GBPSD trading dynamics par bade asar daal sakte hain. Anay wale economic data releases ka bazaariyon par bada asar hone ki umeed hai. Hamesha yeh imkaan hota hai ke nishana missed ho sakta hai, stocks ki keemat mein sudden plunge ya surge ho sakti hai, news par depend karta hai. 3:15-3:30 PM Moscow waqt par aik aur mahatvpurn reports ka ek set jaari kiya jaayega, jinmein Americans jo unemployment benefits receive kar rahe hain, core consumer price index, consumer price index aur unemployment claims United States mein shamil hain. Bay shak, trading session boring hone ki bajaye kuch aur ho sakta hai.




Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ke zariye monitor kiya gaya, price dikhayi deta hai ke Upper Bollinger bands area 1.2840-1.2843 ke dauraan break karne ki koshish kar raha hai jo peechle trade mein banaye gaye bullish candle ke zariye dheere se pravesh kiya ja raha hai taake buyers aaj bhi GbpUsd market pair mein trading par dominante rahein. Bila shuba, bullish buyers ka maqsad yeh hai ke price ko Upper Bollinger bands area ke upar maintain rakhein taake ek ziada bullish mauqa kholein with agle nishane heading towards seller's supply resistance area 1.2890-1.2893 ki taraf. Thursday ke trading mein, buyers wapas aayein hain zyada bade size mein taki unka bullish mauka maintain kiya jaa sake aur prices ko continue soar karne ka nishana lein, seller's resistance area 1.2870-1.2873 ki jaanch karne ke liye sabse qareebi, ek bulish rasta kholein agle nishana heading towards seller's supply resistance area 1.2895-1.2900 ki taraf. Agar yeh nakam hota hai, toh sellers ke liye ek bearish correction karne ka mauka ho sakta hai with a target towards buyer support area 1.2805-1.2800 ki taraf.

The British Pound me US Dollar ke khilaaf aage badh raha hai, aur Thursday ke London session mein 1.2870 ke kareeb pohanch gaya hai. Yeh izafa US dollar ko kamzor karne wale mukhtalif aham factoron ke darmiyan aya hai. Bayan hai ke Federal Reserve September ke shuru mein he interest rate cut ki taraf murnay wala hai, jo unki pehli hawkish stance ke muqablay mein bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is ke ilawa, Bank of England ke potential rate hike par bets thanday pad gaye hain. Dollar ke liye masla barh gaya hai, kyunki May mein UK ke liye strong GDP report ne British economy mein umeed afroz kar diya hai. Waqt ke sath US Dollar Index (DXY) major currencies ke khilaaf laal nazar mein aaraha hai jab woh 105.20 ke upar momentum hasil karne mein kameyab nahi raha. Yeh kamzori Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke Congress ke samne bayan se aai hai, jahan unhone mehngaai ke khilaf jung mein kuch setbacks ko tasleem kiya. Jabke Powell ne fateh ka dawa na kiya, unhoneth moaton huy taqaaz ke liye Fed ki commitment ko dobara tasdeeq di. Investor attention ab tareekhi Ahem US June CPI data par shift hogi jo Thursday ko jaari kiya jayega. Yeh report September mein potential Fed rate cut ke liye umeedo ka andaaz banane mein ahem hai. Maishiyatdan core inflation, jo ke volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, ka maahana izafa 0.2% ki satah par aur saalana tor par 3.4% ke qareeb hone ka intezar hai. Saalana headline inflation ka andaza 3.1% par gira diya gaya hai, May ke 3.3% se, saath he 0.1% ke maahana izafe ki umeed hai.




Pound ka izafa $1.2870 par ise taza uonchiyon par rakh deta hai. GBP/USD pair mazeed faida karne ke liye muqarrar hai jab ke wo aik inverted Head and Shoulders (H&S) chart pattern ke bullish breakout ke qareeb hai. 1.2850 ke aas paas ka breach is bullish reversal ko mazeed mazbooti de ga. Uptrend ko mazeed support milta hai aik mazeedh 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke sath jo mojud hai 1.2747 ke kareeb hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day RSI comfortably aik bullish range mein namoodar hai 60.00 se 80.00 tak, ishaara dete hue taqatwar mushaheda ko.

GBP USD Forum Tahlil, Peshguftgaan

H1 Ghanta
Dekho ke kis tarah wo baarh chalay gaye. Mehngaai ka reaction dekhte hue, mujhe isay kisi tarah se nazar nahi aya. Jo ab ho raha hai, ek reaction hai, lekin saaf nahi hai ke isay kis ke liye kiya gaya hai. Agar yeh Europe mein CPI ka reaction hai, toh yeh kisi tarah se bohot waqtly nahi hai, aur unho ne baahir nikalne par bilkul harkat nahi ki. Isliye, is harkat ke foundation ke neeche kuch aur hai. Is lihaz se, mujhe lagta hai ke wo American session ke doran shumal main dabao daalte rahenge aur hume kami ka intezar nahi karna chahiye. Aur harkat ghantay ke waqt nahi hai, lekin zyada tar activity ke shuruhone ki sambhavna hai pichle dino aur hafton se. Mere khayal se, main abhi bhi bullish side par hoon, isliye agar hum is raah par chalte hain, to 1.303 par dakhil hone ka sochna munasib hai. Shaed berh ko is halat mein buls ko 1.3108 tak pohanchne se rok nahin sakte. Abhi market stagnation stage mein nahi hai, lekin yeh jald hi is waqt ke range se ek rukh ka chunao aur uopar se rukawat ka zahir hona shuru ho jaye ga. Harkat ki aam darkhwaske sath, sab kuch kaafi saf nazar aata hai.





30 Minutes
Main ab taqreeban 1.30985 ke buland darja ka tawajjo se dekhna shuru kar raha hoon. Yeh mojooda waqt meri mukhya manzil hai is currency pair GBPUSD mein kharidne mein. Currency pair ke keemat 1.30287 par hote huye aur iski base 1.29688 ke darmiyan hone par, hamen taweel positions shuru karne ki baat kar sakte hain. Bila shubah, is halat mein, humein pehla nishana aik hisse ke munafi ke liye 1.30336 par mukarrar hota hai. Lekin is level par abhi halat ke mutabiq sirf ek aur rukawat nazar aati hai jo hamari lambi jamaat ke raaste mein khari hai. Aik balaasubha mehfoozai ke surat mein, main 1.29688 ke level par nigahein jamaye hue hoon. Farokhat sey fehristan wale zor daba sakti hai ke keema control mein reh gaya. Phir, bila shubah, tamam long positions mukhtalif or chote tawun par kaam karna hoga. Dosray alfaz mein, ab 1.29688 ka level stop loss level hai.

GBP/USD Tadbeer Tahlil

H4 Timeframe
May ke akhri se shuru hokar, GbpUsd market ke trend mein maine dekha ke yeh dheere dheere buland raaste ki taraf badh raha hai jab tak ke yeh Simple Moving Average 100 indicator se oopar na uth gaya. Jab market June mein dakhil hua, upar ka trend sellers se selling pressure mila aur keematein dheere dheere girne lagi. Is mahine ke trading doraan, keemat barhne ki sambhavna hai. Agar hum mojooda candlestick position dekhte hain, to yeh Simple Moving Average 100 indicator ke upar chala ja sakta hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers mein ab bhi ek dili koshish hai ke keemat ko buland taraf le jaane ki. Aaj market ek keemat ki halat dikhata hai jo upar ki taraf badh rahi hai, haftawar ki kam keemat wale maqam ko piche chod kar, ab tak keemat 1.2967 ilaqe ke barabar hai.

Market ke keemat ki manzil ka rukh jo ke mahine ke shuru se buland lagta hai, dosre buyers ki madad se milta hai. Keemat mein izafa ne candlestick ko Simple Moving Average 100 indicator ke upar qaim rehne mein madad di hai, lagta hai ke buyers ek uncha area hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain is ke upar. Aaj GbpUsd jodi ne 1.2968 par shuru kiya, 4 ghante ke timeframe se yeh dikh raha hai ke buyers ke asar ne keemat barhane ke liye pichle mahine ke ikhtitaam se shuru hote hue madad ki hai. Akeem haftawar ke trading session mein, lagta hai ke buyers ki koshishain market ko ab tak control mein rakhti hain, taake ke keemat asani se simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar daurta rahe.





Bari time frame mein trend ka zahir hona ab bhi buland rukh ki taraf chal raha hai, lagta hai ab market agle uparward momentum ka intezar kar raha hai jo aaj ya kal ho sakta hai hota. Simple moving average zone of period 100 ke upar daurte hue candlesticks ke mojoodgi ke base par, mein sochta hoon ke agar uparward trend ko maddati bunyadein mojood ho to keemat Uptrend safar ko jari rakh sakti hai. Magar, kyunki Asian session mein market ka mahol khamosh hai, humein intezar karna padega ke aaj ke baad ya sham ko trading signal mil sake.

Tijarat ke options: - 1.2986 ilaqe mein kharidari karein, Profit hasil karein: 1.3036, Stop Loss: 1.2958

GBP/USD jodi hal hi mein gap band kiya, jo ke market ke khulne par faela hua broder market ke naqsh ke sath mutabiq tha. Ab, 1.29000 ke qareeb 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level par ek minor correction mumkin nazar aata hai. Ye leval haftay ke andar pohancha ja sakta hai, shayad ise neeche bhi dekha jaye. Is ke agay, ek zyada maqsadmand manzil 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai jo taaqreeban 1.28500 ke qareeb hai. Magar, is gehri correction ko hasil karna mojooda haftay se agay phela sakta hai, lekin ye mumkin hai.
In dynamics ke sath, 1.29000 level ki qadar zaroori hai. Ye bullo par phir se sargarmi hasil karne ke liye aik ahem moqa faraham kar sakta hai, jis se qeemat 90 din ka moving average ke qareeb 1.29900 par phir se chal sakti hai. Ye leval aik ahem nafsiyati aur takneeki markar hai jo mustaqbil ke qeemat amal ko asar andaz bana sakta hai.
GBP/USD jodi mein mukhtalif asar dalne wale factors shamil hain jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur monetary policy announcements. Maslan, UK ya US se koi ghair mutawaqqaari economic report pair ke movement par shaded asar daal sakta hai. Isi tarah, Bank of England (BoE) ya Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rates aur economic outlooks ke hawale se di gae bayan trader sentiment aur qeemat ke action par asar daal sakta hai.
Is halat mein, traders ko ehtiyaat aur mansoobati tareeqa apnana chahiye. Ahem levalon ka nigrani karna aur relevant news ke baray mein maloomat rakhna intehai zaroori hai. Risk ko manage karna aur nuqsan se bachne ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemal bhi faida mand ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, RSI, aur MACD ka istemal kar sakte hain takay potential trend reversals ya continuations ke baray mein mazeed idraak hasil kar sakein.
Aakhir mein, GBP/USD jodi ke qareebi rukh ka faisla 1.29000 level ke asar par mabni hai. Agar market is point ke upar jam jaye ya is se neeche gir jaye, to qeemat ke amal ke agle marhale ke liye tone set hogi. Traders ko chaukanna aur tabdeel hone wale market ki halat ka jawab denay ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. GBP/USD jodi ka mazboot bullish momentum, jisme risk-on sentiment aur US dollar ki kamzori shamil hai, ne ise mukhtalif investors ke liye saal ke qareeb sab se unchay leval par pohcha diya hai. RSI ki taraf se ek overbought shirkaat ka ishara aur ahem resistance levalon ki nazar mein, ek downward correction mumkin nazar aata hai. In levalon ka qareebi nigrani se monitor karna aur potential selling opportunities ke liye tayar rehna traders ke liye mashwara diya jata hai.

Aslam o Alaikum. GBPUSD pair mein choti si kami aayi - pivot H1 6/8 (1.3000) se guzar gaya, level 1.2982 tak gir gaya. Kal, TF M5 aur M15 bearish ho gaye, jo ke giravat ke jariye izafi giravat ka ishara dete hain. Ye pair ke tabadlay ke breakout par toot jayenge 1.3006 aur 1.3021 ke level, jo ke support mil sakta hai bullish TFs H1 aur H4 ke zariye, phir hum dekhein ge izaafa aur maximum ka breakout.
TF H1 bullish hai. Bearish tabdeeli pivot H1 5/8 (1.2940) ka tootney par aayegi, aur is ke neeche jam ho jaye gi.
TF H4 bullish hai. Break tabdeeli ho gi pivot H1 (1.2939), 2/8 (1.2878), aur consolidation level 1.2860 ke neeche.
Daily TF bullish hai, aur ise todne ke liye pair ka giraavat aur consolidation chahiye Daily Pivot 1.2695 aur level 1.2660 ke neeche.






GBP/USD D-1

Hello! Shayad mein apni technical analysis shuru karun daily chart ke saath pair ke liye, kyun ke ab tak aikhlaqee Fibonacci grid 100 - 161.8 ke range ke sath lagaya gaya hai. Mukammal andaruni fasla 155 point tha bina instaforex spread ka size hisaab kitab ke, kal hamain mazeed ooncha jana tha, a technical correction ki sairah hai, aur mein bhi dhiyan dilaun ga ke humain hafta bhari pivot jo ke 1.2918 par mawjood tha, nahi mil saka. Thori der baad, jaise hamesha, mein ta'assur karun ga ki scalping fans ke liye mojooda halat ka tajziya aur khaaskar,
sab se pehle muddaton ke naye muqami pivot ke naye maqam ke mutalliq hai. Is ke ilawa, bunyadi tajziya ke mutabiq, iqtisadi calendar lafz saaf hai 3 star ke news se US dollar ke liye, sab kuch 15:30 Moscow waqt mein shuru hoga - "aplicatins ki shuruwat ke shumaaray ke liye, Philadelphia mafacturing index", ye shayad wo sarasar catalysd ho jo humain umeed rakhni chahiye. Magar mein UK se kuch khas nahi mila, is liye shayad statistical maloomat ka farq dikh sakta hai aur buland ghair mamooliyat ka izhaar kar sakta hai.

Chalo, baat karte hain GBP/USD currency pair ke wild ride ki, dosto! Qeemat karwai mein aakhir kuch dinon se sach much ek rollercoaster thi, jab pair ne niche ki taraf koshish ki lekin mazbooti nahi mili. 1.2939 ke neeche girne ke bawajood, woh wahan theher nahi saka aur ab upar uth raha hai.

Ab, 1.299 ke aas paas ke mukhya maqasid ab bhi table pe hain, aur ye minor pullback overall mausam-e-bahaal trend ko nahi khatam karayega. Tumhe pata hai asal cheez jo dollar ko mazboot rakhti hai? Woh musbat retail sales figures, mere dost. Magar asal make-or-break lamha kal anay wala hai jab UK inflation data aayega. Ye woh kisam ki khabar hai jo ye pair ko kisi bhi raaste mein uchhal sakti hai.

Agar hum wo 1.2928 level side channel ke andar paar kar sakte hain, to yeh kuch serious faiday ke raste ko khol sakta hai, jaise takreeban 1.308 ya mazeed upar. Magar hume woh tootay hue range ke upar mazboot consolidation dekhnay ki zarurat hai taake hume yeh maloom ho ke bull taqat mein hai. Aur sun, agar hum 1.296 tak neeche girte hain, to 1.290 tak jald hee palatna, kuch liquidity pakadne ke liye, bhi hosakta hai.




Ab, mein sirf uss waqt sell position ko ghoorenta hoon jab qeemat 1.294 ke support ke neeche jaati hai. Chart mein kuch alag vibes hain, jaise market manipulation ho rahi hai, jo ek potential downturn ki taraf ishaara kar sakti hai. Magar abhi bhi short side par chadhne ke liye bohot jaldi hai, dosto. Trend mazeed bullish hai, aur hume dekhna hoga ke ye kaise hone wala hai pehle.

Agar hum 1.2902 ilaqa tak slide hojayein, aur phir uncha karwatay hui unchaayein, to woh top pe kuch serious liquidity ko saaf kar sakta hai. Us max move ke baad, shayad hum 1.2763 tak neeche gir sakte hain, lekin volumes wahan dekhtay rehna hoga. Tez rehna mere dost, aur hum saath mein ye sahil mil kar paar karenge!

GBP/USD pair H4 chart par wazeh bullish wave structure dikha raha hai, jo is ke movement mein ek urooj ke trend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, potential trend reversals ko pehchane ke liye ek ahem tool hai, aur yeh bullish sentiments ko madadgar sabit kar raha hai. MACD upper bullish zone mein barh raha hai aur hal hee mein apni signal line ke upar se guzar gaya hai, jisse zyada buying momentum ka ishara mil raha hai. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD pair ki keemat ne izafa kiya, MACD par pehle wale bullish divergences ko be-nak kar diya.

Is urooj ke darmiyan, ek pullback hone ki zyada sambhavna hai. Wave structure ke mutabiq, mojooda urooj ki cycle mukammal hone ki taraf jaa sakti hai. Structure teen mukhtalif waves display karta hai, jahan doosra wave doosray do ke muqable mein chota aur kam zahir hota hai. Pehla aur teesra wave taqreeban barabar lamba hota hai, "do-stick" pattern bana kar—aik sifati soorat jo aksar pond ke harkaton mein dekhi jati hai. Yeh pattern aam tor par ek bullish phase ki khatam hone aur aik correctice phase ki shuruvat hone ka ishara deta hai.

"Two-stick" pattern technical analysis mein aik qaabil-e-aitbaar indicator hai, khaaskar GBP/USD pair ke liye. Jab pehla aur teesra waves barabar lambay ho, to yeh amoman yeh kahta hai ke market ne ek temporary peak tak pohancha hai, aur aik retracement ya consolidation phase shuru ho sakta hai. Yeh pattern se ye nikalta hai ke traders ko is stage par naye long positions mein dakhil hone ke liye ihtiyat baratni chahiye, kyunke pullback hone ki khatra barh gaya hai.

Kuch factors pullback ke liye mawad faraham karte hain. Pehle, keemat ne pichle do hafton mein baar baar izafa kiya hai, jo ke overbought conditions tak le jata hai. Jab ek asset overbought hojata hai, to ye aam tor par excess buying pressure ki wajah se ek corrective phase guzarta hai. Iske ilawa, wave structure ki mukammal hone se ye ishara milta hai ke urooj ki momentum khatam hojaa rahi hai, jisse ek retracement zyada mumkin hai.





MACD ka haal hil recent musbat taabeer faraham karta hai. Jabkeh MACD apni signal line ke upar se guzar jata hai, yeh ek bullish signal hota hai, lekin yeh indicator potential reversal points ko pehchanne mein bhi madadgar hota hai. Agar MACD flatten ya neeche modne shuru hojaye, to yeh ek pullback ki shuruat ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders ko MACD aur doosri technical indicators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko nazdeek se dekhna chahiye, taake kamzor hone ki alamat ko pehchane ja sake.

Bunyadi factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement par asar dal sakte hain. Ma'ashi data releases, saiyasi waqiat, aur central bank policies sab pair ke qeemat par asar dal sakti hain. Masalan, agar anay wale economic reports UK ya US se nichayi taraf se surprise dete hain, to ye GBP/USD pair mein ek pullback ka sabab bana saktay hain. Isi tarah, Bank of England ya Federal Reserve se koi ghair mutawaqa ilanat aati hain, to market sentiments ko tabdeel kar sakti hain aur pair ki raah par asar dal sakti hain.

Akhri mein, jabke GBP/USD pair ke H4 chart mein strong bullish wave structure display ho raha hai, ek pullback hone ke mawad bar gayi hai. Wave structure ki mukammal hone, "two-stick" pattern, aur MACD ka performance sab ye tasdeeq karte hain ke urooj ki cycle ab mukammal hone ki taraf jaa sakti hai. Traders ko ihtiyat bartani chahiye aur technical indicators aur fundamental developments ko nazdeek se dekhna chahiye takay potential market reversals ko samjha jaa sake. Mozoo halat ki madad se, ek zyada ihtiyaat bharti hui approach ki zarurat hoti hai, jahan pe mukhya support levels aur mazeed trade ke dakhli points ko pehchana jaa sake.

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GBP/USD currency pair nay apni musbat trading ko peer ko dobara shuru kiya, jo ke us ke urooj ke trend ka jari rakhna hai. Din ke ikhtitam tak kisi bhi numainda izaafi izafa ko hasil na karne ke bawajood, pair ne kisi bhi pullback se bach gaya, jisse market ka pound mein jari rahnek interest numaya hua. Subah ke daur mein, thori neeche ki taraf le jane ki koshish hui, lekin market ke buying pressure ne is ko roka.

Dilchasp baat ye hai ke market ke mazi ki jazbat faroh ki gai bina kisi mazeed wajah ke. Aam tor par, forex market ki harkatein ma'ashi data releases, central bank policies, aur saiyasi wakaiaat jese bunyadi factors se mutasir hoti hain. Magar, is maamlay mein, pound ke oonchne lagne ka tawaqqu ka izhar koi shehwani logic ko naazil karta hai. Market Bank of England ke intrest rates ko August 1 ko kam karne ki mumkinat aur UK inflation ke kam hone tak numbardi se beparwah rahi.

Jari rahnen wala urooj chart par barhte hue trend line mein wazeh hai. Trend line ki banao mein woh points shamil hain jo zaruri taur par aham intahaat nahi hain magar zyada tar flat ya sideway market ke points hain. Yeh is baat ka ishara karta hai ke pound ke izafa ko momentum se badhaya ja raha hai bajaye bunyadi ya technical fi'laat ke sabab se. Market ka hal ab dhekata hai ke pound ko khareedne ki redayt hai baghair kisi buniadi ma'ashi soorat ke halat ke.

5-minute timeframe par, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2980-1.2993 area mein wapas aya, aik ahem zone jo shuru mein naqabil guzar tha. Magar, is level ko paar karne mein nakami is waqt ke market ke dynamics ke lehaz se ehem nahi lagti. Agle ahem resistance level ya area ko barhne wale buying pressure ke sath shayed nikala jaa sakta hai. Tradition resistance levels ko market ki nazar mein ghair ehem tor par ignore karna ye sabit karta hai ke tanazzul ya wapis chale jana ko ehem nahi liya jata. Is liye, bohot zyada imkan hai ke jab yeh area paar hojaye, to pound apne izaafi urooj ko jari rakhe.





Pullback ki kami, hatta ke mumkin resistance ke samne muqablay mein, market ke bullish jazbat ko pound ki taraf numaya karta hai. Yeh jazbat kafi mazboot hai ke urooj ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, iska matlub hai ke GBP/USD pair nazdeek mein apne urooj ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. Dilkash harkatein market ki taraf ishara karti hain jo ke zyada tar mein jazbat se aur economic indicators se kam rahe hain.

Yahan barah-e-karam hai market ke ghaer maamuli salook ko, pound ko aram say khareedne ke bina conventional wajahoon ke. Ye market jazbat aur mawad se ziada muamlat ka ehmiyat ko numaya karta hai, sirf ma'ashi data aur central bank policies ke ilawa bahut zyada ghor aur samajh zaroori hai. Traders ko in dynamics ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyunke woh keemat ki harkatein intehai asar andaz ho sakti hain.

Ikhtitam mein, GBP/USD pair ka halaal ke performance darust urooj trend ko darust kar raha hai jo market jazbat ke zor par bunyadi factors ke bajaye chal raha hai. Bank of England ke intrest rate cut hone ki mumkinat aur inflation target tak pohanchne ke bawajood, pound barqarar izafa kar raha hai. Ahem resistance area 1.2980-1.2993 crucial hai, aur is ko paar karna mazeed izafay ka ishara hosakta hai. Yeh halat market ke khaas salook ko zahir karta hai, jiss se traders ko jazbat aur momentum ko apni strategies mein shamil karne ki zarurat ho sakti hai.

Technical analysis of the GBPUSD pair

4-hour chart

Hamain aane wali ghanton mein joray ke keemat mein mazeed kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Keemat is haftay mein taraqqi pasand dar ke damon ke andar trading shuru hui, jo keemat ke halaat ko darshata hai jo peechle do hafton mein rahe. Keemat ne haftay ke darmiyan mein is taraqqi pasand dar damon ke andar bewaqt taraqqi ki taraf rukh liya, jahan ek choti bulandi bani, phir ek neechay, phir doosri bulandi ke saath channel ki lakeerain, lekin akhir mein ghata ke daur mein joray ne channels ko neeche tor diya.

Keemat ne haftay ki pivot level tak girne ki koshish ki, jis se keemat ko wapas upar le aaya ja sakta tha, lekin pivot level pehle candle mein tor diya gaya aur ab waqt ki candle haftay ki pivot level ke neeche settle ho gayi hai.

Is liye, mojooda trading mashwara hai ke mojoodi level se bechnay ka faisla kiya jaye haftay ke support level 1.2844 tak aur stop loss level pehle candle ke sab se buland keemat ke upar set kiya jaye.

Maeeshat ke pehlu par, traders ne Bank of England ke interest rates ko August mein kam karne ki umeedain kam kar di hain baazi akhri maeeshat ke data ke baad.

Maeeshati calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... June mein tanaza mein 2% par qaim reh gaya, jabke 1.9% tak kam hone ki tawakul thi, aur khidmaton ki mahangi mein kami nahi hui aur 5.7% par qaim reh gayi, jo Bank of England ki umeed 5.1% se zyada thi. Bank ke rate ko August mein kam karne par lagaye gaye daavai 33% tak gir gaye, jabke CPI release se pehle yakayak 49% the. Is dauran, tanaza mein izafa 5.7% tak rok gaya, jo 2022 se kam level tha, lekin aala star par qaim raha. Berozgaari dar ne 2021 ke uncha tareen dar par 4.4% par qaim reh gaya. Pichle haftay, Bank of England ke mukhsoos maahire maeeshat Hugh Bell ne tasdeeq ki ke khidmaton ki keemat mein izafa aur urooj mein maeeshat mazboot hai.

GBP/USD pair ne ek bar phir naye lows ko touch kiya hai, apne recent downtrend ko continue karte hue. Magar kuch indications hain ke ek pullback nazar aa sakta hai, khas taur pe H1 timeframe aur us se neeche. H1 chart ka analysis karte hue, humein ek bullish engulfing candlestick pattern nazar aaya jo penultimate candle pe ban raha tha. Ye pattern aksar market mein potential reversal ko signify karta hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers sellers se control le rahe hain. Oversold zone ke context mein, ye pattern buy entry ke liye ek strong signal serve kar sakta hai, traders ko ek upward movement se potential benefit lene ka mauka mil sakta hai.
Ek bullish engulfing pattern ek candlestick pattern hota hai jahan ek choti bearish candle ke baad ek badi bullish candle hoti hai jo pichli candle ke body ko poori tarah "engulf" karti hai. Ye market sentiment mein bearish se bullish shift ko suggest karta hai. H1 chart pe GBP/USD pair ke liye, is pattern ka nazar aana khas tor pe notable hai kyunke ye tab nazar aaya jab pair deeply oversold tha. Ye oversold condition, jo aksar oscillators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke zariye identify ki jati hai, imply karta hai ke selling pressure khatam ho chuka hai, aur ek corrective upward move nazar aa sakta hai.

Traders aksar ek reversal pattern jaise ke bullish engulfing ko consider karte waqt additional confirmation dhoondte hain. Is scenario mein supporting factors mein historical support level ke qareeb hona aur momentum indicators mein divergences shamil hain. Agar RSI ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bullish divergence dikhaye—jahaan price naye lows banata hai jabke indicator higher lows banata hai—toh ye potential reversal ke case ko mazid mazboot karta hai.

GBP/USD pair ka broader market conditions aur fundamental factors pe reaction bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Economic indicators jaise ke UK ki GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates, Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve se monetary policy statements ke sath mil kar, is currency pair ko significant tor pe impact karte hain. Abhi ke waqt mein, market sentiment bhi geopolitical developments, trade negotiations, aur investor risk appetite se shape ho raha hai.

Traders ke liye, bullish engulfing pattern se indicate hone wala potential pullback ek attractive risk-reward setup offer karta hai. Aik prudent strategy yeh hogi ke bullish engulfing candle ke close ke qareeb entry points set kiye jayein, stop-loss orders ko recent low ke neeche place karke risk ko manage karne ke liye. Take-profit targets ko key resistance levels pe set kiya ja sakta hai ya recent downtrend ke Fibonacci retracement levels ke zariye determine kiya ja sakta hai.

Trades plan karte waqt broader trend aur higher timeframes ko consider karna bhi zaroori hai. Jab H1 timeframe ek reversal ke signs dikhata hai, daily ya weekly charts pe overall bearish trend ka matlab ho sakta hai ke koi bhi pullback temporary ho sakta hai jab tak broader market sentiment mein koi change ya significant fundamental shifts na hon.

Nateeja yeh hai ke H1 chart pe GBP/USD pair ke recent price action ek bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ke zariye ek pullback ke possibility ko suggest karte hain jo oversold context mein hai. Ye potential reversal signal traders ke liye ek compelling buy opportunity provide karta hai, contingent on further confirmation from technical indicators aur market fundamentals. Hamesha ki tarah, risk management aur broader market trends aur economic factors ka careful analysis successful trading ke liye crucial hai. Technical signals aur fundamental influences ka interplay near term mein GBP/USD pair mein kisi bhi upward movement ki sustainability ko determine karega.

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GBP/USD Pair ka Technical Analysis

4-Hour Chart




Agle chand ghanton mein pair ki price mein mazeed decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is hafte ki trading ascending price channels ke andar shuru hui, jo pichle do hafton ke doran price movement ka direction represent karte hain. Price ne hafta ke darmiyan tak channels ke andar upward direction mein move kiya, jahan ek peak form hui, phir ek bottom, phir ek aur peak channel lines ke saath. Magar final decline par, pair ne successfully channels ko break down kar diya.

Price weekly pivot level tak girta raha, jo price ko wapas upar laane ke liye kafi tha, magar pichle candle ke doran pivot level bhi break ho gaya aur current candle weekly pivot level ke niche settle ho gaya.

Is liye, current trading advice yeh hai ke current level se sell karein aur weekly support level 1.2844 par target karein, aur stop loss level ko pichle candle ke highest price ke upar set karein.

Economic side par, traders ne Bank of England se August mein interest rate cut ke expectations ko reduce kar diya hai latest economic data ke baad. Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq, June mein inflation rate 2% par stabilize hui, jabke expectations thi ke yeh 1.9% tak slow ho jayegi. Services inflation bhi decline nahi hui aur 5.7% par stabilize rahi, jo Bank of England ke expectations 5.1% se zyada thi. CPI release ke baad, central bank ke August rate cut ki bets 49% se gir kar lagbhag 33% par aa gayi. Is dauran, wage growth 5.7% tak slow hui, jo 2022 se sab se lowest level hai, magar abhi bhi high level par hai. Unemployment rate 2021 ke highest level 4.4% par stabilize hui. Last week, Bank of England ke chief economist Hugh Bell ne confirm kiya ke service price inflation aur wage growth abhi bhi strong hain.