Gbp usd

GBPUSD ka H4 Trading Chat:

Naya hafta shuru ho gaya hai aur chalo phir se H4 chart pe nazar dalain - GBPUSD currency pair. Wave structure apni upward order bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein grow ho raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Is pair ki price pichle do hafton se upar ki taraf ud rahi hai jaise ke is ke neeche ek jet engine lagaya gaya ho. Saare divergences jo MACD par bohat khoobsurat lag rahe the, wo break ho gaye hain. Magar phir bhi, rollback ki probability ab barh gayi hai kyun ke poora growth cycle work out ho chuka hai.

Aap dekh sakte hain ke teen waves ka structure ban raha hai jahan doosri wave choti si hai beech mein. Aur pehli aur teesri wave approximately equal length ki hain, jise two sticks kaha jata hai. Price aksar aise move karti hai, khaaskar pound ke liye. CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche jane ke liye tayar hai aur is par bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai. Main assume karta hoon ke price horizontal support level 1.2932 tak descend karegi, jahan se kuch rebound upar ki taraf hoga. Magar phir main expect karta hoon ke yeh level neeche break hoga kyun ke poora growth cycle work out ho chuka hai aur bina rollback ke aur zyada growth honi mushkil hai.

Agar price 1.2932 ke level ke neeche break hoti hai, to isay selling ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is level ke neeche se resistance ke taur pe approach karti hai. Iske baad, 1.2855 ke main support level ke area tak decline hone ki high probability hai. Main mazeed decline consider nahi karta, kyun ke downward trend akhir kar break ho gaya hai aur upward mein convert ho gaya hai. Higher daily period pe, upward third wave nazar aa rahi hai, jise aap daily chart par switch karte hi dekh sakte hain. Isliye, main decline expect karta hoon, magar aisa reversal nahi, agar koi 1.2855 ke level se bohat neeche stuck hai to yeh ek miracle hoga agar price wapas in positions tak laut aaye. Yahan sirf ek long rollback aur continued growth dikhayi de rahi hai.

Assalam-o-Alaikum. Hafta ek choti gap down ke sath shuru hua, shayad Trump par hamle ki koshish ne kirdar ada kiya ho, magar overall girawat itni tezi se nahi hui aur isay ek simple technical correction kaha ja sakta hai. Kuch bhi aham tor par break nahi hua aur upward movement ab bhi barqarar hai. Iske continuation ka target level 1.29901 hai. Agar isay break kar ke consolidate kar sakte hain is hafta, to agla target growth ke liye 1.29950 hoga. Sellers ko noticeable downward movement ke liye 1.28979 level ko break karna hoga, jo upward trend ko pehli martaba todne aur fall ko continue karne ka signal dega.

Pair GBPUSD H4:

1- 4-hour chart par pound central area ki taraf roll back karna shuru kar raha hai, upper band ke sath active movement ke baad. Taake hume price growth ka naya high-quality signal mil sake, agle upper band ke approach ka intezar karna zaroori hai, aur phir dekhna hoga ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hota. Fractals ki situation dekhte huye, ek naya fractal upwards form hua hai, iski breakout aur consolidation price ko 18 July 2023 ke fractal 1.31251 ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Ab tak koi nearest fractal downwards form nahi hua, aur price fall ke direction mein kisi cheez par rely karne ke liye iske form hone ka intezar karna hoga.

2- AO indicator positive area mein ab tak grow kar raha hai, abhi tak yeh clear nahi ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh Pound ke continued growth ke haq mein baat karta hai. Price fall ka high-quality signal pane ke liye attenuation formation ka intezar karna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Sunday ko market close par ek significant reversal dikhaya, jo ke 4-hour chart par double top pattern banane ki wajah se hua. Yeh pattern ek classic bearish reversal signal hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke recent uptrend khatam hone ke qareeb hai aur ek downward move qareeb aa sakta hai.

Double top pattern ko do peaks se pehchana jata hai jo roughly ek hi level par hoti hain, aur inke darmiyan ek trough hoti hai. Is case mein, yeh pattern yeh suggest kar raha hai ke price ne do martaba break higher karne ki koshish ki lekin nakam rahi, jo ke strong resistance aur bearish reversal ki potential ko zahir karta hai. Is pattern ki significance is baat se barh jati hai ke yeh ek broad supply zone ke qareeb occur hua hai daily timeframe par, jahan selling pressure typically increase hota hai.




Given the prevailing bearish momentum, GBP/USD pair ke continue decline karne ki umeed hai. Double top pattern aur supply zone ki qareebi yeh outlook support karti hain. Broad supply zone ek significant resistance area act karta hai jahan sellers dominate karte hain, aur upward movement ko rok kar downward trajectory ko encourage karte hain.

Nearest demand zone 1.2660 level par logical target banta hai is potential decline ke liye. Demand zones wo areas hain jahan buying interest strong hone ki umeed hoti hai jo downtrend ko roke aur possibly reverse kare. 1.2660 level historically considerable buying activity dikhata hai, is wajah se yeh ek key support level banta hai jo is scenario mein dekhna chahiye.

Kayi technical indicators bhi bearish outlook ko support karte hain. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) downward trend par hoga, jo weakening bullish momentum aur strengthening bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Iske alawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi ek bearish crossover show kar sakta hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke niche cross karti hai, jo further downward trend ko confirm karti hai.

Traders jo is bearish setup se faida uthana chahte hain unhe current levels ke aas paas ya double top resistance ke pullback par short positions consider karni chahiye. Recent highs ke upar stop-loss orders place karna risk ko manage karne mein madadgar hoga, taake potential losses limited ho agar market unexpectedly reverse ho jaye. Initial target in short positions ke liye 1.2660 demand zone hoga, jahan traders ko buying interest aur potential support ke signs dekhne chahiye.

In conclusion, GBP/USD 4-hour chart par double top pattern formation aur daily timeframe par broad supply zone ki proximity ek strong bearish reversal ka signal deti hai. Prevailing bearish momentum suggest karta hai ke price apni decline ko 1.2660 demand zone ki taraf continue karega. Traders ko short positions consider karni chahiye jab ke sound risk management practices employ karte hue is anticipated downward move ko effectively navigate karne ke liye.

Technical Analysis of Foreign Currencies in the GBP/USD Pair

US inflation numbers came in lower than all expectations, leading to a strong decline in the price of the US dollar. This helped the bulls push the price of the British pound against the US dollar (GBP/USD) to the psychological resistance level of 1.3000, the highest for the currency pair in a year. This confirms the strength and control of the bulls over the trend. The price of the sterling dollar began trading this week stable around the level of 1.2973, awaiting new developments.

Among the economic data released, Britain will attract the most attention in the region. The latest reading of consumer prices on Wednesday may show that British services inflation slowed for a fifth month in June, to 5.6% - still well above the 2% target set by policymakers. The country's latest wage figures will be released next Thursday, with regular wage growth expected to fall below 6% for the first time in 20 months, in figures covering the quarter ending in May. Wednesday will also see the so-called King's Speech, where Prime Minister Keir Starmer will use the opportunity to showcase his new government's efforts to stimulate economic growth in the UK.

Meanwhile, retail sales for June, due on Friday, are likely to fall, while other data on the same day will mark the first public finance reading by Treasurer Rachel Reeves since taking office. Overall, the week's numbers are the last major releases before the Bank of England's decision on August 1, when officials will decide whether to cut interest rates for the first time since the start of the pandemic.

According to the economic calendar results, the UK economy grew by 0.4% in June, double the rate economists had expected, indicating that the second quarter is on track to record a strong 0.7% progress. Some economists believe that by the end of the year, Britain will have posted a 1.5% annual increase in the G10, putting it near the top of the G7. In general, the recent gains in sterling also reflect a decline in expectations regarding the Bank of England's interest rate cut on August 1. For his part, Hugh Bell, chief economist at the Bank of England, said that the timing of the first interest rate cut remains uncertain due to stubborn inflation in the services sector.

GBP/USD Forecast Today:




So far, the upward rebound in the price of the British pound against the US dollar, GBP/USD, remains the strongest. The psychological resistance of 1.3000 will remain a key indicator of the bulls’ control over the trend, and at the same time, technical indicators will move towards strong saturation levels for buying. Unless the pound gains new positive momentum, the currency pair may be exposed to profit-taking sales at any time. On the other hand, according to the performance on the daily chart below, the support level of 1.2775 will remain a threat to the current upward rebound.

GBP/USD Pair Ki Bullish Wave Structure

GBP/USD ke H4 chart ko dekhte hue, wave structure ek upward order banate hue nazar aa raha hai. MACD indicator upper bullish zone mein rise kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar cross kar raha hai. Pichlay do hafton mein price upar ki taraf surge kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke bullish divergences ko erase kar rahi hai MACD par.

Magar, ab pullback ki probability barh gayi hai kyun ke full upward cycle lagta hai ke play out ho gaya hai. Wave structure teen waves dikhata hai, jahan doosri wave choti aur chhoti hai. Pehli aur teesri waves lagbhag barabar lambai ki hain, jo ek "do-stick" pattern banate hain, jo pound ke liye aam hai.




CCI indicator ab overbought hai aur ek bearish divergence dikhata hai, jo aur zyada potential descent ko signal kar raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke ek pullback 1.2932 horizontal support level tak aayega, jahan hum ek rebound dekh sakte hain. Magar full uptrend cycle complete ho chuki hai, 1.2932 level ka breakdown hona likely hai.

1.2932 ke niche breakdown ek short position enter karne ka mauka de sakta hai, kyun ke price uske baad main support 1.2855 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Magar, mujhe ek deeper decline ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke broader trend ab upward shift ho gaya hai. Daily chart par switch karke dekhne se third wave up ka start confirm hota hai.

Is liye, near-term pullback likely hai, magar deeper reversal improbable lagta hai. Jo traders significantly below 1.2855 short positions hold kar rahe hain, unke liye price ko wahan phir se reach karna challenging hoga. Instead, outlook ek corrective pullback aur phir overall bullish trend ki continuation suggest karta hai.

Pichlay haftay price ne downward trade kiya, jo previous hafton ke overall upward trend ke andar ek corrective wave mana gaya. Is ke natije mein, is haftay ka aghaz ek white triangle ke andar hua jo do channels—ek bullish aur ek bearish—se bana tha. Asian session ke doran price ne zyada movement nahi dikhayi, lekin ab lagta hai ke upward trend shuru kar raha hai, aur red channel ko upward break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh correction ke khatam hone aur naye upward trend ke shuru hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Price behaviour weekly pivot level tak move kar sakta hai. Agar price 1.2880 ke weekly pivot level ko reach aur break kar ke 4-hour candle ke saath upar close kar le, to is haftay upward movement possible hai. Wagarna, agar price descending red channel line aur weekly pivot level se resistance face karta hai, to yeh gir sakta hai aur triangle ko downward break karne ki koshish karega, jo further decline ko weekly support levels 1.2780 aur 1.2790 tak le ja sakta hai.




Aaj sideways price movement dekhi gayi hai jab ke hafte ka aghaz do price channels ke andar hua: ek rising red channel jo pichlay haftay ki upward movement ko represent karta hai aur ek bearish blue channel jo pichlay do hafton ko represent karta hai. Price ne blue channel ko successfully upward break kiya, jo red channel ke andar potential upward movement ko weekly resistance level 1.2950 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, green line jo red channel ke upar extend hote hue monthly resistance level 1.2910 tak jati hai, potential upward movement ko represent karti hai. Yeh scenario tab rely kiya ja sakta hai agar price red channel ko break kar ke ek din ke liye upar close kare.

GBP/USD Analysis

4-hour chart pe current candle ek strong bearish wave shuru kar sakti hai, jo price ko weekly support level 1.2915 tak le ja sakti hai, jo pehle sideways trade ho rahi thi. Is hafte ke aghaz mein price bearish channels ke andar move kar rahi hai, pichlay do hafton ke bearish trading ke baad. Price channels ki mid-lines aur weekly pivot level 1.2895 ke neeche hai.

Jab price pivot level tak uthi, to neeche bounce hui lekin pivot level aur mid-channel lines ke beech trade karte rahi. Ab price wapas mid-channel lines par aayi hai, aur agar yeh inhe break kar le, to support level 1.2780 tak further decline possible hai.




Isi dauran, GBP/USD ek bullish pattern mein trade kar rahi hai, weekly pivot level 2766 ke upar aur upward-trending price channels ke andar. Price weekly resistance level 2990 aur upper channel lines tak pahunch gayi hai, jo downward correction pehle dekhne ko mil sakti hai pehle ke phir se rise continue ho.

Is hafte, agar price 2930 level ke upar positively close kare, to agle hafte ke liye aur zyada upside potential dikhayi deta hai. Aane wale ghanton mein, price behaviour ko monitor karein; buying opportunities arise ho sakti hain agar price 2765 level tak gire aur 1-hour chart par wapas upar rebound kare. Mahine ke aghaz se, price ne blue channel ko breakout kiya, support gain kiya aur upper red channel line ki taraf move ki, jo strong resistance act karti thi. Yeh ek price peak ka sabab bani, aur ab price girna shuru ho gayi hai, yeh umeed hai ke monthly pivot level tak pahuchegi, jo broken channel ka retest serve karegi. Yeh level price ko aur ek rise ke liye support de sakta hai.

Technical Analysis of Foreign Currencies in the GBP/USD Pair
US inflation numbers came in lower than all expectations, leading to a strong decline in the price of the US dollar. This helped the bulls push the price of the British pound against the US dollar (GBP/USD) to the psychological resistance level of 1.3000, the highest for the currency pair in a year. This confirms the strength and control of the bulls over the trend. The price of the sterling dollar began trading this week stable around the level of 1.2973, awaiting new developments.

Among the economic data released, Britain will attract the most attention in the region. The latest reading of consumer prices on Wednesday may show that British services inflation slowed for a fifth month in June, to 5.6% - still well above the 2% target set by policymakers. The country's latest wage figures will be released next Thursday, with regular wage growth expected to fall below 6% for the first time in 20 months, in figures covering the quarter ending in May. Wednesday will also see the so-called King's Speech, where Prime Minister Keir Starmer will use the opportunity to showcase his new government's efforts to stimulate economic growth in the UK.

Meanwhile, retail sales for June, due on Friday, are likely to fall, while other data on the same day will mark the first public finance reading by Treasurer Rachel Reeves since taking office. Overall, the week's numbers are the last major releases before the Bank of England's decision on August 1, when officials will decide whether to cut interest rates for the first time since the start of the pandemic.

According to the economic calendar results, the UK economy grew by 0.4% in June, double the rate economists had expected, indicating that the second quarter is on track to record a strong 0.7% progress. Some economists believe that by the end of the year, Britain will have posted a 1.5% annual increase in the G10, putting it near the top of the G7. In general, the recent gains in sterling also reflect a decline in expectations regarding the Bank of England's interest rate cut on August 1. For his part, Hugh Bell, chief economist at the Bank of England, said that the timing of the first interest rate cut remains uncertain due to stubborn inflation in the services sector.

GBP/USD currency pair ke liye, 1.2650 aur 1.2580 ke levels se bechne par ghoor kiya jaye, kyunke hourly timeframe mein pair moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bechne ko zyada relevant banata hai. 1.2670 bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur stop-loss 1.2710 ke level par rakha jaye. MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, jo selling strategy ko support karta hai. Fifteen-minute chart bhi sale ko confirm karta hai, aur H4 moving average price chart ke upar hai. Filhaal, GBP/USD pair do nazdeek ke buy aur sell levels ke beech trade kar raha hai. Purchases ke liye nazdeek ka level lagbhag 1.2575 hai, jabke sales ke liye nazdeek ka level 1.2805 hai. Chart par volume indicator ek bade player ki maujoodgi ko dikhata hai, jo ek distinct histogram bar se nazar aata hai jo baaki bars se mukhtalif hai.

Technically, Tuesday ke trading mein GBP/USD pair ko sellers ne successfully control kiya, jo buyers ke bullish momentum ko rokne mein kamiyab rahe. Bolang moving averages ka dobara jaiza lekar GBP/USD market ka direction accurately gauge karne ka plan bana rahe hain, taake achi profits hasil ki ja sakein aur loss ka risk kam ho. GBP/USD currency pair ke liye, 1.2678 aur 1.2550 ke levels se bechne par ghoor kiya jaye, kyunki hourly timeframe mein pair moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo sales ko zyada relevant banata hai. 1.2728 bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur stop-loss 1.2880 ke level par rakha jaye. MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, jo selling strategy ko support karta hai. Fifteen-minute chart bhi sale ko confirm karta hai, aur H4 moving average price chart ke upar hai. Isliye, selling ke liye resistance 1.0686 ko consider kiya jaye. Selling ke liye take profit level 1.2845 hai, aur stop loss level 1.2815 hai. H4 charts par sales confirm hain, isliye pair ko bechna ek safe option hai.

Current Market Analysis: GBP/USD

GBP/USD currency pair ne haali mein ek izafa dekha hai, jo 1.2800 ke ahem round number par close hua. Ye movement is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke buyers filhal market par asar andaz hain. Halankeh is upward movement ke bawajood, price ab bhi ek broad downward channel ke andar hai, aur ab tak koi wazeh breakout nahi hua. Ye situation ek ehtiyat baratne wala trading environment paida karti hai, jo buy position kholne ko mushkil banata hai jab tak ke market haalati surat-e-haal par zyada taqatwar radd-e-amal na dikhaye.

Recent Price Action

1. Significant Round Number:

1.2800 level par close hona notable hai kyun ke round numbers forex trading mein aksam mawa hindsa serve karte hain. Ye level buying interest ko attract karta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants is point par price ko support karne ke liye tayar hain. Magar, is level ko sustain karna ek bullish outlook ko confirm karne ke liye ahem hai.

2. Downward Channel:

Price ab bhi ek downward channel mein maqoof hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke broader trend ab bhi bearish hai. Is channel ka upper boundary dynamic resistance ka kaam karta hai, jabke lower boundary support provide karti hai. Jab tak channel ke upar koi breakout na dekha jaye, bearish trend dominant rahega.

Technical Indicators

1. Moving Averages:

• 50-day moving average (MA) 200-day MA ke neeche hai, jo long-term bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Price filhal 50-day MA ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo ek pivot point ke tor par act kar sakta hai.
• Ek sustained move 50-day MA ke upar, jo filhal 1.2830 ke qareeb hai, bullish case ko mazid takatwar banane ke liye zaroori hai.

2. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD:

• RSI 50 level ke qareeb hai. RSI ka 50 se upar hona bullish momentum ko mazid taqatwar dikhayega, jabke 50 se neeche rehna continued bearish sentiment ko suggest karega.
• MACD histogram zero line ke qareeb hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke momentum nisbatan neutral hai. Zero line ke upar ek positive crossover bullish outlook ko support karega.

Fundamental Factors

1. Economic Data:

• Haal hi mein izafa UK se aane wale positive economic data, jaise ke stronger-than-expected GDP growth ya favorable employment figures ke asar ke nateejay mein ho sakta hai.
• Iske baraks, agar US ka economic data weak ho, jaise disappointing job numbers ya lower-than-expected inflation, toh USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko support mil sakta hai.

2. Central Bank Policies:

• Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve ki policies ab bhi ek ahem kirdar ada karti hain. BoE se rate hikes ke ishare GBP ko mazid taqat de sakte hain, jab ke Fed ke dovish comments USD ko kamzor kar sakte hain.

Trading Strategy

Mojooda surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, traders ko buy positions lene se pehle ehtiyat baratni chahiye. Ahem levels jo dekhne chahiye woh yeh hain:

• 1.2830: Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh yeh ek bullish move ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo long positions ke liye moka faraham karta hai.
• 1.2750: Agar price is support ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai aur short positions ke liye moka de sakta hai.

Conclusion

GBP/USD currency pair ka haal hi mein 1.2800 tak rise buyer interest ka izhar karta hai, lekin prevailing downward channel aur decisive breakout ki kami ke wajah se immediate long positions lene mein ehtiyat baratni chahiye. Traders ko ahem levels aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye, sath hi fundamental factors ko bhi dekhna chahiye, taake market ke agle move ko effectively gauge kar sakein.

GBP/USD currency pair ki price movement is waqt scrutiny ke neeche hai. Meri analysis potential resistance level 1.2929 par indicate karti hai, jo 14.5% Fibonacci retracement ke mutabiq hai. Ye resistance akela relatively weak hai, magar ye 61.7% hourly retracement ke saath coincide karta hai, jo ek solid resistance cluster banata hai aur reversal ki likelihood ko increase karta hai. 23.5% level hourly retracement ke liye test ho chuka hai, magar ek pullback 8% tak ho sakta hai growth ke return se pehle towards 61.7% level ke cluster ke andar. Maine GBP/USD ke anticipated trajectory ko chart par outline kiya hai, halan ke individual waves mein minor adjustments ho sakti hain, magar overall goal cluster ke andar hi rahta hai. Market sentiment chart ko examine karte hue British pound ke liye, buy-to-sell transactions ka ratio euro/dollar sentiment se mukhtalif picture show karta hai. Koi significant directional advantage nahi hai, 47 percent buyers aur 53 percent sellers ke sath. Ye slight sales advantage negligible hai aur decisions ko heavily influence nahi karna chahiye. Pound/dollar pair sideways trade kar sakta hai ya euro/dollar pair ke movement ko mirror karte hue grow kar sakta hai. Us ke baad maine daily chart analyze ki British pound ke liye.
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British pound ne US dollar ke against recently ek low 1.2299 hit kiya hai aur us ke baad sharply bullish direction ki taraf turn kiya hai, ek upward price channel create karte hue. Is ascending channel ke andar, pound ab actively trade kar raha hai. Close inspection par, do distinct phases of growth aur do phases of decline chart par dekhe gaye hain. Dusri phase of decline ab conclude ho chuki hai, aur market ne Friday ko ek red candle ke saath close kiya, jo ye indicate karta hai ke price ka upward momentum continue karne ki strong probability hai.

**GBP/USD M5 Time Frame Chart**
GBP/USD.

Hello, Seryozhenka! Nayi job aur business week mubarak ho! Scientists ki mukhtalif rai hoti hain. To chaliye dekhtay hain aur apni trade plan karte hain. Aaj, Asian session ke dauran, hamara GBP/USD currency pair 1.2778-1.2811 ke chote flat mein trade kar raha hai. Chote M5 chart par, sell targets plot kiye gaye hain. Pehla target 161.8 level hai, Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, jo 1.2769 par hai. Dusra target Fibonacci grid ka level 261.8 hai aur ye 1.2753 par hai. Teesra target 423.6 level hai, Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, jo 1.2732 par hai. Upar break hone par, price bounce back kar sakti hai aur higher move kar sakti hai. Magar, mujhe current values se growth resume hone aur resistance ka break hone ki possibility nazar aa rahi hai 1.2793 par, jo uptrend continue karne ka mauka dega next strong resistance tak 1.2837 par. Mujhe upside potential -1.2940 par nazar aa raha h
**GBP/USD H1 Time Frame Chart**

GBP/USD.

Oh, kitna aap carry away ho gaye... Sirf aik sawal bacha hai, kya aap GBP/USD buy karne ke liye tayar hain? Main khud ko jawab dunga ke main bilkul tayar hoon, sirf ek rollback ki zaroorat hai. Main aap se shopping zone ke baare mein agree kar sakta hoon. Maine 1.2760 ka area mark kiya hai: ye wo jagah hai jahan main currency pair ko correct hone aur further upward move ke liye ground prepare karne ki umeed karta hoon. Agar ye rollback materialize nahi hota, toh mujhe buying mein involve hone ka koi point nazar nahi aata, kyunki direction ko dekh kar, bohot saari inconsistencies hain, magar bina rollback ke kaam karna mushkil hai. Horizontal level 1.2760 indicator reading ke sath coincide karta hai, kyunki yahan powerful support hai. Magar intraday growth target ke sath, main modest hoon aur ye meri modest trading needs ko meet karta hai. Main expect nahi karta ke price 1.2845 se upar jaye. Ye sirf desired location ka intezar karne ki baat hai deal open karne ke liye

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Colleagues, as-salamu alaykum!
Wow, aaj Monday ko market mein kaafi shake-up hua, especially AUD/USD mein. Price ne ascending channel ko breakdown kiya, aur frankly, aise breakout ke baad wapas usmein jaana mushkil lagta hai. Halaanki, GBP ko dekhein toh unhone daily candle ko bullish flip kar diya hai, toh hum yahan bhi aage chal kar aise hi mazboot rise dekh sakte hain.

Australian dollar gir raha hai Monday ke PMI data release ke baad. Australia ka composite PMI July mein 49.9 par aa gaya hai June ke 50.2 se, aur services PMI 50.4 se gir kar 51.8 ho gaya hai. US dollar apni ground lose kar raha hai recent unfavorable employment data ki wajah se, jo September mein Fed rate cut ke expectations ko barha raha hai. Australian dollar Monday ko around 0.6460 par trade kar raha hai.

Daily chart ko analyze karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke AUD/USD pair descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold level 30 ke neeche hover kar raha hai, jo upward correction ka imkaan batata hai. AUD/USD pair ko immediate support descending channel ke lower boundary par reverse support level 0.6470 ke aas paas mil sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, resistance pehle channel ke upper boundary par hai, jo 0.6520 ke aas paas hai, followed by nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 0.6544 par. Agla significant resistance 0.6575 par hai, jahan "reverse support turned resistance" hai. Agar price is level ke upar breakout karta hai, toh AUD/USD pair six-month high 0.6798 tak ja sakta hai. Main buy karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Sab ko profitable trades ki dua.

NZD/USD ke mojooda market situation

Chaliye NZD/USD currency pair ko D1 timeframe par discuss karte hain. Yeh pair aathve maheene ke aakhri din se downward trend mein hai, jo maheene ke douran steady decline kar raha hai. Yeh downtrend doosre major pairs ke comparison mein zyada intense raha hai. Wave structure downward move kar raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche. Teesri wave complete ho gayi hai, aur agar hum pehle wave par Fibonacci retracement apply karen, toh minimum downside targets 161.8 aur 200 levels par reach ho chuke hain.

Price ne ascending support line ko hit kiya jo higher waves ke lows se draw hui thi, break through kiya lekin support zone ke aas paas horizontal level 0.5862 ko penetrate karne mein fail hui. Is wajah se sellers ne positions close ki aur naye purchases hui, jo fourth wave mein slight rebound ka sabab bani. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke maheene ke aakhri din mein monthly results ko lock karna tha, jo price pullback ka sabab bana. Technical reasons bhi visible hain, jahan MACD par bullish divergence four-hour chart mein nazar aata hai. Ab, fifth wave mein decline ka continuation expect kiya ja raha hai, jo significant minimum level 0.5862 ko update karega.

Maine is move ko last Friday expect kiya tha, lekin US news ki wajah se yeh nahi hua. Non-farm payroll data forecast se kaafi worse tha, jahan US unemployment rate 0.2 points barh gaya. Iske nateeje mein price rally ki koshish ki lekin GBP aur EUR ke mukabale mein hold back raha jo surge hue. Yeh sellers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Main ab bhi downward scenario ko likely dekhta hoon.

NZD/USD ke near-term strategy

NZD/USD pair ko H1 timeframe par dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke upward trend hai kyunki price 133-period moving average ke upar hai, jo trend ko confirm karta hai. Magar, shorter timeframe par price 133-period moving average ke neeche close ho rahi hai, jo possible correction ko indicate karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke price 0.5965 level ke upar consolidate karein pehle is pair ko buy karne se pehle. Alternatively, agar price 0.5910 ke neeche jata hai, toh yeh sell ka signal hoga. Abhi, priority hourly timeframe par upward trend mein buying par hai.

Aaj, main NZD/USD ke potential buy opportunities par focus kar raha hoon. Di hui last daily close ne naya high result kiya, main buy entries ke liye dekhoon ga. Behtareen buying price pehle din ka low 0.5933 par hoga, lekin main is point ke upar bhi entries consider karoonga. Agar price pehle din ke range ke 50% se neeche drop hoti hai, mera stop order 0.5911 par loss limit karne ke liye hai. Main take profit 50% upar previous din ke highest point 0.5999 par lunga.

Market dynamics aur future outlook

Considering NZD/USD pair ka performance H1 chart par, market dynamics buying opportunities show kar rahi hain bawajood recent downward pressure ke. Focus key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas price behavior par hoga. Resistance level 0.5965 ke upar break aur consolidation further bullish movement ki raah samwaar sakta hai, potentially higher levels ko target kar sakta hai.

Magar, agar price is level ke upar hold nahi karti aur support 0.5910 ke neeche move karti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ka continuation indicate karega. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

Final thoughts aur recommendations

Conclusion mein, NZD/USD pair mixed picture present karta hai with opportunities for both bullish aur bearish trades depending on how the price reacts to key support aur resistance levels. Daily chart par overall trend bearish hai, lekin hourly chart upward correction ka potential show karta hai.

Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur clear signals ka wait karna chahiye trades enter karne se pehle. Resistance level 0.5965 ke upar break aur consolidation long jaane ka signal hoga, jabke support 0.5910 ke neeche drop further downside suggest karega. Economic news aur market sentiment ko monitor karna bhi crucial hoga informed trading decisions lene mein.

Technical Analysis of Foreign Currencies: GBP/USD Pair

US jobs panic ke baad aur Federal Reserve ke emergency cut ki baaton ke bawajood, GBP/USD ne US dollar ke against rise dikhaya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, British pound ka exchange rate dollar ke against GBP/USD mein rise hua aur stocks gir gaye jab highly anticipated US jobs report ne confirm kiya ke unemployment barh rahi hai aur economy slow ho rahi hai.

Financial markets ne 2024 mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se 100 basis points ke interest rate cuts ko price karna shuru kar diya jab US unemployment rate July mein 4.3% tak barh gaya aur non-farm payrolls 114,000 se barh gayi, jo June ke 179,000 se kam hai aur analysts ke 176,000 expectations se bhi kam hai. General mein, economists yeh samajhte hain ke US Federal Reserve September mein 50 basis points ke large cut ya meetings ke darmiyan cut karne ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

US dollar broadly weaker respond kar raha hai: GBP/USD ne earlier losses recover kar liye aur din ke ek third percent tak 1.2840 pe rise ho gaya. EUR/USD 0.85% se barh kar 1.0925 ho gaya aur USD/JPY 1.34% se gir kar 146.55 ho gaya.

September meeting ke liye 50 basis point rate cut ke odds barh gaye hain, market prices 30% se zyada probability dikhati hain. Official announcement ke mutabiq, US private sector companies ne July mein total 97,000 jobs add ki, jo March 2023 se weakest hai, aur private sector payroll growth ka three-month average (142,000 jobs) January 2021 se lowest level tak gir gaya.

Stock markets bhi sharply gir gayi data ke baad kyunki investors ko dar hai ke Federal Reserve ne US interest rate cuts mein dair kar di hai. Yeh pound pe bhi pressure daal raha hai. Aagey barhte hue, Fed rate cut expectations ka rise Bank of England ke expectations pe bhi asar daal sakta hai. Yeh samajhne mein madad milti hai ke pound dusri currencies ke against kyun gir gaya hai.