usd/jpy

USD/JPY ki current situation kuch challenging hai, lekin overall currency pairs ka direction dekhte hue, abhi sirf northern movement ka option consider kar raha hoon. Mera main target important resistance level 146.89 par hai. Agar buyers initiative le lete hain, to hum north ki taraf ek kaafi strong movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sab se zaroori baat ye hai ke abhi tak upward movement ka direction hi chosen hai. Lekin agar bears price ko nearest support level ke neeche dhakel dete hain, to direction mein tabdeeli mumkin hai, lekin is waqt hum usay discuss nahi karte. Aaj kai news events hain, jo theoretically humare pair ko influence kar sakti hain. Dekhte hain ke kya ye events impact dalte hain: US dollar ke liye kuch average-level ke events hain, lekin main sirf important ones ko mention karoon ga: Building Permits (Aug), New Home Sales (Aug), Crude Oil Inventories, aur Crude Oil Excess Reserves in Cushing, Oklahoma. Japan ke liye aaj sirf kuch weak events expected hain: Corporate Services Price Index (CSPI) (y/y) aur Bank of Japan Core CPI (y/y). Calendar ke mutabiq kuch 2-star aur 3-star news events hain jo significant movement ka tone set kar rahe hain. Of course, strong news events kisi bhi technical analysis forecast ko adjust kar sakti hain, isliye humein cautious rehna ho ga.Investors abhi tak Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ke recent comments ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. Ueda ne kaha hai ke BoJ abhi monetary policy adjustments ke hawalay se ehtiyat kar raha hai, aur interest rates mein izafa filhal likely nahi lagta. Ueda ne market aur economic conditions ka thorough analysis zaroori samjha hai before koi policy decision le jaye, aur unhone external risks ka bhi zikar kiya, jaise ke financial markets mein volatility aur US economy ki uncertainties, jo Japan ke monetary policy ke liye aham hain. September meeting mein BoJ ne interest rates ko 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Ye speculation hai ke October meeting mein koi bara change nahi hoga, lekin December tak BoJ ke pass kaafi evidence ho sakta hai ke rate hike justify kiya jaye.Waisi, US dollar ki recent girawat, jo weak US consumer confidence data ke waja se hui, ne yen ko strong kiya hai. Is move ne Federal Reserve ke further rate cuts ki umeedon ko barhawa diya hai.

USD/JPY abhi ek broad consolidation zone mein hai, jo 143.43 se 144.66 ke darmiyan centered hai. Market ne ek downward move shuru kiya tha 142.55 tak, aur is level ko ooper se test kiya. Hum assume karte hain ke is range ke upper limit tak rebound ho sakta hai. Agar price 144.70 se ooper break karti hai, to 145.77 tak rise ho sakta hai, aur possibly 146.66 tak bhi. Waisa agar price 142.00 tak girti hai, to phir ye trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo 137.77 tak le jaye. MACD indicator is bullish scenario ko support kar raha hai, jisme signal line zero se ooper hai aur upward point kar rahi hai.