usd/jpy

USD/JPY Currency Pair ki Halat
USD/JPY currency pair ab ek correctory neeche ki harkat ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke haal hi mein 156.10 ke darje par tha. Ye level, jo pehle tak pohancha gaya tha, ab ek ahem resistance point ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Maal, itihaadi urooj par karobar ho raha hai, ye qabil-e ghoor baat hai kyun ke qeemat ne pichle do dashton mein aise buland darje tak nahi pohancha.




Is ma'amle ko gehraai se samajhne ke liye, USD/JPY currency pair ka wasee manzar samajhna zaroori hai. USD/JPY United States Dollar (USD) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ke darmiyan tabadla daromad ko numaya karta hai. Forex trading ke duniya mein, ye pair sab se zyada sargarm taur par trade hone wala hai. Is ke harkat ko traders, investors, aur economists sabhi qareebi tor par nigrani rakhte hain, dono currencies ki ma'ashi ahmiyat ke bais. Pichle bees saalon mein, USD/JPY ne mukhtalif fluctuations dekhe hain jo mukhtalif ma'ashi, siyasi, aur ijtemai factors ke asar se huay hain. Ye factors Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan dwara set kiye gaye interest rates, ma'ashi policies mein tabdiliyan, aur aham global events shamil hain jo market sentiment par asar daalti hain. Mojudah trading level jo qareeb 156.10 ke qareeb hai, khaas tor par ahem hai kyun ke ye buland darja hai jo pichle do dashton mein dekha gaya nahi hai. Ye urooj ek dor mein besh qeemat US Dollar ke liye Japanese Yen ke muqablay mein hai.

Haal hi mein is buland darje se neeche ki correction market ke dynamics ka ek fitri hissa hai. Corrections tab hoti hain jab kisi maal ki qeemat mojooda trend ke ulte rukh mein chalti hai, aam tor par aik ahem harkat ke baad.

USD/JPY H-1
Aaj ki guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke harkat ko shakhsiyat angaiz dynamics par ghoorte hain. Buland anti-risk jazbat ne Japanese yen ki tijarati ko izafa kar diya hai, jis ne as a US dollar par neechay ki dabao daala hai. Jab USD/JPY pair 155.64 sahara level ke qareeb pohancha, to market ka jazbat halka hawa mein hai, traders aham resistance levels ko taqreeban breakout ya reversal signals ke liye qareebi nigrani mein rakhte hain. Chaliye is currency pair ke potential rukh ko samajhne ke liye aaj ke market ke manzar par aik mukammal tajziya shuru karte hain.

USD/JPY pair ne mazboot resistance ko 155.23 par mulaahiza kiya, jo ke 154.35-154.04 ke range ki taraf ek mumkin kamiyat ka ishaara hai. Mukhtalif taur par, agar is resistance ko paar kiya gaya to ye pair 155.62 aur 155.85 ke darmiyan darjaton tak pohanch sakta hai. Darmiyan mein intraday bearish trend ke bawajood, moving averages ek dilchasp kharidari mauqa paish karte hain, jabke technical indicators bhi bullish stance ki taraf ishaarat dete hain. Lekin, hoshyar traders tasdeeq ke liye intezar karte hain taake muntazir bullish momentum ko mustaqil kar sakein.





Mausool abhi resistance trend line ki taraf barh rahi hai mojooda level ke upar. USD/JPY pair apni 156.27 ki qeemat par izafa kar raha hai. Bulls bearish dabao ka jawab de rahe hain. Qeemat ne sahara 25% level (154.49) par paya aur abhi 1/3 angle ke neeche aram kar rahi hai. Bulls is angle ko paar karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Qeemat ki mustaqil ho jane ke baad, bears zyada taqatwar dabaav ko dobara shuru kar sakte hain, kam az kam 1/4 angle ko nishana bana kar. Ahem levels aur market signals ka qareebi nigrani mein rakhna USD/JPY ki harkat mein sailaabon ko samajhne ke liye ahem hai. Munsifana faislay aur maloomati entekhabat se naye mauqe ka faida uthana mumkin hai. Market mazboot aur shadeed hai. Ye tajziya mojooda market ki halat par ek mukhtasar aur wazeh nazar faraham karta hai.

USD/JPY

**USD/JPY Exchange Rate: Ek Mukammal Jaiza**
USD/JPY ek forex pair hai jo United States Dollar (USD) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ko represent karta hai. Forex market mein ye pair bohot zyada traded aur significant mana jata hai, kyunki ye dono currencies duniya ki badi economies ko represent karti hain—United States aur Japan. USD/JPY pair ka matlab hai ke aap kitne Japanese Yen mein ek US Dollar khareed sakte hain.

### USD/JPY Ki Ahmiyat

USD/JPY ka pair forex market mein bohot important hai kyunki ye dono countries ki economic health aur monetary policies ko reflect karta hai. United States duniya ki sabse badi economy hai, aur Japan Asia ki badi aur developed economies mein se ek hai. Is wajah se, USD/JPY pair international trade, investments, aur financial markets par significant asar daalta hai.

### Factors Jo USD/JPY Ko Influence Karte Hain

1. **Interest Rates**: USD/JPY ko bohot had tak interest rate differentials influence karte hain. US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate decisions is pair par direct asar daalte hain. Agar Fed apne interest rates barhata hai aur BoJ apne rates low rakhta hai, to USD ki demand barh jati hai aur USD/JPY pair upar jata hai. Isi tarah, agar BoJ apne rates mein tabdeeli kare, to JPY ki demand barh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

2. **Economic Data**: Dono mulkon ki economic performance USD/JPY ko influence karti hai. Strong US economic data, jaise GDP growth, employment rates, aur retail sales, USD ko support karte hain. Isi tarah, Japan ka economic data, jese industrial production aur consumer spending, JPY ki value par asar daalta hai.

3. **Safe-Haven Demand**: Japanese Yen ko ek safe-haven currency mana jata hai. Jab global financial markets mein uncertainty ya instability hoti hai, to investors JPY ki taraf shift karte hain, jo USD/JPY ko neeche le jata hai. Conversely, agar markets stable hain, to investors USD mein invest karna prefer karte hain, jo USD/JPY ko barhata hai.

4. **Central Bank Policies**: US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policies USD/JPY par bohot significant impact daalti hain. Fed ki tightening ya easing policies aur BoJ ki monetary stance is pair ko directly influence karti hain. BoJ ka zero interest rate policy aur quantitative easing JPY ki value ko control karne ke tools hain, jo USD/JPY ki movement ko affect karte hain.

### USD/JPY Ki Trading

Forex trading platforms par aap USD/JPY pair ko trade kar sakte hain. Is mein aap spot trading, futures, aur options ke zariye participate kar sakte hain. Forex trading mein high risk involved hota hai, isliye proper research aur risk management zaroori hai.

### Conclusion

USD/JPY forex market ka ek important pair hai jo US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ki economic health aur policies ko reflect karta hai. Is pair ko trade karte waqt, traders ko both technical aur fundamental analysis ko consider karna chahiye. Proper research aur risk management se, traders is pair ki volatility ko effectively navigate kar sakte hain aur trading opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain.

Ye short jaiza aapko USD/JPY pair ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit hoga.

**Morning Update for Traders: USD/JPY Focus**
**Subha Bakher, Traders!**

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair par focus kar rahe hain, aur iska price movement daily pivot point analysis ke zariye dekha ja raha hai. Is waqt market sentiment bullish lag raha hai. Price ne kal ke high ko cross kar liya hai, jo ke potential upward momentum ki nishani hai. Lekin, koi bhi buy position lene se pehle yeh zaroori hai ke price correction ka intezar kiya jaye. Aik behtareen entry point tab hoga jab price kal ke candlestick ka taqreeban 38% retrace kare. Is waqt, buy trade mein jump karna munasib nahi hai, kyunki hum abhi bhi kal ke closing price ke qareeb hain.

**Strategic Entry Approach**

Ek successful trading strategy ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke European ya US trading sessions ka intezar kiya jaye. Yeh woh waqt hota hai jab thoda pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ek behtareen buying opportunity faraham karega. Technical analysis mein, pichli price levels humein mustaqbil ke movements ke bare mein insight deti hain; is liye, pehle ke highs aur lows ahm reference points ke taur par kaam aate hain.

**Key Resistance Levels and Potential Scenarios**

Main khaas taur par resistance level 161.951 par tawajju de raha hoon. Meri analysis do possible scenarios dikhati hai:

**Bullish Continuation**
Agar price 161.951 ke resistance ke upar rehti hai, to hum mazeed upward movement expect kar sakte hain. Is surat mein, agla target resistance level 164.500 hoga. Agar price is area ke qareeb aata hai, to main aik trading pattern dhoondne ki koshish karunga jo ke next market direction predict karne mein madad karega. Agar bullish momentum mazboot rehti hai, to price mazeed barh kar long-term target 168.000 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin, kuch pullbacks ke liye tayar rahiye, jo ke support levels par nayi buying opportunities faraham kar sakte hain.

**Bearish Reversal**
Dosri taraf, agar price 161.951 ke resistance ke upar apni position maintain karne mein nakam rehti hai aur aik reversal candle banti hai, to hum ek downturn ka tajziya kar sakte hain. Is surat mein, main dekhoonga ke price wapas key support levels 160.209 ya 157.671 par aaye. In points par, main bullish signals dhoondunga jo overall bullish trend ke sath align karte hain, aur price mein bounce expect karunga.

**Summary**

Summary mein, USD/JPY ek crucial juncture par hai, aur market ka reaction resistance level 161.951 par bohot ahem hoga. Agar buyers dominant rehte hain, to hum higher levels jaise 164.500 ya 168.000 ko target kar sakte hain. Lekin agar ek reversal hota hai, to price critical support levels tak retrace kar sakti hai, jo naye buying opportunities paida kar sakti hain.

Aaj sabr bohot zaroori hai—behtareen entry point ka intezar karna fayde ko maximize aur risk ko minimize karne ke liye zaroori hai.




European aur US sessions ke dauran price movements par nazar rakhiye taake informed decisions le sakein. In ahem levels par market ke reaction ke mutabiq apni trading strategy adjust karne ke liye tayar rahiye. Price action aur overall market sentiment ke mutabiq apne trades ko effectively manage karna, aapki trading performance ko behtar banayega.

**Detailed Analysis of the USD/JPY Currency Pair**
**Haal Hi Ki Price Movement**

Meri recent analysis mein, USD/JPY currency pair mein aik significant decline dekha gaya, jo ke last Thursday daily (D1) timeframe par 144.40 tak gir gaya. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke price ka 146.50 se neeche girna mushkil hai. US dollar index mein ek tezi se izafa hua hai, jo ke zyada tar Ukraine aur Russia ke darmiyan chalti hui geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai.

**Recovery ki Expectations**

Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY currency pair 145.50 ke supply zone se upar recover karega, jo Thursday ko dekha gaya tha, aur yeh long-term bullish investors ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai. Agar buyers is supply level ke upar settle karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to price January ke high 146.40 tak barh sakta hai. Mazeed, main key resistance levels 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720, ke sath sath Bollinger Bands ko bhi closely monitor kar raha hoon.

**Technical Indicators aur Trend Analysis**

Analysis ke doran, mujhe maloom hua ke bulls ne pehle ke bearish trend line ko breach kar liya hai, jo buying volume mein izafa ka ishara hai. Magar, agar price bearish sell level 142.901 tak pohnchti hai, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift ka sabab ban sakti hai. Agar price retrace karke is bearish scenario ke sath align hoti hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke price girti hui Bollinger Bands ke neeche ja sakti hai.
Aaj, mujhe thodi si price drop ki umeed hai, jo isay hourly chart par XamaSystem indicator ke neeche le ja sakta hai, shayad 146.69 ya MA120 moving average line tak, jo is waqt 146.08 par hai. Is girawat ke baad, mujhe rebound aur reversal ki umeed hai.

Targets

Akhir mein, mujhe umeed hai ke USDJPY Thursday ke maximum 147.60 tak grow karega aur is level ko exceed karega. Agla target Wednesday ka maximum 147.90 hoga, is ke baad



**30-Minute Chart Analysis**

30-minute chart ki analysis mein dekhne ko mila ke oscillator is waqt oversold territory mein hai, aur histogram ek nayi uptrend ka ishara de raha hai. Price 141.86 tak gir gayi thi magar ab recover kar rahi hai. Yeh is waqt green zone se guzarte hue move kar rahi hai aur red zone mein support mil sakta hai. Price green zone ke through advance kar ke apni pehli sideways range mein wapas aa sakti hai, jahan support kareeb 153.11 aur resistance kareeb 154.71 par hai.

**Mojooda Market Conditions**

Is waqt, prices significantly neeche trade kar rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Key support areas ab tak test nahi hue magar yeh ab tak strong hain, jo considerable downside potential ka ishara karte hain. Is corrective recovery phase ke doran, main aik potential resistance level 145.81 par identify kar raha hoon. Agar is level ka retest hota hai aur phir reversal hota hai, to yeh nayi downtrend ke liye rasta bana sakta hai, jiske target areas kareeb 137.72 aur 135.18 par honge.

**USD/JPY Price Action**
Aaj kal USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ki study par ziada baat ho rahi hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke mujhe kuch hint mil raha hai, magar mujhe currency market section mein in geopolitical issues par baat karke thakan mehsoos ho rahi hai. Lekin, raat bhar mein Middle East mein nayi escalation ke signals nazar aaye hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, to Monday ke din is instrument ke market open hote hi surprises mil sakte hain. Lekin har surat mein yeh Japanese yen ko mazid mazbooti ki taraf laane par majboor karenge. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar, misal ke tor par, Monday ko quotes 147.90 ke mark se upar nahi jaate, to shayad yeh price se selling market mein entry ka waqt ho sakta hai. Lekin hum is idea ko weekend ke baad analyze karenge taa ke tamaam fundamental factors ko durust tor par samajh sakein.
rahi hai aur red zone mein support mil sakta hai. Price green zone ke through advance kar ke apni pehli sideways range mein wapas aa sakti hai, jahan support kareeb 153.11 aur resistance kareeb 154.71 par hai.

Mojooda Market Conditions

Is waqt, prices significantly neeche trade kar rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Key support areas ab tak test nahi hue magar yeh ab tak strong hain, jo considerable downside potential ka ishara karte hain. Is corrective recovery phase ke doran, main aik potential resistance
Agar hum USD/JPY pair ke aakhri maximum se neeche aane wale impulse ko 100% lein, to agli wave ko neeche 133rd figure ke area mein dekhna chahiye, jahan qareeb 138th Fibonacci level mojood hai.


Yeh wahi jagah hai jahan upward correction ke baad yen ko dekhna chahiye. Baat yeh hai ke trend line ke neeche breakout ke sath consolidation mil chuki hai, jo matlab hai ke ek further southern zigzag banane ke grounds mojood hain. Agar aap hourly chart dekhein, to humein 146.30 par ek relatively acha support level nazar aata hai, jo ke last Tuesday ka high tha, aur price pehle bhi is se bounce kar chuki hai, aur aam tor par week is level ke qareeb close hui hai. To mujhe lagta hai ke agle trading week mein yahan se long positions kholna mumkin ho sakta hai. Aise positions ka goal yeh hoga ke USD/JPY currency pair 161st level of Fibonacci grid tak barh sakta hai, jo qareeb 151.70 ke aas paas hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle week mein humein 148.53 milega, ya kam az kam 200 points. Main suggest karta hoon ke aap apni trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara check kar lein. Economic calendar mein teen stars category ke news kaafi hain, dono Japan aur US se.

USD / JPY H1 Chart:


Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq aaj ke usdjpy currency pair ke liye, lagta hai ke keemat mein 147.70 ki taraf ek upri correction hogi. Yeh is wajah se hai ke H1 time frame mein usdjpy currency pair ki movement ne ek bullish engulfing candle banai hai jo BUY USDJPY ke liye ek bohot taqatwar signal hai 147.70 ki keemat tak. Is ke ilawa, mere tajziya mein relative strength index 14 indicator ki tafseeli guftagu se pata chalta hai ke USDJPY ki keemat 145.70 par kal oversold ya zyada bechnay wala declare hui thi, isliye bohot mumkin hai ke USDJPY keemat mustaqbil mein 147.70 tak phir se chadhe. BUY USDJPY signal ko bhi ishara mil raha hai ke USDJPY ki keemat ne Fibonacci 0 line ko guzar diya hai, isliye bohot zyada mumkin hai ke BUYERS aaj USDJPY pair mein dakhil ho jayenge. Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq USDJPY currency pair ki movement ke liye, maine faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko 147.70 ki keemat par BUY karna hai.

USD / JPY D1 Chart:



Rozana ke time frame mein Moving Average technique ke sath dekha gaya hai, keemat phir se bearishly neeche ja rahi hai Yellow MA 200 area se door, jo keemat ko ab bhi bechne wale ke control mein rakhta hai jo bearish pressure jari rakhte hain aur bearish candlestick aaj ke trading ko nichayi ki taraf gahri bearish movement ke liye muntazir banate hain agle buyer demand support area ki taraf. Aaj ke dopahar ke trading mein buyers ko dekha gaya hai ke woh barhne wale dakhil hone ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bullish resistance dikhane mein shuruwat kar rahe hain aur keemat ko upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain takay seller ke resistance area ko test kiya ja sake. Agar yeh kamiyab hojati hai, to keemat barhti rahegi lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, to aap sell entry kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY: Price Action Forecasting
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki current pricing behavior par baat kar rahe hain aur usay analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ka jo current trend hai woh neeche ki taraf shift ho gaya hai, jo ke short-term mein bearish direction mein trading opportunities ko signal kar raha hai. Is hafte ke aaghaz par, pair ne aik crucial support level 147.74 ko breach kiya aur us se neeche stabilize ho gaya, jo ke bearish outlook ko confirm kar raha hai. Is movement ne traders ko yeh confidence diya hai ke agay aur decline hoga, agle support level 144.29 tak. Bearish trades ke liye, stop-loss ko thoda sa resistance level 148.52 ke ooper set karein. USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis, Bollinger Bands aur vertical volume assessment ke zariye yeh reveal karti hai ke jab pair 146.434 par trade kar raha hai, to long position open karna faydemand ho sakta hai. Target price indicator ke upper band ke saath align karti hai, jo ke taqriban 146.645 par hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke aap vigilant rahein, kyun ke indicator ke realignment ki wajah se chhoti moti price adjustments ho sakti hain. Bollinger Bands ke mid line, jo ke taqriban 146.093 par hai, ke hawalay se pair ke behavior ko monitor karna bhi zaroori hai. Agar reversal pattern emerge hota hai aur price 146.093 se neeche dip karti hai, to long positions ko minimal loss ke saath close karna aur sell position initiate karna prudent hoga. Agar sellers momentum gain karte hain aur price 146.093 se neeche aur reinforce hoti hai, to sales target lower Bollinger Band par 145.541 tak shift ho sakta hai. Market ke volatility aur traders ki active participation ke madde nazar, aik flexible strategy adopt karna aur price changes par foran response karna successful trading ke liye essential hai. Filhal, USD/JPY pair apne opening level 147.94 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 148.57 ke neeche position hai. Key indicators bearish trend ko suggest kar rahe hain, jahan price MA 71 trend line ke neeche hai, jahan typically volume kam hoti hai

USD / JPY D1 Chart:



Hamari tajziya ka mawadah yeh hai ke USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing behavior ka hal abhi kaisa hai. USD/JPY pair nedir support level 144.53 ko break kar chuka hai, jo ke yeh darshaata hai ke downtrend jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki giravat ke baad, pair ne ek upward correction ki koshish ki jahan buyers ne kuch khoya hua maqam wapas hasil kiya takay 144.53 resistance level tak pohanchen. Is point se behtar hai ke sell positions open ki jayen, jo ke mazeed giravat ki taraf ja sakti hain 140-141 range tak. Ya to agar pair 144.53 resistance se oopar rebound karta hai, to recovery jari reh sakti hai, aglay resistance level 146.38 tak. Ek ascending channel jo ghari ke chart par ek jhanda ki shakal mein hai yeh darshaata hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. D1 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai jahan se usne apne lower boundary se bounce kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ko break karti hai, to 145.69 tak target ke saath buying ek munasib strategy ho sakti hai. USD/JPY pair nedir 143 ke aas paas gir gaya tha lekin phir se ubhra, aur American trading session ke end tak 100 points hasil kiye. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikhata hai. Bears ne price ko 144.99 key level ke neeche dabaane mein asafal rahay, jo ke downtrend ka jari rehne par shak paida karta hai. Maujooda market ki ghair-yaqeeni ke maamlay mein, behtar ho sakta hai ke ehtiyaat barqarar rakhna, kyunke price kai din tak is level ke aas paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot haftawar support level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke dollar ko jald hi ek correct rebound dekhne ki nishani hai. Speaker filhal sirf pair ko bechnay ka tajziya kar raha hai aur is waqt kharidne ka irada nahi hai. Currency pair ne 143.99 level ko neeche se test kiya hai aur pehle se hi 144.49 tak chadha hai, jo ek musbat nishani hai, aur bulls price ko Asian trading session mein mazeed 49 points tak oopar le ja sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 abhi sirf ahem support level 141.70 ke oopar hai. Yeh level giravat par shart lagane wale traders ke liye aham target ho sakta hai. Thori consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka silsila jari rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ko zyada USD/JPY exchange rate mein aham giravat hone nahi dega. Unhone pehle hi zahir kiya hai ke yen ki keemat tezi se badalne par woh currency market mein dakhal daal sakte hain, jo agar yen zyada taqatwar ho to yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Isliye, 129 ka target waqai hai nahi, kyunke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas paas dakhal daal sakti hai bade paimane par yen daal kar.

Jumay ke aakhri European session tak, spot price din ke trading range ke andar fluctuate kar raha hai, lekin abhi tak important 144.00 level ke neeche hai. Yeh pair mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai Federal Reserve ke muntaqil dovish ravaiye ke sabab se jo ke US Dollar ki dilkashayi kam kar raha hai. Iska asar Japanese Yen ki taqat ke wajah se barh gaya hai, jo ke Bank of Japan ke anjaane mehzaboot policy tightening ka natija hai.

USD/JPY ke bunyadi asool:

Pair ko Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitical tensions se faida milne ka imkaan hai. Itwaar ko ek Israeli airstrike ne do schools ko nishana banaya, jismein kam az kam 30 log halak ho gaye, Reuters ke mutabiq. Iske ilawa, US Secretary of State Tony Blinken ne warn kiya hai ke Iran aur Hezbollah Israel pe jitni jaldi ho sake, peer tak hamla kar sakte hain, jaise ke Axios ke mutabiq kai sources ne inform kiya hai.

Yeh barhti hui geopolitical tensions Japanese Yen ko aur taqat de sakti hain. Blinken ke G7 counterparts ko diye gaye bayan se ye pata chalta hai ke conflict ka khatra barh raha hai, jo ke safe-haven assets jese ke JPY ki demand ko barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh geopolitical uncertainty USD/JPY ke dynamics mein ek aur pechida tabqa daal rahi hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ko 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qarib 145.17 pe resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level cross ho jata hai to bearish sentiment kam ho sakti hai aur pair 150.00 ke "throwback support turned resistance" ko test kar sakta hai, aur phir 50-day EMA jo ke 151.28 pe hai. Agar USD/JPY 142.00 se neeche jata hai, to agle support levels jo dekhne waale hain wo hain 141.42 ka low aur 140.00 ka important psychological mark.





Is waqt pair downward trend dikha raha hai magar 142.00 mark ke aas paas support mil chuki hai. Is girawat ke baad buyers market mein wapis aaye hain, jo ke exchange rate ko barha rahe hain, jese ke mid-North American session mein dekha gaya. Yeh recovery spot prices ko 143.50 ke upar le gayi hai, jo ke yeh ishara kar rahi hai ke downtrend khatam ho sakta hai, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hota hai.

Stochastic curve bhi bearish direction mein move kar rahi hai, jo trend ke bearish hone ko indicate karta hai. Open price aur SMA5 ke resistance level ke darmiyan gap ko dekhte hue, price apne decline ko continue karne se pehle is dynamic resistance level tak correct ho sakti hai. Yeh scenario sell positions ke liye potential entry points present karta hai, jo demand ke likely decline par focus karte hue capitalize kiye ja sakte hain.

H4 chart ka evening analysis ek triangle pattern ko reveal karta hai. Is pattern mein ek break aaya, jo temporary price increase ka sabab bana, aur ek direction ka ishara diya. Northern path ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko H4 ke upward reversal levels ko break karna hoga, specifically 161.55 level ko overcome karna hoga. Yeh level H4 zigzag ke low se ek trend line aur remaining triangle support se supported hai.

Akhir mein, agar D1 price zone ko south ki taraf break kiya jata hai, toh meri sell decision ko solidify karega. Main agle hafte mazeed tafseelat provide karunga. Mere analysis aur morning horoscope ke mutabiq, mujhe pata hai ke mujhe deal ko 160.75 par stop karna hoga, kyunki potential win meri position se paanch guna zyada significant hoga. Agar market mere desired goals ki taraf move nahi karta, toh main exit karke kal dobara evaluate karunga. Aane wala din hamesha uncertain hota hai, aur news events is uncertainty mein significant role play karte hain. Losses ko risk karne se behtar hai ke ehtiyaat se kaam liya jaye. USD strengthened hua Fed's Williams ke dovish comments aur Japan ke weak current account data ke baad, jiski wajah se USD/JPY 36 pips up hokar 161.30 par close hua.

**Profit Potential: USD/JPY Prices**

Mein USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka current analysis kar raha hoon. Abhi tak koi reversal indication nahi hai, aur price bullish direction mein trend kar rahi hai. Ek substantial correction kab start hogi, predict karna mushkil hai. Main apne chart ke ascending channel se price ke exit ka wait karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Is exit ke baad, ek normal upward correction ho sakti hai, aur phir main decide karunga ke sell karna hai ya nahi. USD/JPY pair ne calmly open kiya hai peak rate of 161.76 par aur ab American session ka wait kar raha hai further actions decide karne ke liye. Exchange rate increase ho kar 161.99 yen per dollar ho sakta hai, jo significant hai. Mera analysis suggest karta hai ke ek substantial aur prolonged adjustment ho sakti hai, possibly 61.7 Fibonacci level par 148.56 tak pohanchti hui. Ab price review sound hai.

Is hafte ko various drivers, including U.S. holidays, ki wajah se attractive banaya gaya hai, jo significant price movements dekh sakti hain. Historically, aise moments ne instrument ki price move ki hai, lekin assume nahi karna chahiye ke USD/JPY zaroor decline karega. Price bhi surge kar sakti hai. Isliye, is hafte ko observe karna fascinating hoga. Agar prices support levels of 159 aur 160 ke upar consolidate karti hain, to ye further growth mein push kar sakti hain. Further analysis par, levels current threshold se neeche drop kar sakte hain, explicitly targeting the 157.9 mark. Agar in areas mein substantial selling activity exist karti hai, to potential for even more significant corrections towards 155.9 ho sakta hai. Ye local balance mein shift trigger kar sakta hai, leading to a more pronounced correction towards 156.90.

USD / JPY D1 Chart:
USD/JPY D1 Chart Analysis
Trend ka Jaiza
USD/JPY ka D1 chart dekh kar yeh andaza hota hai ke market ek strong uptrend me hai. Price consistently higher highs aur higher lows banati hui dekhai de rahi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls market ko control kar rahe hain. Agar hum moving averages ka istemal karein, toh 50-day aur 200-day moving averages dono upward slanting hain, jo ek bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels
Current price ke aas paas kuch important support aur resistance levels bhi note karne layak hain. Pehla major support level 146.50 ke qareeb hai, jo pehle resistance tha aur ab support ban gaya hai. Upar ki taraf, 149.00 ke qareeb ek strong resistance level hai jahan pe price multiple dafa reject ho chuki hai. Agar price is level ko break karti hai, toh next target 150.50 ho sakta hai.

Technical Indicators ka Istemaal
Agar hum technical indicators ko dekhain, toh RSI (Relative Strength Index) abhi 70 ke qareeb hai, jo overbought condition ko suggest karta hai. Matlab yeh ke price short-term mein thoda retrace kar sakti hai, lekin jab tak RSI 50 se neeche nahi aata, overall trend bullish hi rahega. MACD bhi positive territory mein hai, jo momentum ko further confirm karta hai.

Candlestick Patterns
Agar hum candlestick patterns ka jaiza lein, toh recent candles bullish engulfing aur bullish marubozu patterns ko suggest karti hain, jo ke bulls ki strength ka aik aur signal hai. Lekin hamesha zaroori hota hai ke hum is ko confirm karne ke liye aane wale candles ka intezar karein.

Conclusion
USD/JPY ka overall trend abhi bullish hai aur indicators aur price action dono yeh suggest karte hain ke market mein abhi bhi upar jaane ki potential hai. Agar price 149.00 ka resistance level break karti hai, toh next target 150.50 hoga. Lekin short-term mein kuch retracement ya sideways movement bhi possible hai, especially agar RSI overbought territory mein rehta hai.

The US dollar showed signs of stabilization against the Japanese yen in the early hours of Thursday, holding steady near the 142 yen mark. This level has been significant several times in the past, so it is no surprise that it is attracting the attention of the market again. The key question now is whether Wednesday's bullish hammer will lead to further gains on Thursday. So far, market reactions have been slightly positive.

The upcoming release of the producer price index (PPI) is likely to weigh on the market, but traders seem relatively comfortable with the idea that inflation may remain stubbornly high. Another major event will be the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on the 18th when a 25 basis point cut is widely expected and appears to be already factored into current prices.

Attention will then shift to the Bank of Japan, which will announce its own policy two days later. Given Japan's limited ability to raise interest rates, the interest rate differential is expected to continue to favor the US dollar. This imbalance should attract additional capital flows into the dollar over time.

If the USD/JPY pair manages to break above the ¥145 level, we can witness a significant recovery. However, our focus now is on stopping the downward momentum that appears to be occurring as the pair stabilizes. On the other hand, a break below the ¥141 level would be seen as a highly negative development that could open the door for much deeper declines.

Overall, the current price action suggests that the market is in a consolidation phase, with participants awaiting key central bank decisions before making decisive moves. Both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan are likely to play a key role in determining the pair's next major direction.

The Science Behind USD/ JPY Price Action
I am assessing the live analysis of the USD/ JPY currency pair's pricing movements. It is good when the forecast works as it should; it means that the analysis was carried out productively enough and revealed all the slightest vulnerabilities. After yesterday's data on US job vacancies from JOLTS, the chances of a 0.50% Fed rate cut in September have increased sharply. And even without taking into account the actions of the Bank of Japan, it is safe to say that the USD/ JPY pair will continue to decline on such market expectations for both the dollar and the yen. The Fed's actions will weaken the dollar, and the Bank of Japan's actions will strengthen the yen. This is the basic fundamental scenario that the market is focusing on.

The price test of 145.91 occurred when the MACD indicator started moving down from the zero mark, which led to the execution of scenario No. 1 for selling. As a result, the pair dropped more than 50 pips. As expected, pressure on the dollar increased after the release of the Federal Reserve's minutes, allowing the pair to reach the weekly low. In today's Asian trading session, the yen weakened slightly following news of weak manufacturing activity, offset by relatively strong growth in Japan's services sector. This also led to a slight increase in the composite PMI. The apparent weakness of the US dollar will continue to push USD/JPY lower, but much now depends on tomorrow's speech by Jerome Powell, so be cautious with short positions at current levels. As for the intraday strategy, I will Buy signals Scenario No. 1. Today, I plan to buy USD/JPY when it reaches the entry point around 145.56, plotted by the green line on the chart, with the goal of rising to 146.13, plotted by the thicker green line on the chart. In the area of 146.13, I will exit long positions and open short positions in the opposite direction, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction from the level. We can count on the pair to rise today as part of the upward correction. Important: Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and starting to rise from it.