xau/usd

XAU/USD Market Forecast

Sab forum visitors ko salam aur subah bakhair!

Buyers lagatar apni value mein izafa kar rahe hain aur unhon ne 2440 ka zone cross kar liya hai. Yeh ahem movement market mein ek strong upward trend ki taraf ishara karti hai. Price resistance zone ke qareeb float kar raha hai, isliye aaj sellers kamzor reh sakte hain aur price ko effectively neeche push nahi kar paenge. Isliye, behtar hoga ke aap apne accounts ko accordingly manage karein taa ke market ke current dynamics ka faida uthaya ja sake. Aaj ke liye ek buy order ke sath 2456 ka short target kaafi hoga, jo ke ek strategic entry point faraham karega taake maximum potential gains hasil kiye ja sakein.

Lekin zaroori hai ke hamesha hoshiyar rahen aur US dollar se mutaliq news data par nazar rakhein. Koi bhi ahem economic announcements ya monetary policy mein tabdili market sentiment aur price movements ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Umeed hai ke XAU/USD market aaj aur kal buyers ke haq mein rahegi aur bullish momentum barqarar rahega.

Is context mein technical analysis ka leverage lena aur key resistance aur support levels ko monitor karna bhi ahem hai. Current trend ye suggest karta hai ke buyers ke paas upper hand hai, lekin US dollar se related external factors market ki direction ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Isliye, market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko real-time mein adjust karna trading outcomes ko optimize karne ke liye zaroori hai.

2456 ko target karke, traders realistic profit level ko aim kar sakte hain jabke potential risks ko mitigate karne ke liye ehtiyaat karni hogi. Yeh approach ambition aur caution ke darmiyan ek balance barqarar rakhti hai, jo ke observed market trends aur anticipated news flow ke sath align karti hai.

Jaise ke hamesha, risk management mein disciplined approach ko maintain karna aur achanak market shifts ke liye tayar rehna bohot zaroori hai. Summary mein, buyers ki strength ke sath aur sellers ke kamzor rehne ka imkaan hai, isliye 2440 zone ke qareeb buy order par focus karna aur 2456 ko target karte hue US dollar se mutaliq news par nazar rakhna, traders ko XAU/USD pair ke current market environment se faida uthane ka moqa faraham karega.

Aap sab ko ek kamyab trading day mubarak ho!

XAU/USD

Gold ne thori si recovery ki hai raat ke trading session mein, aur lagta hai ke price June ke lows ke qareeb hai. Abhi ke liye, price un highs se upar hai jo kal ke Intraday Alert ke waqt thi, jab ek choti gold position open ki gayi thi 20 June ko, jo ke closing price se taqreeban $70 upar thi.

Lekin, gold 2021 ke highs ko break nahi kar pa raha, chahe wo early 2021 ka level hi kyun na ho. Ab, Bitcoin ne bhi ek choti si recovery shuru ki hai jab usne $60k ke baad bohot strong short-term support dhoondha. Yeh recovery pehle ke rebounds se kamzor thi.

Consumers ki buying power kam ho rahi hai, jo ke heran kun nahi hai. Jo log Bitcoin mein interest rakhte thay, unhon ne pehle hi buy kar liya tha kyun ke unhein lagta tha ke Bitcoin ki price har halving ke baad barhti hai (jiski wajah se nayi bitcoins ka supply limited hota hai).

Maine pehle hi warn kiya tha ke yeh "sure bet" events ka ek bara masla hota hai – yeh apni price ko event se pehle neeche kar lete hain, aur jab aisa hota hai, to aur buyers nahi bachte jo price ko upar push kar sakein.

Aksar log yeh nahi samajhte ke agar buyers aur sellers nahi hain, to price wahi nahi rehti – wo girna shuru karti hai jab tak naye buyers nahi milte. Aur agar log price increases dekh kar dar gaye aur apne positions se nikal gaye, to humein bohot bara price drop dekhne ko mil sakta hai.






Shayad yeh agla step hai “New Gold” ke liye. Main yeh exaggerate kar raha hoon, lekin kuch customers hamesha rehte hain. Masla yeh hai ke shayad unmein itni taqat na ho ke wo prices ko rok sakein. Aur jab anti-dollar assets, jaise ke gold aur silver, girte hain, to inki prices bhi neeche ja sakti hain. Jaise ke aap charts mein dekh sakte hain, Bitcoin pehle hi February mein boom kar raha tha.

Is dafa, shayad yeh girawat pehle ho sakti hai. Aur ab lagta hai ke yeh overall technological bubble se bhi zyada connected hai. Ji haan, meri rai mein yeh dot-com #2 hai. Ji haan, AI duniya ko tabdeel karega, lekin kya yeh wahi cheez hai jo Internet ke waqt hui thi? 2000 mein Internet bubble ke baad prices gir gayi thi. Afsos ke sath, yeh dafa bhi aisa hi ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis (4-hour chart):
Pair abhi ke liye demand zone mein trade kar raha hai price 2326 ke qareeb. Yeh point se gir sakta hai, lekin agar 4-hour candle 2332 ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh signal hai ke pair 2366 tak ja sakta hai.

XAU/USD Analysis

Historic bull patterns jaise ke bull pennant aur cup-handle formations ne waqt ke sath consistent upward trajectory dikhayi hai. Q2 2024 quarter ne ek positive note par close kiya, jo Q3 2024 mein acceleration ka ishara de raha hai.

Short term mein, Federal Reserve ke possible interest rate cuts aur Middle East mein geopolitical tensions gold ke prices ko affect kar sakte hain. Magar overall trend bullish hi nazar aata hai. 3-month chart ek strong bullish outlook ko indicate karta hai long-term gold market ke liye. Yeh optimism historical data se supported hai jo 1980 se 2000 tak ka hai, jismein 2011 ka notable peak bhi shamil hai.

Cup-handle formation jo 2011 mein $2075 ke qareeb peak hui thi, uske baad ek aur uptrend shuru hua jo further potential gains ka signal de raha hai. Bullish pennant aur cup-handle patterns ka emergence historically continued upward price trends ko signify karta hai. Quarterly chart bhi is trend ko reaffirm karta hai, jismein June 2024 higher levels par close hui, jo ke third quarter mein gold ke liye ek bullish trend suggest karta hai.






Long-term price behavior ko samajhne ke liye, June 2024 ka monthly chart ek candlestick pattern dikhata hai jo inflation ka ishara karta hai followed by a breakout, jo significant upward movement ka hint deta hai.

In patterns aur trends ko dekhte hue, bullish pennant aur cup-handle formations gold market ke liye ek sustained positive outlook ko highlight karte hain. Is liye, price mein koi bhi corrections buying opportunities ke taur par dekhi ja sakti hain.

Shorter 4-hour timeframe mein, gold ne recently $2391 ke qareeb ek demand zone ko touch kiya tha uske baad thodi retracement hui. Iske bawajood, primary trend upward hi hai. Investors ko $2331 ke support zone ko touch karne ka intezar karna chahiye before entering long positions, aur 300 pips ka gain target kar sakte hain.

XAU/USD Pair Review

Gold ki price ne aik naye historical record ko touch kiya jab yeh resistance level $2,483 per ounce tak pohanchi. Iski gains ko zyada tar optimism ne drive kiya ke Federal Reserve jaldi hi, shayad September tak, US interest rates ko cut karne wala hai. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne Monday ko ishara diya ke June mein US inflation expect se kam hone ki wajah se price growth ka goal achieve hone ka confidence barh gaya hai. Unhon ne yeh bhi kaha ke central bank inflation ke 2% par pohanchne ka intezaar nahi karega pehle ke woh interest rates ko cut karein. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne bhi Tuesday ko cautious optimism ka izhar kiya ke inflation apne target ki taraf move kar rahi hai.

Financial markets mein poora yaqeen hai ke Fed apne September ke meeting mein interest rates ko cut karega, CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Traders zyada tar teen 25 basis points ke rate cuts par bet laga rahe hain is saal do ke bajaye. Is ke ilawa, Europe aur Asia ke doosre major central banks ke bhi interest rates cut karne ki expectations ne un regions mein precious metals ki demand ko boost kiya hai.

Gold market ko affect karne wale factors ke hawale se... Dollar price apni 4 months ki lowest level par hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, dollar index Wednesday ko 103.7 par fall kar gaya, aur apne losses ko doosre din tak extend karte hue chaar months mein sab se low level tak pohanch gaya hai. Traders poora yaqeen rakhtay hain ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut karega. Monday ko, Chair Powell ne kaha ke latest data "confidence ko barhata hai" ke inflation target par wapas ayega, aur central bank inflation ke 2% par pohanchne ka intezaar nahi karega pehle ke woh rates cut karein. New York Federal Reserve Bank ke President John Williams ne bhi kaha, "Inflation 2% ki taraf fall kar raha hai aur economy ab balance mein aa rahi hai." "Mujhe lagta hai ke hum kuch months ke encouraging data dekh chukay hain."







Forex market trading ke mutabiq, dollar ne sab se zyada loss Japanese yen ke against kiya, jahan yeh 1.3% se gir gaya. Dollar ne British pound ke against bhi lose kiya jab UK inflation rate slow nahi hui.

Gold ko affect karne wala doosra factor... 10-year US bonds ka yield apni 4 months ki lowest level par hover kar raha hai. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bonds ka yield takriban 4.17% par stabilize hua, jo 4 months ki lowest level par hai, jab ke strong expectations hain ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut karega, aur is saal ke khatam hone se pehle do aur cuts bhi expected hain. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... Tuesday ke data ne dikhaya ke US retail sales June mein unchanged rahi jab ke auto sales mein decline ko doosri sectors ke zyada activity ne offset kiya. Is hafte ke start mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke latest data "confidence ko barhata hai" ke inflation wapas target par ayegi aur central bank inflation ke 2% par pohanchne ka intezaar nahi karega pehle ke woh rates cut karein.

Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne bhi cautious optimism ka izhar kiya ke inflation apne target par wapas ayegi. Ab investors Federal Reserve ki Beige Book ka intezaar kar rahe hain Wednesday ko, sath hi housing starts aur building permits ka data for June. Phir weekly US jobless claims ka number bhi important hoga.

Gold Price Forecast Aaj ke liye:
Daily chart ke hisaab se, gold ki price ka general upward trend aur strong ho raha hai, aur recent gains ne technical indicators ko strong buying levels ki taraf move kiya hai. US dollar ki price recover nahi hoti aur global geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti to koi sales profit lene ke liye nahi hogi. Warna, bulls ka new record level $2,500 per ounce tak pohanchna certain hai.

Gold ki price naye historical high par pohanch gayi hai, lagbhag $2,483 per ounce tak, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki barhati hui umeedon ki wajah se hai. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke haal hi ke bayanaat ne inflation targets ko achieve karne ka confidence barhaya, aur is baat ka ishara diya ke woh rates ko tab cut karne ke liye tayar hain jab inflation 2% mark ko hit kare, us se pehle hi. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler ne bhi apne ehtiyat ke sath optimism ka izhar kiya ke inflation apne target ki taraf barh rahi hai.

Market reactions kaafi significant rahe hain, jab ke financial markets is saal kayi rate cuts ki tawako kar rahe hain. CME ka FedWatch tool strong consensus show karta hai ke September mein rate cut hoga, aur kuch traders to teen 25 basis points ke reduction par bet laga rahe hain do ke bajaye. Ye dovish outlook doosray major central banks par bhi asar andaz ho raha hai, jinhon ne bhi rate cuts ka sochna shuru kar diya hai, jis se duniya bhar mein precious metals ki demand barh gayi hai.

Kai factors ne gold market ki recent trajectory ko kafi asar andaz kiya hai. US dollar index, jo ke aik key indicator hai, apne chaar mahinon ke lowest level par aa gaya hai, jo ke 103.7 par hai. Ye girawat market ke Fed rate cuts ki anticipation ko reflect karti hai, jo gold ki appeal ko ek hedge ke tor par barhata hai against currency devaluation. Khaas tor par, dollar kaafi weak ho gaya hai Japanese yen aur British pound ke against, jismein UK inflation data ka bhi kirdar hai.






Iske ilawa, 10-year US Treasury bonds ka yield bhi 4.17% tak gir gaya hai, jo ke chaar mahinon ka lowest level hai, aur iske peeche bhi rate cuts ki umeed hai. Economic indicators jaise ke stable retail sales, magar auto sector performance ka mixed rehna June mein, ne Fed ke dovish stance ko support diya hai.

Aagey dekha jaye to, gold ke liye market forecasts bullish hain. Technical indicators strong buying momentum ko show kar rahe hain, aur profit-taking tab tak expect nahi ki ja rahi jab tak US dollar mein significant recovery nahi hoti ya geopolitical tensions globally kam nahi hoti. Analysts ne aindah ke dinon mein gold price ka further upward movement predict kiya hai, jo $2,500 per ounce tak ja sakti hai agar current market conditions barkarar rehte hain.

Akhir mein, gold prices ka recent surge, jo record levels tak gaya hai, wo Federal Reserve policy expectations aur global economic indicators ke sath gehri tor par juda hua hai. Outlook investors ke liye optimistic lag raha hai jo ke central bank dovishness aur possible economic uncertainties par bet laga rahe hain, jo gold ko uncertain times mein ek pasandeeda asset banata hai.

XAU/USD PAIR REVIEW

Dusre din bhi lagataar gold ki price profit-taking selling operations ka shikar hui, jiska zikr pehle bhi kiya gaya tha jab gold ki price naye historical record level par gayi thi. Jaise ke free direct trading recommendations page par bataya gaya tha, maine gold ko $2465 per ounce ke resistance level se sell karne ki sifarish ki thi, jiske baad yeh $2483 per ounce tak chali gayi, jo ke gold ke price ka sabse uncha level tha. Ab yeh $2415 per ounce ke aas paas stable hai jab yeh analysis likha ja raha hai.

Gold trading platforms ke mutabiq, prices historic record levels par is wajah se gayi hain ke umeed hai ke Federal Reserve September tak US interest rates ko kam kar dega. Zyada tar US Federal Reserve ke officials ne is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke price increases ka raaj ab policymakers ke goals ke mutabiq hai. Wednesday ko Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne kaha ke US interest rate cut hone wala hai, jo ke recent comments se milta hai jo Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne diye thay, jinhon ne Monday ko kaha ke June mein US inflation ke unexpected tor par kam hone se price growth target achieve karne ka confidence barh gaya hai. Powell ne ye bhi kaha ke US central bank interest rates ko kam karne ke liye tayar hai inflation ke 2% tak pohanchne se pehle hi.

Overall, markets ka kehna hai ke 98% chance hai ke Fed apne September ke meeting mein US interest rate cut karega, CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, aur traders ab teen 25 basis point ke rate cuts ko do ke muqable mein zyada tarjeeh de rahe hain.

Gold market par asar daalne wale factors mein ek bada factor US dollar ki girawat hai, jo ke 4 mahinon ke lowest levels par hai. Trading platforms ke mutabiq, Thursday ko US dollar index 103.7 ke aas paas tha, jo ke chaar mahinon ke lowest level par stable hai. Traders ka ye maan-na hai ke US Federal Reserve iss saal kai dafa interest rates cut karega. Fed officials ne is hafte downbeat statements diye, aur Fed Chair Powell ne kaha ke haaliya data se inflation ka target achieve karne ka confidence barh gaya hai, aur central bank inflation ke 2% tak pohanchne se pehle hi interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar hai.

Ek aur factor jo market par asar andaz ho raha hai, wo hai 10-year US Treasury bond yield, jo chaar mahinon ke lowest level par hai. Trading ke mutabiq, Thursday ko 10-year Treasury bond yield apne pehle ke session ke lowest level 4.17% ke aas paas tha, jab ke bets barh rahi hain ke Federal Reserve iss saal kai dafa interest rates cut karega. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, US initial unemployment claims July ke doosre hafte mein ek mahinay ke highest level tak barh gayi, aur outstanding claims November 2021 ke baad apne highest level par hain.






Ye data labor market ki kamzori ki nishaniyon mein izafa karta hai, jo ke moderating inflation ke sath mil kar Federal Reserve ko multiple interest rate cuts karne ke liye zaroori hai. Fund futures ye suggest karte hain ke market ab overwhelmingly teen 25 basis point rate cuts ko support karta hai, jab ke pehle ye do cuts par tha. Pehla cut September mein expected hai.

Gold price forecast:
Daily chart ke mutabiq, gold ki price ka general trend ab tak bullish hai, chahe recent selling operations bhi hui hain. Trend ka pehla break tab tak nahi hoga jab tak prices dobara support levels $2390 aur $2365 per ounce tak nahi jati. Filhal, $2400 per ounce ka psychological resistance bulls ke control ko support kar raha hai. Gold market ko support milta rahega agar US dollar ki girawat hoti hai, geopolitical tensions barhti hain, aur global central bank policies tightening ko rok deti hain.

US dollar ke interest rate pause ne gold prices ko aur zyada barhawa diya, jiske natijay mein price $2344 per ounce ke resistance level tak pohanch gayi, jo ke lagbhag do hafton ka highest level tha jab yeh analysis likha gaya. Magar iske baad aagey ke faide ruke rahe kyun ke investors aur American economic data ka intezar kar rahe thay, aur Federal Reserve officials ke bayanaat ka, jo US interest rates ke future path ka signal denge. Aham events mein Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka upcoming speech, Wednesday ko FOMC meeting minutes ka release, aur Friday ko US non-farm payrolls report shamil hain.

Iss dauran, haaliya data releases ne kuch support diya gold prices ko. ISM Manufacturing PMI for June teewan month tak expectations se neeche raha, jo ke US factory input prices mein kamzori ko dikhata hai, aur yeh continuous inflation ka sabab ban sakta hai. Europe mein, European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke central bank ko 2% inflation target tak pohanchne mein abhi aur waqt lagega, aur foran interest rate cuts ka koi iraada nahi hai.

Gold market par asar daalne walay factors mein ek US dollar index bhi hai, jo Tuesday ko 105.9 ke aas paas stable raha, jab ke strong Treasury yields ne usko support diya, jo ke possible second term for Donald Trump ke natijay mein hukumat ke aur zyada borrowing ke potential se taluq rakhta tha. Trading ke hawale se, US 10-year Treasury yield lagbhag 4.45% par hai, jo ek mahinay ke sabse unchay level ke kareeb hai. Monday ko, US dollar pressure mein tha jab ke American manufacturing activity mein tezi se girawat ne Federal Reserve ke interest rates cut karne ke case ko mazid strong kiya. Forex trading mein, US dollar ne euro, British pound, aur Australian dollar ke khilaf kuch losses recover kiye, jab ke New Zealand dollar, yuan, aur yen ke muqable mein apni strength barqarar rakhi. Japanese currency ne 38 saalon ka low hit kiya jab ke carry trades ko achi support mili.






Gold market ko doosra factor jo asar andaz kar raha hai, wo hai US 10-year Treasury yields, jo ek mahinay ke high ke kareeb hain.

Trading ke lehaz se, US 10-year Treasury bonds yield Tuesday ko 4.44% par tha, lekin ab bhi ek mahinay ke high ke kareeb raha, jab ke pichlay hafte ke debates aur Supreme Court decisions, jo ke former presidents ke liye criminal charges ke khilaf zyada immunity dete hain, Donald Trump ke possible second term ko support karte hain. Pehle ke presidents ke second terms ko inflationary mana gaya hai, jo ke tax cuts, sakht immigration policies, aur increased import tariffs ke zariye hota hai. Dousri taraf, investors ab bhi Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ko evaluate kar rahe hain, jo ke May ke weak PCE inflation readings aur June ke weakest ISM manufacturing PMI ke baad aur bhi clear hoga.

XAU/USD Market Forecast

Salam aur Subh Bakhair sab visitors ko!

Iss haftay XAU/USD traders ke liye bohot ahem hai, kyunke US dollar se related bohot saari news data expected hai jo market sentiment ko badal sakti hai. Key economic indicators jaise ke Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Average Earnings, Average Good Orders, Home Sales, aur Unemployment Rate market mein significant volatility le kar aayenge. Har ek data point US dollar ki strength ko influence kar sakti hai, jo ke gold prices ko bhi affect karega. Traders ko chaahiye ke woh in economic releases ke saath vigilant rahein.

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index ek ahem economic indicator hai jo manufacturing sector ki business conditions ko reflect karta hai. Positive data US economy mein confidence ko barha sakti hai, jis se dollar mazid strong ho sakta hai aur XAU/USD prices par asar padh sakta hai. Dusri taraf, kamzor data se dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur gold prices barh sakti hain. Similarly, Average Earnings data wage growth ke baare mein insights provide karega, jo consumer spending aur inflation expectations ko influence karega, jo gold traders ke liye critical hai.

Meri preference hai ke XAU/USD par buy order place kiya jaye with a short-term target of 2427. Market haftay ke dauran bounce ho sakti hai aur 2426 zone ko cross kar sakti hai jab traders economic data releases par react karenge. Yeh level ek critical resistance point hai aur isse break karna XAU/USD ke liye further bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Isliye traders ko latest economic news se updated rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye. Adab se, XAU/USD market buyers ke haq mein rahegi aur wo resistance zone 2438 ko jald ya dair se cross karenge.

Aapka trading din kamiyab rahe!

XAU/USD Ka Tajziya

Hamara tajziya sahi sabit ho raha hai kyunke is hafte US dollar kamzor raha. Isliye, US dollar se mutali kisi bhi naye news data ne sellers ko 2375 zone par rokne mein madad nahi ki. Kal market ne 2400 zone ko bhi paar kar liya, jo ke buyers ke liye ek achhi shuruaat hai. Ab buyers ko bahut saare factors ka samna karna pad raha hai. Yeh complex situation aur bhi zyada mushkil ho gayi hai kyunke US dollar par kai tareekay ke news data asar daal rahe hain. Market sentiment tez tezi se badal sakta hai is information ke influx ki wajah se, isliye traders ko hamesha alert aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai.

Aaj ke liye, ek short-sell position aur ek long-term buy position kholne ke strategic mauke hain. Lekin, profit ratio ko effectively maximize karne ke liye, technical aur fundamental dono analyses zaroori hain. XAU/USD ke naye market conditions ke mutabiq, price agle resistance zone 2415 ko cross kar sakti hai. Humein har analysis par nazar rakhni chahiye kyunke technical analysis price charts aur indicators ka study karta hai taake future market movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Patterns aur trends ko identify karke traders informed decisions le sakte hain ki kab entry aur exit kiya jaye.
Fundamental analysis economic indicators, news releases, aur dusre factors ko dekhte hain jo currency ke value ko affect kar sakte hain. Ismein employment, inflation, interest rates, aur geopolitical events bhi shamil hain. Dono types of analysis ko combine karke market ka comprehensive view milta hai, jo successful trades ke chances ko enhance karta hai.

Aaj, main next week ke liye XAU/USD par ek buy order ko prefer karta hoon. Humein naye market sentiment ke mutabiq ek unique trading plan setup karni chahiye. Aaj ka ek key factor yeh hai ke price resistance zone ko cross karne ki potential hai. Resistance zone woh price level hota hai jahan selling pressure upward movement ko rokta hai. Jab price is zone ke qareeb aati hai, toh yeh traders ke liye ek significant decision point hota hai. Umeed hai ke XAU/USD ka market ab bhi buyers ke haq mein rahega aur Wednesday ko 2420 area ko cross kar sakta hai.

Gold ki qeemat mein haali mein kami dekhi gayi hai, jab market ka rujhan tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh tabdeeli U.S. me mandi ke khatraat kam honay aur behtar maashi halaat ki wajah se hui hai. Gold ki kasheedgi mein yeh kami qismat hai kyunke U.S. dollar mazboot ho gaya hai aur Treasury yields barh gayi hain, jo ke gold jese assets ko kam dilchasp banate hain. Iske ilawa, U.S. labor market ke data ne bhi majbhoot performance dikhai hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke economy mandi se bach sakti hai. Yeh sab wajah se gold ki safe-haven appeal kam ho gayi hai. Federal Reserve ki ehtiyaat baratne wali monetary policy ne bhi gold ki qeemat ko asar andaz kiya hai. Pehle umeed thi ke rate-cutting cycle ziada aggressive ho gi, lekin ab yeh umeed kam ho gayi hai jabke Fed ne ye signal diya hai ke interest rates zyada dair tak unchi rahengi. Is wajah se gold ki qeemat mein thodi si kami aayi hai, jabke investors apni umeedein future monetary easing ke liye adjust kar rahe hain. Lekin, geopolitics ke risks, jese ke Middle East mein tensions aur international relations mein uncertainty, gold ke liye kuch support faraham kar rahe hain. Yeh risks metal ki duniya mein instability ke khilaaf ek hedge ke taur par kirdar ada karte hain, jo ke isse demand mein rakhta hai, iske bawajood ke broader economic optimism hai.
gold trading instrument ke D1 chart par nazar daalte hain. Yahaan par wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein ban raha hai. MACD indicator buying ki upper area mein hai, apni signal line ke ooper. Pichlay haftay, price mukhtalif directions mein move ki, magar akhir mein buyers jeet gaye. Haftay ke darmiyan, price 2478 ke ek achay resistance level par atak gayi thi aur decline start karne ki koshish ki, jo ke haftay ke beech mein United States se release hui news ke peche chupi hui thi. Indicators ne dollar ke haq mein turn liya, aur us waqat price neeche gir gayi thi. Lekin jald hi, ek strong buying hui, kyun ke ek strong horizontal support level 2435 par tha, jo ke chhoti char ghante ki chart par behtar dekha ja sakta hai. Khair, market mein dollar kamzor hua. Growth itni strong thi ke usne main resistance level 2478 ko tor diya, aur price steadily Friday ke market close tak upar gai. Yeh log naye all-time high tak bhi pohanch gaye. Ek reversal pattern ban raha hai - ek rising wedge, price top par hai, MACD indicator bearish divergence dikhata hai, aur doosra istamaal shuda indicator CCI dobara upper overheating area mein chala gaya hai. Mukhtalif factors yeh suggest karte hain ke yahan se neeche ki taraf correction ka high probability hai, aur humein M30-H1 ka chhota period wait karna chahiye taake ek entry point ban sake, wahi mirror level jahan support resistance mein badalta hai. Mera khayal hai ke peak par buy karna samajhdari nahi hai. Price thoda aur upar ja sakti hai, inertia ki wajah se dheere dheere, magar yahan already ek potential selling area hai. Magar be shak selling ke liye jaldi karne ki zaroorat nahi, pehle kuch banne do wahan par, phir top par reversal karein.
Yeh chart un maqamat ko highlight karta hai jahan bulls aur bears active hain. 2473 se 2480 ke darmiyan ka zone ek mazboot resistance area hai jahan bears ne musalsal price ko neeche dhakela hai, jabke 2440 se neeche ka area bulls ke liye ek robust support zone hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke trading strategy ke tor par 2440 se 2473 ke range ke andar short trades par focus karein, aur bearish pressure ko anticipate karein; is range se bahar long trades par gaur karein, aur breakout expect karein. Iske ilawa, 50 Simple Moving Average jo 2432 par hai, woh bulls ke liye further support provide karta hai, isliye is key level par upward movement ke potential ke liye nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Gold ki qeemat mein haali mein kami dekhi gayi hai, jab se market ka rujhan badla hai aur U.S. me mandi ka khauf kam ho gaya hai aur maashi surat-e-haal behtar ho rahi hai. Gold ki jaazibiyat mein yeh girawat iss liye bhi hai kyun ke U.S. dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya hai aur Treasury yields barh rahi hain, jo ke aise asaasay jaise ke gold jo kisi qisam ka munafa nahi deti, unhein investors ke liye kam dilchasp banata hai. Iske ilawa, haali mein U.S. labor market ka data jo ke umeed se zyada acha tha, ne itmaad barhaya ke maashiyat mandi se bacha sakti hai, jiski wajah se gold ka "safe-haven" ka kirdar kamzor parh gaya hai.

Federal Reserve ka ehtiyaati rawayya bhi gold ki qeemat par asar andaz hua hai. Shuru mein umeed thi ke faiz daro mein tezi se kami hogi, lekin yeh umeedain khatam hoti nazar aati hain jabke Fed ne "higher for longer" ka signal diya hai, yaani ke faiz daron mein barhawa zyada dair tak barqarar rakha jayega. Is ne bhi gold ki qeemat mein halka sa nuqsan daala hai, jabke investors apni monetary easing ki umeedain adjust kar rahe hain. Magar, geopolitcal risks jaise ke Middle East mein tensions aur international relations mein uncertainties abhi bhi gold ko kuch support faraham karti hain. Yeh risks gold ko global instability ke against aik hedge ka kirdar ada karte hain, jo ke gold ki demand ko barqarar rakhti hain, halaan ke broader economic optimism bhi mojood hai.





H4 chart ke mutabiq, significant areas hain jahan bulls aur bears dono active hain. 2473 aur 2480 ke darmiyan ka area ek mazboot resistance zone hai jahan bears ne barabar se price ko niche dhaka diya hai, jabke 2440 ke neeche ka area bulls ke liye ek strong support zone hai. Yeh trading strategy suggest karta hai ke agar price 2440 aur 2473 ke beech ho, to short trades par focus karein aur bearish pressure ki umeed rakhein; agar is range se bahar ho, to long trades consider karein aur breakout ki umeed rakhein. Iske ilawa, 50 Simple Moving Average jo ke 2432 par hai, bulls ke liye further support provide karta hai aur yeh ek ahem level hai jahan upward movement ho sakta hai.

XAU/USD

Gold ki qeemat ne Thursday ko dobara se aik nayee height ko touch kiya jab US economic data ke baad thodi si tezi (early US trading mein 1% se zyada increase) dekhne ko mili. Is se expectations barh gayi ke aglay hafte Fed rate cut karega.

Gold ki qeemat ne naye record highs ko chhua aur pehla target $2,554 (Fibo projection 138.2% upside from $2,471) par achieve kiya, jab ke aglay targets $2,561 (161.8%), $2,591 (200%) aur $2,600 (psychological high aur peak 2024 mein) hain. Main is analysis se mukhtalif ho sakta hoon kyun ke gold ne teen hafton ki consolidation complete ki aur aik bara uptrend continue karne ka signal diya hai.

Fundamentals bhi strong hain aur behtari ki taraf jaa rahe hain, kyun ke rate cuts ke chances barh rahe hain aur geopolitical tensions, jo safe demand ka bara factor hain, abb bhi garam hain. Yeh factors suggest karte hain ke gold ki qeemat mazeed barh sakti hai.

Daily close agar pehle wale range top ($2,531) se upar hoti hai, tou yeh bullish continuation signal ko confirm karegi. Magar, lower time frames mein heavily overbought conditions ke chalte bulls thoda break le sakte hain. Res: $2,555; $2,561; $2,591; $2,600. Support: $2,547; $2,541; $2,531; $2,528.

Technical Outlook: Gold price ka technical setup bulls ke haq mein hai aur $2,525-$2,530 barrier clear karne ka imkaan hai. Technically, June ke swing low se ab tak ki move ascending channel banati hai, jo aik well-established uptrend ko show karti hai.

Thursday ka close $2,525-$2,526 ke bid zone ke upar hua aur pehle all-time high $2,531-$2,532 ke pass ek naya trigger diya bullish traders ke liye.

Oscillators daily chart par positive territory mein hain aur abhi overbought zone mein nahi hain, is liye gold ki qeemat $2,600 mark ki taraf aur barhne ke liye tayar lagti hai. Yeh aglay hafte ke FOMC meeting se pehle ek strong barrier ban sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar koi bara correction hota hai, tou $2,530-$2,525 ke resistance point ke paas naye buyers attract honge. Psychological $2,500 ka level gold price ke liye ab strong base aur short-term traders ke liye key pivot point ka kaam karega.

Agar weekly low $2,485 ke qareeb koi selling hoti hai, tou gold XAU/USD ko $2,470 horizontal support tak la sakta hai, aur wahan se $2,457-$2,456 ke confluence zone tak. Yeh confluence lower boundary of ascending channel aur 50-day SMA ke sath milta hai, jo agar breach hota hai, tou short-term bias bearish traders ke haq mein shift ho sakta hai.

XAU/USD

XAU/USD ka request sentiment filhaal buyers ke haq mein nazar aa raha hai, lekin abecedarian factors ke wajah se thodi uncertainty bhi hai. Mere liye lagta hai ke price buyers ke favour mein hi rahegi, aaj ya phir aglay trading week ke dauran. Aaj, FOMC ke member Harker ki speech ke dauran, Federal Reserve ki policy outlook ke broader environment ko samajhna zaroori hai. Fed ne pichlay aik saal mein aggressive tightening ka silsila chalaya, interest rates ko kai baar badhaya hai taake mehngai (inflation) ko rok sake. Magar, jaise-jaise inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain aur economic growth slow ho rahi hai, Fed apni rate hike cycle ke end ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Harker ki speech is baat ka ishara de sakti hai ke Fed kaise iss balance ko dekh raha hai—ek taraf inflation control karna aur doosri taraf economic growth ko support karna. Umeed hai ke aglay kuch ghanton mein buyers ko madad milegi ke price 2610 ke next range ko cross kar sake.
Iske ilawa, inflation mein kami ki nishaniyan bhi nazar ayi hain, jahan Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings anticipate ki gayi readings se neeche aayi hain. Lekin, inflation ab bhi apni historical standards se zyada hai, iska matlab hai ke Fed ab bhi ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hoga. Agar Harker yeh suggest karte hain ke Fed abhi ke inflation level se mutmain hai aur samajhta hai ke inflation 2% target ki taraf wapas ja raha hai, to yeh market ko tasalli de sakta hai aur future rate hikes ka khauf kam kar sakta hai. Lekin agar Harker ne kaha ke inflation ab bhi zyada hai aur mazeed tightening zaroori hai, to yeh market ko disturb kar sakta hai aur US dollar ko mazid strong kar sakta hai.

XAU/USD traders ko ihtiyaat se trade karna chahiye aur stop loss zarur use karna chahiye. Harker ki speech ke qareeb risk management strategies ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Ek effective approach yeh hai ke major news events ke samne apni position size ko kam kar lein taake unforeseen market moves ka exposure minimize ho. Traders stop-loss orders ka istemal bhi kar sakte hain taake apni positions ko zyada nuksaan se bacha sakein. Iske ilawa, apni portfolios ko mukhtalif asset classes (jaise equities, bonds, commodities, aur currencies) mein diversify karna bhi traders ko uncertain market outcomes ke khilaf safeguard karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

XAU/USD Trading Outlook:

Sab ko meri taraf se khushamdeed aur subah bakhair!

XAU/USD ka trading sentiment is waqt buyers ke haq mein nazar aata hai, lekin market ke abecedarian factors is daur mein kuch ghehraee laaye hain. Meri ray mein, aaj ya agle trading week mein bhi, price buyers ke haq mein hi rehne ke imkanaat hain. Aaj jab FOMC ka rukun Harker apni takreer karega, tou zaroori hai ke Federal Reserve ki policy ka wasi tanazur samjha jaye. Fed ne guzishta ek saal mein buhat hi aggressive andaaz mein interest rates ko barhaya hai taake inflation ko qabo mein laaya ja sake. Lekin ab jab ke inflation ke asraat kam hone lage hain aur economic growth bhi dheemi par rahi hai, tou mumkin hai ke Fed apni rate hike cycle ke akhri morh par ho. Harker ki speech se andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke Fed kis tarah se inflation ko qabo mein rakhte hue economic growth ko support karna chahta hai.

Umeed hai ke agle kuch ghanton mein buyers 2610 ki range ko cross kar lenge. Inflation ke hawale se bhi kuch narmi ka izhaar dekha gaya hai, jabke Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke readings expect se neeche aaye hain. Magar ab bhi inflation apne puranay standards ke muqable mein zyada hai, is liye Fed abhi bhi ehtiyati ravayya ikhtiyar kar sakta hai. Agar Harker is baat ka ishara karta hai ke Fed inflation ke current level se mutmain hai aur samjhta hai ke ye dheere dheere 2% ke target ki taraf wapas aa rahi hai, tou ye market ke liye tasalli ka baais ho sakta hai aur rate hikes ke mazeed khatrey ko kam kar sakta hai. Lekin agar Harker ne ye kaha ke inflation ab bhi buhat zyada hai aur mazeed tightening ki zarurat hai, tou is se markets ko dhchka lag sakta hai aur US dollar mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.







XAU/USD ke traders ko ehtiyaat ke sath kaam karna chahiye aur har haal mein stop loss ka istemal karna chahiye. Harker ki takreer ke hawale se risk management strategies par gaur zaroori hai. Achi strategy ye hai ke news events se pehle position sizes ko chhota rakha jaye taake unexpected market moves se exposure kam ho. Traders stop-loss orders ka bhi istemal kar sakte hain taake significant strike risk se apni position ko bacha sakein. Is ke ilawa, portfolio ko mukhtalif asset classes (jaise ke equities, bonds, commodities aur currencies) mein diversify karna bhi ek ahem strategy hai jo traders ko market ke tabdeel hotay huay halat se bachne mein madad de sakti hai.

Khuda hafiz aur hamesha pur-sukoon rahiye!

XAU/USD Market Outlook:

Sab ko salam aur subah bakhair!

XAU/USD ka market sentiment is waqt buyers ke haq mein hai, lekin market ke bunyadi asraat is daur mein kuch ghehraee laaye hue hain. Meri ray mein, aaj ya agle trading week mein bhi, price buyers ke haq mein rehne ke imkanaat hain. Aaj FOMC ke member Harker ki takreer ke doran, Federal Reserve ki policy ka wasi tanazur samajhna zaroori hoga. Pichle saal se, Fed ne inflation ko qabo mein rakhne ke liye bohot aggressive tightening cycle chala rakha hai, jisme multiple dafa interest rates barhaye gaye hain. Lekin ab jab inflation ka dabao kam hone laga hai aur economic growth dheemi par rahi hai, tou mumkin hai ke Fed apni rate hike cycle ke aakhri morh par ho. Harker ki speech se is bare mein kuch isharaat mil sakte hain ke Fed kis tarah inflation aur growth ko balance karne ka soch raha hai.

Umeed hai ke agle kuch ghanton mein buyers 2610 ki range ko cross kar lenge. Inflation ke hawale se bhi kuch narmi ka izhaar dekha gaya hai, jabke Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki readings expect se neeche aaye hain. Magar ab bhi inflation apni purani history ke muqable mein zyada hai, is liye Fed abhi bhi ehtiyat se kaam le sakta hai. Agar Harker ye ishara deta hai ke Fed current inflation level se mutma'in hai aur samjhta hai ke ye dheere dheere 2% ke target ki taraf wapas aa rahi hai, tou ye market ke liye tasalli ka baais ho sakta hai aur mazeed rate hikes ka khatra kam kar sakta hai. Lekin agar Harker ne ye kaha ke inflation ab bhi zyada hai aur mazeed tightening ki zarurat hai, tou is se markets mein baychaini paida ho sakti hai aur US dollar mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.







XAU/USD ke traders ko bohot ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur har surat mein stop loss ka istemal karna chahiye. Harker ki takreer ke hawale se risk management strategies ka gaur karna zaroori hai. Ek achi strategy ye hai ke major news events se pehle position sizes ko chhota rakha jaye taake unexpected market moves ka exposure kam ho. Traders stop-loss orders ka bhi istemal kar sakte hain taake apni positions ko significant downside risk se bacha sakein. Is ke ilawa, portfolio ko mukhtalif asset classes jaise equities, bonds, commodities, aur currencies mein diversify karna bhi ek ahem strategy hai jo traders ko market ke tabdeel hotay huay halat se bachne mein madad de sakti hai.

Hamesha pur-sukoon rahiye aur khuda hafiz!