xau/usd

Sonay ke daamon ke price $2,350 se neeche gir gaye jab Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke shak pe tawajju jaari rehti hai:
Kal ke trading session mein, sonay ke daamon ne $2,350 an ounce se neeche gir kar, july 5 ko paaye gaye one-month peak of $2,390 se wabaal e barh gayi. Market ab bhi Federal Reserve ke U.S. Interest rate reductions ke potential timing aur scale par focus rakhti hai jo anay wale quarters mein hone ki ummed hai. Investors economic indicators aur Federal Reserve signals ko dekh rahe hain taake woh central bank ke rates ko kab aur kitna adjust kar sakta hai, ke predictions kar saken.

Fed Chairman Powell ke hushyaar stance ke baad dollar index 105 ke upar chad gaya:

Dollar index ny Tuesday ko Sirf 105 ke upar chadha jab ke Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apne Congressional testimony mein U.S. rate cuts ke liye apna cautious stance dubara bayan kiya. Powell ne zor diya ke Fed tawajju tanou ki bajaaye rate cut ko taake jab jab pakki yakin ho ke inflation mukarrrar taur par 2% target ke aas paas rhe ga. Unhone pointed out ki pehle quarter ke data ne esa yakin nahi diya, emphasize karte hue ke inflations ko control karne mein aur progress ki zarurat hai.

Sonay ka price girte jaari rehta hai jesehi market crucial U.S. Inflation data ko anjaam dene ki tawaqqu mein hai:

Haalaanki sonay ke daamon ka price haal hi mein gir gaya hai, market ka focus agle U.S. inflation data par chala gaya hai. Yeh data intehai ahem hai kyunki is se future interest rate directions ke insights milenge aur shayad Federal Reserve ke faislon ko asar kar sakta hai. Traders aur investors is maloomat ka intezar kar rahe hain take woh sonay aur doosri investments mein apni positions ke regarding informe faislain le saken.

Fed's Powell: Rate Cuts Consistent 2% Inflation par munhasar:

Apne testimony mein, Fed Chairman Powell ne zor diya ke Federal Reserve interest rates tab tak cut nahi karega jab tak inflations mukarrrar taur par 2% target ke sath align nahi hota. Unhone zikr kiya ke labor market ki kamzori ke baawajud bhi, overshooting ka khata bahut zyada hai. Powell ke remarks ne mazid samjha gaya ke Fed monetary policy modify karne mein ehtiyaat bhari approach lega.

U.S. June CPI Report mein Consumer Prices main thorra sa izafa numaya honay ka tawaqqu hai:

Mumkina hai ke economic calendar ke mutabiq, U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report May se 0.1% consumer prices main izafa numaya kare, jahan core CPI 0.2% increase ki umeed hai. Producer prices mein 0.1% barhne ka izafa numaya kiya jata hai, May mein 0.2% girne ke baad, jab ke core producer prices bhi 0.2% increase ki umeed hai. Yeh figures qareeb se nigrani mein honge kyunki yeh future inflation aur interest rates ke raaste ka andaza de sakte hain.

#85 Collapse Overseas trader
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تاریخِ شمولیت: May 2024
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Yellow metal ne Tuesday ko decline experience kiya, jab ke Monday ko $2,288 ke significant low se thori si recovery dekhi gayi thi. Yeh downward trend aksar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke members ke latest statements se influenced hai, jo interest rate cuts par apni cautious stance ko highlight karte hain due to persistent inflation concerns. Fed ka indication ke wo higher interest rates ko extended period tak maintain rakhenge, US dollar ko potentially strengthen kar sakta hai, jis se gold prices par downward pressure aayega.
Fundamentals of the XAU/USD
Boston Fed President Susan Collins ne recent emphasize kiya ke lower interest rate environment ka rasta prolonged hoga. Financial markets, CME Group’s FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, pehli rate cut ka anticipation September se pehle nahi kar rahe, aur year ke end tak do quarter-point reductions expect kar rahe hain. Magar, Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne additional rate hikes ki zarurat par skepticism express kiya, aur kaha ke wo kisi bhi near-term cuts ko support karne se pehle zyada convincing data chahte hain
Market sentiment, Fed ke cautious approach se interest rates par sway ho raha hai, jo gold ki performance ko impact kar raha hai. Inflation aur economic stability ke hawale se ongoing uncertainty, upcoming economic data ko closely monitor karna zaroori bana deti hai, jo future Fed policies aur by extension, gold prices ko shape karne mein crucial role play karega.
Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook
Agar daily close June 7 ke low $2,286 se neeche hoti hai, to yeh significant pullback trigger kar sakti hai. Aisi move ‘dark cloud cover’ pattern ko form kar sakti hai, jo potential further decline in XAU/USD indicate karegi before any substantial rally resumes. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke currently bullish territory mein hai, lower trend kar raha hai. Agar RSI 50-midline se neeche girti hai, to yeh additional declines in gold prices ko signal kar sakti hai.
Yellow metal ka pehla resistance April 12 ke high $2,431 par hai, followed by the all-time high of $2,450. In levels ke upar break hona bullish trend ko indicate kar sakta hai, magar current market sentiment aur technical indicators kuch aur suggest karte hain. Agar $2,400 se neeche retreat hota hai, to XAU/USD ko May 13 ke low $2,331 aur subsequently May 8 ke low $2,302 ke exposure ka samna ho sakta

XAU/USD

**XAU/USD: Gold Aur US Dollar Ka Rishta**
XAU/USD forex pair hai jo Gold (XAU) aur United States Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan relation ko represent karta hai. Yeh pair financial markets mein bohot important mana jata hai kyunki gold ko traditionally ek safe-haven asset samjha jata hai, jabke USD duniya ki sabse badi aur stable currency hai. XAU/USD ka matlab hai ke aap kitne US Dollars mein ek ounce gold khareed sakte hain.

### XAU/USD Ki Ahmiyat

XAU/USD pair ko trade karna investors aur traders ke liye attractive hota hai, khaaskar jab markets mein uncertainty ya economic instability hoti hai. Jab market mein risk barhta hai, log apne paison ko secure karne ke liye gold khareedte hain, jo XAU/USD ko upar le jata hai. Conversely, agar market stable hai aur economic growth achi hai, to log risky assets mein invest karte hain, aur gold ki demand kam hoti hai, jisse XAU/USD neeche ja sakta hai.

### XAU/USD Ko Influence Karne Wale Factors

1. **US Dollar Ki Strength**: XAU/USD pair mein gold ki price inversely related hoti hai USD ki strength ke saath. Agar USD ki value barhti hai, to gold ki demand kam hoti hai, jo XAU/USD pair ko neeche le jata hai. Agar USD ki value girti hai, to gold ki demand barhti hai aur XAU/USD pair upar jata hai.

2. **Interest Rates**: US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate decisions bhi XAU/USD par asar daalte hain. Jab Fed interest rates barhata hai, to USD ki value barhti hai aur gold ki demand kam hoti hai, jo XAU/USD pair ko neeche le jata hai. Agar Fed interest rates kam karta hai, to USD ki value girti hai aur gold ki demand barh jati hai, jisse XAU/USD upar jata hai.

3. **Inflation**: Gold traditionally ek inflation hedge mana jata hai. Jab inflation barhti hai, to log apne paison ki value ko maintain karne ke liye gold mein invest karte hain, jo XAU/USD ko upar le jata hai. Agar inflation low hai, to gold ki demand kam hoti hai aur XAU/USD neeche ja sakta hai.

4. **Geopolitical Tensions**: Jab world mein geopolitical tensions barhti hain, jaise wars ya conflicts, to investors safe-haven assets mein shift karte hain, jisme gold sabse pehla choice hota hai. Isse XAU/USD pair upar jata hai. Conversely, agar global peace aur stability hai, to gold ki demand kam hoti hai aur XAU/USD neeche ja sakta hai.

5. **Central Bank Policies**: Central banks bhi gold reserves ko hold karte hain. Agar central banks gold reserves mein izafa karte hain, to market mein gold ki demand barh jati hai, jo XAU/USD pair ko upar le jata hai. Agar central banks gold bechte hain, to demand kam hoti hai aur XAU/USD neeche gir sakta hai.

### XAU/USD Ki Trading

XAU/USD ko forex trading platforms par asaani se trade kiya ja sakta hai. Traders is pair ko technical aur fundamental analysis ke zariye trade karte hain. Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI, aur Fibonacci retracement levels ko use karke traders is pair ke price movements ka andaza lagate hain. Fundamental analysis ke liye economic reports, central bank policies, aur global news ko monitor karna zaroori hota hai.

### Conclusion

XAU/USD forex market ka ek important pair hai jo gold aur US Dollar ke darmiyan rishtay ko represent karta hai. Is pair ko trade karte waqt traders ko dono currencies ki movements aur unhe influence karne wale factors par nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar aap gold aur USD ki volatility ko samajh kar trade karte hain, to XAU/USD pair mein trading opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain.

Ye mukhtasir jaiza XAU/USD pair ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit hoga aur aapke trading decisions mein rehnumai faraham karega.

XAU/USD Market Outlook

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Good Morning dosto!

Haal hi mein aayi US news ne XAU/USD buyers ko kuch stability di hai. Kal ke din price ne 2362 zone ko touch kiya, lekin agar hamein bullish trend dekhna hai, to price ko 2363 zone ke upar close karna zaroori hai. Abhi XAU/USD market is point ko reject kar rahi hai, jo ke resistance zone ka kaam kar raha hai. Isi liye traders ko sabr karna chahiye aur 2362 zone ke neeche buy orders nahi open karni chahiye. Filhaal XAU/USD market ka sentiment bearish hai, aur sellers trend par haavi hain. Woh market ko 2352 level ke neeche le jane ki koshish karenge, jisse downward pressure barkarar rahega. Yeh bearish outlook is baat se mazid barh jaata hai ke price 2363 ke resistance zone ko tor nahi paayi, jo ke buying momentum ki kami ko dikhata hai. Agar aap XAU/USD mein trade karna chahte hain, to in key levels par nazar rakhna aur kisi bhi trading decision se pehle confirmed breakout ya reversal ka wait karna bohot zaroori hai. Market dynamics se lagta hai ke sellers aaj bhi upper hand rakhenge, aur price ko aur neeche le jayenge.

Mojooda soorat-e-haal mein, US news events ke asar se XAU/USD buyers ne kuch stability hasil ki hai, lekin 2363 ke critical resistance ko ab tak tor nahi paaye. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur 2362 ke neeche buy positions mein nahi jaana chahiye, kyunki market mein sellers ko faida mil sakta hai, aur price 2352 ya us se neeche bhi ja sakti hai. In pivotal levels aur market behavior par close nazar rakh kar, traders behtareen tareeqe se XAU/USD ki bearish landscape mein navigate kar sakte hain. Dekhte hain ke XAU/USD market mein kuch ghanton ke baad kya hota hai.

Stay blessed aur calm rahiye!

XAU/USD

Haal hi mein gold prices mein girawat dekhi gayi hai, jiska sabab market sentiment ka tabdeel hona hai, kyun ke U.S. recession ke khauf kam ho gaye hain aur economic conditions behtar ho rahi hain. Gold ki appeal mein ye girawat hissa tor par mazboot U.S. dollar aur badhte huye Treasury yields ki wajah se hai, jo non-yielding assets jaise gold ko investors ke liye kam pasandida banate hain. Iske ilawa, halya U.S. labor market data ne jo unexpected acha performance dikhaya, yeh yaqeen dilaya ke economy recession se bach sakti hai, jis se gold ki safe-haven appeal aur kam ho gayi hai. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy par ehtiyat se chalne wali approach ne bhi gold prices ko asar kiya hai. Jabke pehle rate-cutting cycle mein ziada aggression ki umeed thi, lekin ab yeh umeedain kam ho gayi hain, kyun ke Fed ne interest rates ke liye "higher for longer" stance continue rakhne ka signal diya hai. Yeh sab factors gold prices mein halka girawat ka sabab banay hain, jabke investors apni future monetary easing ke hawale se umeedain adjust kar rahe hain. Halanki, geopolitical risks, jaise Middle East mein jari tensions aur international relations mein uncertainties, gold ko kuch support deti hain. Yeh risks metal ki global instability ke khilaf hedge ke tor par role ko barhawa dete hain, jis se broader economic optimism ke bawajood gold ki demand barqarar hai.

H4 chart: Yeh chart un maqamat ko highlight karta hai jahan bulls aur bears active hain. 2473 se 2480 ke darmiyan ka zone ek mazboot resistance area hai jahan bears ne musalsal price ko neeche dhakela hai, jabke 2440 se neeche ka area bulls ke liye ek robust support zone hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke trading strategy ke tor par 2440 se 2473 ke range ke andar short trades par focus karein, aur bearish pressure ko anticipate karein; is range se bahar long trades par gaur karein, aur breakout expect karein. Iske ilawa, 50 Simple Moving Average jo 2432 par hai, woh bulls ke liye further support provide karta hai, isliye is key level par upward movement ke potential ke liye nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

XAU/USD

Gold prices recent decline ko market sentiment shift ki wajah se dekha ja raha hai, jahan U.S. recession ke dar kam hue hain aur economic conditions behtar ho gayi hain. Yeh downturn gold ki appeal ko partly stronger U.S. dollar aur rising Treasury yields ki wajah se ho raha hai, jo non-yielding assets jaise gold ko investors ke liye kam attractive bana dete hain. Iske ilawa, recent U.S. labor market data, jo ke stronger-than-expected performance dikhata hai, ne confidence ko barhaya hai ke economy recession se bach sakti hai, jo gold ka safe-haven appeal kam karta hai. Federal Reserve ka cautious approach to monetary policy bhi gold prices ko influence kar raha hai. Jab ke initial hopes the ke rate-cutting cycle zyada aggressive hoga, yeh ab kam ho gayi hain kyunke Fed "higher for longer" stance ko signal kar raha hai interest rates par. Isne gold prices me modest decline contribute kiya hai kyunke investors apne future monetary easing ke expectations adjust kar rahe hain. Lekin geopolitical risks, jaise ke Middle East me ongoing tensions aur international relations me uncertainties, gold ko kuch support de rahi hain. Yeh risks metal ko global instability ke against hedge ke tor par demand me rakhti hain, despite broader economic optimism.

H4 Chart Analysis

H4 chart par significant areas dikhai de rahe hain jahan bulls aur bears active hain. 2473 se 2480 ke beech ka zone ek strong resistance area hai jahan bears ne consistently price ko neeche push kiya hai, jab ke 2440 ke neeche wala area bulls ke liye robust support zone hai. Yeh trading strategy suggest karta hai: 2440 se 2473 ke range ke andar short trades par focus karein, bearish pressure ki anticipation mein; is range ke bahar long trades consider karein, breakout ke expectation mein. Additionaly, 50 Simple Moving Average jo 2432 par hai, bulls ke liye further support provide karta hai, isliye yeh ek key level hai jo potential upward movement ke liye watch karna chahiye.

Gold ke prices ne recently decline dekha hai kyun ke market sentiment shift ho raha hai U.S. recession ke khatam honay ke asar aur improving economic conditions ki wajah se. Gold ka ye downfall kuch had tak strong U.S. dollar aur rising Treasury yields ki wajah se hai, jo ke non-yielding assets, jaise ke gold, ko investors ke liye kam attractive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, recent U.S. labor market data jo ke expected se zyada strong performance dikhata hai, ne confidence ko barhaya hai ke economy recession se bach sakti hai, jo ke gold ke safe-haven appeal ko further kam kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve ki cautious approach towards monetary policy ne bhi gold ke prices ko influence kiya hai. Pehlay jo ummed thi ke zyada aggressive rate-cutting cycle hoga, wo ab kam ho gayi hai jabke Fed "higher for longer" stance interest rates par signal kar raha hai. Is wajah se investors ke expectations future monetary easing ke liye adjust ho rahe hain, aur gold ke prices mein modest decline dekha ja raha hai.

Lekin, geopolitical risks, jaise ke ongoing tensions Middle East mein aur international relations mein uncertainties, gold ko support deti hain. Ye risks metal ke role ko global instability ke against hedge ke tor par mazid barhata hain, jo ke broader economic optimism ke bawajood gold ko demand mein rakhti hain.

H4 chart significant areas dikhata hai jahan bulls aur bears active hain. 2473 aur 2480 ke darmiyan ka zone ek strong resistance area hai jahan bears consistently price ko neeche push karte hain, jabke 2440 ke neeche ka area bulls ke liye ek robust support zone hai. Is se ye trading strategy suggest hoti hai: 2440 se 2473 ke range ke andar, short trades par focus karein, anticipating ke bearish pressure hoga; is range ke bahar, long trades consider karein, expecting ke breakout hoga. Additionally, 50 Simple Moving Average at 2432 bulls ke liye aur support provide karta hai, jo ke ek key level hai jis par potential upward movement ka dhyan rakhna chahiye.

Sonay ke daamon ke price $2,350 se neeche gir gaye jab Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke shak pe tawajju jaari rehti hai: Kal ke trading session mein, sonay ke daamon ne $2,350 an ounce se neeche gir kar, july 5 ko paaye gaye one-month peak of $2,390 se wabaal e barh gayi. Market ab bhi Federal Reserve ke U.S. Interest rate reductions ke potential timing aur scale par focus rakhti hai jo anay wale quarters mein hone ki ummed hai. Investors economic indicators aur Federal Reserve signals ko dekh rahe hain taake woh central bank ke rates ko kab aur kitna adjust kar sakta hai, ke predictions kar saken.

Fed Chairman Powell ke hushyaar stance ke baad dollar index 105 ke upar chad gaya:

Dollar index ny Tuesday ko Sirf 105 ke upar chadha jab ke Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apne Congressional testimony mein U.S. rate cuts ke liye apna cautious stance dubara bayan kiya. Powell ne zor diya ke Fed tawajju tanou ki bajaaye rate cut ko taake jab jab pakki yakin ho ke inflation mukarrrar taur par 2% target ke aas paas rhe ga. Unhone pointed out ki pehle quarter ke data ne esa yakin nahi diya, emphasize karte hue ke inflations ko control karne mein aur progress ki zarurat hai.

Sonay ka price girte jaari rehta hai jesehi market crucial U.S. Inflation data ko anjaam dene ki tawaqqu mein hai:

Haalaanki sonay ke daamon ka price haal hi mein gir gaya hai, market ka focus agle U.S. inflation data par chala gaya hai. Yeh data intehai ahem hai kyunki is se future interest rate directions ke insights milenge aur shayad Federal Reserve ke faislon ko asar kar sakta hai. Traders aur investors is maloomat ka intezar kar rahe hain take woh sonay aur doosri investments mein apni positions ke regarding informe faislain le saken.

Fed's Powell: Rate Cuts Consistent 2% Inflation par munhasar:

Apne testimony mein, Fed Chairman Powell ne zor diya ke Federal Reserve interest rates tab tak cut nahi karega jab tak inflations mukarrrar taur par 2% target ke sath align nahi hota. Unhone zikr kiya ke labor market ki kamzori ke baawajud bhi, overshooting ka khata bahut zyada hai. Powell ke remarks ne mazid samjha gaya ke Fed monetary policy modify karne mein ehtiyaat bhari approach lega.

U.S. June CPI Report mein Consumer Prices main thorra sa izafa numaya honay ka tawaqqu hai:

Mumkina hai ke economic calendar ke mutabiq, U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report May se 0.1% consumer prices main izafa numaya kare, jahan core CPI 0.2% increase ki umeed hai. Producer prices mein 0.1% barhne ka izafa numaya kiya jata hai, May mein 0.2% girne ke baad, jab ke core producer prices bhi 0.2% increase ki umeed hai. Yeh figures qareeb se nigrani mein honge kyunki yeh future inflation aur interest rates ke raaste ka andaza de sakte hain.

Gold ke qeemat mein hal hi mein kami dekhi gayi hai, jese hi market ka rujhan tabdeel hua hai, aur U.S. me mehngai ke khatrey kam hone lage hain aur ma'ashi halaat behtar ho rahe hain. Gold ka jazba girne ki wajah aik mazboot U.S. dollar aur Treasury yields mein izafa hai, jo ke non-yielding assets jaise ke gold ko investors ke liye kam dilchasp bana raha hai. Is ke ilawa, hal hi mein U.S. labor market data, jo ke tawakku se zyada mazboot performance dikhata hai, ne ye itminan paida kiya hai ke ma'ashiyat aik mandi se bachi reh sakti hai, jis se gold ki safe-haven appeal bhi kam ho gayi hai. Federal Reserve ka monetary policy ke liye ehtiyaat se bhara rujhan bhi gold ke daam par asar dal raha hai. Shuru mein, logon ko umeed thi ke rate-cutting cycle mein tezi dekhi jaegi, lekin ab ye umeedain kam ho gayi hain jabke Fed ne apna rujhan "longer for higher" interest rates ke liye signal diya hai. Is se gold ke daamon mein halka sa zor dekha gaya hai, jese hi investors apni agla monetary easing ke liye tawakkuat adjust kar rahe hain. Magar, geopolitical risks, jaise ke Middle East mein jari tanazay aur international relations mein uncertainty, abhi bhi gold ke liye support fraham kar rahe hain. Ye risks, metal ko global instability ke khilaf aik hedge ke tor par rakhta hai, jo ke broader economic optimism ke bawajood demand mein rehta hai.

H4 chart dikhata hai ke kahan bulls aur bears ka zor hai. 2473 aur 2480 ke darmiyan aik strong resistance area hai jahan bears ne consistently price ko neeche dhakel diya hai, jabke 2440 ke neeche aik mazboot support zone hai bulls ke liye. Ye suggest karta hai ke aik trading strategy: 2440 se 2473 range ke andar, short trades par focus karna chahiye, bearish pressure ko anticipate karte hue; is range ke bahar, long trades consider karni chahiye, jese ke breakout ka intezar hai. Is ke ilawa, 50 Simple Moving Average 2432 par bulls ke liye mazeed support fraham karta hai, jo ke aik ahem level hai upward movement ke liye.

Gold ke qeematon mein abhi haali mein kami dekhi gayi hai, jabke market ka jazba badal raha hai aur U.S. me mandi ka khauf kam ho raha hai aur iqtisadi halaat behtar ho rahe hain. Is girawat ka aik hissa U.S. dollar ki taqat aur Treasury yields ke barhney se hai, jo non-yielding assets jaise ke gold ko investors ke liye kam dilchaspi ka banata hai. Mazeed, U.S. ke labor market data ne jo ke umeed se zyada behtari ka izhar karta hai, ye tasalli di hai ke economy mandi se bach sakti hai, jis se gold ka safe-haven jazba kamzor hota hai.

Federal Reserve ki ihtiyaat se mutaliq monetary policy ne bhi gold ki qeematon par asar daala hai. Pehle is baat ki umeed thi ke rate-cutting cycle ziada hoga, lekin ye umeedein kam hoti gayi hain jabke Fed ab bhi apne "higher for longer" stance par qaim hai regarding interest rates. Ye sab kuch gold ki qeemat mein thodi si kami ka sabab bana hai jab investors apni agle monetary easing ki umeedon ko adjust kar rahe hain.

Lekin, geopolitical risks jaise ke Middle East mein tanazaat aur duniavi taluqaat mein adami yaqeen, ab bhi gold ko kuch support faraham karte hain. Ye risks metal ki global instability ke khilaf ek hedge ke taur par ahmiyat barqarar rakhti hain, jis se ye broader economic optimism ke bawajood demand mein hai.

**H4 Chart Analysis:**
H4 chart par dekha jaye, toh significant areas hain jahan bulls aur bears dono fa'aal hain. 2473 se 2480 ke darmiyan ka zone ek strong resistance area hai jahan bears ne musalsal price ko neeche dhakela hai, jabke 2440 ke neeche ka area bulls ke liye ek mazboot support zone hai. Is se trading strategy ye samajh aati hai: 2440 se 2473 ke range ke darmiyan short trades par focus karna chahiye, jahan bearish pressure ka intezar hai; is range se bahar long trades par gaur karna chahiye, expecting a breakout. Iske ilawa, 50 Simple Moving Average 2432 par bulls ke liye aur bhi support faraham karta hai, jo ek ahem level hai jahan se price ke upar jaane ki potential hai.

Naye hafte ka pehla din khatam ho gaya hai. Chaliye XAU/USD ke D1 chart ko dekhte hain. Yahan, wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf ban raha hai. MACD indicator upar ke buying zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichle hafte, price ne mukhtalif directions mein movement dikhayi, lekin buyers ne phir bhi jeet hasil ki. Hafte ke beech mein, price ek acchi resistance level, 2478, par phans gayi thi aur is level se girne ki koshish ki, jo ke US ke news ke baad hua, jab indicators dollar ke haq mein ho gaye aur price patthar ki tarah niche gir gayi. Lekin wahan se strong buying shuru hui, kyunki wahan ek strong horizontal support level, 2435, tha, jo ke chhoti chhoti four-hour charts par behtar nazar aata hai. Dollar bhi market mein kamzor hua. Growth itni strong thi ke main resistance level 2478 ko tod diya aur price Friday ko market band hone tak barhti rahi. Naya all-time high bhi ban gaya.


Ab ek reversal pattern ban raha hai - ek rising wedge, price upar hai, MACD indicator bearish divergence dikhata hai, aur doosra indicator CCI phir se upper overheating area mein hai. Kai factors yeh dikhate hain ke yahan se ek downward correction ki sambhavana hai. Humein chhoti M30-H1 cycle ka intezaar karna hoga taake entry point mil sake, jahan support level resistance mein badal jayega. Mujhe lagta hai peak par buy karna bekaar hai. Price thoda aur upar ja sakti hai, inertia ki wajah se dheere dheere, lekin yahan ek potential selling area already bana hua hai. Lekin, bekarar ho kar sell karne ki zaroorat nahi hai, pehle dekhein ke price kya karti hai aur phir upar se reversal dekhain.

XAU/USD

Naye hafte ka pehla din khatam ho gaya hai. Chalo D1 chart par gold trading instrument ko dekhte hain. Yahan wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein build ho raha hai. MACD indicator upper area mein hai buying ke, apni signal line ke upar. Pichle hafte, price mukhtalif directions mein move ki, magar akhir mein buyers ne jeet hasil ki. Hafte ke beech mein, unko ek strong resistance level 2478 par phasa diya gaya tha, aur unhon ne is level se decline start karne ki koshish bhi ki, jo ke United States se release hone wali news ke background mein hua, jahan indicators dollar ke haq mein turn ho gaye, aur price us waqt pathar ki tarah neeche gir gaya. Magar jald hi strong buying hui, kyun ke 2435 ka ek strong horizontal support level tha, jo ke chhoti four-hour chart par behtar nazar aata hai. Achha, market mein dollar bhi weaken ho gaya. Growth itni strong thi ke usne main resistance level 2478 ko break kar diya, aur price steadily rise karta raha jab tak market Friday ko close nahi ho gaya. Unhon ne ek naya all-time high bhi achieve kiya. Ek reversal pattern form ho raha hai - rising wedge, price top par hai, MACD indicator bearish divergence dikhata hai, aur doosra CCI indicator phir se upper overheating area mein chala gaya hai. Multiple factors suggest karte hain ke yahan se downward correction hone ka high probability hai, aur humein chhote M30-H1 period ka intezar karna hoga taake ek entry point form ho, wahi mirror level jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho jata hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke is peak par buy karna bekaar hai. Price thoda aur barh sakta hai, inertia ki wajah se dheere dheere, lekin yahan already ek potential selling area ban gaya hai. Lekin zaroori nahi ke jaldi mein sell kiya jaye, pehle usko wahan kuch draw karne do aur phir top par reverse hone do.

XAU/USD PLUS GOLD


INTRODUCTION





Assalamu Alaikum dear main ummid karta hun aap sab khairiyat se Honge aur Achcha kam kar rahe Honge Ham Ko is market Mein inter hone ke liye ek acche mind ke sath kam karna chahie Agar Ham ismein Apna mind open karke Koi kam vagaira Karte Hain To Humko ismein Achcha Kam Karne Ko Dil Karta Hai Agar Ham ismein apne aap ko mayus karke ismein kam karte hain to hamare Se Koi Kam Nahin Hoga ismein Kam karna Ek bahut hi Achcha hai Hamen ismein time Dena chahie Jitna Ham time Denge Hamen utna Hi ismein Kam Karne Se fayda Hoga aur ham Agar ismein thread karne se pahle Hamen post ko acchi Tarah Se read karna chahie Agar Ham post ko acchi Tarah se padh Lenge To Ham uska jawab De Sakenge isliye Ham Aaj is topic per baat kar rahe hain aur jisse Humko bahut Achcha fayda hota hai agar Ham thread ko read Karke use topic per baat
market par apna asar dikhata hai. Dollar ki yeh kamzori aam tor par sone ke prices ko barhata hai, jab ke saamaan ko aazmana hota hai jab kaghazat kamzor hote hain. Aaj jo aakhri trading din hai is hafte ka, hum dekh rahe hain ke XAU/USD ke kharidaron ke liye aik strategic window hai. Mojooda market dynamics ke mutabiq, kharidaron ko apni qeemat ko barqarar rakhne ke liye behtareen position hai aur shayad qeemat ko 2380 zone ke paar bhi le ja sakein. Aaj ke din 2380 ka rukh karne ki ye sambhavna baad mein ek mufeed mauka faraham karta hai short-term traders ke liye. Jin logon ne trading mein shamil hain, un ke liye mashwara hai ke short term ke liye aik khareedari order lagayein, mojooda bullish sentiment ka faida uthate hue. Magar, traders ke liye aham ghoor hai trade closures ki timing ka. America ke trading zone ke khulne se pehle apne trades ko band kar dena zaroori hai. America ke trading ka aghaz aksar zyada volatility aur ghair mutawaqa harkat ko sath laata hai, jo market ke manzar ko jaldi se tabdeel kar sakta hai. Is dauran trades ko band kar ke, traders risk ko kam kar sakte hain aur haal hi mein hue qeemat ke harkat se apne faiday ko hasil kar sakte hain. Yeh strategy na sirf hamari tajziati analysis ke mutabiq hai balkay mojooda market conditions ko behtar tareeqay se istemal karti hai
karte hain to hamare knowledge mein izaafa hota hai aur Hamara experience Bhi Jyada ho jata hai hamara experience aur knowledge aise hi badhta hai agar Ham thread ko uski topic ko acchi Tarah se padh Lenge To Ham uska jawab De Sakenge isliyeXAU-USD pair ka technical analysis H-1 timeframe par.
XAU/USD ki movement ne 106 pips ka zabardast pressure mehsoos kiya, jo ke USD ki taqat mein izafa aur NFP data aur hourly earnings ke release hone ke baad paish aya. Ab price 2295.00 ke support area mein phansi hui hai. Price ko pehle consolidation ka samna ho sakta hai, isse pehle ke agle trend ka rukh tay ho, chahe woh trend reversal ho ya trend continuation. Soodyati policy mein cutting interest rates ka masla abhi bhi market par asarandaz hai. Iss surat-e-haal mein economic data aur monetary policy par tawajjo dena intehai ahem hai taake agli price movements ko samjha ja sake. Ham Aaj thread Ka Jawab de rahe hain aur jo bhi Humko ismein Koi kam hota hai aur introduction Nahin Hoti Hai Agar Ham Iske hisab se Ham ismein thread per introduction karte hain Puri detailGold Price Analysis on H4 Chart:
Aaj maine gold prices ka H4 chart detail mein examine kiya aur kuch notable movements dekhe jab week shuru hua. Pehle, price 2286.77 support level se decline hui lekin baad mein wapas bounce back ki. Yeh fluctuation market participants ki kaafi attention draw kar rahi hai. Abhi, market pe FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) ke significant news ka heavy influence hai, jiski wajah se price stall ho rahi hai aur critical level 2315 ko test kar rahi hai. Yeh stalling around 2315 crucial hai kyunki yeh ek key resistance point hai, aur FOMC news ka response next major movement determine karega. ke sath aur identify Karte Hain To Hamen hi Achcha fayda hota hai aur dusron ko bhi achcha fayda hota hai isliye Hamen Soch samajhkar ismein kam karna chahie Jaise Hamare knowledge mein bhi izaafa ho aur dusron ke knowledge mein bhi jyada ho

XAU/USD Analysis

Gold ne overnight trading mein thodi si recovery ki hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh June ke lows ke kareeb gir gaya hai. Abhi jo price hai, woh kal ke Intraday Alert bhejne ke waqt se zyada hai. Main ne June 20 ko jo chhoti si gold position open ki thi, uska profit table se utha liya, jabke closing price se takriban $70 zyada tha.

Lekin abhi tak gold 2021 ke highs ko cross nahi kar saka hai, chahe woh early 2021 ke hi kyu na hoon. Ab Bitcoin ne bhi short-term support dhoondhne ke baad thodi si recovery kar li hai, jab yeh $60k ke aas paas tha. Lekin yeh rebound pehle ke comparison mein kaafi kamzor tha.

Consumer power girti hui nazar aa rahi hai. Ye koi hairat ki baat nahi hai, jo log bitcoin khareedne mein interested thay, unhon ne halving ke baad “sure bet” condition par already khareed liya tha (jiski wajah se naye bitcoins ki supply kam ho jati hai). Main ne pehle hi “sure condition” events ke bare mein warn kiya tha - yeh events ke pehle hi prices ko niche gira dete hain, aur jab aisa hota hai, toh aur koi customers nahi bachte jo prices ko upar push kar sakein.

Aksar log yeh baat nahi samajhte ke agar koi buyers ya sellers nahi hote, toh price wahi ka wahi nahi rehti. Price girne lagti hai, aur girti rehti hai jab tak buyers wapas nahi aate. Agar log in badhti hui prices se dar ke apni jagah chor dete hain, toh humein waterfall sales aur massive price drops ka samna karna parega.






Shayad yeh “New Gold” ke liye agla step ho. Lekin mein exaggerate nahi karunga. Kuch customers hamesha rahenge. Masla yeh hai ke unmein se zyada nahi honge jo prices ko curb kar sakein. Aur jab anti-dollar assets mein girawat hogi, toh doosre anti-dollar assets, jaise ke gold aur silver bhi girenge. Charts se aap dekh sakte hain ke February mein Bitcoin already booming tha.

Is dafa yeh girawat se pehle ho sakti hai. Aur lagta hai ke yeh ab overall tech bubble se zyada connected hai. Haan, mere khayal mein yeh dot-com #2 hai. Haan, AI duniya ko badal dega. Internet bhi waise hi tha. Lekin kya isse 2000 mein ek rise ke baad crash nahi hua tha? Bilkul hua tha! Shayad is dafa bhi yehhi hoga.

Technical Analysis (4-hour Chart)
Is waqt pair 2326 ke demand zone mein trade ho raha hai, toh ho sakta hai ke yahan se fall down ho. Lekin agar yeh 2332 ke upar 4-hour candle close karne mein kamyab ho jata hai, toh iska matlab yeh hoga ke pair 2366 tak ja sakta hai.

XAU/USD Analysis

Gold ka all-time high $2,450 par hai, jo ek bohot important resistance level hai. Agar yeh level cross ho jaye, toh yeh gold market mein bullish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Tareekhi tor par, aise key resistance levels ko break karna aksar market sentiment mein badlaav ka ishara deta hai aur yeh price ke further upar jane ka saboot ho sakta hai. Agar gold ke prices $2,450 ko breach kar lein, toh yeh investors ke behtareen confidence ka izhaar hoga aur gold ko safe-haven asset ke tor par accept karne ka indication bhi hoga.

Lekin, is potential bullish movement ke bawajood, current market sentiment aur technical indicators utne optimistic nahi lag rahe. Market sentiment ka asset prices par bohot asar hota hai, aur abhi gold ke ird gird ka sentiment kafi soft hai. Is ki wajah macroeconomic factors aur investors ke priorities ka badlaav hai. Jaise ke rising interest rates, strong economic data, ya U.S. dollar ka mazid mazboot hona, gold ki investment ke hawale se interest ko kam kar sakta hai.

Technical indicators bhi caution ka ishara kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), aur doosre momentum indicators abhi strong bullish signals nahi dikha rahe. Is technical outlook ka matlab yeh hai ke market ke paas itni taqat nahi hai ke gold ko $2,450 ke level se upar push kar sake.





Agar gold apna current level barqarar nahi rakh pata aur $2,400 ke neeche gir jata hai, toh yeh ek bearish trend ka ishara hoga. Aisi girawat XAU/USD par aur zyada downward pressure daal sakti hai, jo $2,330 ke support level ko test karne tak le ja sakti hai, jo May 13 ko dekha gaya tha. Agar price is level tak pohonchti hai, toh yeh ek significant correction ka ishara hoga aur market mein aur negative sentiment ka sabab ban sakta hai.

In summary, jab tak $2,450 ka resistance level break nahi hota, current market conditions aur technical indicators zyada cautious ya bearish outlook ka ishara karte hain. Agar gold $2,400 ke neeche retreat kar jata hai, toh yeh $2,330 tak aur girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo XAU/USD ke liye ek mushkil daur ka ishara karega.