aud/usd

Chaliye qareebi mustaqbil ke instrument ki mojooda harkat ka tajziya karte hain, jahan teen mashhoor technical analysis ke indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD, ka istemal karte hain, jo ek mufeed trading nateeja hasil karne ki sambhavna ko dhang se andaza lagane mein madad karte hain. Yaad rahe ke bazaar mein dakhil hone ka faisla karne ke liye, tamam indicators ko ek hi signals dena zaroori hai. Ziyada se ziyada munasib munafa hasil karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ke correction levels ke mutabiq position se bahar nikalne ka point chunenge.

Chunay gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ka rukh oopar ki taraf hai, jo ke bazaar mein kharidaron ki mojoodgi aur unka aage ke trend ke rukh mein dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath sath, jis had tak slope hota hai, utna he mojooda upar ki taraf ka trend mazboot hota hai. Ek waqt mein, qareebi mustaqbil ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hone wale ghair linear regression channel (convex lines) ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur ek upar ki rukh ko dikhata hai.

Keemat ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line, 2-nd LevelResLine, ko cross kiya, lekin 0.67146 tak ki zyada qeemat tak pohanchi, us ke baad is ne apna izafa band kar diya aur tabdeeli ke rukh mein tasalsul se girne laga. Instrument ab 0.66485 ke daam par trading kar raha hai. Yeh sab ke sab dekhte hue, main umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) ke channel line ke neeche wapas aur musbat ho jayenge, aur phir aage chal kar golden average line LR (0.63628) ke linear channel 0% Fibo level ke sath milenge. Bechnay ke transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasib aur durusti ko poori tarah RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne tasdeeq kiya hai, kyunke woh abhi.

Hello. Currency pair AUDUSD ke liye market direction ka assessment hai. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ne buying pressure ka ishara diya hai, kyunke Tenkan-Sen line ne 0.66301 pe cross kiya hai, jo ke ek reversal point mana jata hai, Kijun-Sen baseline pe 0.66150 pe. Yeh cross bottom se top ki taraf hua, jo ke buy ka signal deta hai. Mujhe thori si fikar hai ke current price 0.66270 hai, jo ke Senkou Span B line ke neeche 0.66421 pe hai, is se lagta hai ke bullish signal weak ho sakta hai kyunke market Senkou Span B ke neeche hai. Ho sakta hai ke consolidation ho Ichimoku Cloud mein taake market wapas Span B ke upar aa sake. Ek positive aspect yeh hai ke Senkou Span A line 0.66221 pe breach nahi hui, kyunke agar yeh breach hoti to yeh ek reverse signal trigger karti jo ke potential sell-off ka ishara hota. Is ke ilawa, cloud ke andar Stochastic oscillator ko use kar sakte hain, focus karte huye uski position pe 20 zone ke relative. Agar yeh oversold territory mein ho, to strong upward movement ke chances significantly increase ho jate hain.Akhri char ghanton mein AUD/USD ki price mein utar chadhav dekha gaya hai. Market ne kuch consolidation phases dekhi hain jahan price support aur resistance levels ke beech mein move hui hai

In short, AUD/USD ki recent activity ne neutral to slightly bullish bias dikhaya hai, magar clear directional move ke liye thoda sabr zaroori hai. Traders ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur confirmation signals ke saath hi entry aur exit decisions lene chahiye.

Aud/usd

AUD/USD T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S A U D / U S D

Good morning, everyone. Chaliye dekhte hain AUD/USD ka price movement. Is waqt likhne ke time AUD/USD 0.6312 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke AUD/USD ka market behavior closely observe kiya jaye lower timeframes par, jo ab bearish trend mein shift ho gaya hai. Sab indications bearish market sentiment ko support karte hain.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi is situation ko confirm karta hai, jo ke line ke just neeche trade ho raha hai. Agar yeh 40.00 level ke neeche girta hai, toh further declines ka likelihood barh jayega. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator zero line se decline kar raha hai, aur price ab bhi negative line ke neeche trade ho raha hai, aur iska head neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke prices continue decline karengi.

Given ke price is waqt downtrend mein hai aur EMA 50 line ke neeche hai is timeframe par, mujhe lagta hai yeh support level ko test karega jo maine chart par mark kiya hai, jo ke lower level of interest bhi serve karta hai.

Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke $0.6387 level upside resistance ke taur par act kar sakta hai AUD/USD ke liye. Dusri taraf, agar AUD/USD 0.6785 resistance ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh aur zyada strengthen ho kar 0.6498 ya 0.6589 tak rise kar sakta hai. Flip side par, $0.6286 level immediate downside support act kar sakta hai AUD/USD ke liye. Conversely, agar lowest point 0.5000 support ko breach karta hai, toh AUD/USD aur zyada weaken ho kar 0.5800 ya 0.5432 tak drop kar sakta hai.

Market movements mein caution exercise karein, specially jab AUD/USD trade kar rahe hon. AUD/USD ka price heavily depend karega significant impactful news par.

Indicators used on the chart:

• MACD Indicator
• RSI Indicator (period 14)
• Exponential Moving Average 50 (in orange)
• Exponential Moving Average 20 (in magenta)

Australia ka dollar is hafte mazeed tezi se barhta rahega. North American session mein, AUD/USD 0.6641 par trading ho raha hai, din ke dauran 0.71% kami hai. Australia ka gain Monday ko 0.55% ne ghatiya ko mita diya hai.

Australia ne aaj pehle hee kamzor data post kiya hai, jo Australian dollar ko nuqsaan pohnchaya hai. Corporate profit third quarter mein 2.5% q/q ghat gaya, jo ke chauthe quarter mein 7.1% ki mukarar barhesh ke baad hai. Ye market ki tajweez se bohot kam hai jo -0.9% thi. Corporate profit year over year 8.6% ghat gaya hai, jo ke chauthe mukammal saal ki giraawat hai.

Australia ne Q1 mein A$4.9 billion ka net cash flow post kiya hai, jo ke Q4 2023 mein A$2.7 billion ka adjust cash flow tha. Ye A$5.9 billion ka farq hai. Trade surplus ghat gaya hai buland imports aur kam exports ki wajah se, jabke steel production prices mein kami ka sabab bani. Aaj ka silver stock sales ko ikhtiyar deta hai, jo ke April mein chhote margin se 0.1% m/m badh gaya hai March mein -0.4% ke reading ke baad.

Australia ki muntazir hai ke ma'ashiyat 1.2% growth ki taraf rukh layegi. Australia GDP fourth quarter mein 1.2% saal ke mukable mein ghatai ja raha hai, jabke 2023 ke chauthe quarter mein 1.5% tha. Consumer spending naram hogaya hai jabke consumers buland interest rates aur inflation se lard rahe hain.

March GDP figures batayengi ke Australia ne mushkil se recessions se bacha. Aam tor par, aise ma'ashiyati shara'it Reserve Bank of Australia ko ma'ashiyat ko halka karne ke liye rates kam karne ke liye majboor kar sakti hain. Magar inflation tajwez se tez hai, is liye RBA interest rates ko kam karne ka intezar kar sakta hai aur inflation ko cover karne ke liye rates barhane par ittefaq nahi kar sakta.

Australian Dollar RBA Rate Hike Signals par Upar Chala Gaya:
Australian Dollar (AUD) mein izafa dekha gaya jab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke Governor Michele Bullock ne potential interest rate hikes ka signal diya. Bullock ne kaha ke agar Consumer Price Index (CPI) target range mein wapas nahi aata toh central bank rates increase kar sakti hai. Is se investor confidence improve hui hai, kyunki higher interest rates aam tor par foreign investment ko attract karte hain, jo ke currency ko boost dete hain. Australia ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) pehle quarter mein sirf 0.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) bara, jo expected 0.2% growth se neeche tha. Yeh slower economic expansion Australian economy mein ongoing challenges ko point out karta hai. Is lower-than-expected growth ke bawajood, interest rate hikes ke possibility ne AUD ko support kiya hai. China ka services sector abhi bhi strong hai, jaisa ke Caixin China Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May ne dikhaya, jo 54.0 tha. Yeh 17th straight month of growth mark karta hai, jahan reading above 50 expansion indicate karti hai. China ke services sector mein consistent increase broader economy mein resilience ko suggest karta hai, jo ke global economic stability ke liye ek positive sign hai. China ke services sector ki strong performance global markets ko positively impact kar sakti hai aur trade partners jaise ke Australia ko benefit kar sakti hai.


US Dollar Rising Treasury Yields ke Saath Mazid Mazboot Ho Sakta Hai:
US Dollar (USD) rising US Treasury yields ke wajah se mazboot ho sakta hai. Higher yields US bonds ko investors ke liye zyada attractive banate hain, jo ke USD ki demand ko increase karte hain. Ek stronger USD global currency markets par significant asar daal sakta hai, trade balances aur investment flows ko countries ke darmiyan influence karte hue aur global economic dynamics ko shape karte hue. Australian Dollar RBA Governor ke comments ke baad upar chala gaya interest rate hikes ke possibility ke bawajood agar inflation targets meet nahi hote. Lekin, Australia ki GDP growth pehle quarter mein expected se neeche thi, jo kuch economic challenges ko highlight karti hai. Is doran, China ka services sector expand hota raha, jo global economic activity ke liye positive outlook provide karta hai. Aakhir mein, potential strengthening of the US Dollar higher Treasury yields ke wajah se currency market trends ko alter kar sakta hai. Yeh developments global economies ke interconnectedness ko underscore karte hain aur careful economic monitoring aur policy adjustments ki importance ko highlight karte hain.

Aud/usd
Chaliye qareebi mustaqbil ke instrument ki mojooda harkat ka tajziya karte hain, jahan teen mashhoor technical analysis ke indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD, ka istemal karte hain, jo ek mufeed trading nateeja hasil karne ki sambhavna ko dhang se andaza lagane mein madad karte hain. Yaad rahe ke bazaar mein dakhil hone ka faisla karne ke liye, tamam indicators ko ek hi signals dena zaroori hai. Ziyada se ziyada munasib munafa hasil karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ke correction levels ke mutabiq position se bahar nikalne ka point chunenge.

Chunay gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ka rukh oopar ki taraf hai, jo ke bazaar mein kharidaron ki mojoodgi aur unka aage ke trend ke rukh mein dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath sath, jis had tak slope hota hai, utna he mojooda upar ki taraf ka trend mazboot hota hai. Ek waqt mein, qareebi mustaqbil ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hone wale ghair linear regression channel (convex lines) ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur ek upar ki rukh ko dikhata hai.

Keemat ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line, 2-nd LevelResLine, ko cross kiya, lekin 0.67146 tak ki zyada qeemat tak pohanchi, us ke baad is ne apna izafa band kar diya aur tabdeeli ke rukh mein tasalsul se girne laga. Instrument ab 0.66485 ke daam par trading kar raha hai. Yeh sab ke sab dekhte hue, main umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) ke channel line ke neeche wapas aur musbat ho jayenge, aur phir aage chal kar golden average line LR (0.63628) ke linear channel 0% Fibo level ke sath milenge. Bechnay ke transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasib aur durusti ko poori tarah RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne tasdeeq kiya hai, kyunke woh abhi.

Aud/usd

Wednesday ke fundamental events mein khaas kuch nahi hai. ECB ki meeting Thursday ko scheduled hai, isliye mudra samiti ke members abhi central bank ki potential faislon par tabdeeliyon par comment nahi kar sakte. Federal Reserve ki meeting bhi nazdeek hai, isliye FOMC ke members bhi "blackout period" mein dakhil ho chuke hain.

Aam mukhtasir: Aaj ka agenda ke mukhya maamle hai ISM aur ADP reports US mein. Magar overall, macroeconomic background market ke liye kuch khaas ahmiyat nahi rakhega, jo har mauke ko yooropee aur British currencies ko khareedne ke liye istemal kar rahi hai. Agar US mein mazboot reports jaari kiye jaate hain, to dollar majboot hone ke imkaanat kam hain. Agar woh kamzor hote hain, to zyada taur par greenback girne ke imkaanat hain.

AUD/USD

Kal, Australian dollar ke kamzor hone ka girawat Monday ke uthne se kamzor nahi tha, aur yeh trading volumes ke buland doran hua. Aaj subah, Australia ne May ke Ai Group Manufacturing Index aur Ai Group Construction Index ke reports jaari kiye, jo -13.9 se -31.1 aur -25.6 se -68.1 tak tezi se gire - iski tareekh mein sab se bura record hai. 2008/9 ke mushkil dor mein bhi, sab se kamzor reading 29.5 thi. Keemat shayad 0.6627 ke support ko todegi aur 0.6565 ke qareeb MACD line ka sahara legi. Marlin oscillator pehle se hi zero line ko toorna ka intezar kar raha hai. 4-hour chart par, Marlin oscillator pehle se hi bearish territory mein samah chuka hai. Keemat thodi der ke liye MACD line par sthir hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke keemat is support ko par karke 0.6627 ke level ke neeche settle ho jayegi.

There was a lot of back-and-forth against the Australian dollar in the early hours of trading on Wednesday, with the 0.6650 level acting as a price magnet This ranked behavior indicates that the market lacks a clear direction and essentially contains holding internal provisions.

Currently, the market is locked in an important resistance level at 0.6725 and a decent support level at 0.66. These key events reinforce both the 50-day EMA and the 200-day EMA, providing additional support and resistance.

Given these conditions, short-term traders may find opportunities in this market, but those looking for big moves of 30 to 50 pips or more may be disappointed by Friday's upcoming business news could bring about a change and can move the market in a certain direction. But for now, the market seems less uncertain and indecisive.


This indecision is not limited to the Australian dollar; Many major currency pairs experience similar uncertainty. Normally, the summer months bring a slow and sluggish trading environment for currencies, and this year seems to be no exception. The commodity-linked Australian dollar provides some support, but the strength of the U.S. currency is strong. dollar has that the safe currency limits this volatility.

In summary, the Australian dollar is currently trading in strong territories, with strong resistance at 0.6725 and strong support at 0.66. Short-term traders will find opportunities in this channel, but relocation may seem unlikely unless influenced by external factors such as upcoming jobs news. The broad trend of higher and lower prices in the currency markets will persist, making this a challenging environment for traders looking for more price appreciation

Australian Dollar (AUD) aj ke din me kafi mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai, jahan AUD/USD currency pair me moderate decline dekhne ko mil raha hai. Is kamzori ki pehle wajah Australia ke haaliya economic data releases hain jo zyada utsehah janak nahi hain. Ye behtari ka na hona currency ke value pe bojh daal raha hai. Doosri wajah ye hai ke US dollar zyadatar major currencies ke muqable me mazboot ho raha hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko neeche ki taraf dhakel raha hai. Ye broader market trend Australian dollar ke muqablay me US dollars kharidne ko mehnga bana raha hai. Teesri wajah ye hai ke commodity markets me mood sour hai, jo AUD pe ek aur pressure ka wajah ban raha hai. Australia ki economy commodity exports pe heavily reliant hai, isliye in markets me downturn hone se Australian dollar kamzor ho jata hai.
Ab sab ki nigahen upcoming American economic data releases pe hain jo US trading session me aayengi. Private sector me employment ke data ko khaas tor pe noteworthy mana ja raha hai. Ye data point US economy ki sehat ke bare me valuable insights dega aur AUD/USD pair ke direction ko bhi influence kar sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, AUD/USD ke liye do main scenarios hain. Pehla scenario current downward trend ka continuation hai. Ye current market conditions ko dekhte hue ziada mumkin lag raha hai. Agar AUD/USD key support level 0.6675 ke neeche break kare, to ye further decline ke liye rasta bana sakta hai 0.6615 aur shayad 0.6595 tak bhi. Dusra scenario, jo kam mumkin hai, AUD/USD ke liye reversal of fortune hai. Agar ye pair 0.6675 level ke upar chadhne aur wahan consolidate karne me kamyab ho jata hai, to ye potential rise ke liye rasta khol sakta hai 0.6685 aur shayad 0.6695 tak.

Conclusion me, AUD/USD abhi significant headwinds ka samna kar raha hai. Australia ke weak economic data, US dollar ka mazboot hona, aur commodity markets me negative sentiment sab mil kar Aussie ke decline ka sabab ban rahe hain. Jabke ek potential upward correction ko mukammal tor pe nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta, ziada mumkin scenario downward trend ka continuation lagta hai. Investors ko upcoming US economic data releases pe close nazar rakhni chahiye, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye further direction provide kar sakti hain.

Australian Dollar Climbs on RBA Rate Hike Signals: Australian Dollar (AUD) ne izafa dekha hai jab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke Governor Michele Bullock ne mabham andaz mein kaha ke shayad sawaal uthti hai ke ager Consumer Price Index (CPI) apne maqsood range mein wapas nahi aata to central bank shuara kar sakta hai ke rate badhaye. Bullock ne yeh bhi kaha ke ager CPI apni maqsood range mein wapas nahi aata to central bank ke pas yeh mumkinat hai ke wo rate ko barhaye. Yeh sab sun kar investors ka confidence barh gaya hai kyunke zyada interest rates aam tor par foreign investment ko attract karte hain, jo currency ko mazboot banata hai. Australia ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) sirf 0.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) pehla quarter mein bara, jo ke expected 0.2% growth se kam tha. Yeh dheema economic expansion Australia ki economy mein chal rahi challenges ko zahir karta hai. Iss lower-than-expected growth ke bawajood, interest rate hikes ki mumkinat ne AUD ko support diya hai. China ka services sector mazboot hai, jaisa ke Caixin China Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ne May ke liye 54.0 score kiya, jo ke 17wen seedha month ka growth hai, 50 se zyada ka reading expansion ko zahir karta hai. China ke services sector ka consistent izafa is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke uski wider economy resilient hai, jo ke global economic stability ke liye ek positive sign hai. China ke services sector ka strong performance global markets ko positive impact kar sakta hai aur trade partners jese Australia ko faida de sakta hai.

US Dollar May Strengthen with Rising Treasury Yields:
US Dollar (USD) mazboot ho sakta hai Treasury yields ke barhney se. Higher yields US bonds ko investors ke liye zyada attractive banate hain, jo USD ki demand ko barhate hain. Ek strong USD global currency markets pe significant asar dal sakta hai, trade balances aur investment flows ke darmiyan mulkon ke darmiyan tasir karta hai aur global economic dynamics ko shape karta hai. Australian Dollar ne izafa dekha hai RBA Governor ke comments ke baad jo ke mumkin interest rate hikes ke bare mein the agar inflation targets nahi milte. Magar, Australia ka GDP growth pehle quarter mein kam expected tha, jo ke kuch economic challenges ko highlight karta hai. Iske sath hi, China ka services sector expand karte hue positive outlook de raha hai global economic activity ke liye. Akhir mein, USD ke mazboot hone ki sambhavana Treasury yields ke barhne se currency market trends ko badal sakti hai. Yeh developments global economies ki interconnectedness ko highlight karti hain aur economic monitoring aur policy adjustments ki ahmiyat ko underscore karti hain.

Hello. Currency pair AUDUSD ke liye market direction ka assessment hai. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ne buying pressure ka ishara diya hai, kyunke Tenkan-Sen line ne 0.66301 pe cross kiya hai, jo ke ek reversal point mana jata hai, Kijun-Sen baseline pe 0.66150 pe. Yeh cross bottom se top ki taraf hua, jo ke buy ka signal deta hai. Mujhe thori si fikar hai ke current price 0.66270 hai, jo ke Senkou Span B line ke neeche 0.66421 pe hai, is se lagta hai ke bullish signal weak ho sakta hai kyunke market Senkou Span B ke neeche hai. Ho sakta hai ke consolidation ho Ichimoku Cloud mein taake market wapas Span B ke upar aa sake. Ek positive aspect yeh hai ke Senkou Span A line 0.66221 pe breach nahi hui, kyunke agar yeh breach hoti to yeh ek reverse signal trigger karti jo ke potential sell-off ka ishara hota. Is ke ilawa, cloud ke andar Stochastic oscillator ko use kar sakte hain, focus karte huye uski position pe 20 zone ke relative. Agar yeh oversold territory mein ho, to strong upward movement ke chances significantly increase ho jate hain.Akhri char ghanton mein AUD/USD ki price mein utar chadhav dekha gaya hai. Market ne kuch consolidation phases dekhi hain jahan price support aur resistance levels ke beech mein move hui hai
Chunay gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ka rukh oopar ki taraf hai, jo ke bazaar mein kharidaron ki mojoodgi aur unka aage ke trend ke rukh mein dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath sath, jis had tak slope hota hai, utna he mojooda upar ki taraf ka trend mazboot hota hai. Ek waqt mein, qareebi mustaqbil ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hone wale ghair linear regression channel (convex lines) ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur ek upar ki rukh ko dikhata hai.




In short, AUD/USD ki recent activity ne neutral to slightly bullish bias dikhaya hai, magar clear directional move ke liye thoda sabr zaroori hai. Traders ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur confirmation signals ke saath hi entry aur exit decisions lene chahi
ye.

AUD/USD

Jaldi subah trading ke pehle ghanton mein Australian dollar ke khilaf bohot zyada upar-niche ki taraf ki karkardagi dekhi gayi, jahan 0.6650 level aik qeemat ka maqtab dikhata tha. Ye rangin rawayat yeh dikhata hai ke market mein kisi wazi raah ka na hona aur asal mein yeh apne andar intizami faraiz ko shamil karta hai.

Abhi market aik ahem resistance level par 0.6725 aur aik behtar support level par 0.66 mein band hai. Ye ahem wakaayat 50-day EMA aur 200-day EMA ko mazid support aur resistance faraham karte hain.

In shirayat par ghor karke, chand muddati traders ko is market mein moqa mil sakta hai, lekin 30 se 50 pips ya zyada ke bareek izaafi liye intezar karne wale shakhs ko Jumma ke qareeb ane wali karobaari khabron se tabdeeli aane ki umeed hai aur market ko kisi khaas raah par le ja sakta hai. Magar abhi ke liye, market kam ghair yaqeeni aur bekarar nazar aata hai.

Ye bekarari sirf Australian dollar par mehdood nahi hai; Bohat se bade currency pairs bhi is tarah ki ghair yaqeeni ka samna kar rahe hain. Aam tor par, garmi ke mahine currencies ke liye ek dheemi aur sust trading mahol laate hain, aur is saal bhi yeh koi ikhtiyar nahi lagta. Sarmaya band Australia dollar thoda sa support faraham karta hai, lekin America dollar ki taqat is ghair yaqeeni ko mehdood karti hai.

Mukhtasar mein, Australian dollar ab mazboot elaaqon mein trade ho raha hai, jahan 0.6725 par mazboot resistance aur 0.66 par mazboot support hai. Chhoti muddati traders is channel mein moqa dhoond sakte hain, lekin re-location behtar nahi lagti agar aane wali jobs ki tarah kisi pehlu se influence nahi hoti. Currency markets mein izaafi aur kam qeemat ki aam trend jaari rahegi, jo ke traders ke liye zyada qeemat barhane ki talash mein aik chunauti ho gi.

Chaliye qareebi mustaqbil ke instrument ki mojooda harkat ka tajziya karte hain, jahan teen mashhoor technical analysis ke indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD, ka istemal karte hain, jo ek mufeed trading nateeja hasil karne ki sambhavna ko dhang se andaza lagane mein madad karte hain. Yaad rahe ke bazaar mein dakhil hone ka faisla karne ke liye, tamam indicators ko ek hi signals dena zaroori hai. Ziyada se ziyada munasib munafa hasil karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ke correction levels ke mutabiq position se bahar nikalne ka point chunenge.
Chunay gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ka rukh oopar ki taraf hai, jo ke bazaar mein kharidaron ki mojoodgi aur unka aage ke trend ke rukh mein dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath sath, jis had tak slope hota hai, utna he mojooda upar ki taraf ka trend mazboot hota hai. Ek waqt mein, qareebi mustaqbil ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hone wale ghair linear regression channel (convex lines) ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur ek upar ki rukh ko dikhata hai.

Keemat ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line, 2-nd LevelResLine, ko cross kiya, lekin 0.67146 tak ki zyada qeemat tak pohanchi, us ke baad is ne apna izafa band kar diya aur tabdeeli ke rukh mein tasalsul se girne laga. Instrument ab 0.66485 ke daam par trading kar raha hai. Yeh sab ke sab dekhte hue, main umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) ke channel line ke neeche wapas aur musbat ho jayenge, aur phir aage chal kar golden average line LR (0.63628) ke linear channel 0% Fibo level ke sath milenge. Bechnay ke transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasib aur durusti ko poori tarah RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne tasdeeq kiya hai, kyunke woh abhi.

Australian Dollar RBA Rate Hike Signals:

Australian Dollar (AUD) ki qeemat barh gayi hai jab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock ne tajwez kiya ke munsifah dar barh sakti hai. Bullock ne zikr kiya ke agar Consumer Price Index (CPI) maqsood range mein wapas nahi aata to bank shaed dar barha sakti hai. Ye investor ki ittefaq mein behtarii laane ke liye madadgar sabit hua hai, kyunki uch dar barhane se amooman foree investment ko jhelne mein madad hoti hai, jo currency ko farogh deti hai. Australia ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) pehle quarter mein sirf 0.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) barha, jo ke mutwaqqa 0.2% se kam tha. Ye kam economic taraqqi aage ke challenges ki nishani hai. Is kam dar ki economic taraqqi ke bawajood, uch dar barhane ke imkaanat ne AUD ka saath diya hai. China ka services sector mazboot hai, jaisa ke Caixin China Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) May mein 54.0 tha. Ye 17th mukammal maheena hai jisme taraqqi ki ghari hai, jahan 50 se oopar hona barhao ki nishani hai. China ke services sector ka mustaqil behtar hona wesay baraai'mand hai, jo global economic stability ke liye aik musbati nishani hai. China ke services sector ki mazbooti global markets par asar dal sakti hai aur trade partners jaise Australia ke liye faydahmand ho sakta hai.





US Dollar Uchha hone ka Imkaan with Rising Treasury Yields:
US Dollar (USD) shayad uchha ho sakta hai uncha US Treasury yields ke saath. Uchhi yields US bonds ko investors ke liye zyada kashishmand banati hain, jo USD ki demand barhane mein madad karti hai. Mazedar USD global currency markets ko asar andaz bana sakti hai, mulkain ke darmiyan trade balances aur investment flows ko mutasir karti hai aur global economic dynamics ko shakal deti hai. Australian Dollar ne RBA Governor ke comments ke baad barhna shuru kiya ke agar mahsool ke maqsood nahi pohochte to interest dar barha sakte hain. Magar, Australia ka GDP growth pehle quarter mein mutwaqqa se kam tha, ek kuch challenges ki roshni dalte hain. Jabke, China ka services sector mazeed barhta ja raha hai, jo global economic activity ke liye aik behtar outlook faraham deti hai. Aakhri mein, US Dollar ka shayad uchha hone ke imkaanat uchhe Treasury yields ke wajah se currency market trends ko badal sakti hain. Ye taraqqiyan dikhate hain ke global economies ka milna-julna aur careful economic monitoring aur policy adjustments ki ahemiyat.

AUD/USD 0.6648 par qayam qaim hai, jab ke mila huwa US data aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke katton ke khilaf tajwezat ke darmiyan. Yeh istiqamat United States ki mila huwi ma'ashi reports ke bawajood hai aur muntazim talks ke bawajood Federal Reserve ke mumkinat interest rate cuts ke khilaf. Haal ki ma'ashi data United States ki aik mukhtalif tasweer dikhata hai. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 53.8 tak barh gaya, jis se service sektar mein izafa dikhata hai. Mamoolan, PMI 50 se ooper taraqqi ko dikhata hai. Lekin, yeh musbat khabrein ADP National Employment Report se ayi hayran kun job data ke zair asar thi, jo ke bata raha tha ke sirf 155,000 jobs private sektar mein peechle mahine mein shamil hui, jo ke umeedon se kam tha. Australia ki taaza ma'ashi data mein majmod izafa dikhata hai. Australian Bureau of Statistics ke mutabiq, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) pehle saal ke pehle quarter ke mukablay mein 0.1% aur salana 1.1% tak barh gaya. Ye figures taraqqi ko dikhate hain lekin pehle quarters ke mukablay mein dheemi gati se.

RBA ke Outlook Mein Koi Tabdili Nahi
Dheemi GDP ki taraqqi ke bawajood, ANZ ke analysts ka khayal hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka outlook be-tabdeel hai. RBA ma'ashi halaat ko nazar andaaz kar raha hai, jismein koi bhi mojooda monetary policy mein tabdili ke koi fori nishan nahi hain. Traders ab Australia se mukhtalif ma'ashi reports ka intezar kar rahe hain jo AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Aanay wale data releases mein shamil hain:

Balance of Trade: Yeh Australia ka trade surplus ya deficit dikhayega, jo currency value par asar daal sakta hai.
Home Loans: Yeh data housing market aur consumer confidence ka imtehaan dikhayega.
Private Housing Approvals: Yeh naye building permits ka shumaar hai, future construction activity ka aik leading indicator hai.

Market ki Tawaqqaat
AUD/USD currency pair aanay wale data points par jawab denay ke imkanat hai. Aik mazboot Balance of Trade report ya musbat housing data Australian Dollar ko boost kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, kisi bhi manfi surprises AUD ko nicha daba sakta hai. America mein, traders Federal Reserve se mumkin interest rate cuts ke bare mein signals ke liye tafteesh kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy par liye gaye faislay se umeed hai ke ye USD ko khas tor par mutasir karenge aur phir AUD/USD exchange rate ko bhi.