aud/usd

2024 ke shuruaati marhale mein, S&P 500 aur Aussie dollar ke darmiyan aam tor par musbat rishta torne laga. Stocks mazeed buland rahe jabke mazboot US inflation aur mustahkam growth ne US dollar ko uthaya, jo AUD par bojh ban gaya aur AUD/USD ko seedha ya kabhi kabhi kam kar diya.

Magar, aam tor par musbat rishta dobara track par lagta hai jab dono raste aik dosre ke sath chalne lagte hain - aik cheez jo ke chart ke neeche correlation coefficient index ke zariye zahir hoti hai (20-day rolling correlation ka istemal karte hue). Correlation coefficient ka 1 hona yeh dikhata hai ke do markets perfect taur par aik dosre ke sath chal rahe hain aur ab tak ka reading 0.87 ek mazboot recovery ka izhar karta hai. Is liye, jab S&P 500 apne all-time high ko test karne ke raaste par hai, AUD 'risk on' move se faida utha sakta hai. Is haftay ka aik potential hurdle US CPI hai, jo disinflation narrative mein wapas dikhane ka imkan hai lekin markets month-on-month (MoM) core CPI par zyada tawajjo denge. Mahine bhar core CPI ke mutalliq qaribi 0.4% ke darmiyan rahi hai - jo ke inflation ko 2% target par wapas laane ka kaha jata hai. Pehli tajwezat is figure ko 0.3% par laati hain lekin markets mazeed qareeb se dekh sakte hain kyun ke yeh figure aksar upar ya neeche jata hai. Masalan, aik 2.6% ka reading USD mein bearish tasleem ki ja sakti hai jabke 0.34% ko zyada bullish jawab mil sakta hai, haalaanki dono figures 0.3% ke tor par darj kiye jayenge.

AUD/USD asani se 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke oopar uth gaya hai aur nazar ata hai ke April 2020 ki bulandai 0.6580 ke oopar qayam hai jahan qeemat ne haal he mein miltay jultay dinon mein jama ki hai.

Yahan se agay barhne ke liye AUD/USD bullon ke liye bari mushkil ka samna hai jo ke haal he mein moujooda swing highs par 0.6645 ke qareeb nazar aayi hai. Agar woh bhi paaya jaata hai, to 0.6680 ke darjaat bohot door nahi hain - ek aur darja jo ke AUD/USD ki upar ki taraf rok hai. Magar, haal he mein jama consolidation ek bull pennant banata hai - aik aam bullish pattern.

Thodi madad ke saath US inflation report (umeed se kam CPI), AUD/USD ko haqeeqatan yeh levels of resistance ko test karne aur shayad torne ka aghaz karne ka catalyst mil sakta hai. Support 0.6580 par bana rehta hai.

Bullish trend ki direction aur higher high - high low price pattern structure me AUDUSD pair me ab bhi ittefaq nazar aata hai. Isliye, price movement ki direction kehte hue aage badhne ka trend hai. Sirf aaj ke badhne wale prices par dhyan diya jaye, lagta hai ki wo 0.6717 ke high prices tak pahunchne me asafal rahe hain. For example, agar price EMA 50 ke aas paas ho aur upar bounce kare, to bhi wo ek naya higher high nahi bana pata, iska matlav hai ki price niche correct hone ka chance hai. Halaanki, break of structure ke liye invalidation level abhi current price se kaafi door hai kyunki yeh support 0.6564 par hai. Jab tak downward correction phase is support se guzarti nahi hai chahe price EMA 50 ke neeche rahe, tab tak higher high - higher low structure ko bullish trend ki direction me aage badhne ka potential hoga. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye to price ko aage badhne ka support mil raha hai. Kyunki parameter oversold zone ko cross kar chuka hai aur ab level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ki saturation point tak pahunchne se pehle kaafi space hai. Magar agar parameter level 50 ko cross nahi kar pata ya fir wapas oversold zone me jaata hai, to downward correction EMA 50 aur low prices 0.6649 ke neeche chalega.

Trading plan me sabr banaye rakhna aur BUY moment ka wait karna hai kyunki trend direction me koi visible change ya structure break nahi hai. Position entry EMA 50 ke aas paas najdiki RBS area yani 0.6642 ke aas paas rakhi ja sakti hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters phir se oversold zone ko cross kar rahe hain ya nahi confirm karna hai. Take profit ko high prices 0.6717 ke upar rakha ja sakt hai aur stop loss 0.6564 ke support ke aas paas.

Agar stochastic indicator ka istemal karke analyze kiya jaye, to signal line ka position level 80 tak chadh gaya hai, aaj ke liye badhne ka mauka dikhate hue. Toh overall market condition candlestick ke saath buyer control me chal rahi hai, yani ki price badhne ki opportunity ab bhi hai kyunki movement abhi bhi bullish zone me hai. Price travel ne 100-period simple moving average zone se guzar gayi hai, jo dikhata hai ki buying interest abhi bhi dominant hai. Toh agle market situation ka anuman, meri raay me, lag raha hai ki price badhne ka mauka hai, buyers consistent taur par candlestick ko Uptrend side par chalane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Bullish side ki trip ke liye target 0.6692 positions tak pahunchne ki ummeed hai, jabki dusre buyers ko bhi price badhane me madad karne ke liye opportunities open hogi. Ek comfortable trading position dhundhne ke liye, meri raay me, bas price ko 0.6662 position tak badhne ka wait karna chahiye. Halaanki is hafte prices tend to move towards the uptrend side, main firse yaad dilana chahunga ki market habits week ke shuru me price ko downward correction karne ka arth ho sakta hai.

Yeh lagta hai ke US dollar (USD) ke halkay se girawat ke bawajood, AUD/USD Wednesday ko zordar recovery dekhne ko mili, aur 0.6660 ke qareeb do din ki bulandion ko dobara hasil kar liya.
Greenback ne apni qeemat kho di jab ke hosla afzaai hui US removal payrolls ke liye Friday ko, jab ke US mein mazid thandak aayi labor market mein, jo yeh theory barqarar rakhti hai ke Fed ka September rate ab bhi mumkin hai, chahe wo ek “long shot” lagta hai. Tab tak yeh hi hai.

Dollar ki girawat ke ilawa, Australian dollar ki recovery bhi doosray acha period ke wajah se hui jab metal prices weak rahi copper prices ke muqablay mein.

Monetary policy front pe, Fed ki tarah, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) bhi mumkin hai ke aakhri bade banks mein se ho jo structural adjustment se guzregi. Bank ke latest minutes ke mutabiq, officials ne yeh bhi socha ke agar inflation tez hoti hai to interest rates barh sakti hain.

Filhal, currency markets May 2025 tak takreeban 25 bps slowdown ka paishgoi kar rahi hain, jo August ke liye mumkin hai. Is pe zor dete hue, RBA ka monthly CPI indicator (weighted median CPI) April mein expect se zyada tha, jo 3.5% se barh kar 3.6% ho gaya.

AUD/USD ka Short-Term Technical Outlook

Mazeed gains AUD/USD ko May 0.6714 (May 16) tak le ja sakti hain, iske baad December 2023 high of 0.6871 aur July 2023 high of 0.6894 (July 14), sab 0.7000 ke critical level se pehle.

Doosri taraf, girawat ki koshish is pair ko 100-day aur 55-day SMA ke median range 0.6560-0.6570 mein dhakel sakti hai, jiske baad yeh May ke low 0.6465, 2024 ke andar 200-day SMA major ke direction mein 0.6537 bottom aur 0.6362 (April 19) recover kar sakti hai.

Overall, jab tak price 200-day moving average ke upar rehti hai, gains ka potential kaafi zyada hai.

4-hour chart yeh dikha raha hai ke consolidation range ab tak qaim hai. Magar, 0.6698 pehli barrier hai upside ke liye, jiske baad 0.6709 aur 0.6714 hain. Doosri taraf, 200-SMA 0.6604 pe lead kar raha hai 0.6590 aur 0.6557. RSI 53 se cross kar gaya hai.

AUD/USD


Aisa lagta hai ke US dollar ke thodi si girawat ke baad, AUD/USD ne Wednesday ko mazboot recovery karte hue 0.6660 ke area ko wapas hasil kar liya, jo ke do din ka buland tareen hai.

Greenback ne kuch maqam khoya jab ke jazba barh gaya US payrolls ke Friday ko nikalne se pehle. Saath hi, US labor market ki mzeed cooling ne yeh theory barqarar rakhi ke Fed ke September rate hike ab bhi possible hain, chahe wo “long shot” hi kyun na ho. Tab tak yeh baat barqarar rahegi.

Dollar ke retreat ke ilawa, Australian dollar ka recovery bhi achay waqt ke metal prices ki waja se hui jo ke copper prices se weak thi.

Monetary policy ke silsile mein, Fed ki tarah, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) bhi aakhri bara banks mein se ek ho sakta hai jo structural adjustment karega. Bank ke aakhri minutes ke mutabiq, officials ne yeh bhi socha ke interest rates ko barhaya ja sakta hai agar inflation tez hoti hai.

Iss waqt, currency markets May 2025 tak takriban 25 bps slowdown forecast kar rahe hain, jo August tak table par aa sakta hai. Iss baat ko emphasize karte hue, RBA ka mahana CPI indicator (weighted median CPI) expected se zyada tha April mein, jo 3.5% se barh kar 3.6% ho gaya.

AUD/USD ka short-term technical outlook

Mazid gains AUD/USD ko 0.6714 tak push kar sakte hain (May 16), phir December 2023 ke high 0.6871, aur July 2023 ke high 0.6894 (July 14) tak, jo sab critical 0.7000 ke aage hain.

Wahi, downward effort pair ko 100-day aur 55-day SMA ke range 0.6560-0.6570 tak le ja sakti hai, jiske baad May low 0.6465 aa sakta hai. 2024 ke andar, 200-day SMA major direction ke sath 0.6537 bottom aur 0.6362 (April 19) recover ho sakti hain.

Overall, jab tak price 200-day moving average ke upar rehti hai, kaafi potential gains ke liye hai.

4-hour chart dikhata hai ke consolidation range qareebi tor par barqarar hai. Magar, 0.6698 pehli barrier hai upside ke liye, phir 0.6709 aur 0.6714. Dosri taraf, 200-SMA 0.6604 leading hai 0.6590 aur 0.6557 tak. RSI ne 53 se cross kiya hai.

Chaliye qareebi mustaqbil ke instrument ki mojooda harkat ka tajziya karte hain, jahan teen mashhoor technical analysis ke indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD, ka istemal karte hain, jo ek mufeed trading nateeja hasil karne ki sambhavna ko dhang se andaza lagane mein madad karte hain. Yaad rahe ke bazaar mein dakhil hone ka faisla karne ke liye, tamam indicators ko ek hi signals dena zaroori hai. Ziyada se ziyada munasib munafa hasil karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ke correction levels ke mutabiq position se bahar nikalne ka point chunenge.Chunay gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ka rukh oopar ki taraf hai, jo ke bazaar mein kharidaron ki mojoodgi aur unka aage ke trend ke rukh mein dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath sath, jis had tak slope hota hai, utna he mojooda upar ki taraf ka trend mazboot hota hai. Ek waqt mein, qareebi mustaqbil ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hone wale ghair linear regression channel (convex lines) ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur ek upar ki rukh ko dikhata hai.
Keemat ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line, 2-nd LevelResLine, ko cross kiya, lekin 0.67146 tak ki zyada qeemat tak pohanchi, us ke baad is ne apna izafa band kar diya aur tabdeeli ke rukh mein tasalsul se girne laga. Instrument ab 0.66485 ke daam par trading kar raha hai. Yeh sab ke sab dekhte hue, main umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) ke channel line ke neeche wapas aur musbat ho jayenge, aur phir aage chal kar golden average line LR (0.63628) ke linear channel 0% Fibo level ke sath milenge. Bechnay ke transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasib aur durusti ko poori tarah RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne tasdeeq kiya hai, kyunke woh abhi.

closely observe kiya jaye lower timeframes par, jo ab bearish trend mein shift ho gaya hai. Sab indications bearish market sentiment ko support karte hain.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi is situation ko confirm karta hai, jo ke line ke just neeche trade ho raha hai. Agar yeh 40.00 level ke neeche girta hai, toh further declines ka likelihood barh jayega. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator zero line se decline kar raha hai, aur price ab bhi negative line ke neeche trade ho raha hai, aur iska head neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke prices continue decline karengi.

Given ke price is waqt downtrend mein hai aur EMA 50 line ke neeche hai is timeframe par, mujhe lagta hai yeh support level ko test karega jo maine chart par mark kiya hai, jo ke lower level of interest bhi serve karta hai.

Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke $0.6387 level upside resistance ke taur par act kar sakta hai AUD/USD ke liye. Dusri taraf, agar AUD/USD 0.6785 resistance ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh aur zyada strengthen ho kar 0.6498 ya 0.6589 tak rise kar sakta hai. Flip side par, $0.6286 level immediate downside support act kar sakta hai AUD/USD ke liye. Conversely, agar lowest point 0.5000 support ko breach karta hai, toh AUD/USD aur zyada weaken ho kar 0.5800 ya 0.5432 tak drop kar sakta hai







Market movements mein caution exercise karein, specially jab AUD/USD trade kar rahe hon. AUD/USD ka price heavily depend karega significant impactful news par.

Indicators used on the chart:
MACD Indicator
RSI Indicator (period 14)
Exponential Moving Average 50 (in orange)
Exponential Moving Average 20 (in magenta)

AUDUSD ke liye market direction ka assessment karte waqt, Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ka istemal karna aik accha tareeqa hai. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator Japani charting technique hai jo traders ko market direction, support aur resistance levels, aur entry points ka andaza lagane mein madad deta hai. Is indicator ka istemal karke market ki trend ko samajhna asan ho jata hai. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ka aham hissa Tenkan-Sen line hai, jo short-term trend ko represent karti hai. Jab Tenkan-Sen line, jo ke 9-period ki moving average hoti hai, price ko cross karti hai, to isse reversal point mana jata hai. Agar Tenkan-Sen line price ko neeche se upar cross karti hai, to yeh buying pressure ka ishara hai, aur agar price ko oopar se neeche cross karti hai, to yeh selling pressure ka ishara hai.

Ab, jab hum AUDUSD ke Ichimoku Kinko Hyo chart ko dekhte hain, Tenkan-Sen line ne 0.66308 pe price ko cross kiya hai. Iska matlab hai ke buying pressure ka indication hai. Yeh cross ek reversal point bhi hai jo ke market trend ko change kar sakta hai. Lekin sirf Tenkan-Sen line ko dekh kar market direction ka final faisla nahi karna chahiye. Isse pehle, humein doosre Ichimoku components jaise ke Kijun-Sen, Senkou Span A, Senkou Span B aur Chikou Span ko bhi ghor se dekhna chahiye. Kijun-Sen line, jo 26-period ki moving average hai, bhi market direction ka ek indicator hai. Agar Kijun-Sen line Tenkan-Sen line ko follow karti hai aur upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, to yeh ek aur confirmation hai ke buying pressure hai aur market ka trend upar ki taraf ja sakta hai. Senkou Span A aur Senkou Span B, jo future ke support aur resistance levels ko represent karte hain, bhi market direction ka pata lagane mein madadgar hote hain. Agar Senkou Span A Senkou Span B se upar hai, to yeh ek aur bullish signal hai. Chikou Span, jo ke current price ko 26 periods peechay shift karta hai, bhi market direction ko confirm karta hai. Agar Chikou Span price ke upar hai, to yeh ek aur bullish signal hai. Is tarah se, Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ke saare components ka istemal karke market direction ka sahi assessment kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh sirf ek tool hai aur dusri factors ko bhi ghor se dekha jana chahiye jaise ke economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Is tarah ke analysis ke sath, traders sahi trading decisions le sakte hain.

AUD/USD pair mein currency exchange rate dar asal Australian dollar aur Ameriki dollar ke darmiyan ka rate hota hai. Jab AUD/USD ka rate badhta hai, to yeh darshata hai ke ek Australian dollar ka keemat Ameriki dollar ke mukabley zyada hai. Is tarah ke tabdeel tijarati aur arthik mudde pe asar andaz hoti hai dono deshon ke darmiyan.

Australian dollar ki keemat ko Ameriki dollar ke sath tawazun mein dekhne ka tareeqa tijarati fa'il aur arthik policyon pe mabni hota hai. Agar AUD/USD ka rate barh raha hai, toh yeh ma'ashiyat mein izafa aur Australia ki arthvyavastha mein taraqqi ka ishara ho sakta hai. Wahi agar yeh rate ghat raha hai, toh yeh darshata hai ke Amerika ki arthvyavastha Australia ki arthvyavastha ke mukabley zyada majboot hai.

500 alfaz mein roman Urdu mein is topic par likhne ka tareeqa darj zail ho sakta hai:

AUD/USD pair ka currency exchange rate asal mein Australian dollar aur Ameriki dollar ke darmiyan ka exchange rate dar hai. Jab AUD/USD ka rate barh raha hai, to yeh darshata hai ke Australian dollar ki keemat Ameriki dollar ke mukabley zyada hai. Is tarah ke tabdeel tijarati aur maaliyat pe asar andaz hoti hai dono mulkon mein. Ye rate ke tabdeel tijarati mudde pe asar andaz hoti hai dono mulkon mein. Agar AUD/USD ka rate gir raha hai, toh yeh ma'ashiyat mein izafa aur Australia ki arthvyavastha mein taraqqi ka ishara ho sakta hai. Wahi agar yeh rate barh raha hai, toh yeh darshata hai ke Amerika ki arthvyavastha Australia ki arthvyavastha ke mukabley zyada majboot hai.

Roman Urdu
Aud/usd

Wednesday ke fundamental events mein khaas kuch nahi hai. ECB ki meeting Thursday ko scheduled hai, isliye mudra samiti ke members abhi central bank ke potential faislon par tabdeeliyon par comment nahi kar sakte. Federal Reserve ki meeting bhi nazdeek hai, isliye FOMC ke members bhi "blackout period" mein dakhil ho chuke hain.

#### Aam mukhtasir
Aaj ka agenda ke mukhya maamle hai ISM aur ADP reports US mein. Magar overall, macroeconomic background market ke liye kuch khaas ahmiyat nahi rakhega, jo har mauke ko yooropee aur British currencies ko khareedne ke liye istemal kar rahi hai. Agar US mein mazboot reports jaari kiye jaate hain, to dollar majboot hone ke imkaanat kam hain. Agar woh kamzor hote hain, to zyada taur par greenback girne ke imkaanat hain.

#### AUD/USD

Kal, Australian dollar ke kamzor hone ka girawat Monday ke uthne se kamzor nahi tha, aur yeh trading volumes ke buland doran hua. Aaj subah, Australia ne May ke Ai Group Manufacturing Index aur Ai Group Construction Index ke reports jaari kiye, jo -13.9 se -31.1 aur -25.6 se -68.1 tak tezi se gire - iski tareekh mein sab se bura record hai. 2008/9 ke mushkil dor mein bhi, sab se kamzor reading 29.5 thi. Keemat shayad 0.6627 ke support ko todegi aur 0.6565 ke qareeb MACD line ka sahara legi. Marlin oscillator pehle se hi zero line ko toorna ka intezar kar raha hai. 4-hour chart par, Marlin oscillator pehle se hi bearish territory mein samah chuka hai. Keemat thodi der ke liye MACD line par sthir hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke keemat is support ko par karke 0.6627 ke level ke neeche settle ho jayegi.

AUD/USD pair mein bullish trend ka direction aur higher high - higher low price pattern ab bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai. Isliye, price movement ki direction ab bhi upward trend ko dikhati hai. Agar aaj ke prices par nazar dali jaye, to lagta hai ki yeh 0.6717 ke high prices tak nahi pahunch paaye hain. For example, agar price EMA 50 ke aas paas ho aur upar bounce kare, to bhi agar yeh naya higher high nahi bana pata, iska matlab hai ki price niche correct hone ka chance hai. Structure break hone ka invalidation level abhi current price se kaafi door hai kyunki yeh support 0.6564 par hai. Jab tak downward correction phase is support se nahi guzarta, chahe price EMA 50 ke neeche rahe, tab tak higher high - higher low structure ko bullish trend ki direction me aage badhne ka potential rahega.
Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye to price ko aage badhne ka support mil raha hai kyunki parameter oversold zone ko cross kar chuka hai aur ab level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai. Jo ki saturation point tak pahunchne se pehle kaafi space hai. Magar agar parameter level 50 ko cross nahi kar pata ya fir wapas oversold zone me jaata hai, to downward correction EMA 50 aur low prices 0.6649 ke neeche ja sakta hai.

Trading plan me sabr rakhein aur BUY moment ka wait karein kyunki trend direction me koi visible change ya structure break nahi hai. Position entry EMA 50 ke aas paas, najdiki RBS area yani 0.6642 ke aas paas rakhi ja sakti hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters phir se oversold zone ko cross kar rahe hain ya nahi, confirm karna zaroori hai. Take profit ko high prices 0.6717 ke upar rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss 0.6564 ke support ke aas paas.

Agar stochastic indicator ka istemal karke analyze kiya jaye, to signal line ka position level 80 tak chadh gaya hai, aaj ke liye badhne ka mauka dikhate hue. Overall market condition candlestick ke saath buyer control me chal rahi hai, yani ki price badhne ki opportunity ab bhi hai kyunki movement abhi bhi bullish zone me hai. Price travel ne 100-period simple moving average zone se guzar gayi hai, jo dikhata hai ki buying interest abhi bhi dominant hai. Toh agle market situation ka anuman, meri raay me, price badhne ka mauka hai, buyers consistent taur par candlestick ko uptrend side par chalane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Bullish side ki trip ke liye target 0.6692 positions tak pahunchne ki ummeed hai, jabki dusre buyers ko bhi price badhane me madad karne ke liye opportunities open hongi. Ek comfortable trading position dhundhne ke liye, meri raay me, bas price ko 0.6662 position tak badhne ka wait karna chahiye. Halaanki is hafte prices tend to move towards the uptrend side, main firse yaad dilana chahunga ki market habits week ke shuru me price ko downward correction karne ka arth ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD Market Analysis


Overview: Tuesday ko, 11 June ko, AUD/USD ne bargain hunting se support liya, aur exchange rate 0.6580 aur 0.6630 ke darmiyan raha. Iss waqt, investors ne Reserve Bank of Australia ki pehli interest rate cut ko July 2025 tak delay kar diya hai, aur iss saal rate cut hone ke chances sirf 32% hain. Australia aur New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) ne apni expected pehli rate cut ki tareekh November iss saal se February 2025 tak badal di hai, kyunki data ne dikhaya ke household consumption ki kamzori aur government spending ka economic growth ko support karna ab kam ho gaya hai.

Reserve Bank of Australia expected hai ke major developed economies ke central banks se baad mein interest rates cut karega, jo Australian dollar ko kuch had tak attractive banata hai. US inflation data jo Wednesday ko release hone wala hai aur Federal Reserve ka interest rate meeting aur Australian employment data jo Thursday ko aayega, ye sab key factors hain jo Australian dollar/US dollar ki recent trend direction ko determine karenge.

Technical Analysis: Daily chart par AUD/USD pair ke liye kuch key levels aur indicators hain:

• Support Levels:
  • 0.6580: Ye April-May rally ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai.
  • 0.6558 aur 0.6538: Aur additional support levels agar price 0.6580 se neeche girta hai.
• Resistance Levels:
  • 0.6625-30: Pehla low, jo ab current resistance ka kaam kar raha hai.
  • 0.6645-50: Agla resistance level agar price 0.6625-30 se upar jata hai.
  • 0.6689-0.6713: Aage ke resistance levels 0.6645-50 se upar.

Iske ilawa, price Bollinger Bands indicator ke middle track ke kareeb aa raha hai. Agar price iss middle track ke upar chala jata hai to ye bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai.

Conclusion: Investors aur traders ko US inflation data aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions, ke sath sath Australian employment data ko bhi closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki ye AUD/USD ki short-term direction ko determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Technical levels highlighted important areas hain jinhain watch karna chahiye for potential support aur resistance, jo informed trading decisions lene mein madad karenge.

AUD/USD H1 analyse
AUD/USD pair, jo forex market mein sabse zyada trade hone wale currency pairs mein se ek hai, aaj ke trading session mein interesting price movements dikha raha hai. Aayiye, is pair ke dynamics ko detail mein samjhte hain aur potential trading opportunities explore karte hain.

Market Opening aur Price Movement:
Trading day ke shuru hone par, AUD/USD pair mein koi significant gaps nahi dekhe gaye. Lekin, Asian session ke dauran price mein notable downside correction hui. Yeh correction temporary momentum shift ko indicate kar sakti hai, jo traders ko apni positions ko reassess karne par majboor kar rahi hai.

Anticipated Uptrend Resumption:
Current correction ke bawajood, traders mein overall anticipation hai ke AUD/USD pair ka uptrend minor pullback ke baad dobara resume hoga. Yeh sentiment various factors ki wajah se hai, including fundamental economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur technical analysis.

Traders nearest resistance levels ko apne trades ke liye potential targets ke tor par dekh rahe hain. In levels mein, khas taur par resistance at 0.66799 aur resistance at 0.66377 par diyan diya ja raha hai. Yeh levels crucial points of interest hain jahan significant price action unfold ho sakti hai.

Scenarios Near Resistance Levels:
Uper mentioned resistance levels ke qareeb, traders do possible scenarios contemplate kar rahe hain jo price action ko shape kar sakti hain. Aayiye, har scenario ko detail mein dekhte hain:

Scenario: Breakout Above Resistance 0.66799
Is scenario mein, agar price successfully resistance level 0.66799 ko breach karti hai, to yeh bullish continuation pattern ko signal kar sakta hai. Traders jo AUD/USD pair par long hain, apni positions add karne ya new trades initiate karne ka soch sakte hain, anticipating further upside momentum.

Aud/usd

AUD/USD T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S A U D / U S D

Good morning, everyone. Chaliye dekhte hain AUD/USD ka price movement. Is waqt likhne ke time AUD/USD 0.6312 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke AUD/USD ka market behavior closely observe kiya jaye lower timeframes par, jo ab bearish trend mein shift ho gaya hai. Sab indications bearish market sentiment ko support karte hain.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi is situation ko confirm karta hai, jo ke line ke just neeche trade ho raha hai. Agar yeh 40.00 level ke neeche girta hai, toh further declines ka likelihood barh jayega. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator zero line se decline kar raha hai, aur price ab bhi negative line ke neeche trade ho raha hai, aur iska head neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke prices continue decline karengi.

Given ke price is waqt downtrend mein hai aur EMA 50 line ke neeche hai is timeframe par, mujhe lagta hai yeh support level ko test karega jo maine chart par mark kiya hai, jo ke lower level of interest bhi serve karta hai.

Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke $0.6387 level upside resistance ke taur par act kar sakta hai AUD/USD ke liye. Dusri taraf, agar AUD/USD 0.6785 resistance ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh aur zyada strengthen ho kar 0.6498 ya 0.6589 tak rise kar sakta hai. Flip side par, $0.6286 level immediate downside support act kar sakta hai AUD/USD ke liye. Conversely, agar lowest point 0.5000 support ko breach karta hai, toh AUD/USD aur zyada weaken ho kar 0.5800 ya 0.5432 tak drop kar sakta hai.

Market movements mein caution exercise karein, specially jab AUD/USD trade kar rahe hon. AUD/USD ka price heavily depend karega significant impactful news par.

Indicators used on the chart:

• MACD Indicator
• RSI Indicator (period 14)
• Exponential Moving Average 50 (in orange)
• Exponential Moving Average 20 (in magenta)

Bullish trend ki direction aur higher high - high low price pattern structure me AUDUSD pair me ab bhi ittefaq nazar aata hai. Isliye, price movement ki direction kehte hue aage badhne ka trend hai. Sirf aaj ke badhne wale prices par dhyan diya jaye, lagta hai ki wo 0.6717 ke high prices tak pahunchne me asafal rahe hain. For example, agar price EMA 50 ke aas paas ho aur upar bounce kare, to bhi wo ek naya higher high nahi bana pata, iska matlav hai ki price niche correct hone ka chance hai. Halaanki, break of structure ke liye invalidation level abhi current price se kaafi door hai kyunki yeh support 0.6564 par hai. Jab tak downward correction phase is support se guzarti nahi hai chahe price EMA 50 ke neeche rahe, tab tak higher high - higher low structure ko bullish trend ki direction me aage badhne ka potential hoga. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye to price ko aage badhne ka support mil raha hai. Kyunki parameter oversold zone ko cross kar chuka hai aur ab level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ki saturation point tak pahunchne se pehle kaafi space hai. Magar agar parameter level 50 ko cross nahi kar pata ya fir wapas oversold zone me jaata hai, to downward correction EMA 50 aur low prices 0.6649 ke neeche chalega.

Trading plan me sabr banaye rakhna aur BUY moment ka wait karna hai kyunki trend direction me koi visible change ya structure break nahi hai. Position entry EMA 50 ke aas paas najdiki RBS area yani 0.6642 ke aas paas rakhi ja sakti hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters phir se oversold zone ko cross kar rahe hain ya nahi confirm karna hai. Take profit ko high prices 0.6717 ke upar rakha ja sakt hai aur stop loss 0.6564 ke support ke aas paas.

Agar stochastic indicator ka istemal karke analyze kiya jaye, to signal line ka position level 80 tak chadh gaya hai, aaj ke liye badhne ka mauka dikhate hue. Toh overall market condition candlestick ke saath buyer control me chal rahi hai, yani ki price badhne ki opportunity ab bhi hai kyunki movement abhi bhi bullish zone me hai. Price travel ne 100-period simple moving average zone se guzar gayi hai, jo dikhata hai ki buying interest abhi bhi dominant hai. Toh agle market situation ka anuman, meri raay me, lag raha hai ki price badhne ka mauka hai, buyers consistent taur par candlestick ko Uptrend side par chalane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Bullish side ki trip ke liye target 0.6692 positions tak pahunchne ki ummeed hai, jabki dusre buyers ko bhi price badhane me madad karne ke liye opportunities open hogi. Ek comfortable trading position dhundhne ke liye, meri raay me, bas price ko 0.6662 position tak badhne ka wait karna chahiye. Halaanki is hafte prices tend to move towards the uptrend side, main firse yaad dilana chahunga ki market habits week ke shuru me price ko downward correction karne ka arth ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD ek forex currency pair hai jo Australian Dollar (AUD) aur United States Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan ki exchange rate ko darust karta hai. Yeh pair forex market mein kaafi popular hai aur traders ki tawajju ko kheenchta hai kyunki iski trading volume zyada hoti hai aur iska price movement dynamic hota hai.

Is pair ka exchange rate har waqt tabdeel hota rehta hai aur iski movement ko analyze karna forex traders ke liye ahem hota hai. Jab ek trader AUD/USD pair ko trade karta hai, toh woh essentially Australian Dollar ko United States Dollar ke saath exchange kar raha hota hai ya phir vice versa.

AUD/USD ka price movement kai factors par depend karta hai jaise economic indicators, monetary policies, commodity prices, aur market sentiment. Australia aur United States ki economic conditions, interest rates, employment data, aur trade balance bhi is pair ke price movement ko influence karte hain.

Is pair ki price ko analyze karne ke liye traders technical analysis aur fundamental analysis ka istemal karte hain. Technical analysis mein traders price charts, indicators, aur patterns ka istemal karte hain taake future price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Fundamental analysis mein traders economic data, central bank policies, aur commodity prices ka tajziya karte hain taake future price direction ko samjha ja sake.

AUD/USD pair ki trading mein risks bhi hote hain, kyunki iska price movement kaafi volatile hota hai aur unexpected events ki wajah se sudden price swings ho sakte hain. Isliye, traders ko risk management strategies ka istemal karna chahiye aur apne trades ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

Forex trading ke liye roman Urdu mein kuch mukhtasar alfaz:

1. Forex: Foreign Exchange, jisme currencies ke buying aur selling ka business hota hai.
2. Currency Pair: Do currencies ka combination jo trading ke liye istemal hota hai.
3. Trading Volume: Ek specific time period mein kiye gaye trades ka total volume.
4. Exchange Rate: Ek currency ki value doosri currency ke comparison mein.
5. Price Movement: Ek currency pair ka price ka tabadla over time.
6. Technical Analysis: Price charts aur indicators ka istemal karke price movements ka analysis.
7. Fundamental Analysis: Economic data aur geopolitical events ka analysis.
8. Volatility: Price ka unexpected aur rapid change.
9. Risk Management: Trading mein risk ko control karne ke strategies.
10. Central Bank: Ek desh ka main bank jo monetary policy regulate karta hai.

Yeh alfaz aur concepts forex trading mein ahem hote hain aur traders ko inhe samajhna zaroori hai trading decisions ke liye.