aud/usd

AUD/USD

AUD/USD pair ka rate jo ke abhi bhi SMA 200 aur pivot point (PP) 0.6621 ke neeche move kar raha hai, yeh bullish trend ko kamzor kar raha hai. Guzishta hafte NFP data report ke bawajood, price mein bohat impulsive decline ne yeh indicate kiya ke price movements ka trend neeche ki taraf barh sakta hai. 50 EMA 200 SMA ke kareeb hai aur kisi bhi waqt death cross signal de sakta hai, jo price decline ko support (S1) 0.6541 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar price dobara pivot point (PP) 0.6621 aur EMA 50 ke upar move kar sake, to yeh resistance (R1) 0.6662 ko test karne ka potential rakhta hai, jo ke ek strong resistance hai.

Oscillator-type indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur Awesome Oscillator (AO), basically downward rally ko support karte nazar aa rahe hain. Kyun ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters overbought zone mein 90-80 ke level ke baad cross kar chuke hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke overbought point reach ho gaya hai. Doosri taraf, AO indicator ka red histogram jo level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hai, downtrend momentum ko show kar raha hai, chahe yeh green ho aur volume wide na ho. Iske ilawa, decline ko price pattern structure se bhi support mil raha hai jo lower low dikhata hai, kyun ke low prices 0.6594 ne structure break experience kiya aur 0.6578 ka lower low price form hua.



Position Entry Setup:

Trading options mein SELL entry position ko place kiya ja sakta hai jab price jo ke upward correct hone ki koshish kar rahi hai, SMA 200 ya pivot point (PP) 0.6621 ke aas paas false break ya rejection experience karti hai. Bhalay trend direction abhi bhi bullish hai kyun ke death cross signal abhi tak appear nahi hua, price movement ka trend downward lagta hai. Confirmation ke liye ensure karein ke Stochastic indicator parameter level 80 ke neeche ho jo level 50 ki taraf ja raha ho. AO indicator ka histogram kam az kam negative area mein red mein rahe. Take profit placement support (S1) 0.6541 ke aas paas aur stop loss ko resistance (R1) 0.6662 se thoda upar place kiya ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD Market Analysis

Jumay (7 June) ko, America ke stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data ke asar se, AUD/USD 1.25% gir kar 0.6583 par aa gaya. Manglwar ki subah ke Asian trading session tak, yeh thoda stabilize ho kar low level par raha aur exchange rate dheere dheere 0.66 ke aas paas wapas aaya.

Jumay ko America ke sensational non-farm payrolls data ne Federal Reserve ke liye interest rate cuts ko aur mushkil bana diya. Aane wale mahinon mein, Fed ko ek strong US economy (i.e., economy hard landing recession ko face nahi karegi aur inflation dheere dheere target range mein wapas aayegi) se deal karna padega. Is wajah se, market expect kar raha hai ke Fed short term mein ECB ke interest rate cut ko follow nahi karega aur US interest rate high expected se zyada dair tak rahega.

Australian dollar ko jo pehle expectation thi ke iska interest rate dusre major central banks se baad mein loose hoga, woh weaken ho rahi hai. Ab, Australian dollar sirf US dollar ke saamne depend nahi karega, balki commodity market ke performance aur China se demand ke economic development ke liye favorable situation mein badalne par bhi depend karega. Warna, Australian dollar/US dollar ka trend mushkil ban sakta hai.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Daily chart par, Australian dollar/US dollar ne pichle Jumay ko Bollinger Band channel ke lower track tak girne ke liye ek badi negative bar lagayi. Abhi temporarily 0.6570 ke kareeb supported hai (jo pehle wide range of fluctuations ka lower edge bhi hai). Agar yeh level ke neeche aur girta hai, toh Australian dollar weak downward situation mein badal sakta hai.



Iske bar'aks, agar yeh is level ke upar supported raha aur short covering ke pull ke under exchange rate 0.6640 ke upar wapas aagaya, toh Australian dollar weak nahi hoga.

### AUD/USD Daily Chart Analysis
**Overview:**

The AUD/USD currency pair has been trading in a sideways range for over a month, as shown in the daily chart. Last week, the pair moved within this range without any significant breakout. This consolidation suggests that a breakout might be imminent.

**Potential Scenarios:**

**1. Downward Breakout:**

- **Key Level:** Horizontal support at 0.6582.
- **Action:** A break below this level could trigger a bearish wave, forming the third wave downwards.
- **Fibonacci Target:** The minimum target is the 161.8 level when the Fibonacci grid is superimposed on the first wave.
- **Trend Line Target:** The target aligns with an ascending trend line formed from the lows of 2023 and 2024.
- **Best Entry Point:** Below 0.6582, ideally after it is tested and confirmed as resistance in lower timeframes (M5-M15).

**2. Upward Breakout:**

- **Key Level:** Horizontal resistance at 0.6702.
- **Action:** A break above this level could trigger a bullish wave, forming the third wave upwards.
- **Fibonacci Target:** The target level of 161.8 is farther away compared to the bearish scenario.
- **Trend Line Target:** The goal would be to reach the descending trend line created with significant highs.
- **Best Entry Point:** Above 0.6702, ideally after it is tested and confirmed as support in lower timeframes (M5-M15).

### Translation in Roman Urdu

**AUD/USD Daily Chart Analysis**

**Overview:**

AUD/USD currency pair ek mah se zyada time se sideways range mein trade kar raha hai, jaisa ke daily chart mein dikhai de raha hai. Pichle hafte, pair ne is range ke andar move kiya bina kisi significant breakout ke. Yeh consolidation suggest karta hai ke ek breakout jaldi hone wala hai.

**Potential Scenarios:**

**1. Downward Breakout:**

- **Key Level:** Horizontal support 0.6582 par.
- **Action:** Is level ke neeche break karne se ek bearish wave trigger ho sakti hai, teesri wave neeche ki taraf form hogi.
- **Fibonacci Target:** Minimum target 161.8 level hai jab Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par superimpose kiya jata hai.
- **Trend Line Target:** Target ascending trend line ke saath align karta hai jo 2023 aur 2024 ke lows se form hui hai.
- **Best Entry Point:** 0.6582 ke neeche, ideally jab ye test hokar resistance confirm ho lower timeframes (M5-M15) mein.

**2. Upward Breakout:**

- **Key Level:** Horizontal resistance 0.6702 par.
- **Action:** Is level ke upar break karne se ek bullish wave trigger ho sakti hai, teesri wave upar ki taraf form hogi.
- **Fibonacci Target:** Target level 161.8 bearish scenario ke muqablay mein door hai.
- **Trend Line Target:** Goal descending trend line tak pohanchne ka hoga jo significant highs se form hui hai.
- **Best Entry Point:** 0.6702 ke upar, ideally jab ye test hokar support confirm ho lower timeframes (M5-M15) mein.

Currency Pair AUD-USD

Is chart mein, main ne aik kaalay rectangle se woh zone mark kiya hai jahan expected liquidity AUD-USD ki neeche maujood thi, aur jo ke pichlay downward movement se remove ho gayi thi. Agar neeche wali liquidity ko price ke recent downward move se poori tarah se remove kar diya gaya hai, to is surat mein is pair ki price ko aur neeche le jane ka koi faida nahi hai, kyun ke aisi halat mein smart money ke liye kuch khaas interesting nahi hoga. Aur agar yeh waqai aisa hai, to phir AUD-USD scenario apne implementation phase mein daakhil ho sakta hai, jiska aik northern tint ho sakta hai, aur jahan se, mere picture ke mutabiq, hum same steps ke saath north ki taraf move kar sakte hain, level ke accumulated volumes of money ke area tak, jo ke 0.6665 mark par maujood hai. Aur agar yeh waqai aisa hota hai, to is scenario ke mutabiq, already 0.6665 level se, is pair ki price neeche wild fall kar sakti hai neeche formed minimum se.



Halankeh agar hum dobara neeche jaate hain, to yeh wazeh hai ke hum last minimum 0.6579 ko update karenge. Hum lower Bollinger band ko bhi dekhenge kyun ke price wahan se phir bounce up kar sakti hai. Agar aaj ke baad growth continue hoti hai, to hum MA aur Bollinger Average pair ki taraf move kar sakte hain; yeh area 0.6638/41 hai. Aisa zaroori nahi ke hum wahan tak aaj pohanch jayein; aaj ka din aram ka hai, is liye yeh near future ke liye hai. Lekin agar hum wahan pohanchte hain, to hum dekhenge ke price in teen lines ko break kar sakti hai ya phir unse wapas neeche turn ho sakti hai (halankeh hum pehle hi neeche ja sakte hain baghair in teen middle lines tak pohanche). Agar hum aur bhi upar jaate hain, to aage ka growth last maximum 0.6685 ko update kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD:

Sab ko mera salam! Is trading week mein, Australian Dollar aur US Dollar ka currency pair (AUDUSD) ne koi khaas significant movements nahi dikhaye. Magar kuch notable developments hui hain. Price ne last week ka minimum update karte hue 0.6594 ka level touch kiya, aur ek dafa phir support level 0.6590 ko test kiya. Yeh support level AUDUSD pair ke mustaqbil ke movements ke liye crucial hai.

Jab tak AUDUSD pair 0.6590 ke level se upar trade kar raha hai, yeh umeed ki ja sakti hai ke price apni upward trajectory resume karegi. Yeh level ek strong support ka kaam karta hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers is area ke qareeb market mein enter karne ke chances hain, aur price ko upar push kar sakte hain. Isliye, long positions open karne ke opportunities is support level se consider ki ja sakti hain. Traders jo pair ko buy karna chahte hain, unhein 0.6590 ke aas paas price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke is level se bounce ek naye uptrend ka ishara de sakta hai.

Agar bullish scenario play out hota hai, to Australian Dollar apna current maximum 0.6717 update karne ka aim kar sakta hai. Yeh previous high ek key resistance level hai jo, agar break hota hai, to aur bhi higher targets ko lead kar sakta hai. Traders ko 0.6717 ke aas paas strength ke signs dekhne chahiye, kyun ke is level se upar break continued bullish momentum aur further gains ka ishara de sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, potential sales ko bhi nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Pair ne recently apna upward channel break kiya hai, jo market sentiment mein shift suggest karta hai. Magar jab tak price 0.6590 se upar hai, bearish scenario kam convincing hai. Support 0.6590 breach hone ke baad aur price ko is level ke neeche consolidate karna zaroori hai taake selling opportunities relevant ho sakein.

Agar price 0.6590 ke neeche consolidate karti hai, to yeh indicate karega ke support level fail ho gaya hai, aur sellers ne control le liya hai. Yeh consolidation zyada sellers ko market mein attract karegi, aur price ko neeche push karegi. Is surat mein, traders short positions dekh sakte hain, aur further declines ko target kar sakte hain. Mukhtasir yeh ke, AUDUSD pair ke liye key level 0.6590 dekhne layak hai. Yeh level ek critical support ka kaam karta hai aur pair ki next move ko determine karega. Jab tak price 0.6590 se upar hai, bias bullish rehta hai, aur long positions open karne ke opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain, targets ke saath around previous high 0.6717 aur potentially higher.



Traders ko break aur consolidation 0.6590 ke neeche bhi cautious rehna chahiye, kyun ke yeh bias ko bearish shift karega aur selling opportunities relevant bana dega. Aise scenario mein, short positions ko consider kiya ja sakta hai, targeting further downside. AUDUSD pair ne is week major movements nahi dikhaye, support level 0.6590 crucial area dekhne layak hai. Is level ke upar rehne se bullish outlook intact rehta hai, price ke upward movement resume karne aur higher levels ko target karne ka potential hai. Wagarna, consolidation 0.6590 ke neeche bearish sentiment ka ishara degi, aur selling opportunities ko open karegi. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko in key levels ke aas paas price action monitor karna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

AUD/USD Pair

AUDUSD pair ne recently 0.65982 par close kiya, jo ke mere Friday morning ke bullish signal ko break kar raha hai, jab price 0.6621 se upar thi. Abhi ke liye, jab tak AUDUSD 0.6620-0.6640 ke upar trade kar raha hai, mujhe umeed hai ke uptrend continue karega. Mera focus resistance range 0.6620-0.6593 par hai, jahan main ek possible bounce aur downside reversal anticipate kar raha hoon.

Main is waqt AUDUSD pair ko buy karne ka nahi soch raha. Iske bajaye, main do specific scenarios ke unfold hone ka wait karunga pehle action lene se pehle. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke main dekh raha hoon ke price 0.6636 tak uthe. Is level par, agar resistance se bounce hota hai, to main selling consider karunga. Yeh approach is expectation par based hai ke 0.6636 par resistance hold karega, jisse price downward reverse hogi. Dusra scenario yeh hai ke main H1 (one-hour) candle close 0.6631 se neeche dekh raha hoon. Agar H1 candle is level ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh uptrend ke end aur downtrend ke shift ka signal hoga. Yeh mere liye ek critical point hai, kyun ke yeh confirm karega ke bullish momentum fade ho gaya hai aur bears ne control le liya hai.



Mukhtasir mein, meri strategy clear hai: main waiting mode mein hoon, closely price action ko key levels ke aas paas observe kar raha hoon. Agar price 0.6636 tak pohanchti hai, to main selling opportunities dekhunga based on a bounce from the resistance. Dosri taraf, agar H1 candle 0.6631 se neeche close hoti hai, to main apna focus downtrend par switch karunga, looking for selling opportunities jab bearish trend resume hota hai. Mera priority is stage par buying se bachna hai aur resistance se potential reversal ke liye tayyar rehna hai. 0.6620-0.6640 ki range crucial hai next move ko determine karne ke liye. Agar price is range ke upar rehti hai, to uptrend continue ho sakta hai. Magar, koi bhi weakness ka sign, jaise ke 0.6631 ke upar hold na karna, mujhe apni strategy ko reassess karne aur short positions consider karne par majboor karega.

AUD/USD Currency Pair

AUD/USD currency pair is waqt crucial levels ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Recent mein buyers ki koshish ke bawajood, pair ko 0.6589 mark ke upar firmly establish karne mein nakami ne current bullish momentum ki fragility ko highlight kiya hai. Is level ke upar foothold secure na kar paana yeh suggest karta hai ke market ka upward drive robust nahi hai, aur ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai.

Magar, is zaahiri kamzori ke bawajood, AUD/USD pair mein resurgence ka substantial opportunity ab bhi hai, provided ke yeh critical support zone ke upar rehta hai. Yeh zone, jo ke 0.6486 se 0.6550 ke range se defined hai, ek crucial buffer ka kaam karta hai jo further declines ko prevent kar sakta hai. Jab tak pair is support range ke upar rehta hai, bullish reversal ka potential intact rehta hai, aur hum dekh sakte hain ke pair naye heights tak propel ho sakta hai.



Traders ke liye, yeh surat-e-haal high level of vigilance aur agility demand karti hai. Foreign exchange market inherently volatile hoti hai, aur sudden shifts in market sentiment ya unexpected external news rapidly price dynamics ko alter kar sakti hai. Yeh pivotal levels ko continuously monitor karna essential hai taake informed trading decisions li ja sakein.

0.6486 se 0.6550 ka support zone khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh technical factors ke confluence ko represent karta hai jo pair ke liye foundation provide karta hai. Agar AUD/USD pair is zone ke upar rehta hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers price ko support kar rahe hain, jo bullish momentum mein resurgence lead kar sakta hai. Iske bar’aks, agar yeh support range decisively break hoti hai, to yeh deeper bearish correction ka signal ho sakta hai, jo potentially further declines ko lead karega.

AUD/USD H-1

#AUDUSD H1 Australian Dollar/US Dollar. Hourly time frame par currency pair ka behavior analyze karne ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke market mein sell karna kaafi logical hai. Kyunke mujhe lagta hai ke short trades abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin hain? Meri ahem wajahen yeh hain:

1. Price moving average MA200 ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ke shuru hone ko zahir karta hai.
2. Guzishta din ke doosre hisson mein, pair ne din ke opening level ke neeche gira aur trading day bhi iske neeche hi khatam kiya.
3. Price impulses din ke doran lower Bollinger band ke qareeb aaye, jo southern sentiment ko zahir karta hai aur instrument ke decline karne ki high probability signal karta hai.
4. Jab mein trading karta hoon, main hamesha RSI indicator ke readings par dhyan deta hoon aur trades tab enter nahi karta jab overbought (70 se upar) ya oversold (30 se neeche) period shuru hota hai. RSI sales ko contradict nahi karta, kyunke yeh is range mein meaning rakhta hai.
5. Main take profit Fibo level 211% par set karunga, jo price value 0.66333 ke mutabiq hai. Aur phir, position ka kuch hissa breakeven par transfer karke, main trawl ko zyada door ke southern correctional levels of the Fibo grid se connect karunga.



AUD/USD H-4

Greetings. Aur yahan, bilkul koi dispute nahi hai, kyunke Australian dollar ke saath hum decline ya rollback karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, khas taur par kyunke din ke doran humare paas short absorption tha. Lekin yeh kuch nahi badalta, kyunke upward movement ab bhi main hai. Lekin yahan, zaroori hai ke main ek zyada significant rollback dekhoon. Dollar khud dobara grow karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin zaroori hai ke dollar kaise trade hoga.

Chaliye qareebi mustaqbil ke instrument ki mojooda harkat ka tajziya karte hain, jahan teen mashhoor technical analysis ke indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD, ka istemal karte hain, jo ek mufeed trading nateeja hasil karne ki sambhavna ko dhang se andaza lagane mein madad karte hain. Yaad rahe ke bazaar mein dakhil hone ka faisla karne ke liye, tamam indicators ko ek hi signals dena zaroori hai. Ziyada se ziyada munasib munafa hasil karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ke correction levels ke mutabiq position se bahar nikalne ka point chunenge.Chunay gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ka rukh oopar ki taraf hai, jo ke bazaar mein kharidaron ki mojoodgi aur unka aage ke trend ke rukh mein dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath sath, jis had tak slope hota hai, utna he mojooda upar ki taraf ka trend mazboot hota hai. Ek waqt mein, qareebi mustaqbil ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hone wale ghair linear regression channel (convex lines) ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur ek upar ki rukh ko dikhata hai.
Keemat ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line, 2-nd LevelResLine, ko cross kiya, lekin 0.67146 tak ki zyada qeemat tak pohanchi, us ke baad is ne apna izafa band kar diya aur tabdeeli ke rukh mein tasalsul se girne laga. Instrument ab 0.66485 ke daam par trading kar raha hai. Yeh sab ke sab dekhte hue, main umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) ke channel line ke neeche wapas aur musbat ho jayenge, aur phir aage chal kar golden average line LR (0.63628) ke linear channel 0% Fibo level ke sath milenge. Bechnay ke transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasib aur durusti ko poori tarah RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne tasdeeq kiya hai, kyunke woh abhi.

Agar stochastic indicator ka istemal karke analyze kiya jaye, to signal line ka position level 80 tak chadh gaya hai, aaj ke liye badhne ka mauka dikhate hue. Toh overall market condition candlestick ke saath buyer control me chal rahi hai, yani ki price badhne ki opportunity ab bhi hai kyunki movement abhi bhi bullish zone me hai. Price travel ne 100-period simple moving average zone se guzar gayi hai, jo dikhata hai ki buying interest abhi bhi dominant hai. Toh agle market situation ka anuman, meri raay me, lag raha hai ki price badhne ka mauka hai, buyers consistent taur par candlestick ko Uptrend side par chalane ki koshish kar rahe hain

Filhal, AUDUSD pair mein jo main trend chal raha hai, wo abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai. Kuch waqt pehle trend direction mein almost change aaya tha jab impulsive downward price movement ne EMA 50 aur SMA 200 crossing ko death cross signal diya tha. Lekin, upward rally jo abhi bhi in dono Moving Average lines ke upar hai, wo bullish trend direction ko continue karte hue dikhati hai, halan ke abhi tak itni strong nahi hai.

Price pattern structure ke liye, filhal uncertainty hai, kyunki jo prices low 0.6365 tak giri aur jo prices high 0.6716 tak uthi, dono hi break of structure mein hui hain. Toh, price pattern structure ko determine karne ke liye, pehle secondary reaction ki zaroorat hai. Stochastic indicator ka nazariya zyada tar prices ko unki increase ko support karta dikhayi deta hai. Parameters jo oversold zone level 20 - 10 ko cross kar chuke hain, wo ab level 50 ko cross karne ki koshish karte dikhayi dete hain taake overbought zone level 90 - 80 ko reach kar sakein. Agar price level 50 ke around cross karti hai aur fir oversold zone mein jaati hai, toh price movements do Moving Average lines ke around consolidate karegi taake agle direction ko determine kar sake.

Medium-term trading plans jo daily time frame analysis ko refer karte hain, unke liye yeh behtar hoga ke BUY moment ka wait karein jo bullish trend direction mein ho. Entry position instantly place karna risky ho sakta hai kyunki price downward correct ho sakti hai. Isliye, behtar hoga ke EMA 50 ke around ya low prices 0.6578 ke around downward price movements ka wait karein. Confirm karein ke Stochastic indicator parameters fir se oversold zone cross kar rahe hain. High prices 0.6716 ko take profit ke liye aur SMA 200 ya price range 0.6542 ko stop loss ke liye place karein.

aur higher high - high low price pattern structure me AUDUSD pair me ab bhi ittefaq nazar aata hai. Isliye, price movement ki direction kehte hue aage badhne ka trend hai. Sirf aaj ke badhne wale prices par dhyan diya jaye, lagta hai ki wo 0.6717 ke high prices tak pahunchne me asafal rahe hain. For example, agar price EMA 50 ke aas paas ho aur upar bounce kare, to bhi wo ek naya higher high nahi bana pata, iska matlav hai ki price niche correct hone ka chance hai. Halaanki, break of structure ke liye invalidation level abhi current price se kaafi door hai kyunki yeh support 0.6564 par hai. Jab tak downward correction phase is support se guzarti nahi hai chahe price EMA 50 ke neeche rahe, tab tak higher high - higher low structure ko bullish trend ki direction me aage badhne ka potential hoga. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye to price ko aage badhne ka support mil raha hai. Kyunki parameter oversold zone ko cross kar chuka hai aur ab level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ki saturation point tak pahunchne se pehle kaafi space hai. Magar agar parameter level 50 ko cross nahi kar pata ya fir wapas oversold zone me jaata hai, to downward correction EMA 50 aur low prices 0.6649 ke neeche chalega.

Trading plan me sabr banaye rakhna aur BUY moment ka wait karna hai kyunki trend direction me koi visible change ya structure break nahi hai. Position entry EMA 50 ke aas paas najdiki RBS area yani 0.6642 ke aas paas rakhi ja sakti hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters phir se oversold zone ko cross kar rahe hain ya nahi confirm karna hai. Take profit ko high prices 0.6717 ke upar rakha ja sakt hai aur stop loss 0.6564 ke support ke aas paas.

Agar stochastic indicator ka istemal karke analyze kiya jaye, to signal line ka position level 80 tak chadh gaya hai, aaj ke liye badhne ka mauka dikhate hue. Toh overall market condition candlestick ke saath buyer control me chal rahi hai, yani ki price badhne ki opportunity ab bhi hai kyunki movement abhi bhi bullish zone me hai. Price travel ne 100-period simple moving average zone se guzar gayi hai, jo dikhata hai ki buying interest abhi bhi dominant hai. Toh agle market situation ka anuman, meri raay me, lag raha hai ki price badhne ka mauka hai, buyers consistent taur par candlestick ko Uptrend side par chalane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Bullish side ki trip ke liye target 0.6692 positions tak pahunchne ki ummeed hai, jabki dusre buyers ko bhi price badhane me madad karne ke liye opportunities open hogi. Ek comfortable trading position dhundhne ke liye, meri raay me, bas price ko 0.6662 position tak badhne ka wait karna chahiye. Halaanki is hafte prices tend to move towards the uptrend side, main firse yaad dilana chahunga ki market habits week ke shuru me price ko downward correction karne ka arth ho sakta

AUDUSD TAJZIYA

Yaqeenan, AUDUSD pair mein jo main trend ka rukh hai woh ab bhi bullish shart mein hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke cross hone se aik impulsive downward price movement ke baad trend direction mein taqreeban tabdeeli hone wali thi, jis ne death cross signal diya. Lekin, jo upward rally EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke upar jaari hai, yeh abhi bhi bullish trend ka rukh dikhata hai, wala agar woh itna mazboot nahi hai. Price pattern structure ke hawale se, yeh abhi ke liye uncertain hai, kyun ke prices jo 0.6365 tak neeche girne aur 0.6716 tak ooper chale jane se structure break ho gaya hai. Is liye price patterns ka structure determine karne ke liye pehle secondary reaction ki zaroorat hai. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se, price ko increase mein support karne ki taraf zyada raftar hai. Parameters jo oversold zone level 20-10 se cross kar chuke hain, woh ab level 50 ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahe hain takay overbought zone level 90-80 tak pohanch saken.

Darmiyan-term trading plans ke hawale se jo daily time frame ki tajziya par based hain, aap ko bullish trend ki taraf BUY moment ka intezaar karne par tawajjo deni chahiye. Seedha entry position place karna bohat risky ho sakta hai agar price neeche correction karne lag jaye. Is liye behtar hai ke EMA 50 ya low prices 0.6578 ke aas paas downward price movements ka intezaar kiya jaye. Confirm karen ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters dobara oversold zone ko cross kar saken. High prices 0.6716 ko take profit ke liye aur SMA 200 ya price range 0.6542 ko stop loss ke tor par place kiya jaye.

AUD/USD Market Analysis

On Monday (June 24), Australian dollar 0.2% barh kar US dollar ke against close hua 0.6655 par. Traders Wednesday ko Australia ka May consumer price report aur Friday ko US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index ka intezar kar rahe hain taake is saal do central banks ke easing path aur timing ko samajh saken. Filhal, market yeh expect kar rahi hai ke Australia ka May consumer price index (CPI) previous month se taqreeban 0.2% girega, lekin year-on-year increase 3.6% se 3.8% tak rebound kar sakta hai.

Yeh reference provide karega end of July mein release hone wale quarterly report ke liye, aur Reserve Bank of Australia apni August policy meeting kuch din baad hold karegi. Market ko lagta hai ke April agle saal se pehle rate cut ki kam possibility hai. Interest rate futures yeh suggest karte hain ke US interest rates tab tak 100 basis points se girein ge.

Yeh bhi ek wajah hai ke Australian dollar recent US dollar ki strength ke bawajood 0.6580-0.6710 range ko hold kar sakta hai. Joseph Capurso, head of international economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), expect karte hain ke Australian dollar iss hafta narrow range of $0.66-0.67 mein trade karega US dollar ke against. Agar Australian CPI data economists ke general expectations se weaker hota hai, to AUD/USD thora ghir sakta hai. Isliye, Wednesday ko consumer price data release hone se pehle, AUD/USD expected hai ke narrow range aur sideways mein rahega. Traders ko potential breakouts par nazar rakhni chahiye above resistance ya below support levels taake next significant trend determine kar sakein.

Aaj kal AUD/USD currency pair sideways trading range mein hai, jahan buyers resistance level 0.67024 ko break karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain aur sellers price ko support level 0.65779 se neeche push nahi kar pa rahe. Yeh market mein ek consolidation period ka ishara karta
Magar, technical analysis kuch bullish clues provide kar rahi hai. 50-day aur 100-day moving averages upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo potential upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, price ne baar baar 100-day moving average se bounce kiya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh level strong dynamic support ke tor par act kar raha hai. Yeh price rejection yeh view mazboot karti hai ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain aur acha chance hai ke resistance 0.67024 ko near future mein test kiya jayega
Agar hum shorter-term H1 chart ki taraf dekhein, to currency pair ne ek upward trend dikhaya hai jab minor resistance 0.66309 ke upar break kiya, jo ab ek naya support level serve kar raha hai. Ab price next resistance 0.66756 ke qareeb hai, ek level jo pehle buyers ko rokta tha. Support aur resistance levels ko retest karna common market behavior hai, aur agar price 0.66756 ke upar convincingly break karti hai, to yeh ek uptrend ki shuruaat ka signal ho sakta hai.



Trading strategy ke liye, plan yeh hai ke price action ko closely monitor kiya jaye around 0.66756 resistance level. Agar price strong volume aur daily close ke sath is level ke upar break karti hai, to yeh ek emerging uptrend ka early sign ho sakta hai, jo next resistance ya significant psychological level tak move kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar price 0.66756 par reject hoti hai, to ek sell position consider ki ja sakti hai with initial target 0.66309 support level ya even lower, depending on the strength of the selling pressure
Overall, current technical landscape for AUD/USD suggest karti hai ke buyers control maintain kar rahe hain, key support levels ke sath jo potential further upside ke liye solid foundation provide kar rahe hain. Strategist ki trading plan prevailing market sentiment aur technical signals ke sath align hone ka aim rakhti hai
Price action ko closely observe karna aur relevant economic indicators ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Yeh approach traders ko market conditions ko samajhne mein aur apni strategies ko effectively implement karne mein madad degi. Market ka dynamics samajhna aur price trends ka analysis trading success ke liye bohot important hai
Traders ko buying aur selling opportunities ka maximum advantage lena chahiye jab market favorable conditions dikhaye, aur apni trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye. Yeh approach not only profits ko maximize kar sakti hai but also risks ko effectively manage karne mein help karti hai.

AUDUSD pair me ab bhi ittefaq nazar aata hai. Isliye, price movement ki direction kehte hue aage badhne ka trend hai. Sirf aaj ke badhne wale prices par dhyan diya jaye, lagta hai ki wo 0.6717 ke high prices tak pahunchne me asafal rahe hain. For example, agar price EMA 50 ke aas paas ho aur upar bounce kare, to bhi wo ek naya higher high nahi bana pata, iska matlav hai ki price niche correct hone ka chance hai. Halaanki, break of structure ke liye invalidation level abhi current price se kaafi door hai kyunki yeh support 0.6564 par hai. Jab tak downward correction phase is support se guzarti nahi hai chahe price EMA 50 ke neeche rahe, tab tak higher high - higher low structure ko bullish trend ki direction me aage badhne ka potential hoga. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye to price ko aage badhne ka support mil raha hai. Kyunki parameter oversold zone ko cross kar chuka hai aur ab level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai,
Aisa lagta hai ke abhi sellers green zone ya untested support 0.6002-0.6010 ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain. 16:00 server time par, December 23, 2021 ko, buyers ke indigo zone ya resistance 0.6180-0.6190 tak pohanchne ke chances hain. Agle step mein, sellers 0.6110-0.6120, jo ke gray zone ya weak support hai, tak pohanchne ki umeed rakhenge. Agar price correct hoti hai, to AUD/USD pair mazeed gir sakti hai. Lekin, agar business rejection ka samna karta hai, to cost wapas barh sakti hai.
Mere trading plan ke mutabiq Monday ko, main closely monitor karunga ke price weak support area par kaise react karti hai jab yeh todne ki koshish karegi. Agar price sahi tareeke se enter ho jaye, to ek sell order place kiya ja sakta hai. Hum profit target 0.6047 par set karenge. Level 0.6080 stop loss ke taur par kaam karega. Agar price 0.6040 se upar stabilize hoti hai, to stop-loss orders sell zone mein initiate kiye jayenge profits ko protect karne ke liye. Is waqt, short positions upper boundary of the channel aur 0.6110 level ke darmiyan open hain. Filhal, short positions hold karna relevant nahi hai. Ek bullish trip expected hai jo 0.6692 positions ko target karegi, dusre buyers ko madad dene ka mauka milega prices ko barhane mein. Ek comfortable trading position dhoondhne ke liye, meri raaye yeh hai ke bas price ko 0.6662 position tak pohanchne ka intezar karein.