Aud/usd

Australian Dollar / US Dollar Currency Pair Ki Market Movement Ki Takhmina. 4 Ghanton Ka Time Frame.
Forex market ki takneeki tahlil ke liye chune hue instrument ya currency pair ke liye Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ke signals istemal kiye jate hain, aur market mein daakhil hone ke additional confirmation ke liye classic oscillator indicators RSI (14) aur standard settings ke sath MACD bhi istemal hota hai. Trade transaction kholne ki shartein yeh hain ke teeno namayinda indicators ke signals ka lazmi mutabiq hona chahiye. Warna, market mein daakhil hone ka signal nazar andaz kiya jata hai. Position se nikalne ke liye, hum trading ke liye chune hue waqt ke extreme points ke saath stretched Fibonacci grid levels par tawajjo dete hain (moujooda ya pehle din ya haftay ke).

Chune hue time frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ooper ki taraf muharrak hai, jo market mein buyers ki maujoodgi aur unke ooperward trend movement ke mazeed jari rakhne ki dilchaspi ko numayan karta hai. Is ke ilawa, jis had tak inclination ka angle zyada hota hai, utna hi ooperward trend mazboot hota hai. Nonlinear regression channel ke graph se yeh zahir hota hai ke yeh ooperward mud'dat mein mukhaffaf ho gaya hai, jo ke buyers ke koshishon ko zahir karta hai jo ke qeemat mein mazeed izafah ke liye sargarm hain aur sellers ko unke dominant position se hatane ka irada nahi rakhte.

Keemat ne linear regression channel ke red resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko tor diya magar 0.67146 HIGH tak pohnchi, jahan par keemat ne apne izafay ko rok diya aur mustaqil girne ka silsila shuru kar diya. Instrument ab mojooda qeemat 0.66157 ke level par trade kar raha hai. Sab yeh tafseel se dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke market ke price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) ke neeche laut kar ikhatta honge aur 50% FIBO level ke golden average line LR of linear channel 0.63628 tak aur neechay rawani se move karenge, jo ke 0% Fibo level ke saath milti hai. Is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ka ishara hai ke instrument overbought hai kyun ke yeh profitable selling transaction ke liye invite kar rahe hain.

Job statistics ke announcement ke bawajood, Australian dollar (AUD) thoda decline ho raha hai. Australia's Employment Change ke mutabiq, May mein 39.7K zyada log employed the April (30.0K) ke muqable mein, aur yeh pehle ke 38.5K gain se zyada tha. Waqt hi mein, unemployment rate 4.0% thi, jo anticipated 4.1% figure se kam thi. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish stance ke baad, US dollar (USD) apne pehle losses ko rebound kar raha hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko nuksan pohcha raha hai.

Investors Thursday ko US weekly Producer Prices Index (PPI) aur Initial Jobless Claims data ka intezar kar rahe hain, taake US economy ke state ke baray mein further insight mil sake. National Australia Bank (NAB) ke Chief Economist Alan Oster ne Tuesday ko kaha, "Woh expect karte hain ke RBA kuch waqt ke liye rates ko hold par rakhega jabke yeh contrasting risks ko navigate karte hain. Growth ke outlook par warning signs hain, lekin usi waqt
AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / US Dollar). Mai suggest karta hoon ke currency pair/instrument par H1 time frame ka forecast use kar ke paise kamayein. Iske liye, hum transaction mein maximum entry dhundne ki koshish karenge taake humein accha profit mile. Pehle, taake preferred direction (buy ya sell) mein ghalti na ho, hum 4-hour time frame ka chart kholte hain aur current trend check karte hain.

Humara maan na hai ke aaj ka market humein short transactions close karne ka ek behtareen moka de raha hai, kyun ke iss waqt sellers ki taqat buyers ki potential ability se zyada hai jo situation ko apni zarurat ke mutabiq turn kar sakein. Apne kaam mein hum HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators use karenge. Hama indicator aur RSI trend ke mut

AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / US Dollar). Main suggest karta hoon ke H1 time frame ka forecast use karke currency pair/instrument se paise kamayein. Iske liye, hum transaction mein maximum entry dhundne ki koshish karenge taake humein accha profit mile. Pehle, taake preferred direction (buy ya sell) mein ghalti na ho, hum 4-hour time frame ka chart kholte hain aur current trend check karte hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke aaj ka market humein short transactions close karne ka behtareen moka de raha hai, kyun ke iss waqt sellers ki taqat buyers ki potential ability se zyada hai jo situation ko apni zarurat ke mutabiq turn kar sakein. Aage kaam karte hue, hum HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators use karenge. Hama indicator aur RSI trend ke mutabiq H1 time frame par bhi bearish mode dikh raha hai - dono indicators blue aur green hain, jo sellers ki dominant strength ko indicate karte hain.

Isliye, hum independently sale transaction open karte hain. Hum magnetic level indicator ka use karke position exit karenge. Iss waqt, ideal level 1.66081 par kaam karna hai. Aur phir, chart ko dekhte hue, price movement ke nature par base karke decide karenge ke market mein position maintain karni hai ya already taken profit ko fix karna hai. Maximum possible profit extract karne ke liye, trailing stop (trailing stop order) add kar sakte hain, jo pehle zyadatar position close kar chuka ho, aur baqi ko break-even par le aaye. Aur phir, iss level tak pohanchne par, ek reversal ho sakta hai aur price dobara neeche move karna shuru kar sakti hai.

Currency pair AUD-USD

0.6640 ke falsay se break hone ke baad, iske baad mehsoolat barhne ki mumkinat hai.

Haqeeqatan, 0.6640 ka falsa breakout ho gaya, aur iske baad mehsoolat barhti rahi. Agar 0.6670 ko break karke iske upar jam jaye aur is par mazbooti se consolidate ho, to yeh ek khareedne ka signal hoga, aur phir aap khareed sakte hain. Agar abhi halke se neeche ki taraf correction milta hai, to mehsoolat barhti rahegi.

Jab hum 0.6680 ke range ko break karte hain, to mazbooti jari rahegi. Shayad humein 0.6620 ka test milega, aur uske baad test ke baad bhi mehsoolat aur unchi rahegi. Agar is halat mein 0.6620 ke range se alag ho jaate hain, to mehsoolat aur barhti rahegi.

Jab hum 0.6685 ke range ko break karte hain, aur break hone ke baad bhi mehsoolat aur barhti rahegi. Mumkin hai ke rate 0.6653 ke range ke upar mazboot ho jaaye, jis mein mehsoolat barhti rahegi. Shayad hum 0.6620 ke resistance ko break karke iske neeche consolidate ho jaaye; yeh rate girne ka signal hoga. American session mein thori si correction ke baad, ab mehsoolat barhti rahegi. Agar hum 0.6650 ke range ko break karke is par qadam jamate hain, to yeh ek khareedne ka signal hoga. 0.6650 ke break hone ke baad khareedne ke orders kam risk ke saath khul sakte hain.

Aaj United States se kaafi ahem economic data aane wala hai. Is instrument ke liye, mein mustaqbil mein thori si neeche ki correction ki umeed rakhta hoon, lekin mukhtasar manzur yeh hai ke mehsoolat mein izaafa hoga. Maqsood turning point 0.6615 ke level par hai; mein is level ke upar khareedunga jahan tak ke 0.6715 aur 0.6765 ke levels tak target hain. Ya to pair girne shuru ho jayega, 0.6615 ke neeche jaayega, aur consolidate ho jaayega, phir rasta khul jayega 0.6575 aur 0.6565 ke levels tak. Aur in marks se, mein phir se is currency pair mein khareedne ki koshish karunga.

AUD/USD Weekly Chart Analysis


Weekly chart par AUD/USD ka slight southward pullback ke baad, bina nearest support level 0.65761 ko touch kiye, qeemat ne reverse ki aur thori northward movement ki, jo ke ek uncertainty candle banayi slight bullish advantage ke saath. Filhal, mujhe is instrument mein kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha. Yeh clear hai ke qeemat abhi ek forming range mein stuck hai, aur aglay haftay mein mein situation ke mutabiq kaam karunga.
Possible Scenarios

Southward Movement


Agar sellers qeemat ko south push karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to main support level 0.65761 aur 0.65580 ko target karunga. In support levels ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain:

1. Reversal Candle Formation and Growth Resumption: Agar reversal candle form hoti hai aur growth resume hoti hai within the global sideways movement framework, to main expect karunga ke qeemat resistance level 0.66986 ya 0.67141 ki taraf move kare. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setups ka intezar karunga taake further trading direction determine kar saku.
2. Reaching Distant Northern Target: Ek aur possibility yeh hai ke qeemat ek door ka northern target jo ke 0.68711 hai, ko reach kare. Yeh depend karega ke qeemat indicated distant northern targets par aur news flow ke doran kaise react karti hai.

Alternative Scenario: Consolidation Below Support Levels


Agar qeemat support levels 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ke neeche consolidate hoti hai aur south move karti hai, to main expect karunga ke qeemat support level 0.64653 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke qareeb, main trading setup formation ka intezar karunga taake further trading direction determine kar saku.
Short-Term Outlook


Agle haftay ke liye, mujhe is instrument par kuch locally interesting nazar nahi aa raha. Main nearest support aur resistance levels ko observe karta rahunga.
Bearish Trend Factors


AUD/USD pair ka bearish trend kuch factors ki wajah se hai:

1. US Dollar Strength: USD ki overall strength ek bara influence hai. USD strong ho raha hai kuch macroeconomic factors ki wajah se, jinmein robust economic data from the United States, higher interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, aur geopolitical stability shamil hain jo USD ko safe-haven currency banata hai.
2. Australian Dollar Pressures: Australian Dollar par pressure hai lower commodity prices ki wajah se, khas tor par iron ore aur coal, jo ke Australia ke major exports hain.

Yeh analysis humein batata hai ke AUD/USD pair ke liye different scenarios aur factors ko dekhna zaroori hai taake hum apni trading strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein.

Australian dollar (AUD) US dollar (USD) ke khilaf Jumeraat ke European trading session mein lari. AUD/USD pair ne aham level 0.6650 par temporary support paya, lekin aakhir mein barhte hue USD ke samne haar gaya. USD ki yeh taqat market ki umeedon se aayi thi ke Federal Reserve (Fed) dusre central banks ke mukablay mein apni mojooda interest rate policy ko zyada arsey tak barqarar rakhega. Yeh ahtiyati rawaiya kamzor economic data se barhaya gaya tha.

Global flash PMI numbers June ke liye Eurozone, UK, Japan, aur Australia jaise bade economies se sab expectations se kam nikle. Anay wale US PMI mein bhi kamzor performance ka intezar hai, jahan economists manufacturing aur services sectors mein dono mein girawat ka izhaar kar rahe hain. Bank of Canada (BOC), European Central Bank (ECB), aur Swiss National Bank (SNB) jaise central banks ne haal hi mein interest rates mein cuts kiye hain, lekin Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki taraf se aisa kuch expected nahi hai.

Australia mein inflation RBA ke 2% target se ooper hai, jis wajah se unhone is saal apni policy rate ko 4.35% par barqarar rakha hai.


Technically, AUD/USD ke downtrend mein kuch support 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke aas paas nazar aa raha hai. Agar buying pressure wapas shuru ho jaye, to pair pehle resistance level 0.6713 par test kar sakta hai, uske baad ek potential breakout 0.6870 tak ho sakta hai, jo ke December 2023 mein dekha gaya tha. Mazeed bullish momentum se double top level 0.6898 jo pichle summer mein tha, ko bhi challenge kiya ja sakta hai.

Lekin agar revers hua to pair wapas immediate support 0.6643 tak gir sakta hai. Agar yeh level toot jaye, to recent support 0.6590 jo 50-day SMA ke saath milta hai, khul jayega. Aur mazeed girawat ka samna lower range boundary 0.6558 se limited ho sakta hai.

AUDUSD MARKET ANALYSIS
Thursday (June 20) ko, US dollar ki umumai mazbooti ke bais AUD/USD mein izafa hua aur gir gaya, daam 0.6654 par 0.25% kami ke saath band hua. Lekin, Reserve Bank of Australia ki aham sadoon ki mukhtalif interest rate stance ke wajah se downside mehdood hai. Reserve Bank of Australia ne Tuesday ko aik hawkish policy statement jaari kiya, is ke baad bazaar ne is saal Reserve Bank of Australia ki taraf se rate cut ke imkaanat ko kam karne ka amal jari rakha.

December mein rate cut ke imkaanat is hafte ke shuru mein 64% se 25% tak gir gayi hai. Lambay arsay ke siasati mustahkam hone aur agle saal ke shuru hone se pehle chhoti interest rate harkaton ke manzar ko attractive banata hai, khaas tor par carry trades mein, jahan Australian dollar yen ke khilaf aik acha uptrend rakhta hai. Yeh bhi madad karta hai ke AUD/USD ki kami ko mehdood rakha jaye.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

AUDUSD ab halat-e-mushtarka mein hai, jahan kisi mazboot rukh ki taraf koi khaas ishara nahi hai. Daily chart par dekha jaye to AUD/USD ek wide range mein aik taraf mael hai, aur is fluctuation range ki hadood 0.6570 se lekar 0.6715 tak hai. Jab bhi is range ke kisi bhi ek had se bahar jaaye, ek saaf ek taraf rukh zaahir ho sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, agar daam upper Bollinger Band jo ke 0.67210 ke qareeb hai ko tode aur us ke oopar bandh jaye, to hum 0.67625 ke agle rukhbandi ki taraf ek tezi dekh sakte hain. Is level ke oopar mazbooti barqarar rehne se aik bullish trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Umgeer, agar daam lower Bollinger Band jo ke 0.65840 ke qareeb hai ko tode, to yeh 0.64470 ke agle support par ek imtehan ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar is level ke neechay mazbooti se chalne lage, to yeh aik bearish trend ka aghaz kar sakta hai.

---

Iss waqt, hum AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing ko decode karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte mein, AUDUSD pair support zone 0.6586-0.6606 aur resistance zone 0.6686-0.6736 ke darmiyan hi confined raha, euro/dollar pair ke baraks. Bullish tendency ko todne ki koshish ki gayi, magar yeh nakam rahi aur price apni asli position par wapas aagayi, range ki lower boundary par settle karte hue. Natija yeh hai ke overall picture ab bhi unchanged hai aur humein price ke breakout hone ka intezar karna hoga. Magar, ek false breakout bhi mumkin hai, is liye is range mein trading karte waqt ehtiyat baratni chahiye. Range se nikalna asan hoga agar pair push through kar ke directly nikal jaye. Is scenario mein growth targets 0.6846-0.6901 par set hain, magar in levels tak pohanchna mushkil lagta hai. Zyada mumkin hai ke ek decline hoga, jiska target support zone 0.6466-0.6496 mein hai
Currency pair AUDUSD zyada ek maheene se sideways range mein move kar raha hai, jo daily chart period mein zyada behtar nazar aata hai. Pichle hafte hum upar gaye aur wahan ruk gaye. Iss hafte bhi hum neechay ke qarib pohnch gaye the. Yeh bilkul aag ki tarah jal raha tha. Hum wapas jump kar gaye. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh range jaldi breakout hoga. Agar horizontal support level 0.6576 ka downward break hota hai, to ek downward wave develop ho sakti hai, teesri wave neeche jayegi, aur agar aap target Fibonacci grid pehli wave par superimpose karen, to minimum target 161.8 ka level hai. Aur, target ek ascending line jaisa lagta hai jo do lows se bani hai jo 2023 se start ho rahi hai aur doosra point 2024 ka minimum hai. Behtareen selling point yeh hi level 0.6576 hoga agar yeh neeche se break hone ke baad resistance ke tor par test hota hai. Agar aap market mein enter nahi karte, to aap lower periods mein ja sakte hain aur wahan confirmation dhoond sakte hain, M5-M15 par ek mirror level banane se, taake support resistance mein badal jaye aur neeche work kare.

Ek alternative option yeh hai ke is range se growth develop ho. Agar horizontal resistance level 0.6696 ka upward breakthrough hota hai, to growth ki wave develop hogi, phir teesri wave bhi aayegi, lekin neeche nahi, balkay upar. Target ek descending line hoga jo significant heights ke sath bani hai. Aap pehli wave par bhi target Fibonacci grid apply kar sakte hain. Magar yahan, target level 161.8 downward scenario se kafi door hai. Yeh line tak pohnch jana chahiye, aur phir aapko sochne ki zaroorat hai ke kahan fix karen aur growth ko develop hone dein. Yahan, behtareen point bhi wohi level hoga jo 0.6696 ko break karta hai agar price wahan se wapas aati hai aur support ban jati hai. Aur is tarah, neeche ke scenario ke analogy ke sath, aap wahan short periods mein confirmation dekh sakte hain.

US dollar, jo pehle kuch kamzori ka shikar tha, FOMC announcement ke baad apne nuksan se sambhal gaya aur apne counterparts ke against recover kar gaya. FOMC ka faisla rate ko barqarar rakhne ka, yeh signal deta hai ke US economy global uncertainties ke bawajood mazboot hai. Aane wale waqt mein, market participants mazeed economic indicators aur central bank ke actions ko ghore se dekhenge, jo currency movements ko aane wale hafton mein asar kar sakte hain. Australian dollar ka unexpected reaction positive domestic data pe yeh highlight karta hai ke global currency markets kitne complex hain, jahan economic fundamentals ke ilawa bhi mukhtalif factors exchange rates ko asar karte hain.

Is waqt trading ke liye technical situation ideal nahi hai. Haal hi mein FOMC meeting ne US dollar par significant upward pressure daala, is wajah se AUD/USD pair downward movement ka shikar hua. Aaj New York session ke economic news se naye pressures introduce ho sakte hain jab market activity barhti hai, jo potential trading opportunities present karte hain. Thursday ko job statistics ke announcement ke bawajood, Australian dollar (AUD) thodi si decline ho rahi hai. Australia's Employment Change ke mutabiq, May mein 39.7K logon ko nokri mili jo ke April (30.0K) se zyada hai, aur yeh pehle ke 38.5K gain se bhi zyada tha. Issi dauraan, unemployment rate 4.0% thi, jo anticipated 4.1% se kam thi April ke liye. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish stance ke baad, US dollar (USD) apne pehle ke nuksan se recover ho gaya, jisne AUD/USD pair ko nuksan pohanchaya.

Investors Thursday ko US weekly Producer Prices Index (PPI) aur Initial Jobless Claims data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US economy ki halat ke bare mein mazeed maloomat mil sake. National Australia Bank (NAB) ke Chief Economist Alan Oster ne Tuesday ko kaha, "Unko umeed hai ke RBA kuch waqt ke liye rates on hold rakhega jab tak yeh mukhtalif risks se navigate karte hain. Growth ke outlook pe kuch warning signs hain, lekin isi waqt, inflation outlook ke bare mein bhi bohot ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai." Haal ke trend ko dekhte hue, humein lagta hai ke aaj ka market humein short transactions close karne ka behtareen mauqa de raha hai, kyunke is waqt sellers ki taqat buyers ki potential ability se zyada hai ke woh situation ko apni manzoor shakal mein badal saken.

HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ko apne kaam mein istemal karte hue, H1 time frame pe Ham indicator aur RSI trend ke mutabiq bhi bearish mode nazar aa raha hai - dono indicators blue aur green hain, jo sellers ki dominant strength ko dikhate hain. Is liye, hum sale transaction independently open kar rahe hain. Hum magnetic level indicator ka istemal karte hue position exit karenge. Is waqt, kaam karne ka ideal level 1.66081 hai. Uske baad hum chart dekh kar yeh faisla karenge ke market mein position maintain karein, ya phir already taken profit ko fix karein. Taake maximum possible profit extract kar sakein.

AUD/USD ke weekly chart par, thodi si pullback ke baad, nearest support level tak nahi pohonch paya, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 0.65761 par hai, price ne reverse kiya aur thoda sa north ki taraf push kiya, jisse ek uncertainty candle bani jisme thoda bullish advantage tha. Filhal, mujhe is instrument mein koi khaas cheez nazar nahi aati. Saaf hai ke price ek forming range mein phansa hua hai, aur agle hafte mein situation ke mutabiq act karunga. General mein, agar sellers price ko south ki taraf push karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, to main support level ko target karunga, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 0.65761 par hai, aur support level 0.65580 par hai. In support levels ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario involve karta hai ek reversal candle ki formation aur global sideways movement ke framework mein growth ka resumption. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level ki taraf move kare, jo 0.66986 ya 0.67141 par hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setups ki formation ka intezar karunga taake further trading direction ka taayun kar saku. Ek more distant northern target bhi ho sakta hai jo mere markings ke mutabiq 0.68711 par hai, magar yeh situation par depend karega aur price ka reaction in indicated distant northern targets aur news flow ke doran. Ek alternative scenario for the price movement jab support level 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ke qareeb pohonchega, yeh plan hoga ke price in levels ke neeche consolidate kare aur mazid south ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 0.64653 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke qareeb, main trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga taake further trading direction ka taayun kar saku. Mukhtasir mein, agle hafte ke liye, locally, mujhe is instrument par kuch khaas interesting nazar nahi aata aur main nearest support aur resistance levels observe karta rahunga.

AUD/USD pair mein bearish trend kai factors ki wajah se hai. Pehla, US Dollar ki overall strength ek significant influence hai. USD strength gain kar raha hai kai macroeconomic factors ki wajah se, jinme robust economic data from the United States, higher interest rates jo Federal Reserve set kar raha hai, aur geopolitical stability jo USD ko ek safe-haven currency banata hai, shamil hain. Doosri taraf, Australian Dollar ne pressure face kiya hai lower commodity prices ki wajah se, khaaskar iron ore aur coal, jo Australia ke major exports hain.

Australian unemployment aur employment rates market sentiments ko badalne mein ahem hai. Iske ilawa, US Federal Funds rate ka barhana, FOMC meetings, FOMC Economic Projections aur press conference AUD/USD market mein volatility ko barhate hain. Isliye forecasting gestures, geographical political developments aur global market trends ko track karna zaroori hai taake sahi trade decisions waqt par aur asani se liye ja sakein. Australian dollar aur commodity prices ke darmiyan taluq ko samajhna bhi market movements par qeemti insights faraham kar sakta hai. Mukammal taur par, discipline ko apnana, emotions ko control karna aur practice se seekhna successful trading ki kunji hai. Behtareen trading plan banana, effective risk management strategies ko implement karna aur market progress ko dekhte rehna se hum AUD/USD market ko behtar tarike se navigate kar sakte hain aur apni profitability capacity ko barha sakte hain. Iske ilawa, AUD/USD

currency pair traders ko liquidity aur fluctuations ke hawale se behtareen opportunities faraham karta hai. Yeh pair mukhtalif factors ki wajah se change hota hai, jin mein economic data releases, interest rate decisions aur geographical political events shamil hain. In factors ko samajh kar aur apni analysis mein shamil kar ke, hum market mein behtareen trade decisions le sakte hain. AUD/USD price ane wale ghanton mein 0.6645 ki resistance zone ko cross kar sakti hai. Asal mein, AUD/USD trading ke key aspects mein Australia aur United States ke darmiyan economic ties bhi hain. Australia duniya ka sabse bara commodities exporter hai aur uski economy global commodities markets ke performance se qareebi tor par judi hui hai. Mukammal taur par, AUD/USD market resistance zone ko cross kar sakti hai aur humein recent news data jo

Australian dollar ko downside pressure ka samna hai bawajood ek positive labor market report ke. RBA ki hawkish stance aur rising US interest rates US dollar ki demand ko barha rahe hain. Halan ke US data weak tha, US dollar ab bhi strong hai. Australia's economic slowdown aur persistent inflation RBA ko rates cut karne se rokh rahe hain, jo AUD ki fall ko limit kar raha hai. Investors RBA meeting ka intizar kar rahe hain agle Tuesday, jahan pehli rate hike May 2025 mein anticipated hai. Technical indicators ek mixed outlook suggest karte hain. RSI 50 ke neeche aur declining MACD negative momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain. 20-day moving average ka 0.6613 tak girna buying interest mein kami dikhata hai. Ek continued decline 50 aur 100-day moving averages near 0.6560 ko test kar sakta hai. ADX 25 se neeche ek directionless market ko suggest karta hai, jab ke RSI 50 ke upar contradictory hai. Stochastic Index ka downward break ke qareeb hona AUD/USD pair mein decline lead kar sakta hai.



Agar bulls prevail karte hain, to woh October 26, 2023 trendline ko defend kar sakte hain pehle gradual slide ke towards July 14, 2022 low of 0.6681. 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the April 5, 2022 - October 13, 2022 decline 0.6739 par ek potential upside target hai. Bears, doosri taraf, aim kar sakte hain ke October 26, 2023 trendline ko todne ke baad AUD/USD ko 0.6556-0.6562 zone (defined by the 50-day and 100-day SMAs) ki taraf dhakel dein. Ek successful break 0.6521-0.6532 support area ko test kar sakta hai, jo 23.6% Fibonacci level aur 200-day moving average se bana hai. Overall, AUD/USD ko short-term headwinds ka samna hai conflicting technical signals ke sath. RBA meeting aur broader market sentiment currency pair ki direction ko influence karenge agle kuch dinon mein.

Ab, 0.6570 ka target, jo MACD ka support line hai, within reach hai. Is level ke neeche consolidation target level 0.6467 (May 1 low) tak path khol sakti hai. Marlin oscillator apne downward channel mein decline kar rahi hai. Four-hour scale par, price balance aur MACD indicator lines ke neeche consolidate hui, aur Marlin oscillator ki signal line downward territory mein hai. Short-term trend decreasing hai, to hum price ko 0.6570 level par dekh rahe hain.

Aaj subah China se publish hui data ne industrial production ko 6.7% year-over-year se 5.6% year-over-year aur fixed asset investment growth ko 4.2% year-over-year se 4.0% year-over-year tak girate hue dikhaya. Asian stock indices significant fall ho rahi hain (Nikkei 225 -1.92%, China A50 -0.73%, S&P/ASX200 -0.22%), jo Australian dollar ko neeche la rahi hain. Monday ke fundamental events mein sirf Fed representative Patrick Harker ka speech hai. Lekin, is haftay hi Fed ne meeting hold ki thi aur Jerome Powell ne market ko monetary policy aur uske prospects pe zaruri information provide kar di thi. Is liye, Mr. Harker shayad kuch naya report karein. Har halat mein, unka speech shaam ko scheduled hai, to din ke dauran currency pairs ki movement pe kuch asar nahi hona chahiye.

Australia ke dollar ko mazboot taqat ka samna hai, chahe keh labour market report mein acha numayaan ho. RBA ka hawkish stance aur barhte hue US interest rates US dollar ki demand ko barha raha hai. Jaise hi kamzor US data samne aaya, lekin US dollar mazbooti mein qaim hai. Australia ki economic slowdown aur mustawar inflation RBA ko rates kam karne se rok rahi hai, jis se AUD ki girawat mehdood hai. Investors RBA ki agli meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Tuesday ko hai, jahan pehla rate hike May 2025 mein muntazir hai. Technical indicators ek mix outlook indicate karte hain. RSI 50 ke nichay aur girte hue MACD negative momentum ki taraf ishara dete hain. 20-day moving average jo 0.6613 tak gir raha hai, yeh dikhata hai ke buying interest kam ho rahi hai. Agar girawat jaari rahe to 50 aur 100-day moving averages ke qareeb 0.6560 tak test ho sakta hai. ADX 25 ke neeche ek directionless market ko suggest karta hai, jab ke RSI 50 ke upar contradictory hai. Stochastic Index jo ek downward break ki taraf nazdeek ja raha hai, is se AUD/USD pair mein girawat ho sakti hai.

Agar bulls dominate karen, to wo October 26, 2023 ke trendline ko defend kar sakte hain pehle ke July 14, 2022 ke low 0.6681 ki taraf gradual slide hone se pehle. April 5, 2022 se October 13, 2022 ke decline ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6739 potential upside target ke taur par mojood hai. Bears, dusri taraf, October 26, 2023 ke trendline ko torne ki taraf maqsad rakhte hain, jis se AUD/USD 0.6556-0.6562 zone (jo 50-day aur 100-day SMAs se define hota hai) ki taraf ja sakta hai. Agar safalta se yeh break ho, to 0.6521-0.6532 support area ko test kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci level aur 200-day moving average se banaya gaya hai. Overall, AUD/USD ko short-term headwinds ke saath conflicting technical signals ka saamna hai. RBA ki meeting aur mazboot market sentiment currency pair ki direction ko ane wale dinon mein influence karenge.

Abhi, 0.6570, jo ke MACD ki support line hai, ka target nazdeek hai. Is level ke neeche consolidation 0.6467 (jo ke May 1 ki low hai) ke target level ko kholti hai. Marlin oscillator apne downward channel mein gir raha hai. Char ghanton ke scale par, price balance aur MACD indicator lines ke neeche consolidate ho rahi hai, aur Marlin oscillator ke signal line downward territory mein hai. Short-term trend decrease kar raha hai, is liye hum 0.6570 level par price ko dekh rahe hain.

Subah China se aane wale data ne industrial production ko 6.7% saalana se 5.6% saalana aur fixed asset investment growth ko 4.2% saalana se 4.0% saalana mein kami dikhayi hai. Asian stock indices mein significant girawat (Nikkei 225 -1.92%, China A50 -0.73%, S&P/ASX200 -0.22%) ne Australian dollar ko niche kheench liya hai. Monday ke fundamental events mein hum sirf Fed representative Patrick Harker ki speech ko nikal sakte hain. Lekin is haftay mein, Federal Reserve ne meeting ki thi aur Jerome Powell ne market ko monetary policy aur uske prospects ke sare zaroori malumat faraham ki thi. Is tarah Mr. Harker naye kuch report karne ki ummeed hai. Har haal mein, unki speech shaam ko scheduled hai, is liye din bhar currency pairs ke movement par koi asar nahi hoga.

America Dollar, jo pehle thori kamzori ka samna kar raha tha, FOMC ki announcement ke baad apne nuqsanat ko dobara hasil kar liya. Rates ko mustaqil qarar dene ka faisla ne amal ke daur mein aitimadiyat ko izhar kiya ke duniya bhar ki na-istiqamat mein bhi, America maeeshat ka daman mustahkam hai. Aglay dino mein, bazaar ke hissadaran maeeshati ashya aur central bank karwaiyon par nazar rakhenge, jo aane wafir hafton mein currency movements par asar andaz honge. Australian dollar ke mazbooti bhi yeh dikhata hai ke global currency markets ki complexity mein, maeeshati bunyadiyat ke ilawa mukhtalif factors tasir andaz hote hain jo exchange rates par asar dalte hain.

Halat e trading ke liye ab technical soorat e hal mufeed nahi hai. Haal hi mein FOMC ki meeting ne US dollar par wazeh uparward dabaav daala hai, jis ki wajah se AUD/USD pair ne neeche ki taraf tezi se jana. Aaj ke New York session ke maeeshati khabron ke douran naye dabaavat ka samna karne ka imkaan hai, jo market activity ke barhne ke sath trading ke mumkin mawaqe'at pesh karta hai. Thursday ko job statistics ke announcement ke baad bhi, Australian dollar (AUD) halka gir raha hai. Australia ke Employment Change ke mutabiq, May mein April se 39.7K zyada log rozgar hasil karne wale thay (30.0K), jo ke pehle 38.5K se bhi zyada tha. Isi doran, berozgari dar 4.0% rahi, jo ke April ke 4.1% ke muntazir figures se kam thi. Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish stance ke baad, US dollar (USD) ne apne pehle nuqsanat ko bhi dobara hasil kar liya hai, jis se AUD/USD pair par asar pada hai. Investors Thursday ko US weekly Producer Prices Index (PPI) aur Initial Jobless Claims data ke intezar mein hain taakey America ki maeeshat ke haalat ke baray mein mazeed maloomat mil sake. National Australia Bank (NAB) ke Chief Economist Alan Oster ne Tuesday ko kaha, "Wo ummeed rakhte hain ke RBA is waqt tak apne rates ko mustaqil qarar par rakhay ga jab tak ke wo in mukhtalif khatarnak rishto se guzar nahi jata. Twaqo aur growth outlook par khoofnak nishaan hain, lekin sath hi, inflation outlook ke baray mein bhi ehtiyaat ke liye wajib hai."

Hamari tajziya ke mutabiq, aaj ke market mein humein short transactions ko band karne ke liye aik azeem mauqa mil raha hai, kyun ke is waqt bechne walon ki taqat saaf tor par khareedne walon ke muqablay mein zyada hai. Is ke ilawa, hum HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ka istemal karte hain. Ham indicator aur RSI trend H1 time frame par bhi bearish mode mein hain - dono indicators neela aur sabz hain, jo ke bechne walon ki taqat ko zahir karte hain. Is liye, hum sale transaction khud par kholte hain. Hum magnetic level indicator ka istemal karke position se bahar niklenge. Is waqt, mukammal munasib munfarid munasib munfarid munasib munfarid munfarid munfarid

USD aur AUD ke darmiyan jo muqabla ho raha hai, iska muzahira hai ke FOMC ki ilaan ke baad US dollar apne mukhalif currency pairs ke khilaaf nuqsan se bahar nikla. Rukhsat daromad daromad ho kar jari rakhne ka faisla US maeeshat ke istehkaam aur dunya bhar ke mushtarika musibat mein bhi bharose ki dalil hai. Aglay arsa, market ke hissedaron ko mazeed iqtidar-e-maeeshat aur central bank action ki nazar rahegi, jo aane wafat hafton mein currency movements par asar daal sakti hai. Australian dollar ke mutaliq muddat say domestic data ke mukhtalif fawaid aur aasaib ke gehray rang ko nazar andaz karta hai jo global currency markets ki complexity ko numayan karta hai, jahan maeeshat ke bunyadi tajawuzat ke siwa bhi mukhtalif factors exchange rates ko mutasir karte hain. Waqtan fawaqtan, trading ke liye technical hawalaat na-munasib hain. FOMC ki taqreeri meeting ne US dollar par buland dabaav dala, jis ki wajah se AUD/USD pair ne neechay ki taraf raftar dekhai. Aaj ke New York session mein maeeshati news naye dabaavat daal sakti hai jis se market activity barhne se trading opportunities paida ho sakti hain. Jumeraat ko job statistics ka elaan hone ke baawajood, Australian dollar (AUD) thora nichayi raftar se guzar raha hai. Australia ki Employment Change ke mutabiq, May mein April se 39.7K zyada log roze gaar rahe, jo ke pehle se zyada 38.5K gain hai. Issi doran, berozgari dar 4.0% thi, jo ke April ke 4.1% figure se kam tha. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish stance ke baad, US dollar (USD) apne pehle nuqsan se bahar nikalta hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair par asar andaz hua hai. Investors jumeraat ko US weekly Producer Prices Index (PPI) aur Initial Jobless Claims data ka intezar kar rahe hain takay unhe US maeeshat ke haalat ke baray mein mazeed wazahat mil sake. National Australia Bank (NAB) ke chief economist Alan Oster ne mangal ko kaha, "Wo ummid karte hain ke RBA mukhtalif risks se guzar kar rates ko hold par rakhay ga. Mazeed fauriyat ke liye taiyar hona chahiye lekin maeeshat ke outluke ke mutaliq khatarnak signs bhi hain aur inflation outlook par bhi bohat ehtiyat bartani chahiye." Abhi ke trend ke mutabiq, humein yakeen hai ke aaj ke market humein short transactions ko band karne ka behtareen mauqa deta hai, kyun ke is waqt bechne walon ki taqat khareedne walon ke potential ability se zyada hai. Hamare kaam mein HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators istemal kiye jate hain. Ham indicator aur RSI trend H1 time frame par dekhne par bhi bearish mode nazar aata hai - dono indicators blue aur green hain jo ke sellers ki dominant strength ko darshate hain. Isi tarah, hum akele hi sale transaction kholte hain. Hum magnetic level indicator istemal kar ke position ko band karte hain. Is waqt, kaam karne ke liye behtareen level 1.66081 hai. Phir hum chart ko dekhte hain aur price movement ke tabadla ke tabadla ke aadhar par faisla karte hain ke market mein position ko maintain karein ya profit ko fix kar lein. Zyada se zyada munasib faida hasil karne ke liye

AJ market rends ishara dete hain ke aik potential breakout ho sakta hai. Kuch analysts "northeners" yaani ke bailon ko isay kehte hain, unka khayal hai ke yeh bullish trend mein barh raha hai. Har dafa jab qeematain support (0.6600) ke qareeb girte hain, to khareedar zor daar tor par aa jate hain, bearish trend ke khilaf muqabla karte hue. Yeh bullish dominance aage ki taraf bari harkat ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jis se aik ahem resistance level 0.6781 tak pohanch sakta hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke jabke yeh bullish rallies ke doran, qeematain puri tarah aik taraf nahi hoti hain. Kabhi kabar pullbacks bhi hotay hain, lekin jo kamzoriyaan ati hain, un mein se kam hote hain. Yeh ishara deta hai ke bullish trend mazboot ho raha hai, jab tak ke qeematain 0.6572 ke ahem support level se neeche na gir jayein. Hal hi mein hui FOMC meeting ne to mazeed confusion paida kar di. Jaisa ke hamesha hota hai, aise bara events uncertainty aur market participants mein shak paida karte hain. Amomi ittefaq yeh hai ke US Dollar (USD) kamzor ho ga, jis se aakhir mein AUD/USD jodi mein izafa ho sakta hai.


Toh traders ke liye yeh sab kya matlab hai? Market abhi thora sa bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan laraai mein hai. Jabke bulls ka zor barhne laga hai, hal hi ki FOMC ki khabron ne uncertainty ko mazeed barhaya hai. Agar aap AUD/USD jodi par trading ki soch rahe hain, toh zaroori hai ke in mukhalif quwwaton ko samajhne ke sath sath, aap ke paas aik mazboot trading strategy bhi ho. Qeematain ki harkat, ahem support aur resistance levels ko dhaayan se monitor karen, aur un iqtisadi ma'lumat releases ko bhi dekhen jo is jodi ki taraf asar andaz hoti hain. Yaad rahe, kabhi kabar aane wale anjaan events se behtar analysis bhi ulat jata hai, is liye zaroorat ke mutabiq apni strategy ko adjust karna tayyar rahein.