aud/usd

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne positive employment data ko defy karte hue Thursday ko US Dollar (USD) ke against dip dikhaya. Yeh surprising turn of events strong Aussie jobs numbers ke bawajood aaya. Australian Bureau of Statistics ne May me 39,700 jobs ka increase report kiya, jo expectations of 30,000 se zyada tha aur pichle mahine ke gain of 38,500 ko bhi surpass kar gaya. Unemployment rate bhi improve hui, 4.1% ke anticipated rate se gir ke 4.0% ho gayi April me. AUD ki weakness ka sabab resurgent USD nazar aata hai. US Dollar Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke baad strengthen hua apne June meeting me. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne benchmark interest rate ko 5.25% aur 5.50% ke beech seventh consecutive meeting tak maintain karne ka faisla kiya, jo zyada tar market observers ne anticipate kiya tha. Yeh decision, investors ke positive US economic data anticipate karne ke saath, jo Thursday ko later release hona tha, USD ko bolster kiya. Yeh awaited data me US weekly unemployment claims aur producer price index figures shamil hain.

Isi beech, AUD/USD pair Thursday ko kareeb 0.6660 par hover kar raha tha. Daily chart ka technical analysis AUD/USD ke liye ek consolidation phase reveal karta hai within a rectangle pattern, jo ek neutral market sentiment indicate karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) slightly below 50 par hai, jo lack of clear directional bias ko emphasize karta hai. Decisive moves is level ke upar ya neeche future trend ko signal kar sakti hain. Aage dekhte hue, AUD/USD ke liye immediate support 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb 0.6604 par hai, followed by the lower boundary of the rectangle pattern at 0.6585. Agar AUD/USD upward momentum gain karta hai, yeh potentially area around the upper border of the pattern at 0.6700 test kar sakta hai, shayad May high of 0.6714 tak bhi pahunch sakta hai. Jabke AUD/USD apne lows around 0.63618 se correct ho raha hai, kuch analysts believe karte hain ke decline abhi khatam nahi hui. Woh further downward movement predict karte hain pair ke liye jab tak price below 0.6699 rehti hai, with a target range of 0.6576-0.65002. Lekin, yeh analysts recommend nahi karte ke is point par AUD/USD sell kiya jaye. Woh anticipate karte hain increased buying activity jab price "blue box area" tak pohonchti hai, jo potentially new highs ya at least significant corrective bounce ki taraf rally lead kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD Ka Mustaqbil

Foreign exchange market kabhi kabhi bohat frustrating ho sakti hai. Kuch din aise hote hain jab prices hilti hi nahi, aur samajh nahi aata ke kis taraf move kiya jaye. Misaal ke taur pe AUD/USD pair ko lein. Haali mein economic data releases ka mixed bag dekha gaya hai. Ek taraf strong inflation numbers (CPI) ne price ko upar push kiya, magar phir Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki khabron ne isay wapas neeche gira diya. Yeh conflicting information is decision ko mushkil bana deti hai ke buy kiya jaye ya sell. Abhi, AUD/USD trading range mein phans gaya hai, 0.6600 aur 0.6700 ke beech. MACD indicator bhi, jo ke momentum gauge karne ke liye mashhoor tool hai, neutral territory mein stuck hai. Filhal yeh thoda sa waiting game hai.


Lekin, kuch underlying trends potential breakout ki nishani dete hain. Bulls, jinhein kuch analysts "northerners" kehte hain, upper hand hasil karte nazar aa rahe hain. Har dafa jab price support (0.6600) ki taraf dip karti hai, buyers aggressively step in karte hain aur bears ko push back karte hain. Yeh bullish dominance ek significant northward push ko lead kar sakti hai, jo ke key resistance level 0.6781 tak pohoch sakti hai. Interesting baat yeh hai ke in bullish rallies ke doran, price completely one-sided nahi hai. Occasional pullbacks hote hain, magar lows consistently rise karte hain. Yeh strengthening bullish trend ko suggest karta hai, jab tak price critical support level 0.6572 se neeche nahi girti. Latest FOMC meeting ne bhi mazeed uncertainty aur "smoke" create ki hai jo market participants ko confuse kar deti hai. Overall consensus yeh lagta hai ke US Dollar (USD) weaken hoga, jo ke ultimately AUD/USD pair ki growth ko lead karega.

Toh, traders ke liye yeh sab kya matlab rakhta hai? Market filhal bulls aur bears ke darmiyan tug-of-war mein hai. Bulls momentum gain karte nazar aa rahe hain, magar recent FOMC news ne ek layer of uncertainty add kar di hai. Agar aap AUD/USD pair ko trade karne ka soch rahe hain, toh in conflicting forces se aware rehna bohat zaroori hai aur ek well-defined trading strategy hona chahiye. Price action, key support aur resistance levels ko carefully monitor karein, aur economic data releases par nazar rakhein jo pair ke direction ko impact kar sakti hain. Yaad rakhein, even best analysis unexpected events se upend ho sakti hai, isliye apni strategy ko adjust karne ke liye tayaar rahain.

Australian dollar/US dollar ki technical analysis

Pichle trading week mein, Australian dollar pehle se restricted range mein trade kar raha tha, aur is range se break out karne mein naakam raha. Pehle price 0.6573 level tak gira, lekin wahan significant resistance ka samna karte hue momentum kho diya aur wapas 0.6701 level tak rebound kar gaya, apni lost ground regain kar li, magar phir bhi insurmountable resistance ka samna karte raha. Issi doran, price chart super-trending areas ke darmiyan switch karta raha, jo ke high level of uncertainty ka ishara de raha hai.

Aaj ki technical picture dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke simple moving averages ne short time frames pe upward support pa liya hai, jabke intraday indicator 0.6740 pe support ke upar stable hai. Doosri taraf, stochastic indicator ne bullish momentum kho diya hai aur negative signals bhejna shuru kar diye hain. Agar 0.6850 ke neeche break hota hai, toh index pe negative pressure aata hai ke 0.6720 ko dobara test kare. Doosri taraf, rising crossover aur 0.6820 ke upar consolidation index ko drive kar raha hai ke chances badhaye 0.6890 aur 0.6950 tak pohanchne ke.



Pair is waqt mixed trading kar raha hai aur har hafta zyada tar neutral hi rehta hai. Key support zone pe strong pressure tha, lekin yeh breakout hone se bach gaya aur subsequent price rebound hua, jis se upward vector relevant raha. Upward momentum ko maintain karne ke liye, price ko 0.6635 level se strong rebound karna hoga immediately after a successful retest. Central support zone ke boundaries apni jagah hain, jo ke 0.6765 aur 0.6804 ke area ko cover kar rahi hain. Targeting ka matlab yeh hoga ke aap upward movement ko continue kar sakte hain.

Agar support break ho jata hai aur price akhirkar 0.6573 reversal level ko todta hai, toh current scenario cancel karne ka signal mil jayega.

AUD/USD currency pair ka M30 timeframe chart aik interesting picture present kar raha hai jahan kaafi conflicting signals hain, jo market ko decipher karna challenging bana rahe hain. Filhaal, moving average taqriban 0.6618 par position mein hai. Yeh level traders ke liye aik significant reference point hai aur aksar unke decisions ko influence karta hai. Price action ko dekh kar yeh samajh aata hai ke price aksar is moving average ko touch karti hai, lekin phir wapas defined range mein retreat ho jati hai, jo resistance aur support ke interplay ko indicate karta hai.

Chart par aik notable feature horizontal resistance level hai jo moving average ke upar hai. Yeh resistance level aik critical upper limit form karta hai, jahan se price ko upar jane mein mushkil hoti hai. Har dafa jab price is level ke qareeb aati hai ya isay breach karti hai, toh selling pressure ka saamna karti hai aur wapas range mein gir jati hai. Yeh behavior market participants ki reluctance ko highlight karta hai ke woh price ko is resistance ke upar push nahi karna chahte, shayad perceived overvaluation ya strong bullish momentum ki kami ki wajah se.

Is situation ki complexity mein mazeed izafa stochastic indicator karta hai, jo filhaal potential decline ka suggestion de raha hai. Stochastic oscillator aik momentum indicator hai jo aik particular closing price ko aik specific period ke prices ke range se compare karta hai. Is case mein, stochastic indicator ka possible decline ka signal dena indicate karta hai ke pair overbought hai ya upward momentum lose kar raha hai, aur near future mein bearish turn ka hint de raha hai.

Is analysis ko complicate karte hue moving average ka nature bhi dekha jaye toh filhaal moving average flat hai, jo market mein consolidation ya indecision ke period ko reflect karta hai. Yeh sab factors milkar market ki current situation ko challenging bana dete hain aur traders ko careful analysis aur strategic decision making ki zaroorat hoti hai.

AUD/USD


Hum ek constructive analysis karenge aur detail mein current data aur indicators ka analysis karenge jismein technical analysis indicators jaise Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD shaamil hain, jo aaj profitable trading ke liye call kar rahe hain selected instrument par. Yeh indicators humein most likely entry point choose karne mein madad karte hain from the point of view of profitable development, jo humein acha paisa kamaane ka mauka deta hai. Yeh bhi equally important hai ke hum current quote ko choose karein exit position ke liye, jiske liye hum ek Fibonacci grid banayenge jo current minimums aur maximums of the selected trading period ke according stretched hoga. Hum exit tab karenge jab nearest correctional Fibo levels reach honge.

Toh, chart ko dekh kar hum yeh samajhte hain ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo direction aur state of the current trend on the selected period (time-frame H4) ko dikhata hai, upward hai at an angle of approximately 35-40 degrees, jo upward trend instrument trend ko indicate karta hai. Non-linear regression channel, jo presented chart mein dikh raha hai, upward fold ho gaya hai aur bottom se upar cross kar gaya hai na sirf golden uptrend line LP ko balki resistance line of the linear channel (red dotted line) ko bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel north ki taraf directed hai aur buyers ki strength ko confirm karta hai.

Price ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kar liya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.67146 tak pohanch gaya, jiske baad iska growth ruk gaya aur steadily decline karne laga. Instrument abhi current price level 0.66149 par trade kar raha hai. Upar di gayi sab baaton ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes return karenge aur consolidate karenge below the 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line of the 50% FIBO level par aur further move down karenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628 tak, jo 0% Fibo level ke saath coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein enter karne ki expediency aur validity ko RSI (14) aur MACD indicators fully approve karte hain kyunki yeh currently overbought zone mein hain.

AUD/USD pair, market aaj bina kisi significant gap ke khula. Asian session mein, keemat neeche ki taraf correction kar rahi hai. Magar overall, mujhe yakeen hai ke chhote pullback ke baad, uptrend dobara shuru hogi, najdiki resistance levels ko target karte hue. Main iraada kar raha hoon ke 0.66799 par resistance level aur 0.67141 par resistance level par tawajju den. In resistance levels ke qareeb, do manazir samne aa sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario ye hai ke keemat in levels ke oopar consolidate ho aur uptrend jaari rahe. Agar ye plan kaam aata hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat 0.68711 ke resistance level ki taraf jaegi. Is resistance level par, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo agle trading direction ka faisla karne mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat mazeed shumali taraf 0.70301 ke resistance level ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai, lekin ye halat ke evolvement par depend karega, including news flow aur keemat ka designate kiye gaye buland northern targets ke sath kaise react karta hai.
Ek doosra scenario jab resistance level 0.66799 ya resistance level 0.67141 ke qareeb aata hai, wo ek reversal candle formation aur ek neeche ki taraf keemat ka movement shamil karta hai. Agar ye scenario hota hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat support level 0.65922 ya support level 0.65580 par wapas jaegi. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ka talash jaari rakhoonga, keemat ke upar ki taraf movement ka aik aarzi inthizaar karte hue. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke 0.64653 par ek lower southern level ko target kiya jaaye, lekin phir bhi, ye halat par depend karega. Agar designate plan bhi poora hota hai, to main is support level ke qareeb bhi bullish signals ka talash jaari rakhoonga, keemat ke upar ki taraf movement ka aik aarzi inthizaar karte hue. Chhoti si baat par, aaj ke liye, main umeed karta hoon ke keemat najdiki resistance levels ki taraf jaegi, aur phir main bazaar ki halat ko mutabiq taksim karunga. Khush trading sabko.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 0.6700 ke resistance mark par aik bar phir decline kiya hai. Aane walay meetings mein, agar RBA Governor Bullock ye wazeh karte hain ke rate rise hone wala hai, to AUD/USD pair dobara critical resistance level 0.6700 ke taraf surge kar sakta hai. Lekin agar RBA hawkish predictions ko confirm nahi karta, to AUD/USD pair apna current downward trend jari rakh sakta hai aur 0.6500 ko touch kar sakta hai. Isliye, policy statement ka wording aur Bullock ke remarks se AUD/USD pair ki next move ka direction decide hoga.

Bari banks, jaise ke Societe Generale aur Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ), ne RBA ki pehli interest rate decrease ka probable date November se badha kar early 2025 tak kar diya hai RBA showdown ke run-up mein. 100-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) lagbhag 0.6650 ke aas paas hain, jo ek crucial demand level hai jisko AUD/USD pair test kar sakta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq pair ka downward trajectory wazeh hai, jo 50 level se neeche point kar raha hai RBA interest rate decision se pehle.

Agar Aussie buyers aforementioned key support 0.6550 ko daily closing basis par defend karte hain, to ek bounce ka chance hai jo 21-day SMA 0.6635 ke taraf ja sakta hai. Next upward hurdle 0.6700 milestone par hai. Dusri taraf, agar 0.6550 support zone ka downward breach hota hai, to aik naya downward trend shuru ho sakta hai jo 0.6500 mark tak ja sakta hai. Buyers ke final line of defense 0.6477 par hai.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, AUD/USD ka future direction largely depend karta hai RBA policy statements aur Governor Bullock ke remarks par. Trading ke liye, risk management aur key levels ka closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

Hamari guftagu ka markaz AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing ko decode karna hai. RBA interest rate aur US retail sales data ke release ke baad Australian dollar US dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot ho gaya hai. AUDUSD pair ke 4-hour chart pe ek three-wave pattern nazar aa raha hai jo 0.6587 ke support level se start ho raha hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pattern bullish scenario mein khele ga, aur price growth 0.6707 level tak anticipate ki ja rahi hai, ya to false breakdown ke through ya phir ek bullish candle ke complete passage ke zariye. Jab open long position profitable ho jaye aur price half distance cover kar le, to stop loss ko breakeven pe move karna aqalmandi hogi.

Aaj ki US statistics pe retail sales ka 0.0% increase show hua, jo expected 0.1% se kam hai. Yeh failure nahi hai, lekin forecast se kam hai, jis se dollar ko additional news support ke baghair mushkilat ho sakti hain. Dusri taraf, RBA ka hawkish stance bulls ko confidence de raha hai, jo horizontal channel ke top border ki taraf move ka suggestion de raha hai. AUDUSD pair ne aaj standout kiya, aur kal ke level pe hi close hua. Yeh niche move karega. Main last daily candle (0.6643) ke highest point ka intezar karunga. Agar head and shoulders pattern choti time frame pe nazar aaya to main trade enter karunga. Mujhe koi wajah nazar nahi aati ke main transactions ko 0.6668 ke beyond hold karun, is liye main unhe wahan close kar dunga. Half of the daily movement, jo kal ke extreme ke liye defer hui, mujhe target deti hai take profit 0.6568 pe.

Yeh analysis market ki current situation ko dekhte hue trading opportunities ko highlight karta hai. Proper risk management aur key levels ka monitor karna trading decisions ke liye zaroori hai. AUD/USD pair ke price dynamics ko samajhna aur unhe sahi tareeke se interpret karna profitable trading ke liye bohot zaroori hai.

Hello, guys! As Salam O Alaikum, umeed hai aap sab forum administrators, moderators, aur Instaforex broker admins theek hain. Aaj main AUD/USD market ke bare mein baat karunga. Meri AUD/USD trading analysis sab forum friends aur Instaforex traders ke liye helpful hogi.

Aussie growth pressure mein hai, 2023 ke shuru se har quarter mein annualized real GDP ya to gir rahi hai ya flat hai. Annualized figure estimates 1.2% se miss karke 1.1% par aayi, jabke quarter-on-quarter figure meagre 0.1% se bari. Household spending, jo ke roughly 50% Australian GDP ka hissa hai, thoda strong tha at 1.3%, lekin zyadatar spending essentials jaise electricity aur healthcare par thi jabke discretionary spending flat rahi.

AUD/USD iss lacklustre growth se zyadatar mutasir nahi hua lekin currency ne Kiwi dollar ke against thoda decline register kiya (likhne ke waqt). AUD/USD ab 0.6644 level ko test kar raha hai jo March se May ke darmiyan prices ko cap kiya aur pair ko support diya. Market ek potential tripwire hai bearish continuation ke liye lekin recent moves mein conviction ka kami hai. Dono central banks interest rates cut karne ka soch rahe hain, lekin aise faisle ka timing abhi unclear hai. US data weakening hone ki wajah se Fed pole position mein hai jab dono nations ka muqabla hota hai.

Aaj ka US services PMI data greenback ke liye further weakness la sakta hai manufacturing sector ke contraction ko extend karne ke baad. US NFP data agla major relevant data hoga lekin ADP private payroll data hamesha intra-day volatility provide karne ka potential rakhta hai lekin Friday ko more closely watched US jobs data se pehle massive moves nahi dekhta. Resistance swing high 0.6714 par rehta hai aur 0.6730 door nahi hai
AUD/USD ka significant resistance level 0.6640 hai. Jab tak support level 0.6561 break nahi hota, price ke phir se upar jane ka chance hamesha rehta hai. AUD/USD 0.6711 resistance level ki taraf move karega jo ke 2nd level of resistance hai. Iske baad, AUD/USD 0.7123 resistance level ki taraf move karega jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Yeh levels teal color mein screen par support levels ki tarah highlight kiye gaye hain.

Dusri taraf, AUD/USD ka significant support level 0.6561 hai. Agar yeh 0.6561 initial level of support ko break karta hai, to AUD/USD 0.6467 support level ki taraf decline karega. Uske baad, AUD/USD further decline karke 0.6396 support level ki taraf jayega jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD sell karna hopefully behtar hoga

AUDUSD ke price activities pehle bullish trend mein thi, lekin jab unhon ne overbought level ko test kiya, to price adjust karne ke reaction mein gir gayi. Pichle kuch trading dino se price ek descending channel mein chal rahi hai, aur yeh channel moving average lines ke sath aligned hai. Kuch martaba, AUDUSD moving average lines ko cross karti rahi upar aur neeche, aur is falling channel ke peak aur bottom levels ko touch karti rahi. AUDUSD ne Thursday aur Friday ko bearish candles banayi jab is week ke Wednesday ko upper limit ko touch kiya. Us din ke baad AUDUSD neeche ki taraf move karne lagi. AUDUSD jald hi is falling channel ke bottom ko test karegi. Chart par prolonged consolidation dikh rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke upper threshold 0.67 ko break karne ka challenge aane wala hai. Agar H1 resistance 0.6680 ke upar breakout hota hai, to pair medium-term target 0.6835 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Warna, agar 0.6680 breach nahi hota, to retracement 0.6620 par naya H1 support dekh sakta hai pehle ke upward momentum resume ho, jo possibly 0.6835 target karega, aur 0.6765 se retracement bhi ho sakta hai. Monday ke liye key support levels hain D1 par 0.6510 aur H4 par 0.6540. Agar H1 resistance 0.6680 par hold karta hai, to mein anticipate karta hoon ke pullback din ke balance 0.6640 par hoga. Agar yeh level breach nahi hota, to decline H4 support 0.6540 ki taraf ho sakta hai, aur possibly 0.6570 se retracement agar H4 support hold karta hai. Weekly time frame chart outlook:
Chay haftay pehle, AUDUSD ne weekly time frame chart par trend direction ko change kiya tha jab moving average lines ke upar cross kiya tha. Halanki price briefly jump hui thi, jaise mujhe anticipated tha, yeh lambay period ke liye increase hui aur abhi moving average lines ko follow kar rahi hai. Kyun ke price 50 EMA line ke upar hai, primary trend ab bhi positive hai, aur RSI indicator value 52 hai, jo price growth ki likelihood ko badhati hai. Mein advise karunga ke bullish trade open karein is trading asset par aur agar next week ke dauran AUDUSD positive movement exhibit karti hai, to isay price level 0.6872 tak extend karein

1. H4 chart par, EUR/USD pair filhal 0.6573 se 0.6550 ke support zone mein hai. Yeh zone Tuesday aur Wednesday ke local lows se bana hai. Aaj bears ne is support area ko break karne ki koshish ki, magar wo kamyab nahi ho sake. Ab tak, yeh dikhata hai ke northern trend ab bhi kaafi strong hai, halan ke kuch kamzori ke asaar dikhaye de rahe hain. Asian session ke doran, EUR/USD pair ka growth 0.6583 level par ruk gaya. Jab USA se news ayi, to buyers ne is level ko cross karne ki koshish ki lekin wo apni position ko uske upar maintain nahi kar sake, jo ke ek puncture rather than breakthrough ko dikhata hai. Yeh buyers ke darmiyan kamzori ko highlight karta hai.
2. Agar pair girta hai aur 0.6583 level ke neeche candle ko close karne mein kamyab ho jata hai, to yeh H4 chart par short-term trend ka reversal aur downward move ka signal dega. Yeh scenario mumkin hai, magar fallback option mana jata hai. Higher levels ko break karne ke current struggle ke bawajood, price kisi bhi waqt apni upward trajectory resume kar sakta hai, jo ke prevailing trend se align karta hai. Medium-term trend H4 aur D1 charts par north ki taraf hai, jo ke broader market sentiment ko bullish dikhata hai. Din bhar, traders ko yeh dekhna hoga ke AUD/USD pair key levels ke aas paas kaise behave karta hai. Buyers ke liye 0.6589 ke upar firm hold secure karna mushkil lagta hai, jo ke current upward momentum mein kuch fragility ko dikhata hai. Magar, jab tak pair critical support zone 0.6572-0.6550 ke upar hai, wahan se bounce back aur ascent continue karne ka substantial chance hai. Price action ka behavior in support levels ke ird gird crucial hoga agle significant move ko determine karne ke liye
3. Agar pair girta hai aur 0.6583 level ke neeche candle close karne mein kamyab ho jata hai, to yeh H4 chart par short-term trend mein shift ka signal dega, jo ke downward move ko lead kar sakta hai. Magar, yeh scenario ek backup option mana jata hai. Higher levels ko break karne ke current struggle ke bawajood, price kisi bhi waqt apni upward trajectory resume kar sakta hai, jo prevailing trend ke saath align karti hai.
4. 
5. AUD/USD exchange rate potential vulnerability ke signals de rahi hai, lekin broader market sentiment overall optimistic hai. Trading session ke doran, market mein shamil logon ko yeh closely observe karna chahiye ke AUD/USD pair in crucial price levels ke aas paas kaise behave karta hai. Buyers ka 0.6589 ke upar firmly establish na kar pana current upward momentum mein fragility ko dikhata hai. Magar, jab tak pair critical support zone 0.6572-0.6550 ke upar maintain hai, wahan se rebound aur ascent continue karne ka significant possibility hai. Price action ka conduct in support levels ke ird gird pivotal hoga agle significant movement ko determine karne ke liye AUD/USD pair mein

test kiya, to price adjust karne ke reaction mein gir gayi. Pichle kuch trading dino se price ek descending channel mein chal rahi hai, aur yeh channel moving average lines ke sath aligned hai. Kuch martaba, AUDUSD moving average lines ko cross karti rahi upar aur neeche, aur is falling channel ke peak aur bottom levels ko touch karti rahi. AUDUSD ne Thursday aur Friday ko bearish candles banayi jab is week ke Wednesday ko upper limit ko touch kiya. Us din ke baad AUDUSD neeche ki taraf move karne lagi. AUDUSD jald hi is falling channel ke bottom ko test karegi. Chart par prolonged consolidation dikh rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke upper threshold 0.67 ko break karne ka challenge aane wala hai. Agar H1 resistance 0.6680 ke upar breakout hota hai, to pair medium-term target 0.6835 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Warna, agar 0.6680 breach nahi hota, to retracement 0.6620 par naya H1 support dekh sakta hai pehle ke upward momentum resume ho, jo possibly 0.6835 target karega, aur 0.6765 se retracement bhi ho sakta hai. Monday ke liye key support levels hain D1 par 0.6510 aur H4 par 0.6540. Agar H1 resistance 0.6680 par hold karta hai, to mein anticipate karta hoon ke pullback din ke balance 0.6640 par hoga. Agar yeh level breach nahi hota, to decline H4 support 0.6540 ki taraf ho sakta hai, aur possibly 0.6570 se retracement agar H4 support hold karta hai. Weekly time frame chart outlook:
Chay haftay pehle, AUDUSD ne weekly time frame chart par trend direction ko change kiya tha jab moving average lines ke upar cross kiya tha. Halanki price briefly jump hui thi, jaise mujhe anticipated tha, yeh lambay period ke liye increase hui aur abhi moving average lines ko follow kar rahi hai. Kyun ke price 50 EMA line ke upar hai, primary trend ab bhi positive hai, aur RSI indicator value 52 hai, jo price growth ki likelihood ko badhati hai. Mein advise karunga ke bullish trade open karein is trading asset par aur agar next week ke dauran AUDUSD positive movement exhibit karti hai, to isay price level 0.6872 tak extend karein

Australian dollar subha ke aghaz mein thora upar tha, apne agressive trend ko jaari rakhte hue. 0.6650 ka level aik mazboot price magnet hai, aur currency is level par temporarily hold kar rahi hai. Magar, 0.67 ka level aik significant resistance barrier hai, aur lagta hai ke market ke liye isse upar break karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Agar Australian dollar 0.67 ka level cross kar sakay, to ye 0.68 ka target kar sakta hai. Pichle 30 dinon mein is range mein trading kaafi strong rahi hai. Neeche, 0.66 ka level mazboot support provide karta hai, jo 50-day aur 200-day EMAs ke qareebi hone se confirm hota hai, aur market ke liye aik solid bottom provide karta hai.

Australian dollar abhi sideways trading pattern mein phansa hua hai, jo matlab hai ke short-term trading strategies ziada munasib hain long-term investment ke muqablay mein. Bahut se traders is tight range mein choti price movements ko pick karte hain, zaroori nahi ke woh hamesha successful ho. Agar market apni current range se breakout kar sakay, to aik milestone hasil ho sakta hai, lekin filhal capital investment justify karna mushkil hai.

Australia ki exports par inhisar ke bawajood, bohot se factors jaise global economic conditions aur commodity prices, Australian dollar ki movement ko influence karte hain. Ye complex interaction current market uncertainty aur sideways action mein contribute karta hai. Traders ko nimble rehne ki zarurat hai aur short-term trends par react karna chahiye, kyunki market mein stability ka clear incentive nahi hai.

Summary mein, Australian dollar narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, 0.6650 aik key price magnet ke taur par act kar raha hai, aur 0.67 aik important resistance level hai. Support 0.66 par hai, jo 50-day aur 200-day EMAs se reinforce hota hai. Short-term marketing techniques jaise ke hair massage is situation mein kaafi effective ho sakti hain. Jabke is approach se break out karne se major moves ho sakte hain, current market conditions mein aik cautious approach zaruri hai.

AUD/USD Price Analysis

M15 Time Frame Analysis
Hum AUD/USD currency pair ko M15 time frame par analyse kar rahe hain. Hum exponential moving averages (EMAs) ko use kar rahe hain, jin ki periods 9 aur 22 hain. Yeh tools well-known aur simple hain, jo zyada traders ko familiar hain. Dono moving averages ke intersection ke basis par, trading signals straightforward hain aur currently price level 0.66185 par hain.

Entry Points:
- Main do orders initiate karta hoon: aadha position current prices se aur dusra aadha position price rollback ke baad M5 time frame par, jahaan hume market par sell entry milti hai.
- Mera minimum take-profit ratio 1 to 3 hai. Agar trade zyada profit yield kare, to main position ko run karne deta hoon.
- Jab price ek-third profitable zone mein move karti hai, to main breakeven par shift karta hoon for a safer stance, re-ordering ki agar zarurat ho.

Stop Loss:
- Mera stop loss 21 points par set hota hai, jo maine trial and error ke through derive kiya hai. Yeh figure mujhe optimal lagti hai. Zyada minor false movements often more minor stops ko disrupt karte hain.

Hourly Time Frame Analysis
Australian dollar-US dollar pair ko hourly chart par dekha ja raha hai. Unemployment data ke release ke baad, pair decline kar rahi hai aur 0.65988 support ko break kar rahi hai. Unemployment data significant hai, kyunki job creation forecast values se exceed kar gaya aur salaries expectations ko surpass kar rahi hain, jo potential inflationary pressures ko hint karte hain.

Economic Indicators:
- Historically, wage growth ne inflation ko significantly impact kiya hai, lekin recently iska influence kam ho gaya hai.
- Inflation various sectors mein ease ho rahi hai, lekin abhi bhi high hai. Despite a slight 0.1% decrease in inflation, yeh ek minimal change hai.
- Federal Reserve ke remarks ke baad, pair drop hui jaisa expect kiya gaya tha, jo yeh reflect karta hai ke slight inflation decrease insufficient hai.

Expected Movements:
- Main expect karta hoon ke pair ek range mein move karegi aur further decline karegi towards 0.65593 support.

Conclusion

AUD/USD currency pair ki current price dynamics ko analyse karte hue, humne EMA tools aur economic indicators ka use kiya. M15 time frame par, trading signals straightforward hain aur entry points aur stop loss set hain. Hourly chart par, unemployment data aur Federal Reserve ke remarks ke basis par, pair ke movements ko assess karte hue, further decline towards 0.65593 support expect kiya ja raha hai.