eur/usd

### EUR/USD Analysis and Forecast
#### Current Market Situation

Abhi EUR/USD pair 1.0902 mark ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur is waqt bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh downtrend yeh batata hai ke Euro, US Dollar ke muqable kamzor ho raha hai. Iss trend ke peeche kai wajahein hain, jin mein economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shamil hain. Mukammal analysis dene ke liye, abhi ke economic landscape, technical indicators, aur EUR/USD pair ke possible future movements ko dekhna zaroori hai.

#### Economic Indicators aur Influences

1. **Eurozone Economic Performance:**
Eurozone ki economic health, EUR/USD exchange rate par bara asar dalti hai. Recent data yeh suggest karta hai ke Europe ke major economies mein economic growth slow ho rahi hai. Inflationary pressures, rising energy costs, aur supply chain disruptions ne post-pandemic recovery ko hinder kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ek cautious approach apna raha hai, growth ko stimulate karne aur inflation ko control karne ke beech balance banane ki koshish kar raha hai. ECB ki policies mein koi bhi tabdeeli, jaise interest rate adjustments ya quantitative easing measures, Euro ki value ko affect kar sakti hain.

2. **US Economic Indicators:**
Doosri taraf, US economy resilience dikha rahi hai, strong labor market data aur robust consumer spending ke saath. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, USD ki strength mein critical role play karti hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne hint diya hai ke wo inflation se ladne ke liye interest rate hikes kar sakta hai, jo USD ko mazboot kar raha hai. Market participants keenly watch karte hain ke Fed ke future policy changes ke bare mein koi signals milen.

3. **Geopolitical Factors:**
Geopolitical events, jaise Ukraine mein tensions ya trade negotiations, bhi EUR/USD pair ko influence karte hain. Koi bhi escalation in conflicts ya trade disruptions forex market mein significant volatility cause kar sakte hain. Misaal ke tor par, Russia par sanctions Eurozone economy ko affect kar sakte hain due to its dependency on Russian energy.

#### Technical Analysis

1. **Support aur Resistance Levels:**
Current level 1.0902, EUR/USD pair ke liye crucial support level hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh further downward movement trigger kar sakta hai towards next support at 1.0850. Wapas se rebound hone par yeh pair resistance levels ko test kar sakta hai around 1.0950 aur 1.1000.

2. **Moving Averages:**
50-day aur 200-day moving averages, long-term trend ke bare mein insights dete hain. Abhi, EUR/USD pair dono averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek sustained bearish trend indicate karta hai. In moving averages ka crossover potential trend reversal signal kar sakta hai.

3. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
RSI indicator oversold territory mein hover kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek corrective bounce ke liye due ho sakta hai. Magar, RSI ko akela standalone indicator ke tor par use nahi karna chahiye. Dusre factors aur indicators ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai.

4. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels:**
Fibonacci retracement levels potential reversal points identify karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Recent high to low se Fibonacci retracement draw karte hue, key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 38.2%, 50%, aur 61.8% retracements, jo significant support aur resistance zones ke saath coincide karte hain.

#### Potential Future Movements

1. **Bullish Scenario:**
Agar Eurozone ki economic data improve hoti hai ya ECB ek hawkish stance adopt karta hai, toh Euro strengthen ho sakta hai, EUR/USD pair ko higher push karte hue. 1.1000 ke upar break hone se further gains ho sakte hain towards 1.1100 aur 1.1200 levels. Positive developments in geopolitical tensions ya trade relations bhi market sentiment ko boost kar sakte hain, jo Euro ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai.

2. **Bearish Scenario:**
Conversely, agar bearish trend persist karta hai, strong US economic data ya more aggressive Fed ke chalne par, EUR/USD pair apne downward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai. 1.0902 ke neeche break hone se further declines ho sakte hain towards 1.0850 aur potentially lower. Koi bhi escalation in geopolitical tensions ya negative economic news from Eurozone downward pressure ko exacerbate kar sakti hain.

3. **Volatility aur Market Sentiment:**
Market sentiment forex trading mein crucial role play karta hai. Traders ki risk aur global economic outlook ke bare mein perception sudden aur significant price movements cause kar sakti hai. Market sentiment ko news, economic releases, aur central bank statements ke through monitor karna essential hai for anticipating potential volatility.

#### Conclusion

Khulasa yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair abhi ek bearish trend mein hai, jo 1.0902 level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Economic landscape, technical indicators, aur market sentiment suggest karte hain ke pair ane walay dinon mein significant movements dekh sakta hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels, economic indicators from Eurozone aur US, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakain. Jab ke corrective bounce ka potential hai, overall trend bearish hi rehta hai jab tak Euro ke liye significant positive catalysts emerge nahi hote. Jaise hamesha, proper risk management aur ek well-thought-out trading strategy forex market mein navigate karne ke liye crucial hain.

4-hour time frame se humein nazar aata hai ke price ab bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke ooper reh sakti hai. Candlesticks ab tak koi khas taraqqi nahi dikhati kyun ke kuch dino se inko downward correction ka samna hai. Magar, market ab bhi bullish trend ka moqa ya past ke kuch dino mein fa'lan izafa dikhata hai. Pechle teen hafto ke trading period se ek aham bullish journey shuru hone ke sath, ye wazeh hai ke EurUsd market candlesticks bullish side ki taraf move karna chahti hain kyun ke monthly time frame mein bullish candlesticks ab bhi ban rahi hain Is hafte, buyers koshish kar rahe hain ke prices ko barhawa dein aur hum ye 4-hour time frame ke graph mein dekh sakte hain, jahan prices ab bhi 100-period simple moving average zone ke ooper barhne ki koshish kar rahi hain, jo ke ek signal hai ke market buyers ke sath move kar rahi hai. June ke akhir mein bearish pressure tha jo ke seller control ko dikhata hai aur market ko downward correct kar diya. Magar, ab situation mukhtalif hai kyun ke prices ab aur nahi gir sakti, ek upward bounce aaya jab candlestick ne 1.0674 area ko touch kiya. Stochastic indicator mahine ke shuru mein level 80 ko touch kar chuka hai, jo dikhata hai ke market ab bhi bullish rehne ka rujhan rakhta hai
To khulasah yeh hai ke mere khayal se agle kuch din mein bullish side ki taraf ek safar ho sakta hai agar hum daily time frame se rujhan dekhein kyun ke past ke kuch din se trend upward hai, is hafte trading ka markaz ek Buy position kholne ke liye area talashna hai. Agle safar mein nakami ke khauf se behtar hoga ke 1.0918 area mein ek Pending Buy order tayar rakha jaye

EURUSD currency pair. Lagta hai ke price neeche jaane wali hai. Pichle trading haftay euro ne buyers ko apni mazboot growth se khush kar diya. Amreeki khabrein bhi aayi, jinke indicators umeed se kharab thay, aur price upar chali gayi, lekin sirf euro ke muqable mein hi nahi, balke almost poore market spectrum ke muqable mein Amreeki dollar kamzor hua. Shayad sirf Canadian dollar iska mustasna raha, woh muttasil raha, hatta ke dollar yen bhi gir gaya. Wave structure apna order upar bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke neeche hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke five waves ki growth structure bani hai, lagta hai ke paanchwi wave khatam ho gayi hai, pichle haftay ka maximum update hua aur kuch last month ke maximum se bhi aage gaya, yeh ek potential sales zone tha. Five waves poora cycle hain, plus MACD indicator par bearish divergence bani hui hai. Dusra CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche jaane ke liye tayar hai aur is par bhi chhoti bearish divergence bani hui hai. Plus, ghante par bhi MACD bearish divergence dikhata hai. Yaqeenan, paanchwi wave thodi anokhi hai, bohot lambi, hota hai. Main chah raha tha ke price maximum se aage jaaye. Agar aap first wave par target Fibonacci grid lagayen, to aap dekh sakte hain ke targets - levels 161.8 aur 200 workout hui hain. Har level se neeche correction hui, kyunki unke qareeb buy positions ka fixation tha. Aur price aur aage gayi, ab horizontal resistance level 1.0913 tak pohnch gayi aur ek false breakout kiya, jo ke khud mein sell signal hai. Signals ka set 1.0844 tak ke decrease ko dikhata hai, kam az kam, dekhte hain

EUR/USD PAIR REVIEW
Is hafte ke darmiyan se, EUR/USD ki qeemat ek tezi se upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur 1.0828 resistance level tak pohonch gayi hai, jo ke ek bullishe weekly close ka mauqa hai, khaaskar agar aaj ke US job numbers sab expectations se kam aaye. Reliable trading companies ki platforms ke mutabiq... Euro/Dollar ki qeemat aik mahine ke highest level par hai, jabke France mein voting ke risks ko kam samjha ja raha hai. Yeh currency pair ziada tar gains ko barqarar rakhte hue US jobs report ke intezar mein hai jo Friday ko aayegi aur France elections ke intezar mein hai jo Sunday ko hain, jo ke abhi bhi downside risk paish karte hain
Trades aur influence factors par tabsira karte hue, Convera ke analysts ne report diya: “Kal US dollar ne teen hafton mein apni sab se bari daily decline dekhi, Treasury yields 3-mahine ke lowest levels ke qareeb thi jabke stocks apni all-time highs ke qareeb thi. Aur kyun? …Ek series of weaker-than-expected US economic data, khaaskar services sector se – jo ke US economic growth ka engine hai, ne Fed ka case mazid mazboot kiya ke September mein interest rates cut karne ka aghaz karein.
Pehle round ke elections jo Sunday ko hue, uske baad 221 third-placed candidates ne race se withdraw kar liya taake Marine Le Pen ki National Rally party ko majority hasil karne se roka ja sake. 94 triathlons aur ek quad abhi bhi expected hain. Magar abhi bhi ek had tak uncertainty hai kyunke kai centrist voters ko far-left aur far-right options ke darmiyan choose karna parega, given ke kai centrists ne Emmanuel Macron ki party se withdraw kar liya. Ifop Institute ke latest opinion poll - jo mid-week release hui - ne yeh reveal kiya ke 37% French voters chahte hain ke National Rally party National Assembly mein absolute majority seats jeete. Yeh percentage pehle round mein unki votes se ziada hai (33.15%)
Berenberg Bank ke financial markets department ke head Arne Christian Rahner ne kaha: “Jo bhi nateeja ho, yeh wazeh hai ke France ko govern karna ziada mushkil hoga.” “Expectations due to the upcoming political change in direction in France abhi bhi euro ko headwinds ke sath threaten karti hain. Magar yeh worth noting hai: Ek election ke baad, uncertainty decrease hoti hai aur volatility decrease hoti hai – aksar regardless of the outcome
EUR/USD forecast today
Daily chart ke neeche wale performance ke mutabiq, euro ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein EUR/USD ne 1.0800 resistance ke upar move kiya, jo ek upar move karne ka mauqa deta hai, magar bulls ka move towards resistance levels 1.0875 aur 1.0930 confirm karne ke liye. Dusri taraf, isi time period mein, 1.0730 level ki taraf move bears ke control ko trend par return karne ke liye encourage karega. Hamein aaj US job numbers ke announcement aur France elections ke results se pehle cautiously move karna chahiye agle hafte ke trading ke shuru hone se pehle

Hello. Haan, kal Euro ke buyers ka din acha raha, unhone local maximum 1.07775 ke peechay gain kiya, aur ab continued growth ka target 1.08517 hai. Is direction mein move karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke 1.08161 ke kal ke maximum ko break through karen aur uske peechay gain karein. Abhi sellers ko active decline resume karne ke liye bohot mehnat karni hogi, qareebi strong level 1.07354 par hai, aur agar wo ise tod dete hain aur iske peechay gain kar lete hain, to unhe movement towards 1.07091 aur phir towards 1.06843 ki umeed ho sakti hai.

EURUSD M30 pair:

1 - Kal Euro ke sales ke entry point ka forecast 1.07861 par tha, price ne is level ko break through kiya, lekin actively gain karna possible nahi hua.

2 - Bands ki situation ko dekhte hue, price bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands ne narrow horizontal position le li hai. Is situation mein quality signal lene ke liye, humein upper ya lower band ke beyond active exit ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir evaluate karna chahiye ke bands outward open hote hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti.

3 - AO indicator abhi tak negative zone mein zero mark ko cross karne ke baad active acceleration form nahi kar raha, aur price fall ka signal lene ke liye, AO ka active acceleration dekhna zaroori hai. Reverse transition zero ke through aur positive area mein active growth price rise ka signal dega.

4 - Purchases ka entry point level 1.08052 par located ho sakta hai, price growth upon breakout aur consolidation se marks 1.08328 aur 1.08706 tak umeed ki ja sakti hai.

5 - Sales ko level 1.07861 par place kiya ja sakta hai, active breakout aur consolidation se price marks 1.07567 aur 1.07565 tak ja sakti hai.

## EUR/USD Analysis and Forecast
#### Current Market Situation

Abhi EUR/USD pair 1.0902 mark ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur is waqt bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh downtrend yeh batata hai ke Euro, US Dollar ke muqable kamzor ho raha hai. Iss trend ke peeche kai wajahein hain, jin mein economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shamil hain. Mukammal analysis dene ke liye, abhi ke economic landscape, technical indicators, aur EUR/USD pair ke possible future movements ko dekhna zaroori hai.

#### Economic Indicators aur Influences

1. **Eurozone Economic Performance:**
Eurozone ki economic health, EUR/USD exchange rate par bara asar dalti hai. Recent data yeh suggest karta hai ke Europe ke major economies mein economic growth slow ho rahi hai. Inflationary pressures, rising energy costs, aur supply chain disruptions ne post-pandemic recovery ko hinder kiya hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ek cautious approach apna raha hai, growth ko stimulate karne aur inflation ko control karne ke beech balance banane ki koshish kar raha hai. ECB ki policies mein koi bhi tabdeeli, jaise interest rate adjustments ya quantitative easing measures, Euro ki value ko affect kar sakti hain.

2. **US Economic Indicators:**
Doosri taraf, US economy resilience dikha rahi hai, strong labor market data aur robust consumer spending ke saath. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, USD ki strength mein critical role play karti hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne hint diya hai ke wo inflation se ladne ke liye interest rate hikes kar sakta hai, jo USD ko mazboot kar raha hai. Market participants keenly watch karte hain ke Fed ke future policy changes ke bare mein koi signals milen.

3. **Geopolitical Factors:**
Geopolitical events, jaise Ukraine mein tensions ya trade negotiations, bhi EUR/USD pair ko influence karte hain. Koi bhi escalation in conflicts ya trade disruptions forex market mein significant volatility cause kar sakte hain. Misaal ke tor par, Russia par sanctions Eurozone economy ko affect kar sakte hain due to its dependency on Russian energy.

#### Technical Analysis

1. **Support aur Resistance Levels:**
Current level 1.0902, EUR/USD pair ke liye crucial support level hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh further downward movement trigger kar sakta hai towards next support at 1.0850. Wapas se rebound hone par yeh pair resistance levels ko test kar sakta hai around 1.0950 aur 1.1000.

2. **Moving Averages:**
50-day aur 200-day moving averages, long-term trend ke bare mein insights dete hain. Abhi, EUR/USD pair dono averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek sustained bearish trend indicate karta hai. In moving averages ka crossover potential trend reversal signal kar sakta hai.

3. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
RSI indicator oversold territory mein hover kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek corrective bounce ke liye due ho sakta hai. Magar, RSI ko akela standalone indicator ke tor par use nahi karna chahiye. Dusre factors aur indicators ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai.

4. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels:**
Fibonacci retracement levels potential reversal points identify karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Recent high to low se Fibonacci retracement draw karte hue, key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 38.2%, 50%, aur 61.8% retracements, jo significant support aur resistance zones ke saath coincide karte hain.

#### Potential Future Movements

1. **Bullish Scenario:**
Agar Eurozone ki economic data improve hoti hai ya ECB ek hawkish stance adopt karta hai, toh Euro strengthen ho sakta hai, EUR/USD pair ko higher push karte hue. 1.1000 ke upar break hone se further gains ho sakte hain towards 1.1100 aur 1.1200 levels. Positive developments in geopolitical tensions ya trade relations bhi market sentiment ko boost kar sakte hain, jo Euro ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai.

2. **Bearish Scenario:**
Conversely, agar bearish trend persist karta hai, strong US economic data ya more aggressive Fed ke chalne par, EUR/USD pair apne downward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai. 1.0902 ke neeche break hone se further declines ho sakte hain towards 1.0850 aur potentially lower. Koi bhi escalation in geopolitical tensions ya negative economic news from Eurozone downward pressure ko exacerbate kar sakti hain.

3. **Volatility aur Market Sentiment:**
Market sentiment forex trading mein crucial role play karta hai. Traders ki risk aur global economic outlook ke bare mein perception sudden aur significant price movements cause kar sakti hai. Market sentiment ko news, economic releases, aur central bank statements ke through monitor karna essential hai for anticipating potential volatility.

#### Conclusion

Khulasa yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair abhi ek bearish trend mein hai, jo 1.0902 level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Economic landscape, technical indicators, aur market sentiment suggest karte hain ke pair ane walay dinon mein significant movements dekh sakta hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels, economic indicators from Eurozone aur US, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakain. Jab ke corrective bounce ka potential hai, overall trend bearish hi rehta hai jab tak Euro ke liye significant positive catalysts emerge nahi hote. Jaise hamesha, proper risk management aur ek well-thought-out trading strategy forex market mein navigate karne ke liye crucial hain.

**EUR/USD Pair Transitions to Bullish Trend: Key Levels to Watch**

EUR/USD currency pair ne recent mein sideways trend se bullish trend ki taraf transition dikhayi hai H4 chart par. Yeh shift traders ke liye crucial hai, kyunki yeh emerging upward momentum ka potential opportunity indicate karta hai. Abhi ke liye, price 1.0790 mark ke aas-paas move kar rahi hai, jo pair ke liye positive outlook indicate kar rahi hai.

Pichle hafta ke dauran, EUR/USD pair ne resilience dikhayi thi by bouncing off the 1.0670 support levels. Is bounce ne 100 SMA ke upar ek significant breakout lead kiya, jo ek confirmed buying opportunity signal kar raha tha. Bullish sentiment further reinforced ho rahi hai by MACD indicator, jo bhi ek clear buy signal dikhayi hai. In technical indicators ka combination strong bullish trend suggest karta hai.


100 SMA ki importance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta, kyunki is level ke upar break karna often market sentiment mein ek shift signify karta hai. Traders ne shayad is breakout ko note kiya hai, aur increased buying pressure evident hai. MACD indicator, jo apni reliability ke liye jana jata hai in confirming trends, adds further weight to the bullish scenario. In dono indicators ke align hone se, continued upward movement ki probability badh jaati hai. Agar current price action apni bullish trajectory maintain karta hai, toh next significant target chart par 1.0865 resistance level hai. Yeh level ek key area represent karta hai jahan traders ko selling pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai, lekin agar yeh breach ho jata hai, toh further gains ke liye raasta ban sakta hai.

Journey towards 1.0865 closely watched hogi, kyunki yeh current bullish trend ki strength determine karegi. Conclusion yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair strong signs dikhayi rahi hai ek bullish trend ke H4 chart par. Price abhi ke liye 1.0790 ke aas-paas hai aur positive indicators like 100 SMA aur MACD se supported hai, toh yeh robust potential hai ke price 1.0865 resistance level tak reach kar sakti hai.

3. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
RSI indicator oversold territory mein hover kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair ek corrective bounce ke liye due ho sakta hai. Magar, RSI ko akela standalone indicator ke tor par use nahi karna chahiye. Dusre factors aur indicators ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai.

4. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels:**
Fibonacci retracement levels potential reversal points identify karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Recent high to low se Fibonacci retracement draw karte hue, key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 38.2%, 50%, aur 61.8% retracements, jo significant support aur resistance zones ke saath coincide karte hain.

#### Potential Future Movements

1. **Bullish Scenario:**
Agar Eurozone ki economic data improve hoti hai ya ECB ek hawkish stance adopt karta hai, toh Euro strengthen ho sakta hai, EUR/USD pair ko higher push karte hue. 1.1000 ke upar break hone se further gains ho sakte hain towards 1.1100 aur 1.1200 levels. Positive developments in geopolitical tensions ya trade relations bhi market sentiment ko boost kar sakte hain, jo Euro ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai.

2. **Bearish Scenario:**
Conversely, agar bearish trend persist karta hai, strong US economic data ya more aggressive Fed ke chalne par, EUR/USD pair apne downward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai. 1.0902 ke neeche break hone se further declines ho sakte hain towards 1.0850 aur potentially lower. Koi bhi escalation in geopolitical tensions ya negative economic news from Eurozone downward pressure ko exacerbate kar sakti hain.

3. **Volatility aur Market Sentiment:**
Market sentiment forex trading mein crucial role play karta hai. Traders ki risk aur global economic outlook ke bare mein perception sudden aur significant price movements cause kar sakti hai. Market sentiment ko news, economic releases, aur central bank statements ke through monitor karna essential hai for anticipating potential volatility.

#### Conclusion

Khulasa yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair abhi ek bearish trend mein hai, jo 1.0902 level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Economic landscape, technical indicators, aur market sentiment suggest karte hain ke pair ane walay dinon mein significant movements dekh sakta hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels, economic indicators from Eurozone aur US, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakain. Jab ke corrective bounce ka potential hai, overall trend bearish hi rehta hai jab tak Euro ke liye significant positive catalysts emerge nahi hote. Jaise hamesha, proper risk management aur ek well-thought-out trading strategy forex market mein navigate

Iss waqt market price downward move kar rahi hai, support level ke qareeb aate hue, resistance level se retract karte hue aur trendline ke qareeb hai. Agar price 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche close karti hai, toh yeh prices ko wapas support levels ki taraf push kar sakti hai, jo market mein buying pressure ko barha sakti hai. Pehle ka high 1.0790 par suggest karta hai ke bullish trend ka potential continuation end of quarter tak ho sakta hai, aur further bullish movement is saal ke aakhri mein possible hai.

15-minute chart par, price ek decline show kar rahi hai jo trendline se influenced hai. Price ne trendline aur resistance level 1.0890 ko break kar diya hai, aur 60-day SMA ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Market indicators suggest karte hain ke price likely support level tak pohanch sakti hai, jo strong buying pressure ko indicate karta hai. Agar market price is support level ko break karti hai, toh yeh 1.0920 tak move kar sakti hai. Waqti tor par, agar price support level ke upar hold karti hai, toh yeh resistance level tak rise hone ke chances hain.

Ab tak, market price ek channel ke andar downtrend mein move kar rahi hai. Bullish price action ne is channel ko break kiya, ek flag pattern form karte hue. Is flag pattern se breakout ka matlab hai ke agla resistance level 1.0935 ki taraf ek potential rise ho sakta hai. Current conditions ko dekhte hue, maine 1.0860 ke support level par ek buy position enter kiya hai. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator 2 se upar move kar raha hai jo price increase ka expectation support karta hai. EUR/USD pair recent downtrend ke baad potential bullish reversal ke signs show kar raha hai. Traders ko resistance level 1.0868 ke upar breakout dekhna chahiye aur further confirmation ke liye CCI indicator ko monitor karna chahiye. Support level 1.0965 buying positions ke liye ek accha entry point provide karta hai, jahan se agle resistance level 1.093 ki taraf rise ki expectation hai.

**EUR/USD Price Recap**

Hum ab EUR/USD currency pair ki current behavior analysis discuss karenge. Abhi positions reverse karne ki jaldi nahi hai, kyunki ek critical market participant abhi bhi buying kar raha hai aur crowd ka over 60% selling kar raha hai. Yeh scenario rapidly shift hone ka imkaan nahi hai. Naye trading week ka start probably upward trend ke saath continue karega, jo remaining buyers ko remove kar dega.

Daily chart ko analyze karne se ek sideways wedge pehle se formed nazar aata hai jahan euro/dollar trade kar raha hai. Lower boundary se rebound hone ke baad, jo local minimum 1.0659 par tha, euro/dollar pair ne upward movement start kiya aur abhi tak incomplete wave form hui hai, kyunki price abhi wedge ki upper boundary ko nahi pohnchi. Isliye, 1.0659 ke level se, yeh advisable hai ke euro/dollar pair ko current levels se lekar resistance line tak buy kiya jaye, jo around 1.0959 ya 1.0969 par intersect kar rahi hai. Isliye, market opening se buy karna recommended hai.

Weekly chart ko dekh kar euro-dollar pair par ek reversal pattern visible hai. Small pin bar ke bawajood, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair previous levels tak rise kar sakti hai, jo around 1.0628 hain. Yeh isliye hai kyunki jab tak nayi inflation data release nahi hoti, pair is se zyada exceed nahi kar sakti, jo stagnation ke end ka indication de sakti hai.

Daily chart par, main predict karta hoon ke growth 1.0973 tak ho sakti hai, jo maximum level hai support 1.0668 pe return consider karne se pehle. Four-hour chart bhi ek range depict kar raha hai data release se pehle, jo potential movement out of stagnation indicate kar raha hai. Pair grey range mein revert ho gayi hai, jo suggest karta hai ke yeh opposite range boundaries ko reach kar sakti hai.

par, EUR/USD pair ne kaafi significant activity dikhayi hai, jahan buyers primary impulse jo ke 1.0500-1.0600 range se originate hoti hai, uska faida utha rahe hain. Yeh pehla upward movement market ke liye aik crucial tone set kar chuka hai, jahan primary resistance level first impulse zone ke upper border par hai, jo ke is waqt 1.0905 par stand karta hai.
Haal hi mein, EUR/USD ne aik bearish pullback dikhaya hai jo ke is impulse zone ke lower boundary, kareeb 1.0847 level par hai. Yeh retracement aik critical phase hai, kyunki yeh support level se naye growth attempts lead kar sakti hai. 1.0847 par lower boundary aik key support zone hai, jahan bullish traders buying opportunities dekh sakte hain taake upward momentum re-establish ho sake.
1.0903 par resistance level EUR/USD pair ke liye aik pivotal point hai. Agar bulls is level ke upar apni position firmly establish kar lete hain, toh yeh pair ke agle impulse zone ki taraf rise hone ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke 1.0926 aur 1.0953 ke darmiyan situated hai. Yeh zone current trading range ka upper echelon mark karta hai aur bullish momentum ke liye aik significant target represent karta hai.
Market participants keenly price action ko is resistance ke ird gird dekh rahe hain. Market ka 1.0926-1.0953 zone par reaction likely EUR/USD ke future trajectory ka major determinant hoga. Is zone ke upar aik successful breach mazeed gains ka raasta bana sakti hai, potentially pair ko naye highs par le ja sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar yeh resistance break karne mein failure hota hai, toh yeh consolidation phase ya even reversal indicate kar sakta hai, jisse pair phir lower support levels test karne lag sakta hai.
Iske ilawa, 1.0903 par resistance level market sentiment ke liye crucial hai. Agar 1.0903 par resistance break hoti hai magar phir false breakout sabit hoti hai, aur bears quotes ko 1.09275 se neeche push kar dete hain, toh yeh significant bearish signal indicate karega. Aisi scenario bullish attempts ko losing steam ki taraf indicate karegi, aur bears control regain kar lenge, jo ke further downside pressure lead kar sakta hai.
Abhi ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai aur confirmation dekhna zaroori hai pehle ke koi significant trading decisions lein. Key levels ke ird gird volume aur doosre technical indicators ko monitor karna movement ke strength aur potential reversals ke bare mein behtar insights dega. H4 chart par yeh support aur resistance levels ka interplay EUR/USD ke market dynamics ko samajhne ke liye aik detailed roadmap faraham karta hai.

EUR/USD H4 Time Frame Chart Analysis

Aaj hum phir se EUR/USD currency pair ka H4 period chart dekhenge. Yahaan par, wave structure ne apni sequence downwards form ki hai jab current wave ne ascending structure ko break kiya. MACD indicator already lower selling zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Iss se pehle, do ya teen wave structures ka development cycle upward form hua tha. Yeh complete cycle significant heights ke beyond exit ke sath khatam hua aur MACD indicator par standard parameters ke sath ek triple bearish divergence ke sath. Divergence already work kar chuka hai aur price pehle kuch neeche gaya, aur phir horizontal support level 1.0907 ko break kiya, aur neeche ki taraf ascending channel ko bhi break kiya jahan se price upar move kar raha tha.

Ab decline ka probability barh gaya hai. Decline hua, aur price support level 1.0844 tak pohanchi. Ab woh level se corrective rise develop karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur yeh work karega, aur CCI indicator lower overheating zone ke upar ja raha hai. Shayad price 1.0875 level tak rise ho, wahan par aap short-term sales ke formation ko dekh sakte hain within the day, jo ke mirror level hoga support ko resistance mein convert karte hue.

Aaj ki news yeh hai:

• 15:30 Moscow time: US mein number of building permits issued, US mein balance of foreign trade in goods, US mein inventories in retail trade excluding cars.
• 16:45: US mein manufacturing sector (PMI) mein business activity index, US mein overall business activity index (PMI) from S&P Global, US mein service sector mein business activity index (PMI).
• 17:00: US mein new homes ki sales.
• 17:30: US mein crude oil inventories.

Yeh news aur economic data releases market sentiment aur price movements par significant asar dal sakti hain. Traders ko technical levels ke saath-saath fundamental factors ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo EUR/USD pair ko influence kar sakti hain. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical events sab market sentiment ko influence karte hain aur significant price movements cause kar sakte hain. Therefore, technical analysis ke sath broader market context ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai taake EUR/USD pair ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

Price action ko closely observe karte hue aur technical indicators aur patterns se confirmation lete hue traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur is dynamic market environment mein apne risk ko achi tarah manage kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD D-1 Analysis

Hello colleagues! Kal main ne umeed ki thi ke pair pehle girega, aur phir 1.0840 se uthega. Asal mein, hum ne Merlin ballet ka pehla hissa mukammal kar liya hai. Ab main intezar kar raha hoon ke doosra hissa bhi mile. Ab tak, hum uthe nahi hain. Lekin sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke consolidation ke sath, wo 1.0840 se neeche nahi girenge. Baqi, hum market ko jaldi nahi karenge. Isay sans lene, sochne aur adjust hone ki zaroorat hai.
To, aaj ke daily chart par wave technique ke mutabiq kya dekha ja sakta hai?

- December se, main yahan aik inclined development channel draw kar raha hoon. Ab wo iski upper border - level 1.0840 tak gir rahe hain. Tehqiqat ke mutabiq, unhein ya to push out karke north jana chahiye, ya phir channel mein pull hona chahiye. Aur phir - sab kuch normal ho jayega.

- MA100 kareeb kareeb floor ke parallel space mein kaam kar raha hai, jo is haftay ke flat sentiment ka sign hai.

- MA18 bohot bullish act kar raha hai. Trend apni tape ko north ke taraf 30 degrees ke trend angle se khench raha hai - jo ke din ke currency par bullish sentiment ka sign hai.

- Nichimoku Kinko Hyo bhi bulls ke sath nazar aata hai: yeh bullish colors mein paint hua hai, aur forecasting point of view se pehle bears ki taraf mudi thi, phir bulls ki taraf wapas aayi. Yeh north ki taraf move kar raha hai, ek zyada pronounced trend ke sath.

- Lightweight Stochastic bearish divergence se neeche mudi aur oversold area se bahar aayi, jo sabit karta hai ke instrument rise ke liye tayar ho sakta hai.

- Rosa moving averages May se overbought area mein settle ho rahi hain.

- Dono MACDs mukhtalif configurations mein bullish wave par play kar rahe hain.

Ab tak, sab kuch northward rise ke trend mein hai.

News EUR/USD

Time Frame: H4

Assalam-o-Alaikum! H4 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers 1.09082 level tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yahan buying ka mauqa hai. Behtareen yeh hoga ke hum intezar karein jab tak H4 linear regression channel bhi north ki taraf move na kare. Is liye, main ehtiyaat se buying karunga. Main 1.08793 ke channel ke lower edge se buy kar raha hoon. Sales ko control mein rakhein, jo ke stability ke sath 1.08793 se neeche ja sakti hain. Agar yeh hota hai, to main buying rok dunga. Sales ke H4 trend ke sath continue rehne ka strong imkaan hai. Buyer sirf 1.09082 level discover karne ki koshish nahi karega, balke is ke upar merge karne ki bhi koshish karega taake trend ko apne haq mein reverse kar sake. Agar yeh kaamyaab hota hai, to purchasing ko continue rakha ja sakta hai.

Click image for larger version




H4 chart ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur yeh mere liye H4 se ziada ahem hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke downward movement strong hai, aur H4 chart ka signal yeh dikhata hai ke market mein ek strong buyer maujood hai. Humein intezar karna hoga jab tak price sahi jagah tak na pohanche aur wahan se selling ka dekhna hoga. Jahan main sales dekhunga, woh channel ka upper border 1.09082 hai, jahan se mujhe lower border tak sell karna hai jo ke 1.08492 tak hai. Target level breach hone par, hum mazeed decline expect kar sakte hain, magar ziada imkaan hai ke ek upper correction ke baad, kyunke ek downtrend develop ho raha hoga, aur bulls apni movement wapas lene ki koshish karenge. Agar bulls 1.09082 ka level cross kar lete hain, yeh bullish interest ka sign hai, kyunke sales unprofitable ban jati hain, is liye woh cancel ho jati hain aur market situation ko phir se assess kiya jata hai.

Trading Chart on EUR/USD H-4

Aaj ka din kafi pur sukoon raha hai, aur hum abhi tak isi maqam par qaim hain. Phir se hum EURUSD currency pair ka H4 chart dekhte hain. Wave structure ne downward pattern banana shuru kar diya hai, aur MACD indicator selling zone mein chala gaya hai, signal line se neeche dip kar gaya hai. Pehle, ek upward growth cycle tha jo do ya teen wave structures ke sath bana tha. Yeh poora cycle significant highs se breakout ke sath culminate hua aur MACD indicator par standard parameters ke sath teesri bearish divergence bani. Ab divergence ka asar nazar a raha hai, aur price pehle dheere dheere decline hui aur phir 1.0907 horizontal support level ko break kar gayi, jo ascending channel mein rise kar rahi thi. Iske natije mein, continued decline ka imkaan barh gaya hai.

Main anticipate karta hoon ke downward trend ka silsila jaari rahega, kyunke market ne kal kuch growth ke sath open kiya, jo 1.0907 horizontal resistance level ko nearly test kar raha tha, jo ab ek mirror level ban gaya hai upward movement ke edge par. Mojooda market conditions aik dilchasp scenario pesh karti hain. Chote periods zyada extreme fluctuations dikhate hain growth ke verge par. Interesting baat yeh hai ke price 1.0875 support level par stabilize ho gayi hai, jo aik potential accumulation zone ko suggest karti hai. Magar, meri analysis ke mutabiq, mazeed downward movement ka significant imkaan hai. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, ek bearish engulfing candlestick pattern form hui hai, jo continued decline ke imkaan ko mazid reinforce karti hai.

Main is waqt long positions enter karne ki sifarish nahi karta, kyunke koi bhi potential upward movement temporary ho sakta hai aur ziada profits generate karne ka imkaan nahi hai. Ek zyada prudent approach yeh hogi ke 1.0844 ke level par potential purchases ko consider kiya jaye. Aaj ke economic calendar mein 17:00 Moscow time par ek important event hai - United States mein secondary housing market sales ke data ka release