eur/usd

Is haftay ke trading ke aghaz par, euro ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein (EUR/USD) lagbhag 1.0885 ke level par stable rahi, jo pichle haftay ke highest level se neeche thi jo ke 1.094 dollars par resistance level tha. Euro/dollar ki qeemat neeche hi rahi chahe US dollar ki qeemat ghat gai thi US President Joe Biden ke faisle ke baad ke woh 2024 ke elections se dastbardar ho rahe hain. Investors ab iska asar financial markets aur global monetary policy par dekh rahe hain.

European Central Bank ne apni policy ko badla nahi hai, aur President Christine Lagarde ne kaha ke agli faisla 12 September ko "khula hua" hai. Is haftay, July ke liye Eurozone, Germany aur France ke preliminary PMI data release honge, jisme manufacturing mein slow contraction aur services sector mein expansion ki umeed hai. Iske ilawa, Eurozone mein consumer confidence February 2022 se apne highest level par pohanchne ki umeed hai. Germany mein GfK Consumer Climate Index aur Ifo Business Climate Index bhi behtar hone ki umeed hai.

Euro ki qeemat is haftay recover kar sakti hai jabke US politics, Eurozone PMIs aur US PCE inflation dominate karenge. Lekin, ek analyst warn karta hai ke recent decline iska matlab ho sakta hai ke euro/dollar exchange rate ek "bull trap" mein phans gaya hai aur mazeed kamzori ki warning deta hai. EUR/USD ke technical aspects mein jane se pehle, kuch important fundamental developments hain jo dekhne layak hain ab jabke US President Joe Biden ne November election se dastbardar hone ka elan kiya hai.

"Trump trade" – jo aksar US dollar ke liye supportive samjhi jati hai – Biden ke elan ke baad decline kar sakti hai. Unke ticket par replacement shayad Vice President Kamala Harris ho sakti hain, jinhon ne polls mein Trump ko harane ka zyada chance dikhaya hai. General taur par, koi bhi positive flows jo US dollar se linked hain aur Trump presidency ke umeed se hain, reverse ho sakti hain agar Trump ki jeet ke chances yahan se kam hote hain.

Dekhiye ke September aur saal ke end tak euro dollar ke muqable mein kaha ho sakta hai jahan par zyada se zyada 30 investment banks ka expect karte hain.




Neeche diye gaye daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, bulls abhi bhi zyada motivation dhundh rahe hain EUR/USD price ko psychological resistance 1.1000 ke taraf le jane ke liye, jo ke upward trend ke liye mazid taqat ke liye zaroori hai. Dusri taraf, isi time period mein, support levels 1.0820 aur 1.0765 current upward path ke liye threat bane rahenge. Aaj euro kisi important economic data ka intizar nahi kar raha, aur United States se, existing American home sales aur Richmond Industrial Index ki reading announce ki jayegi. Iske ilawa, central bank officials se koi bhi indications aur American elections ke course ko bhi dekha jayega.

Technical analysis of the EURUSD pair

4-hour chart

4-hour chart par ek naye bechne ki mauqa'at paida hue hain, ek haftay ke neeche girne wale trend ke baad. Is haftay mein, keemat ne price channels ke nichle kinare par aur haftay ke pivot level ke neeche trade shuru kiya, jo ek aise ilaqe ko darshata hai jahan keemat mein side movement hua jab tak ke channels ko neeche tootne mein kamyabi mili. Keemat tootne ke baad gir gayi aur haftay ke support level 1.0823 tak pohanchne ke baad, oopar ki taraf utha aur phir se channels ko dobara test kiya. Ab keemat girne ki ummeed hai aur umeed hai ke 1.0823 ke support ko toot kar 1.0776 ke level tak aur girne ka silsila jaari rahega.

Is liye, pair par ab bechne ki salah di jaati hai, kyunki maujooda level bechne ke liye munasib samjha ja raha hai, jahan par aapko stop loss 1.0853 ke level se oopar rakhna chahiye aur target 1.0776 ke level se oopar set karna chahiye.

Mehangai ke hawale se, traders aur investors European Central Bank ki aane waali mudra neeti jaanch par tawajjo se intezar kar rahe hain. Trading Economics ke data ke mutabiq, market tajziya hai ke ECB iss saal ke ant tak do martaba interest rates kam kar sakta hai, jin mein tabdeeliyan shayad September se shuru ho sakti hain. Is ke mutabiq, Vice President Luis de Guindos ne ECB ke neeche mudra arziyon par policy faislon ko guzishta September mein naye macroeconomic tajziyon ki ahmiyat par zor diya hai.

European Central Bank ne pichle haftay interest rates ko market ke umdeh raaiyon ke mutabiq jama rakha. Unki taraf se, President Christine Lagarde ne bayan kiya ke September ke liye mudra neeti par tabdeeliyon ki faisla khamosh hai aur aane wali maali data aur umeedon par munhasir hoga. Yeh ehtiyati taur par ECB ki taqatmandiyat ko darshata hai jo mawjudah maali surat-e-haal ke doraan data par munhasir faislon par zor dene ke liye tayyar hai.

EUR/USD jodi ne nichle dabaav ka samna kiya hai. EUR/USD pehle ek girte hue triangle mein trade kar rahi thi, jo ek chadhne wale pattern ko dikhata tha, jisse is chart pattern ki unchaai ek potential chadhne ko darshata hai. Keemat ek pehle se resistance level par gir gayi hai, jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq, agle upside targets pehchaane gaye hain, aur jodi ne doosre mansoobe level par 38.2% extension ko mehsoos kiya hai jo 1.0750 ke doosre psychological level se milta hai. Aur bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level par 1.0762 ya swing high 1.0775 ke saath milta hai jo 61.8% Fibonacci level se milta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur poora extension 1.0815 par hai.

Aam taur par, 100 SMA haal hi mein 200 SMA ke upar cross kar chuki hai, jisse yeh confirm hota hai ke rally kamzor hone ke bajaaye majboot ho rahi hai. Moving averages bhi triangle ke tootne ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko aur bhi mazbooti deta hai. Lekin Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur bechne ke dabav ki wapas hone ki sambhavna ko darshata hai. Oscillator mein abhi tak neeche jaane ke liye jagah hai jo seller fatigue ko darshane se pehle hai. Vipreet roop se, RSI overbought region tak pahunchne se pehle bhi upar jaane ki sambhavna hai, jo buyer fatigue ko darshata hai lekin yeh bhi darshata hai ke rally jaari reh sakti hai.

Is hafte ke ant mein, US non-farm payrolls report jaari ki jaayegi, jisme June ke liye kamzor rozgaar data ka prakaash hone ki ummeed hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to dollar aur bhi kamzor ho sakta hai jab traders sarkari monetary policy ko halka karne ki maang karenge. Kamzor moolbhoot data, jaise shram shakti bhagidari dar aur average gharelu vetan, dollar ke disha ko prabhavit kar sakte hain.

Agar EUR/USD agla support level 1.0752 ke aas paas pahunchta hai, to traders ko saavdhaan rehna chahiye. Yeh level ek mahatvapurn kshetra hai jise dekhna chahiye, kyun ki yadi yeh support level safal roop se tod jaaye, to aur neeche ki disha ka sanket ho sakta hai. Lekin agar jodi is support level ke upar rah paati hai, to yeh ek majbooti ya palatvaar ki nishaani ho sakti hai, jisme traders ko ek potential bounce ka fayda uthane ke liye taiyaar hona chahiye. Market conditions ke anusaar, stabilize hone ya palatvaar ke sanketon ka intezaar karna chahiye, jaise bullish candlestick patterns, badhti hui kharidne ki volume, ya aise ankitankit vittiyak data jo ek aage ki disha ki pushti kar sake.

Agar market conditions jari rahe to, EUR/USD jodi ke faayde consolidate ho sakte hain, aage ki mouke kholte hain. Neeche ki taraf, agar trading 1.0870 ke neeche sthir rahe, to jodi negative dabav ka samna kar sakti hai aur 1.0840 par mukhya support ko pareekshan kar sakti hai, jo abhi ke trading level ko darshata hai aur 23.60% Fibonacci retracement ko prastut karta hai. Neeche chart diya gaya hai: Vartaman mein jodi alag-alag dishaon mein trade kar rahi hai aur har hafte neeutral bani hui hai. Mukhya support areas ko abhi tak pareekshan nahi kiya gaya hai aur yeh sthirata ko darshata hai ki upar ki disha ko mazbooti milti hai. Lekin vartaman bearish prayatna darshata hai ki 1.0837 tak pahunchne ki uchit sambhavna hai, jo mukhya support area ke boundary hai. Agar yeh kshetra dobara pareekshan kiya jaye, to is par firse vichar karna padega.

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! Chaar ghantay ki chart per linear regression channel ne ek bearish state dikhai hai, jo sellers ki taqat ko zahir karta hai. Tareef karni hai southern direction ki taraf, jo keh raha hai keh channel ka lower edge 1.08269 per jaa sakta hai. Main soch raha hoon keh selling karoon 1.08541 level se, jo keh bulls ke khilaaf rukawat daal sakta hai; warna chances hain keh mazeed correction 1.08594 level ki taraf tezi se barh sakti hain. Jab maqsad hasil ho jaye, to selling ke liye intezar karna chahiye, kyun keh H4 movements mein volatility exhaust ho jaye gi aur reverse upward movement ho sakta hai. Is case mein, stops ko neechay set karna behtar hoga. Market mein dakhil hone se pehle pullback ka intezar karna munasib hoga, jo keh channel ke signals ko process karne ke baad cost ko significantly kam kar dega.

Chalte hain H4 period ki taraf, jahan linear regression channel intraday trading ke asset ki main movement ko identify karta hai. H4 channel situation ko clarify, correct aur supplement karta hai. Market 1.08403 per trading ho raha hai, jo keh H4 channel ke upper edge se neechay aur H4 level ke neeche hai. Main is situation ko bearish classify karta hoon. Dono channels ke through indicate kiye gaye complex buying aur selling possibilities knives ki tarah hain, jahan aap gir sakte hain aur nuqsan utha sakte hain. Agar bulls 1.08541 ke upar consolidate karte hain, to selling ko H4 channel ke top se 1.08594 per complete ya consider karna mumkin hoga. Current trading session ke liye doosra negative target 1.08176 hai. Aap current situation ko try kar sakte hain pending orders ke through trend continuation ke liye moving average ke neeche aur trend continuation ke liye moving average ke upar north, jabke stop orders aur risk management ko follow karte hue. Mujhe bharosa hai keh aisi situation ka hal mumkin hai. Ab hum average price range ke moving average per pohanch chuke hain, aur ab decisive moment aayega jahan hum decide karenge keh hamara currency pair agay kis taraf jayega.

EUR/USD currency pair

EUR/USD currency pair abhi 1.2909 par trade kar raha hai aur recent dino mein bearish trend mein raha hai. Lekin kuch indications hain ke ek significant movement aasakta hai. Ye potential shift momentum ka combination technical indicators, economic data releases, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se ho sakta hai.

Technical Indicators

Kuch technical indicators ye suggest kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD reversal ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai ya phir kam se kam apne current bearish trend se significant movement de sakta hai. Ek important indicator jo dekhna hai wo hai Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai. EUR/USD ka RSI oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke aam tor par 30 ke niche hota hai. Ye indicate karta hai ke pair undervalued ho sakta hai aur rebound ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai.



Ek aur aham technical indicator hai Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Ye trend-following momentum indicator currency pair ke price ke do moving averages ke darmiyan ke taluq ko dikhata hai. Ab MACD convergence ke signs dikhata hai, jo bearish se bullish momentum mein badlaw ka signal ho sakta hai. Saath hi, histogram jo MACD line aur signal line ke darmiyan ka difference dikhata hai, woh narrow ho raha hai, jo bearish momentum ke kam hone ko suggest karta hai.

Support aur resistance levels bhi potential price movements samajhne mein crucial hote hain. EUR/USD ab ek significant support level ke qareeb hai jo 1.2900 ke aas-paas hai. Agar ye level barkarar rehta hai, toh ye ek strong base ban sakta hai upward move ke liye. Agar ye support level break ho jata hai, toh next support level jo 1.2800 ke aas-paas hai, wo critical hoga aur further declines ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Economic Data Releases

Eurozone aur United States se aane wale economic data EUR/USD currency pair par significant impact daal sakte hain. Key data jise dekhna chahiye, usmein inflation rates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, employment figures, aur central bank announcements shamil hain.

Eurozone mein recent data mixed economic performance ko show karta hai, kuch countries mein growth strong hai jabke dusri jagah slow hai. Germany, jo Eurozone ka sabse bada economy hai, usme slowing industrial production ke signs hain jo euro ko impact kar sakte hain. Conversely, France aur Spain mein zyada robust economic data aaya hai jo currency ko support provide kar sakta hai.

United States mein economic data relatively strong raha hai, khaaskar labor market mein, jahan unemployment rates low hain aur job creation steady hai. Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions bhi critical hain, jo inflation aur employment data se influenced hain. Rate hikes ya cuts ke hints currency pair mein significant volatility laa sakte hain. Ab market closely dekh rahi hai Fed ke stance mein kisi bhi shift ke signs ko, jo volatility ko increase kar sakta hai.

Geopolitical Developments

Geopolitical developments bhi EUR/USD exchange rate mein crucial role play kar sakti hain. Elections, trade negotiations, aur international conflicts jaise events currency markets mein uncertainty aur volatility increase kar sakte hain.

For example, United States aur uske trading partners ke darmiyan ongoing trade negotiations USD ko impact kar sakti hain. In negotiations mein progress ya setbacks ke signs currency pair mein fluctuations laa sakte hain. Saath hi, Eurozone mein political instability, jaise Brexit ya member countries mein upcoming elections, euro ko weigh kar sakti hain.

Conclusion mein, jab ke EUR/USD ab bearish trend mein hai, lekin technical indicators, economic data releases, aur geopolitical developments ka combination ye suggest karta hai ke ek significant movement aane wala hai. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake currency pair ke momentum mein potential shifts ko samajh saken.

Sabko aaj ka din mubarak ho! Char ghantay ka chart ek linear regression channel dikha raha hai jo bearish halat mein hai, jis sey sellers ki taqat zahir ho rahi hai. Tercih janoobi rukh ki taraf hai, jo channel ke neechey 1.08269 level par ja raha hai. Mere zehan mein hai ke main 1.08541 level se bechnay ka soch raha hoon, jo ke bullon se rok sakta hai; warna, gehray islah ki imkaanat tezi sey barh jayengi 1.08594 level tak. Maqsad pura hone ke baad, bechnay ka intezaar karna chahiye, kyun ke H4 movements mein volatility khatam hone se ulta seedha rukh ho sakta hai. Is halat mein, aap neechay stops set kar sakte hain. Behtar hoga ke aap market mein dakhil hone se pehle pullback ka intezaar karen, jo channel ke upper border tak hone se kharchon ko kafi kam kar sakta hai signals ke baghair.

Chalte hain H4 time frame par, jahan linear regression channel rozana ki trading ke mukhtasarat rukh ko pehchan leta hai. H4 channel asal rukh ko saaf karta hai, durust karta hai, aur mukammal karta hai. Dono channels ke zariye market ki surat-e-haal ka andaza lagaya jata hai. Market 1.08403 par trading kar raha hai, jo H4 channel ke upper edge aur H4 level ke neechey hai. Mein is surat-e-haal ko bearish tasawwur karta hoon. Dono channels ke zariye dikhayi dene wali khareed o farokht ke mawasalat knives ki tarah hain, jahan aap takalluf aur nuqsan ka shikar ho sakte hain. Agar bull 1.08541 ke upar jamatay, toh 1.08594 se H4 channel ke top se bechnay ka socha ja sakta hai. Mojooda trading session ke liye doosra manfi maqsad 1.08176 hai. Aap trend continuation ke liye maujooda halat ko pending orders ke sath try kar sakte hain, jahan moving average ke neechey trend continuation ke liye aur moving average ke upar uttar ke liye stop orders aur risk management ke sath set kiye jate hain. Mein poora bharosa rakhta hoon ke is tarah ki surat-e-haal hal ho sakti hai. Ab hum average price range ke moving average tak pohanch chuke hain, aur ek faisla hone wala hai ke humare currency pair agle rukh mein kahan jaega.

Forex trading mein, jahan EUR/USD pair aik active tarah se trade hone wala currency pair hai, samajhna keh mukhtalif fundamental factors ke sath technical analysis ki ahmiyat ko samajhna trading strategies develop karnay ke liye zaroori hai. Jab technical analysis historical price movements aur patterns par focus karta hai, to fundamental analysis broad economic aur geopolitical factors par ghaur karta hai jo market sentiment ko affect karte hain aur currency valuations par asar daalte hain.

Central bank policies, jaise ke European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke faislay, in fundamental factors mein sab se ahmiyat rakhte hain. In institutions ke decisions interest rates, monetary stimulus programs, aur forward guidance ke baray mein jo liye jaate hain, EUR/USD exchange rate par gehrayi asar daal sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar ECB interest rates cut karne ya quantitative easing measures increase karne ka signal deta hai, to euro dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai, jis se EUR/USD pair gir sakta hai. Umdaharatan, agar interest rates hike ya monetary policies ko tight karne ki soorat mein ho, to euro dollar ke muqablay mein mazbooti aa sakti hai.

Economic data releases bhi forex trading mein kirdar ada karte hain, jo market expectations aur investor sentiment ko influence karte hain. GDP growth rates, employment figures, inflation rates, aur retail sales data jaise key economic indicators se ek economy ki health ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Eurozone se strong economic data jo United States se better ho, euro ke appreciation ki expectations ko barha sakti hai dollar ke muqablay mein, jabke kamzor economic data opposite effect daal sakta hai.

Geopolitical events bhi forex markets par asar dalte hain. Elections, geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, aur geopolitical instability jaise events currency prices ko significantly impact kar sakte hain. Maslan, Eurozone ke andar political uncertainty ya US foreign policy mein unexpected changes, EUR/USD pair mein volatility ko barha sakte hain jab traders risk ko reassess karte hain aur apni positions ko adjust karte hain.

Fundamental analysis ko technical analysis ke sath mila kar traders ko market conditions ki comprehensive view dene mein madad milti hai, jisse woh well-informed trading decisions le sakte hain. Maslan, agar ek trader technical analysis se bullish pattern EUR/USD chart par identify karta hai, to trade execute karne se pehle upcoming ECB ya Fed policy announcements ya economic releases ko consider karna zaroori hai jo technical setup ko invalidate kar sakte hain ya uski success probability ko enhance kar sakte hain.

Risk management fundamental factors ko trading strategies mein shamil karte waqt bohat zaroori hai. Unexpected announcements ya geopolitical events market mein tezi se price movements ko laa sakte hain, is liye stop-loss orders set karna aur market volatility ke liye tayar rehna ahmiyat rakhta hai.

Akhri tor par, jabke technical analysis price trends aur patterns ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai, traders ko fundamental factors jaise central bank policies, economic data releases, aur geopolitical events ke asar ko bhi ignore nahi karna chahiye, khas tor par EUR/USD pair ke liye. Traders jo forex markets ke complexities ko samajhte hain aur technical aur fundamental analysis ko integrate karte hain, unka trading performance behtar ho sakta hai.

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EUR/USD currency pair ne recently sideways trend se bullish trajectory mein shift kiya hai H4 chart par, jo traders ke liye ek promising opportunity present kar raha hai. Abhi 1.0790 mark ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, pair ka upward movement market participants ke beech optimism signal kar raha hai. Pichle hafte, EUR/USD ne 1.0670 ke near support levels se rebound karte hue resilience show kiya, aur 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar breakout kiya. Yeh breakout na sirf ek buying opportunity ko affirm karta hai balki renewed market sentiment ko bhi underscore karta hai jo euro ke favor mein hai.
Is bullish outlook ko support karte hue Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ne ek clear buy signal generate kiya hai. In technical indicators ka convergence strongly suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD near term mein sustained upward momentum show kar sakta hai.
100 SMA ko breach karne ki significance ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye, kyunki yeh aksar market dynamics mein ek pivotal shift mark karta hai. Traders is development ka note le sakte hain, jo potentially buying activity ko amplify kar sakta hai. MACD ka trends confirm karna further current bullish scenario mein confidence ko bolster karta hai. In indicators ke align hone ke saath, yeh confidence increase hota hai ke pair apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai.
Agar current bullish momentum persist karta hai, to agla notable resistance level jo dekhna chahiye wo 1.0865 ke aas paas hai. Yeh level historically ek significant area represent karta hai jahan selling interest emerge ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar 1.0865 ke upar ek decisive breach hota hai to yeh further gains ke liye doors open kar sakta hai, potentially ongoing bullish trend ko validate aur strengthen kar sakta hai.
EUR/USD pair mein bearish move ka potential hai. Eurozone data ki kami pair ke upside potential ko limit kar rahi hai. Agar 1.0750 ke upar rally fail hoti hai, to yeh sell scenario ko justify kar sakti hai, jiska result channel ke middle at 1.0590 ki taraf move hoga. Range ka breakout aur reverse test additional pressure create kar sakti hai euro par, aur dusra sell signal de sakti hai. Bears pullback ke baad 1.0635 par retreat kar sakte hain, lekin agar yeh range ke neeche fix hota hai, to aur zyada downside 1.0675 area tak ja sakti hai.
EUR/USD pair weak lekin steady bullish correction se guzar raha hai broader downtrend ke against pichle ek mahine se. Since Federal Reserve rate cut ke expectations 2024 mein significantly decrease hui hain, aur ECB tayar hai ke rates ko sirf do hafton mein lower kare, hum believe karte hain ke US currency medium term mein rise karni chahiye. Hum ab bhi expect karte hain ke price ascending channel ke niche consolidate kare taake downtrend resume ho sake. Lekin, aisa lagta hai ke market dollar ko buy karne ke liye tayar nahi hai aur generally trade karne ke liye bhi tayar nahi hai. Euro bas har roz thoda upar jaata hai ya phir wahi pe khada rehta hai.

EUR/USD PAIR REVIEW EUR/USD ne pichlay Jumay ko paanch haftay ki bulandee ko chooa, lekin aglay paanch dino mein ek mustaqil pullback ka imkaan hai. Euro/Dollar ke munafe Kamyabi ke sath is aham hafta mein trading ke aghaz par 1.0920 ki resistance level ko pohoch gaya, aur ab nigahain 1.1000 ki psychological resistance par hain. Yeh tab mumkin ho sakta hai agar European Central Bank ka leja is hafte sakht raha.

EUR/USD ke haal ke munafe US dollar ki kamzori ke waja se aye hain, jo US Consumer Price Index report ke pasmanzar mein aayi thi jo ummed se kam thi, jis ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke liye September mein umeed ko barhawa diya. Is kay mutabiq, European stocks aur bonds barhnay lage jab ke investors ne is khabar par khushi manayi. Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... Euro ke exchange rate ne US dollar ke muqable mein Jumay ko 1.0911 ko chu liya, jo ke 4 June ko record ki gai peak 1.0916 se thori kam hai. Yeh pair naye hafta ka aghaz 1.0887 par kiya, aur hum sochte hain ke kya yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke 1.0916 ek near-term resistance point ban gaya hai jo bulls ko paar karna hoga.

Is hafte, euro ka bara imtihan aglay Jumay ko dopahar mein aye ga jab European Central Bank apna aakhri policy faisla kare ga. Interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi, lekin markets yeh janana chahain gi ke kya bank September mein rates phir se kam kare ga. Agar ECB aisa ishara deta hai, to euro ki keemat dabao mein aa sakti hai.

Lekin, bank se umeed hai ke yeh ek data-driven approach rakhe ga, yani yeh apni guidance ko qadray ghair paband rakhe ga. Analysts ke mutabiq, “market ka focus July ke European Central Bank ke monetary policy meeting ke nataij par hoga.” Is se pehle, hum ne kai Board members se suna jo bank ki data-driven monetary policy par zor de rahe the. “In officials ne yeh bhi tajwez di ke September ka policy meeting, July ke muqable mein, bank ke interest rate outlook ke liye zyada aham ho sakta hai,” unhone izafa kiya. Nateeja yeh hai ke hum aur markets ECB ki guidance mein kisi badi tabdeeli ki umeed nahi rakhte.”

Lekin, EUR/USD ki performance dollar ki jari kamzori ko dikhati hai, yeh khushasi se zyada euro ke liye. Hum note karte hain ke US dollar ki keemat aakhri dinon mein dabao mein rahi hai jab ke investors ne yeh mutmaen ho gaya ke Federal Reserve September mein pehli baar interest rates ko kam kare ga.

Aitmaad ko mazid mazbooti mili inflation data ke girawat ke baad jo US Consumer Price Index mein aayi thi pichle hafte. Trading platforms ke mutabiq, euro ne dollar ke muqable mein (EUR/USD) 1.09 ke figure ko tor diya US CPI inflation ke baad, jo June mein mahinay dar mahinay -0.1% record hui, May ke 0% aur 0.1% ke umeed se kam thi. Overall, money market pricing dikhati hai ke September Fed rate cut ke prospects ab taqreeban yaqeenan hain jab ke headline inflation 3.0% saal dar saal gir gayi 3.3% se, jo 3.1% ke umeed

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Jaise hi price ne haftawar level 1.0850 ke neeche trade karna shuru kiya hai uske baad kal ke neeche ki taraf le jaane wale wave ke baad, jodi ki keemat bearish price channels ke andar trade karna shuru ho rahi hai jab US dollar ke liye positive khabar aayi. Price ne ek sideways direction mein movement kiya hai thoda sa liquidity ke saath aur 1.0880 ke neeche, jo price ke liye mazboot resistance hai. Is natije mein, aaj ke din price do tariko se move ho sakta hai. Jab price sabse zyada price, yaani 1.0810 ko tode aur ek 1-hour candle ke upar close kare, tab hum ise ek upward corrective wave maan sakte hain. Agar price gire aur aaj ke din ka sabse kam trading price tod diya jaye, toh downside trend jaari reh sakta hai. Ab tak, downside scenario ko sabse zyada possible maana gaya hai. Kal ke price decline ke mutabiq, aaj ke din ke price ka general trend bearish hai. Shuru mein, thoda sa upar ki taraf correction ho sakta tha phir gire hue levels par laut aaya.

Ab tak, price sideways movement mein hai bina kisi upward correction ke aur haftawar level 1.0790 ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Khaas taur par jab price ne haftawar level ko toda aur ab iske neeche trade ho raha hai. Is tarah, pair ko abhi ke level se bechne ki salah di ja sakti hai, jo ki aas paas ke waqt mein haftawar support level 1.0765 tak pahunch sakta hai. Is pair ko bechne ki salah aapke trading decisions par aapka bharosa mazboot karne mein madad karti hai. Yeh salah di jaati hai ki aap aaj ke sabse zyada trading price ke upar ek stop loss rakhain. Jab unche points ko toda gaya, price apni uchayiyon mein laut gaya, jisse ek correction ka shuru hone ka ishaara hai jo aane waale dinon mein 1.0855 ke level tak pahunch sakta hai.

EUR/USD Price Patterns

Ab discussion EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke rawaiye par tawajjo mabham hai. Sirf aik ahem tajziya hai ke digital currencies, jin mein USD shamil hai, Federal Reserve ke nigrani mein hon ge. Digital currencies ki haqeeqat agle saal wazeh ho gi jab system puri tarah se qaaim ho ga aur us ke functions mukammal ho jaen ge. Digital currency blocking ka khayal mumkin hai; chand dafa blocks ho sakte hain lekin ye kisi bari masla ki taraf nahin jaen ge. Ham umeed karte hain ke digital paisa dhire dhire fiat currencies ke badle lay len ge, kuch saal tak saath rehne ke baad jab digital options dominate kar len ge. Market aaj mukhalif trend ke saath band ho sakta hai, lekin kal aik musbat tabdeeli a sakti hai. Main din ke doran 1.0906 tak pohanchne ka tajurba rakh raha hoon, jo ke aik munasib izafa maqsood hai, is ke baad bull ka correction mumkin hai.

Lekin agar neeche ki taraf trend qaim ho jaye, to hamen 1.0843 par bearish mark dekhna chahiye aur shayad 1.0775 ki taraf rawana hona bhi mumkin hai. Aam tor par rukh zahir ho raha hai, lekin market ki tasurat hamesha mumkin hain, khas tor par ane wale khabron ke sath. Seller's candle ne daily time frame ki tafteesh se buyer's zone tak pohanch gaya hai. Is se yeh ishara hota hai ke ya to aaj raat ya kal hum bullish activity dekh sakte hain. Agar bears din ke ikhtitam tak volume nahi deta, to seller's candle kamzor samjha jayega, jis mein moziyat current trend ko sambhalne ke liye kamzor raftar hai. Main jald bazi se faislay se bachne ke liye ishtirak se inkar karta hoon, lekin bullish movement kal taqat hasil kar sakti hai. 15-minute chart par halka sa rebound dekha gaya hai aur market ya to aik local maximum ki taraf ja sakta hai ya candle body buyer's zone mein dakhil ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD Ke Qeemat Ke Rujhan

Majlis-e-Mubahisah ab EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemat ke rawaiye ka jaiza par mushtamil hai. Sirf numainda taraqqi yeh hai ke digital currencies, jin mein USD shamil hai lekin is se mehdood nahi, Federal Reserve ke qabu mein hongi. Digital currencies ke asli istemal ka imkan aam taqreban aik saal ke baad zahir ho ga, jab ke is ke amal ke istemal ke istamal honge. Digital currency blocking ka tasawwur mumkin hai; jabke kabhi kabhi blocks ho sakte hain, woh aik numaya masla nahi hon ge. Hum umeed karte hain ke digital paisay asli currencies ko dheere dheere se badal de ge, kuch saalon ke liye sath rehne se pehle digital options sar kadmi kar le ge. Market aaj mukammal ho sakta hai aaj bearish trend ke saath, lekin kal achi tabdeeli le a sakta hai. Mein umeed karta hoon ke din ke doran 1.0906 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke aik samajhdar izafa nishana hoga, jis ke baad bull ke correction ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar ek neeche ki taraf rawaiyat qaim ho jaye, to humein 1.0843 par bearish mark aur shayad 1.0775 ke qareeb neechay jaane ka jawaab dena chahiye. Ummeed hai ke bar-e-muhasra raah hai, halan ke bazaar ke harani waale sorate hal hamesha mumkin hain, khaas tor par agami khabron ke saath. Seller's candle ne daily time frame ko dekh kar buyer's zone tak pahunch gaya hai. Yeh ishara karta hai ke ya to aaj raat ko ya kal hum bullish harkat dekh sakte hain. Agar bearish ne din ke ikhtitam tak volume na push karen, to seller's candle kamzor qarar diya ja sakta hai, jis mein mojood rawani se is waqt ki rujhan ki madad nahi ki ja sakti. Main kisi ko bhoolne se bachne ke liye jaldi faislay se bhi bachi rahon ga, lekin kal ko bullish movement mazeed taqat hasil kar sakti hai. 15-minute chart par humne thora sa rujhan dekha hai, aur bazaar ya to ek maqami ziada pohnch sakte hain ya candle body buyer's zone mein daakhil ho sakte hain.

Hamari guftagu ab EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ki tashreeh par mabni hai. Aaj, meri strategy yeh thi ke 1.0851 level par palat ke liye intezar karun, lekin qeemat 5 points ke tajawuz se nichayi ki taraf gayi. Is ke bawajood, humein aik level tak pohanch gaye hain jo mein tawaqo nahi kar raha tha. Is waqt yahan par hain, sochne ke liye ke khareedna. Agla qadam yeh hai ke bullish signal ka intezar karna hai ke kaise American session khelte hain, jo ke ahem hai. Hum ne pehle se hi 1.0897 mark ko hit kar liya hai, jahan neeche ki taraf josh taazi kam hosakti hai. Lekin, H1 abhi tak bullish move ko signal nahi kar raha hai, to hum umeed karte hain ke hum 1.0897 se zigzag girawat dekhein. Agar hum 1.0897 tak pohanchte hain, to iska matlab hai ke correction phase nazdeek aa raha hai, jo ke 1.0911 aur 1.0941 qeemat levels ki taraf hamain le ja sakta hai.

Hum ne local highs ke bina girawat ka samna kiya hai, jo ke mazeed impulse move se pehle mukammal ikhtraq ki alamat hai. Tehqeeqi impulse ne neeche ki taraf ja raha tha, jo ke sellers ke liye classic setup hai. Hum ne 1.0841 tak pohanch liya hai, aur chahe woh pullback ke zariye ho ya seedha, maqsad 1.0821 hai. 1.0841 ko toorna ahem hoga, haan lekin yeh level jismani tor par ho sakta hai. Agar 1.0821 par ghalat tor par tootai, to mein khareedne ka tawazo karunga ke 1.0841 ke ooper position mehfooz ho. Jumeraat tak, 1.0821 ko kal dobara imtehan dia jayega aur 1.0841 ke ooper rukh par kiya jayega. Ahem maqasid 1.0841 aur 1.0821 hain. Khareedne ke trades ko 1.0841 ke ooper mehfooz karne ke baad, bechna mukammal samjha jayega. Kal USA se aane wale khabron ke din hain, is liye aggressive harkatein mumkin hain, aur ehtiyati tajarbat ke tareeqe bhi mumkin hain.

Pair abhi bhi 1.0825 aur 1.0850 ke darmiyan range mein hai. Ye abhi upper boundary ki taraf barh raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yahan se ek upside break ho sakta hai. Lekin, do nearby resistances hain jo overcome karna mushkil hoga. Is liye, main kisi strong movement ki umeed nahi kar raha.
Main zyada tar is baat par inclined hoon ke pair southern direction mein bounce karega. Ye behtar hoga agar reversal pattern banne ke baad trades open kiye jayein.

Phir bhi, dollar ke positive news ko price mein shamil hona shuru ho jaana chahiye. Qareebi future mein, greenback ki strengthening ke scenarios par hi stick karna behtar hoga.

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Pair abhi tak 1.0825 aur 1.0850 ke darmiyan hi range kar raha hai. Filhal ye upper boundary ki taraf barh raha hai, jo ke ek significant point hai. Agar hum technical analysis dekhein, to yahan se ek upside break ke chances hain. Lekin, humein yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke do qareebi resistances hain jo pair ko aage barhne se rok sakte hain. In resistances ko overcome karna aasaan nahi hoga, isliye main kisi bara movement ki umeed nahi kar raha.

Main zyada yeh anticipate kar raha hoon ke pair southern direction mein bounce karega. Yeh behtar hoga agar reversal pattern banne ke baad hi trades open ki jayein. Is tarah se hum apne risk ko minimize kar sakte hain aur potential losses se bacha sakte hain.

Dollars ke positive news ko bhi dheere dheere price mein shamil hona shuru ho jaana chahiye. Economic indicators aur US ke monetary policy ke developments ko madde nazar rakhte hue, greenback ke mazid strength ke scenarios par hi stick karna behtar hoga. Yeh strategy na sirf short-term, balki medium-term ke liye bhi effective sabit ho sakti hai.

Is waqt market mein uncertainty aur volatility zyada hai. Aise mein humein apni trading strategy mein sabr aur hosla rakhna chahiye. Technical analysis aur fundamental indicators dono ka ghor se mutaala karte hue, humein apni trades open karni chahiye. Har move ko sahi tariqe se assess karna aur logical approach ko adopt karna zaroori hai. Is tarah se hum behtar decisions le sakte hain aur apne investments ko protect kar sakte hain.

Mujhe aap ke saath apne trading levels share karne mein khushi mehsoos ho rahi hai jinke sath main is waqt kaam kar raha hoon. Pehli baat yeh hai ke main 1.0834 ke level par selling position open karne ka soch raha hoon. Yeh level mujhe EURUSD pair ne signal ke zariye diya hai, aur yeh signal 1-hour timeframe par clear hai. Screenshot mein aap dekh sakte hain ke kaise yeh level identify kiya gaya hai.

Ab agar market situation badalti hai aur bade players mere direction mein nahi jate, toh hamara stop loss 1.0846 par hit ho jayega. Lekin agar market waisa hi rehta hai, toh hum apni position ko partial close karenge jab price 1.0822 par pohnchti hai. Yeh ek precautionary measure hai jo humein potential losses se bacha sakta hai aur profits ko secure karne mein madadgar hai.

Agle step mein, jab price 1.0810 par pohnchti hai, hum apne profit ka ek aur hissa secure karenge. Yeh level bhi important hai kyun ke yahan se market ki further movement ka andaza lagana asaan hoga. Phir, hum apne remaining profit ko chalne denge aur ise 1.0798 par close karne ki koshish karenge. Yeh ultimate target hai jo humein maximum profit de sakta hai.

Taake humara profit loss mein na badal jaye, har fixation ke baad hum apne stop orders ko trail karenge. Yeh ek strategic approach hai jo market ki volatility ko manage karne mein madad karti hai. Har step pe apne stop loss ko adjust karte hue, hum apne risk ko effectively manage kar sakte hain.

Is tarah ki detailed planning aur risk management strategies ko adopt karna trading mein success ke liye zaroori hai. Hamesha market ke trends aur movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apne trading decisions ko usi hisaab se adjust karna chahiye. Mujhe umeed hai ke aapko yeh trading plan useful lagega aur aap apni strategies ko behtar banane ke liye isse use karenge.