eur/usd

EUR-USD H1 TAJZIYA CHART
Aaj EURUSD currency pair ki trading ke liye tajziya. Haqiqi price movement aur resistance aur support levels ko dekhne ke baad, aaj sirf khareedari (purchases) mein trade karne ka faisla hua. Price growth ka aakhri target upper resistance level 1.08661 hai. Saari positions ko wahan puri tarah fix kiya jayega. Aaj ke khareedari ke liye aap nearest support level 1.08014 use kar sakte hain. Magar yeh utna result nahi dega jitna zyada promising levels se trading karne par mil sakta hai. Main ne dusra support level 1.07989 chuna hai. Yeh option mujhe zyada interesting lagta hai. Stop loss har surat mein (regardless of the level of opening a long position) same rahega aur yeh 1.07964 par hoga. Priorities set ho chuki hain, levels determine kar diye gaye hain, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh scenario implement ho ga. Ek naya trading week shuru ho gaya hai. Movement se dikhaya gaya quotes ke mutabiq, European currency ki value 1.0800–1.0842 ke narrow range mein fix ho gayi hai. Week ek chhote gap ke sath shuru hua, jo ke waqai mein pehle hi worked out ho chuka hai. Short-term trading mein movement ka general trend buyers ke haq mein hai. H1 par, buyers apni positions ko 1.0800 level ke upar diligently hold kar rahe hain. Agle expected targets 1.0842 aur 1.0858 hain. Jaisay hi hum in values ke upar nikal jate hain, hum 9th figure ke baad further move karte hain. Euro bechne ke liye, mere signals support level 1.0780 ke neeche draw kiye gaye hain. Agar quotes in values ke neeche chale jate hain, toh nayi wave of decline ke high probability hai. Aur euro ki value ke 1.0735 ke neeche mazid strengthen hone par, downward trend ke continuation ka sign ho ga.

EUR/USD currency pair ne H4 chart par aik sideways channel banaya hai, jo aik consolidation period ko zahir karta hai. Agar price local maximum 1.0769 ko cross nahi kar pati, to hum current levels se aik tez decline ki umeed kar sakte hain. Doosri taraf, agar price is level ko breach karti hai, to yeh resistance 1.0772 tak pohanch sakti hai aur growth phase ke baad potentially 1.0804 tak pull back kar sakti hai.
Recent price action mein price ne 1.0719 resistance ko pullback ke bagair upar cross kiya aur support 1.0743 tak pohanch gayi, potential puncture se pehle. Magar yeh rise bagair retracement ke sustain nahi ho saka. Iske nateejay mein, aik nayi surge 1.0756 aur 1.0772 resistances tak ho sakti hai, lekin in levels se aage further upward movement na honay ke imkaanaat hain. Agar aisa growth hota hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke in resistance points se decline ke nayi koshish shuru hogi.

Agar price apni upward momentum ko maintain nahi kar pati, to yeh support levels 1.0719 aur 1.0695 ko test kar sakti hai, jahan potential rebounds ho sakte hain. Overall, din ke price movement ki umeed minimal hai, thodi si increase ya decrease trading session ke end tak ho sakti hai. Critical support level 1.0688 par hai, magar din ke andar is level tak pohanchna unlikely hai.

Summary mein, EUR/USD pair aik consolidation phase mein sideways channel ke andar hai H4 chart par. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo local maximum 1.0769 aur resistances 1.0756 aur 1.0772 hain potential upward movements ke liye. Doosri taraf, support levels 1.0719 aur 1.0695 crucial hain potential declines ko monitor karne ke liye. Clear signals agle directional move ke liye tab milenge jab yeh support ya resistance levels breach hongi. Jese ke din guzar raha hai, market limited volatility show karne ki umeed hai, significant support 1.0688 abhi bhi door hai.

Mazboot macro data aur European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde ki taqreer ke bawajood, EUR/USD sirf 43 pips ki tajawuz mein kamyaab ho saki. Aur yeh tajawuz sirf paanch minute mein dikhaya gaya jab NonFarm Payrolls aur berozgar ke reports US mein shaya huay. Dono reports darust tajwez se kam nikle, jo sabun ke naye girawat par asar daal sakta tha. Aam taur par, American currency ghata, lekin overal intraday tajawuz, jaisa ke pehle bhi tha, bohot kami reh gayi. Hum hamesha yeh baat uthatay hain ke pair bohot kam movement dikhata hai, yehi waqt ka ab main point hai. Isliye, hum do conclusions nikal sakte hain. Pehla, 5-minute TF par bhi trades 2-3 din tak open rakhi ja sakti hain. Dusra, is waqt zyada faiday par mushkil hai umeed rakhna, aur signals har din nahi bhi ban sakte, halanke hum sab se chote time frame ki baat kar rahe hain.

5-minute timeframe par do trading signals banay thay, aur in mein se kisi ek ke sath kaam karne ka koi faida nahi tha. Pair ne dono signals form kiye jab kisi khaas US data ka release tha, isliye kisi bhi trade mein shamil ho jana bohot mushkil tha. Ghalti se bhi, signals ka formation sirf 5 minute mein hua, jo mukhtalif directions mein point kar rahe thay. Kisi bhi surat mein, NonFarms aur berozgar ke reports shaya hone se pehle market mein shamil hona mushkil tha. Ek hi option tha, Thursday se long positions mein rehna jab price ne 1.0797-1.0804 area overcome kiya tha.

Monday ke liye trading tips:
Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne 1.0678 level ko toorna na saka, aur latest economic reports zyada tar euro ko dollar ke muqable me support kar rahe thay. Isliye, humein euro mein kaafi consistent izafa dekhne ko mila. Is harkat se, overall (neechay ki taraf) trend badla nahi, lekin euro ke saath 7-8 mahinay mein bohot zyada frequently aur mazboot corrections dekhne ko mile hain. Theheek taor par, euro ek neeche ki taraf trend mein hai, jaisa ke higher time frames par dekh sakte hain, lekin pair ki decline ki process medium term mein bohot dheemi rahi hai.

Monday ko, starters 1.0838-1.0856 area se trade kar sakte hain. Magar, yaad rahe ke pair mein bohot kam tajawuz ho sakti hai.

5M chart par key levels hain 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981. Monday ke liye Eurozone ya US mein koi important events scheduled nahi hain. Isliye, tajawuz lagbhag zaroori tor par bohot kam hogi.

GBP/USD H1 chart
Ooper maine pound/dollar ke liye daily chart dekha tha, aur ab mein H1 chart kholna chahta hoon. Lower timeframe par hum wazaahat se dekh sakte hain ke ek reversal ho raha hai, jahan downward trend dheere dheere sideways trading mein tabdeel ho raha hai, aur phir ek upward trend mein. Local minimum 1.2620 (ya level 1.2615) se rebound ke baad, pound/dollar pair ne pur-aitmaad taraqqi ki aur phir ek strong ascending price channel bana, jisme pound/dollar pair is waqt trading kar raha hai jab mein ye analytical post likh raha hoon level 1.2815 par. Zyada specific baat karoon toh Friday ki trading is price mark par khatam hui aur inhi levels se aap pur-aitmaad hokar purchases mein ja sakte hain aur pound/dollar pair ko medium aur long term trading perspective mein kharid sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair ke context mein, haali price action consistent downward trend dikhata hai, jahan naye lows ban rahe hain. Magar bullish engulfing pattern ki maujoodgi ek umeed ki kiran deti hai ek potential reversal ke liye. Traders ko zaroori support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh trend change ka aage further confirmation de sakte hain. Iske ilawa, news events ka reaction dekhna market sentiment aur kisi bhi direction mein sustained move ke imkanat ke baare mein clues de sakta hai. Jo log bullish engulfing pattern par based buy entry consider kar rahe hain, unke liye behtareen hoga ke additional confirmation ka wait karein. Yeh confirmation lower timeframes par higher highs aur higher lows ki shakal mein aa sakti hai, jo market ke upward trend mein shift hone ka indication degi. Volume par bhi tawajjo dena qeemti information de sakta hai; buying volume mein izafa market participants ke darmiyan zyada conviction ko signal kar sakta hai. Akhir mein, jab ke GBP/USD pair downtrend mein raha hai, haali bullish engulfing candlestick pattern H1 timeframe par ek potential pullback upwards suggest karta hai. Yeh pattern, evening news ke saath milkar, ek upward move ko lead kar sakta hai, jo ek naya buying zone ya support level establish karega. Lekin, kisi bhi trading decision ke saath, thorough analysis karna, mukhtalif factors ko consider karna, aur risk management strategies ko implement karna zaroori hai taake ek balanced approach ensure ki ja sake. Neeche diye gaye chart in points ko illustrate karta hai aur current market setup ka visual representation provide karta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ka tahlil:

Aaj jari kiye gaye bunyadi data ke natijay mein EUR/USD currency pair ne mazeed izafa ke imkanat dikhaye hain, haalaanki yeh chuttiyon ke doran tha. Is anusual waqt ne trading volumes par asar dala hai, jis se 1.0854 se 1.0793 ke darmiyan range mein sideways movement ka imkan hai. Lekin maujooda trend aur trading volume ke zariye, is pair mein is level se izafa jari rakhne ki sambhavna hai. Traders ke darmiyan mizaj khareedne ki taraf muntaqil ho gaya hai, jo ke haal ki trends se ek baray tabdeeli hai. Is tabdeeli ne sawal paida kiya hai ke yeh bullish mizaj kitni deer tak jari rahega aur kya yeh ane wale sessions mein jari rahega.



Agar aik mukhalif darja lai aye, to EUR/USD pair 1.0839 se 1.0859 ke darmiyan levels ko lambe arsay ke maqasid ke liye munasib nishanaat samajh sakta hai. Yeh levels ahem hain kyun ke woh mustaqbil ki tehreer mein pivot point ka kaam kar sakte hain. Qareebi arzi halat aur traders ke mizaj ke taqazay ke liye, 1.0879 ke level ka imtehan mumkin hai. Aaj ke data ke jawab mein market ki tawajjo aur hissa, chuttiyon ke bawajood, traders ki taqatwar dilchaspi aur hissa dikha rahi hai. Yeh pair ko buland karne ki sambhavna hai, agar khareedne ki jazbaat taqwiyat mand aur mustawaz rehte hain.

Doosri taraf, aik manzar bhi hai jahan EUR/USD pair agle haftay mein bearish harkat dekh sakta hai. Yeh mumkinat nazar andaz nahi ki ja sakti, khaas tor par agar market ki halat tabdeel ho ya traders ke mizaj mein numaya tabdeeli ho. Is tarah ke manzar mein dekhne ke liye ahem levels 1.0793 ke qareeb ki taalash ki ja sakti hai. Aam tor par, jab ke qareebi manzar me izafa aur buland levels ke imtehan ki sambhavna hai, market hamesha dinamik rehta hai, aur traders ko agle dinon mein mustaqbil ke bullish aur bearish manazir ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

EURUSD pair ke price movement ko dekhte hue, upward rally ke baad lagta hai ke price ne kafi low correction phase experience nahi kiya. Haqeeqat mein, price 1.0817 ke high prices ko pass kar chuka hai aur apni upward rally ko continue kar raha hai. Trend direction jo already bullish condition mein hai, price movement ki projection barhne ka rujhan rakhti hai. Agar low prices 1.0778 tak decline hota hai, lagta hai ke ye RBS area 1.0771 tak nahi pauhnchega. Iske ilawa, price pattern structure bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke downward correction phase sirf ek secondary reaction hoga. RSI indicator parameters (14) jo overbought zone 80 - 70 level mein enter hone ke baad ab tak barqarar hain, yeh batate hain ke upward rally buying saturation point tak pauhnch chuki hai. Abhi ka EURUSD pair price pehle downward correction experience karna chahiye agar yeh upward rally ko barhne ke liye 1.0900 level tak pauhnchna chahta hai.

Ye bhi note karna chahiye ke New York session mein aaj raat ko US employment data report release hogi jo ke US Dollar currency ke outlook ko affect kar sakti hai. Agar fundamentals US Dollar side ko support karte hain, to upward rally mein rukawat ho sakti hai aur price movement 1.0800 level ke neeche ho sakti hai. Trading plan yeh behter ho sakta hai ke BUY moment ka intezar kiya jaye kyunki current trending market direction ke against jana zyada risky ho sakta hai. RBS area 1.0771 ko entry point ke tor par use kiya ja sakta hai agar downward correction kaafi impulsive hoti hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameter jo level 50 ke aas paas pauhnch kar rejection experience karta hai, uska intezar karna zaroori hai. Take profit ya stop loss set karne ke liye Risk: Reward ratio of 1: 2 use kar sakte hain taake capital ki strength ke mutabiq adjust kar sakein.

I hope this helps! Agar aapko aur madad chahiye, to bataiye.





4o

European Single Currency (EUR/USD) Technical Analysis


European single currency 1.08 level se upar hold kar rahi hai, aur past 2 weeks ke small gains ko defend karne ki koshish mein hai. Fed ke taraf se 2 interest rate cuts ke limited prospects ne US currency ko weigh down kiya hai, khaaskar is hafte ke macroeconomic data ke baad. Humne US mein Independence Day ke liye chutti manayi, lekin US dollar ek issue bana raha kyunki US services sector ka disappointing macroeconomic data Wednesday ko samne aya. European currencies ka continued reaction ne exchange rate ko 1.07 level ke narrow fluctuations se door rakha hai, lekin abhi bhi 1.10 level ke upar koi definite signal nahi hai jo quality aur weak returns mein change ko indicate kar sake.

US mein innovation aam tor par variables ko increase karne, specific strengths ko strengthen karne ya unhe poori tarah se badalne ka ek factor hota hai. Isliye, ye expected hai ke investors ka significant interest aaj ke NFP data mein hoga, jo euro area mein retail selling ke aaj ke trend se alag hoga.

European currency ka recent reaction mera objective fulfill nahi kar saka ke European currency ko 1.06 ke qareeb buy karun, lekin yeh abhi bhi poori tarah se system se bahar nahi hona chahiye kyunki yeh clear hai ke US side mein interest rates currency ke sath continue kar rahe hain aur euro ka strong increase ek aasan task nahi hoga. Ab mein US currency ko buy karne ke liye level dhoondhne par focused hoon, aur levels near 1.10 ya us se upar mere goals mein se ek hain.
Technical Analysis on 4-Hour Time Frame Chart:


Pair abhi ek strength demand zone par trade kar raha hai aur hum pair ko current price 1.0829 se 100 pips target tak sell karenge.





4o

Is haftay ke shuruat mein trading ke dauran, euro ke daam ne US dollar ke muqable mein 1.0767 ke resistance level tak chalang lagai. Yeh izafa National Rally party ki, jo Marine Le Pen ke qiyadat mein hai, pehli round mein kamiyabi ke sath hua, jaisa ke umeed thi. Halankeh opinion polls ne far-right party ko kam lead dete hue dikhaya, aakhri nateeja abhi bhi na-muqammal hai agle hafte ke run-off se pehle. Maeeshat ke hawale se, investors region se manufacturing PMI numbers aur June ke German inflation data ko dekh rahe hain.Isse pehle, reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, euro ka daam $1.0685 tak gir gaya, jo ke do mahine ke sabse neechay level ke qareeb tha, jab investors ne European Central Bank ki policy mein further easing ki expectations adjust ki. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, preliminary data ne dikhaya ke France mein annual inflation rate 2.5% tak slow hui, Spain mein rate 3.5% tak gir gayi jo expectations se thodi zyada thi. Italy mein inflation rate 0.9% tak tez hui, jo expected thi. Isi dauran, euro zone ke consumers ne apni inflation expectations ko kam kiya aur employment prospects ke baare mein zyada optimistic hue, jaisa European Central Bank ke survey ne dikhaya.Pichle hafte, European Central Bank Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne is saal do additional interest rate cuts ka imkan suggest kiya. Investors Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally party ke success se bhi pareshan hain jo French parliamentary elections mein expect kiya ja raha hai.

Iske baraks, US dollar index (DXY) Friday ko 105.9 ke qareeb tha jab US personal consumption expenditures inflation expectations ke mutabiq aayi aur price pressures mein easing ko dikhaya, jisse Fed ka borrowing costs ko kam karne ka case mazboot hua. Core PCE prices pichle mahine se 0.1% barhi, jo ke chhe mahine mein sabse kam izafa tha, jabke annual rate 2.6% tak gir gayi, jo early 2021 se sabse kam thi. September tak interest rate cut ke imkanaat 66% tak barh gaye.

GBP/USD currency pair Tuesday ke early Asian session mein halki giravat ke saath lagbhag 1.2730 level par trade ho raha tha. Traders labor market report ke announcement ka intezaar karte hain jo UK ki economic condition ke significant insights provide karega. Yeh data wage growth, unemployment rates, aur overall job market health ke indicators ke liye closely scrutinized hoga, jo Bank of England ke future monetary policy decisions ko influence kar sakta hai. Broader market sentiments aur global economic factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke exchange rate dynamics ko shape karte hain.
EUR/USD is level ko todati hai aur ise resistance ke roop mein confirm karti hai, to agla bearish target 1.0600 (psychological level, static level) set kiya ja sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, temporary resistance ke roop mein 1.0700 (psychological level, static level) phir 1.0730-1.0745 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement, 100-period simple moving average) aur 1.0760 (Fibonacci 50% US phase / Fibonacci resistance 50% stay in US phase) ko align kiya gaya hai. Jumme ke din lagbhag 1.0700 ke aas pass thi, jab ki budhwar ko thodi si tezi dekhne ke baad choti si win kiya tha. US Bureau of Economic Analysis May ke liye personal consumption expenditures price index data release karne wala hai, jo Federal Reserve ka pasandida inflation ka measure hai. Investors maheene ke core PCE price index print ka reaction denge, jo fundamental effects se distorted nahi hota aur volatile food aur energy prices ko shaamil karta hai. Investors asha karte hain ki maheene ke core PCE price index May mein 0.1 percent tak badhegi, pehle varsh April mein recorded 0.2 percent ke baad. Market ki asha se kam ya jyada readings USD ke liye demand dhoondhne mein mushkil bana sakti hai. Dusri taraf, 0.2% ya usse adhik ka print USD ko boost kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD par dabaav dal sakta hai.
Agar PCE inflation report USD ko nuksan pahunchata hai, to bhi EUR/USD ka decisive recovery karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai, jabki investors France ke chunav ke pahle daur ke samne euro ko badhana chahte hain. Is baat ka bhi yaad rakhna ke yeh Jumme ka doosra quarter ka aakhiri trading day hai. Quarter-end flows aur din ke ant mein position adjustments bazaar ki volatilitiy ko badha sakte hain aur mukhya currency pairs mein bevakoof movements ko trigger kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD Fundamentals outlook.
Kal hum ne EUR/USD mein bara bullish movement dekha, jab USA se negative data aya aur ab EUR/USD tezi se upar ja raha hai jab Greenback ki flow reverse course ho rahi hai.
US data broadly misses the mark, sparking risk appetite on rate cut hopes.
US holiday looms ahead of Friday’s NFP US data dump.
EUR/USD ne Wednesday ko ek leg up paya, briefly 1.0800 handle ke upar chadh gaya, jab US ki arthik figures mein broad miss ne ishara diya ki US ki arthvyavastha aur kamzor ho sakti hai, aur isse Federal Reserve (Fed) se rate cuts ki tezi se ummeed jagi, jisse market safe haven US Dollar se bahar nikal raha hai.
European data bhi Thursday ke early hours mein mixed aaya, jahan pan-EU HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) June mein 50.9 MoM par aaya, forecasted 50.8 ke mukable. EU-wide Producer Price Index May mein bhi expected se zyada tivr gira, -0.2% MoM ke mukable forecasted -0.1%.

US ADP Employment Change June mein 150K par aaya, previous month ke 157K se kam aur forecasted 160K se miss. ADP report mein bhi pata chala ki kai job additions lower-paying leisure aur hospitality industries mein concentrate the.

Additionaly, US Initial Jobless Claims June 28 tak pohanch kar 238K ho gaye, previous week ke 233K ke mukable, jisme forecasted 235K tha. Initial Jobless Claims ke four-week average bhi 238.5K ho gaye 236.25K ke mukable.

Akhri mein, US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) June mein 48.8 par gir gaya, jo June 2020 se lowest level hai. ISM Services PMI previous month ke 53.8 se gira, jisme forecasted 52.5 tha.

US markets Thursday ko dark rahenge kyun ki US Independence Day holiday hai, jisse Fiber traders ko German Factory Orders se deal karna hoga, jise May mein -0.2% se 0.5% MoM par rebound hone ka forecast hai. EUR/USD traders UK Parliamentary Elections ke result ke knock-on volatility ko bhi dekh rahe honge.

EUR/USD technical outlook.

EUR/USD ne ek recent bullish bounce extend kiya hai, jo ek demand zone se neeche 1.0680 ke price se shuru hua tha, aur briefly 1.0800 ke upar chart territory test kiya. Pair near-term mein further bullish hai, jo 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0734 ke upar accelerate kar raha hai

EUR/USD pair ki keemat ka movement ek urooj ke baad girawat ka daur guzar rahi hai. Haqeeqat mein, keemat ne 1.0817 ke unchi ke dauron ko guzar kar apne urooj ke raaste par jari rahi hai. Yaqeenan, jo trend ka rukh pehle se hi bullish hai, us ke mutaliq keemat ka daur barhne ki basharat hai. Agar aap ko 1.0778 ke kam ke dauron mein kami nazar aati hai, to lagta hai ke 1.0771 ke RBS area tak nahi pohanch payegi. Is ke alawa, keemat ka pattern structure bhi higher high - higher low ke halat mein hai, jis ka matlab hai ke nichle daur sirf ek dosri pratikriya hogi. RSI indicator ke parameters (14), jo ke overbought zone mein 80 - 70 ke level par jate hain, ishara dete hain ke khareedne ki safaee ke saturation point par pohanch gaye hain. Haal ki EUR/USD pair ki keemat ko sab se pehle ek nichle daur ka daur guzarana chahiye agar agle urooj ke daur mein barhne ka irada hai, takay 1.0900 ke level tak pohanch sake. Is ke sath hi yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke aaj raat New York session mein US rozgar data report aayega, jo US Dollar ki currency ke liye manzarnama ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Jaise ke, agar bunyadiyat US Dollar ki taraf se ta'aeed deti hain, to urooj ke daur ko rokne mein madad faraham hogi aur keemat ka daur 1.0800 ke level se neeche bhi ho sakta hai.
Tijarat ka mansooba behtar hoga ke current trending market direction ke khilaf jane ke liye intezar karen. Agar nichle daur kafi impulsive ho to RBS area 1.0771 ko entry point ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Jab Stochastic indicator ke parameter 50 ke aas paas pohanch jaye aur us par inkar ho, to tasdeeq ho sakti hai. Take profit ya stop loss ke liye nishana set karne ke liye risk: reward ratio 1:2 istemal kiya ja sakta hai, jo capital ke quwwat ke mutabiq adjust ho.

EURUSD ANALYSIS 09 JULY 2024




M15 timeframe ke sath EURUSD currency pair mein aik achi signal hai, ab analysis ka waqt hai. Eurusd ka price resistance se ooper chala gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers ne market mein control le lia hai. Eurusd ka lowest price abhi 1.08241 hai, pehle lowest price 1.08216 se ooper hai, aise movement se dikhata hai ke eurusd ka price uptrend mein hai, isliye ab buying opportunities dhoondhne ka waqt hai.
Eurusd ka price abhi tak base supply se roka hua hai. Ab eurusd ka price upper Bollinger bands ke aas paas move kar raha hai, isliye ab middle Bollinger bands ki taraf neechay jane ka waqt hai. Eurusd ka price kaafi mazboot aur consistent tarikay se barh raha hai, stochastic oscillator pehle se hi level 80 se ooper hai, isliye ab level 20 ki taraf jaane ka waqt hai. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator indicators ke istemal se dekhte hue, eurusd ka price neeche jane ki taraf move karega correction ke liye.

Eurusd ke price analysis ke natijay ke mutabiq trend ke saath upar jaayega. Agar aap sure hain ke eurusd ka price strong hoga, toh turant buy transaction na karein. Sabar rakhein aur eurusd ka price dekhne de ke wo neeche base demand tak jaata hai sahi price hasil karne ke liye. Kharidari is waqt ho sakti hai agar bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle ki tasdeeq ho jiska candle body base demand se ooper ho, price loss limit 1.08240 ke neeche base demand aur take profit 1.08410 ke neeche base supply jo taaza hai. Agar eurusd ka price base demand se neeche jaata hai, to kharidari signal khatam ho jayega kyun ke trend reversal aa gaya hai.

Agar eurusd ka price jaldi se upar chala jata hai base demand ko chhute bina, to apne aap ko kharidari transaction karne par majboor na karein kyun ke technical requirements poori nahi hui hain. Transaction karne ke liye pending sell limit order lagaya ja sakta hai price 1.08410 ke neeche base supply ke liye kyun ke eurusd ka price pehle se hi overbought hai, price loss limit 1.08454 ke ooper base supply aur take profit 1.08257 ke ooper base demand par.

EUR/USD

Foreign exchange market mein Friday ko do currencies ka qissa tha. EUR/USD pair pehle jump hui jab US non-farm payrolls report release hui, jo mixed signals rakhti thi. Headline figure ne jobs mein stronger than expected increase dikhaya, lekin pehle maheenon ke data ki revisions itni achi tasveer nahi bana rahi thi. Ye data investors ke liye mushkil paida kar raha tha jo US economy ki sehat aur Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy decisions ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe thay. EUR/USD pair ka pehla jump kuch traders ke darmiyan umeed ko reflect kar raha tha ke mixed data Fed ko interest rates jaldi cut karne pe majboor kar sakti hai. Kyun ke kamzor US economy aam tor par lower interest rates ka sabab banti hai. Lekin euro ke gains zyada dair tak nahi tik sake. Jaise jaise din guzarta gaya, focus French parliamentary elections ke natayij pe shift hota gaya. French elections ke results ne bhi currency market ko asar kiya. Jabke far from a majority, far-right leader Marine Le Pen ke National Front party ka strong showing ne France mein potential hung parliament ke concerns ko barhaya. Ye political uncertainty euro pe asar dalti hui uske pehle gains ko wapas lene aur din ko thoda niche khatam karne ka sabab bani.



Stock market mein is dauran, increased optimism ke signs thay. Fiber index, jo US technology stocks ka measure hai, week ko higher band kar chuka tha saat consecutive days of gains ke baad. Ye suggest karta hai ke kuch investors US economy ke prospects ke bare mein zyada confident ho rahe hain, bawajood mixed economic data ke. Technically, EUR/USD pair kuch headwinds face kar rahi hai. Jabke isne key 200-day exponential moving average ko push kar lia tha, ek persistent downward trend channel bearish pressure exert karte hue nazar aata hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke euro ke recent gains short-lived ho sakte hain agar underlying economic ya political factors mein significant shift nahi hoti.

EURUSD pair ki price movement mein ek urooj ke baad giravat ka phase kafi kamzor nazar nahi aata hai. Haqeeqat mein, price ne 1.0817 ke uncha prices ko paar kar ke apna urooj jari rakha hai. Yaqeenan, jo trend direction bullish shartein mein hai, uski price movement ki tashkhees mein intezar se barh kar hai. Agar price 1.0778 tak girne ka mauqa milta hai, to lagta hai ke wo 1.0771 ke RBS area tak nahi pohanchega. Is ke ilawa, price pattern structure bhi higher high - higher low shartein mein hai, jis ka matlab hai ke giravat ka correction phase sirf ek secondary reaction hoga. RSI indicator ke parameters (14), jo ke 80 - 70 level par overbought zone mein dakhil hue hain, ishara dete hain ke upward rally ne buying ki saturation point tak pohanch chuka hai. Moujooda EURUSD pair ki price ko pehle ek downward correction ka samna karna hoga agar wo agle urooj ke liye buland tareen level tak pohanchna chahta hai. Is ke ilawa, yad rakhna chahiye ke aaj raat New York session mein US employment data report ayega jo USD currency ke outlook par asar daal sakta hai. Agar fundamentals US Dollar ki taraf support karte hain, to upward rally ko roka ja sakta hai aur price movement 1.0800 level ke nichle hone ke mumkinat hain.

Tijarati plan ke mutabiq, market ke current trending direction ke khilaf jaana bohot risky ho sakta hai, is liye behtar hai BUY moment ka intezar karna. Agar downward correction kafi tezi se ho raha ho to RBS area 1.0771 ko dakhil hone ka istemal entry point ke taur par kiya ja sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameter ke rejection ke waqt confirmation lena chahiye jo ke level 50 ke aaspaas hota hai. Take profit ya stop loss ke liye target set karne ke liye Risk: Reward ratio 1: 2 istemal kiya ja sakta hai jo ke apke maal ki taqat ke mutabiq adjust karega.

EURUSD ANALYSIS

EURUSD currency pair M15 timeframe mein aik acha signal de raha hai, is waqt analysis ka waqt hai. Eurusd ki keemat ne resistance se ooncha hokar chala gaya hai, jis se maloom hota hai ke kharidari karne walon ne market par qabza kar liya hai. Eurusd ka kam tar price abhi 1.08241 hai, jo ke pehle se 1.08216 se ooncha hai, is tarah ka movement ye dikhata hai ke eurusd ki keemat mein upar ki taraf chal rahi hai, is liye ab kharidari ke mouqa dekhe ja sakte hain.

Eurusd ki keemat ke barhne ko abhi bhi base supply rok rahi hai. Abhi eurusd ki keemat upper Bollinger bands ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai, is liye ab middle Bollinger bands ki taraf jaana chahiye. Eurusd ki keemat ki mazbooti aur mustawar izafa stochastic oscillator ke mutabiq overbought hone ki alamat hai, jis ki nishandahi level 80 se ooper hai, is liye ab level 20 ki taraf jaana chahiye. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator ke indicators ke istemal se eurusd ki keemat mein correction ke liye neeche jaane ka imkaan hai.



Eurusd ki keemat ke analysis ke natijay mein trend ke mutabiq upar jaane ka imkaan hai. Eurusd ki keemat mein mustaqbil mein izafa hone ke bawajood, eurusd ki keemat mein mazeed izafa hone se pehle seedha kharidari ka transaction na karen. Sabar se kaam liya jaye aur eurusd ki keemat ke neeche base demand tak girne ka intezar kiya jaye takay sahi keemat mil sake. Agar bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle se confirmation milay jis ki candle body base demand ke ooper ho aur price loss limit 1.08240 base demand ke neeche rakha jaye aur take profit 1.08410 base supply ke neeche fresh level par rakha jaye. Agar eurusd ki keemat base demand se neeche gir jaye, to kharidari ka signal khatam ho jayega kyun ke trend mein ulat pher ho gayi hai.

Agar eurusd ki keemat seedha base demand ko touch ya enter karne se pehle upar jaaye, to kharidari ka transaction karne ki koshish na karen kyun ke technical requirements pooray nahi hue hain. Transaction sell limit order ke zariye kiya ja sakta hai 1.08410 base supply ke neeche, kyun ke eurusd ki keemat abhi overbought hai, price loss limit 1.08454 base supply ke ooper aur take profit 1.08257 base demand ke ooper rakha jaye.