Eur/usd

Aik naya trading hafta shuru ho gaya hai aur hum phir se period D1 ke chart par nazar daalenge - EURUSD currency pair ka. Pichle haftay ke doran Jumma tak, keemat maximum tak pohanch chuki thi, jahan takreen aur talaqat ki mukhtalif qism ke jhaale ban rahe thay, yahan wahan ja rahi thi, yeh tasveer din ke andar chhotay arse mein dekhi ja sakti hai. Sab kuch Jumma ko hal ho gaya. Aham khabron ka aik silsila America mein aya aur keemat tezi se buland ho gayi. Is khabar se America mein keemat tezi se buland ho gayi, lekin sirf American dollar hi nahi, yeh market ke poore shuay mein mazid mazboot ho gaya. America ke non-agricultural sector mein munsif logon ki tadad mein tabdeeli aayi aur woh peshgiyon se bilkul behtar sabit hui, jo American currency ko mazbooti dene ke liye acha hai. Lekin doosra indicator, be-rozgar ki dar, mukhalif taur par barh gayi, jo dollar ke liye manfi hai. Yeh lagta hai ke yeh khabrein aapas mein tawazun banana chahiye thi, lekin kisi wajah se dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya. Shayad is wajah se ke aik technical tasveer thi zyadatar asli aalaaton ke liye. Yahan tak ke jaldi girne ki nishaaniyan bhi thien, aur sab se pehle, yeh bearish divergence ke mojoodgi thi jo MACD aur CCI indicators mein istemal hoti hai. Lambe arse tak keemat ne neeche nahi jana chahti thi aur phir sab kuch khabron par hua. Hal hi mein keemat ne neeche ki taraf aik price gap ke sath kholi, mujhe kehna chahiye ke yeh gaps lambi muddat se nahi thay, aam tor par woh jagah par kholta thi jahan hafta band hota tha, lekin yahan woh khaas zyada bara nahi tha, lekin neeche ki taraf ka gap girte raha. Mustaqbil mein keemat aik oonchi hui rekha tak pohanch sakti hai jo neeche se guzarti hai. Lekin aik neeche ki taraf qareebi mojoodgi ko barhane ke baad lena chahiye; yeh keemat banne wala gap band karne aur 1.0800 ke resistance level ko test karne ka buland ihtimal hai

4 EUR/USD

Is hafta, EUR/USD pair do hafton ki qeemat ki harkat ko reflect karte hue upward-trending price channels mein trading kar raha hai. Filhal, qeemat in channels ki lower line par hai, jo ke potential rise ke liye support faraham kar raha hai.

Qeemat weekly pivot level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Jaise hi qeemat is level ke qareeb aati hai, agla trend iski weekly pivot par behavior ki buniyad par hosakta hai. Agar qeemat weekly pivot ke upar break karke close hoti hai, toh trend bullish mana jayega. Bar’aks, agar qeemat weekly pivot level se downward rebound karti hai, toh is haftay ka trend downward hone ka imkaan hai.


1-hour chart par, qeemat ne aaj ki trading bearish channels mein shuru ki, jo ke guzre do trading dinon ko represent karte hain. Magar Asian session ke doran sideways movement ke natayej mein ye channels ke upar uncertain break kar gaya. Aaj, 1-hour chart par, qeemat selling zone mein gir kar red channel ke andar aur daily pivot level ke neeche trading shuru ki. Magar, uske baad qeemat upward move karke is zone se breakout kar gayi aur daily aur monthly pivot levels ke darmiyan oscillate kar rahi hai. Qeemat ab apni downward movement resume karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Qeemat ko daily pivot level 1.0760 se support mil raha hai, jo ke isay weekly pivot level ki taraf propel kar sakta hai. Is point par qeemat ka behavior ye indicate karega ke ye wapas neeche jaayegi ya upward wave continue karne mein kamiyab hogi. Aaj ke liye, trading decisions 1-hour chart par kiye jaa sakte hain, jahan selling opportunities tab milengi agar qeemat daily pivot level ke neeche girti hai.

hafta, EUR/USD pair do hafton ki qeemat ki harkat ko reflect karte hue upward-trending price channels mein trading kar raha hai. Filhal, qeemat in channels ki lower line par hai, jo ke potential rise ke liye support faraham kar raha hai.

Qeemat weekly pivot level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Jaise hi qeemat is level ke qareeb aati hai, agla trend iski weekly pivot par behavior ki buniyad par hosakta hai. Agar qeemat weekly pivot ke upar break karke close hoti hai, toh trend bullish mana jayega. Bar'aks, agar qeemat weekly pivot level se downward rebound karti hai, toh is haftay ka trend downward hone ka imkaan hai. 1-hour chart par, qeemat ne aaj ki trading bearish channels mein shuru ki, jo ke guzre do trading dinon ko represent karte hain. Magar Asian session ke doran sideways movement ke natayej mein ye channels ke upar uncertain break kar gaya. Aaj, 1-hour chart par, qeemat selling zone mein gir kar red channel ke andar aur daily pivot level ke neeche trading shuru ki. Magar, uske baad qeemat upward move karke is zone se breakout kar gayi aur daily aur monthly pivot levels ke darmiyan oscillate kar rahi hai. Qeemat ab apni downward movement resume karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Qeemat ko daily pivot level 1.0760 se support mil raha hai, jo ke isay weekly pivot level ki taraf propel kar sakta hai. Is point par qeemat ka behavior ye indicate karega ke ye wapas neeche jaayegi ya upward wave continue karne mein kamiyab hogi. Aaj ke liye, trading decisions 1-hour chart par kiye jaa sakte hain, jahan selling opportunities tab milengi agar qeemat daily pivot level ke neeche girti hai.

pair ne Thursday ko rollercoaster ride ka tajurba kiya, jahan yeh apni recent peak ko touch karne ke baad 1.0870 ke niche gir gaya early trading mein. Baad mein, yeh apne losses recover karte hue US session ke qareeb 1.0900 par close hua. Yeh indecisiveness European Central Bank (ECB) ke long-awaited interest rate cut of a quarter-point ke bawajood thi jo is week mein implement hui. ECB ke sources yeh suggest karte hain ke policymakers July mein dusra reduction implement nahi karenge, jaise kuch investors anticipate kar rahe the. Yeh aur Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ki expectations euro aur dollar ke darmiyan significant widening ka possibility dampen karte hain. Sab ki nazar ab Friday ke Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data par hai, jahan moderate forecasts predict karte hain ke net new jobs May mein 185,000 tak barh jayengi, jo pichle mahine 175,000 thi. Wage growth bhi slightly barhne ki umeed hai. Later in the American trading session, ECB President Christine Lagarde ka appearance week ke major market events ko end karega. Technical indicators short-term uncertainty ko zahir kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold of 50 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, clear directional signal ke bina. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, positive territory mein hone ke bawajood, bearish signal line se challenged hai. Agar positive momentum build hoti hai, to pair psychological level 1.0900 ke qareeb resistance face kar sakta hai. Is point ke upar break hone se upper trend shift hogi aur potentially 1.0940 aur 1.0980-1.1000 zones ke door open ho sakte hain. Magar, agar bullish momentum maintain nahi hota agle sessions mein, to downside turn dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Support levels include 1.0800, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.0785, aur 50-day SMA aur 200-day SMA dono converge ho rahe hain around 1.0770. Is combined average line ke niche breach hone se renewed downtrend ka signal milega, potentially reaching the 1.0720 level. Overall, euro technically apne aap ko dollar ke against rebuild kar raha hai recent downtrend ke break hone ke baad. Pair currently consolidate kar raha hai ek bullish range mein defined by the 200-day SMA at 1.0807. Medium-term bullish pattern ko dent laga hai, magar ek decline towards the 1.0800 level buyers ko wapas market mein entice kar sakta hai, especially jahan 50-day SMA longer-term average se intersect karta hai. Upcoming NFP data aur Lagarde ka speech euro ke direction ko short term mein influence karenge.

EUR/USD currency pair ka timeframe chart par tajziya kuch interesting dynamics ko zayar karta hai jo is waqt unfold ho rahe hain. Notably, yeh pair ab tak 1.08030 level ko nahi choon saka, jo ek significant price point hai jise traders bohot qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain. Yeh observation yeh suggest karta hai ke jabke price is key level ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai, ab tak isne isse test ya break karne ka faisla nahi kiya. Furthermore, intraday pivot levels ka tajziya dikhata hai ke yeh bohot zyada compressed hain. Yeh compression yeh indication hai ke market consolidation aur low volatility ke period se guzar rahi hai. Jab pivot levels tightly packed hotay hain, yeh aksar ka matlab hota hai ke price bohot narrow range mein trade kar rahi hai. Doosre lafzon mein, market participants ek state of indecision mein hain, aur kisi catalyst ka intezar kar rahe hain jo price ko kisi bhi direction mein push kar sake. Low volatility aur tight consolidation ke periods ko ek coiled spring se mushaba kiya ja sakta hai. Jitni der tak price ek narrow range mein rehti hai, utna hi significant breakout hota hai jab yeh finally occur karta hai. Traders aur analysts aksar anticipate karte hain ke aise compression ka period substantial price movement lead karta hai jab market ek direction ka faisla karti hai. Is liye, jabke EUR/USD pair is waqt low volatility experience kar rahi hai, yeh situation zyada der tak nahi rehti. EUR/USD pair mein observed consolidation phase suggest karta hai ke traders ko potential volatility spikes ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Aise spikes mukhtalif factors se result ho sakte hain, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya market sentiment mein changes. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo upcoming news events aur doosre market-moving factors ke baare mein informed rahen jo EUR/USD pair ko influence kar sakte hain. External factors ko monitor karne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur chart patterns par bhi dhyan dena chahiye jo next significant move ke clues provide kar sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar consolidation phase ke dauran chart patterns jaise triangles, flags, ya pennants mojood hon to yeh potential breakout direction ka hint de sakte hain. Isi tarah, technical indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), ya Bollinger Bands market ke momentum aur potential price targets ke baare mein valuable insights de sakte hain. Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh traders ke liye beneficial ho sakta hai ke wo aisi strategies employ karein jo low-volatility environments ke liye well-suited hon. In strategies mein range trading shamil ho sakti hai, jahan traders support levels par buy karte hain aur resistance levels par sell karte hain within the narrow range. Alternatively, traders breakout strategies consider kar sakte hain, jahan wo apne aap ko position karte hain taake consolidation phase ke khatam hone ke baad significant price movements se capitalize kar saken

Pichle hafte, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye, buying entry point 1.08706 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh level ek strategic point ke tor par kaam karta hai jahan buyers apni positions initiate kar sakte hain is umeed ke sath ke price increase hogi. Is upward movement ke potential targets 1.0893 aur 1.09196 hain. Yeh levels possible resistance points ko represent karte hain jahan price ko kuch selling pressure face karna pad sakta hai ya phir consolidate ho sakta hai agle moves banane se pehle.
1.08706 par buying entry set karne ka matlab yeh hai ke traders bullish momentum ko anticipate kar rahe hain. 1.0893 ka level pehla target hai, jahan traders partial profits le sakte hain ya apne stop-loss orders ko adjust kar sakte hain taake gains secure kar sakein. Agar bullish momentum continue karta hai, agla target 1.09196 hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair mein mazeed strength ko indicate karta hai.

Conversely, selling entry point 1.0868 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh level short positions initiate karne ke liye choose kiya gaya hai, jahan traders expect karte hain ke price decline hogi. Is downward movement ke targets 1.08832 aur possibly lower levels hain, jo yahan specify nahi kiye gaye lekin agle significant support zones ko include kar sakte hain. 1.0868 par selling entry rakhne ka matlab yeh hai ke traders bearish momentum ko anticipate kar rahe hain. 1.08832 ka pehla target ek immediate area ko indicate karta hai jahan price ko kuch support mil sakta hai, traders ko partial profits lene ya apni positions ko adjust karne par majboor karte hue. Agar bearish sentiment mazid strong hota hai, to further declines expected hain jo naye support levels tak le ja sakte hain jahan traders target kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair mein, 1.08706 par buying entry 1.0893 aur 1.09196 ko target karti hai, expected bullish movements ka fayda uthate hue. 1.0868 par selling entry 1.08832 aur potentially niche tak aim karti hai, anticipated bearish trends ka leverage lete hue. Traders ko market conditions, economic data, aur technical indicators ko monitor karna chahiye taake apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein, ensuring ke wo risk manage kar sakein aur potential returns maximize kar sakein.EUR/USD:
Pichle hafte, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye, buying entry point 1.08706 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh level ek strategic point ke tor par kaam karta hai jahan buyers apni positions initiate kar sakte hain is umeed ke sath ke price increase hogi. Is upward movement ke potential targets 1.0893 aur 1.09196 hain. Yeh levels possible resistance points ko represent karte hain jahan price ko kuch selling pressure face karna pad sakta hai ya phir consolidate ho sakta hai agle moves banane se pehle.

1.08706 par buying entry set karne ka matlab yeh hai ke traders bullish momentum ko anticipate kar rahe hain. 1.0893 ka level pehla target hai, jahan traders partial profits le sakte hain ya apne stop-loss orders ko adjust kar sakte hain taake gains secure kar sakein. Agar bullish momentum continue karta hai, agla target 1.09196 hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair mein mazeed strength ko indicate karta hai.

Conversely, selling entry point 1.0868 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh level short positions initiate karne ke liye choose kiya gaya hai, jahan traders expect karte hain ke price decline hogi. Is downward movement ke targets 1.08832 aur possibly lower levels hain, jo yahan specify nahi kiye gaye lekin agle significant support zones ko include kar sakte hain. 1.0868 par selling entry rakhne ka matlab yeh hai ke traders bearish momentum ko anticipate kar rahe hain. 1.08832 ka pehla target ek immediate area ko indicate karta hai jahan price ko kuch support mil sakta hai, traders ko partial profits lene ya apni positions ko adjust karne par majboor karte hue. Agar bearish sentiment mazid strong hota hai, to further declines expected hain jo naye support levels tak le ja sakte hain jahan traders target kar sakte hain.
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/USD: Pichle hafte, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye, buying entry point 1.08706 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh level ek strategic point ke tor par kaam karta hai jahan buyers apni positions initiate kar sakte hain is umeed ke sath ke price increase hogi. Is upward movement ke potential targets 1.0893 aur 1.09196 hain. Yeh levels possible resistance points ko represent karte hain jahan price ko kuch selling pressure face karna pad sakta hai ya phir consolidate ho sakta hai agle moves banane se pehle.

1.08706 par buying entry set karne ka matlab yeh hai ke traders bullish momentum ko anticipate kar rahe hain. 1.0893 ka level pehla target hai, jahan traders partial profits le sakte hain ya apne stop-loss orders ko adjust kar sakte hain taake gains secure kar sakein. Agar bullish momentum continue karta hai, agla target 1.09196 hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair mein mazeed strength ko indicate karta hai.

Conversely, selling entry point 1.0868 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh level short positions initiate karne ke liye choose kiya gaya hai, jahan traders expect karte hain ke price decline hogi. Is downward movement ke targets 1.08832 aur possibly lower levels hain, jo yahan specify nahi kiye gaye lekin agle significant support zones ko include kar sakte hain. 1.0868 par selling entry rakhne ka matlab yeh hai ke traders bearish momentum ko anticipate kar rahe hain. 1.08832 ka pehla target ek immediate area ko indicate karta hai jahan price ko kuch support mil sakta hai, traders ko partial profits lene ya apni positions ko adjust karne par majboor karte hue. Agar bearish sentiment mazid strong hota hai, to further declines expected hain jo naye support levels tak le ja sakte hain jahan traders target kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair mein, 1.08706 par buying entry 1.0893 aur 1.09196 ko target karti hai, expected bullish movements ka fayda uthate hue. 1.0868 par selling entry 1.08832 aur potentially niche tak aim karti hai, anticipated bearish trends ka leverage lete hue. Traders ko market conditions, economic data, aur technical indicators ko monitor karna chahiye taake apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein, ensuring ke wo risk manage kar sakein aur potential returns maximize kar sakein.EUR/USD:
Pichle hafte, EUR/USD currency pair ke liye, buying entry point 1.08706 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh level ek strategic point ke tor par kaam karta hai jahan buyers apni positions initiate kar sakte hain is umeed ke sath ke price increase hogi. Is upward movement ke potential targets 1.0893 aur 1.09196 hain. Yeh levels possible resistance points ko represent karte hain jahan price ko kuch selling pressure face karna pad sakta hai ya phir consolidate ho sakta hai agle moves banane se pehle.

1.08706 par buying entry set karne ka matlab yeh hai ke traders bullish momentum ko anticipate kar rahe hain. 1.0893 ka level pehla target hai, jahan traders partial profits le sakte hain ya apne stop-loss orders ko adjust kar sakte hain taake gains secure kar sakein. Agar bullish momentum continue karta hai, agla target 1.09196 hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair mein mazeed strength ko indicate karta hai.

Conversely, selling entry point 1.0868 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh level short positions initiate karne ke liye choose kiya gaya hai, jahan traders expect karte hain ke price decline hogi. Is downward movement ke targets 1.08832 aur possibly lower levels hain, jo yahan specify nahi kiye gaye lekin agle significant support zones ko include kar sakte hain. 1.0868 par selling entry rakhne ka matlab yeh hai ke traders bearish momentum ko anticipate kar rahe hain. 1.08832 ka pehla target ek immediate area ko indicate karta hai jahan price ko kuch support mil sakta hai, traders ko partial profits lene ya apni positions ko adjust karne par majboor karte hue. Agar bearish sentiment mazid strong hota hai, to further declines expected hain jo naye support levels tak le ja sakte hain jahan traders target kar sakte hain.

Euro ke dollar ke muqable mein izafa, Jumeraat ko roka gaya jab ghair mutawaqqa tor par mazboot US data ne Federal Reserve ke sukoonat ki skimen per dobara fikar ko janam dia. Europe aur US dono ke positive ma'ashi data ne pehlay euro ko barhaya, magar US services industry PMI ka 51.3 se 54.8 ka chalang umeed se zyada tha, jis se investors dollar mein panah lene lage kyun ke isay aik mehfooz currency samjha jata hai. Ye data, September mein Fed ke taraf se aik significant rate cut ke intezar ko kam kar diya. Hafte ke aghaz mein September rate cut ki umeed thi, lekin ab interest rate traders ko aik choti cut bhi mushkil lag rahi hai. Ye tabdeeli, market ke pehlay intezar ke muqable mein kaafi mukhtalif hai, jo ke 2024 ke akhir tak kam az kam che rate cuts ke mutawaqqa tha. May ke aakhir tak, rate cut ke umeed kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, kuch investors sirf December ke aakhir mein ek move ka imkaan dekh rahe hain. Aage dekhte hue, Germany ke pehle quarter ke GDP figures se kuch stability 0.2% par umeed hai. US durable goods orders bhi April ke liye shamil hain, jisme 0.8% kami ka imkaan hai. Ye pichle mahine ke mazboot 2.6% izafa ke baad hoga.
Technical front par, euro ko 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke levels par muzahmat ka samna hai. Agar kharidaar in rukawaton ko paar kar lein, to 1.0940 level ka dobara test mumkin hai. Agle izafay ka target 1.0980-1.1000 zone ho sakta hai, jo ke traders ke liye aik ahm muzahmat ka area hai. Doosri taraf, agar euro 1.0814 support level se neeche girta hai, to aik breakout ho sakta hai. Ye breakout, 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke 1.0785 ke kareeb, downtrend line ka test mumkin bana sakta hai. Barqarar selling pressure se 20-day moving average 1.0765 par temporary support mil sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karna 1.0720 level ke breach ko dekh sakta hai, jo ke aik bearish trend ko tasdeek kar sakta hai. Akhir mein, euro ka foran outlook is baat par mabni hai ke wo 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke aspas ke muzahmat ko paar kar sakta hai ke nahi. Agar ye rukawat door ho jati hai, to euro kuch upside potential dekh sakta hai. Magar, 1.0814 support level se neeche break karna aik nai selling wave ko trigger kar sakta hai

USD pair ne hal hi mein US dollar ke weakening ki wajah se ek significant upswing dekha hai. Is upswing ka mukhya karan hai Federal Reserve ke monetary policy mein kuch changes ke expectations, jo ki investors ko dollar se bharosa kam kar raha hai. Iske alawa, Eurozone ki economic data mein kuch improvement bhi is upswing ko support kar rahi hai.Ab, EUR/USD pair lagbhag 1.0868 area ke aas-pass hover kar raha hai. Is level ka mahatva hai, kyonki yeh ek crucial support zone hai. Agar pair is area ke upar rehta hai, to yeh ek bullish trend ka sign ho sakta hai, jabki agar yeh area toot jata hai, toh bearish momentum ka indication ho sakta hai. Is upswing ko samajhne ke liye, hamein US dollar ke recent performance ko dekhna zaroori hai. US dollar ki kamzori ke peechhe kuch factors shamil hain, jaise ke Federal Reserve ke dovish comments, jismein unhone stagflation ke khadshan ko zikr kiya, aur expectations ke according, wo interest rates ko stable rakhein ge ya phir kisi had tak decrease kar sakte hain. Isi tarah se, US economic data bhi thoda kamzor raha hai, jo ki dollar ko pressure mein dal raha hai. Ek aur mukhya factor Eurozone ke economic conditions ka hai. Eurozone mein economic recovery ke signs dikh rahe hain, jaise ke manufacturing sector mein growth aur unemployment mein thodi kamzori. ECB ke monetary policy ke support se, Eurozone ki economy mein stability aur growth ke expectations badh rahi hain, jo ki Euro ko strong kar raha hai. Is waqt, market sentiment bhi EUR/USD pair ke movement par asar daal raha hai. Investor sentiment mein kisi bhi change ke liye, geopolitical tensions aur global economic conditions ka bhi zikr kiya jata hai. Agar market sentiment positive raha, toh EUR/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Technical analysis bhi yeh dikhata hai ki EUR/USD pair ab crucial support level ke paas hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh bullish momentum ko aur bhi strengthen kiya ja sakta hai. Moving averages aur other technical indicators bhi yeh suggest kar rahe hain ki short-term mein upward movement expected hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair ke recent upswing mein multiple factors ka asar hai, including US dollar ki kamzori aur Eurozone ki economic recovery. Ab, 1.0868 area ka support level ek important point hai, jise observe kiya ja raha hai, aur market sentiment aur technical analysis ke saath mila kar is pair ka future direction decide kiya ja sakta hai.

HAPPY KILLER EUR/USD TRADING DISCUSSION
H4 ghantay ka manzar nama:

Hum ne sirf is haftay kaam shuru kiya hai, lekin pehle se hi EUR/USD mein izafa ke liye acha moassar mojood hai. Aesa lagta hai ke wo dobara unhi naalon se guzrenge, jo do haftay pehle chhor diye gaye thay, aur phir se lamba waqt unmein nahi guzra. Hum Wednesday ke qareeb jaa rahe hain, jo ke aik mazboot din hoga, jis par hum EUR/USD mein shayad kuch sau points hasil kar sakte hain. Humare samne aik muntaqil din hai. Magar zahir hai ke humein Wednesday raat tak intezaar karna parega, haalaanki CPI dopahar mein hoga, jo ke har koi Powell ki kya baat karega samajhne ke liye intezaar kar raha hai. Magar uska tasalsul nahi hoga. Balke, wo zahir karega ke kam ke bazaar waqai mein mazboot ho raha hai, aur agar maaloomaat mein izafa hota hai, to woh na sirf darayein barhaenge, balkay unhen ghatane ke bhi iraade hain, aur unho ne May mein wajah bhi taey kiya tha. Ye kaisey guzrega. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke EUR/USD jodi mein ek ooper ki taraf ke harkat ki mumkinat hai. Lagta hai ke kharidaron ka iraada hai ke woh mojooda raftar ko jari rakhne ka irada rakhtay hain jab tak asaasi factors nahi tabdeel hote. Halanki ek bearish trend bhi mumkin hai, is surat mein ab mojooda raftar se mukhalif muddat ka inteqal kiya jaye ga. Mili hui maaloomaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein mojooda harkat ko jari rakhne ki raay hai. Lagta hai ke ab waqt aya hai ke EUR/USD jodi par aik naya trend shuru kiya jaye. Haal mein is taraf bohot si ishaarey hain, aur mood badalne ki koshishen abhi tak dhyaan nahi attract kar saki hain. Breaking news ka reaction qareeb mustaqbil mein shuru ho jayega, aur hum zyada bazaar ki sargarmi dekhenge kuch haftay aagey.

euro ke dollar ke muqable mein izafa, Jumeraat ko roka gaya jab ghair mutawaqqa tor par mazboot US data ne Federal Reserve ke sukoonat ki skimen per dobara fikar ko janam dia. Europe aur US dono ke positive ma'ashi data ne pehlay euro ko barhaya, magar US services industry PMI ka 51.3 se 54.8 ka chalang umeed se zyada tha, jis se investors dollar mein panah lene lage kyun ke isay aik mehfooz currency samjha jata hai. Ye data, September mein Fed ke taraf se aik significant rate cut ke intezar ko kam kar diya. Hafte ke aghaz mein September rate cut ki umeed thi, lekin ab interest rate traders ko aik choti cut bhi mushkil lag rahi hai. Ye tabdeeli, market ke pehlay intezar ke muqable mein kaafi mukhtalif hai, jo ke 2024 ke akhir tak kam az kam che rate cuts ke mutawaqqa tha. May ke aakhir tak, rate cut ke umeed kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, kuch investors sirf December ke aakhir mein ek move ka imkaan dekh rahe hain. Aage dekhte hue, Germany ke pehle quarter ke GDP figures se kuch stability 0.2% par umeed hai. US durable goods orders bhi April ke liye shamil hain, jisme 0.8% kami ka imkaan hai. Ye pichle mahine ke mazboot 2.6% izafa ke baad hoga.
Technical front par, euro ko 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke levels par muzahmat ka samna hai. Agar kharidaar in rukawaton ko paar kar lein, to 1.0940 level ka dobara test mumkin hai. Agle izafay ka target 1.0980-1.1000 zone ho sakta hai, jo ke traders ke liye aik ahm muzahmat ka area hai. Doosri taraf, agar euro 1.0814 support level se neeche girta hai, to aik breakout ho sakta hai. Ye breakout, 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke 1.0785 ke kareeb, downtrend line ka test mumkin bana sakta hai. Barqarar selling pressure se 20-day moving average 1.0765 par temporary support mil sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karna 1.0720 level ke breach ko dekh sakta hai, jo ke aik bearish trend ko tasdeek kar sakta hai. Akhir mein, euro ka foran outlook is baat par mabni hai ke wo 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke aspas ke muzahmat ko paar kar sakta hai ke nahi. Agar ye rukawat door ho jati hai, to euro kuch upside potential dekh sakta hai. Magar, 1.0814 support level se neeche break karna aik nai selling wave ko trigger kar sakta hai

Haal hi mein maine dekha hai ke pound aur dollar dono euro ke khilaaf aik hi raaste mein chal sakte hain. Ye yeh ishara karta hai ke jab dollar buland hota hai aur euro kamzor hota hai, to pound bhi barh sakti hai, lekin itni zyada nahi jitna hum chahte hain. Is ke ilawa, mazeed maeeshati halaat aur saamaaji maamlaat ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Misal ke tor par, Brexit muzakraat mein kisi bhi ghair mutawaqa tabdeeliyan, UK ki maeeshati policies mein tabdeeliyan, ya dunyawi ahem waqiyaat sab GBP/USD jodi ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Market ka jazbaat taizi se badal sakta hai in ahem waqiyaat ka jawab dete hue, aur traders ko apni strategies ko mutabiq rakhne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. June ko yeh uljhan paish aa sakti hai in tazadon ki wajah se. Sardi ke mahine aam tor par trading volumes ko kam karte hain, jo ke bade trades ko absorb karne ke liye kam traders market mein hote hain. Ye mahol maaloomaat ya koi bhi khabron ke izhaar ke doraan currency pair mein numaaindah harkaton ke moqaat paida kar sakta hai.

Mazeed, takneeki indicators ko bhi nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhna ahem hai. Maslan, moving averages, RSI, aur MACD trends ya potential reversals ka mazeed tasdeeq faraham kar sakte hain. In indicators par nazar rakhna traders ko zyada maqbool faislon par madad faraham kar sakta hai aur unke trades ke liye behtareen dakhil aur nikalne ke points ka pata lagane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke July bhi in mukhtalif factors ki wajah se dilchaspi ka hamil hoga. Jaise ke hum saal ke inteha tak pahunchein, market ke hissedar central bank actions, maeeshati maaloomat ke izhaar, aur kisi bhi aur development ko nazar andaaz kar rahe honge jo currency markets par asar daal sakta hai. Ye dor challenges aur opportunities dono ka saamna kar sakta hai, jo traders ko unke trading strategies mein hushyar aur mutaqabil rehne ki zaroorat hai.

EUR/USD


In hurdles ko overcome karne ke liye, 1.0940 level ka retest hona likely hai. Aage ke gains phir 1.0980-1.1000 zone ko target kar sakte hain, jo traders ke liye ek significant resistance area hai. Dusri taraf, agar euro 1.0814 support level ke neeche girta hai, toh ek breakout ho sakta hai. Yeh breakout potentially downtrend line aur 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke near 1.0785 ko test kar sakta hai. Persistent selling pressure phir 20-day moving average par 1.0765 offer temporary support de sakta hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh 1.0720 level breach ho sakta hai, jo potentially bearish trend ko confirm karega. Conclusion yeh hai ke euro ka immediate outlook iski ability par hinge karta hai ke yeh 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke around resistance ko overcome kar sake. Agar yeh hurdle clear hoti hai, toh euro mein upside potential dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, agar 1.0814 support level ke neeche break hota hai, toh fresh wave of selling trigger ho sakti hai. Is waqt, EUR/USD price ko various technical tools use karke closely monitor kiya ja raha hai.



RSI (Relative Strength Index) ek momentum indicator hai jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai. Agar RSI reading 70 se upar ho, toh yeh suggest karta hai ke pair overbought hai, jabke 30 se neeche reading oversold conditions indicate karti hai. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) trend ke direction aur potential reversal points ko identify karne ke liye use hoti hai. Bollinger Bands bhi significant hain kyunke yeh ek middle band (usually SMA) aur do outer bands se consist hoti hain jo middle band se standard deviations door hoti hain. Jab price upper band ki taraf move karti hai, toh yeh overbought conditions indicate karti hai, aur jab lower band ki taraf move karti hai, toh yeh oversold conditions suggest karti hai. Additional indicators jaise ke Stochastic Oscillator aur Demand Index further confirmation provide karte hain, jabke Average True Range (ATR) market volatility measure karta hai.

EUR/USD ki current price bhi zigzag indicator se influence hoti hai, jo significant price changes ko identify karne aur market noise ko filter karne mein madad karta hai. Yeh indicator price movements ko highlight karta hai by drawing lines between key price points, jisse overall direction aur trend changes dekhna asaan hota hai. Demand Index, jo price aur volume ko combine karke buying aur selling pressure indicate karta hai, dusra tool hai jo traders use karte hain potential price movements predict karne ke liye. Jab Demand Index positive hota hai, toh yeh suggest karta hai ke buying pressure selling pressure se zyada hai, aur vice versa.

Daily timeframe ko examine karne ke baad, main half-hour chart analyze karna chahta hoon. Yeh bhi further purchases ke liye strong signal show karta hai, indicated by a breakdown of the resistance line at 1.0847. Upper border of the channel ko break karne ke baad aur resistance line ko top se bottom test karne ki unsuccessful attempt ke baad, ek rebound 1.0845 level se hua. EUR/USD pair ne rise continue kiya, 1.0869 ko reach kiya, aur ab 1.0853 par trade kar raha hai. Minor correction ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke uptrend continue hoga, aur bulls ka target pehle northern channel ka upper border aur eventually last local maximum at 1.0889 hoga. EUR/USD pair ek clear trading range mein rehta hai, aur further gains ka potential hai.

In hurdles ko overcome karne ke liye, 1.0940 level ka retest hone ke chances hain. Agar further gains hoti hain to next target 1.0980-1.1000 zone hoga, jo traders ke liye ek significant resistance area hai. Agar euro 1.0814 support level se neeche girta hai, to ek breakout ho sakta hai. Yeh breakout potentially downtrend line aur 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke near 1.0785 ko test kar sakta hai. Persistent selling pressure 20-day moving average ko 1.0765 par temporary support provide kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai to 1.0720 level breach hone ke chances hain, jo ek bearish trend ko confirm kar sakta hai. In conclusion, euro ka immediate outlook uski ability par depend karta hai ke woh 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke resistance ko overcome kar sakta hai ya nahi. Agar yeh hurdle clear hoti hai, to euro mein upside potential dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.0814 support level se neeche break hota hai to fresh wave of selling trigger ho sakti hai.

Filhal, EUR/USD price ko traders various technical tools se closely monitor kar rahe hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) ek momentum indicator hai jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai. RSI reading 70 se above suggest karti hai ke pair overbought hai, jabke 30 se below reading indicate karti hai ke pair oversold hai. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) trend ki direction aur potential reversal points identify karne ke liye use hoti hai. Bollinger Bands bhi significant hain, inki middle band (usually ek SMA) aur do outer bands standard deviations away from the middle band hoti hain. Jab price upper band ki taraf move karti hai to overbought conditions indicate hoti hain, aur jab lower band ki taraf move karti hai to oversold conditions suggest hoti hain. Additionally, Stochastic Oscillator aur Demand Index price movement ki further confirmation dete hain, jabke Average True Range (ATR) market volatility measure karta hai.

EUR/USD ka current price zigzag indicator se bhi influenced hai, jo significant price changes ko identify karta hai aur market noise ko filter karta hai. Yeh indicator key price points ke beech lines draw karke price movements ko highlight karta hai, jis se overall direction aur trend changes dekhne mein aasani hoti hai. Demand Index jo price aur volume ko combine karta hai buying aur selling pressure indicate karne ke liye, ek aur tool hai jo traders use karte hain potential price movements predict karne ke liye. Jab Demand Index positive hota hai to yeh suggest karta hai ke buying pressure selling pressure se zyada hai, aur vice versa.

Daily timeframe ko examine karne ke baad, main half-hour chart ko analyze karna chahta hoon. Yeh bhi further purchases ke liye strong signal show karta hai, jo resistance line 1.0847 ka breakdown se indicate hota hai. Upper border of the channel ke break hone aur resistance line ko top to bottom se test karne ki unsuccessful attempt ke baad, 1.0845 level se rebound hua. EUR/USD pair continued to rise, reaching 1.0869, aur ab 1.0853 par trade ho raha hai. Minor correction ke bawajood, main expect karta hoon ke uptrend continue hoga, with the target for bulls pehle upper border of the northern channel aur eventually last local maximum at 1.0889 hoga. EUR/USD pair ek clear trading range mein hai, aur further gains ke potential hain.

H4 Hour Time Frame Outlook:

EURUSD currency pair ke price movements ke taraqqi ko H4 time frame mein dekha gaya, jo ke wakai mein guzishta raat ke trading session mein nazar aaya jahan candlestick bearish movement ke saath aik wide range mein chala gaya, lekin graph par dekha ja sakta hai ke price Simple Moving Average indicators 60 aur 150 ke qareeb jane ki koshish kar raha hai jo ke aik upward correction movement hai. Market trend jo ke abhi tak bearish hai, mojooda side-ways movement shayad is wajah se hai ke market abhi tak subah hai jaise aksar hota hai. Mojudah market situation se lagta hai ke bearish trend ki taraf high level mein SELL transaction ka area dhoondhne ka ab bhi mauqa hai.

Aur aakhir mein, maine kai indicators dwara dikhaye gaye technical data par nazar dalne ki koshish ki. Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ke Lime Line ke liye, position abhi bhi level 30 par hai. Ye bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke MACD indicator par histogram bar ka position bhi level 0 se bohot door neeche gir gaya hai aik lamba shape ke saath, jo ke ek dotted yellow signal ke saath bhi hai jo ke bearishness ko dikhata hai jo ke Monday ko tha. Candlestick ka position abhi tak Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche hai jo meri raaye mein EURUSD ke price ko bearish direction mein trend jaari rakhne ki tasveer hai.

Nateeja:

Is bohot roshan subah ki tafseelati tehqeeq ke aik aakhir mein, kuch indicators hain jo bearish trend ke jaari rehne ki mumkin sambhaavna ko dikhate hain, is liye meri raaye mein EURUSD currency pair abhi tak neechay ki raah par jaari rakhne ke liye mumkin hai kyun ke zyadatar indicators ab bhi ek behtar market ko dikhate hain jo ke seller troops ke zyadati se muntaqil hai. Aik kaafi acha faisla jo ke munafa faraham kar sakta hai woh hai ke trend ke rukh mein trade karna jo ke abhi tak bearish rukh mein hai.