𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

/USD pair ne charts par 1.0900 level ke upar rehne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, band hone ke bawajood neeche aaya lekin itna recover kiya ke 200-day EMA ki gehri jaanch se door ho gaya. US CPI inflation rate ka headline, September ke fiscal year ke doran, ummeed se kam ghat kar 2.4% par aa gaya, jo pehle 2.5% tha. Median forecast ke mutabiq saalana growth 2.4% hone ki umeed hai. Doosri taraf, US core CPI inflation rate September mein saalana buniyad par thoda barh kar 3.3% ho gaya, jabke pehle yeh 3.2% tha.
October 4 tak ke hafte mein, unemployment benefits ke liye darkhwast dene walon ki tadaad umeed se zyada barh kar 258,000 tak pahunch gayi, jo pichle mahine ke muqablay mein hai aur June 2023 ke baad se naye jobless claims ka sab se uncha level hai. Is ne interest rate markets mein halchal daal di. Barhte hue unemployment ne is baat ki umeed barhadi ke Federal Reserve interest rates ko ghatane ki koshish karega taake US labor market ko kaam karta rahe, jabke inflation ab bhi uncha hai, jo investors ke liye rate cuts ke tezi se hone ki ummeed karna mushkil bana raha hai.

Friday ko major European economic data ki kami ne fiber traders ko overall dollar flows ke liye exposed chhod diya jab trading week khatam ho raha hai. Inflation ke baad, US Producer Price Index (PPI) bhi US market session ke doran release kiya jayega. Core PPI ka saalana rate September ke liye 2.7% hone ki umeed hai, jo pehle ke 2.4% se ghatne ki umeed hai. University of Michigan ka 5-year consumer inflation forecast bhi Friday ko release hoga, saath hi consumer confidence index bhi. University of Melbourne ka sentiment index 70.8 tak barhne ki umeed hai, jabke pichle mahine yeh 70.1 tha, lekin 5-year consumer confidence outlook umeed se kam hai, halanke index pichle mahine barhai

Sabse pehla factor macroeconomic indicators hain jo EUR/USD ke aglay bade move ka taayun karte hain. Eurozone abhi slow economic growth, inflation ka pressure, aur energy prices ke hawalay se uncertainties ka samna kar raha hai, khaaskar Eastern Europe ki geopolitical tensions ke sabab se. In factors ne European Central Bank (ECB) par zyada aggressive monetary measures lene ka dabao dala hai, taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake aur growth ko barqarar rakha ja sake. Agar ECB kisi bhi major policy mein tabdeeli karta hai, to EUR/USD pair mein significant fluctuations aa sakti hain.
Dosri taraf, US dollar ne Federal Reserve ki hawkish interest rate policy ki wajah se kaafi stability dikhayi hai. Fed ne inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates mein lagatar izafa kiya hai, jis se dollar ki attractiveness investors ke liye barh gayi hai jo higher yields ke talash mein hain. Magar, monetary policy ke is tightening se US economy ki growth bhi risk mein aa sakti hai, aur agar US economic data mein koi weakness nazar aayi, to dollar ki strength kamzor ho sakti hai. Aise surat mein, EUR/USD pair mein bullish correction aa sakta hai jahan euro dobara apni position recover kar sakta hai.

Short term mein, EUR/USD pair mein low volatility ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai, jab tak market mein koi wazeh signal nahi milta. Lekin economic calendar par kuch important events jaise ke European aur US inflation data, unemployment figures, aur central bank ke announcements, iss pair ke liye catalyst ka kaam kar sakte hain aur pronounced move ko trigger kar sakte hain. Agar price kisi key support level ko break karta hai, to ek deeper decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jabke agar yeh level se bounce back karta hai, to yeh ek trend reversal aur buying opportunity ka ishara ho sakta hai.

In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh andaza lagana durust hoga ke EUR/USD pair mein jald ek bara move dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh move euro ke haq mein hoga ya dollar ke, yeh largely upcoming economic data par aur central banks ke actions par depend karta hai. Traders ko hamesha hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, aur key levels par nazar rakhte hue apni trading decisions leni chahiye

EUR/USD Price Recap Roman Urdu mein:

Hamari guftagu ka mauzo EUR/USD currency pair ke mojuoda price behavior ka jaiza lena hai. Mid-term outlook ke liye EUR/USD trend mein tabdili ke hawale se baat karna filhal thoda jaldi lagta hai. Mojuoda daily uptrend takreeban 1.0999 ya thoda neeche chal raha hai. Agar ye trend line break nahi hoti, toh upward momentum barqarar reh sakta hai. Magar, akhirkar sellers is trend ko torenge aur medium-term trend neeche ki taraf shift hoga. Ek corrective rebound ka bhi imkaan hai. Iske bawajood, kuch analysts predict karte hain ke yeh pair pichle saal ke high 1.1274 ko break karega aur apni growth jari rakhega. Non-farm payrolls mein izafa hoga, jiska matlab yeh hai ke pair dopahar mein barh sakta hai, jab traders positive U.S. employment results ka intezar kar rahe honge. Agar aisa hota hai, toh correction Asian ya European sessions mein mukhtasir reh sakti hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, koi dollars kharidne ka soch sakta hai ya news ka intezar karke market ke reaction ke mutabiq trade kar sakta hai.

Ham EUR/USD currency pair ke mojuoda price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Aik dilchasp situation saamne aayi hai. Tuesday ko, asset ka price 1.1060 tak pohcha. 30-minute chart downward trend ko dikha raha hai, magar sirf 7 minutes mein engulfing candle close hone ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upward reverse kar sakta hai. Do red pin bars neeche dikhe, jo slight upward retracement ka sabab bane. Main khareedna chahta hoon, magar mera pending order neeche, 1.1009 par set hai, jo ke mojuoda price se 49 points neeche hai. Main market ke response ka intezar karoon ga, aur filhal monitoring mode mein hoon. Din ke aakhir mein news flow kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai, isliye aik bechain raat intezar mein hai. Friday ka session agle hafte ke liye zyada insights ya hints dega. Filhal, pair ko bechna behtareen raasta lagta hai. Trading strategy ke liye good luck. Filhal bechna zyada mehfooz lagta hai.

Ghar baithe paise kamayein.

1.0937 EUR/USD.

**EUR/USD Outlook Analysis in Roman Urdu:**

EUR/USD ke H4 time frame chart par, kal, jumme ko pair ne sideways ya range-bound movement dikhayi, jahan kharidaar aur farokht karne walay dono barabar takat mein nazar aaye. Market aik narrow range mein confined tha, jahan support area mazbooti se 1.0927 price level par hold kar raha tha, aur resistance kisi bhi upward move ko 1.0954 ke qareeb rok raha tha. Yeh limited movement is baat ki nishani thi ke koi bhi side mein decisive momentum nahi tha, kyun ke bulls aur bears dono apne respective key levels ko tod nahi sake. Jaise jaise din guzarta gaya, pair inhi levels ke darmiyan hover karta raha, jo market mein indecision ko zahir karta hai. Market session ke close ke qareeb, yeh stalemate barqarar rahi, kyun ke traders ahem economic events aur data releases ka intezar kar rahe the jo pair ke direction ko asar-andaz kar sakti thi. Yeh baat ke koi clear breakout nahi hua, yeh suggest karti hai ke buyers aur sellers dono apni positions mein commit karne se pehle concrete signals ka intezar kar rahe the.

EUR/USD abhi critical support aur resistance zones ke darmiyan phansa hua hai, jo consolidation phase ka ishara de raha hai. 1.0927 support level ek ahem area hai jahan buyers neeche jaane se rok rahe hain, jab ke 1.0954 resistance zone kisi bhi meaningful bullish breakout ko roknay mein kaamyaab hai. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke kisi bhi direction mein breakout agle significant move ka signal de sakta hai. Agar 1.0954 ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh higher levels ki taraf bullish run ka rasta khol sakta hai, jab ke agar 1.0927 ka break hota hai, to aur zyada downside pressure aa sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke H1 time frame chart par, jab ke current trend clearly bearish hai, kuch ahem wajuhat hain ke agle kuch dinon mein pair significant movement dekh sakta hai. Recent downtrend aksar mazboot US dollar ki wajah se hai, jo ke solid economic data aur Federal Reserve ki hawkish stance se barhawa mili hai. Magar, yeh bearish trend jaldi shift ho sakti hai jab market participants European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke impactful policy announcements ke intezar mein hain. Technical perspective se, traders ko key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Current support zone ke qareeb 1.0900 aik crucial level hai, kyun ke agar is level ka break hota hai, to bearish trend aur zyada extend ho sakti hai. Uper ki taraf, resistance 1.0950 ke qareeb buyers ke liye aik hurdle ban sakta hai agar pair recovery karne ki koshish karta hai. Iske ilawa, momentum indicators jaise ke RSI potential oversold conditions ka ishara de rahe hain, jo suggest karte hain ke agar buying interest barhta hai, to rebound ho sakta hai.

Jab ke current trend abhi bhi bearish hai EUR/USD ke H1 time frame par, traders ko upcoming policy announcements from ECB aur Fed se nikalnay wali volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Yeh events market mein nayi opportunities paida kar sakti hain buyers aur sellers ke liye, jo monetary policy mein badlaav ka response de sakte hain.

**EUR/USD Price Action Analysis:**

Hamari nazar EUR/USD ke price action par hai. Ye currency pair ek mushkil daur se guzar raha hai aur filhal key support zone 1.0947 ke qareeb hai. Aakhri teen dinon mein, pair kisi bhi ahm harkat mein nakam raha hai, jise Doji candles ke banne se darshaya gaya hai, jo market ki indecision ko signal dete hain. In signals ke bawajood, bullish traders faida uthane mein nakam rahe hain, kyunki buyers mein ab bhi hichkichahat hai, jo zyada prominent support levels ki taraf price ke aane ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pair abhi bhi 200-period moving average se kuch door hai, jo magenta line se darshaya gaya hai aur agar ye test hota hai to ye mazid mazboot support faraham kar sakta hai. Retail aur novice traders ko hamesha ehtiyaat baratne ki salah di jati hai aur jaldi trading decisions lene se bachna chahiye, kyunki market mein waqt se pehle entry lene se nuksan ho sakta hai.

Is hafte ki shuruat mein, pair ne 1.1205 resistance level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin ye nakam rahe, jo ek tez girawat ki taraf le gaya. Is girawat ne 34- aur 200-day moving averages ko tod diya, jo bearish sentiment ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Iske ilawa, stronger U.S. Dollar Index, jo ke positive U.S. economic conditions se taqat pa raha hai, pair par pressure daal raha hai.

**Current Market Sentiment:**

Jahan overall sentiment bearish hai, wahin bulls 1.0947 level ke qareeb temporary support dhoond rahe hain, jo kai tests mein mazboot raha hai. Lekin in bullish rebounds ki muddat choti hoti hai, aur prices ko upar le jaane ke liye koi lasting momentum nahi hai. Agar price is key support zone ke neeche chali jati hai, to ye broader downtrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq kar sakta hai. Iske muqabil, agar pair in levels par buying interest ko attract kar sake, to ek bullish reversal mumkin hai. Traders ko key technical indicators, jaise ke 200-period moving average aur U.S. Dollar Index ki taqat ko nazar mein rakhte hue apne decisions lene chahiye.

Market jab ek critical crossroads par hai, retail traders ko clear signals ka intezar karna chahiye positions enter karne se pehle. Agar highlighted support zone ke neeche break hota hai, to ye mazeed girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jab ke agar strong bounce hota hai to ye bullish rally ke liye mauqe faraham kar sakta hai. Jab tak koi clear direction samne nahi aata, patience aur careful observation is highly volatile environment mein zaroori hai.

**Trading Strategy:**

Sell position 1.09975 resistance level se lena behtar lagta hai, jis ka stop order 1.0000 par hoga. Profit target 1.09108 support level par hai. Mein limit sell order ke execution ki umeed kar raha hoon aur expect karta hoon ke ye profit zone ki taraf badhega. Trade ke doran mein position ka kuch hissa band kar sakta hoon, jab ke baqi hissa desired profit tak pohanch sakta hai. EUR/USD pair abhi bhi upar ki taraf movement ko resist kar raha hai. Kuch buy positions band kar di gayi hain, lekin zyada tar khuli hain. Jaise jaise pair girta hai, mein buys ko aur bhi add karne ka ghor karunga. Agar pair pehle target 1.0919 ke neeche girta hai aur ye hold karta hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke downward move 1.0879 tak chalega. Agar pair 1.0928 ko break karne mein nakam rahe, to mujhe umeed hai ke 1.0999 ki taraf ek corrective bounce hoga, lekin mazeed gains is par depend karenge ke kya pair upar ja sakta hai ya nahi.

chal rahi hai. Aaj, yeh southward correction ke phase mein hai aur abhi 1.0914 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Ab agar hum market ke agle movements ko dekhein, to Euro ka northward trend continue karne ki possibility hai. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to Euro apni growth ko extend kar sakta hai. Yeh growth target range tak ja sakti hai jo ke 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels par formed hai, jo chart par orange color mein indicated hai.
Ab market ke behavior ko samajhna zaroori hai. Jab Euro ne 1.0886 se correction li aur SR level 1.0921 ko break kiya, to yeh clear hota hai ke upward momentum strong hai. Lekin aaj ki southward correction market ka ek natural part hai, jo short-term profit-taking aur market adjustments ko reflect karti hai. Aise moments ko trading strategies mein dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.
Agar Euro price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko extend karne ki indication hogi. Is case mein, 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels tak growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh target levels aapke trading plans mein key levels honge, jo aapke decision-making process ko influence karenge.
Aaj ke trading scenario ko dekhte hue, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein. Market me fluctuations aur short-term corrections common hain, aur inhe consider karte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke niche consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai, jo ke downward pressure ko indicate karega.
In trading scenarios ko analyze karte hue, traders ko long-term trends aur short-term corrections dono ko consider karna chahiye. Agar long-term bullish trend intact rehta hai, to short-term corrections ko ek opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Aapko apne trading strategy ko market ke current conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga.
Toh, aaj ke trading session ko conclude karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein aur key levels par focus karein. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to aapko upward trend ki continuation dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
uro ne North American trading mein halka sa rebound dekha jabke Asian session ke doran isne khaas nuqsan uthaya. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai.

EUR/USD ke mid-term outlook mein kisi shift ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldbazi lagti hai. Waqt-e-haazir ka daily uptrend 1.0999 ya is se thora neechay hai, aur jab tak yeh trend line nahi toot'ti, upward momentum barqarar reh sakti hai. Magar akhirkar sellers push karte hue medium-term trend ko downward shift kar sakte hain, aur aik corrective rebound ki umeed hai. Baaz tajziya karne walon ka khayal hai ke yeh pair pichlay saal ki high 1.1274 ko break kar ke apni growth jari rakh sakta hai.Non-farm payrolls ke growth ki umeed hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh EUR/USD ke price mein afternoon mein izafa ho sakta hai, kyunkay traders positive U.S. employment results ke muntazir hain. Agar yeh sab hota hai, toh correction Asian ya European sessions ke duran mukhtasir ho sakta hai. Is surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, koi dollars khareedne ka soch sakta hai ya phir news ka intezaar kar ke market ke reaction ke mutabiq trade kar sakta hai.Abhi ke liye, EUR/USD ke price behavior mein ek dilchasp surat-e-haal paida hui hai. Tuesday ko asset ki price 1.1060 tak pohch gayi thi. 30-minute chart downward trend dikhata hai, lekin sirf saat minute mein engulfing candle band hone ke qareeb thi, jo ke price ko upward reverse kar sakti hai. Neeche do red pin bars ne slight upward retracement ka sabab bana. Mera pending order is waqt thora neeche, 1.1009 par, jo ke abhi ke current price se 49 points neeche hai. Mein intezaar kar raha hoon dekhne ke liye ke market meri order ko kaise respond karta hai, filhal monitoring mode mein hoon. Din ke aakhir mein news flow significant lagta hai, toh lagta hai aaj ki raat bechain guzraygi. Friday ka session aglay hafte ke liye zyada insight ya hints dega. Abhi ke liye, behtar hoga ke selling par focus kiya jaye, aur good luck trading strategy ke liye. Selling is waqt zyada safe bet lagti hai. Akhir mein, EUR/USD abhi bearish phase mein hai, lekin dheere pace se move kar raha hai. Traders ko central bank announcements, economic data, aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunkay yeh aglay bare move ke catalysts ho sakte hain. Ahem baat yeh hai ke hoshiyaar rahna aur new information ke mutabiq informed rehna zaroori hai, kyunkay market kisi bhi waqt shift kar sakta hai.

rahi hai. Aaj, yeh southward correction ke phase mein hai aur abhi 1.0914 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Ab agar hum market ke agle movements ko dekhein, to Euro ka northward trend continue karne ki possibility hai. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to Euro apni growth ko extend kar sakta hai. Yeh growth target range tak ja sakti hai jo ke 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels par formed hai, jo chart par orange color mein indicated hai. Ab market ke behavior ko samajhna zaroori hai. Jab Euro ne 1.0886 se correction li aur SR level 1.0921 ko break kiya, to yeh clear hota hai ke upward momentum strong hai. Lekin aaj ki southward correction market ka ek natural part hai, jo short-term profit-taking aur market adjustments ko reflect karti hai. Aise moments ko trading strategies mein dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.
Agar Euro price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko extend karne ki indication hogi. Is case mein, 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels tak growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh target levels aapke trading plans mein key levels honge, jo aapke decision-making process ko influence karenge.
Aaj ke trading scenario ko dekhte hue, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein. Market me fluctuations aur short-term corrections common hain, aur inhe consider karte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke niche consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai, jo ke downward pressure ko indicate karega.
In trading scenarios ko analyze karte hue, traders ko long-term trends aur short-term corrections dono ko consider karna chahiye. Agar long-term bullish trend intact rehta hai, to short-term corrections ko ek opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Aapko apne trading strategy ko market ke current conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga.
Toh, aaj ke trading session ko conclude karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein aur key levels par focus karein. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to aapko upward trend ki continuation dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
uro ne North American trading mein halka sa rebound dekha jabke Asian session ke doran isne khaas nuqsan uthaya. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle ek

**EUR/USD Ka Tajziya**

Yeh currency pair apni haal ki faidaat ko barqarar rakhne mein pareshani ka samna kar raha hai, do din ki positive movement ke baad, jab yeh U.S. session ke doran aik tang trading range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Filhal, spot prices 1.1180 ke aham level se thoda upar hain, jab ke dealers aham U.S. ma'ashi data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD lagbhag 1.1140 par trade ho raha hai. Aage dekhte hue, Euro bulls aham resistance levels par tawajju de rahe hain, jin mein haal ka high 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka peak 1.1276 shamil hain. Neeche ki taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level mazeed girawat ke khilaf ek rukawat ban sakta hai. In resistance aur support levels ka balance jo hai, woh currency pair ke qareebi performance ke liye ehtiyaati umeed ko darshata hai.

### EUR/USD Ke Bunyadi Aspects

Aakhri data ne Eurozone ko darpesh ma'ashi challenges ko ujagar kiya hai, khaaskar iske do bara ma'ashi aqaid mein. July mein, Germany ka industrial production 2.4% ki aham kami se gira, jab ke umeed thi ke sirf 0.3% ka girawat hoga. France mein bhi industrial output 0.5% ke downtrend ka shikaar raha. Yeh niraashjanak figures Euro ke liye bearish outlook ko janam dete hain, jo ke ek Reuters survey mein nazar aata hai, jo 30 August se 5 September tak conduct kiya gaya. Is survey mein, 85% economists ne andaaza lagaya ke European Central Bank (ECB) agle meetings mein interest rate cuts implement karega.

In ma'ashi challenges ko dekhte hue, kuch ECB officials rate cuts ke amal se pur sukoon hain. ECB ke Executive Board ke rukun Piero Cipollone ne aik interview mein kaha ke ECB ka stance "too restrictive" ho sakta hai. Yeh jazba Eurozone ki ma'ashi surat-e-haal ke bare mein badhte hue fikr ko darshata hai aur monetary policy mein tabdeeli ki sambhavna ko barhata hai.

### EUR/USD Ka Technical Tajziya

1.1150 ke level par faidaat ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ke bawajood, EUR/USD ka qareebi tajziya ehtiyaati umeed rakhta hai. Yeh pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas support dhoond raha hai, jo filhal 1.1157 par hai. Is ke ilawa, lambay arse ke indicators, jaise 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par hain, aik upward trend ki nishani de rahe hain, jo aage chal kar growth ki sambhavna ko darshata hai. Hourly chart par, currency pair aik rising channel mein hai, jo ke continued positive momentum ko signal karta hai.

Magar, technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye mixed picture paish karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00 ke mark se neeche gira hai, jab ke pehle yeh 75.00 par overbought territory ke nazdeek tha. Yeh girawat yeh darshata hai ke bullish momentum shayad kam ho raha hai, jo traders ko upcoming ma'ashi data aur market developments ko dekhte hue apne positions dobara jaanchne par majboor karta hai.

Nateejay ke tor par, jab ke currency pair ne haal mein mazboot faidaat dekhi hain, iski aane wali direction khaaskar aham ma'ashi reports aur traders ke is signals ko samajhne par munhasir hogi. Jab market ehtiyaati hai, traders technical levels aur buniyadi data ke darmiyan balance ko dekhte rahenge.

**"Jazbaati Forex Trader ???? | Currency ki فنکاری mein maharat hasil kar raha hoon | Ma'ashi markets ko precision ke sath navigate kar raha hoon | Din mein risk manager, raat mein trend chaser | Data ko profits mein tabdeel kar raha hoon | Volatility ko aik strategic mindset ke sath apnana | #ForexLife #TradingGoals"**

quotes lagbhag 160 pips se neeche gaye do din se bhi kam waqt mein. Hum pehle se traders ko warn kar rahe the ke euro overbought ho chuka hai aur be-wajah mehnga hai, jisme koi growth factors nahi hain, chahe mahine pehle dekha jaye ya abhi ke halat mein. Ab collapse shuru ho gaya hai. Hum samajhte hain ke yeh pair ke decline ki shuruaat hai jo lambay waqt tak jaari reh sakta hai. Aham baat yeh hai ke pichlay do saalon mein market ne actively Federal Reserve ke monetary policy easing ko price karna shuru kar diya tha. Ab jab yeh process shuru ho chuka hai, toh dollar bechne ke mazeed reasons nahi hain. Is ke ilawa, kuch events ne Monday aur Tuesday ko U.S. currency ko support bhi diya. Middle East mein military conflict barh raha hai, Eurozone mein inflation target level se neeche ja rahi hai, Jerome Powell ne markets ko yaqeen dilaya ke November mein 0.5% rate cut ka koi plan nahi hai, aur Christine Lagarde ne bhi yeh hint diya ke easing October mein ho sakti hai, December ke bajaye. Magar humare nazdeek, yeh sab secondary factors hain. Primary factor yeh hai ke pair overbought hai aur iska price level bohat zyada hai, jo ki unjustified hai. Seedhi si baat yeh hai ke euro buhat zyada mehnga ho gaya tha.

Tuesday ko do trading signals generate huye jo dekhne layak the. Pehla, pair ne critical line ko break kiya, aur phir Senkou Span B line ko cross kiya. Is tarah, traders European trading session ke start mein short positions open kar sakte the. Shaam tak short positions ne takreeban 50-60 pips ka profit generate kiya, aur yeh decline jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.

Hourly time frame mein, abhi bhi yeh realistic chance hai ke pair apna do saal purana upward trend khatam kar de. Fundamental aur macroeconomic reasons jo dollar ke mazeed decline ke liye ho sakein, ab wo nahi hain. Technical analysis bhi downward movement ke haq mein hai. Haan, ho sakta hai ke do saal ka upward trend momentum ke wajah se continue kare, magar hum medium term mein decline expect karte hain.

EUR/USD pair ne kal ke din support level

1.10575 par kaam kiya, aur abhi tak issi level par hai. Yeh level pair ko neeche janay se rok raha hai, jo ek nayi buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Agar mere assumptions theek hain, toh pehla target resistance level 1.11878 ho ga, jahaan pair lower trend ka kaam karega, aur wahan se thoda rollback ho sakta hai correction ke liye. Iske baad, buying dobara shuru ho sakti hai taake upper trend

pehla factor macroeconomic indicators hain jo EUR/USD ke aglay bade move ka taayun karte hain. Eurozone abhi slow economic growth, inflation ka pressure, aur energy prices ke hawalay se uncertainties ka samna kar raha hai, khaaskar Eastern Europe ki geopolitical tensions ke sabab se. In factors ne European Central Bank (ECB) par zyada aggressive monetary measures lene ka dabao dala hai, taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake aur growth ko barqarar rakha ja sake. Agar ECB kisi bhi major policy mein tabdeeli karta hai, to EUR/USD pair mein significant fluctuations aa sakti hain. Dosri taraf, US dollar ne Federal Reserve ki hawkish interest rate policy ki wajah se kaafi stability dikhayi hai. Fed ne inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates mein lagatar izafa kiya hai, jis se dollar ki attractiveness investors ke liye barh gayi hai jo higher yields ke talash mein hain. Magar, monetary policy ke is tightening se US economy ki growth bhi risk mein aa sakti hai, aur agar US economic data mein koi weakness nazar aayi, to dollar ki strength kamzor ho sakti hai. Aise surat mein, EUR/USD pair mein bullish correction aa sakta hai jahan euro dobara apni position recover kar sakta hai.

Short term mein, EUR/USD pair mein low volatility ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai, jab tak market mein koi wazeh signal nahi milta. Lekin economic calendar par kuch important events jaise ke European aur US inflation data, unemployment figures, aur central bank ke announcements, iss pair ke liye catalyst ka kaam kar sakte hain aur pronounced move ko trigger kar sakte hain. Agar price kisi key support level ko break karta hai, to ek deeper decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jabke agar yeh level se bounce back karta hai, to yeh ek trend reversal aur buying opportunity ka ishara ho sakta hai.

In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh andaza lagana durust hoga ke EUR/USD pair mein jald ek bara move dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh move euro ke haq mein hoga ya dollar ke, yeh largely upcoming economic data par aur central banks ke actions par depend karta hai. Traders ko hamesha hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, aur key levels par nazar rakhte hue apni trading decisions leni chahiye

**1.10 Level ki Ahmiyat**

1.10 level short-term EUR/USD charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek crucial psychological zone ban gaya hai. Tareekh mein, EUR/USD major round numbers ke darmiyan ghoomta hai, isliye agar euro kamzor hota raha, toh agla logical target 1.10 level ho sakta hai. Yeh mark pehle bhi ek significant support area raha hai, aur agar euro is se neeche girta hai, toh yeh strong bottom banne ka signal de sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hota hai, toh 1.12 level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par nazar rakhni chahiye jab market inke beech oscillate kar raha ho.

**Technical Analysis aur Market Dynamics**

Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se mutasir hai, in levels ko khaas taur par sensitive banati hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke phases se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur complex bana raha hai. Is environment mein, euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek clear long-term winner ka tay karna mushkil hota hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakta hai ke U.S. dollar ki strength ko samjha jaye aur isay dusre currency pairs par apply kiya jaye.

**Trading Strategies**

Misal ke taur par, agar dollar euro ke muqablay mein mazid strong hota hai, toh dollar ko kisi fast-moving ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna zyada faida mand ho sakta hai, euro ke sath rehte hue nahi. EUR/USD pair ke liye, short-term chart analysis zyada appropriate hai, is market ki volatility aur price levels ke fluctuation ko dekhte hue. Eurozone aur U.S. economies ke uncertainties ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko EUR/USD pair ke liye 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par focus karna chahiye. Yeh levels important support aur resistance points ka darshan karte hain aur short-term trading decisions mein instrumental ho sakte hain.

**Central Bank Policies ka Asar**

In key levels par market ki sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh gayi hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures continue kar rahe hain, yeh levels traders ke liye aur bhi crucial ho jate hain. Agar 1.10 ke neeche breakdown hota hai, toh yeh zyada significant decline ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jabke 1.12 ke upar breakthrough recovery ki shuruat ka signal de sakta hai. Is context mein, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, short-term technical indicators ka istemal karna chahiye aur macroeconomic news ko monitor karna chahiye taake well-informed decisions le sakein.

**Khulasa**

Akhir mein, EUR/USD ek critical zone mein hai jahan major support aur resistance levels—1.10 aur 1.12—short-term trading landscape ko shape kar rahe hain. Yeh levels, central bank policies ke asar ke sath, aisi environment create karte hain jahan traders ko cautious aur strategic rehne ki zarurat hai.

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Filhal, EUR/USD 1.0935 par trade kar raha hai. Subah se, price mein thodi si susti hai aur humne daily SMA-50 ko 1.0955 par test kiya hai. Prices neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain kyunke 150, 200, aur 50 ki SMAs kaam nahi kar rahi, lekin buyers ne positive zone mein entry di hai. Agar hum 1.0910 ke high se descending trend line draw karein, toh 1.1020 ka resistance achi tarah se protect kiya gaya hai. Iske ilawa, 1.902 24.7% Fibonacci retracement level se juda hua hai. Is liye, kai mazboot thresholds ke sath, resistance level ab buyers ke liye ek mazboot rukawat ban gaya hai, jise torna hoga agay barhne ke liye. Agar buyers 1.0995 ka resistance aur 24.7% Fibonacci level ko paar kar lete hain, toh nayi buying pressure dekhi jayegi, jiska agla resistance target 1.1030 hoga, jo ke 39.5% Fibonacci resistance level se protect kiya gaya hai.

RSI ne lekin buyers ke haq mein shift kiya hai aur yeh 50 ke neutral levels ke upar hai. Magar MACD histogram ab zero signal line ki taraf shrink ho raha hai, jo ke red trigger line ke upar hai, jo kisi aur direction mein trend convergence ka ishara de raha hai. Is liye, daily time charts par short ya longer-term trend indicators bullish bias dikhate hain chhote waqt ke liye.

EUR/USD H4 Time Chart Analysis

H4 time chart mein, price ne inverted flag pattern bana liya hai aur descending trend line tak pahunch gayi hai. Inverted flag pattern ke natije mein, price ne 1.0990 ke resistance level ke neeche triple-top pattern tayar kiya hai, jo trend reversal ka ishara deta hai. Agar 24.7% Fibonacci level se rejection hota hai, toh sellers ko pehli support 1.0910 par SMA-100 par milegi.

Agar EUR/USD ne 100-SMA ko cross kiya, toh trend continuation ki achi sambhavana hai, jisse 50-SMA ki taraf 1.0950 tak negative bias dekhne ko mil sakta hai, agar climb 100-SMA ke upar jaari rahti hai. RSI aur MACD signals ke darmiyan price movement ki direction ke liye kuch contradictory signals hain.

EUR/USD ka rate 1.1200 ke qareeb barh raha hai jabke Euro mein izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai, halankeh Eurozone ki ma'ashi growth ke baare mein pareshaniyan barh rahi hain. Umeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) is saal ke baqi do policy meetings mein se kisi ek mein shaid interest rates ko kam karega.
US Dollar ke liye agla bara trigger Friday ko August ka core PCE inflation data hoga. EUR/USD ne Wednesday ke European session mein apni upar ki taraf ke safar ko jaari rakha, jabke major currency pair tab barha jab US Dollar (USD) pressure mein aaya. Yeh is liye tha ke investors ka risk appetite behtar hua, jab China ne apni economy ko sambhalne ke liye massive stimulus plans ka elan kiya.

China ke is stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein badi rate cut ki umeed bhi US Dollar ko peeche rakh rahi hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe major currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, Wednesday ko thoda barh gaya magar phir bhi 100.20 ke saal ke low ke qareeb hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 basis points (bps) se interest rates kam karne ki umeed 60% tak barh gayi hai, jo pichle hafte 37% thi. Fed ne September 18 ko policy easing cycle shuru kiya, jab unhone 50 bps ka aik bada rate cut kiya, kyunki unhein labor demand ke girne ki pareshani thi.

Is hafte US Dollar ke liye major trigger US core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data hoga, jo Friday ko publish hoga. Umeed hai ke underlying inflation measure 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% ho jayega.

Fed ke pasandida inflation measure se pehle, investors US Durable Goods Orders par bhi nazar rakhenge, jo Thursday ko publish honge. Umeed hai ke Durable Goods ke naye orders 2.6% tak gir jayenge, jabke pichle mahine yeh 9.8% ki behtari par the.

EUR/USD ne 1.1200 ke key resistance par barhne ka iraada rakha hai. Yeh major currency pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas strong buying interest dekhte hue t

EURUSD technical analysis

H4 chart

Is haftay, market ke daam gir gaye, jahan market ne 1.0995 ka unchaai aur 1.0900 ka neecheai test kiya. Jumme ko, market price ne 1.0900 ilaakay ko toadne ki koshish ki lekin ye nakam rahi aur is level ke upar band hui. Agle haftay, agar market price phir se 1.0900 ilaakay ke upar tooti, toh humein demand mein mazeed kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai, aur demand agle level 1.0850 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum H4 chart par RSI dekhein, toh iski value 42 hai, jo beech ki range hai. Agar market 1.0900 ilaakay ke upar nahi tootti, toh humein market price mein bullish trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai.


Agar hum daily chart par nazar daalain, toh Jumme ko market price ne 200 exponential moving average ko test kiya aur iske upar band hui. Thursday ko, market prices ne trend line ko tooda, aur market ne girawat shuru kar di. Market price ne 1.0950 par resistance zone ko test kiya lekin isay toodne mein nakam rahi. Agle haftay, agar market prices 1.0950 resistance zone ko toor deti hain, toh market upper trendline ko test kar sakti hai. Agar market price upper trendline ke upar toorti hai, toh market 50 simple moving average ko test karegi, jahan agla resistance level 1.1095 hoga.

Agar market price 1.1095 ke resistance level ko toorti hai, toh market price agle resistance level 1.1200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar price 1.1200 ke resistance level ko toorti hai, toh price mazeed bullish reh sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar price is resistance area ko nahi toorti, toh demand 1.0800 ke support level par wapas aa sakti hai. Agar market price 1.0800 ke support level ko toorti hai, toh price gir sakti hai, aur market agle support level 1.0750 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar market price support level ko toorti hai, toh market agle support level 1.0600 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Mujhe ummed hai ke price agle haftay 1.0950 par resistance test karne ke baad dobara neeche ki taraf move karegi.