𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD Technical Analysis (Roman Urdu)

Is waqt EUR/USD ki trading 1.0935 par ho rahi hai. Subah se, price mein halka sa sust rukh hai, aur humne daily SMA-50 ko 1.0955 par test kiya hai. Prices neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain kyunke 50, 150, aur 200 SMA ki taraf se rukaawat aa rahi hai, lekin buyers ne ek positive zone mein dakhil ho gaye hain.

Agar hum 1.0910 ke high se descending trend line khinchain, toh 1.1020 ka resistance level mazboot hai. Iske ilawa, 1.902 24.7% Fibonacci retracement level se juda hai. Is tarah se, kuch ma'amool ka rukh dekhte hue, 1.0995 ke resistance level ko torna zaroori hai taake buyers aage barh sakein. Agar buyers is resistance ko tor kar 1.0995 aur 24.7% Fibonacci level par kaamiyab ho gaye, toh nai buying pressure dekhne ko milegi aur agla resistance target 1.1030 hoga, jo ke 39.5% Fibonacci resistance level se mazboot hai.

RSI ab buyers ke haq mein shift ho gaya hai aur 50 neutral level ke upar hai. Lekin, MACD histogram ab zero signal line ki taraf chhota hota ja raha hai, jo red trigger line ke upar hai, jo kisi aur direction mein trend ki convergence ko darshata hai. Isliye, daily time charts mein short ya longer-term trend indicators bullish bias ko darshate hain.

**H4 Time Chart Analysis (Roman Urdu)**

H4 time chart par, price ne inverted flag pattern banaya hai aur descending trend line tak pohanch gaya hai. Inverted flag pattern ke natije mein, price ne 1.0990 ke resistance level ke neeche triple-top pattern bana diya hai, jo trend reversal ka ishara karta hai. Agar 24.7% Fibonacci level se rejection hoti hai, toh sellers ko pehla support 1.0910 par SMA-100 par milega.

Agar EUR/USD 100-SMA ko cross kar leta hai, toh trend continuation ki achi sambhavna hai, jo 50-SMA ki taraf 1.0950 par negative bias ki taraf le ja sakti hai, agar climb 100-SMA ke upar jaari rahti hai. Price movement ki direction ko darshane ke liye RSI aur MACD signals ke darmiyan ek contradiction hai.

EUR/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

EUR/USD ka jo H1 time frame chart hai, uspe abhi EUR/USD currency pair takreeban 1.0937 ke level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jab ye analysis ki gayi hai. Yeh pair upar jane ki koi khaas momentum hasil nahi kar raha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend mazid barqarar hai aur qareebi waqt mein is ka ulta hone ke imkaanaat kam hain. Yeh lambi bearish movement ka sabse bada sabab USD ki mazid taqat hai. USD index aik mustahkam bullish trend mein hai, jo ke EUR/USD ki kamzori ko barqarar rakhta hai. Jaisa ke traders jaante hain, EUR/USD pair aur USD index mein inverse correlation hota hai, yani jab USD taqatwar hota hai toh EUR/USD aksar neeche jata hai. Yeh is liye hota hai kyun ke EUR/USD pair mein euro ka muqabla USD se hota hai. Is liye, agar USD ki qeemat barhti hai toh EUR/USD ghata hota hai.

Maslan, recent US economic data, jaise ke strong employment numbers ya rising inflation, ne USD index ko barhawa diya hai, jo investors ke liye dollar ko zyada attractive banata hai. Nateeja yeh hota hai ke jab dollar rally karta hai, toh euro ki qeemat ghat jaati hai, jo EUR/USD ke liye bearish scenario ko mazid taqatwar banata hai.

Meri trading tajurba aur technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 chart pe jo current price action hai, wo ek solid bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke pair lagataar lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo ek classic downtrend ka indicator hota hai. Iske ilawa, EUR/USD key moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo aapas mein is tarah align ho rahe hain ke selling pressure ko barqarar rakhe. Yeh pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke bears market pe poori tarah haavi hain aur abhi tak kisi bhi trend reversal ke koi signs nahi hain.



Jab bhi EUR/USD recover karne ki koshish karta hai, toh usay strong resistance ka saamna hota hai, khaaskar 1.0950 aur 1.1000 psychological levels ke aas-paas. Yeh resistance points euro ko koi khaas traction hasil karne se rokte hain. Jab tak USD taqatwar rahega aur yeh pair in critical resistance areas ko cross nahi karta, neeche ki taraf ka trend barqarar rahega. EUR/USD abhi tak bearish trend mein hai, aur jab tak USD index apni upward movement ko barqarar rakhta hai, pair ka decline jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Traders ko zaroori resistance aur support levels pe nazar rakhni chahiye aur USD index ki overall performance ko monitor karna chahiye taake future price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Euro is hafte daira girta raha, aur bazar ne aham levels ke ird-gird bechaini dikhayi. 1.10 ka level ek bada resistance point hai, jabke neeche 1.09 ka level ahm support ke tor par kaam karta hai. Ye upar neeche ka harkat bazar mein general shor aur volatility ko darshata hai, kyunki traders recent euro sell-off ke baad ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain.

Agar euro 1.09 ke level se neeche girta hai, to agla target 1.08 ka level hoga, jo pichle kuch saalon se chalu consolidation range ka neecha hissa hai. Ye bazar Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ki monetary policy ke masail se asar انداز hai. Dono institutions kaafi relaxed policy rakhte hain, jo bechaini ko barhata hai. Iske ilawa, aane wale economic slowdown ke bare mein bhi chintaen barh rahi hain, jo currency movements ko mazeed asar انداز kar sakti hain.

Agar slowdown hota hai, to traders shayad US dollar ko ek safe-haven currency ke tor par pasand karne lagen, kyunki iski maqbooliyat economic uncertainty ke doran stability ke liye hai. Ye scenario euro par mazeed pressure daal sakta hai aur ise upar ke levels ko todne mein mushkilat ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Magar in tamam factors ke bawajood, bazar wahi trading range mein hai jo kuch waqt se hai, jo darshata hai ke traders abhi bhi clear direction tay karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Khulasa yeh hai ke euro filhal band harkat karte rahega, jahan 1.09 aur 1.10 jaise key levels potential future moves ke liye ahm indicators hain. Economic conditions aur central bank policy ke bare mein chintaen is bazar ke agle marahil ko tay karne mein ahm kirdar ada karengi.

EUR/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

EUR/USD currency pair ke price movement ka analysis karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke daily chart par overall bearish trend hai, lekin akhri teen din se yeh pair sideways move kar raha hai. Ab hume yeh dekhna hoga ke yeh sideways pattern continue karta hai ya koi breakout hota hai. Technical analysis ka review karte hue, moving averages aur indicators dono active sell ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur overall strong sell signal mil raha hai. Lagta hai ke pair downward movement continue karega, magar faisla karne se pehle thoda confirmation zaroori hai.



Aaj US se kuch important khabrein aayi hain jinka thoda negative impact hai, aur aage bhi kuch US news aa sakti hai jiska forecast abhi neutral hai. European Central Bank ka representative bhi kuch bol chuka hai lekin eurozone se aaj koi bara development expected nahi hai. H4 chart par outlook thoda bearish hai, aur price 38.2% Fibonacci level par support ko target kar sakta hai.

Hum expect kar rahe hain ke pair ka bearish movement continue hoga, aur 1.0939 ke support level tak sales ho sakti hain. Agar koi buying ki opportunity hoti hai to wo 1.0964 ke resistance level tak limited ho sakti hai. Mere khayal mein near term mein pair bearish move karega aur shayad is sideways movement se breakout hoga. Hourly chart par bhi wahi surat-e-haal hai, jahan price 1.0955 ke support ke neeche break kar chuka hai aur descending channel mein 1.0924 ke level ki taraf ja raha hai. Is level se ek medium-term correction shuru ho sakta hai jo kuch din tak chal sakti hai. Is correction ka signal 1.0985 ke resistance ko break karne aur wahan consolidation hone par milega. Daily chart par agla important target support 1.0863 par hai, lekin yeh dekhna hoga ke price bina kisi correction ke wahan tak pohanchti hai ya nahi. Shayad price pehle support tak drop kare aur phir thoda upward move ho.

EUR/USD pair mein buying push kaafi zyada hai, isliye agle trading plan ke liye main sell option par buy option ko tarjeeh deta hoon. Yeh trend dekh kar lagta hai ke abhi bhi market mein upar ki taraf chalne ki kafi potential hai. Halankeh, re-entry ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke hum price ke upar move hone ka intezar karein jab tak yeh 1.1125 ke resistance zone ko todta hai. Yeh ek critical level hai, aur agar price isse break karta hai to yeh bullish momentum ko mazid taqat de sakta hai.
Jab candlestick is resistance level ke upar close hoti hai aur isay support level bana leti hai, to yeh bullish trend ki continuation ka mazboot nishani hoti hai. Is wajah se, 1.1125 ka level mere liye ek important milestone hai. Agar price is level ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to iske baad trading opportunities khulengi.
BUY Entry Zone
BUY entry zone ke liye, main price level 1.1136 par position kholne ki soch raha hoon. Yeh level aisa hai jahan mujhe lagta hai ke buying momentum phir se active ho sakta hai. Is level par entry lene ke baad, pehla target 1.1183 ke area mein rakhunga. Yeh level bhi kaafi significant hai aur yahan tak pohanchne par mujhe yeh dekhna hoga ke market ka reaction kya hota hai.
Agar yeh area bhi tod diya gaya to main doosra BUY trading level 1.1192 par intezar karunga. Yeh do targets isliye rakhe gaye hain kyunki market ke fluctuations ke doran hamesha flexibility zaroori hoti hai. Har trade mein stop loss (SL) lagbhag 35 pips ka rakha jayega. Yeh isliye hai taake kisi bhi sudden price movement se loss minimize ho sake.
Market ki Current Condition
General taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ki price movements abhi bhi bullish rahengi. Market ki jo current condition hai, usmein buying momentum kaafi strong hai. Agar hum market ke historical data ko dekhein to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai. Is liye, agar Euro thoda decline karta hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ke level par hoga.
4-Hour Chart Analysis
Agar hum 4-hour chart par nazar daalein, to wahan bhi bulls apne positions ko banaye rakh rahe hain aur upward movement ka potential hai. Technical indicators is trend mein kisi bhi foran rukawat ka ishara nahi dete. Price 1.1068 par 25% support level ke thoda upar hai

EUR/USD pair ne Friday ko New York session ke dauran 1.0930 ke qareeb consolidation dekhi. US dollar mazboot raha jab ke bade currencies sideways trade karti rahi, halaan ke US ka Producer Price Index (PPI) data release hua tha, jisme producer inflation ke umeed se tez barhne ka pata chala. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 103.00 ke qareeb hover karta raha. Report ne dikhaya ke overall producer price index inflation saal ke liye 1.8% tak dheemi hui, jo August ke 1.9% se thori kam thi. Economists ki umeed thi ke headline producer inflation 1.6% tak barhegi. Is dauran, core producer price index, jo food aur energy ki volatile prices ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% barha, jo 2.7% ki umeed aur pehle ke 2.6% (jo 2.4% se upward revise hui thi) se zyada tha. Monthly PPI flat raha, jab ke core data ke 0.2% barhne ki umeed thi.
Mazid inflation data ke baad, US producer inflation umeed se zyada tha, jo dobara persistent inflation ka risk barhata hai. Magar, yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein 25 basis point rate cut ke market expectations ko mutasir nahi karega, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Is ke bajaye, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne yeh option dia ke November mein rates ko 4.75%-5.00% par change na kiya jaye. Bostic ke Wall Street Journal ke sath Thursday ko interview mein kaha gaya tha ke wo agle mahine ke rate cut ko skip karne par mutmain hain. "Mujhe lagta hai, yeh volatility is baat ka matlab hai ke humein November mein shayad pause karna padega, aur main is ke liye khula hoon," Bostic ne kaha, jab ke US CPI report release hui thi. Yeh comments is liye aaye jab ke report ne dikhaya ke September mein inflation pressures umeed se zyada barh gaye the. EUR/USD pair ko 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.0900 ke qareeb temporary support mili.

Pair ka near-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur 20- aur 50-day moving averages ke qareeb 1.1020 par bearish crossover banne ki umeed hai. Pair double bottom chart pattern ke breakdown ke baad weak ho rahi hai, jo September 11 ke low 1.1000 ke neeche girne par trigger hui thi. 14-day RSI flat hai aur 20.00 aur 40.00 ke bearish range mein hai, jo mazid weakness ka ishara karta hai. Agar 200-day EMA ke neeche 1.0900 par decisive break hoti hai, to pair ko 1.0800 ke support level ke qareeb support milne ki umeed hai. Agar price upar jaata hai, to September 11 ka low 1.1000 aur 20-day moving average 1.1090 par major resistance areas honge

Maslan, recent US economic data, jaise ke strong employment numbers ya rising inflation, ne USD index ko barhawa diya hai, jo investors ke liye dollar ko zyada attractive banata hai. Nateeja yeh hota hai ke jab dollar rally karta hai, toh euro ki qeemat ghat jaati hai, jo EUR/USD ke liye bearish scenario ko mazid taqatwar banata hai.

Meri trading tajurba aur technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 chart pe jo current price action hai, wo ek solid bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke pair lagataar lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo ek classic downtrend ka indicator hota hai. Iske ilawa, EUR/USD key moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo aapas mein is tarah align ho rahe hain ke selling pressure ko barqarar rakhe. Yeh pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke bears market pe poori tarah haavi hain aur abhi tak kisi bhi trend reversal ke koi signs nahi hain.




BUY entry zone ke liye, main price level 1.1136 par position kholne ki soch raha hoon. Yeh level aisa hai jahan mujhe lagta hai ke buying momentum phir se active ho sakta hai. Is level par entry lene ke baad, pehla target 1.1183 ke area mein rakhunga. Yeh level bhi kaafi significant hai aur yahan tak pohanchne par mujhe yeh dekhna hoga ke market ka reaction kya hota hai.
Agar yeh area bhi tod diya gaya to main doosra BUY trading level 1.1192 par intezar karunga. Yeh do targets isliye rakhe gaye hain kyunki market ke fluctuations ke doran hamesha flexibility zaroori hoti hai. Har trade mein stop loss (SL) lagbhag 35 pips ka rakha jayega. Yeh isliye hai taake kisi bhi sudden price movement se loss minimize ho sake.
Market ki Current Condition
General taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ki price movements abhi bhi bullish rahengi. Market ki jo current condition hai, usmein buying momentum kaafi strong hai. Agar hum market ke historical data ko dekhein to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai. Is liye, agar Euro thoda decline karta hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ke level par hoga.

level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jab ye analysis ki gayi hai. Yeh pair upar jane ki koi khaas momentum hasil nahi kar raha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend mazid barqarar hai aur qareebi waqt mein is ka ulta hone ke imkaanaat kam hain. Yeh lambi bearish movement ka sabse bada sabab USD ki mazid taqat hai. USD index aik mustahkam bullish trend mein hai, jo ke EUR/USD ki kamzori ko barqarar rakhta hai. Jaisa ke traders jaante hain, EUR/USD pair aur USD index mein inverse correlation hota hai, yani jab USD taqatwar hota hai toh EUR/USD aksar neeche jata hai. Yeh is liye hota hai kyun ke EUR/USD pair mein euro ka muqabla USD se hota hai. Is liye, agar USD ki qeemat barhti hai toh EUR/USD ghata hota hai.

Maslan, recent US economic data, jaise ke strong employment numbers ya rising inflation, ne USD index ko barhawa diya hai, jo investors ke liye dollar ko zyada attractive banata hai. Nateeja yeh

ke baad, pehla target 1.1183 ke area mein rakhunga. Yeh level bhi kaafi significant hai aur yahan tak pohanchne par mujhe yeh dekhna hoga ke market ka reaction kya hota hai.
Agar yeh area bhi tod diya gaya to main doosra BUY trading level 1.1192 par intezar karunga. Yeh do targets isliye rakhe gaye hain kyunki market ke fluctuations ke doran hamesha flexibility zaroori hoti hai. Har trade mein stop loss (SL) lagbhag 35 pips ka rakha jayega. Yeh isliye hai taake kisi bhi sudden price movement se loss minimize ho sake.
Market ki Current Condition
General taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ki price movements abhi bhi bullish rahengi. Market ki jo current condition hai, usmein buying momentum kaafi strong hai. Agar hum market ke historical data ko dekhein to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai. Is liye, agar Euro thoda decline karta hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ke level par hoga.
4-Hour Chart Analysis

Maslan, recent US economic data, jaise ke strong employment numbers ya rising inflation, ne USD index ko barhawa diya hai, jo investors ke liye dollar ko zyada attractive banata hai. Nateeja yeh hota hai ke jab dollar rally karta hai, toh euro ki qeemat ghat jaati hai, jo EUR/USD ke liye bearish scenario ko mazid taqatwar banata hai.

Meri trading tajurba aur technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 chart pe jo current price action hai, wo ek solid bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke pair lagataar lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo ek classic downtrend ka indicator hota hai. Iske ilawa, EUR/USD key moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo aapas mein is tarah align ho rahe hain ke selling pressure ko barqarar rakhe. Yeh pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke bears market pe poori tarah haavi

/USD ke 4-hour time frame par, jab hum high aur low prices ko dekhte hain, to pata chalta hai ke Euro ne 1.0886 ke 100% level se correction ke baad apna upar ki taraf movement continue kiya hai. Yeh upward movement SR level 1.0921 ko confidently break karte hue chal rahi hai. Aaj, yeh southward correction ke phase mein hai aur abhi 1.0914 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Ab agar hum market ke agle movements ko dekhein, to Euro ka northward trend continue karne ki possibility hai. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to Euro apni growth ko extend kar sakta hai. Yeh growth target range tak ja sakti hai jo ke 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels par formed hai, jo chart par orange color mein indicated hai. Ab market ke behavior ko samajhna zaroori hai. Jab Euro ne 1.0886 se correction li aur SR level 1.0921 ko break kiya, to yeh clear hota hai ke upward momentum strong hai. Lekin aaj ki southward correction market ka ek natural part hai, jo short-term profit-taking aur market adjustments ko reflect karti hai. Aise moments ko trading strategies mein dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.
Agar Euro price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko extend karne ki indication hogi. Is case mein, 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels tak growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh target levels aapke trading plans mein key levels honge, jo aapke decision-making process ko influence karenge.
Aaj ke trading scenario ko dekhte hue, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein. Market me fluctuations aur short-term corrections common hain, aur inhe consider karte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke niche consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai, jo ke downward pressure ko indicate karega.
In trading scenarios ko analyze karte hue, traders ko long-term trends aur short-term corrections dono ko consider karna chahiye. Agar long-term bullish trend intact rehta hai, to short-term corrections ko ek opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Aapko apne trading strategy ko market ke current conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga.
Toh, aaj ke trading session ko conclude karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein aur key levels par focus karein. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai

EUR/USD pair ne Friday ko New York session ke dauran 1.0930 ke qareeb consolidation dekhi. US dollar mazboot raha jab ke bade currencies sideways trade karti rahi, halaan ke US ka Producer Price Index (PPI) data release hua tha, jisme producer inflation ke umeed se tez barhne ka pata chala. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 103.00 ke qareeb hover karta raha. Report ne dikhaya ke overall producer price index inflation saal ke liye 1.8% tak dheemi hui, jo August ke 1.9% se thori kam thi. Economists ki umeed thi ke headline producer inflation 1.6% tak barhegi. Is dauran, core producer price index, jo food aur energy ki volatile prices ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% barha, jo 2.7% ki umeed aur pehle ke 2.6% (jo 2.4% se upward revise hui thi) se zyada tha. Monthly PPI flat raha, jab ke core data ke 0.2% barhne ki umeed thi.
Mazid inflation data ke baad, US producer inflation umeed se zyada tha, jo dobara persistent inflation ka risk barhata hai. Magar, yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein 25 basis point rate cut ke market expectations ko mutasir nahi karega, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Is ke bajaye, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne yeh option dia ke November mein rates ko 4.75%-5.00% par change na kiya jaye. Bostic ke Wall Street Journal ke sath Thursday ko interview mein kaha gaya tha ke wo agle mahine ke rate cut ko skip karne par mutmain hain. "Mujhe lagta hai, yeh volatility is baat ka matlab hai ke humein November mein shayad pause karna padega, aur main is ke liye khula hoon," Bostic ne kaha, jab ke US CPI report release hui thi. Yeh comments is liye aaye jab ke report ne dikhaya ke September mein inflation pressures umeed se zyada barh gaye the. EUR/USD pair ko 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.0900 ke qareeb temporary support mili.

Pair ka near-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur 20- aur 50-day moving averages ke qareeb 1.1020 par bearish crossover banne ki umeed hai. Pair double bottom chart pattern ke breakdown ke baad weak ho rahi hai, jo September 11 ke low 1.1000 ke neeche girne par trigger hui thi. 14-day RSI flat hai aur 20.00 aur 40.00 ke bearish range mein hai, jo mazid weakness ka ishara karta hai. Agar 200-day EMA ke neeche 1.0900 par decisive break hoti hai, to pair ko 1.0800 ke support level ke qareeb support milne ki umeed hai. Agar price upar jaata hai, to September 11 ka low 1.1000 aur 20-day moving average 1.1090 par major resistance areas honge.

kuch sessions mein. Is analysis ke madad se, maine sell positions establish ki hain kyun ke lagta hai ke price aur neeche gir sakti hai. Maket ke current downward trend ko kaafi indicators bhi support kar rahe hain, jo dikhate hain ke sellers market ko control kar rahe hain. Agar 1.0949 ka level break hota hai, toh price neeche support levels tak ja sakti hai, jo broader market sentiment ke sath milta julta hai, jahan economic data releases aur uncertainty euro par pressure dal rahe hain.Lekin hamesha doosra scenario bhi dekhna zaroori hota hai. Agar euro 1.1000 ke psychological level ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Is level par demand agar barqarar hoti hai, toh current bearish outlook cancel ho sakta hai aur yeh indicate karega ke buyers momentum le rahe hain. Aise reversal ko gaur karna bohat zaroori hoga, khaaskar agar price is level ke upar sustain karta hai.Shorter timeframes, khaaskar 5-minute chart par, kuch upward movement ke aasar nazar aa rahe hain, halan ke broader bearish trend abhi bhi barqarar hai. Aaj subah ke signals yeh dikhate hain ke price ka rebound ho sakta hai, jo ke upper levels test karne ki koshish karega. Agar rebound mazid taqatwar hota hai, toh yeh downward channel ko challenge kar sakta hai.Agar euro channel ke upar break karta hai, toh agla resistance zone 1.1034 aur 1.1064 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai, jo sellers ke liye ek important area hai. Agar euro is resistance zone ke upar sustain karta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke higher levels ko re-test karne ka imkaan paida kar sakta hai.Aaj ke trading session mein 1.0949 ka support aur 1.1000 ka resistance levels kaafi important hain. Traders ko flexible rehna chahiye aur apni positions ko adjust karna chahiye jese ke market evolve hoti hai, khaaskam

EUR/USD pair ne kuch positive movement dikhane ke baad, US session ke doran ek narrow trading band mein oscillate kar rahi hai. Abhi ke doran, spot prices critical 1.1180 level ke thoda sa upar hover kar rahi hain, aur zyada tabadla nahi dekhne ko mil raha hai kyunki traders ab bhi key US economic data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair abhi 1.1140 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Aage jaake, Euro bulls kuch important resistance levels par focus karenge, jin mein recent high 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka peak 1.1276 shamil hain. Neeche ki taraf, 1.1100 ka psychological support level further declines ke against ek barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh balance between resistance aur support cautious optimism ko reflect karta hai EUR/USD pair ke near-term performance ke liye.

### EUR/USD Fundamentals

Recent economic data Eurozone ke challenges ko highlight karti hai, khaaskar uske do sabse bare economies mein. Germany ki industrial production July mein 2.4% gir gayi, jabke expected decline sirf 0.3% tha. France ne bhi downturn report kiya, jahan industrial output 0.5% gira. Yeh disappointing numbers Euro ke liye bearish outlook ko contribute karte hain, jaise ke ek Reuters survey mein reflect kiya gaya tha jo August 30 se September 5 tak conduct hui. Us survey mein, 85% economists ne anticipate kiya tha ke European Central Bank (ECB) apni upcoming meetings mein interest rate cuts apply karegi.

Yeh economic challenges dekhte hue, kaafi ECB officials ne potential rate cuts ke idea ke saath apni comfort express ki hai. ECB Executive Board ke member Piero Cipollone ne ek interview mein concern voice kiya ke ECB ka stance "too restrictive" ho sakta hai. Yeh sentiment Eurozone ki economic situation par barhti hui fikr ko reflect karta hai aur monetary policy mein shift ka imkaan badha deta hai.

### Technical Outlook

Halaankeh pair ab tak 1.1150 level se upar apni earnings ko maintain karne mein nakam rahi hai, near-term outlook EUR/USD ke liye ab bhi cautiously optimistic hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb support establish kiya hai, jo abhi 1.1157 ke aas paas hai. Iske ilawa, long-term indicators jaise ke 50-day aur 100-day EMAs, jo ke 1.1144 aur 1.1135 par located hain, ek upward trend ko indicate karte hain, jo ke future growth ka imkaan dikhate hain. Aik aur baat yeh hai ke currency pair hourly chart par Rising Channel mein apni position maintain kar raha hai, jo ke positive momentum ka signal deta hai.

Magar, technical indicators EUR/USD ke liye mixed picture pesh karte hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab 60.00 mark se neeche gir gaya hai jabke pehle yeh overbought territory ke kareeb 75.00 par pohonch gaya tha. Is girawat ka matlab hai ke momentum weaken ho sakti hai, jo traders ko apni positions ko dobara evaluate karne par majboor karegi, khaaskar aane wale economic data aur market developments ke roshni mein.

Akhir mein, halaankeh pair kuch near-term strength dikhata hai, lekin dono fundamental aur technical factors yeh suggest karte hain ke traders ko ehtiyaat se aage barhna chahiye aur key resistance levels aur economic indicators par close nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke pair ke agle move ko influence kar sakte hain.

Asal mein, yeh ek bilkul normal plan hai ke lower levels ko finish karna, halan ke mera level thoda upar 1.0830 par hai, lekin yeh 10 points koi khaas farq nahi dalte. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke price wahan tak jaaye, tab meri technical scheme poori ho jaye gi, aur hum boomerang ko close karenge. Lekin 1.0780 ka level abhi tak mujhe nazar nahi aaya, jaise ke kehte hain, yeh level abhi tak dastaras mein nahi aaya hai. Lekin jab main daily period par dekhta hoon, toh yahan 1.0830 ka lower level zaroor hit karne ki koshish karta hai. Aur abhi tak trend change ka koi ishara nahi hai. Aur sach poochho toh humein trend change ki zaroorat bhi nahi, kyun ke humein ek direction di jaa rahi hai, aur bas humein usi direction ko follow karna hai. Lekin, hum mein se koi bhi aasan raaste nahi dhoondhta, humen musibat chahiye hoti hai taake zindagi boring na ho. Aksar jab wo boomerang banate hain, toh yeh bilkul 1.0830 par hota hai. Phir price boomerang tak bina kisi correction ke bhi ja sakti hai, aur yeh kaafi baar hota hai. Iss martaba bhi wo 1.0830 tak aise hi kar sakte hain.

Weekly chart par dekha jaye, toh humari currency pair ka price iss waqt 1.0936 par hai, jo ke weekly period ki average moving line se thoda neeche hai. Yeh moving line iss waqt 1.1014 par hai. Stochastic indicator neutral zone mein hai aur decline ka ishara kar raha hai. Main pichle hafte ka intezaar kar raha tha ke price northern correction ke andar ek uttar ki taraf move kare. Aur mujhe waqai umeed hai ke price northern movement ko develop kar sake gi. Main umeed karta hoon ke asset takreeban 1.1070 tak grow kare gi. Aur agar yeh hota hai aur agla hafta aise hi close hota hai, toh yeh ek bullish engulfing ho gi. Aur yeh continued growth ka signal hoga. Iss surat mein growth aur bhi zyada ho sakti hai, jo ke 1.1215 ke maximum tak ja sakti hai aur shayad 1.1280 tak bhi.