𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD pair ne Friday ko New York session ke dauran 1.0930 ke qareeb consolidation dekhi. US dollar mazboot raha jab ke bade currencies sideways trade karti rahi, halaan ke US ka Producer Price Index (PPI) data release hua tha, jisme producer inflation ke umeed se tez barhne ka pata chala. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 103.00 ke qareeb hover karta raha. Report ne dikhaya ke overall producer price index inflation saal ke liye 1.8% tak dheemi hui, jo August ke 1.9% se thori kam thi. Economists ki umeed thi ke headline producer inflation 1.6% tak barhegi. Is dauran, core producer price index, jo food aur energy ki volatile prices ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% barha, jo 2.7% ki umeed aur pehle ke 2.6% (jo 2.4% se upward revise hui thi) se zyada tha. Monthly PPI flat raha, jab ke core data ke 0.2% barhne ki umeed thi.

Mazid inflation data ke baad, US producer inflation umeed se zyada tha, jo dobara persistent inflation ka risk barhata hai. Magar, yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein 25 basis point rate cut ke market expectations ko mutasir nahi karega, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Is ke bajaye, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne yeh option dia ke November mein rates ko 4.75%-5.00% par change na kiya jaye. Bostic ke Wall Street Journal ke sath Thursday ko interview mein kaha gaya tha ke wo agle mahine ke rate cut ko skip karne par mutmain hain. "Mujhe lagta hai, yeh volatility is baat ka matlab hai ke humein November mein shayad pause karna padega, aur main is ke liye khula hoon," Bostic ne kaha, jab ke US CPI report release hui thi. Yeh comments is liye aaye jab ke report ne dikhaya ke September mein inflation pressures umeed se zyada barh gaye the. EUR/USD pair ko 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.0900 ke qareeb temporary support mili.

Pair ka near-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur 20- aur 50-day moving averages ke qareeb 1.1020 par bearish crossover banne ki umeed hai. Pair double bottom chart pattern ke breakdown ke baad weak ho rahi hai, jo September 11 ke low 1.1000 ke neeche girne par trigger hui thi. 14-day RSI flat hai aur 20.00 aur 40.00 ke bearish range mein hai, jo mazid weakness ka ishara karta hai. Agar 200-day EMA ke neeche 1.0900 par decisive break hoti hai, to pair ko 1.0800 ke support level ke qareeb support milne ki umeed hai. Agar price upar jaata hai, to September 11 ka low 1.1000 aur 20-day moving average 1.1090 par major resistance areas honge.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Plan for EUR/USD Is waqt, EUR/USD pair mein buying push kaafi zyada hai, isliye agle trading plan ke liye main sell option par buy option ko tarjeeh deta hoon. Yeh trend dekh kar lagta hai ke abhi bhi market mein upar ki taraf chalne ki kafi potential hai. Halankeh, re-entry ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke hum price ke upar move hone ka intezar karein jab tak yeh 1.1125 ke resistance zone ko todta hai. Yeh ek critical level hai, aur agar price isse break karta hai to yeh bullish momentum ko mazid taqat de sakta hai.
Jab candlestick is resistance level ke upar close hoti hai aur isay support level bana leti hai, to yeh bullish trend ki continuation ka mazboot nishani hoti hai. Is wajah se, 1.1125 ka level mere liye ek important milestone hai. Agar price is level ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to iske baad trading opportunities khulengi.
BUY Entry Zone


BUY entry zone ke liye, main price level 1.1136 par position kholne ki soch raha hoon. Yeh level aisa hai jahan mujhe lagta hai ke buying momentum phir se active ho sakta hai. Is level par entry lene ke baad, pehla target 1.1183 ke area mein rakhunga. Yeh level bhi kaafi significant hai aur yahan tak pohanchne par mujhe yeh dekhna hoga ke market ka reaction kya hota hai.

Agar yeh area bhi tod diya gaya to main doosra BUY trading level 1.1192 par intezar karunga. Yeh do targets isliye rakhe gaye hain kyunki market ke fluctuations ke doran hamesha flexibility zaroori hoti hai. Har trade mein stop loss (SL) lagbhag 35 pips ka rakha jayega. Yeh isliye hai taake kisi bhi sudden price movement se loss minimize ho sake.
Market ki Current Condition


General taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ki price movements abhi bhi bullish rahengi. Market ki jo current condition hai, usmein buying momentum kaafi strong hai. Agar hum market ke historical data ko dekhein to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai. Is liye, agar Euro thoda decline karta hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ke level par hoga.
4-Hour Chart Analysis


Agar hum 4-hour chart par nazar daalein, to wahan bhi bulls apne positions ko banaye rakh rahe hain aur upward movement ka potential hai. Technical indicators is trend mein kisi bhi foran rukawat ka ishara nahi dete. Price 1.1068 par 25% support level ke thoda upar hai aur 1/1 angle ke upar bhi hai, jo general upward trend ko

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday aur Tuesday ko ek tezi se decline ka samna kiya, jisme euro quotes lagbhag 160 pips se neeche gaye do din se bhi kam waqt mein. Hum pehle se traders ko warn kar rahe the ke euro overbought ho chuka hai aur be-wajah mehnga hai, jisme koi growth factors nahi hain, chahe mahine pehle dekha jaye ya abhi ke halat mein. Ab collapse shuru ho gaya hai. Hum samajhte hain ke yeh pair ke decline ki shuruaat hai jo lambay waqt tak jaari reh sakta hai. Aham baat yeh hai ke pichlay do saalon mein market ne actively Federal Reserve ke monetary policy easing ko price karna shuru kar diya tha. Ab jab yeh process shuru ho chuka hai, toh dollar bechne ke mazeed reasons nahi hain.
Is ke ilawa, kuch events ne Monday aur Tuesday ko U.S. currency ko support bhi diya. Middle East mein military conflict barh raha hai, Eurozone mein inflation target level se neeche ja rahi hai, Jerome Powell ne markets ko yaqeen dilaya ke November mein 0.5% rate cut ka koi plan nahi hai, aur Christine Lagarde ne bhi yeh hint diya ke easing October mein ho sakti hai, December ke bajaye. Magar humare nazdeek, yeh sab secondary factors hain. Primary factor yeh hai ke pair overbought hai aur iska price level bohat zyada hai, jo ki unjustified hai. Seedhi si baat yeh hai ke euro buhat zyada mehnga ho gaya tha.

Tuesday ko do trading signals generate huye jo dekhne layak the. Pehla, pair ne critical line ko break kiya, aur phir Senkou Span B line ko cross kiya. Is tarah, traders European trading session ke start mein short positions open kar sakte the. Shaam tak short positions ne takreeban 50-60 pips ka profit generate kiya, aur yeh decline jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.

Hourly time frame mein, abhi bhi yeh realistic chance hai ke pair apna do saal purana upward trend khatam kar de. Fundamental aur macroeconomic reasons jo dollar ke mazeed decline ke liye ho sakein, ab wo nahi hain. Technical analysis bhi downward movement ke haq mein hai. Haan, ho sakta hai ke do saal ka upward trend momentum ke wajah se continue kare, magar hum medium term mein decline expect karte hain.

EUR/USD pair ne kal ke din support level 1.10575 par kaam kiya, aur abhi tak issi level par hai. Yeh level pair ko neeche janay se rok raha hai, jo ek nayi buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Agar mere assumptions theek hain, toh pehla target resistance level 1.11878 ho ga, jahaan pair lower trend ka kaam karega, aur wahan se thoda rollback ho sakta hai correction ke liye. Iske baad, buying dobara shuru ho sakti hai taake upper trend

EUR/USD
Agar EUR/USD ki price 1.09309 level ke upar break karti hai, to traders ko agay ka upward movement ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, aur agla resistance levels ko dekhna chahiye. Sab se pehla target resistance hoga 1.08916 par, aur agar momentum barqarar rehta hai, to price 1.0946 ke resistance level tak pohanch sakti hai. Yeh levels traders ke liye bohat ahem hain, kyun ke yeh un points ko dikhate hain jahan buying aur selling ka pressure badal sakta hai.

1.09309 ke upar ka break bullish momentum ka signal de sakta hai. Technical analysis mein, resistance levels aksar woh barriers hote hain jin ko prices cross karne mein mushkil hoti hai. Jab price in barriers ko breach kar leti hai, to yeh strong bullish trend ka signal hota hai. Is liye, 1.09309 ke upar ka move buyers ki confidence aur market sentiment ke upside shift ko dikhata hai.

Agar price in resistance levels, khaaskar 1.0946, ke upar chali jati hai, to yeh EUR/USD ke current upward movement mein fifth wave ke completion ka ishara ho sakta hai. Elliott Wave Theory ke mutabiq, markets cycles mein chalte hain, jo ke 5 waves trend ke direction mein hoti hain, followed by 3 corrective waves. Agar yeh theory yahan applicable hoti hai, to yeh levels cross karne se upward trend ke khatam hone ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Traders ke liye yeh dynamics samajhna zaroori hai. Agar fifth wave waqai complete ho rahi hai, to yeh market dynamics mein change ya correction ka signal de sakti hai. Traders aksar is maloomat ka istemal karte hain apne positions adjust karne ke liye, jaise ke profits lena ya stop-loss orders set karna taake risks ko kam kiya ja sake. Wave structure ko pehchanne se future price movements ko predict karna asaan hota hai, aur informed trading decisions lene mein madad milti hai.

Iske ilawa, broader market context ko dekhna bhi zaroori hai jab yeh levels analyze kiye jate hain. Economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies sab EUR/USD pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Eurozone se positive economic data aata hai, to yeh euro ko dollar ke against mazid strengthen kar sakta hai aur price ko resistance levels ke upar le ja sakta hai. Ulta, negative news reversals trigger kar sakti hai, is liye traders ke liye informed rehna bohat ahem hai.

In resistance levels ke ilawa, traders ko confirmation signals, jaise ke increased trading volume ya bullish candlestick patterns, bhi dekhni chahiye jo upward breakout ko mazid confirm kar sakte hain. Aisi confirmations se yeh andaza lagana asaan hota hai ke ek sustainable move ho raha hai. Saath hi, traders ko support levels par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo current price action se neeche hoti hain. Agar breakout fail hota hai aur price reverse hoti hai, to yeh support levels risk management ke liye critical points ban sakte hain. Stop-loss orders ko in levels ke mutabiq place karna significant losses se bachne mein madadgar hota hai.

Nateeja yeh hai ke EUR/USD ki price action 1.09309 level ke aas paas bohat pivotal hai upward movement ko samajhne ke liye. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai aur aglay targets, 1.08916 aur 1.0946, tak pohanchti hai, to yeh ek strong bullish trend ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke upward movement mein fifth wave ke completion ko indicate kar raha hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, economic indicators ko monitor karna chahiye, aur apni strategies ko evolving market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Is tarah, traders forex market ke complexities ko better handle kar sakte hain aur potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain

level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga. 1.10 ka mark pehle ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai. Is environment mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek saaf long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jaye aur isay doosri currency pairs par lagoo kiya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein taqatwar hota raha, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna behtar ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, yeh zyada munasib hoga ke isay short-term chart analysis ke liye dekha jaye, dekhte hue market ki volatility aur price level ke utar-chadhav. Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh levels ahm support aur resistance points hain aur yeh short-term trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh jati hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures

USD currency pair ki price changes ka tajziya karenge. Powell ne ECB forum par baat ki, aur hamesha ki tarah, unki guftagu ne US dollar ko "drop" kar diya, halan ke Lagarde ne unse pehle baat ki thi aur euro ko thoda support kiya tha. Powell ne kuch naya nahi kaha, lekin uske bawajood EUR/USD ne 1.0739 level ko tor diya aur ab 1.0749 resistance ke qareeb hai. EMA-200 ke zariye mark ki gayi critical resistance level 1.0759 par hai. Ye samajhna mushkil hai ke market ne Powell ke bayan par aise kyun react kiya, jabke unka bayan ground-breaking nahi tha. Unho ne kaha ke labor market abhi tak mazboot hai, aur inflation ab tak 2% ke qareeb nahi hai, lekin disinflation ke asaar hain. Lagarde ne bhi kaha ke inflation sahi raaste par ja raha hai, magar abhi faisla karna jaldi ho ga ke ye wahi rahega. Powell ne zor diya ke Fed apne faislay karne mein jaldi nahi karega, aur unho ne kaha ke US aur Europe ke inflation ke masail alag hain, jo mukhtalif approaches require karte hain. Iske bawajood, market abhi US dollar khareedne se hichkicha raha hai.
Europe mein siyasi developments ne market sentiment par significant asar dala hai, khaaskar European parliamentary elections ne Euro par confidence ko dent kiya hai. France ne apni parliament ko dissolve karne aur snap elections karwane ka faisla kiya hai, jisko President Emmanuel Macron ne EU parliament elections mein shikast ke baad call kiya. Is faislay ne market mein uncertainty ko barhawa diya. Marine Le Pen, jo ke National Rally se taluq rakhti hain aur right-leaning conservative politician hain, ke Macron ko replace karne ke imkaan ne financial markets ko hilaya diya hai.
Le Pen ka platform jisme woh baday tax cuts, retirement age ka kam karna, aur sakht immigration controls shamil hain, France mein kaafi maqbool ho raha hai. Le Pen ki jeet ke imkaan ne European financial markets mein khauf paida kar diya hai. Unki policies aisay waqt mein significant fiscal challenges ko impose kar sakti hain jab European economic indicators already underperform kar rahe hain. Iske alawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ke paas rate cuts ka rasta bhi inflation ke barqarar rehne ki wajah se limited hai.
EUR/USD pair ke technical outlook ko dekhte hue, mild downward pressure dekha ja raha hai jab tak 1.1060 level hold karta hai. Tuesday ko Euro 1.1031 ka low hit kar ke 1.1018 par close hua, jo ye suggest karta hai ke mazeed downside pressure ban raha hai. Agar Euro 1.1020 mark ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh 1.0991 tak gir sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, strong resistance level neeche shift ho gaya hai, 1.1161 se 1.1105 par, jo ke market mein bearish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.

Tuesday ko ek tezi se decline ka samna kiya, jisme euro quotes lagbhag 160 pips se neeche gaye do din se bhi kam waqt mein. Hum pehle se traders ko warn kar rahe the ke euro overbought ho chuka hai aur be-wajah mehnga hai, jisme koi growth factors nahi hain, chahe mahine pehle dekha jaye ya abhi ke halat mein. Ab collapse shuru ho gaya hai. Hum samajhte hain ke yeh pair ke decline ki shuruaat hai jo lambay waqt tak jaari reh sakta hai. Aham baat yeh hai ke pichlay do saalon mein market ne actively Federal Reserve ke monetary policy easing ko price karna shuru kar diya tha. Ab jab yeh process shuru ho chuka hai, toh dollar bechne ke mazeed reasons nahi hain. Is ke ilawa, kuch events ne Monday aur Tuesday ko U.S. currency ko support bhi diya. Middle East mein military conflict barh raha hai, Eurozone mein inflation target level se neeche ja rahi hai, Jerome Powell ne markets ko yaqeen dilaya ke November mein 0.5% rate cut ka koi plan nahi hai, aur Christine Lagarde ne bhi yeh hint diya ke easing October mein ho sakti hai, December ke bajaye. Magar humare nazdeek, yeh sab secondary factors hain. Primary factor yeh hai ke pair overbought hai aur iska price level bohat zyada hai, jo ki unjustified hai. Seedhi si baat yeh hai ke euro buhat zyada mehnga ho gaya tha. Tuesday ko do trading signals generate huye jo dekhne layak the. Pehla, pair ne critical line ko break kiya, aur phir Senkou Span B line ko cross kiya. Is tarah, traders European trading session ke start mein short positions open kar sakte the. Shaam tak short positions ne takreeban 50-60 pips ka profit generate kiya, aur yeh decline jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.

Hourly time frame mein, abhi bhi yeh realistic chance hai ke pair apna do saal purana upward trend khatam kar de. Fundamental aur macroeconomic reasons jo dollar ke mazeed decline ke liye ho sakein, ab wo nahi hain. Technical analysis bhi downward movement ke haq mein hai. Haan, ho sakta hai ke do saal ka upward trend momentum ke wajah se continue kare, magar hum medium term mein decline expect karte hain

American trading mein halka sa rebound dekha jabke Asian session ke doran isne khaas nuqsan uthaya. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga. 1.10 ka mark pehle ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai.

Is environment mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek saaf long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jaye aur isay doosri currency pairs par lagoo kiya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein taqatwar hota raha, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna behtar ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, yeh zyada munasib hoga ke isay short-term chart analysis ke liye dekha jaye, dekhte hue market ki volatility aur price level ke utar-chadhav.

Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh levels ahm support aur resistance points hain aur yeh short-term trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh jati hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures jaari rakhte hain, to yeh pair zyada volatility ka shikar hoga, jo short-term trades ko long-term positions se zyada faida mand banata hai. Traders

ke market mein euro ek kaafi achi downward trend mein chal raha hai, jisse traders ne kuch important levels par focus kia hai jahan se entry aur exit points dhoondne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke din mein euro ka 1.0949 ka support level break hone ka bohat zyada imkaan hai, jo ke currency pair ke liye kaafi critical tha pichle kuch sessions mein. Is analysis ke madad se, maine sell positions establish ki hain kyun ke lagta hai ke price aur neeche gir sakti hai. Maket ke current downward trend ko kaafi indicators bhi support kar rahe hain, jo dikhate hain ke sellers market ko control kar rahe hain. Agar 1.0949 ka level break hota hai, toh price neeche support levels tak ja sakti hai, jo broader market sentiment ke sath milta julta hai, jahan economic data releases aur uncertainty euro par pressure dal rahe hain.Lekin hamesha doosra scenario bhi dekhna zaroori hota hai. Agar euro 1.1000 ke psychological level ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Is level par demand agar barqarar hoti hai, toh current bearish outlook cancel ho sakta hai aur yeh indicate karega ke buyers momentum le rahe hain. Aise reversal ko gaur karna bohat zaroori hoga, khaaskar agar price is level ke upar sustain karta hai.Shorter timeframes, khaaskar 5-minute chart par, kuch upward movement ke aasar nazar aa rahe hain, halan ke broader bearish trend abhi bhi barqarar hai. Aaj subah ke signals yeh dikhate hain ke price ka rebound ho sakta hai, jo ke upper levels test karne ki koshish karega. Agar rebound mazid taqatwar hota hai, toh yeh downward channel ko challenge kar sakta hai.Agar euro channel ke upar break karta hai, toh agla resistance zone 1.1034 aur 1.1064 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai, jo sellers ke liye ek important area hai. Agar euro is resistance zone ke upar sustain karta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke higher levels ko re-test karne ka imkaan paida kar sakta hai.Aaj ke trading session mein 1.0949 ka support aur 1.1000 ka resistance levels kaafi important hain. Traders ko flexible rehna chahiye aur apni positions ko adjust karna chahiye jese ke market evolve hoti hai, khaaskar jab momentum shift hone ka imkaan ho.

Humari guftagu ka mawzu is waqt EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajzia hai. EUR/USD ke mid-term outlook mein kisi shift ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldbazi lagti hai. Waqt-e-haazir ka daily uptrend 1.0999 ya is se thora neechay hai, aur jab tak yeh trend line nahi toot'ti, upward momentum barqarar reh sakti hai. Magar akhirkar sellers push karte hue medium-term trend ko downward shift kar sakte hain, aur aik corrective rebound ki umeed hai. Baaz tajziya karne walon ka khayal hai ke yeh pair pichlay saal ki high 1.1274 ko break kar ke apni growth jari rakh sakta hai.Non-farm payrolls ke growth ki umeed hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh EUR/USD ke price mein afternoon mein izafa ho sakta hai, kyunkay traders positive U.S. employment results ke muntazir hain. Agar yeh sab hota hai, toh correction Asian ya European sessions ke duran mukhtasir ho sakta hai. Is surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, koi dollars khareedne ka soch sakta hai ya phir news ka intezaar kar ke market ke reaction ke mutabiq trade kar sakta hai.Abhi ke liye, EUR/USD ke price behavior mein ek dilchasp surat-e-haal paida hui hai. Tuesday ko asset ki price 1.1060 tak pohch gayi thi. 30-minute chart downward trend dikhata hai, lekin sirf saat minute mein engulfing candle band hone ke qareeb thi, jo ke price ko upward reverse kar sakti hai. Neeche do red pin bars ne slight upward retracement ka sabab bana. Mera pending order is waqt thora neeche, 1.1009 par, jo ke abhi ke current price se 49 points neeche hai. Mein intezaar kar raha hoon dekhne ke liye ke market meri order ko kaise respond karta hai, filhal monitoring mode mein hoon. Din ke aakhir mein news flow significant lagta hai, toh lagta hai aaj ki raat bechain guzraygi.
Friday ka session aglay hafte ke liye zyada insight ya hints dega. Abhi ke liye, behtar hoga ke selling par focus kiya jaye, aur good luck trading strategy ke liye. Selling is waqt zyada safe bet lagti hai. Akhir mein, EUR/USD abhi bearish phase mein hai, lekin dheere pace se move kar raha hai. Traders ko central bank announcements, economic data, aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunkay yeh aglay bare move ke catalysts ho sakte hain. Ahem baat yeh hai ke hoshiyaar rahna aur new information ke mutabiq informed rehna zaroori hai, kyunkay market kisi bhi waqt shift kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair filhal 1.11225 level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur market slow bearish trend mein hai. Is downtrend ke peechay kai wajahein hain, jaise macroeconomic conditions, market ka jazba, aur central banks, jaise ke European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), ki policies.Is waqt market consolidation mode mein lagti hai, jahan traders kisi baray event ya data release ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo EUR/USD ko ek wazeh direction mein le ja sakti hai. Jab market aise slow downtrend mein hoti hai bina kisi bari volatility ke, toh aksar iska matlab hota hai ke traders ahista se key factors, jaise inflation rates, interest rate decisions, aur geopolitical developments ka jaiza le rahe hote hain. Eurozone aur U.S. ki economic data par traders ka focus hota hai pehle se baray trades lene se pehle.Halaanki trend abhi bearish hai, lekin kuch factors hain jo agle dinon mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Ek key factor ECB ya Fed ki aane wali policy announcements ho sakti hain. Agar ECB apni economic performance ke kamzor honay par dovish stance adopt karta hai, toh euro aur neeche gir sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ke bearish trend ko aur aage le jaayega. Doosri taraf, agar Fed apne future interest rate hikes ko delay karne ka ishara deta hai, toh U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jisse EUR/USD mein reversal ka mauqa mil sakta hai.Unexpected economic data releases, jaise GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data mein changes, bhi currency pair mein bari movement la sakti hain. Agar U.S. ki economic data mazid strong aayi, toh dollar aur mazid strong ho sakta hai, aur EUR/USD neeche gir sakta hai. Agar U.S. data weak ho gayi, toh dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur euro ko strength mil sakti hai. traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur aane wale policy decisions aur economic reports ko closely dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh sabse bara asar dalenge EUR/USD ke aglay baray move par.

USD currency pair ke price trends ka tajziya karegi. Kaafi clear indicators hain jo U.S. dollar ke market mein rise ko support karte hain, aur is mein oil prices ka bohat bara kirdar hai. Jabke U.S. economy ke initiatives bhi dollar ki strength mein contribute kar rahe hain, khaas tor par labour market ka growth, lekin asal mein oil market is ka primary driver hai. Aaj oil prices $78.18 per barrel tak pohonch gayi hain. Agar yeh trend barqarar rehti hai, toh U.S. dollar bhi saath mein barhta rahega. EUR/USD currency pair mein thodi si upward movement jo dekhne ko mil rahi hai, woh ziyada tar oil prices ke fluctuations ki wajah se hai jab correction periods ke dauran oil price neeche aati hai. Abhi oil $75.24 tak gir chuka hai, jisse dollar market mein thoda ease kar gaya aur euro ko ek minor correction ka moka mila. Technical standpoint se dekha jaye, toh euro ka chance hai ke yeh significant level 1.0999 ko test kare, jo aksar EUR/USD pair ke liye ek psychological barrier mana jata hai. Abhi EUR/USD pair lagbhag 1.0986 par trade kar raha hai, aur market sentiment bearish lagta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke euro U.S. dollar ke muqable mein ground lose kar raha hai, jo ek potential downward trend ka ishara deta hai. Halaanki market dheere chal raha hai, lekin agle kuch dinon mein ek significant movement ka imkaan hai.
Kai factors hain jo traders ko help kar sakte hain profits secure karne mein aur unpredictable market movements ke exposure ko kam karne mein, khaas tor par jab sellers ka pressure barhta hai. Umeed hai ke USD/CAD market abhi bhi buyers ke favor mein rahega aur yeh 1.3665 zone ko cross karenge.

Trading strategy ka aik ahem pehlu yeh hai ke economic data aur market sentiment ka asar dekha jaye. Aane wali economic data releases, jaise ke inflation, employment, ya GDP growth reports, EUR/USD ke direction ko kaafi had tak affect kar sakti hain. Agar U.S. economy expected se zyada strong performance show karti hai, toh dollar mazid strong hoga, jisse EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai. Wagarna, agar U.S. economy mein koi kamzori nazar aayi ya Eurozone mein recovery ke signs dikhai diye, toh yeh trend euro ke favor mein shift ho sakta

EUR/USD pair ne Friday ko New York session ke dauran 1.0930 ke qareeb consolidation dekhi. US dollar mazboot raha jab ke bade currencies sideways trade karti rahi, halaan ke US ka Producer Price Index (PPI) data release hua tha, jisme producer inflation ke umeed se tez barhne ka pata chala. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 103.00 ke qareeb hover karta raha. Report ne dikhaya ke overall producer price index inflation saal ke liye 1.8% tak dheemi hui, jo August ke 1.9% se thori kam thi. Economists ki umeed thi ke headline producer inflation 1.6% tak barhegi. Is dauran, core producer price index, jo food aur energy ki volatile prices ko exclude karta hai, 2.8% barha, jo 2.7% ki umeed aur pehle ke 2.6% (jo 2.4% se upward revise hui thi) se zyada tha. Monthly PPI flat raha, jab ke core data ke 0.2% barhne ki umeed thi.
Mazid inflation data ke baad, US producer inflation umeed se zyada tha, jo dobara persistent inflation ka risk barhata hai. Magar, yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein 25 basis point rate cut ke market expectations ko mutasir nahi karega, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Is ke bajaye, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne yeh option dia ke November mein rates ko 4.75%-5.00% par change na kiya jaye. Bostic ke Wall Street Journal ke sath Thursday ko interview mein kaha gaya tha ke wo agle mahine ke rate cut ko skip karne par mutmain hain. "Mujhe lagta hai, yeh volatility is baat ka matlab hai ke humein November mein shayad pause karna padega, aur main is ke liye khula hoon," Bostic ne kaha, jab ke US CPI report release hui thi. Yeh comments is liye aaye jab ke report ne dikhaya ke September mein inflation pressures umeed se zyada barh gaye the. EUR/USD pair ko 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.0900 ke qareeb temporary support mili.

Pair ka near-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur 20- aur 50-day moving averages ke qareeb 1.1020 par bearish crossover banne ki umeed hai. Pair double bottom chart pattern ke breakdown ke baad weak ho rahi hai, jo September 11 ke low 1.1000 ke neeche girne par trigger hui thi. 14-day RSI flat hai aur 20.00 aur 40.00 ke bearish range mein hai, jo mazid weakness ka ishara karta hai. Agar 200-day EMA ke neeche 1.0900 par decisive break hoti hai, to pair ko 1.0800 ke support level ke qareeb support milne ki umeed hai. Agar price upar jaata hai, to September 11 ka low 1.1000 aur 20-day moving average 1.1090 par major resistance areas honge.

Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai. Is environment mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek saaf long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jaye aur isay doosri currency pairs par lagoo kiya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein taqatwar hota raha, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna behtar ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, yeh zyada munasib hoga ke isay short-term chart analysis ke liye dekha jaye, dekhte hue market ki volatility aur price level ke utar-chadhav. Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh levels ahm support aur resistance points hain aur yeh short-term trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh jati hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures jaari rakhte hain, to yeh pair zyada volatility ka shikar hoga, jo short-term trades ko long-term positions se zyada faida mand banata hai. Traders ko hamesha ehtiyaat aur chust rehna chahiye
EUR/USD pair ke technical outlook ko dekhte hue, mild downward pressure dekha ja raha hai jab tak 1.1060 level hold karta hai. Tuesday ko Euro 1.1031 ka low hit kar ke 1.1018 par close hua, jo ye suggest karta hai ke mazeed downside pressure ban raha hai. Agar Euro 1.1020 mark ke neeche break karta hai