𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Subah ki forecast mein, maine kuch levels highlight kiye the aur unke base par market entry ka plan banaya tha. Aaiye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyse karte hain ke kya huwa. Afsoos ki baat yeh hai ke extremely low volatility ke wajah se, jo ke 15 points ke aas-paas thi, pehle half of the day mein market entry points achieve karna mushkil ho gaya. Technical outlook ko second half of the day ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.
**EUR/USD pe Long Positions ke Liye:**

Bilkul, Eurozone trade balance ka data euro pe koi asar nahi daal paaya, aur na hi iski umeed thi. Ab U.S. housing market reports pe dhyan shift ho raha hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke yeh data release market ko significantly change karega, isliye channel ke andar hi trading ko prefer karna better hoga aur week ke end mein kuch bada expect nahi karna chahiye. Building permits aur housing starts ka data shayad market ko U.S. dollar ke liye thoda push kar sakta hai, lekin yeh unlikely hai. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index aur inflation expectations bhi zyadatar nazar andaz kiye jayenge, khaaskar jab in indicators mein koi significant changes nahi hain. Given ke technical outlook revise nahi kiya gaya, agar statistics achi nahi hoti, aur 1.0952 ke support level ke aas-paas false breakout formation hota hai, toh yeh long positions ke liye suitable condition hogi, with the expectation ke euro upar jayega aur bullish trend ko strengthen karega. Agar 1.1014 ke significant resistance level ko break kar ke upward movement hoti hai, toh pair ko strengthen kiya jaa sakta hai, aur 1.1047 tak rise ho sakta hai. Sabse door ka target 1.1076 high hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur 1.0952 ke aas-paas second half of the day mein koi activity nahi hoti, jo ke unlikely hai, sellers ko larger correction ka chance mil sakta hai aur wo active measures le sakte hain, aiming for a drop in the pair. Aise mein, main sirf 1.0916 ke next support level ke aas-paas false breakout ke baad hi consider karunga. 1.0884 se rebound par long positions open karunga, target rakhte hue upward correction of 30-35 points din ke andar.

**EUR/USD pe Short Positions ke Liye:**

Sellers itna active nahi rahe hain. Data release ke baad 1.1014 pe false breakout short positions ke liye suitable scenario provide karega, targeting a decline to the intermediate support at 1.0983. Agar is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, aur uske baad se neeche se retest hota hai, toh ek aur selling point mil sakta hai move towards 1.0952, jahan zyada active buying dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sabse door ka target 1.0916 hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Is level ko test karna euro buyers ke upward trend establish karne ke plans ko thwart karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein weak U.S. statistics ke wajah se rise karta hai aur 1.1014 pe bearish activity nahi hoti, toh buyers naya upward trend establish karenge. Aise mein, main selling ko 1.1047 ke next resistance pe postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi action loonga, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions ko 1.1076 se rebound par turant open karunga, targeting a downward correction of 30-35 points

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EUR/USD Forecast: US Dollar Economic Health ke Asar se Soars Kar Raha Hai

EUR/USD pair ne Thursday ke pehle hissay mein 1.1000 ke upar hold kiya, aur phir se tight intraday range mein qaboo mein raha. Yeh pair Wednesday ko 1.1046 tak peak hua, jab ke United States (US) July Consumer Price Index (CPI) release hua. Yeh data dikhata hai ke inflationary pressures ne third quarter ke aaghaz mein thori si kami dikhayi, bawajood is baat ke ke index Federal Reserve (Fed) ke 2% ke goal ke upar hi tha.

Financial markets ne is news ka khush aamdeed kaha, kyun ke yeh kisi had tak aane wale interest rate cut ki tasdeek kar raha tha. Stocks mein izafa hua jab ke government bond yields stable rahe. Lekin, US Dollar ne thori si ground kho di, kyun ke yeh figures pre-release market ke nazar mein koi bara badlav nahi laaye.

European macroeconomic calendar mein kuch khaas nahi tha, lekin US ne abhi kuch aham data release kiya. July Retail Sales mein 1% izafa hua, jo ke market participants ke 0.3% ke anticipate se zyada tha. August 9 ko khatam hone wale week ke liye Initial Jobless Claims 227K tak barh gaye, jo ke expected 235K se behtar the. Aakhir mein, regional manufacturing indexes August mein negative outcomes dikhaye, lekin koi khaas surprise nahi diya.

US Dollar Wall Street ke futures ke sath surge kar gaya, jab ke yeh figures recession ke bhooton ko dara gaya aur sath hi September mein ek Fed rate cut ke support mein rahe.

EUR/USD Short-Term Technical Outlook

EUR/USD pair 1.0950 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur daily chart dikhata hai ke bearish momentum barh gaya hai. Technical indicators overbought readings se sharply retreat huye hain, aur firmly bearish downward slopes bana rahe hain. Phir bhi, yeh pair apni tamam moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, jab ke 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) lagbhag 1.0890 par north ki taraf ja raha hai.

Short period mein, aur 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bearish case aur bhi zyada strong hai. Technical indicators almost vertically apni midlines ke qareeb aa rahe hain, extreme readings se asaani se kam ho rahe hain aur apni slides ko extend karne ke liye poised hain. Is waqt, pair ne apni 20 SMA ke niche fall kiya hai, jo ke ab near-term resistance ke tor par act kar raha hai, aur lagbhag 1.0970 par hai.

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ne guzishta haftay 1.1046 tak edge karne ke baad retreat kiya, lekin 1.0880 support ke upar range mein raha. Initial bias is haftay consolidations ke liye neutral rehti hai, aur mazeed rally ke haqq mein hai. Upside par, 1.0665 se 1.0947 ke 100% projection ko 1.0776 se firm break karne se 1.1058 par upside acceleration ho sakta hai, jo 1.1138 resistance se guzarte hue 161.8% projection par 1.1232 tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin, 4H MACD mein bearish divergence condition ko madde nazar rakhte hue, 1.0880 ka break near-term reversal ko suggest karega aur bias ko downside par 1.0776 support aur niche ke liye turn kar dega.



Price actions 1.1274 se ek corrective pattern ke tor par dekhi ja rahi hain jo abhi extend ho sakti hai. 1.1138 resistance ka break rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) ke resume hone ka pehla signal hoga, jo 1.1274 (2023 high) se guzarta hai. Lekin, 1.0776 support ka break correction ko extend karega aur phir se 1.0447 support ki taraf ek aur girawat leg ke sath wapas laayega.

Ek long-term bottom 0.9534 (2022 low) par place hai. 55 M EMA ka sustained break (jo ke ab 1.1012 par hai) long-term reversal ka chance barhata hai. Lekin is case mein bhi, 1.2348 structural resistance ka firm break confirm karna zaroori hai. 55 M EMA ka rejection bearishness ko barqarar rakhega aur downtrend ko 1.6039 (2008 high) se guzarte hue 0.9534 tak extend karega kisi aglay marhalay mein.

Currency pair EUR/USD - aaiye D1 period ke chart par nazar daalte hain. Wave structure apna order upar ki taraf bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein apni signal line ke upar growth dikha raha hai. Pichlay haftay ke movements kaafi clear thay. Teen clear movements dekhnay ko milein: pehle growth, phir fall, aur phir dobara se growth. Aur yeh tamaam movements na sirf is period par, balki chhotay periods par bhi achi tarah se dikhai diye. Yeh movements accumulation zone ke maximum se bahar chale gaye, maximum se gire, aur yeh bhi wazeh tha ke kyon, kyon ke hafte ke darmiyan USA ki news aayi jahan indicators American dollar ke liye favorable sabit hue, aur price patthar ki tarah neeche gir gayi.

Aik clearly expressed horizontal support level 1.0954 par closing prices par bana tha. Yeh wazeh tha ke wahan se aik upward rebound hua, magar mujhe umeed nahi thi ke yeh itna ziada strong hoga, main sochta tha ke yeh chhota hoga aur hum wahin phans jayenge. Ab lagta hai ke price shayad top ke paar jaana chahti hai, aur is mein bohot kam faasla bacha hai. Sath hi, CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein bend kar raha hai aur is par bearish divergence nazar aa raha hai. Agar price maximum ke paar chale jati hai, to ye mumkin hai ke wahan se aik correctional decline ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Wahan M30-H1 ke chhote period mein aap mirror level ke formation ka dekh sakte hain, jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye aur downward correction ke expectation mein kaam kiya jaye.

Is ke ilawa, yahan yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne aik reversal figure banaya hai - aik ascending wedge ke andar, jahan yeh abhi mojood hai. Yeh aik additional sign hai ke price ko ek dum se bohot upar nahi le jaya ja sakta, aur shayad jaldi hi aik downward trend mein reversal ho jaye. Phir bhi, yeh figure bohot khubsurat hai aur achi tarah se kaam kar sakti hai. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi aisi news nahi hai jis par aapko dhyaan dena zaroori ho.

EUR/USD Price Patterns:

Hamari discussion ka topic EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka analysis hai. Jab hum extended time frames ko analyze karte hain, to yeh clear ho jata hai ki downward correction persist karti hai, despite past two days ke sideways movement ke. Solid selling opportunity ke liye, EUR/USD ko 1.088 ke neeche girna hoga, jo pair ko 1.0872 par le jayega, jahan daily chart par moving average currently hai. Iske baad, 1.0949 level next support ho sakta hai. Full-fledged bearish reversal tabhi hoga jab trading 1.079 ke neeche gir jayega. While there's possibility of another upward impulse on daily chart, main significant growth ko consider nahi kar raha hoon. Sales current level se ho sakti hai, kyunki pair ne recently resistance se rebound kiya hai aur main resistance level ke neeche week end kiya hai, jo further decline ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

Last week, euro-dollar pair ne bearish candle ke saath close kiya, jo potential selling pressure ko signal kar raha hai. Lekin upcoming week intense hone ki ummeed hai, unpredictable market movements ke saath. Currently, technical outlook for EUR/USD ambiguous hai. Sellers ne initial impulse zone 1.0901 ke neeche control establish nahi kiya. Increasing bearish volume ko dekhte hue, next support level ka breakdown genuine ho sakta hai, lekin yeh trading ke dauran hi clear hoega.

Nearest significant resistance level euro ke liye 1.0922 par hai, aur agar yeh break ho jata hai, to pair apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai next resistance 1.0949 par. Wahan se, EUR/USD reverse downward ho sakta hai ya second impulse zone 1.0994 par climb kar sakta hai. Direction fundamentals par depend karti hai. Pair narrow range mein trade hua aur 1.0919 ke neeche close hua, jo potential opening decline ke liye Monday ko suggest kar raha hai

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Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price ki harkat aur is se kya analysis nikalta hai. Producer Price Index (PPI) mein kami dekhi gayi hai, jo yeh ishaara deti hai ke agle doran inflation kam ho sakti hai. Yeh natija kuch had tak ummed se zyada tez tha. Hum dekha rahe hain ke price pehle ke high level 1.1009 ki taraf barh rahi hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke aham khabron ki kami ke bawajood, pair ka bullish momentum 18:59 par shuru hua, jo yeh darshata hai ke shayad yeh movement speculators ki nazar ka nasha hai. Abhi ke liye 1.1004 level resistance bana hua hai, aur hum 1.099 level se rebound dekh rahe hain, jahan support 1.0969 par hai. Buy zone 1.0934 aur 1.0914 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair kal 10th figure par chala jata hai aur 79-99 points aur gain karta hai, toh bearish momentum puri tarah se khatam ho sakta hai. Bar'aks, agar 1.1011 break hota hai, toh ek pullback bhi ho sakta hai.

Euro-dollar ke liye critical resistance pichle descending fan ka last angle aur 1.0991 level par hai. Agar yeh resistance break ho jata hai, toh yeh lagta hai ke pehle ka high 1.1008 bhi jaldi break ho sakta hai. Euro-dollar ke liye primary support 1.0959 par hai, jahan se EUR/USD price ya toh dobara bullish ho sakti hai ya phir niche girti rahegi, jahan agle support levels 1.0929/1.0922 aur bearish starting point 1.0902 hain. Aaj ki growth ke bawajood, euro-dollar ka technical outlook abhi bhi wahi hai, aur zyada tar kal ke fundamentals par depend karega. H1 time frame par, currency pair/instrument medium-term movement ko predict karke munafa kamane ki potential deta hai. Hamara maqsad higher H4 time frame trend ko sahi se identify karna aur market entry ko pinpoint karna hai taake maximum gains hasil kiye ja sakein.

#EUR/USD H4 Euro - US Dollar

Is waqt jo chart dekh rahe hain, usmein Euro aur US Dollar ke darmiyan aik clear bullish sentiment nazar aa raha hai. Heiken Ashi candle indicator ka istemal karke isko asani se pehchana ja sakta hai, jo ke traditional Japanese candles se mukhtalif hai kyun ke ye price quotes ka zyada smooth aur averaged value dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ka process simplify kar deta hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko bhi bohot behtar banata hai.

Is chart par Triangular Moving Average (TMA) linear channel indicator bhi use kiya gaya hai, jo ke Moving Average par mabni current support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai. Ye indicator currency pair ki movement ke relevant boundaries ko dikhata hai, jo trading mein madadgar sabit hoti hain. Aik aur signal filtering ke liye aur trading decision lene ke liye RSI oscillator bhi use hota hai, jo asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai.

Chart par jo situation dekh rahe hain, usmein Heikin Ashi candles blue color ki hain, jo ke price movement ke northward jaane ko dikhata hai. Market quotes ne linear channel ki lower boundary (red dashed line) ke neeche cross kiya, lekin minimum point tak pohanchne ke baad ye wahan se bounce karke dobara channel ki middle line (yellow dashed line) ki taraf wapas aayi. Filtering signal basement indicator RSI (14) bhi buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai, kyun ke iski curve bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai.

In tamam baaton ko madde nazar rakhte hue, sirf buying ko relevant samjha ja raha hai, isliye hum long position open karte hain, aur expect karte hain ke ye instrument upper channel boundary (blue dashed line) ki taraf move karega, jo ke price level 1.09939 par located hai.

EUR/USD ki price fluctuations ko examine kar rahe hain. Longer time periods ko analyze karte hue, yeh clear ho jata hai ki downward correction persist karti hai, despite previous two days ke sideways movement ke. Solid selling opportunity ke liye, EUR/USD ko 1.088 ke neeche girna hoga, potentially pair ko 1.0872 par le jayega, jahan daily chart par moving average currently hai. Iske baad, 1.0949 level next support ho sakta hai. Full-fledged bearish reversal tabhi hoga jab trading 1.079 ke neeche gir jayega.

While possibility of another upward impulse on daily chart hai, significant growth anticipate nahi ki jati hai. Sales current level se originate ho sakti hai, kyunki pair ne recently resistance se rebound kiya hai aur main resistance level ke neeche week end kiya hai, jo further decline ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Last week, euro-dollar pair ne bearish candle ke saath close kiya, jo potential selling pressure ko signal kar raha hai. Lekin upcoming week intense hone ki ummeed hai, unpredictable market movements ke saath.

Currently, technical outlook EUR/USD ke liye ambiguous hai. Sellers ne initial impulse zone 1.0901 ke neeche control establish nahi kiya. Weekly candlestick pattern suggests ki current support level ka breakdown possible hai, lekin yeh trading session ke dauran hi clear hoega. Euro ki nearest significant resistance 1.0922 par hai, aur agar yeh reach hota hai, to currency pair apni upward momentum ko continue kar sakta hai next resistance 1.0949 par. Wahan se, EUR/USD reverse downward ho sakta hai ya second impulse zone 1.0994 par climb kar sakta hai. Course of action underlying market fundamentals par depend karega.

Pair limited range mein trade hua aur 1.0919 ke neeche close hua, jo potential opening ko downward movement ke liye suggest kar raha hai

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EURUSD Analysis

EUR/USD ne bullish move dikhaaya hai, khaaskar jab pichle haftay ke doran long-term symmetrical triangle ke upar rally hui. Yeh pair phir se lagbhag 8 mahinay ke high 1.1050 ke sath laraai kar raha hai, aur simple moving averages (SMAs) bhi current upside movement ko mirror kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh sab upar ja rahe hain. Iske ilawa, 50-day SMA 200-day SMA ke upar cross karne ke liye tayaar hai.

Technical oscillators ke mutabiq, stochastic apne %K aur %D lines mein bullish crossover dikha raha hai, jab ke RSI strong momentum ke sath 70 level ke saath flirt kar raha hai.

Agar yeh pair apne pichle top ke upar apna uptrend dobara se activate karta hai, to agla target 1.1140 resistance hoga, jo December 2023 ke peak se liya gaya hai. Aur bhi upar, bulls 1.1275 number ki taraf barh sakte hain, jo ke 2023 ke doosray hisse ke doran ek key resistance area tha.

Neeche ke side pe, 1.0950 support pichlay do dino se selling forces ko rok raha hai. Isliye, agar yeh line tooti, to 20-day SMA jo ke 1.0900 ke aas-paas hai, nayi negative volatility produce kar sakta hai, jo ke price ko 1.0870 barricade ki taraf daba sakta hai. Wahan par bhi agar yeh haar gaya, to bearish wave mein aur bhi fuel add ho sakta hai, jo 200-day SMA ko 1.0840 par foran spotlight mein le aayega.

Kul mila kar, EUR/USD tab tak upward trend mein hai jab tak yeh pichle sideways pattern aur 1.1000 psychological mark ke upar rehta hai. Naye buyers ko attract karne ke liye, pair ko 1.1050 bar ke through pierce karna padega.

EUR/USD Sentiment Analysis

• Current Positioning:
  • - 32.46% traders net-long hain
  • - Short to long traders ka ratio 2.08 to 1 hai
• Changes in Positioning:
  • - Net-long traders: Kal se 9.28% zyada, pichle hafte se 17.58% kam
  • - Net-short traders: Kal se 10.10% kam, pichle hafte se 15.36% zyada
• Interpretation:
• Yeh analysis crowd sentiment ke mukhalif view leta hai. Net-short position yeh suggest karti hai ke EUR/USD prices barhti reh sakti hain. Kul mila kar, positioning kal ke muqable mein kam net-short hai magar pichle hafte ke muqable mein zyada net-short hai. Is combination se mixed EUR/USD trading bias nikalta hai.
• Yeh analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke recent shift long positions ki taraf ho chuki hai, lekin overall sentiment zyada tar short hi hai. Is contrarian approach ke mutabiq, EUR/USD shayad mazid mazboot hoti rahegi, bawajood iske ke aksariyat traders iske against bet kar rahe hain. Halaat ke mixed signals (daily vs weekly changes) ke waja se overall trading bias mixed hai.
• EUR/USD ne broad-based selling pressure se faida uthaya jo ke Friday ko US Dollar (USD) ke aas-paas thi aur pair ne hafte mein 1% se zyada ka faida kiya. Yeh pair Monday ki subah apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai aur 2024 ka fresh high 1.1050 ke qareeb trade karta hai.

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EURO PRICE LAST 7 DAYS

Sunday ko, Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of San Francisco ke President Mary Daly ne Financial Times ko bataya ke US central bank ko borrowing costs ko ghataane ke liye ahista approach lena padega. Wahi, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke is baat ka yaqeen nahi hai ke Fed September mein interest rates cut karega, magar yeh nahi karna labor market ko nuksan pohncha sakta hai.

USD European morning mein back foot par hai aur EUR/USD apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai. Economic calendar Monday ko kisi bhi high-tier macroeconomic data releases ka feature nahi karega. Investors Fed Governor Christopher Waller ke comments ko gahri nazar se dekhenge aur risk perception mein tabdiliyon ko dekhne mein interested honge.

Is waqt tak, US stock index futures din mein marginally lower trade kar rahe hain. Agar Wall Street ke main indexes neeche khulenge, to USD sour mood se faida uthaye sakta hai aur EUR/USD ke upside ko limit kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

EUR/USD ascending trend channel ke upar hai lekin 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 70 ke upar hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair agle leg higher se pehle ek technical correction kar sakta hai.



Neeche ke side pe, 1.1000 (psychological level, static level, ascending trend line) strong support hai 1.0960 (50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), static level) aur 1.0910 (100-period SMA) se pehle.

1.1060 (static level) agle resistance ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai 1.1100 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.1140 (December 28, 2023, high) se pehle.

experience kiya, jahan yeh 1.0950 ke qareeb high se gir kar kareeban 1.0932 tak aaya American trading session ke dauran. Is dip ke peeche kai factors ho sakte hain, jese ke ECB ka cautious stance future rate hikes par aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke potential interest rate cuts par badhti hui optimism.
**Market Fed Rate Cuts Expect Kar Raha Hai Jese ke Inflation Target Ki Taraf Ja Raha Hai:**

United States mein, market participants ab zyada aggressive rate cuts par wager laga rahe hain Federal Reserve se. Yeh shift un signs ke response mein hai jo is baat ka ishara de rahe hain ke inflation central bank ke target ke qareeb ja raha hai. Wednesday ko, Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne yeh kaha ke Fed "closer" ho raha hai interest rate cut implement karne ke liye, jese ke inflation mein behtari aur labor market ka balance nazar aa raha hai.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne easing inflation ke broadening effects par optimism zahir kiya aur is trend ke continue hone ki khwahish zahir ki. Fed officials ke in dovish remarks se umeed hai ke US Dollar (USD) par kuch downward pressure aayega, jo EUR/USD pair ke downside ko limit karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

**ECB Ka Steady Rates Par Stick Karna Amid Ongoing Inflation Concerns:**

ECB ka decision rates ko steady rakhne ka anticipate kiya ja raha tha given ke current economic climate ko dekhte hue. Officials ne rate cuts ke liye ek defined path par commit karne mein ehtiyat barat rahe hain inflation ke service sector mein persistent honay ke concerns ki wajah se, jo overall inflation ko reduce karne ke progress ko undermine kar sakte hain.

**EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis:**

In factors ke bawajood, pair ko 1.0977 level par significant trendline resistance ka samna hai. Iske ilawa, euro yen carry trades ke unwinding se kuch drag experience kar raha hai. Daily aur weekly trend strength oscillators euro ke liye bullish alignment dikha rahe hain, jo limited downside potential aur ek renewed upward push ke risks zahir kar rahe hain. Pair ke liye immediate support 1.0900 par hai, aur resistance 1.0988 par hai. Agar price is resistance ke upar break kar jati hai, to yeh euro ke liye 1.1100 ki taraf gains ko target karne ka raasta bana sakta hai.

Friday ke US session ke dauran, pair ne apni gains ko second consecutive day tak extend kiya, trading 1.0930 ke aas paas ho rahi thi. Recent decline pair mein USD ke mazid strong hone ki wajah se aayi hai amid market mein badhti hui risk aversion. Ek key technical level jo monitor karna zaroori hai wo hai upside break above 1.0981, jo EUR/USD ke price ko 1.1050 ki taraf propel kar sakta hai.

Agle trading week ke dauran in levels aur indicators ka closely observe karna zaroori hoga taake market ke potential movements ko predict kar sakein aur trading decisions ko behtar tareeqay se manage kar sakein.

experience kiya, jahan yeh 1.0950 ke qareeb high se gir kar kareeban 1.0932 tak aaya American trading session ke dauran. Is dip ke peeche kai factors ho sakte hain, jese ke ECB ka cautious stance future rate hikes par aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke potential interest rate cuts par badhti hui optimism.
**Market Fed Rate Cuts Expect Kar Raha Hai Jese ke Inflation Target Ki Taraf Ja Raha Hai:**

United States mein, market participants ab zyada aggressive rate cuts par wager laga rahe hain Federal Reserve se. Yeh shift un signs ke response mein hai jo is baat ka ishara de rahe hain ke inflation central bank ke target ke qareeb ja raha hai. Wednesday ko, Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne yeh kaha ke Fed "closer" ho raha hai interest rate cut implement karne ke liye, jese ke inflation mein behtari aur labor market ka balance nazar aa raha hai.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne easing inflation ke broadening effects par optimism zahir kiya aur is trend ke continue hone ki khwahish zahir ki. Fed officials ke in dovish remarks se umeed hai ke US Dollar (USD) par kuch downward pressure aayega, jo EUR/USD pair ke downside ko limit karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

**ECB Ka Steady Rates Par Stick Karna Amid Ongoing Inflation Concerns:**

ECB ka decision rates ko steady rakhne ka anticipate kiya ja raha tha given ke current economic climate ko dekhte hue. Officials ne rate cuts ke liye ek defined path par commit karne mein ehtiyat barat rahe hain inflation ke service sector mein persistent honay ke concerns ki wajah se, jo overall inflation ko reduce karne ke progress ko undermine kar sakte hain.

**EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis:**

In factors ke bawajood, pair ko 1.0977 level par significant trendline resistance ka samna hai. Iske ilawa, euro yen carry trades ke unwinding se kuch drag experience kar raha hai. Daily aur weekly trend strength oscillators euro ke liye bullish alignment dikha rahe hain, jo limited downside potential aur ek renewed upward push ke risks zahir kar rahe hain. Pair ke liye immediate support 1.0900 par hai, aur resistance 1.0988 par hai. Agar price is resistance ke upar break kar jati hai, to yeh euro ke liye 1.1100 ki taraf gains ko target karne ka raasta bana sakta hai.


Friday ke US session ke dauran, pair ne apni gains ko second consecutive day tak extend kiya, trading 1.0930 ke aas paas ho rahi thi. Recent decline pair mein USD ke mazid strong hone ki wajah se aayi hai amid market mein badhti hui risk aversion. Ek key technical level jo monitor karna zaroori hai wo hai upside break above 1.0981, jo EUR/USD ke price ko 1.1050 ki taraf propel kar sakta hai.

Agle trading week ke dauran in levels aur indicators ka closely observe karna zaroori hoga taake market ke potential movements ko predict kar sakein aur trading decisions ko behtar tareeqay se manage kar sakein.

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein hourly time frame par aik naya upward trend form kiya hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke euro ne U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kuch taqat hasil kar li hai. Iska matlab hai ke euro ne higher lows aur higher highs banaye hain, jo aam tor par short term mein bullish market sentiment ki nishani hoti hai.
Lekin, is upward movement ke bawajood, broader context ko dekhna zaroori hai. Lagta hai ke euro ne un tamam bullish factors ko pehle hi price mein shamil kar liya hai jo recent gains ka sabab bane. Ismein Eurozone se aane wala positive economic data, European financial markets mein relative stability, ya U.S. economy ke weaker-than-expected performance shamil ho sakti hai. Jab ye sab factors pehle se hi price mein reflect ho chuke hain, to euro ke liye aage further gains ki potential limited ho sakti hai, jab tak koi naya significant catalyst na aaye.

Is surat-e-haal mein, ye expect karna mushkil hai ke EUR/USD pair hourly chart par established trend line ke baad ek sustained upward movement karega. Jo current upward momentum hai, wo zyada dair tak qaim nahi reh sakta, aur currency pair key psychological ya technical levels ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar sakti hai. Jab tak Eurozone se mazeed positive developments nahi aati ya U.S. dollar mein mazeed kamzori nahi hoti, euro ko higher resistance levels ko convincingly break karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Aur agar hum broader 24-hour time frame ko dekhein, to EUR/USD pair abhi bhi ek flat phase mein hai, jo 1.06 aur 1.10 ke range mein fluctuate kar raha hai. Ye dikhata hai ke longer period mein kisi strong directional movement ki kami hai, aur currency pair inhi boundaries ke beech oscillate kar raha hai jab ke market participants dono taraf se mixed signals ko weigh kar rahe hain.

1.06-1.10 ka range aik consolidation period ko represent karta hai, jahan bulls ya bears mein se kisi ne bhi definitive upper hand hasil nahi ki. Euro ka pehle ka bullish momentum lagta hai ke thoda stall kar gaya hai, aur market nayi data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar kar rahi hai taake direction mil sake. Is liye traders expect kar sakte hain ke ye range mein choppy trading continue rahegi, jahan short-term spikes upper ya lower boundaries ko test kar sakti hain, magar aakhir mein mean par revert ho jati hain.

Summary mein, jahan EUR/USD ne hourly time frame par kuch bullish signs show kiye hain, broader picture ek sustained upward movement ki kami dikhati hai. Currency pair ke liye ye expected hai ke 24-hour chart par 1.06-1.10 ke range mein hi rahega, jab tak koi unexpected development nahi hoti jo euro ya dollar ke favor mein balance tip kar de.

Aaj trading ke aaghaz par Euro ke buyers ne price ko kaafi aage tak upward move karna jari rakha, aur lagta hai ke wo aaj ke current level 1.10466 tak pohnchne ki koshish karenge. Agar ye breakthrough hasil hone par price is mark ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to phir upward movement ka mazeed aghe barhna expect kiya ja sakta hai, aur ye movement level 1.11388 tak ho sakti hai. General tor par, is mark tak pohnchne ki probability buri nahi lagti, shayad wahan kai sellers ke stops honge, aur is liquidity ko capture karna achha result hoga taake phir price ko neeche drag kiya ja sake. Abhi ke current positions se, sales ko tie karne ke liye kuch nahi hai.
Pair EURUSD M30:

1- Weekend par ek forecast banaya gaya tha ke Euro ke liye purchases ka entry point 1.10350 ke level se ho sakta hai, aur price ne is level ko break kar diya hai. Dekhna hoga ke kya price apne pehle target 1.10581 tak pohnch sakti hai ya nahi.

2- Agar hum tapes ke situation ki baat karein, to price ab upper tape ke along move karna shuru kar rahi hai, lekin price rise ka behtar signal milne ke liye dono tapes ka actively outward open hona intezar karne ke laayak hai.

3- AO indicator positive zone mein nayi increase form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin ab tak columns lagbhag same level par form ho rahe hain. Quotes ke growth ke liye stronger signal hasil karne ke liye, AO ke active acceleration ka intezar karna zaroori hai.

4- Purchases ke liye entry point 1.10581 ke level se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Breakout aur consolidation par price growth ko 1.10803 aur 1.10999 ke marks tak expect kiya ja sakta hai.

5- Sales ko 1.10350 ke level se place kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein hourly time frame par aik naya upward trend form kiya hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke euro ne U.S. dollar ke muqable mein kuch taqat hasil kar li hai. Iska matlab hai ke euro ne higher lows aur higher highs banaye hain, jo aam tor par short term mein bullish market sentiment ki nishani hoti hai. Lekin, is upward movement ke bawajood, broader context ko dekhna zaroori hai. Lagta hai ke euro ne un tamam bullish factors ko pehle hi price mein shamil kar liya hai jo recent gains ka sabab bane. Ismein Eurozone se aane wala positive economic data, European financial markets mein relative stability, ya U.S. economy ke weaker-than-expected performance shamil ho sakti hai. Jab ye sab factors pehle se hi price mein reflect ho chuke hain, to euro ke liye aage further gains ki potential limited ho sakti hai, jab tak koi naya significant catalyst na aaye.

Is surat-e-haal mein, ye expect karna mushkil hai ke EUR/USD pair hourly chart par established trend line ke baad ek sustained upward movement karega. Jo current upward momentum hai, wo zyada dair tak qaim nahi reh sakta, aur currency pair key psychological ya technical levels ke qareeb resistance ka samna kar sakti hai. Jab tak Eurozone se mazeed positive developments nahi aati ya U.S. dollar mein mazeed kamzori nahi hoti, euro ko higher resistance levels ko convincingly break karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Aur agar hum broader 24-hour time frame ko dekhein, to EUR/USD pair abhi bhi ek flat phase mein hai, jo 1.06 aur 1.10 ke range mein fluctuate kar raha hai. Ye dikhata hai ke longer period mein kisi strong directional movement ki kami hai, aur currency pair inhi boundaries ke beech oscillate kar raha hai jab ke market participants dono taraf se mixed signals ko weigh kar rahe hain.

1.06-1.10 ka range aik consolidation period ko represent karta hai, jahan bulls ya bears mein se kisi ne bhi definitive upper hand hasil nahi ki. Euro ka pehle ka bullish momentum lagta hai ke thoda stall kar gaya hai, aur market nayi data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar kar rahi hai taake direction mil sake. Is liye traders expect kar sakte hain ke ye range mein choppy trading continue rahegi, jahan short-term spikes upper ya lower boundaries ko test kar sakti hain, magar aakhir mein mean par revert ho jati hain.

Summary mein, jahan EUR/USD ne hourly time frame par kuch bullish signs show kiye hain, broader picture ek sustained upward movement ki kami dikhati hai. Currency pair ke liye ye expected hai ke 24-hour chart par 1.06-1.10 ke range mein hi rahega, jab tak koi unexpected development nahi hoti jo euro ya dollar ke favor mein balance tip kar de.

Subah ki forecast mein, maine kuch levels highlight kiye the aur unke base par market entry ka plan banaya tha. Aaiye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyse karte hain ke kya huwa. Afsoos ki baat yeh hai ke extremely low volatility ke wajah se, jo ke 15 points ke aas-paas thi, pehle half of the day mein market entry points achieve karna mushkil ho gaya. Technical outlook ko second half of the day ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya. **EUR/USD pe Long Positions ke Liye:**

Bilkul, Eurozone trade balance ka data euro pe koi asar nahi daal paaya, aur na hi iski umeed thi. Ab U.S. housing market reports pe dhyan shift ho raha hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke yeh data release market ko significantly change karega, isliye channel ke andar hi trading ko prefer karna better hoga aur week ke end mein kuch bada expect nahi karna chahiye. Building permits aur housing starts ka data shayad market ko U.S. dollar ke liye thoda push kar sakta hai, lekin yeh unlikely hai. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index aur inflation expectations bhi zyadatar nazar andaz kiye jayenge, khaaskar jab in indicators mein koi significant changes nahi hain. Given ke technical outlook revise nahi kiya gaya, agar statistics achi nahi hoti, aur 1.0952 ke support level ke aas-paas false breakout formation hota hai, toh yeh long positions ke liye suitable condition hogi, with the expectation ke euro upar jayega aur bullish trend ko strengthen karega. Agar 1.1014 ke significant resistance level ko break kar ke upward movement hoti hai, toh pair ko strengthen kiya jaa sakta hai, aur 1.1047 tak rise ho sakta hai. Sabse door ka target 1.1076 high hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur 1.0952 ke aas-paas second half of the day mein koi activity nahi hoti, jo ke unlikely hai, sellers ko larger correction ka chance mil sakta hai aur wo active measures le sakte hain, aiming for a drop in the pair. Aise mein, main sirf 1.0916 ke next support level ke aas-paas false breakout ke baad hi consider karunga. 1.0884 se rebound par long positions open karunga, target rakhte hue upward correction of 30-35 points din ke andar.

**EUR/USD pe Short Positions ke Liye:**

Sellers itna active nahi rahe hain. Data release ke baad 1.1014 pe false breakout short positions ke liye suitable scenario provide karega, targeting a decline to the intermediate support at 1.0983. Agar is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, aur uske baad se neeche se retest hota hai, toh ek aur selling point mil sakta hai move towards 1.0952, jahan zyada active buying dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sabse door ka target 1.0916 hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Is level ko test karna euro buyers ke upward trend establish karne ke plans ko thwart karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein weak U.S. statistics ke wajah se rise karta hai aur 1.1014 pe bearish activity nahi hoti, toh buyers naya upward trend establish karenge. Aise mein, main selling ko 1.1047 ke next resistance pe postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi action loonga, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions ko 1.1076 se rebound par turant open karunga, targeting a downward correction of 30-35 points

EUR/USD currency pair ne ek strong rebound show kiya hai, levels below 1.1000 se rising. After briefly testing above 1.0950, pair ne resilience aur strength demonstrate ki apni recovery mein. Yeh upward movement significant hai, kyun ke yeh pair ki ability ko underscore karta hai higher push karne ki despite ongoing market pressures. Ek critical technical indicator recent movement hai EUR/USD pair ka above 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo currently positioned hai at 1.0826. 200-day EMA ek crucial benchmark hai traders aur analysts ke liye, jo serve karta hai as a dividing line between long-term bullish aur bearish trends. Is level ko surpass karna ek strong bullish signal hai, jo suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ek phase of powerful short-term upward momentum mein enter ho raha hai. 200-day EMA ke upar movement reflect karta hai ek shift in market sentiment, attracting traders eager to engage with the bullish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek essential tool hai EUR/USD pair ki momentum ko evaluate karne ke liye. Currently, RSI hover kar raha hai around 60, indicating ke pair overbought territory mein nahi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish trend abhi extend hone ka potential hai without an imminent risk of reversal. Ek RSI reading near 60 strong buying momentum ko signal karta hai, jo traders ke liye confidence instill karta hai about the continuation of the upward trend.
Volume analysis further support karta hai bullish outlook ko EUR/USD pair ke liye. Recent trading volumes rise hui hain during the upward movement, signaling strong market participation aur backing for the current trend. Higher trading volumes often precede significant price movements, lending credibility to the overall bullish trend. Yeh solid foundation of market participation bullish signals ke reliability ko enhance karta hai.
Lagta hai ke bearish correction movement aage bhi 1.0892 par RBS area ko retest karne ki koshish karegi aur phir 1.0869 tak ke agle RBS level tak pohnchne ki umeed hai. 1.0862-1.0892 ke RBS levels se bullish price action ko bullish trend ko continue karne ke liye ek achha foothold banaya ja sakta hai. Is price level range par pending buy limit orders rakhi ja sakti hain, jiska target tp1 1.0950 tak supply area ko reach karna hai aur tp2 ko is haftay ke highest price limit 1.1008 tak test karna hai. Buying plan ke liye risk loss limit ma200 (blue) movement limit ke neeche 1.0820 ke aas-paas rakha ja sakta hai. Sales plan ke liye do options hain: ek short-term cell entry jo bearish correction movement ke continuation ke sath supply area 1.0950 par bullish rejection ka intezar karega. Long-term sales plan tab consider kiya ja sakta hai jab trend bearish phase mein enter kare, jaise ke ma200 (blue) movement limit ke neeche 1.0777 tak girawat dekhne ko mile. Lekin, seller ko pehle 1.0900 ke support ko solid breakout ke sath penetrate karna hoga, warna bullish rejection is bearish scenario ko later thwart kar sakti hai. Instant sell open karna abhi risky lagta hai, kyun ke 1.0900 ke aas-paas fakeout ho sakta hai jo bullish movement ko drive kar sakta hai.