𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Yuro ke ooncha chadne ke jazbaat aaj khatam ho gaye hain. EUR/USD ka daily chart dekhne par, Friday ko ek mazboot bullish candle closing dikhai deti hai, jo ke ek bullish engulfing pattern banata hai. Ye technical setup aur pair ka ascending wedge formation me rehna, potential target levels ko 1.1010 se 1.1058 ke beech aur upar ka goal 1.1085 ke taraf suggest karta hai. Agle hafte ke liye prospects 1.11 mark tak pahunchne ki taraf lean kar rahe hain.

Positive outlook ke bawajood, ye zaroori hai ke RCI oscillators aur MACD indicators jo ke abhi tak bearish trend nahi dikha rahe, lekin daily timeframe par overbought territory me hain. Ye is baat ka ishara hai ke jab ke current trend strong hai, ek correction ka khatra bhi ho sakta hai.

Filhaal, main apne positions manage kar raha hoon, existing purchases jo last month se chal rahi thi, unko dheere-dheere close kar raha hoon aur naye trades add kar raha hoon. Mera plan ye hai ke EUR/USD pair ka high update hone ka intezaar karoon, jo ke 1.1058 par hai. Jab ye update ho jayega, to main apna target 1.1085 par adjust karunga.

Weekend par, trading session ke band hone ke baad developments par nazar rakhni chahiye. Yuro me thoda sa retracement dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ke 1.1010 tak aa sakta hai, jo ke Friday correction ho sakti hai. Ye pullback zaroori nahi ke reversal ko indicate kare, lekin ye ek normal fluctuation hai agle trading week se pehle.

Summary me, yuro ke bullish sentiment barqarar hai, aur near term ke liye clear targets set hain. Lekin short-term corrections ke liye alert rehna zaroori hai aur strategies ko accordingly adjust karna hoga. Filhaal, focus pair ki movement par hai aur agle trading phase ke liye tayyar rehna hai.

Aaj, 15 August ko, EURUSD currency pair ke liye forecast yeh hai ke din ki shuruaat ek downward movement ke saath hui hai. Yeh downward movement kal, 14 August ko shuru hui thi, jab ek naya high set hua tha 1.10468 par, jahan se market ne neeche ki taraf bounce kiya. Yeh signal hai ke downward movement shuru hui hai. Daily chart pe dekha ja sakta hai ke downward movement ka sab se nazdeek target 38.2% Fibonacci level par hai, jo ke 1.0880 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level bechne ke liye aik achha target ho sakta hai.

Agar hum chart ko dekhen, to kal ka high 1.10468 se downward trend ka indication mil raha hai. Yeh high set hone ke baad market ne neeche ki taraf movement shuru ki hai, jo ke ek bearish signal hai. Abhi tak jo trend dikhayi de raha hai, usse lagta hai ke market aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur 1.0880 ka level is downward movement ke liye aik realistic target hai.

Agar aap selling ka plan bana rahe hain, to 1.0880 ko aik strong level ke taur par consider kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh level 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ke sath match karta hai, jo technical analysis ke hisaab se aik important support level hai. Is level tak pahunchne ke liye, market ko abhi aur neeche girna padega, lekin agar trend aisa hi chalta raha to yeh target achievable lagta hai.

Is waqt, EURUSD mein downward movement ka trend zyada strong nazar aa raha hai, aur agar aap sell karne ka soch rahe hain, to 1.0880 ek achha target ho sakta hai. Lekin, hamesha yaad rakhein ke market conditions change ho sakti hain, aur trading decisions lene se pehle risk management zaroori hai.

**EUR/USD Currency Pair Mein Bullish Movement**

EUR/USD currency pair ke daily timeframe ki candlestick movements ko analyze karte huay, market is hafte bhi bullish lag rahi hai, jo ke pichle kuch hafton se dekhne ko mil rahi thi. Overall direction ek upward trajectory dikhati hai, jo price ko bullish rally phase mein rakhti hai. Is hafte bhi trend upar ki taraf hi chal raha hai aur range bhi kafi significant hai.

**Weekly Overview**

Hafte ki shuruat candlestick ke 1.0917 level se hui, jo ke aaj ke session tak 1.0979 tak pohnch gaya. Thursday ki raat ki trading session mein, closing price Monday ke market opening price se upar thi. Is dauran, candlestick positions yeh indicate karti hain ke pichle hafte ke highest price level 1.1008 ko todne ki koshish ho rahi hai, jo ke EUR/USD currency pair ke bullish trend ko continue karne ka strong likelihood dikhaata hai.

**Key Indicators Ki Monitoring**

Aage chal kar, main key indicators ko monitor karunga jo market analysis ke liye use kiye jaate hain. MACD indicator (12, 26, 29) dikhata hai ke dotted yellow line upward movement ko signal kar rahi hai, jo ke market ke abhi bhi bullish rally mein hone ko batata hai. Histogram bar ka position zero level ke upar hai aur size moderate hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator (14) 70 ke mark ke qareeb hai, jo ke potential bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Yellow Simple Moving Average (SMA) 60 bhi abhi bhi red Simple Moving Average (SMA) 150 ke upar positioned hai, jo ke daily timeframe par bullish trend ko confirm karta hai.

**H4 Timeframe Analysis**

Technical data ko H4 timeframe chart ke saath complete karte hue, yeh zahir hota hai ke EUR/USD price movement pichle kuch hafton se bullish candlesticks se dominated hai, jo ke upward trend ko indicate karta hai. Jab candlestick pichle mahine ke shuruat mein yellow SMA 60 ke neeche thi, ab yeh is mahine ke dauran uske upar aayi hai. Is condition ki wajah se price har din higher levels par close ho rahi hai, jo ke market conditions ko increasingly bullish banata hai. Pichle Thursday ko buyers ne price ko higher push kiya.

**Additional Technical Insights**

Is technical analysis ke ilawa, main Relative Strength Index (14) ke instructions ko bhi monitor karta hoon, jahan Lime Line 50 level ke upar hai, jo ke bullish market state ko signal karta hai. MACD indicator (12, 26, 29) dikhata hai ke broken yellow line downward turn hona shuru ho gayi hai, aur histogram bar ka shape shrink ho raha hai, jo ke market ke moderate strength ke saath correct ho raha hai. Is waqt, candlestick dono Simple Moving Averages (60 aur 150) ke upar comfortably positioned hai, jo ke market ko buyers ke control mein dikhata hai.

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EUR/USD Analysis: Current Trends and Trading Strategy

Pattern Analysis Aur Downtrend: Kal shaam, maine EUR/USD pair par ek compelling pattern observe kiya. H4 timeframe ka analysis karte hue, yeh pair abhi bhi pronounced downtrend dikhata hai. Main ne ek trend line draw ki hai jo primary guide ke tor par kaam aati hai aur pattern ko green line se mark kiya hai taake EUR/USD ki potential direction ko behtar samjha ja sake. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD apne downward movement ko continue karne ke liye dekh raha hai, kyunki sellers market par mazboot control banaye hue hain. Agar EUR/USD green line ke saath identified pattern ko follow karta hai, to hum significant downward movement expect kar sakte hain, jo previous downtrend ki strength ko mirror karega.

Bearish Move Aur Support Levels: Traders ko 1.0845 price level ke taraf bearish move ki talash karni chahiye, jo initial target ke tor par serve karta hai. Agar yeh support level breach ho jata hai, to bearish momentum intensify ho sakta hai. 1.0890 support level critical point ban sakta hai, jo pair ki further declines ko rok sakta hai. EUR/USD ka current price movement trend line ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo downward wave ke liye ek critical reference hai, isliye yeh area EUR/USD ko sell karne ke liye ideal hai. Mere strategy ka focus EUR/USD ko sell karne par hai, provided market conditions aur price movements is approach ke saath align karte hain. Aaj ek temporary upward correction ho sakti hai, shayad lower high banta hai, lekin broader wave downtrend pattern abhi bhi intact hai.

Market Conditions Aur Trading Strategy: Conclusion ke tor par, halan ke short-term corrective movements mumkin hain, prevailing trend bearish hi hai. Yeh environment promising opportunities present karta hai EUR/USD par sell positions enter karne ke liye, khas taur par agar price trend line ko respect karti hai aur established downward path ko follow karti hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur in potential sell opportunities par act karne ke liye ready rehna chahiye jab market unfold hoti hai.

In summary, EUR/USD par downtrend abhi bhi strong hai aur traders ko behtar results ke liye trend line aur support levels ke around trade karna chahiye. Aaj temporary upward correction ke bawajood, broader bearish trend intact hai aur yeh sell opportunities ke liye promising hai. Market movements ko closely monitor karte hue aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karte hue, traders successful trading kar sakte hain.

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EUR/USD Weekly Analysis: Euro’s Movement and Market Dynamics

Euro Ka 1.10 Level Ko Break Karna: Is hafte, Euro ne 1.10 level ko break kar liya, lekin abhi bhi kuch resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Yeh matlab hai ke Euro ka behavior kuch variable behaviors ko reflect kar sakta hai. Commodity prices major psychological levels ke beech mein move karne ke liye tayyar hain, aur agar Euro aage push karta hai, to agla target 1.11 level ho sakta hai. Yeh level historically strong opposition ke tor par sabit hua hai, jo ke early 2022 se dekha gaya hai.

Weekly Chart Aur Range-Bound Market: Weekly chart ko dekhein to yeh clear hai ke Euro abhi bhi 2022 ke end tak ek range-bound market mein hai. Halanki kuch volatility dekhi gayi hai, dono currencies ne koi significant improvement nahi dikhayi. Traders stochastic oscillators ka use karke is range-bound condition ka fayda utha sakte hain. Filhal, Euro overbought territory ke qareeb hai, lekin abhi tak isko cross nahi kiya hai. Agar downward momentum build hona shuru hota hai, to Euro dheere dheere 1.06 ki taraf slip kar sakta hai, lekin aisa move saal ke end tak chal sakta hai, considering pair ki tendency lower movement ki taraf hai.

Agar Euro 1.11 Se Aage Barhta Hai: Agar Euro 1.11 mark ko break kar deta hai, to agla significant resistance 1.125 area ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Yeh level past mein ek barrier ki tarah kaam kar chuka hai aur isko todne ke liye ek bada catalyst zaroori hoga. Lekin, current economic climate ke madde nazar, major issue ke baghair aisa development unlikely lagta hai.

Central Banks Ki Monetary Policy Aur Traders Ki Anticipation: European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve dono easy monetary policy ki taraf shift ka signal de rahe hain, Fed ne rate cut ka bhi possibility suggest kiya hai. Traders in trends ko anticipate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

In summary, Euro ne 1.10 level ko break kar ke ek significant milestone achieve kiya hai, lekin resistance abhi bhi maujood hai. Agar Euro aage barhta hai, to 1.11 aur 1.125 levels crucial resistance points hain. Traders stochastic oscillators aur current market trends ko monitor karte hue, in levels ke aas-paas trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Market ki current situation aur central banks ki monetary policies ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, aage ke moves ko anticipate karna zaroori hai.

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Friday Ka European Trading Session: EUR/USD Aur US Dollar Ki Current Situation

Jab European trading session Friday ko shuru hota hai, currency pair 1.1005 level ke aas-paas mazboot trading activity dekh raha hai, jo ke rozana faida ke silsile ko khatam kar raha hai. US Dollar dheere dheere mazboot ho raha hai, jab market participants European Central Bank (ECB) ke aaj ke crucial monetary policy meeting ke liye ehtiyaat barat rahe hain. Investors significant US economic data releases, including weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, ke liye bhi tayyar ho rahe hain.

ECB Ki Rate Decision: Aane wale ECB rate decision forex traders ke liye sabse zyada important hai. General expectation yeh hai ke ECB current interest rates ko barqarar rakhega, jo ke June mein quarter-point rate cut ke baad hai. Jabke foran koi tabdeeli ki umeed nahi, traders closely monitor karenge ke ECB President Christine Lagarde ki speech mein koi naya rhetoric ya future policy adjustments ke hints milte hain ya nahi. Market participants ko ECB ke stance mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ke nishan detect karna zaroori hai. US rate markets ne poori tarah se ek quarter-point rate cut ko factor in kar liya hai jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) 18 September ko milti hai. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September mein rate cut hone ki 98% probability hai.

EUR/USD Ka Movement Aur Current Situation: Currency pair July ke aakhri dino mein 1.0710 ke aas-paas low se upar uth raha hai. Ab yeh 1.1048 ke aas-paas 18-week high tak pahuncha hai aur declining channel ke upper bound ko break kiya hai. Lekin, bearish pressure ke barhne ke sath, yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.0995 ke aas-paas wapas aa sakta hai. Wednesday ke trading ke doran, pair ne apne recent range ke upper end ko briefly touch kiya, jo midweek session ke dauran solid performance ko darshata hai. Agar buyers is momentum ko barqarar rakhte hain, to yeh pair apni chauthi consecutive week ki gains secure kar sakta hai.

Summary: Friday ke European trading session mein EUR/USD pair 1.1005 ke aas-paas solid trading activity dekh raha hai aur US Dollar dheere dheere mazboot ho raha hai. ECB ki aaj ki monetary policy meeting aur US economic data releases market ka focus hain. Traders ECB ke speech aur future policy adjustments ke hints ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ka current upward trajectory aur 1.1048 ke aas-paas 18-week high ko dekhte hue, yeh pair 50-day EMA ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Agar buyers momentum ko maintain karte hain, to yeh pair apni chauthi consecutive week ki gains achieve karne ke qareeb hai.

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Euro Ka 1.10 Level Par Break Aur Aage Ki Predictions

Is hafte, euro ne 1.10 ke level ko break kar diya hai, lekin ab bhi kuch resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke euro market ke andar kaafi variable actions dekh raha hai. Commodity prices crucial psychological levels ke beech movement dikhane ki umeed hai, aur agar euro ne further push kiya, to agla target 1.11 ka position ho sakta hai — jo ke historical perspective se ek strong resistance point raha hai, jo ke early 2022 se dormant raha hai.

Daily Chart Analysis: Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh clear hai ke euro abhi bhi 2022 ke end tak ek range-bound market mein hai. Kuch volatility ke bawajood, dono currencies mein koi significant improvement nahi dekha gaya. Traders stochastic oscillators ka istemal karke is range-bound condition ka faida utha sakte hain. Filhal, euro overbought zone ke qareeb hai, lekin abhi tak is zone ko cross nahi kiya hai. Agar downward momentum shuru hota hai, to euro dheere dheere 1.06 ke level tak slip kar sakta hai, aur yeh move year ke end tak continue ho sakta hai given ke pair ki tendency lower move karne ki hai.

Resistance Aur Support Levels: Agar euro further 1.11 ke mark ko break karta hai, to next significant resistance 1.125 ke area ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Yeh level history mein ek strong barrier raha hai aur ise break karne ke liye ek major catalyst ki zaroorat hogi. Lekin, current economic climate ko dekhte hue, aisa development doubtful lagta hai bina kisi major issue ke.

Central Bank Policies Aur Market Trends: European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve dono hi easy monetary policy ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, Fed ne possible rate cut ka bhi suggestion diya hai. Traders in trends ko anticipate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is hafte, humne dekha ke price ne rise kiya aur market 1.10 level ke upar close hua. Jaisa ke pehle bhi mention kiya, humein ek ascending channel dekhne ko mil raha hai aur iska lower boundary perfectly kaam kar raha hai, to yeh assume kiya ja sakta hai ke upward trend continue karega aur bears ko thoda patience rakhna chahiye. Naturally, 1.10 ka round level support ke tor par kaam karega, jahan se long positions open ki ja sakti hain.

Fibonacci Grid Aur Growth Targets: Correction ke liye, minimum se maximum tak Fibonacci grid ko stretch kiya ja sakta hai, aur 161st level ab pehla target ban gaya hai EUR/USD currency pair ke growth ke liye. Yeh level approximately 1.1109 ke aas-paas hai, aur is case mein hum yearly high 1.1140 ke kareeb hain.

Conclusion: In summary, euro ne 1.10 level ko break kiya hai lekin abhi bhi kuch resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar euro 1.11 level ko break kar deta hai, to agla resistance 1.125 ke aas-paas hoga. Market conditions aur central bank policies ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid ke analysis ke zariye, 1.1109 aur 1.1140 ke levels ko target karna ek viable strategy ho sakti hai.

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Friday Ko Currency Pair Ki Kami Aur Aage Ki Tawakku

Jumeraat ko, currency pair mein aik noticeable decline dekha gaya, aur yeh 1.1041 ke mark ke aas-paas settle hua. Yeh girawat largely US dollar ke broad-market rally ki wajah se thi. Greenback ki resurgence ko weekly US jobless claims mein izafa ne boost diya, jisse Fed ke September mein potential rate cut ke speculations ko janam diya. Is dauran, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni current interest rates ko barqarar rakha, jo mixed economic indicators ke darmiyan ehtiyaat ko reflect karta hai.

ECB Ki Interest Rates Barqarar Rakhnay Aur Potential Rate Cut Ki Dasti:

ECB ka intezar hai ke wo apne August ke meeting mein interest rates ko steady rakhe. Market participants inflation ke progress ki nishaniyon ko dekh rahe hain, jab tak ECB June ke initial cut ke baad koi aur rate adjustment par ghoor nahi karti. Futures markets filhal September mein rate cut ka nearly 80% probability indicate kar rahe hain. ABN Amro ke Senior Economist Eurozone, Bill Diviney ke mutabiq, “President Lagarde ke remarks ko September mein rate cut ke liye darwaza khula rehna chahiye, lekin June ke cut ke muqablay mein soft signaling ke saath.”

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis:

EUR/USD filhal 1.1050 ke level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke Friday ko established range ke andar hai. Yeh stability ek Symmetrical Triangle pattern ke breakout ke baad hai jo daily chart par dekha gaya. Aise breakouts aam tor par volatility aur trading volume ko barhate hain. EUR/USD pair ke liye immediate outlook optimistic hai, jo 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke support ke saath hai, jo 1.0984 ke aas-paas hai aur upward trend dikha raha hai.

Agar current bullish trend continue karta hai, to pair ka target August 14 ka high 1.1047 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar pair significant support level 1.0800 ke neeche girta hai, to downward pressure ka samna kar sakta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi strong bullish momentum ko reflect kar raha hai, jo 60.00-80.00 ke range mein hai, jo continued upward potential ki nishani hai.

Conclusion:

Friday ko currency pair ki kami aur US dollar ke broad-market rally ne market dynamics ko badal diya. ECB ka interest rates barqarar rakhna aur potential rate cut ke speculation market ko influence kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair 1.1050 ke qareeb stability dikhata hai aur agar bullish trend continue karta hai to agla target August 14 ka high ho sakta hai. Traders ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur RSI indicators se bullish momentum ki tasdeeq karni chahiye.

**EUR/USD Price Summary**

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka analysis karenge. Hum weekly range ke peak par pohnch gaye hain, jo 1.0971 hai, aur isne mujhe selling reconsider karne par majboor kiya. Afsos ki baat hai ke 1.0906-1.0899 range se buying opportunity nahi mili. Bears ek pullback ki talash mein hain, lekin ye unclear hai ke bulls isse facilitate karenge ya bears ko higher levels ki taraf khicha jaayega. Abhi bhi pullback ka chance hai, bears ne apne targets ko 1.0936 ke aas-paas raise kiya hai—jo questionable hai. Main naye buy trades ya sales ko din ke end tak entertain nahi karunga. Hum dekhte hain ke bulls ka push naye highs ki taraf kaisa conclude hota hai. Agar wo weekly range 1.0971 ke upar break karte hain, to kal hume significant increase dekhne ko mil sakta hai, shayad September quarterly contract ke pehle notable targets 1.1081 tak pohnch sakte hain.



EUR/USD asset pehle se established resistance zones ko revisit karne ki koshish kar raha hai daily hourly period mein. Abhi price 1.0973 par hai, jahan se currency pair ne aksar bearish rebound trigger kiya hai. Lekin primary target ab bhi critical resistance level 1.1001 hai, jo ke instrument test karne wala hai. Technical analysis ke hisaab se, currency pair three-line Bollinger Bands ke upper price range mein hai, jo upward trend ko continue karne ka edge de raha hai. Aaj ki unusual daily candle suggest karti hai ke agar bullish trend continue hota hai to correction zone Fibonacci grid par around 50% par ho sakta hai. Agar daily candle roughly 50% retrace karti hai to is asset ko modest take profit ke sath sell karna feasible ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Friday ki Asian trading session mein pehle mazbooti dikhayi aur 1.0987 tak pohonch gaya, lekin uske baad US Dollar ki demand ke dobara barhne se neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna karna pada. Traders ab aanay wale US economic data par nazar rakhe hue hain, jisme June ke retail sales figures aur Federal Reserve ki member Adriana Kugler ka ek speech bhi shamil hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank ka interest rate ka faisla bhi market sentiment par significant asar dalne ki umeed hai. Filhal, EUR/USD pair kareeb 1.0980 par trade kar raha hai.

**EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Market sentiment tabdeel hota nazar aa raha hai kyun ke traders Fed ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut ki umeed barha rahe hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne abhi hal hi mein ye izhar kiya ke central bank shayad inflation ke 2% target tak pohonchne ka intezar na kare. Unhon ne kaha, "Agar aap intezar karte hain ke inflation 2% tak pohonch jaye, to aap ne shayad buhat dair kar di," jis ka matlab ye hai ke agar tight monetary conditions ko dair tak barqarar rakha gaya, to inflation akhir kar 2% se neeche ja sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, Mary Daly, jo ke Fed Bank of San Francisco ki President hain, unhon ne kaha ke inflation is tarah se cool ho raha hai jo 2% target ke pohonchne ke liye confidence ko barhawa de raha hai. Magar, unhon ne ye bhi zikar kiya ke rates par kisi bhi faislay se pehle aur data ki zaroorat hai. Fed rate cut ki umeed se USD par neeche ka pressure aasakta hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair ke liye tailwind create kar sakta hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Wednesday ko 4 mahine ke high tak pohonchne ke bawajood, pair 1.1100 level ko break karne mein nakam raha. Pair thoda neeche aaya aur descending channel ke upper end par technical consolidation phase mein chala gaya. Ye consolidation 3 din ke winning streak ke baad aaya hai, jo ye izhar karta hai ke shayad bullish stance se tabdeel ho raha hai, jisme pair ne akhri 12 trading sessions mein sirf 2 ko chhor kar sab mein gain kiya.



Pair daily chart par 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar positive rehta hai. Lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish territory mein 43.0 ke qareeb hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke aur neeche ki taraf ka risk dismiss nahi kiya ja sakta. Agar ye level break hota hai to selling pressure amplify ho sakta hai, aur key support level 1.0914 ke qareeb ho sakta hai jo ke throwback support level ka kaam kar sakta hai.

Euro ki qeemat $1.0825 ke support level tak girti rahi, aur apne chaar mahinay ke buland tareen level $1.094 se door ho gayi, jo ke 17 July ko chooa tha. Ye girawat euro zone, Germany, aur France ke weak PMI data ke release ke baad hui, jisne ye expectations barha di ke European Central Bank iss saal do additional martaba interest rates cut karega.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... Flash Eurozone PMIs ne July mein private sector activity mein achanak girawat dikhayi, jo ke manufacturing mein zyada contraction aur services mein slowdown ke sabab se hui. Germany aur France ne broader region mein kamzor performance dikhayi. Is ke natayej mein, traders ne iss saal European Central Bank ke do additional interest rate cuts par apni bets 80% se barha kar 90% tak kar di.

Europe mein, German Treasuries aur French oats yields ke darmiyan yield gap 71.70 basis points tak barh gaya, jo ke France mein siyasi tensions ki wajah se hua. Far-left National Front party ne pension reform ko reverse karne ka tajwez diya jo ke President Macron ne far-right National Front party ki himayat se approve ki thi, jisse fiscal spending aur France ke qarz par risk premium se mutaliq concerns barh gaye. President Macron ne kaha ke unki hukumat Olympics ke doran mid-August tak barqarar rahegi, aur left-wing coalition ki koshishon ko rad kar diya jo naye wazir-e-azam ko appoint karna chahti thi.

Daily chart ki performance ke mutabiq, euro ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable EUR/USD ke sath ab bhi 1.0800 ke aham psychological support level ko tor kar neeche jaane ke qareeb hai, jo agar hota hai to bears ko aur zyada momentum milega ke woh mazeed neeche movement kar sakein, aur agle sabse aham support levels 1.0745 aur 1.0660 honge. Doosri taraf, isi duration ke doran, aur jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha, general trend mein koie strong aur aham shift upar ke taraf tab tak nahi hoga jab tak 1.1000 ke psychological resistance level tak dobara nahi pohncha jata. Aaj euro dollar ki qeemat European Central Bank ke Governor Lagarde ke bayanaat, German IFO reading, aur aham American economic data, jisme GDP growth reading, weekly unemployed claims, aur durable goods orders shamil hain, se mutasir hogi.

**EUR/USD Price Summary**

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka analysis karenge. Hum weekly range ke peak par pohnch gaye hain, jo 1.0971 hai, aur isne mujhe selling reconsider karne par majboor kiya. Afsos ki baat hai ke 1.0906-1.0899 range se buying opportunity nahi mili. Bears ek pullback ki talash mein hain, lekin ye unclear hai ke bulls isse facilitate karenge ya bears ko higher levels ki taraf khicha jaayega. Abhi bhi pullback ka chance hai, bears ne apne targets ko 1.0936 ke aas-paas raise kiya hai—jo questionable hai. Main naye buy trades ya sales ko din ke end tak entertain nahi karunga. Hum dekhte hain ke bulls ka push naye highs ki taraf kaisa conclude hota hai. Agar wo weekly range 1.0971 ke upar break karte hain, to kal hume significant increase dekhne ko mil sakta hai, shayad September quarterly contract ke pehle notable targets 1.1081 tak pohnch sakte hain.


EUR/USD asset pehle se established resistance zones ko revisit karne ki koshish kar raha hai daily hourly period mein. Abhi price 1.0973 par hai, jahan se currency pair ne aksar bearish rebound trigger kiya hai. Lekin primary target ab bhi critical resistance level 1.1001 hai, jo ke instrument test karne wala hai. Technical analysis ke hisaab se, currency pair three-line Bollinger Bands ke upper price range mein hai, jo upward trend ko continue karne ka edge de raha hai. Aaj ki unusual daily candle suggest karti hai ke agar bullish trend continue hota hai to correction zone Fibonacci grid par around 50% par ho sakta hai. Agar daily candle roughly 50% retrace karti hai to is asset ko modest take profit ke sath sell karna feasible ho sakta hai.

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EUR/USD Ke Prices Ka Tajziya: Maujoodah Surat-e-Haal

Is maqale mein EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya pesh kiya gaya hai. Euro ne apne weekly chart par jo growth targets hasil kiye hain, woh H4 chart ke targets ke qareeb hain. Weekly timeframe par grey bar ne buy signal ka imkaan darshaya hai, jahan orange teer maximum stop-loss aur laal teer minimum stop-loss ko show kar raha hai. Yeh dono hi imkaanaat mumkin hain. Filhal, selling opportunities ka koi waja nahi, isliye downward move par tawajju dena zaroori nahi. Magar humein aage ki upward movement par ehtiyat baratni chahiye. Weekly, H4, aur daily charts ke targets sab mil gaye hain. Iske ilawa, H4 chart par MACD indicator par ek single divergence bhi nazar aati hai, jo ke aage ki growth mein shayad kuch hichkichahat darshata hai. Euro ki recent aggressive rise bhi fikar ka sabab ban rahi hai.

Image:
Mujoodah chart ke green bar mein buy signal ka imkaan darshaya gaya hai, jahan targets 1.1034 par set kiye gaye hain. Yeh growth expectation kaafi dafa dekhi gayi hai. Market ne koi significant pullback nahi diya ya 1-to-1 ratio ka hissa iss growth mein nahi bana, kyunki quotes signal level 1.0906 se bas thode hi neeche the. Jab growth targets hit hue, to ek downward impulse nazar aya, jo traders ke liye ek pehla reversal signal ho sakta hai. Ehtiyaat lazmi hai. Filhal, aggressive growth ek wedge pattern bana rahi hai. Yeh abhi bhi mumkin hai ke agla upper bound update ho. Neeche wali boundary ne successfully third touch ko support kiya hai. Jabke daily aur H4 levels ke goals tamam ho chuke hain, weekly target par tawajju dena waqt ki zaroorat hai.

Conclusion:

Euro/USD ka present tajziya is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke filhal selling opportunities dikhayi nahi de rahi hain, lekin further upward movement par ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai. Waqti tor par, market mein aggressive growth aur MACD par divergence ko dekhte hue, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Aagey ki growth ke imkaanaat filhal maujood hain, lekin koi bhi trade lene se pehle market ke rujhan aur price action ko kareebi tor par dekhna zaroori hai.

Germany aur Italy ke data ne jo umeed thi us tarah se volatility ko nahi barhaya. Din ke doosray hisse mein koi significant statistics na hone ki wajah se, week ke aakhir mein market shaayad kaafi dull aur uneventful rahega. Isliye, market mein jaldi enter karne se gurez karna chahiye. Main 1.0907 ke naye support level par decline aur ek false breakout ka intezar karunga jo kal ke nataij par mabni hai. Target ye hoga ke price upar jaye aur naye resistance 1.0931 ko retest kare, jahan mujhe umeed hai ke sellers shuru ho jayenge. Agar ye range breakout hota hai aur dobara upar se neeche retest hota hai, to pair aur strong ho sakta hai aur 1.0958 tak ja sakta hai. Sabse door ka target 1.0985 hoga jahan mein apni profits lock kar lunga. Agar EUR/USD neeche girta hai aur din ke doosray hisse mein 1.0907 ke aas paas koi activity nahi hoti, to sellers dobara initiative le sakte hain aur neeche ka trend banana shuru kar sakte hain. Is surat mein, main false breakout ke baad hi entry par ghaur karunga agar yeh 1.0884 ke aas paas hota hai. Main directly rebound par 1.0855 se long positions open karne ka plan karunga, jahan 30-35 points ka intraday correction target hoga.
Sellers abhi tak control mein hain. U.S. ke major statistics ke na hone ki surat mein, 1.0931 par ek false breakout short positions open karne ke liye acha scenario hoga, jahan target 1.0907 ke support par hoga jo kal ke nataij par mabni hai. Agar breakout hota hai aur neeche se retest hota hai, to yeh ek aur selling opportunity dega, jahan 1.0884 tak move hone ka chance hoga jahan stronger buyers ke active hone ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.0855 ke area mein hoga jahan profit fix karne ka plan hai, kyunki is level ka test buyers ke uptrend banane ke plan ko nuqsan pahuncha sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD din ke doosray hisse mein barhta hai aur 1.0931 par koi sellers nahi hote, to buyers ke paas initiative lene ka mauqa hoga. Is surat mein, main 1.0958 ke agle resistance level ka test hone tak sales postpone karunga aur consolidation ke fail hone ke baad hi action lunga. Main short positions open karne ka plan bhi directly 1.0985 se rebound hone par karunga, jahan short-term downward correction ka target 30-35 points ka hoga.

karein, to dekha ja sakta hai ke price 1.0931 ke area mein gayi, lekin wahan koi false breakout nahi hua, isliye maine pehle hisse mein market mein entry nahi ki. Natija ye nikla ke subah ke session mein maine koi trade nahi kiya. Doosray hisse ke liye technical picture ko revise nahi kiya gaya.

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Euro Exchange Rate Update: Girawat Jari

Euro ki qeemat mein lagataar girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo ke $1.0825 ke support level tak pohanch gayi hai. Yeh girawat July 17 ko haasil ki gayi char mahine ki bulandiyan $1.094 se neeche aane ke baad hui. Is drop ka sabab Germany aur France ke kamzor PMI data ka release tha, jis ne European Central Bank (ECB) ke do aur interest rate cuts ke imkanaat mein izafa kar diya hai.

Kamzor Economic Indicators

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Flash Eurozone PMIs ne July mein private sector activity mein na umeed girawat ka ishara diya. Yeh slump khas tor par manufacturing mein bohot zyada contraction aur services mein slowdown ki wajah se tha. Germany aur France ne broader region ke muqable mein consistently kam performance dikhayi. Iske nateeje mein traders ne ECB ke potential interest rate cuts ke projections ko mazid barhaya, jahan PMI data ke baad do rate cuts ke imkanaat 80% se barh kar 90% ho gaye.

Europe Mein Rising Yield Gap

Europe mein German Treasuries aur French oats ke darmiyan yield gap 71.70 basis points tak barh gaya hai. Is izafa ka sabab France mein barhte hue siyasi tensions hain. Far-left National Front party ki taraf se ek proposal, jo President Macron ke approved pension reforms ko reverse karne ke liye diya gaya, France ke qarz par fiscal spending aur associated risk premium se mutaliq concerns ko barha raha hai. President Macron ne is baat ka aik bar phir reaffirm kiya ke unki hukoomat Olympics tak barqarar rahegi, aur left-wing coalition ki taraf se naye prime minister ko appoint karne ki koshishon ko reject kar diya.

Euro Performance Ki Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, EUR/USD currency pair iss waqt 1.0800 ke ahem psychological support level ko test kar raha hai. Agar price is level ke neeche break karti hai, to bears ke liye price ko aur neeche dhakelne ka momentum barh sakta hai, jahan agle key support levels 1.0745 aur 1.0660 par identify kiye gaye hain. Doosri taraf, general trend mein significant upward shift tab tak mumkin nahi jab tak Euro psychological resistance level 1.1000 ko phir se visit nahi karta.

Aane Wale Economic Events

Aaj Euro-Dollar exchange rate ki movements ko European Central Bank Governor Christine Lagarde ke statements, German IFO business climate index ka release, aur significant American economic data, jaise ke GDP growth readings, weekly unemployment claims, aur durable goods orders, se mutasir hone ki umeed hai. Yeh factors Euro ke future trajectory aur potential ECB policy shifts ko assess karne mein critical hote hain.

Yeh tamam indicators aur developments Euro ki market mein agle chand hafton ke liye kafi ahmiyat ke hamil ho sakte hain, aur traders ko apni strategies mein inka zaroor khayal rakhna chahiye. Europe aur America dono taraf ke economic data par nazar rakhte hue, aane wale dinon mein Euro ke qeemat mein kisi bhi significant move ka imkaan hai, jo ke ECB ke ainday monetary policy decisions ko bhi shape kar sakta hai.